Financial Turmoil: The new federal aid package - Edunomics ...
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Financial Turmoil: The new federal aid package Jan. 5, 2021; Revised Jan. 6, 2021 Marguerite Roza Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University MR1170@georgetown.edu @MargueriteRoza Hannah Jarmolowski HJ254@georgetown.edu Slides available at edunomicslab.org ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
New law (Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021) COVID Relief 2021 Omnibus Annual Fed. Spending Bill $1.4T + $900 B Relevant portions for K-12 K-12 got slightly more than prior yr $ ESSER = $54B GEER = $4B Governors’ Emerg. Title I = $16.5B = up 1.4% K-12 stabilization fund Ed Relief $10B for Child IDEA = $14.1B = up 1.3% Care Slight increases to: Title II, IV Child care = $85B After school programs = up 7.5% $3.2B for Career and tech broadband Head Start $250M Head Start $818M BIE and outlying areas ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
K-12 portions of 2021 Federal COVID Relief Package ESSER = $54B ~ $1000pp GEER = $4B $1.25B for $2.75B for SEA Governor’s • 90% allocated to LEAs via Title I formula. non-public schools discretion discretion for (no scholarships) over 9.5% K-12 & HE • LEAs can multiply CARES/ESSER allocation by 4 to get new sum.* • It’s equivalent to 3X typical Title I part A. • LEAs not eligible for Title I get none of this portion. $10B for Child Care and Development Block Grant • Broad flexibility in use of funds (NOT subject to Title I rules). Program • Emphasis on “addressing learning loss.” • Must be spent by 9/2022, so funds can be stretched across $3.2B for emergency three school years. Update: Must be spent by 9/2023**, so 0.5% = SEA broadband for families funds can be stretched across four school years. admin $250M Head Start $818M BIE and outlying areas *ESSER estimates available via Whiteboard Advisors: https://public.tableau.com/views/HR133ESSERStimulusAllocations/54BESSERLEAEstimates?:showVizHome=n&:embed=y#2 **The Tydings Amendment allows for this one-year extension of what is written in the law. Federal ESSER fact sheet: https://oese.ed.gov/files/2021/01/Final_ESSERII_Factsheet_1.5.21.pdf ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
K-12 portions of 2021 Federal COVID Relief Package ESSER = $54B ~ $1000pp GEER = $4B $1.25B for $2.75B for With CARES, several SEAs SEA Governor’s non-public schools • 90% allocated to LEAs via Title I formula allocated some discretion discretion for (no scholarships) discretionary $ to LEAs over 9.5% K-12 & HE • LEAs can multiply CARES/ESSER allocation that don’tby get4 Title to getI new sum • It’s equivalent to 3X typical Title I part A. Allocations to private • LEAs not eligible for Title I get none of this portion. $10Bschools for Childmust be made Care and or funding No dedicated Development Blockreturned. Grant • Significant Broad flexibility in use of funds (NOT subject to TitleSEA admin I rules). Program E-rate $, but • Emphasis on “addressing learning loss.” funding = 4-10% increase. flex $ available SEAs: beware of an • Must be spent by 9/2022, so funds can beagency funding stretched cliff. across $3.2B for emergency three school years. Update: Must be spent by 9/2023*, so 0.5% = SEA broadband for families funds can be stretched across four school years. admin $250M Headstart $818M BIA and outlying areas *The Tydings Amendment allows for this one-year extension of what is written in the law. Federal ESSER fact sheet: https://oese.ed.gov/files/2021/01/Final_ESSERII_Factsheet_1.5.21.pdf ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
Will we have a funding cliff? Leaders will want to pace Federal $ enables districts to maintain cost structure, but eventually runs out themselves and plan Funding cliffs ahead for e t rend are typical tate Rev en u when federal 2 S when federal l K-1 aid ends. Typica $ fi l l s gaps relief aid stops F ed nues (Update: Districts R ev e COVID-impacted K-12 State can stretch funds to 2023.) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Teacher salaries stay flat Furloughs Few new investments COVID HITS! / layoffs Districts rebuild reserves ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
Because the funds New ESSER New ESSER $1,695pp =$439pp flow via the Title I Of two NY formula, higher- districts, poverty districts will $6,585 Poughkeepsie has higher $14,969 generally receive poverty levels so will get more ESSER $ per much more $20,340 ESSER $ Per Pupil federal aid per $20,896 pupil. pp pupil pp State $ Per Pupil That said, higher- 4046 Local $ Per poverty districts are $13,755 students 73% FRL Pupil 5210 students more vulnerable to 37% FRL $5,927 cuts in state funding. S. Colonie Poughkeepsie 5,210 students 4,046 students 37% FRL 73% FRL ESSER estimates from Whiteboard Advisors: https://public.tableau.com/views/HR133ESSERStimulusAllocations/54BESSERLEAEstimates?:showVizHome=n&:embed=y#2 ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
New ESSER Despite both But the Title I $2,832 pp being high- New ESSER formula has its poverty CA $1,437 pp districts, quirks. Fresno will get nearly double the federal aid Larger districts Total Per-Pupil per pupil $ (FY19) Before receive more ESSER Title I $ per ESSER $ Per $13,641 $13,641 pp $13,325 pp Pupil student, even among districts with similar Fresno Unified Dos Palos Oro 81,781 students Unified poverty levels. 2,527 students 87% FRL 90% FRL ESSER estimates from Whiteboard Advisors: https://public.tableau.com/views/HR133ESSERStimulusAllocations/54BESSERLEAEstimates?:showVizHome=n&:embed=y#2 ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
Is the federal aid enough to cover the gaps in state funds? ME It generally depends on the state. WA MT ND VT NH Delaware = 1% MA Aid = ~ 8% boost for typical district. gap in 2021 MN NY OR RI ID SD WI MI CT revenues WY PA NJ DE IA MD OH In most states, revenue NE Washington D.C. IL IN NV WV VA UT trends are still unfolding. CA CO KY KS MO NC TN SC Some states are more/ less OK AR AZ NM GA AL MS dependent on state $ (vs AK Hawai’i = 23% TX LA FL gap in 2021 revenues HI local) than others. Update: State-by-state SEA ESSER allocation table available: https://oese.ed.gov/files/2021/01/Final_ESSERII_Methodology_Table_1.5.21.pdf ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
Questions? How should SEAs allocate the 9.5%? Since states didn’t get funds to backfill their budgets, can COULD START WITH DATA: Comparing Does the they cut K-12 and backfill state/local $ in districts district vs poverty, etc. and use with federal K-12 aid? the 9.5% to address have to be problematic gaps. in-person To a point. ”Maintenance of to use the Effort” prohibits cutting K-12 more than other areas of state money? budget. No ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
Questions? Can districts use it Yes, but it won’t go very far. Is it enough for COVID testing? At ~$125 per test*, and 2 tests pp/week, testing costs = to cover PPE? $1000pp per month. Yes. PPE costs are typically projected What if my district can’t spend it at ~ $250 pp.* all by Sept. 2022? Update: Sept, 2023 is the deadline. It goes back to the feds, though $ is highly flexible Note too that districts now have ‘til (instruction, summer services, contracts, tutoring, 12/2021 9/2022** to spend CARES, ventilation, etc.), and can be stretched across 3 school years. so may integrate those spending plans. * See CDC: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6950e1.htm?s_cid=mm6950e1_w ** Federal ESSER fact sheet: https://oese.ed.gov/files/2021/01/Final_ESSERII_Factsheet_1.5.21.pdf ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
Questions? Avoid recurring obligations How do districts (raises, new hires). How should my avert fiscal cliff? Seek one-time investments. If labor is needed, use contract labor or stipends for current district spend it? staff. !!! Will districts be What will help students? Which students suffering learning judged in rear You betcha! There are robust loss and by how much? What options avert a fiscal cliff? view mirror for reporting requirements and how they one-time sums of this size draw lots of attention. spend it? Reporting emphasis will be on how money addressed learning loss. *https://www.healthsystemtracker.org/brief/covid-19-test-prices-and-payment-policy/ ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
This K-12 financial story is far from over! Join our next 30-minute webinar: Impacts of enrollment shifts and learning loss Q&A on district finances Tuesday, January 19, 10am PT / 1pm ET http://bit.ly/EdLabJan19 Note: Q&A is off the record unless otherwise stated Marguerite Roza Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University MR1170@georgetown.edu @MargueriteRoza Hannah Jarmolowski HJ254@georgetown.edu Visit EdunomicsLab.org for resources on how financial turmoil is impacting K-12 ©2021 Edunomics Lab, Georgetown University
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