Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020

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Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Ferronordic
Company Presentation
    August 2020
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Introduction to Ferronordic

                                          Who is Ferronordic?                                                                 Development
      Service and sales company in the areas of construction
                                                                                                                                    2010 (start)                      Q2 2020
       equipment and trucks

      Dealer of Volvo Construction Equipment and certain                                          Employees                           ~160                            1,352
       other brands in all of Russia and Kazakhstan1)
                                                                                                Revenue (SEKm)2)                       1,184                           4,245
      Aftermarket partner of Volvo Trucks and Renault Trucks
       in parts of Russia
                                                                                                    Outlets                              6                              95
      Business partner that offers contracting services, where
       we own and operate equipment for our customers
                                                                                           New machine revenue by customer type (2019, Russia/CIS)
      Dealer of Volvo Trucks and Renault Trucks in parts of
                                                                                                                                      Oil & Gas
       Germany from January 2020                                                                                   Quarries &             5%
                                                                                                                   Aggregates
                                                                                                                      12%                          Mining
      Ferronordic started operations in 2010 and now has                                                                                           23%

       approx. 100 outlets and about 1,400 employees
                                                                                                             Road
      Vision to be regarded as the leading service and sales                                             Construction
                                                                                                             18%
       company in our markets
                                                                                                                                                       General
      Shares in Ferronordic AB (publ) are listed on Nasdaq                                                              Forestry
                                                                                                                                                   Construction and
                                                                                                                                                        Other
       Stockholm.                                                                                                          14%                           28%

1)    In Kazakhstan, Ferronordic is a dealer of Volvo CE and Mecalac since January 2019.
2)    Annualized.                                                                                                                                                              2
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Russia/CIS: A market opportunity

                                                     Russia overview                                                                          Import of construction equipment to Russia (units)3)
                    Population: ~144 million1)                                                                                           21 009   20 573
                    Area: 16.4 million sq. km1)
                    11th biggest economy in the world1)                                                                                                    13 568
                    Rich in oil and minerals; top 3 producer of oil, natural gas and gold                                                                                                             11 766   11 725
                                                                                                                                                                                              10 310
                    World’s largest forest land                                                                                                                                      8 426

                    Strong balance sheet and approx. USD 569 billion2) in international
                                                                                                                                                                     3 573    4 354
                     currency reserves plus USD 131 billion2) in gold
                    12.5% government debt/GDP ratio (nominal 2019)
                    Underinvested infrastructure                                                                                          2012    2013     2014      2015    2016    2017    2018     2019         LTM

                       Road density in Russia and Kazakhstan is low                                                                         Russia’s National Projects – infrastructure and roads
     Road density (km road per 100 sq. km land                area)1)
                                                                                                                     192
                                                                                               172        180
                                                                                                                                                                             2%                          Roads
                                                                         129        132                                                                              14%                                 Railways
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Waterways
                                                               67                                                                                                         USD                            Airports
                                                       43
                                           23
                                                                                                                                                              20%       155 bln4)     63%
                          6       14
          4
        Kazakhstan

                                           Finland

                                                      China

                                                                                     Poland
                                                               USA
                                  Canada

                                                                          Sweden
                         Russia

                                                                                                UK

                                                                                                           Germany

                                                                                                                      France

1) World Bank. 2) Russian Central Bank. 3) Russian import statistics (until April 2020) compiled by Volvo CE. 4) Based on a USD/RUB rate of 73.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                3
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Strategic objectives

Leadership within the                       Expansion into related
market for construction                          business
equipment and trucks                               areas

                      Aftermarket absorption
                       rate of at least 1.0 x

                                            Further development of
Geographic expansion                              contracting
                                                   services

                                                                     4
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Product offering
 Brand

                               Volvo & Renault    Volvo & Renault
             Volvo CE                                                   Gensets               Dressta               Rottne           Mecalac
                                   Trucks             Trucks
Example
product
 Year

             2010 (Russia)                                                                                                          2017 (Russia)
           2019 (Kazakhstan)
                                    2020               2012                2014                 2016                 2016         2019 (Kazakhstan)
 Product

                                Full Volvo &                           Own labelled
                                                                                           Bulldozers and        Forwarders and
           Full VCE range      Renault Trucks       Aftermarket      diesel generators                                            Backhoe loaders
                                                                                            pipe layers            harvesters
                                   range                                 (gensets)

                               ~20% of German
 Area

            All of Russia &                        11 locations in                                                                 All of Russia &
                               market for heavy                        All of Russia         All of Russia        All of Russia
             Kazakhstan                                Russia                                                                       Kazakhstan
                                   trucks

           ~57% of 6M 2020     ~22% of 6M 2020
                                                                                       ~11% of 6M 2020 revenue
              revenue             revenue

                                                                                                                                           5
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
RussiaNationwide coverage
                                                        and Kazakhstan  coverage

                                                                                                                                                                                           Egvekinot

                                                     Murmansk
                                                  Kirovsk

             St .Petersburg          Petrozavodsk
                                               Arkhangelsk
      Velikiy Novgorod
                 Cherepovets
                 Tver           Vologda          Karpogory
    Smolensk                              Velsk
           Kaluga              Yaroslavl       Koryazhma                                         Norilsk                                                                    Yagodnoe
                                                                Vorkuta        Labytnangi
                     Moscow           Sharya        Syktyvkar
           Tula       Ryazan                                                       Noviy Urengoy                                                                                          Magadan
Belgorod                           Kirov                                                                                                                                 Ust-Omchug

                        N.Novgorod                                                                                              Udachniy
       Voronezh   Saransk          Cheboksary
                                   Kazan
                                                 Perm              Sovetskiy
       Rostov-on-Don     Naberezhnye
 Krasnodar                        Samara Ufa              Berezovskiy            Surgut                                                                                 Mar-Kuel
                         Chelny
  Armavir                                                 Ekaterinburg
                                                              Tyumen                                         Kyumba                                      Aldan
     Mineralnye Vody                        Chelyabinsk                                                                                                          Elga
                                  Orenburg          Varna
  Makhachkala                              Novotroitsk                                                                                               Neryungri
                                                                                    Tomsk                                              Vysochaishy
                                  Aktobe                                                                                  Ust-Ilimsk
                                                                                            Kemerovo             Bratsk
                                                                                                Belovo Krasnoyarsk                                                                               Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
                                                          Karaganda                                                                                          Blagoveshchensk
                                                                                                                                                                                   Khabarovsk
                                                                                                                                             Chita

                                                                                                                                                                                        Artyom
                                                                Almaty

     (84) Ferronordic outlets in Russia and Kazakhstan as of June, 2020

                                                                                                                                                                                                          6
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Nationwide coverage
                                                        Germany coverage

(11) Ferronordic outlets in Germany as of June, 2020

                                                                             7
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Aftermarket focus
                      Aftermarket sales (SEKm)                    Share of sales (6M 2020) - Russia/CIS
                                                                                           Other 1%
                                                                    Contracting services
1 000                                                                      12%

 900

 800                                                                          Aftermarket
                                                                                  25%
 700
                                                                                           Machine sales
                                                                                              63%
 600

 500
                                                                  Share of sales (6M 2020) - Germany
 400                                                                               Other 7%

 300

 200
                                                                              Aftermarket
                                                                                  26%
 100

   0                                                                                       Truck sales
        2015   2016         2017       2018      2019   6M 2020                               67%

                         Russia/CIS   Germany

                                                                                                           8
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Focus on connectivity and digitalization
Focus on connectivity and digitalisation to grow sales
             to create additional sales

       We are in the forefront of using a system that utilizes telematics systems
       to maximize sales and increase customer satisfaction and fleet efficiency

                                                                                    9
Ferronordic Company Presentation August 2020
Moving towards further customer integration
Complexity of customer demand

                                               Ferronordic offering

                                                                              10
Focus on connectivity and digitalization
   Contracting services - case study
       to create additional sales

                      Client: GV Gold, top 10 gold mining company in Russia

                      Location: Irkutsk region, Golets Vysochaishy,
                      Vysochaishy mine

                      Project staff: 161 people (as at end of June 2020)

                      Fleet size: 43 units (35 haulers, 1 grader, 7 excavators)

                                                                            11
Component rebuild center

          •   Opened in Ekaterinburg in Q4 2019

          •   Rebuild of machines for customers

          •   Rebuild of engines and gearboxes for Volvo
              CE and Volvo and Renault Trucks

          •   Chop-off and rebuild of machines planned

          •   Part of the center’s capacity is expected to be
              used by Ferronordic’s contracting services
              business

          •   Components to be resold to customers with a
              warranty from Ferronordic or installed in used
              machines in “Volvo Certified Rebuild” program

          •   First rebuilt articulated haulers completed in
              Q2 2020
          •   Recycling of used equipment, broader value
              offering, and increased local market access

                                                                12
Strong
                        Russia/CIS:    development
                                    Strong resiliencedespite low level
                                                      and growth       market
                                                                  in market with upside
                        450%

                        400%
                                                                                                                                                                                                       408%

                                                                                                                                                                                                381%
                        350%

                        300%

                                                                                                                                                                                        291%
                        250%
  Index = 100 in 2011

                        200%
                                                                                                                                                                        199%                   155%    154%
                        150%                                                                                                                                                            134%
                                                     113%                    110%                  109%                                                                 106%
                                                                                                                                                 140%
                                                                                                                         92%
                        100%
                               100%                   99%                     103%                   96%                                          69%                                          63%     63%
                                                                                                                          61%                                                           55%
                                                                             95%                                                                                         45%
                        50%                           71%                                           73%
                                                                                                                           19%                    23%

                         0%
                               2011                  2012                   2013                   2014                   2015                   2016                   2017            2018   2019    LTM
                                                                                                         1)
                                                                                  Market (units)                      Operating profit (SEK)2)                        Revenue (SEK)

1) Russian import statistics (until April 2020) compiled by Volvo CE.
2) 2011-2016 refer to adjusted EBIT, i.e. operating profit excluding (i) amortization of transaction-related intangible assets and (ii) write-downs of non-current assets in Q4 2016.                         13
COVID-19 response

                   Employee                          Customer                             Costs and
                   Health                            Service                              Cash
                   and
                   Safety
•   Strict health and safety     •   All workshops remained           •   Reduced headcount and
    protocols                        operational                          working hours
•   Protective equipment for     •   24/7 coverage                    •   Temporary and voluntary salary
    employees                    •   Remote and virtual support           cuts

•   Work from home initiatives   •   Longer rotations for operators   •   Travel and marketing expenses
    when possible                    in contracting services              decline
                                 •   Good on-site facilities

•   Split team shifts for        •   Focus on customer uptime and     •   Minimum capex
    mechanics to reduce staff        productivity                     •   Tight credit controls
    overlap and manage risks
                                                                      •   Improved liquidity position

                                                                                                        14
Best second quarter to-date despite COVID-19

                   Unit sales in Russia/CIS grow even as market declines sharply

                     Robust aftermarket and contracting services performance

                     Operating profit up on revenue resilience and cost control

                   Sales in Germany decline quarter-on-quarter in line with market

                           Strong operating cash flows and lower net debt

      9%                        7%                         8.7%                          4%
revenue increase           operating profit           operating margin               EPS increase
                              growth

                                                                                                    15
Q2 2020 highlights
                                                                        Russia/CIS unit sales up 6% despite sharp market
                             Q2 2020                          %
                                                                         decline in Q2 2020
                   Q2 2019   Russia /   Q2 2020   Q2 2020   change
SEK MM              Group      CIS      Germany    Group    Group       Germany unit sales down QoQ in line with market

New units sold      280       296        146       442      58%         Total revenue of SEK 1,203m (+9%)

                   1,100      958        245      1,203      9%
                                                                               80% Russia/CIS and 20% Germany
Revenue
                                                                               64% Equipment and trucks, 24% aftermarket
Gross Profit        221       190         16       207       -6%                and 10% contracting services

                                                                        SG&A expenses as share of revenue was 9.4% in Q2
 % Margin          20.1%     19.9%       6.7%     17.2%     -2.9pp
                                                                         2020 vs.10.1% in Q2 2019

Operating profit     98       120         -15      105       7%         SG&A in Russia/CIS declined 28% YoY and 14%
                                                                         QoQ
 % Margin           8.9%     12.5%       -6.1%     8.7%     -0.2pp      Operating margin declined to 8.7% on negative
                                                                         contribution from Germany
Result               73                             76       4%
                                                                        Operating profit increased 7% to Q2 record SEK
                    5.03                           5.24      4%
                                                                         105m as a result of resilient revenue, cost control and
EPS                                                                      a one-off customs refund

                                                                        Strong cash flows from operations as net working
                                                                         capital decreased to 10% of revenue
                    126       156         -4       152       21%
EBITDA                                                                  Net debt declined to SEK 230m

                                                                                                                         16
Financial objectives and dividend policy

      KPI                     Objective                        Q2 2020 LTM

                       Triple 2016 revenue in                      2.2 x
    Revenue
                        Russia/CIS by 2021                     2016 revenue

Operating margin                 6-8%                               8.5%

Net Debt / EBITDA                0-2 x                               0.4 x

                    • Ambition to distribute at least 25% of the result to shareholders
 Dividend Policy    • Board takes several factors into consideration when proposing
                      the dividend level, including expansion opportunities, financial
                      position and investment needs

                                                                                          17
OUTLOOKOutlook
                    – CEO COMMENT

“The outbreak and the measures to contain the spread of COVID-19 have caused
 great uncertainty across our markets. For the rest of 2020, we may continue to
 face various degrees of disruption in supply, demand and customer interfacing.

  Looking ahead, we are confident that our business model, which is built on a
  great team and a robust aftermarket business, will remain resilient. While we
  expect our markets to decline in 2020, we believe that we may have seen the
    lows. In a longer perspective, we remain positive as we believe that the
 underlying fundamentals and business opportunities in our markets are strong.”

                                                                                  18
Q&A

      19
Appendix

           20
Significant need to improve infrastructure

                      Road density in Russia and Kazakhstan is low                                                                                          Rail density is low too
     Road density (km road per 100 sq. km land                 area)1)                                              Rail density (km railway per 1,000 sq. km of land area)2)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               122
                                                                                                           192
                                                                                                 180
                                                                                           172
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    96

                                                                         129      132
                                                                                                                                                                                                          75

                                                                                                                                                                                                61
                                                                                                                                                                                       53

                                                                67

                                                   43                                                                                                                         24
                                                                                                                                                                    20
                                                                                                                                                              17
                                         23
                               14                                                                                                                    7
                       6                                                                                              5        5          6
            4
                               Canada

                                                               USA
                                        Finland

                                                                                                           France
                                                                                  Poland
                      Russia

                                                   China

                                                                                           UK

                                                                                                 Germany
                                                                         Sweden
         Kazakhstan

                                                                                                                                                              USA

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Czech Rep.
                                                                                                                              Canada

                                                                                                                                                                    Finland

                                                                                                                                                                                       France

                                                                                                                                                                                                Poland
                                                                                                                     Russia

                                                                                                                                                    China

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Germany
                                                                                                                                                                              Sweden
                                                                                                                                       Kazakhstan

                                                                                                                                                                                                         Slovakia
Sources: 1) World Bank 2) Global Competitiveness Report 2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              21
Strategic
                                                                       Nationalobjectives
                                                                                Projects

                                                   Demography

                                                   [USD 49 bln]                                        2%
                    Environment                                      Roads
                                                                                            14%
                    [USD 64 bln]                                   [USD 75 bln]

                                                National
                                                Projects                                      USD 175 bln
                                               [USD 400 bln]                          20%                           63%

                     Healthcare                                    Infrastructure

                    [USD 27 bln]                                   [USD 100 bln]

                                                 Housing, trade,
                                                 digital economy
                                                    and others

                                                   [USD 90 bln]

                                                                                    Roads   Railways    Waterways   Airports

Source: Russian Government Information Bulletin, February 2019.
Note: based on a USD/RUB rate of 63.5                                                                                          22
Pent-up demand

                                                                              Import of construction equipment to Russia (units)
                                                                            Young market – sales of high-quality construction equipment only took off 2006/2007

                                                                                                                     21 009    20 573

                    Import of high-quality brands                                                         18 627
                         gains momentum                                    17 489

                                                             13 525                                                                      13 568         Market starts to recover
                                                                                                                                                       after 2014-2015 economic
                                                                                                                                                                downturn                    11 766   11 725
                                                                                                                                                                                   10 310

                                                                                                8 004                                                                      8 426
           Mainly local machines of
                 lower quality

                                                4 436                                                                                                             4 354
                                                                                                                                                    3 573
                                  2 655
                     1 685                                                             1 649
       1 131

       2003          2004          2005          2006          2007         2008       2009      2010      2011       2012      2013      2014       2015         2016     2017    2018     2019     LTM
                                                                                           Import of construction equipment to Russia (units)

Source: Russian import statistics (until April 2020) compiled by Volvo CE.
Note: Excluding Chinese brands, bulldozers, rigid dump trucks and forestry machines.                                                                                                                 23
Pent-up demand
                                                      Germany - Europe’s largest truck market
                                                                                        Heavy truck registrations in Germany (units)

     80 000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       115

                       67 797                                                                                                                                                                                                    70 264
     70 000                                                                                                                                                                                 66 441            68 450                                              110
                                                                                                                                                                          65 280
                                                                              60 218                                                                    61 940
     60 000                                                                                                                          58 574                                                                                                                       105
                                                                                                55 167             55 215
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   52 972
                                                           48 827
     50 000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       100

                                          40 322
     40 000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       95

     30 000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       90

     20 000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       85

     10 000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       80

             0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    75
                        2008              2009               2010              2011               2012              2013              2014               2015              2016               2017              2018              2019                 LTM

                                                                                            Heavy truck registrations                         Average truck toll mileage index*

Source: Germany registrations data compiled by Volvo Trucks (until June 2020). Federal Statistical Office Germany (Destatis).
* Truck toll mileage index is a fixed base index that traces the development of the mileage of heavy trucks (with four or more axles) on German federal motorways and is calculated from digital process data from the truck toll collection system.         24
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