FAIR VALUE ACCOUNTING FOR GMXB RIDERS SHAIO-TIEN PAN - EQUITY-BASED INSURANCE GUARANTEES CONFERENCE - SOA

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Equity-Based Insurance Guarantees Conference
                                      Nov. 5-6, 2018
                                       Chicago, IL

        Fair Value Accounting for GMxB Riders

                              Shaio-Tien Pan

SOA Antitrust Compliance Guidelines
SOA Presentation Disclaimer

                                        Sponsored by
Fair Value Accounting for GMxB Riders
SHAIO-TIEN PAN
Actuarial Director, PwC
2018 EBIG Conference (Session 3B)
5 November 2018 (1530 – 1700 hours)
GAAP LTDI – History & background
• The existing U.S. GAAP multi-model accounting
  approach for insurance contracts evolved over the
  decades, often in response to new product features.        GAAP LTDI objectives

• FASB began proactively working with the IASB in 2008       1. Improve the timeliness of the
                                                               liability for future policy benefits
  on an exposure draft of fundamental changes to the           with assumptions updates
  accounting for insurance contracts.
                                                             2.Simplify and improve the
• In the summer of 2013, FASB released its proposed            accounting for GMxB in
  comprehensive new standards for insurance.                   variable contracts
• In February of 2014, the FASB voted to change its course   3.Simplify DAC amortization
  toward making ‘targeted improvements’ for long-duration    4.Improve the effectiveness
  contracts. GAAP LDTI begins.                                 of the required disclosures
• In April of 2014, the target areas are chosen: unit of
  account, liability calculations, DAC amortization, loss
  recognition, and revenue recognition.
• The LDTI exposure draft was issued in 2016. It was
  redeliberated in 2017-18, with significant changes made;
  the effective date has been announced to be 2021 for
  public companies. The final version was released August
  15, 2018

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FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI) – History and
adoption timeline
                                                                                                                                              Who does it affect?
                                                                                                                                              All public and private companies
                                                                          August 2018                                                         that report on a US GAAP basis.
                                                                          Issuance of                                                         Further secondary impacts to any
February                 1sthalf 2016                                     final standard
2014
                                                                                                                                              firms that have adopted a modified
                         Re-deliberations                             June 2018
FASB decided to          completed in March
                                                                                                                                              US GAAP basis.
                                                                      Final
drop its comprehensive   2016; FASB votes to                          deliberations
insurance project and    draft a revised
focus on targeted        document                     March 2017
improvements             for exposure                 Public roundtable                                                                       When does it take effect?
                                                                                                                                              Adoption dates are the following for
                                                                                                                                              calendar year-end companies:
                                                                                                                                              • Public companies –
          2014       2015           2016           2016       2017         2018        2019   2020       2021     2022      Beyond
                                                                                                                                                Jan 1, 2021
                                                                                                                                              • Private companies -
                                                                                                                                                Jan 1, 2022
August 2014                    September 2016             August, October,                     2021               2022                        Early adoption is acceptable
FASB begins                    FASB exposure              and November 2017                    Public companies   Private companies
re-deliberations               draft issued with          Board Meetings to                    Effective          Effective January 1, 2022
on long duration               comment period             discuss tentative                    January 1, 2021
targeted improvements          ending 12/15/16            decisions                                                                           What will be required?
based on scope                                                                                                                                Three years comparative income
agreed upon in
April 2014
                                                                                                                                              statements at date of first reporting
                                                                                                                                              after adoption (e.g. for public
                                                                                                                                              companies comparative will be
                                                                                                                                              required from 2019).

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FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI) – overview of changes

         What is changing?

         • Assumptions updates for
                                  01                            02
                                                                • For contract features that have other-
           for non-participating                                  than-nominal capital market risks
           traditional and limited-                             • Fair value measurement through
           payment insurance contracts.                           income
         • Discount rate will be based                          • Change in instrument-specific credit
           on upper medium grade (low                             risk recognized in OCI
           credit risk) fixed-income
                                                Targeted
           instruments.                      Improvements for
         • Eliminate PAD and loss             Long-Duration
           recognition testing.
                                                Contracts

                                                                04
                                  03                            • New disclosure requirements including
         • DAC will be amortized on a
                                                                  liability roll forwards and information
           constant basis over the life of
                                                                  about significant inputs, judgements
           the contract, independent of
                                                                  and assumptions.
           profitability
         • No interest accretion
         • No impairment test.

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GAAP LTDI - Impact on Annuity GMxB’s
GMxB           Current GAAP                                          New GAAP
VA GMDB        SOP03-1                                               Market Risk Benefit (MRB)
               • Payment is a result of an identifiable insurable
                  event                                               To be measured at Fair Value
                                                                      Changes in fair value flow through
VA GMAB        FAS 157                                                 P/L, except changes in instrument-
VA GMIB        •   Typically SOP 03-1                                  specific credit risk recognized in
               •   FAS 157 if benefit is net settled                   Other Comprehensive Income
                    • Typical for reinsurance                         If a contract contains multiple MRB,
                    • Some consider automatic annuitization            those MRBs shall be bundled
                        feature net settlement                         together as a single compound
                                                                       market risk benefit
VA GMWB/GLWB   •   Typically FAS 157 for non-lifetime GMWBs
               •   Diversity in practice exists for lifetime GMWBs
                    • Full-FAS 157
                    • Hybrid FAS 157/SOP03-1
                                                                     Note: FIA’s index crediting feature is not considered
FIA GMxB       Typically SOP 03-1                                    MRB, and will continue to be accounted for as
                                                                     embedded derivatives under ASC 815

                                                                                                   5
Transition
 ○   Transition Date: 1/1/2019
       ○ Adoption in 2021 would require adjustment to the 2020 and 2019
           comparative periods
 ○   Full retrospective method must be used for MRB
 ○   Benefit of hindsight may be used for the full retrospective method to the extent
     that assumptions in prior periods are unobservable or otherwise unavailable and
     cannot be independently substantiated.

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GMxB Financial Impact Assessment

                        Opening Equity at     Profit Emergence     Earnings Volatility   Total Equity Volatility
                           Transition          (New business)
 Variable Annuity           Adverse               Adverse               Adverse                 Adverse
 FIA with GMxB              Adverse               Adverse               Adverse                 Adverse

• The expected adverse impact primarily due to Guarantees currently accounted for under SOP 03-1
  (GMDBs, GMIBs, etc) will now be measured at fair value under the new definition of Market Risk Benefits
  (MRBs)
• Further analysis based on company specific circumstances is recommended to assess the potential
  financial impacts of the new guidance
• Potential levers to manage these metrics: Hedging strategy

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FASB LDTI – Implications for insurers
 LDTI will impact all aspects of an insurer’s operations - going beyond just the finance
 and actuarial functions including product design and distribution, capital management
 and hedging, strategic planning, commercial decisions and market communications

         Strategic Implications                                Technical Challenges
         • Earnings volatility and risk                        • DAC calculation
           sensitivity                                         • Transition
         • Increased disclosures                               • Fair value market
         • Budgeting and strategic planning                        risk benefits
         • Product decisions                                   • Disclosure
         • Hedging
         • Annual incentive plans
                                                        Top
                                                       LDTI
                                                       items   Business Operation Challenges
         Implementation &                                      • Capturing new and additional data
         Transition Challenges                                   points; historical data points
         • Finance, actuarial and IT resources                   needed for transition
         • PMO and interactions to inflight projects           • Actuarial valuation & reporting
         • Parallel reporting during 2020                        infrastructure
         • Board and Executive Team training                   • New financial reporting controls
         • Management of external communications

                                                                                                 8
Implications on GMxB Hedging

 Hedge Objective
      Pre-2021: What to hedge toward between the Transition Date (2019) and the Effective Date (2021)?
      Post-2021: Economics vs New GAAP vs Stat(also new)
 Cost of Hedging
      Higher notional required
      Potential rise in implied volatility due to increased demand for option hedges
 Hedge Strategy
      Rho & Vega coverage
      Gamma coverage
      Dynamic vs Static
      Rebalance threshold
 Other factors
      Wall Street analysts & investors expectations
      Rating Agencies’ viewpoints
      Company’s risk appetite

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