Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows

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Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary
             Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
     Sam Rowe,1 Amy Vasquez,2 Sandra Godden,3 Daryl Nydam4, Erin Royster3, Jennifer
                             Timmerman,3 Matthew Boyle,5
                      1The   University of Sydney, Australia, 2DeLaval, USA, 3University of Minnesota, USA
                                               4Cornell University, USA, 5Zoetis, USA

                                           Sam Rowe BVSc MVM PhD DABVP
                                             Senior Lecturer in Ruminant Medicine
                                                     University of Sydney

The University of Sydney                                                                                     Page 1
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Acknowledgements and Funding

The University of Sydney       Page 2
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Dry cow therapy

The University of Sydney                     Page 3
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Dry cow therapy strategies

– Blanket DCT                                INFECTED   UNINFECTED
      – 80% of farms in USA

The University of Sydney                                        Page 4
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Dry cow therapy strategies

– Blanket DCT                                INFECTED   UNINFECTED
      – 80% of farms in USA
      – Treat all cows/quarters

The University of Sydney                                        Page 5
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Dry cow therapy strategies

– Blanket DCT                                INFECTED   UNINFECTED
      – 80% of farms in USA
      – Treat all cows/quarters

– Selective DCT
      – 10% of farms in USA
      – Treat infected quarters only
      – Benefits
            • Reduced antibiotic use
            • Lower drug costs

                                                         Algorithm-guided
The University of Sydney
                                                               SDCT Page 6
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Recent clinical trial
                           • 1275 cows
                           • 7 herds from 4 sites
                           • Antibiotic use reduced by 55%
                           • No negative health impacts

                                         Culture-guided
                                              SDCT

                                       Algorithm-guided
                                             SDCT
The University of Sydney                                     Page 7
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Algorithms
                                                                                         Netherlands
                                                                                         Parity = 1: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at the last test
                                                                                         Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 50,000 cells/ml at the last test
                                                                                         *Last test must be within 6 weeks of dry-off

                                                        United Kingdom
                                    SCC < 200,000 cells/ml each of the last 3 tests
                            No clinical mastitis between the 3rd last test and dry-off

                             United States
                 SCC < 200,000 cells/ml at all tests
< 2 cases of clinical mastitis during whole lactation

                                                                                                                                       New Zealand
                                                                                                                                       Parity = 1: SCC < 120,000 cells/ml at all tests
                                                                                                                                       Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at all tests
       The University of Sydney                                                                                                                                                 Page 9
                                                                                                                                       No clinical mastitis during whole lactation
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Objectives

       Evaluate four predictive algorithms for late lactation, cow-level
          IMI, which was determined using standard bacteriology

             Estimate the likely impact of each algorithm-guided SDCT
               approach on dry cow antibiotic use in U.S. dairy herds

The University of Sydney                                                Page 10
Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
Original data collection

– Cross-sectional studies investigating risk factors for
  intramammary infection
          – Bedding
          – Udder towels

                J. Dairy Sci. 102:11384–11400                                                                                                              J. Dairy Sci. 102:11401–11413
                https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2019-17074                                                                                                     https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2019-17075
                                                                                                                                                           © American Dairy Science Association®, 2019.
                © American Dairy Science Association®, 2019.

  Cross-sectional study of the relationships among bedding materials, bedding                                                            Cross-sectional study of the relationship between cloth udder towel
  bacteria counts, and intramammary infection in late-lactation dairy cows                                                               management, towel bacteria counts, and intramammary
                                                                                                                                         infection in late-lactation dairy cows
  S. M. Rowe,1*       S. M. Godden,1         E. Royster,1       J. Timmerman,1 B. A. Crooker,2        and M. Boyle3
  1
  2
    Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108                                                S. M. Rowe,1* S. M. Godden,1 E. Royster,1 J. Timmerman,1 and M. Boyle2
                                                                                                                                         1
    Department of Animal Science, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108                                                                    Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108
  3                                                                                                                                      2
    Zoetis, Hager City, WI 54014                                                                                                             Zoetis, Hager City, WI 54014

                             ABSTRACT                                      in used bedding and ALL-IMI varied by bedding type,                                         ABSTRACT                                      logistic regression. The quarter-level prevalence of IMI
                                                                           with positive associations observed in quarters exposed                                                                                   was 19.6%, which was predominantly caused by non-
    Objectives of this study were to (1) describe the in-                  to manure solids (OR = 2.29) and organic non-manure              Because cloth udder towels (CUT) may function                            aureus Staphylococcus spp. (NAS; 10.2%) and SSLO
 tramammary infection (IMI) prevalence and pathogen                        (OR = 1.51) and a negative association in quarters            as a fomite for mastitis-causing pathogens, most ud-                        (5.1%). The predominant bacteria in CUT were Bacil-
 profiles in quarters of cows approaching dry-off in US                    exposed to new sand (OR = 0.47). Findings from this           der health laboratories offer towel culture services as                     lus spp. (median = 3.13 log10 cfu/cm2). Total bacteria
 dairy herds, (2) compare IMI prevalence in quarters                       study suggest that quarter-level IMI prevalence in late-      a tool to monitor towel hygiene. However, no studies                        count was not associated with odds of IMI (odds ratio
 of cows exposed to different bedding material types,                      lactation cows is low in US dairy herds. Furthermore,         have investigated if an association exists between bac-                     = 1.06), likely due to the predominance of Bacillus spp.
 and (3) identify associations between bedding bacteria                    bedding material type may not be an important risk            teria levels in CUT and udder health outcomes. The                          in CUT and low number of IMI caused by Bacillus spp.
 count and IMI in cows approaching dry-off. Eighty                         factor for IMI in late lactation. Higher levels of bacteria   objectives of this cross-sectional study were to (1)                        In contrast, counts of Staphylococcus spp. and SSLO
 herds using 1 of 4 common bedding materials (manure                       in bedding may increase IMI prevalence at dry-off in          describe associations between herd-level measures of                        were positively associated with odds of IMI caused by
 solids, organic non-manure, new sand, and recycled                        general, but this relationship is likely to vary according    towel bacteria count (ToBC) and quarter-level intra-                        NAS (odds ratio = 1.33) and SSLO (odds ratio = 1.45),
 sand) were recruited in a multi-site cross-sectional                      to bedding material type.                                     mammary infection (IMI) status in late-lactation cows,                      respectively. Of 12 CUT management practices evalu-
 study. Each herd was visited twice for sampling. At                       Key words: intramammary infection, mastitis, dry              (2) establish pathogen-specific target levels of bacteria                   ated, only the failure to use a dryer was identified as
 each visit, aseptic quarter-milk samples were collected                   cow therapy, bedding, manure solids                           in CUT to aid the interpretation of towel culture re-                       a clear predictor of risk for a high ToBC (risk ratio of
 from 20 cows approaching dry-off (>180 d pregnant).                                                                                     ports, and (3) identify laundering-related risk factors                     high coliform count = 8.17). Our study findings suggest
 Samples of unused and used bedding were also col-                                                                                       for high ToBC. The study was conducted in 67 herds                          that CUT may act as a fomite for NAS and SSLO. We
                                                                                               INTRODUCTION
 lected. Aerobic culture was used to determine the IMI                                                                                   from 10 dairy states in the United States that used                         recommend that herds aim to keep counts of Staphylo-
 status of 10,448 quarters and to enumerate counts (log10                    Cows acquire IMI during lactation, some of which can        CUT. These 67 herds were originally recruited as part                       coccus spp. and SSLO in CUT below 32 cfu/cm2 (or 5
 cfu/mL) of all bacteria, Staphylococcus spp., Strepto-                    persist through the dry period to affect udder health         of a larger (80 herd) cross-sectional study of bedding                      cfu/in2), and that laundered towels be completely dried
 coccus spp. and Streptococcus-like organisms (SSLO),                      in subsequent lactations (Green et al., 2002). To cure        management. Each herd was visited once during De-                           in a hot air dryer.
The   University
 coliforms,  Klebsiellaofspp.,
                           Sydney
                               noncoliform gram-negatives,                 these IMI, intramammary antimicrobial treatments are          cember 2017 to April 2018 and quarter-milk samples
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Page 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Key words: towel bacteria count, cloth udder towel,
 Bacillus spp., and Prototheca spp. in unused (n = 148)                    administered to cows at the time of dry-off (dry cow          (n = 4,656) were collected from late-gestation (>180                        intramammary infection, towel laundering, pre-milking
 and used (n = 150) bedding. The association between                       therapy; DCT). However, there is interest within the          d pregnant) cows (n = 1,313). Two recently laundered                        teat preparation
Methods
 – 80 herds originally recruited
   from 10 states
 – Selected for bedding type
       –   New sand (n=20)
       –   Reclaimed sand (n=21)
       –   Manure solids (n=20)
       –   Other organic (n=19)             State   Herds
                                             CA      16
 – Farms visited twice to enroll cows        ID
                                             IN
                                                      6
                                                      4
       – Summer 2017                         MI       5
       – Winter 2017-18                      MN      10
       – 20 cows enrolled per visit          NY       9
                                             OR       1
                                             TX       2
 – Enrollment criteria                       WA       7
       – Lactating                           WI      21
       – Late gestation (> 180d pregnant)

The University of Sydney                                    Page 12
Analysis

                           CNA

                           MAC

                                 MALDI-TOF MS
The University of Sydney                    Page 13
Analysis

                           CNA

                           MAC

                                 MALDI-TOF MS
The University of Sydney                    Page 14
Analysis

                           MALDI-TOF MS
The University of Sydney              Page 15
Analysis

The University of Sydney   Page 16
Analysis
– Cow-level
– Test characteristics
   – Kappa
   – Sensitivity
   – Specificity
1,594 cows from 56 farms
   – Positive predictive value
   – Negative predictive value

       Agreement between IMI status and algorithm risk status
                           Sensitivity
                           Specificity
                        Cohen’s Kappa
The University of Sydney                                        Page 17
Algorithm                       Criteria for low risk (i.e. “test negative”)                                                References

                                    Parity = 1: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at the last test
    Netherlands                     Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 50,000 cells/ml at the last test                                          Vanhoudt et al. (2018)
                                    *Last test must be within 6 weeks of dry-off

                                    Parity = 1: SCC < 120,000 cells/ml at all tests
    New Zealand                     Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at all tests                                             DairyNZ (2012)
                                    No clinical mastitis during whole lactation

                                    SCC < 200,000 cells/ml each of the last 3 tests                                             Bradley et al. (2010),
    United Kingdom
                                    No clinical mastitis between the 3rd last test and dry-off                                  Bradley et al. (2018)

                                    SCC < 200,000 cells/ml at all tests
    United States                                                                                                               Rowe et al. (2020)
                                    < 2 cases of clinical mastitis during whole lactation

Bradley, A., S. De Vliegher, M. Farre, L. Jimenez, T. Peters, E. de Leemput, and T. van Werven. 2018. Pan-European agreement on dry cow therapy. The Veterinary record
182(22):637.

Bradley, A., J. Breen, B. Payne, P. Williams, and M. Green. 2010. The use of a cephalonium containing dry cow therapy and an internal teat sealant, both alone and in
combination. J. Dairy. Sci. 93(4):1566-1577.

DairyNZ. 2012. Smart SAMM Technote 14. Vol. Accessed 2020.

Rowe, S., S. Godden, D. Nydam, P. Gorden, A. Lago, A. Vasquez, E. Royster, J. Timmerman, and M. Thomas. 2020. Randomized controlled non-inferiority trial investigating the
effect of 2 selective dry-cow therapy protocols on antibiotic use at dry-off and dry period intramammary infection dynamics. J. Dairy Sci. 103(7):6473-6492.

Vanhoudt, A., K. van Hees-Huijps, A. van Knegsel, O. Sampimon, J. Vernooij, M. Nielen, and T. van Werven. 2018. Effects of reduced intramammary antimicrobial use during
      The
the dry   University
        period       of Sydney
               on udder  health in Dutch dairy herds. J. Dairy. Sci. 101(4):3248-3260.                                                                       Page 18
Results

The University of Sydney             Page 19
Pathogens isolated at enrollment

The University of Sydney           Page 20
Pathogens isolated at enrollment

              J. Dairy Sci. 102:11384–11400
              https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2019-17074
              © American Dairy Science Association®, 2019.

Cross-sectional study of the relationships among bedding materials, bedding
bacteria counts, and intramammary infection in late-lactation dairy cows
S. M. Rowe,1*       S. M. Godden,1         E. Royster,1       J. Timmerman,1 B. A. Crooker,2        and M. Boyle3
1
  Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108
2
  Department of Animal Science, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108
3
  Zoetis, Hager City, WI 54014

                           ABSTRACT                                      in used bedding and ALL-IMI varied by bedding type,
                                                                         with positive associations observed in quarters exposed
  Objectives of this study were to (1) describe the in-                  to manure solids (OR = 2.29) and organic non-manure
tramammary infection (IMI) prevalence and pathogen                       (OR = 1.51) and a negative association in quarters
profiles in quarters of cows approaching dry-off in US                   exposed to new sand (OR = 0.47). Findings from this
dairy herds, (2) compare IMI prevalence in quarters                      study suggest that quarter-level IMI prevalence in late-
of cows exposed to different bedding material types,                     lactation cows is low in US dairy herds. Furthermore,
and (3) identify associations between bedding bacteria                   bedding material type may not be an important risk
count and IMI in cows approaching dry-off. Eighty                        factor for IMI in late lactation. Higher levels of bacteria
  The University of Sydney                                                                                                   Page 21
herds  using 1 of 4 common bedding materials (manure                     in bedding may increase IMI prevalence at dry-off in
Cows classified as ‘high risk’ by algorithms

                                 50%

                           31%

                                   63%

                                  50%

The University of Sydney                       Page 23
Test characteristics for all pathogens

                           0.13

                           0.12

                           0.12

                           0.05

             Agreement with culture
             (Cohen’s Kappa)
The University of Sydney                 Page 27
Test characteristics for major pathogens

                           0.06

                           0.11

                           0.07

                           0.04

             Agreement with culture
             (Cohen’s Kappa)
The University of Sydney                   Page 28
Test characteristics for major pathogens

 So why do these algorithms
     ‘work’ in the field?
Bradley, A., J. Breen, B. Payne, P. Williams, and M. Green. 2010. The use of a cephalonium containing dry cow therapy and an internal teat
sealant, both alone and in combination. J. Dairy. Sci. 93(4):1566-1577.

Rowe, S., S. Godden, D. Nydam, P. Gorden, A. Lago, A. Vasquez, E. Royster, J. Timmerman, and M. Thomas. 2020a. Randomized controlled
non-inferiority trial investigating the effect of 2 selective dry-cow therapy protocols on antibiotic use at dry-off and dry period
intramammary infection dynamics. J. Dairy Sci. 103(7):6473-6492.

Rowe, S., S. Godden, D. Nydam, P. Gorden, A. Lago, A. Vasquez, E. Royster, J. Timmerman, and M. Thomas. 2020b. Randomized controlled
trial investigating the effect of 2 selective dry-cow therapy protocols on udder health and performance in the subsequent lactation. J. Dairy
Sci. 103(7):6493-6503.

Scherpenzeel, C. G., K. W. van den Heuvel-van den Broek, I. M. G. A. Santman-Berends, and G. van Schalk. 2020. Monitoring Udder Health
on Routinely Collected Census Data: Evaluating the Effects of Changing Antimicrobial Policy. Proc. 59th Annual meeting of the National
Mastitis Council:102-103.

Vasquez, A., D. Nydam, C. Foditsch, M. Wieland, R. Lynch, S. Eicker, and P. Virkler. 2018. Use of a culture-independent on-farm algorithm to
guide the use of selective dry-cow antibiotic therapy. J. Dairy. Sci. 101(6):5345-5361.
  The University of Sydney                                                                                                             Page 29
Test sensitivity for selected pathogens

             1.3%          1.4%   5.3%   1.1%   0.9%

The University of Sydney                               Page 30
Conclusions
– Test performance for detection of
  intramammary infection (considering all
  pathogens) at the cow-level was poor
  for all algorithms
      – Test sensitivity and specificity were never concurrently high
      – Kappas all in the ‘poor’ range

– This was also the case for major
  pathogens

– Diagnostic sensitivity was better for
  selected pathogens of interest including
  Staphylococcus aureus and Streptococcus
  uberis
The University of Sydney                                                Page 31
Conclusions
– There is no ‘perfect algorithm’

– Algorithms using more data points have high
  sensitivity and lower specificity
      – Eg. New Zealand and US algorithms
      – A larger proportion of cows with IMI will receive treatment ✅
      – A larger proportion of cows without IMI will receive treatment ❌

– Algorithms using less data points have low
  sensitivity and high specificity
      – Eg. Netherlands and UK algorithms
      – A smaller proportion of cows with IMI will receive treatment ❌
      – A smaller proportion of cows without IMI will receive treatment ✅

The University of Sydney                                                    Page 32
Coalcliff, Australia

The University of Sydney   samuel.rowe@sydney.edu.au   Page 33
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