Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows
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Evaluation of Four Predictive Algorithms for Intramammary Infection Status in Late Lactation Cows Sam Rowe,1 Amy Vasquez,2 Sandra Godden,3 Daryl Nydam4, Erin Royster3, Jennifer Timmerman,3 Matthew Boyle,5 1The University of Sydney, Australia, 2DeLaval, USA, 3University of Minnesota, USA 4Cornell University, USA, 5Zoetis, USA Sam Rowe BVSc MVM PhD DABVP Senior Lecturer in Ruminant Medicine University of Sydney The University of Sydney Page 1
Dry cow therapy strategies – Blanket DCT INFECTED UNINFECTED – 80% of farms in USA The University of Sydney Page 4
Dry cow therapy strategies – Blanket DCT INFECTED UNINFECTED – 80% of farms in USA – Treat all cows/quarters The University of Sydney Page 5
Dry cow therapy strategies – Blanket DCT INFECTED UNINFECTED – 80% of farms in USA – Treat all cows/quarters – Selective DCT – 10% of farms in USA – Treat infected quarters only – Benefits • Reduced antibiotic use • Lower drug costs Algorithm-guided The University of Sydney SDCT Page 6
Recent clinical trial • 1275 cows • 7 herds from 4 sites • Antibiotic use reduced by 55% • No negative health impacts Culture-guided SDCT Algorithm-guided SDCT The University of Sydney Page 7
Algorithms Netherlands Parity = 1: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at the last test Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 50,000 cells/ml at the last test *Last test must be within 6 weeks of dry-off United Kingdom SCC < 200,000 cells/ml each of the last 3 tests No clinical mastitis between the 3rd last test and dry-off United States SCC < 200,000 cells/ml at all tests < 2 cases of clinical mastitis during whole lactation New Zealand Parity = 1: SCC < 120,000 cells/ml at all tests Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at all tests The University of Sydney Page 9 No clinical mastitis during whole lactation
Objectives Evaluate four predictive algorithms for late lactation, cow-level IMI, which was determined using standard bacteriology Estimate the likely impact of each algorithm-guided SDCT approach on dry cow antibiotic use in U.S. dairy herds The University of Sydney Page 10
Original data collection – Cross-sectional studies investigating risk factors for intramammary infection – Bedding – Udder towels J. Dairy Sci. 102:11384–11400 J. Dairy Sci. 102:11401–11413 https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2019-17074 https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2019-17075 © American Dairy Science Association®, 2019. © American Dairy Science Association®, 2019. Cross-sectional study of the relationships among bedding materials, bedding Cross-sectional study of the relationship between cloth udder towel bacteria counts, and intramammary infection in late-lactation dairy cows management, towel bacteria counts, and intramammary infection in late-lactation dairy cows S. M. Rowe,1* S. M. Godden,1 E. Royster,1 J. Timmerman,1 B. A. Crooker,2 and M. Boyle3 1 2 Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108 S. M. Rowe,1* S. M. Godden,1 E. Royster,1 J. Timmerman,1 and M. Boyle2 1 Department of Animal Science, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108 Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108 3 2 Zoetis, Hager City, WI 54014 Zoetis, Hager City, WI 54014 ABSTRACT in used bedding and ALL-IMI varied by bedding type, ABSTRACT logistic regression. The quarter-level prevalence of IMI with positive associations observed in quarters exposed was 19.6%, which was predominantly caused by non- Objectives of this study were to (1) describe the in- to manure solids (OR = 2.29) and organic non-manure Because cloth udder towels (CUT) may function aureus Staphylococcus spp. (NAS; 10.2%) and SSLO tramammary infection (IMI) prevalence and pathogen (OR = 1.51) and a negative association in quarters as a fomite for mastitis-causing pathogens, most ud- (5.1%). The predominant bacteria in CUT were Bacil- profiles in quarters of cows approaching dry-off in US exposed to new sand (OR = 0.47). Findings from this der health laboratories offer towel culture services as lus spp. (median = 3.13 log10 cfu/cm2). Total bacteria dairy herds, (2) compare IMI prevalence in quarters study suggest that quarter-level IMI prevalence in late- a tool to monitor towel hygiene. However, no studies count was not associated with odds of IMI (odds ratio of cows exposed to different bedding material types, lactation cows is low in US dairy herds. Furthermore, have investigated if an association exists between bac- = 1.06), likely due to the predominance of Bacillus spp. and (3) identify associations between bedding bacteria bedding material type may not be an important risk teria levels in CUT and udder health outcomes. The in CUT and low number of IMI caused by Bacillus spp. count and IMI in cows approaching dry-off. Eighty factor for IMI in late lactation. Higher levels of bacteria objectives of this cross-sectional study were to (1) In contrast, counts of Staphylococcus spp. and SSLO herds using 1 of 4 common bedding materials (manure in bedding may increase IMI prevalence at dry-off in describe associations between herd-level measures of were positively associated with odds of IMI caused by solids, organic non-manure, new sand, and recycled general, but this relationship is likely to vary according towel bacteria count (ToBC) and quarter-level intra- NAS (odds ratio = 1.33) and SSLO (odds ratio = 1.45), sand) were recruited in a multi-site cross-sectional to bedding material type. mammary infection (IMI) status in late-lactation cows, respectively. Of 12 CUT management practices evalu- study. Each herd was visited twice for sampling. At Key words: intramammary infection, mastitis, dry (2) establish pathogen-specific target levels of bacteria ated, only the failure to use a dryer was identified as each visit, aseptic quarter-milk samples were collected cow therapy, bedding, manure solids in CUT to aid the interpretation of towel culture re- a clear predictor of risk for a high ToBC (risk ratio of from 20 cows approaching dry-off (>180 d pregnant). ports, and (3) identify laundering-related risk factors high coliform count = 8.17). Our study findings suggest Samples of unused and used bedding were also col- for high ToBC. The study was conducted in 67 herds that CUT may act as a fomite for NAS and SSLO. We INTRODUCTION lected. Aerobic culture was used to determine the IMI from 10 dairy states in the United States that used recommend that herds aim to keep counts of Staphylo- status of 10,448 quarters and to enumerate counts (log10 Cows acquire IMI during lactation, some of which can CUT. These 67 herds were originally recruited as part coccus spp. and SSLO in CUT below 32 cfu/cm2 (or 5 cfu/mL) of all bacteria, Staphylococcus spp., Strepto- persist through the dry period to affect udder health of a larger (80 herd) cross-sectional study of bedding cfu/in2), and that laundered towels be completely dried coccus spp. and Streptococcus-like organisms (SSLO), in subsequent lactations (Green et al., 2002). To cure management. Each herd was visited once during De- in a hot air dryer. The University coliforms, Klebsiellaofspp., Sydney noncoliform gram-negatives, these IMI, intramammary antimicrobial treatments are cember 2017 to April 2018 and quarter-milk samples Page 11 Key words: towel bacteria count, cloth udder towel, Bacillus spp., and Prototheca spp. in unused (n = 148) administered to cows at the time of dry-off (dry cow (n = 4,656) were collected from late-gestation (>180 intramammary infection, towel laundering, pre-milking and used (n = 150) bedding. The association between therapy; DCT). However, there is interest within the d pregnant) cows (n = 1,313). Two recently laundered teat preparation
Methods – 80 herds originally recruited from 10 states – Selected for bedding type – New sand (n=20) – Reclaimed sand (n=21) – Manure solids (n=20) – Other organic (n=19) State Herds CA 16 – Farms visited twice to enroll cows ID IN 6 4 – Summer 2017 MI 5 – Winter 2017-18 MN 10 – 20 cows enrolled per visit NY 9 OR 1 TX 2 – Enrollment criteria WA 7 – Lactating WI 21 – Late gestation (> 180d pregnant) The University of Sydney Page 12
Analysis CNA MAC MALDI-TOF MS The University of Sydney Page 13
Analysis CNA MAC MALDI-TOF MS The University of Sydney Page 14
Analysis MALDI-TOF MS The University of Sydney Page 15
Analysis The University of Sydney Page 16
Analysis – Cow-level – Test characteristics – Kappa – Sensitivity – Specificity 1,594 cows from 56 farms – Positive predictive value – Negative predictive value Agreement between IMI status and algorithm risk status Sensitivity Specificity Cohen’s Kappa The University of Sydney Page 17
Algorithm Criteria for low risk (i.e. “test negative”) References Parity = 1: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at the last test Netherlands Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 50,000 cells/ml at the last test Vanhoudt et al. (2018) *Last test must be within 6 weeks of dry-off Parity = 1: SCC < 120,000 cells/ml at all tests New Zealand Parity ≥ 2: SCC < 150,000 cells/ml at all tests DairyNZ (2012) No clinical mastitis during whole lactation SCC < 200,000 cells/ml each of the last 3 tests Bradley et al. (2010), United Kingdom No clinical mastitis between the 3rd last test and dry-off Bradley et al. (2018) SCC < 200,000 cells/ml at all tests United States Rowe et al. (2020) < 2 cases of clinical mastitis during whole lactation Bradley, A., S. De Vliegher, M. Farre, L. Jimenez, T. Peters, E. de Leemput, and T. van Werven. 2018. Pan-European agreement on dry cow therapy. The Veterinary record 182(22):637. Bradley, A., J. Breen, B. Payne, P. Williams, and M. Green. 2010. The use of a cephalonium containing dry cow therapy and an internal teat sealant, both alone and in combination. J. Dairy. Sci. 93(4):1566-1577. DairyNZ. 2012. Smart SAMM Technote 14. Vol. Accessed 2020. Rowe, S., S. Godden, D. Nydam, P. Gorden, A. Lago, A. Vasquez, E. Royster, J. Timmerman, and M. Thomas. 2020. Randomized controlled non-inferiority trial investigating the effect of 2 selective dry-cow therapy protocols on antibiotic use at dry-off and dry period intramammary infection dynamics. J. Dairy Sci. 103(7):6473-6492. Vanhoudt, A., K. van Hees-Huijps, A. van Knegsel, O. Sampimon, J. Vernooij, M. Nielen, and T. van Werven. 2018. Effects of reduced intramammary antimicrobial use during The the dry University period of Sydney on udder health in Dutch dairy herds. J. Dairy. Sci. 101(4):3248-3260. Page 18
Results The University of Sydney Page 19
Pathogens isolated at enrollment The University of Sydney Page 20
Pathogens isolated at enrollment J. Dairy Sci. 102:11384–11400 https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.2019-17074 © American Dairy Science Association®, 2019. Cross-sectional study of the relationships among bedding materials, bedding bacteria counts, and intramammary infection in late-lactation dairy cows S. M. Rowe,1* S. M. Godden,1 E. Royster,1 J. Timmerman,1 B. A. Crooker,2 and M. Boyle3 1 Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108 2 Department of Animal Science, University of Minnesota, St. Paul 55108 3 Zoetis, Hager City, WI 54014 ABSTRACT in used bedding and ALL-IMI varied by bedding type, with positive associations observed in quarters exposed Objectives of this study were to (1) describe the in- to manure solids (OR = 2.29) and organic non-manure tramammary infection (IMI) prevalence and pathogen (OR = 1.51) and a negative association in quarters profiles in quarters of cows approaching dry-off in US exposed to new sand (OR = 0.47). Findings from this dairy herds, (2) compare IMI prevalence in quarters study suggest that quarter-level IMI prevalence in late- of cows exposed to different bedding material types, lactation cows is low in US dairy herds. Furthermore, and (3) identify associations between bedding bacteria bedding material type may not be an important risk count and IMI in cows approaching dry-off. Eighty factor for IMI in late lactation. Higher levels of bacteria The University of Sydney Page 21 herds using 1 of 4 common bedding materials (manure in bedding may increase IMI prevalence at dry-off in
Cows classified as ‘high risk’ by algorithms 50% 31% 63% 50% The University of Sydney Page 23
Test characteristics for all pathogens 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.05 Agreement with culture (Cohen’s Kappa) The University of Sydney Page 27
Test characteristics for major pathogens 0.06 0.11 0.07 0.04 Agreement with culture (Cohen’s Kappa) The University of Sydney Page 28
Test characteristics for major pathogens So why do these algorithms ‘work’ in the field? Bradley, A., J. Breen, B. Payne, P. Williams, and M. Green. 2010. The use of a cephalonium containing dry cow therapy and an internal teat sealant, both alone and in combination. J. Dairy. Sci. 93(4):1566-1577. Rowe, S., S. Godden, D. Nydam, P. Gorden, A. Lago, A. Vasquez, E. Royster, J. Timmerman, and M. Thomas. 2020a. Randomized controlled non-inferiority trial investigating the effect of 2 selective dry-cow therapy protocols on antibiotic use at dry-off and dry period intramammary infection dynamics. J. Dairy Sci. 103(7):6473-6492. Rowe, S., S. Godden, D. Nydam, P. Gorden, A. Lago, A. Vasquez, E. Royster, J. Timmerman, and M. Thomas. 2020b. Randomized controlled trial investigating the effect of 2 selective dry-cow therapy protocols on udder health and performance in the subsequent lactation. J. Dairy Sci. 103(7):6493-6503. Scherpenzeel, C. G., K. W. van den Heuvel-van den Broek, I. M. G. A. Santman-Berends, and G. van Schalk. 2020. Monitoring Udder Health on Routinely Collected Census Data: Evaluating the Effects of Changing Antimicrobial Policy. Proc. 59th Annual meeting of the National Mastitis Council:102-103. Vasquez, A., D. Nydam, C. Foditsch, M. Wieland, R. Lynch, S. Eicker, and P. Virkler. 2018. Use of a culture-independent on-farm algorithm to guide the use of selective dry-cow antibiotic therapy. J. Dairy. Sci. 101(6):5345-5361. The University of Sydney Page 29
Test sensitivity for selected pathogens 1.3% 1.4% 5.3% 1.1% 0.9% The University of Sydney Page 30
Conclusions – Test performance for detection of intramammary infection (considering all pathogens) at the cow-level was poor for all algorithms – Test sensitivity and specificity were never concurrently high – Kappas all in the ‘poor’ range – This was also the case for major pathogens – Diagnostic sensitivity was better for selected pathogens of interest including Staphylococcus aureus and Streptococcus uberis The University of Sydney Page 31
Conclusions – There is no ‘perfect algorithm’ – Algorithms using more data points have high sensitivity and lower specificity – Eg. New Zealand and US algorithms – A larger proportion of cows with IMI will receive treatment ✅ – A larger proportion of cows without IMI will receive treatment ❌ – Algorithms using less data points have low sensitivity and high specificity – Eg. Netherlands and UK algorithms – A smaller proportion of cows with IMI will receive treatment ❌ – A smaller proportion of cows without IMI will receive treatment ✅ The University of Sydney Page 32
Coalcliff, Australia The University of Sydney samuel.rowe@sydney.edu.au Page 33
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