EUROCONTROL EUROPEAN AVIATION Comprehensive Assessment - 12 May 2022 - SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION
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12 May 2022 EUROCONTROL Comprehensive Assessment EUROPEAN AVIATION SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1
Headlines (Week of 5 – 11 May 2022)
27,101 daily flights on average over past week (+2% vs previous week); 86% of 2019 levels.
Traffic slightly above the high EUROCONTROL Traffic Scenarios (6 Apr 2022): 86% for May vs 2019 so far.
Low-cost airlines are expanding capacities as well as traditional airlines to a lesser extent, notably
Turkish Airlines and Lufthansa. However, charter airlines reduced (reaching -23%) since Ukraine invasion
Preliminary CODA data show a significant increase of en-route ATFM delays in April vs March (+567%).
The invasion of Ukraine is affecting overflights in a number of countries, notably Lithuania, Poland,
Estonia and Latvia on the negative side; Armenia and Georgia on the positive side.
Ryanair was the busiest aircraft operator last week with 2,865 flights per day on average (+15% vs 2019),
followed by easyJet (1,559; -13% vs 2019), Turkish (1,320; +3% vs 2019), Lufthansa (1,244; -23% vs
2019), Air France (1,014; -16% vs 2019), KLM (808; -13% vs 2019) and Wizz Air (740; +24% vs 2019).
Domestic traffic vs 2019: Europe (-12%), USA (-14%), China (-68% - COVID) and Middle-East (+2%).
EU27 annual inflation rate increased from 1.7% in March 2021 to 7.8% in March 2022 with energy
prices reaching +40% in March.
Jet fuel prices increased at 401 cts/gallon on 6 May (+14% over one month, +72% since early January).
2
2
Economics
EU27 annual inflation
rate increased from 1.7%
in March 2021 to 7.8% in
March 2022.
Energy prices have
recorded the highest
annual rate and reached
40% in March 2022 (vs.
March 2021)
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 3
Top 10 Busiest Airports, Flows, Market segments & Fuel price
Economics
(6 May 2022)
Fuel price
401
cents/gallon
compared to
373 cents/gallon on 22 April 2022
Source: IATA/Platts
4
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 4
Overall traffic situation at network level
On week 5 – 11 May:
27,101 average daily
flights.
+2% on previous week.
86% of 2019 traffic
levels.
Constant increase since
mid April 2022.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 5
Current situation compared to the latest EUROCONTROL traffic
scenarios
EUROCONTROL has
published new traffic
scenarios on 6 April 2022.
For the first 11 days of
May, network traffic is at
86% of 2019 levels,
slightly above the high
scenario.
On a year to date basis,
network traffic in 2022
stands at 73% of 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 6
Ukraine invasion
Evolution of overflights (between Week 2-8 May 2022 and Week 2-8 May 2019)
Variation of overflights between
week 2-8 May 2022 and
week 2-8 May 2019
The invasion of Ukraine is affecting
overflights in a number of countries,
notably:
Negatively: Lithuania, Poland,
Estonia and Latvia.
Positively: Armenia and Georgia.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 7
Aviation Sustainability
Network:
- Traffic variation -27%
- CO2 variation -30%
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 8
Market Segments
Up until the 11 May 2022, compared
to 2019:
Two segments are above 2019
levels: All-cargo (+2%) and Business
Aviation (+10%).
Low-Cost (-9%) records a continuous
increase since the beginning of 2022
Charter (-23%) decrease mainly
since the start of the Russian
invasion of Ukraine.
Mainline and Regional (-24%)
continued to catch up vs 2019 since
the beginning of 2022.
Note: a new Segment “Regional” has been
created by selecting commercial flights
operated by aircraft types between 19 and
120 seats.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 9
Aircraft operators (Average daily flights for the last week)
Top 10 Within the top 10, 8 airlines posted increases over the
previous week, highest being:
Lufthansa (+44 flights; +4%) mainly due to
domestic as well as flows with UK, US and France.
easyJet (+39 flights; +3%) mainly due to Greece-UK,
Spain-UK, France-France, France-UK and Italy-UK.
Ryanair (+36 flights; +1%) mainly due to Italy-Italy,
Spain-UK and France-UK.
SAS (+33 flights; +6%) mainly due to Norway-
Norway, Sweden-Sweden, Norway-Sweden and
Poland-Sweden.
British Airways (+23 flights; +3%) mainly due to UK-
UK, Germany-UK, UK-US, Spain-UK, Greece-UK and
Netherlands-UK.
Ryanair is the busiest Aircraft Operator with 2,865 flights per day
Vueling (+19 flights; +3%) mainly due to Spain-
on average over last week, followed by easyJet (1,559), Turkish
Spain, Spain-UK, Germany-Spain, Italy-Spain and
Airlines (1,320), Lufthansa (1,244), Air France (1,014), KLM (808)
Portugal-Spain.
and Wizz Air (740).
The rankings remained unchanged compared with previous week. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 10Aircraft operators (Average daily flights for the last week)
Top 40
Largest increases in flights vs previous week for TUI (+17%), Lufthansa (+4%),
easyJet (+3%), Ryanair (+1%), SAS (+6%), Jet2.com (+10%), BA (+3%), Vueling
(+3%), United Airlines (+13%) and Delta Airlines (+17%).
Traffic levels ranging from -45% (Air Europa) to +24% (Wizz Air) vs 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 11New Aircraft Deliveries (Airbus vs. Boeing)
Airbus to deliver more new
aircraft to European
operators in the next 5 years.
In 2022 (year to date): 67
more sustainable NEO (28)
and MAX (39) aircraft
delivered.
In 2022 (year to date) Ryanair
leading the way with (18) 737
MAX 8200 deliveries.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 12Aircraft operators (Average daily flights for the last week)
Cargo, Legacy, Low Cost and Regional Carriers
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 13States (Average Daily Departure/Arrival flights for the last week)
Within the top 10, all States posted flight
increases over the previous week, amongst
which:
UK (+196 flights; +4%): mainly TUI,
Jet2.com and easyJet. Domestic flows by
far and flows with Greece, Spain and US.
Greece (+112 flights; +10%): TUI,
Corendon, Jet2.com and easyJet. Flows UK
by far followed by domestic flows.
Spain (+82 flights; +2%): Mainly light AOs,
Vuelinf, TUI and Iberia. Domestic flows by
far as well as flows with UK.
Italy (+68 flights; +2%): Mainly Ryaniar,
Avionord, Italian Air Force and ITA. Flows
UK is the State with the highest number of dep/arr flights on average over
with Germany, Italy, US and UK.
last week (5,230) followed by Germany (4,758), Spain (4,581), France (3,985)
Germany (+60 flights; +1%): Mainly
and Italy (3,413).
Lufthansa. Flows with Greece, Italy, France,
The rankings remained unchanged compared with the previous week. US and Turkey.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 14States (Average Daily Departure/Arrival flights for the last week)
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 15States (Average Daily Departure/Arrival flights for the last week)
Top 40
Highest increases in flights vs previous week for UK (+4%), Greece (+10%), Spain (+2%),
Italy (+2%), Germany (+1%), Morocco (+9%), Denmark (+5%) and Poland (+4%)
Highest decreases for Romania (-5%).
Traffic levels ranging from -100% (Ukraine) to +52% (Armenia), compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 16Traffic flows (Average Daily Departure/Arrival flights for the last week)
The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 21,999 flights on average the most recent week, increasing by 2%
over the previous week.
Flows between Europe and Other Europe (incl. Russia) are at -82% compared to 2019.
Important lockdown in China, owing to a surge in COVID-19 cases is affecting Chinese domestic flows (next slide).
Intra-Europe flights are at -12% compared to 2019 while intercontinental flows are at -25%.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 17Outside Europe (traffic situation over the last week vs 2019)
Week 5-11 May2022 vs equivalent week in 2019
USA (2-8 May)
Domestic -14%
China (3-9 May)
International -14% Europe (5-11 May)
Domestic -68%
Intra European -12%
International -75%
International -25%
Middle East (3-9 May)
Domestic +2%
International -13%
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 18Long haul Airport-Pairs (Average Daily flights for the last week)
Top 20
Within the top 20, long-haul airport pairs,
over the last week:
Increases for:
London Heathrow – New York JFK (+1 flight)
London Heathrow – Los Angeles (+2 flights)
London Heathrow – New York Newark (+1 flight)
London Heathrow – Chicago O Hare (+1 flight)
London Heathrow – San Francisco (+1 flight)
Frankfurt – New York JFK (+2 flights)
Decreases for:
Paris CDG –Dubai (-2 flights)
London Heathrow – Washington (-1 flight)
Frankfurt – Seoul (-2 flights)
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 19Country pairs (Average Daily flights for the last week)
Top 10
Within the top 10, five flows posted an
increase over the previous week for:
Spain-Spain (+41 flights; +4%): mainly
due to light AOs, Iberia, Vueling and One
Air.
UK-UK (+32 flights; +4%): mainly due to
BA Shuttle, West Atlantic UK, TUI and
Loganair.
Spain-UK (+29 flights; +4%): mainly due
to TUI by far, Jet2.com, BA, easyJet and
Ryanair.
Seven of the top 10 flows are domestic.
Spain-Spain is the country-pair with the highest number of dep/arr flights Highest decreases for:
(1,188) followed by France-France (1,008), Turkey-Turkey (874), Norway- Turkey-Turkey (-31 flights; -3%): mainly
Norway (864), Italy-Italy (853), UK-UK (824), Spain-UK (807) and Germany- due to Turkish Airlines, light AOs and
Germany (714). Pegasus.
The rankings remained almost unchanged compared with the previous week.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 20Country pairs (Average Daily flights for the last week)
Top 40
Highest increase in flights vs previous week for Greece-UK (+26%), Spain-Spain (+4%),
UK-UK (+4%), Spain-UK (+4%), UK-US (+10%), Germany-Greece (+12%), Poland-
Poland (+13%), Germany-Italy (+4%) and Greece-Greece (+4%).
Highest decrease for Turkey-Turkey (-3%).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 21Airports (Average Daily Departure/Arrival flights for the last week)
Top 10
Within the top 10, all airports recorded
increases over the previous week:
Frankfurt (+47 flights; +4%): Lufthansa and
Air Dolomiti. Mainly Germany, US, UK and
Austria.
London Gatwick (+37 flights; +6%): easyJet,
BA, TUI and Vueling. Flows with Greece,
Italy and Spain.
Paris/CDG (+35 flights; +3%): Air France.
Flows with Germany, France, US and Italy.
Munich (+30 flights; +4%): Lufthansa. Flows
with UK, Italy, Denmark, US and France.
Amsterdam is the airport with the highest number of dep/arr flights (1,303) London/Heathrow (+29 flights; +3%): BA,
followed by IGA Istanbul (1,197), Paris CDG (1,190), Frankfurt (1,167) and Delta Lufthansa and United Airlines. Flows
London Heathrow (1,137). with US, UK and Germany.
The rankings remained unchanged compared with the previous week.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 22Airports (Average Daily Departure/Arrival flights for the last week)
Top 40
Highest increases in flights vs the previous week for Frankfurt (+4%), Gatwick (+6%),
Paris CDG (+3%), Munich (+4%), Heathrow (+3%), Manchester (+6%), Copenhagen
(+5%), Madrid (+3%), Warsaw (+7%), Barcelona (+3%) and Oslo (+4%).
Highest decreases for Paris/Orly (-4%), Istanbul/Sabiha (-14%) and Berlin (-2%).
Traffic levels ranging from -33% (Dusseldorf) to +6% (Palma), compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 23Airports (Evolution of Network daily departure delay in 2022)
Security, Immigration, Custom & Health related delays
Preliminary data for April 2022
already show an increase of
average daily departure delays per
flight in April compared to March:
• Airline related delays: +84%
reaching 5.7 min/departure.
• en-route ATFM delays: +567%
reaching 0.8 min/departure.
• Governmental related delays
(Security, Immigration, Custom
& Health): +33% reaching 0.8
min/departure.
• Airport related delays: +30%
reaching 1.3 min/departure.
Note: Data for April 2022 are still
preliminary.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 24Top 40 Global airports (Average Daily Departure flights for the last week)
Comparing last week
(right) with the same week
in 2019 (left):
Eight European airports
are ranked in the top 40
global airports, with four
(Amsterdam, IGA
Istanbul, Paris CDG,
Frankfurt and London
Heathrow) in the top 20.
The top 10 global
airports are currently all
based in the US except
Amsterdam.
The first Asian airport is
currently New Delhi
(14th) where it used to
be Beijing (6th in 2019).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 25Economics
Jet fuel prices
continued to climb
and hit 401 cts/gallon
on 6 May (+14% vs.
one month ago).
Jet fuel prices in 2022
increased by 72%
compared to January
2022.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 26Economics
Due to Russia’s invasion of
Ukraine, Oxford Economics
GDP growth forecasts for 2022
Q2 and 2022Q3 are revised
downward (-1pp and -0.7pp
respectively compared to
Jan22 forecast), a combination
of higher-for-longer inflation
and lower growth, mainly via
more-subdued consumption.
For 2022, EU27 GDP is
expected to record a 2.9%
growth in the base scenario.
Uncertainty remains very high,
with risks skewed to the
downside.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 27To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional
information on a daily basis (daily updates at 7:00 CET for the first item and 12:00 CET for the
second) and every Friday for the last item:
1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard:
www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the
top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int)
• This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports;
for each Area Control Centre (ACC) and for the largest airline operators.
2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions):
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a
summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.
3. NOP Recovery Plan.
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan
supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with
the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook. © EUROCONTROL - May 2022
This document is published by EUROCONTROL for information purposes. It may be copied in whole
or in part, provided that EUROCONTROL is mentioned as the source and it is not used for commercial
purposes (i.e. for financial gain). The information in this document may not be modified without
For more information please contact aviation.intelligence@eurocontrol.int prior written permission from EUROCONTROL.
www.eurocontrol.int
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