EU-CHINA MAPPINGS Interactions between the EU and China on key issues - Lucrezia Poggetti - MERICS
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EU-CHINA MAPPINGS Interactions between the EU and China on key issues Lucrezia Poggetti
Overview 2020 was a decisive year for Huawei in Europe Many Eastern and Southern European countries have endorsed the BRI In 2020, most European governments restricted 2020 was a decisive year for Huawei in Europe Between 2015 and 2019, many European govern- Many Eastern and Southern European countries have endorsed the BRI Huawei’s participation in the rollout of their coun- ments signed onto the Belt and Road Initiative More and more countries have excluded the supplier from their 5G build up or restricted its participation A total of 17 EU members have signed cooperation agreements 2015 June Signed BRI MoU or other cooperation agreement No restrictions in place or expected Hungary, Romania (MoU) Did not sign any cooperation agreement on BRI Partial restrictions due to carriers' choice November tries’ 5G networks. Approaches vary from blanket (BRI) in hopes of expanding trade and invest- Partial restrictions in place or expected Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Huawei being de-facto excluded Poland, Slovakia (MoU) Undecided 2016 November Latvia (MoU) Estonia Eston July 2020: The UK and France order a phase-out of bans in the UK and Sweden, to tighter regulatory ment ties with China. All members of the 17+1 Huawei equipment from their countries’ 5G networks 2017 May Latvia respectively by 2027 and 2028. Croatia (MoU) November Lithuaniia September 2020: Handelsblatt reports that a new Estonia, Lithuania, Slovenia (MoU) draft IT security law would almost completely exclude Huawei from Germany’s 5G build up. 2018 April Poland Austria (joint statement) frameworks which de facto discourage operators framework in eastern Europe are part of the BRI. Czech h August Luxembourg Republic October 2020: Sweden bans Huawei and ZTE from its Greece (MoU) Slovakia 5G networks, giving telecom operators until 2025 to November Austria a remove their equipment in existing infrastructure. Hungary Malta (MoU) Slovenia December tia Croatia Romania October 2020: Italy vetoes a 5G supply deal between Portugal (MoU) from using Huawei technology, like in Italy. A num- In 2019, Italy became the first G7 state as well as Fastweb and Huawei, asking the Italian operator to Portugal Italy diversify its suppliers. In July, Telecom Italia had excluded 2019 March Bulgaria Huawei from a 5G core equipment tender. Italy, Luxembourg (MoU) October 2020: Slovakia and Bulgaria sign a joint state- Greece ment on 5G cooperation and security with the US. ber of European countries have also signed onto EU and NATO founder to join the Initiative. Howev- Romania, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, the Czech Republic, Slovenia and Lithuania have all signed similar declarations. Malta © MERICS © MERICS Source: MERICS Note: Timeline includes selected events, UK still considered EU member state (transition period still ongoing) Source: Belt and Road Portal of the Chinese government Note: UK still considered EU member state (transition period still ongoing) the US’ Clean Network Initiative, affirming their er, while European countries remain interested in MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |4 MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |6 commitment to only allow trusted vendors in their economic cooperation with China, the overall atti- fifth-generation infrastructure. This is the case for Poland, Romania, and other countries tude towards the BRI has grown more skeptical throughout the years. Critics say it lacks in eastern Europe. Meanwhile, debates about security risks involved in working with or- transparency and does not meet free trade, environmental and other standards. Economic ganizations linked to the Chinese party-state have extended to other areas of EU-China opportunities have largely failed to materialize, and in some countries the trade imbalance relations, such as cooperation in research and innovation. in bilateral relations has further widened in China’s favor after the signing of BRI MoUs. Western Europe and Scandinavia are the main recipients of Chinese investment EU countries are not fully aligned on Beijing’s human rights violations Between 2000 and 2019, most of Chinese For- Western Europe and Scandinavia are the main recipients of Chinese investment The EU has created its global human rights sanc- EU countries are not fully aligned on Beijing’s human rights violations eign Direct Investment (FDI) in Europe has flowed tions regime, also in response to China’s human Chinese Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the EU, 2000 – 2019 Not all member states have backed UN statements on Hong Kong and Xinjiang EU countries supporting UN statements: Cumulative value (EUR billion) of Chinese FDI Cumulative value of Chinese FDI transactions Country UNHRC 44* UNHRC41** UNGA 75 3rd Committee*** 0 1 2 3 transactions in the EU by country divided by country’s GDP (in percent) Austria • • • to Western European and Scandinavian countries. rights violations in Hong Kong and Xinjiang. More 0–5 0.0 – 0.7% (Underperforming) Belgium • • • Bulgaria • 5 – 10 0.7 – 1.5% (Expected, normal level) Croatia • 10 – 20 Sweden 1.5 – 6.0% (Overperforming) Sweden Cyprus 7.3 1.54 20 – 40 Czech Republic Finland EU Median: 0.70% Finland 12.0 4.99 Denmark • • • > 40 EU Average: 1.41% Estonia • • • China’s pursuit of technology for its industrial up- • • • European countries have started to pay attention Finland Estonia Estonia France • • • 0.1 4.27 Germany • • • Denmark Denmark 1.2 Latvia 0.38 Greece 0.1 Latvia 0.33 Ireland Netherlands Ireland Netherlands* Hungary 3.1 10.2 Lithuania 0.87 1.26 Lithuania U.K. Belgium U.K. Belgium Ireland • • • 0.1 0.20 50.3 2.3 1.99 0.49 Italy • • Poland Latvia • • • grading has led to a souring of attitudes towards to Beijing’s human rights abuses, as visible in the Germany Poland Germany 0.66 0.26 Lithuania • • • 22.7 1.4 Luxembourg Cze zech Repu public Luxembourg • • • epublic Czech Repu Luxembouourg 2.4 0.45 Sl Malta 1.0Slovakia Slovakia 3.78 Slovakia ia 0.1 Austria 0.11 Netherlands • • • France Austria France* 1.1 Hungary 0.28 Hungary* Poland • 14.4 0.59 Slovenia 2.4 enia 1.64 Slovenia Portugal • Romania Romania* 0.3 0.62 Romania 1.2 0.54 Croatia* Chinese investment over the years. In 2016, a surge growing number of governments that have signed Portugal Croatia Portugal* Slovakia • • Italy 0.4 2.81 Italy 0.74 6.0 15.9 Bulgaria Spain* 0.89 Bulgaria* Slovenia • • • Spain 0.66 0.4 0.37 Spain • • 4.6 Sweden • • • Greece Greece* United Kingdom • • • 1.9 1.01 Total 16 18 21 * June 30, UNHRC 44, Cross-regional statement on Hong Kong and Xinjiang ** July 11, UNHRC 41, Joint letter on Xinjiang of state-led Chinese investment in Europe (EUR UN statements condemning China’s behaviour. Malta Cyprus Malta Cyprus* 0.8 0.2 * GDP provisional 5.97 1.79 *** October 6, UNGA 75, Cross-regional statement on Xinjiang and Hong Kong Note: UK still considered EU member state (transition period still ongoing) © MERICS © MERICS Sources: Rhodium Group, Eurostat Note: UK still considered EU member state (transition period still ongoing) Sources: UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office, Permanent Mission of the Federal Republic of Germany to the United Nations, Human Rights Watch and The International Service for Human Rights 36 billion) led France, Germany and Italy to ask the However, not all EU members have backed these MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |5 MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |7 European Commission to draw up a pan-European declarations. Commission President Ursula von der FDI screening framework to protect strategic industries. This finally became operational Leyen has proposed moving to qualified majority voting for the adoption of sanctions, but in October 2020. Eastern European countries, who have repeatedly received investment for the time being unanimity is still required. These intra-EU differences might hinder the pledges by Chinese leaders at 17+1 summits, have yet to receive the promised financing. use of sanctions against China. © MERICS MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |2
Overview China’s law enforcement extends to Europe In July 2020, EU governments agreed to a package China‘s law enforcement extends to Europe of measures in support of Hong Kong’s autonomy stance Europe cooperates with China and Hong Kong on extradition and mutual legal assistance With mainland China: Extradition Treaty Finland Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty in Criminal Matters as a response to the National Security Law. These Sweden With Hong Kong: Transfer of sentenced person agreement Estonia Surrender of fugitive offenders agreement include stricter export controls for technology and Mutual Legal Assistance in Criminal Matters Denmark Latvia Ireland Netherlands Lithuania UK Belgium Actions taken with regards to surrender of fugitive offenders to Hong Kong Germany Poland Suspended equipment that could be used for repression, a re- Czech Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, Ireland, urg Luxembourg Republic United Kingdom Slovakia France Austria Not ratified Hungary France Slovenia a Croatia Romania Discussion over suspension ongoing Portugal ortugal vision of law enforcement agreements with the Czech Republic Italy Spain Not suspended Bulgaria Portugal Greece city and a review of visa schemes for Hong Kong Note: UK still considered EU member state (transition period still ongoing) Malta © MERICS Cyprus Sources: Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, Department of Justice of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. citizens. In December, the EU finalized a new law MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |8 on export controls, which will introduce greater due-diligence requirements for EU companies and governments. Most countries that have surrender of fugitive offenders agreements with the Hong Kong government suspended those treaties. However, extradition agreements between Beijing and several EU member states remain in place. © MERICS MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |3
2020 was a decisive year for Huawei in Europe More and more countries have excluded the supplier from their 5G build up or restricted its participation No restrictions in place or expected Partial restrictions due to carriers' choice Partial restrictions in place or expected Huawei being de-facto excluded Undecided July 2020: The UK and France order a phase-out of Huawei equipment from their countries’ 5G networks respectively by 2027 and 2028. September 2020: Handelsblatt reports that a new draft IT security law would almost completely exclude Huawei from Germany’s 5G build up. October 2020: Sweden bans Huawei and ZTE from its 5G networks, giving telecom operators until 2025 to remove their equipment in existing infrastructure. October 2020: Italy vetoes a 5G supply deal between Fastweb and Huawei, asking the Italian operator to diversify its suppliers. In July, Telecom Italia had excluded Huawei from a 5G core equipment tender. October 2020: Slovakia and Bulgaria sign a joint state- ment on 5G cooperation and security with the US. Romania, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, the Czech Republic, Slovenia and Lithuania have all signed similar declarations. © MERICS Source: MERICS Note: Timeline includes selected events, UK still included MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |4
Western Europe and Scandinavia are the main recipients of Chinese investment Chinese Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the EU, 2000 – 2019 Cumulative value (EUR billion) of Chinese FDI Cumulative value of Chinese FDI transactions transactions in the EU by country divided by country’s GDP (in percent) –5 0 0.0 – 0.7% (Underperforming) 5 – 10 0.7 – 1.5% (Average, normal level) 10 – 20 Sweden 1.5 – 6.0% (Overperforming) Sweden 7.3 1.54 20 – 40 Finland Finland EU Median: 0.70% > 40 12.0 4.99 EU Average: 1.41% Estonia Estonia 0.1 4.27 Denmark Denmark 1.2 Latvia 0.38 0.1 Latvia 0.33 Ireland Netherlands Ireland Netherlands* 3.1 10.2 Lithuania 0.87 1.26 Lithuania U.K. Belgium 0.1 U.K. Belgium 0.20 50.3 2.3 1.99 0.49 Germany Poland Germany Poland 0.66 0.26 22.7 1.4 Luxembourg epublic Czech Repu Cze zech Repu public Luxembouourg 0.45 Sl 2.4 1.0Slovakia 3.78 Slovakia ia Austria 0.1 Austria 0.11 France France* 0.28 Hungary* 14.4 1.1 Hungary 0.59 Slovenia 2.4 enia 1.64 Slovenia Romania Romania* 0.3 0.62 1.2 0.54 Croatia Croatia* Portugal Portugal* 0.74 Italy 0.4 2.81 Italy 6.0 Bulgaria Spain* Bulgaria* Spain 15.9 0.89 0.4 0.37 0.66 4.6 Greece Greece* 1.9 1.01 Malta Cyprus Malta Cyprus* 0.8 0.2 * GDP provisional 5.97 1.79 © MERICS Sources: Rhodium Group, Eurostat Note: UK still included MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |5
Many Eastern and Southern European countries have endorsed the BRI A total of 17 EU members have signed cooperation agreements 2015 June Signed BRI MoU or other cooperation agreement Hungary, Romania (MoU) Did not sign any cooperation agreement on BRI November Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia (MoU) 2016 November Latvia (MoU) Estonia Eston 2017 May Latvia Croatia (MoU) November Lithuaniia Estonia, Lithuania, Slovenia (MoU) 2018 April Poland Austria (joint statement) Czech h August Luxembourg Republic Greece (MoU) Slovakia November Austria a Malta (MoU) Hungary Slovenia December tia Croatia Romania Portugal (MoU) Portugal Italy 2019 March Bulgaria Italy, Luxembourg (MoU) Greece Malta © MERICS Source: Belt and Road Portal of the Chinese government Note: UK still included MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |6
EU countries are not fully aligned on Beijing’s human rights violations Not all member states have backed UN statements on Hong Kong and Xinjiang EU countries supporting UN statements: Country UNHRC 44* UNHRC41** UNGA 75 3rd Committee*** 0 1 2 3 Austria • • • Belgium • • • Bulgaria • Croatia • Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark • • • Estonia • • • Finland • • • France • • • Germany • • • Greece Hungary Ireland • • • Italy • • Latvia • • • Lithuania • • • Luxembourg • • • Malta Netherlands • • • Poland • Portugal • Romania Slovakia • • Slovenia • • • Spain • • Sweden • • • United Kingdom • • • Total 16 18 21 * June 30, UNHRC 44, Cross-regional statement on Hong Kong and Xinjiang ** July 11, UNHRC 41, Joint letter on Xinjiang *** October 6, UNGA 75, Cross-regional statement on Xinjiang and Hong Kong Note: UK still included © MERICS Sources: UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office, Permanent Mission of the Federal Republic of Germany to the United Nations, Human Rights Watch and The International Service for Human Rights MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |7
China‘s law enforcement extends to Europe Europe cooperates with China and Hong Kong on extradition and mutual legal assistance stance With mainland China: Extradition Treaty Finland Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty in Criminal Matters Sweden With Hong Kong: Transfer of sentenced person agreement Estonia Surrender of fugitive offenders agreement Mutual Legal Assistance in Criminal Matters Denmark Latvia Ireland Netherlands Lithuania UK Belgium Actions taken with regards to surrender of fugitive offenders to Hong Kong Germany Poland Suspended Czech Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, Ireland, urg Luxembourg Republic United Kingdom Slovakia France Austria Not ratified Hungary France Slovenia a Croatia Romania Discussion over suspension ongoing Portugal ortugal Czech Republic Italy Spain Not suspended Bulgaria Portugal Greece Malta Note: UK still included © MERICS Cyprus Sources: Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, Department of Justice of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies EU-China mappings |8
CONTACT Lucrezia Poggetti, Analyst, MERICS lucrezia.poggetti@merics.de EDITORS Claudia Wessling, Director Publications, MERICS claudia.wessling@merics.de GRAPHICS Alexandra Hinrichs, Graphic Designer, MERICS DESIGN STOCKMAR+WALTER Kommunikationsdesign PUBLISHER MERICS | Mercator Institute for China Studies Klosterstraße 64 10179 Berlin Tel.: +49 30 3440 999 0 Mail: kommunikation@merics.de www.merics.org
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