EU BENCHMARK REGULATION AND IBOR REFORM - THE FUTURE OF BENCHMARK RATES - JUNE 2019 - PWC
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June 2019 EU Benchmark Regulation and IBOR Reform The Future of Benchmark Rates Building relationships, creating value
Benchmark users need to prepare for transition IBOR Reform timeline to new benchmarks as response to the EU Jul 2014 Bench-mark Regulation and market FSB Benchmarks Report initiating changes Apr-Jun 2017 developments Regulatory working groups started sharing Jul 2017 proposals f or alternativ e benchmark FCA’s Chief executiv e rates EU Benchmark Regulation speech to IBOR’s f uture • The EU Benchmark Regulation (EU BMR) introduces new compliance Q1 2018 requirements for benchmark administrators, contributors and users ISDA Roadmap with effective date January 1, 2018 (transition period for certain released and report to be published on the requirements) Apr 2018 transition outlined • As of January 1, 2018, benchmark users are required to create and SOFR and ref ormed maintain robust written plans to identify measures that come into effect SONIA published May 2018 with cession or modification of an existing benchmark SOFR and ref ormed • After January 1, 2020, only BMR compliant benchmarks (provided by Q2 2018 SONIA f utures launched registered or authorized administrator) may be used in new contracts Trading started on • For legacy contracts, non-compliant benchmarks can still be used alternativ e benchmarks, Q3 2018 incl. f utures and swaps ECB consultations to after January 1, 2020 subject to a decision by the competent authority transition and term- of the administrator’s Member State structure launched af ter • EU institutions agreed to grant an extension by two extra years for €STR to become RFR critical benchmarks and benchmarks from third country administrators Today until December 31, 2021 Jan 2020 Jan 2022 EU Benchmark authorization Contributor banks no longer deadline compelled to submit IBORs IBOR reform • The commitment of panel banks to support the quotation of existing Existing IBOR rate(s) Successor Borrowing Type IBORs expires after 2021 • At latest by 2022 new, risk-free interest rates, which are based (mostly) EURIBOR / EUR LIBOR €STR Unsecured on real market transactions, should have replaced the old reference USD LIBOR SOFR Secured interest rates GBP LIBOR SONIA (new) Unsecured • Working groups from jurisdictions across the world have proposed alternative reference rates or are working to substantially strengthen CHF LIBOR SARON Secured existing rates JPY LIBOR, TIBOR TONAR Unsecured For a limited time period, a recalibrated EONIA (€STR plus Spread) and €STR will be published EONIA Pre-€STR New EONIA in parallel with clean discounting€STR Daily Spread Trim. 1Y-Avg. Spread • €STR will be published as -0,20 0,25 successor to EONIA from 2 Spread in % Rate in % October 2019 – currently a so-called pre-€STR is being -0,25 October 2019 onw ards under 0,20 published. the new • Under a time-limited recali- Methodology -0,30 bration approach (up to end- 0,15 2021) with a fixed spread, -0,35 EONIA = €STR + Spread EONIA will be directly linked to €STR. Average Spread 0,10 • The parallel approach allows -0,40 for orderly transition and sufficient time for transferring 0,05 -0,45 current EONIA liquidity to the Published €STR emergent €STR market -0,50 0,00 • Use of a single discounting 03-2017 09-2017 03-2018 09-2018 03-2019 09-2019 03-2020 09-2020 regime encourages transfer of Source: ECB Data, PwC analysis: Data for EONIA and Pre-€STR available until end of February 2019; Data from March 2019 to October 2019 liquidity from EONIA to €STR are simulated; Average Spread was calculated with Data from October 2018 to October 2019 • Both, €STR and recalibrated EONIA Pre-€STR New EONIA EONIA will be published T+1 €STR Daily Spread Trim. 1Y-Avg. Spread -0,20 0,25 ead in % ate in % -0,25 October 2019
Challenges in implementing the requirements of the EU BMR and the IBOR reform are affecting a large number of areas • Evaluate the impact of new hedge accounting standards • Maintain sufficient liquidity in IBOR hedging instruments Evaluate • the impact Identify of new criteria thathedge wouldaccounting standards trigger evaluation of hedges • • Maintain Align timing sufficient of migration liquidity in product of underlying IBOR hedging instrume Identify • criteria Identifythat taxwimpact ould trigger evaluation triggered of hedges by change in interest • Align timing of migration of underlying product Identify tax impact triggered by change in interest calculation calculation Tax, Account- IBOR • Develop engagement approach ing and Market • Develop term structure on O/N and strategy across multiple other Liquidity • Develop term structure on O/N rates Develop engagement approach rates businesses and regionsand impacts strategy across multiple businesses and •• Define and Define and incorporate incorporate fallbacks for • Reconcile changes in contracts maturing aftermaturing 2021 regions fallbacks for contracts benchmarks across and meet Market New • Build 2021 liquidity in new products Reconcile changes in benchmarks across after phased transition dates across Outreach Bench- and meet phased transition dates across • Build liquidity in new products jurisdictions jurisdictions & Consis- mark • Coordinate customer outreach tency Markets Coordinate customer outreach across EU BMR and across business business IBOR reform transition • Identify, enhance and validate • Assess all operational and • Identify, models enhance and validate models challenges required required to switch technological impact across Systems & Risk and • Developto sw series time itch of data for business lines and corporate Process Valuation • Develop risk and time series capital of data for risk an models Assess all operational and technological capital models functions impact across business lines and corporate Change Models • Develop framework for functionsConsider changes to internal • • Develop framew simulation of new orkrates for simulation of new rates for andcapital and funding Consider and external changes systems, to internal and external for capital funding requirements systems,processes, processes,andand dependencies dependencies Contract requirements Contract Remedi- • Group contracts requiring new language Discovery ation Group • contracts Leverage requiring industrynew language efforts for consistent • Identify all contracts with direct or Leveragecontract industry remediation efforts for consistent contract remediation • Identify all contracts indirect exposure with direct or indirect exposure • Determine Determine timeline oftimeline contractofremediation contract remediation • • Evaluate Evaluate and assess and assess existing existing fallbacks fallbacks • Incentivize Incentivize clients to renegotiate clients to renegotiate • • Digitize Digitize all relevant all relevant contracts contracts Challenges in implementing the requirements of the EU BMR and the IBOR reform are affecting a large number of areas Mobilization • Conduct a organization-wide scoping exercise to ensure that all impacted stakeholders are aware and involved in discussions and a consistent understanding is established • Establish a working group with representatives from all impacted areas of the bank for the ongoing management of the transition period • Join and participate in relevant working groups to remain current on the developments of the LIBOR reform and the guidance provided by regulators and industry groups Impact analysis and development of a roadmap • Define, communicate and continuously monitor firm-wide scenarios for the transition to new rates • Conduct an initial impact assessment to develop a high-level understanding of how the bank is impacted across the organization differentiating between legacy and new business • Quantify the exposure (direct and indirect) in the relevant reference rates • Assess the risks associated with the transition to new reference rates • Develop initial draft of the roadmap for the transition period Short-term strategic priorities • Assess and potentially replace fallback language in contracts for new business • Run new product approval processes to allow trading in new reference rates • Prepare a communication strategy to be able to respond to requests from your customers
The definition of several transition scenarios reflects the remaining uncertainty and facilitates the impact and risk assessment Definition Definition of transition of transition scenarios scenarios Quantification ofexposures Quantification of exposures • • Definition of 3-5 Definition of 3-5scenarios scenariosbased basedonon potential • Identification of exposures (di- • Identification of exposures potential rect/indirect) in relevant interest transition transition alternativesalternatives or by or by currency (direct/indirect) in relevant interest rate rate benchmarks (e.g. USD • currency Description of important assumptions for each benchmarks (e.g. USD LIBOR, EONIA, LIBOR, EONIA, EURIBOR) • Description of important assumptions identified scenario for each identified scenario • EURIBOR) Analysis and illustration of expo- • Identification of • Analysis sures and illustration in various of exposures dimensions and in • Identification ofaabasis basisscenario scenarioasas foundation for the impact and risk analysis various dimensions aggregation and(e.g. levels aggregation business foundation for the impact and risk analysis levels (e.g. business function, reference function, reference rate, region, maturity rate, bucket) bucket) region, maturity • Identification of run-off profile to • Identification of run-off profile to inform Input inform about transition strategy about transition strategy and definition of to build a and definition of an ongoing an ongoing process roadmap for the process Risk analysis transition Impact analysis Risk analysis Impact analysis • Definition of key level 1 und 2 risks • Identification of required chang- • resulting Definitionfrom of key level the 1 und 2to transition risks new • Identification es along the of value required changes chain and as- resulting from reference ratesthe transitionthe following to new internal along the value sessment chain andefforts and of required reference risk rates following the internal risk taxonomy assessment complexityofdue required to theefforts and replace- • taxonomy Risk assessment for each scenario ment of existing complexity rates due to the based onof replacement • (H/M/L or relativefor Risk assessment risk in comparison each to scenario (H/M/L the identified existing baseoncase rates based the identified base scenario) or relative risk in comparison to base • base Execution case based on assump- • Development scenario) of actions to be taken to tions of Base Case along the • Execution based on assumptions of mitigate identified risks front-to back process chain • Development of actions to be taken to Base Case along the front-to back mitigate identified risks process chain Our proven PwC tools can help and support you in the arising challenges emerging from the transition Impact Exposure Semantic Contract Outreach & PwC Assesment Monitoring Analysis Repapering FIVE Primary Purpose Primary Purpose Primary Purpose Primary Purpose Primary Purpose Facilitate and acceler- Identify and visualize Discover and extract Connect and commu- Provide and use a ate an enterprise wide relevant data on all relevant parameters and nicate with all affected modular valuation and impact analysis from products, contracts content from affected clients in a collaboration IT infrastructure for the IBOR cessation and customers that contracts and other and outreach platform affected contracts and across business units, have a link to IBOR documents product regions, products and Target operations Target Target Achieve better com- Target Review and track Extract and structure munication and faster Analyze and simulate Target quantitative impacts data, analyze each documents gathering any effects and quan- Create and assess before, while and after component consistently as well as work smarter titative impacts arising robust written plan the transition period in as well as in clusters or including tracking and on profit and loss and and action progress a detailed Dashboard filter and sort by param- reporting market value changes using input as well as view eters identify most import- ant next steps
Our references from ongoing and completed Project insights Currently, we support a German bank in projects in IBOR transition presents PwC as performing a pre-study on the reference rate reform industry leader and reliable partner for you Project goals Assessing the technical implementation effort to Client EU-BMR IBOR Reform represent €STR in client systems (Front to back) Impact assessment on hedge accounting and Major international bank other financial statement components Major international bank Setting up a roadmap for a detailed concept and Major international bank implementation including a proposal for project structure and milestones Major international asset manager In addition setup of project organization, Major German bank communication and project phases to perform the pre-study Regional German bank Market inf rastructure Efficiency Relevant products Expert knowledge Strategic advantage Due to our experience 1. Implementation PwC has extensive PwC established an and tools we stand for “Floater using €STR reference rate“ experience in the internal Reference efficient methodologies 2. Implementation implementation of the Rate Reform working and implementation “Floating loans with alternative EU BMR and the IBOR group to combine our processes to fulfill reference rate” reform – in addition expertise globally and project expectations 3. Substitution of EONIA you will benefit from exchange latest market which enables us to as reference rate in CSA by €STR our interaction with developments – you close projects in time 4. Substitution of EONIA local and international will gain an strategic as reference rate in contracts including working groups advantage safeguarding of credits by €STR Our references from ongoing and completed projects in IBOR transition presents PwC as industry leader and reliable partner for you In order to respond to the various potential implementation challenges, PwC involves experts from various competence teams Our Experience and Capabilities Benefits Ongoing client projects • PwC has access to up-to-date, PwC actively supports the IBOR and Reference Rate Reform projects for directly relevant experience numerous clients, including the impact assessment, mobilisation program • We apply our knowledge and and governance structure, and preparation for client and customer outreach learnings from previous projects, initiatives. Accounting, but also from our experience Tax& Legal in managing complex change Knowledge Centre programs combining a whole We keep abreast of regulatory developments, their implications for our clients range of expertise and of the progress of ongoing projects. We discuss market standards, obtain insights from associations/regulators and take part in the debate of significant Treasury & Risk issues. • PwC can assist you in the Communication Management navigation of the uncertainties Monitoring und dialogue with industry groups associated with the transition Pricing, PwC maintains long-term relationships with the leading industry groups that • Our broad engagement across play important role in the IBOR transition to alternative reference rates. We the various industry participants have organized and hosted numerous industry-specific events and frequently allows us to stay abreast of publish insights and analysis on the IBOR transition and the related topics. market developments and Operations & support you in planning for the Cooperation with working groups Strategy, various transition scenarios PwC is a member of the working group “Sterling Risk-Free Rates” of the sub- group “Communication & Outreach”. We expect to join other working groups in the future. • Our team can provide you with insights and knowledge from all Technologies Global coordination and tool development of our IBOR transition efforts PwC experts meet regularly to discuss current market developments and • Our tools can support a keep our methodologies and tools up-to-date. Our IBOR capabilities are more efficient transition, with Tools & supported by a number of tools accelerating the impact assessment, contract sustainable benefits amendment process, and other components of the transition.
Vil du vide mere? For uddybende spørgsmål - eller har du brug for konkret rådgivning mht. IBOR transitionen og reference rente reformen - så er du altid velkommen til at kontakte vores team, der er specialister indenfor regulering, risiko og kapital i den finansielle sektor. Financial Markets & Risk tilbyder rådgivning i forbindelse med regulatoriske forandringer og bidrager med ekspertviden indenfor finansiel risikostyring, optimering af regulatorisk kapital samt markedsregulering. Vi har indenfor de seneste 4 år arbejdet intenst i Danmark og i Europa med bl.a. MiFID II, Basel IV, FRTB og EBA guidelines, samt ændringer i investeringsstrategi mod alternative investeringer. Vores dybe forståelse af vores kunders forretningsmodel og operating model er med til at målrette vores rådgivning, og gør at vi altid stiller med det stærkeste team af bl.a. økonomi- og risikoeksperter, jurister, proces eksperter, data arkitekter, og analytikere. Frank Svendsen Nørring Director, Head of Risk & Capital Markets Advisory M: +45 5124 1058 E: frank.norring@pwc.com Haris Khan Manager M: +45 3070 3916 E: haris.d.khan@pwc.com Johan Hilsted Manager M: +45 5135 0028 E: johan.hilsted@pwc.com Gregers Inselmann Manager M: +45 3150 6056 E: inselmann.gregers@pwc.com Patrick Sommer Senior Associate M: +45 3056 7939 E: patrick.sommer@pwc.com Revision. Skat. Rådgivning.
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