Environment Effects Statement - EES Technical Report N Business impact assessment - Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline ...
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Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project AGL and APA 11-Jun-2020 Business impact assessment Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project EES Technical Report N Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project Business impact assessment Business impact assessment Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project EES Technical Report N Client: AGL and APA ABN: 84 603 054 404 Prepared by AECOM Australia Pty Ltd Level 10, Tower Two, 727 Collins Street, Melbourne VIC 3008, Australia T +61 3 9653 1234 F +61 3 9654 7117 www.aecom.com ABN 20 093 846 925 11-Jun-2020 Job No.: 60592634 AECOM in Australia and New Zealand is certified to ISO9001, ISO14001 AS/NZS4801 and OHSAS18001. © AECOM Australia Pty Ltd (AECOM). All rights reserved. AECOM has prepared this document for the sole use of the Client and for a specific purpose, each as expressly stated in the document. No other party should rely on this document without the prior written consent of AECOM. AECOM undertakes no duty, nor accepts any responsibility, to any third party who may rely upon or use this document. This document has been prepared based on the Client’s description of its requirements and AECOM’s experience, having regard to assumptions that AECOM can reasonably be expected to make in accordance with sound professional principles. AECOM may also have relied upon information provided by the Client and other third parties to prepare this document, some of which may not have been verified. Subject to the above conditions, this document may be transmitted, reproduced or disseminated only in its entirety. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Table of Contents Executive summary i Methodology i Existing conditions i Impact assessment ii Mitigation measures iii Abbreviations v Glossary of terms vi 1.0 Introduction 1 1.1 Purpose 1 1.1.1 Why understanding business impact is important 1 1.2 Project description 2 1.2.1 Gas Import Jetty Works 2 1.2.2 Pipeline Works 2 1.2.3 Construction 2 1.2.4 Operation and maintenance 3 1.2.5 Decommissioning 3 1.3 Project Area 4 1.3.1 Study areas 6 2.0 Scoping requirements 10 2.1 Draft evaluation objectives 10 2.2 Assessment of specific environmental effects 10 3.0 Legislation, policy and guidelines 12 4.0 Methodology 16 4.1 Existing conditions assessment 16 4.2 Risk assessment method 16 Application of mitigation measures 18 4.3 Impact assessment 19 4.4 Assumptions and limitations 19 4.5 Stakeholder engagement 19 4.6 Linkage to other technical reports 20 5.0 Existing conditions 22 5.1 Study area characteristics 22 5.1.1 Local government area characteristics 22 5.1.2 Hastings characteristics 24 5.2 Existing businesses within the study area 26 5.2.1 Gas Import Jetty Works 26 5.2.2 Pipeline Works 27 6.0 Risk assessment 33 7.0 Impact assessment 36 7.1 Gas Import Jetty Works 36 7.1.1 Construction (Risk ID B1) 36 7.1.2 Operation 36 7.2 Pipeline Works 37 7.2.1 Construction 37 7.2.2 Operation 41 8.0 Recommended mitigation measures 42 9.0 Conclusion 44 9.1 Impact assessment summary 44 9.1.1 Gas Import Jetty Works 44 9.1.2 Pipeline Works 44 9.2 Residual risk 44 10.0 References 45 Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Table of Figures Figure 1 Project Area overview 5 Figure 2 Study area LGAs 7 Figure 3 Study area SA2s 7 Figure 4 Study area SA2s 8 Figure 5 Areas of interest (overview) 9 Figure 6 Urban growth boundary 24 Figure 7 Summary of persons commuting to the Hastings - Somers SA2 25 Figure 8 Travel mode used by persons commuting to the Hastings - Somers SA2 26 Figure 9 Summary of commercial land use (parcels) 28 Figure 10 Land use along pipeline alignment 28 Figure 11 Land use (Hastings) 29 Figure 12 Number of businesses in SA1 study area 30 Figure 13 Businesses by SA1 in Hastings 30 Figure 14 Employment Size (in SA2 study area) 31 Figure 15 Annual Turnover (in SA2 study area) 31 Figure 16 Number of businesses in Hastings-Somers SA2 by industry 32 Figure 17 Southern commercial area 38 Figure 18 Central commercial area 39 Figure 19 Northern commercial area 40 Table of Tables Table 1-1 Land-based study areas used in this business impact assessment 6 Table 2-1 Scoping requirements for business impact assessment 10 Table 3-1 Primary legislation and associated information 12 Table 4-1 Existing conditions data 16 Table 4-2 Business impact assessment consequence rating criteria 17 Table 4-3 Likelihood guide 18 Table 4-4 Risk assessment matrix 18 Table 4-5 Stakeholder engagement 20 Table 6-1 Business risks 34 Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project i Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Executive summary This report assesses the potential impacts on non-agricultural businesses as a result of the Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project (the Project). AGL Wholesale Gas Limited (AGL) and APA Transmission Pty Limited (APA) propose to establish a gas import jetty and pipeline respectively, consisting of a: • floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) at Crib Point Jetty (Gas Import Jetty Works) • gas pipeline between Crib Point and Pakenham to connect to the Victorian Transmission System (VTS) east of Pakenham (Pipeline Works). The Project would supply imported natural gas into the south-eastern Australian gas market for industrial, commercial and residential gas customers meeting a projected domestic gas shortfall and improving gas supply certainty. Potential impacts on agricultural businesses are detailed further in EES Technical Report O: Agriculture impact assessment. Methodology A review of the existing conditions was conducted through a combination of desktop research and data analysis, including employment statistics, commercial land use and business type data and an assessment of journey to work data. To enable an understanding of existing conditions, traders were door-knocked on two occasions and face-to-face discussions were held regarding the Project and pipeline alignment. Traders were invited to attend a Business Impact Forum to identify potential impacts from the Project and discuss mitigation approaches. A survey was available for local businesses to complete at the forum and online. As a low level of local businesses decided to provide feedback on the Project, the impact assessment has also drawn on the experience of previous business impact assessments (BIA) such as the Edithvale and Bonbeach BIA in describing the nature and magnitude of different impacts. The mitigation measures were developed to avoid or minimise potential adverse effects of the Project on non-agricultural businesses. In many cases, the effects on these businesses are shared by other stakeholders (e.g. residents) and therefore some mitigation measures perform the same function for both residential and commercial uses. Existing conditions The existing conditions review found that all non-agricultural businesses with the potential to be materially impacted by the construction and/or operation of the Project are in Hastings. Judicious selection of the pipeline alignment and the use of existing, under-utilised infrastructure at Crib Point (Berth 2 of the Crib Point Jetty) has avoided other non-agricultural businesses. Most businesses that may be affected by the Project are considered small businesses in terms of revenue (less than two million dollars per annum in turnover) and employees (fewer than 20 employees). In addition, businesses are very car dependent, with a large majority of employees, customers and suppliers accessing the sites by private vehicle. For instance, close to 70 percent of workers drove to work from within the same suburb (i.e. live and work in the Hastings-Somers Statistical Area 2) in a private vehicle. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project ii Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Impact assessment The impacts associated with the Gas Import Jetty Works and the Pipeline Works were considered separately. Impacts were examined during both the construction and operational phases. The impact assessment has been developed based on feedback from stakeholders, inputs from other technical reports, and an assessment of potential impacts based on an understanding of existing conditions. The assessment identified that the primary risk to businesses is associated with potential temporary disruption to business operations during construction of the pipeline through the Hastings region, resulting from changes to road and/or car parking conditions. These temporary changes could restrict access to businesses for customers, staff and deliveries. APA has carried out a pipeline alignment selection process having regard to potential environmental and amenity impacts, discussions with landholders, business operators and the broader community, constructability considerations and ensuring the Project can be delivered and operated safely. For this assessment, the by APA pipeline alignment through Hastings was altered to use the existing Stony Point rail corridor as much as practicable, substantially reducing the potential for business impacts, compared to other options that were considered (i.e. a pipeline alignment along Frankston-Flinders Road). The selection of trenchless construction methodology through much of Hastings also assists in minimising construction activities on the surface. Potential disruptions to business operations during construction would be predominantly limited to four businesses within the northern commercial area in Hastings. It is expected that any impacts on these four businesses would be temporary during the construction period. Consultation with potentially affected businesses should be carried out prior to the commencement of construction near these businesses, to identify appropriate mitigations, such as the provision of temporary alternative access arrangements. There is also a minor risk of potential amenity impacts on businesses in Hastings from the generation of noise and dust during construction. The likelihood of these events materially affecting businesses is low when having regard to the alignment of the pipeline through Hastings, which generally avoids the more-sensitive business frontages along roads. Potential amenity impacts on businesses during construction would be appropriately managed through the range of mitigation measures that would be implemented as part of the Environmental Management Plan (EMP) for the Project. There are not expected to be any material risks to ongoing business operations during the construction period for the Gas Import Jetty at Crib Point. Only one business was identified within the relevant study area (the Victorian Maritime Centre at Crib Point) and potential indirect impacts from construction at the adjacent Crib Point Jetty would be managed through the implementation of mitigation measures standard for construction projects of this scale and type, such as ensuring ongoing access through provisions to be set out in the Traffic Management Plan (TMP) and the EMP. It is not considered that there would be any business impacts during the operational phase for either the Pipeline Works or Gas Import Jetty Works of the Project. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project iii Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Mitigation measures The following mitigation measures are recommended for the Project: MM ID Recommended mitigation measures Works Stage MM- Stakeholder Engagement Management Strategy Gas Import Design, SE01 A Stakeholder Engagement Management Strategy should be Jetty Construction prepared to facilitate ongoing consultation between the Works and and proponent and the community (including relevant Councils, Pipeline Operation government authorities, adjoining affected landowners and Works businesses and other community groups directly impacted by the Project). The Stakeholder Engagement Management Strategy should be a requirement of the EMP for the Gas Import Jetty Works. For the Pipeline Works, the Stakeholder Engagement Management Strategy should be consistent with the Consultation Plan being prepared for the Pipeline Licence. The Stakeholder Engagement Management Strategy should: • identify people and organisations to be consulted during the design and work phases • set out procedures and mechanisms for the regular distribution of accessible information about or relevant to the Project • identify opportunities to provide information regularly about construction activities, schedules and milestones • detail the measures for advising the community in advance of upcoming works (where necessary) • set out procedures and mechanisms for consulting with relevant council(s) and government authorities/agencies • set out procedures and mechanisms: • through which the community can discuss or provide feedback to the Proponent, • through which the Proponent will respond to enquiries or feedback from the community, and • to resolve any issues and mediate any disputes that may arise in relation to environmental management and delivery of the Project. The Stakeholder Engagement Management Strategy should be implemented for the duration of the construction works and for 12 months following completion of construction. MM- Pipeline alignment change to Stony Point rail corridor Pipeline Construction BU01 The pipeline alignment and construction methodology in Works Hastings has been changed to the Stony Point rail corridor to reduce amenity (traffic, visual, air quality and noise) impacts on businesses along Frankston-Flinders Road and sensitive receptors in Hastings. Specific mitigation measures have been developed to address business impacts as part of other Technical Reports prepared for the EES. The following Technical Reports describe specific mitigation Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project iv Technical Report N: Business impact assessment measures regarding noise and dust emissions, and traffic management during construction of the Project: • EES Technical Report G: Air quality impact assessment • EES Technical Report H: Noise and vibration impact assessment • EES Technical Report J: Transport impact assessment. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project v Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Abbreviations Abbreviation Definition ABS Australian Bureau of Statistics AECOM AECOM Australia Pty Ltd AGL AGL Wholesale Gas Limited ANZSIC Australian and New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification APA APA Transmission Pty Limited ATO Australian Taxation Office Db(A) Decibels BIA Business impact assessment EES Environment Effects Statement EMF Environmental Management Framework FAFR Flinders Aquaculture Fisheries Reserve FSRU Floating storage and regasification unit LGA Local Government Area LNG Liquefied natural gas PoHDA Port of Hastings Development Authority SA1 Statistical Area 1 SA2 Statistical Area 2 SSIP State Significant Industrial Precinct VIFSA Victoria in Future Small Areas VRCA Victorian Regional Channel Authority VTS Victorian Transmission System Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project vi Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Glossary of terms Term Definition Statistical Area 1 Statistical Areas Level 1 (SA1) are geographical areas built from whole Mesh Blocks. Whole SA1s aggregate to form Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) in the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS) Main Structure. The SA1s have generally been designed as the smallest unit for the release of census data. SA1s have a population of between 200 and 800 people with an average population size of approximately 400 people. Statistical Area 2 Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) are medium-sized general purpose areas built up from whole Statistical Areas Level 1. Their purpose is to represent a community that interacts together socially and economically. SA2s generally have a population range of 3,000 to 25,000 persons. Local Government A spatial unit which represents the whole geographical area of responsibility of an Areas incorporated Local Government Council. Decibel scale The decibel scale is logarithmic in order to produce a better representation of the response of the human ear. A 3 dB increase in the sound pressure level corresponds to a doubling in sound energy. A 10 dB increase in the sound pressure level corresponds to a perceived doubling in volume. The decibel levels of common sounds are: 0 dB(A) Threshold of human hearing 30 dB(A) A quiet country park 40 dB(A) Whisper in a library 50 dB(A) Open office space 70 dB(A) Inside a car on a freeway 80 dB(A) Outboard motor 90 dB(A) Heavy truck pass-by 100 dB(A) Jack hammer / subway train 110 dB(A) Rock Concert 115 dB(A) Limit of sound permitted in industry 120 dB(A) 747 take off at 250 metres Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 1 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment 1.0 Introduction This report assesses the potential business impacts associated with the construction and operation of the Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project (the Project). AGL Wholesale Gas Limited (AGL) and APA Transmission Pty Limited (APA) propose to establish a gas import jetty and pipeline respectively, consisting of a: • floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) at Crib Point Jetty (Gas Import Jetty Works) • gas pipeline between Crib Point and Pakenham to connect to the Victorian Transmission System (VTS) east of Pakenham (Pipeline Works). The Project would supply imported natural gas into the south-eastern Australian gas market for industrial, commercial and residential gas customers meeting a projected domestic gas shortfall and improving gas supply certainty. The Project was referred by AGL and APA to the Victorian Government under the Environment Effects Act 1978 as two separate projects consisting of the Gas Import Jetty Works and Pipeline Works on 13 September 2018. On 8 October 2018, the Minister for Planning issued a decision determining that an Environment Effects Statement (EES) is required for the Project due to the potential for a range of significant environmental effects. Both the Gas Import Jetty Works and Pipeline Works were also referred to the Commonwealth Government under the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (EPBC Act) as separate projects and each were designated as a controlled action requiring impact assessment under the EPBC Act. The EES process is the accredited environmental assessment for the controlled action decisions under the EPBC Act in accordance with the bilateral agreement between the Commonwealth and Victoria. 1.1 Purpose The purpose of this report is to provide a business impact assessment (BIA) for the EES and to develop mitigation measures for potential impacts. This will inform the development of an Environmental Management Framework (EMF) for the Project. The mitigation measures listed in the EMF would be implemented in the approvals and management plans for the Project. This report does not include the assessment of agricultural businesses which may potentially be affected by the Project, as this has been detailed in EES Technical Report O: Agriculture impact assessment. Subsequently, this has limited the scope of this assessment to non-agricultural businesses and commercial areas. 1.1.1 Why understanding business impact is important The Project presents a unique set of challenges and opportunities for local traders, residents, and the wider community, particularly in Hastings. Local businesses contribute to the character of the neighbourhood and provide significant economic benefits for local residents. As such, they are valued by the communities in which they operate. The purpose of this report is to understand the impacts on local businesses from the Project and subsequently inform the management and mitigation of impacts during the design, construction and operational phases. The BIA involved an assessment of construction and operation activities as they relate to business impacts as well as consultation with a cross-section of business stakeholders who are located within the study area. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 2 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment 1.2 Project description The Project is made up of two sets of works: the Gas Import Jetty Works and the Pipeline Works. The Gas Import Jetty Works and the Pipeline Works would be undertaken by AGL and APA respectively and are described in the following sections. 1.2.1 Gas Import Jetty Works The Gas Import Jetty Works would consist of a liquefied natural gas (LNG) import facility, which comprises: • continuous mooring of an FSRU at Berth 2 of the existing Crib Point Jetty, which would store LNG and regasify LNG into natural gas • Jetty Infrastructure on the Crib Point Jetty including marine loading arms (MLAs) and gas piping to transfer the gas from the FSRU to the Crib Point Receiving Facility • Crib Point Receiving Facility, including metering, odorant injection and nitrogen injection, which would be located on land adjacent to the Crib Point Jetty. An FSRU is a vessel approximately 300 metres in length and 50 metres in breadth. Visiting vessels carrying LNG (LNG carriers) would berth alongside the FSRU to transfer LNG from the LNG carriers to the FSRU which could take up to approximately 36 hours. The FSRU would store the LNG as a liquid and when required, return LNG back into a gaseous state by heating the LNG using either seawater or gas-fired boilers (a process known as regasification). Following regasification, the natural gas would be transferred through gas piping along the jetty from the FSRU to the Crib Point Receiving Facility. The Crib Point Receiving Facility would include treatment facilities to inject odorant and nitrogen (as required) into the natural gas to meet VTS gas quality specifications. 1.2.2 Pipeline Works The Pipeline Works would comprise a bi-directional gas transmission pipeline to transport gas from the Crib Point Receiving Facility to the VTS east of Pakenham. The pipeline would be approximately 57 kilometres long with a nominal diameter of 600 millimetres. The pipeline would be buried at a depth of generally 1.2 metres below ground (to the top of the pipe). The Pipeline Works also comprises the following facilities: • the pigging facility at the Crib Point Receiving Facility, which would allow for in-line inspections of the pipeline with a pipeline inspection gauge (pig) • the above ground Pakenham Delivery Facility situated adjacent to the Pakenham East rail depot to monitor and regulate the gas • the below ground End of Line Scraper Station (EOLSS) located at the connection point to the VTS, north of the Princes Highway in Pakenham • two above ground mainline valves (MLVs) that would be situated along the pipeline alignment, which would allow for isolation of the pipeline in an emergency. 1.2.3 Construction The key construction activities for the Gas Import Jetty Works include: • establishment of construction sites including laydown areas • installation of Jetty Infrastructure on the Crib Point Jetty, including MLAs, gas piping mounted to the jetty, electrical and instrumentation equipment and a firefighting system • construction of the Crib Point Receiving Facility. Construction for the Gas Import Jetty Works would take approximately 18 to 27 months, depending on weather conditions. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 3 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment The key construction activities for the Pipeline Works include: • establishment of laydown areas • construction of the pigging facility at Crib Point Receiving Facility, Pakenham Delivery Facility, two MLVs and the EOLSS • pipeline construction using construction techniques such as trenching, horizontal directional drilling (HDD) or boring, typically within a 30-metre-wide pipeline construction right of way (ROW). Construction for the Pipeline Works would take approximately 18 to 24 months, depending on weather conditions. Pending on the staging of the works outlined above, construction for the entire Project is expected to take approximately 18 to 27 months. 1.2.4 Operation and maintenance When commissioned, the operation of the FSRU would be undertaken by an experienced third-party operator. The Crib Point Receiving Facility and associated Jetty Infrastructure would either be owned and operated by AGL or an experienced third-party operator. The Pipeline Works would be owned and operated by APA. The FSRU may leave Western Port during the Project lifetime for activities such as scheduled maintenance and extreme weather events. The gas import jetty would initially receive approximately 12 LNG carriers per year with capacity to increase to approximately 40 LNG carriers per year. The number and frequency of LNG carriers arriving annually would depend on their storage capacity and gas demand. The Crib Point Receiving Facility is designed to be automated and may be operated unmanned under normal operating conditions. An operational easement of generally 15 metres in width would apply to the pipeline alignment. The pipeline easement would be inspected for any operational or maintenance issues on a routine basis in accordance with APA procedures. The pipeline would also be designed and constructed so that pigging can be undertaken to inspect the integrity of the pipeline as required. Pigging would be undertaken around 10 years after construction and then at a frequency determined by the first inspection. The Pakenham Delivery Facility is also designed to be automated and operate unmanned under normal operating conditions. The EOLSS would be buried with valves contained within concrete pits. The connection to the VTS would operate unmanned. Excavation of the site to access the EOLSS would be required for the pigging activities. 1.2.5 Decommissioning The FSRU is expected to operate for approximately 20 years. However, the operating period may be shortened or extended to address security and stability of gas supply to south-eastern Australia. When the Project is no longer required, the FSRU would leave Western Port. The Jetty Infrastructure installed on the Crib Point Jetty and the Crib Point Receiving Facility would be decommissioned and removed when no longer required. The Crib Point Jetty would remain as an operational jetty under the management of the Port of Hastings Development Authority (PoHDA). The pipeline is designed and built with a design life of 60 years. If the Pipeline Works are no longer required, they would be decommissioned in accordance with Australian Standard AS2885 Pipelines – gas and liquid petroleum and relevant legislative and approval requirements at the time of decommissioning. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 4 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment 1.3 Project Area The Project Area is situated between Crib Point and Pakenham East, Victoria within the local government areas of Mornington Peninsula Shire, City of Casey and the Shire of Cardinia. The Project Area includes the construction and operation footprints for the Gas Import Jetty Works and the Pipeline Works. The Project Area is detailed in EES Attachment VII Map book. An overview of the Project showing the proposed pipeline alignment and current options is shown in Figure 1. The Gas Import Jetty Works would be situated at the existing Crib Point Jetty and on land immediately adjacent. The Crib Point Jetty is located within the Port of Hastings and the Western Port Ramsar site. The Pipeline Works would be located on land between the Crib Point Receiving Facility and a connection point to the VTS east of Pakenham. The pipeline alignment has been selected to minimise impacts on sensitive land uses and where possible follows existing pipeline easements. The pipeline would be located on land used for several purposes including rural residential living, road corridors, industry, conservation reserves, hobby farming, horse studs and agriculture. The pipeline would generally follow the Stony Point rail reserve through Hastings. Towards Pakenham, the pipeline would cross the Gippsland rail line prior to reaching the proposed Pakenham Delivery Facility adjacent to the Pakenham East rail depot and connecting to the VTS north of the Princes Highway. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 5 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Figure 1 Project Area overview Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 6 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment 1.3.1 Study areas For the purposes of the assessment, related but distinct land-based study areas have been identified. This reflects the available data, which is available at different levels. These levels include: • Local Government Areas (LGAs): An LGA is a spatial unit which represents the whole geographical area incorporated within a Local Government Council. • Statistical Area Level 1 (SA1): SA1s are generally the smallest unit for the release of census data from the ABS. SA1s have a population size between 200 and 800 people, with the average being approximately 400 people. • Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2): SA2s are a general-purpose medium-sized area comprising of whole SA1s. The aim of SA2s is to represent a community that interacts together socially and economically. To describe existing conditions and impacts, the business impact assessment assesses four land- based study areas (see Table 1-1). For completeness, the study area for this business impact assessment also considered the Western Port marine environment. Table 1-1 Land-based study areas used in this business impact assessment Study area type What it is used for LGA Used to assess broader area characteristics such as population and general area characteristics. SA2 Employment data (number of employees, revenue), business type, method of journey to work statistics and population growth rates are presented at the SA2 level. SA1 Number of businesses and business density are shown at SA1 level allowing for assessment of potential impacts on discrete areas near the Project. Land use parcels Type of land use has been identified by individual land parcels. This is important as impacts from the Project are different depending on how sensitive the commercial land use is to temporary or permanent changes. Figure 2 to Figure 4 show the three different levels of data that is presented, forming the different perspectives on the study area for this assessment. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 7 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Figure 2 Study area LGAs Figure 3 Study area SA2s Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 8 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Figure 4 Study area SA2s The primary focus of this business impact assessment (Section 7.0) is three areas of interest within Hastings being the northern, central and southern commercial areas shown in Figure 5. These were chosen as areas of focus because they contain businesses which may be directly affected by construction activities, potentially through vehicle/pedestrian access and parking limitations as well as noise, dust and vibration. The land between the southern and central commercial areas is residential and no businesses are therefore expected to be impacted in this area. Notwithstanding, the use of the railway corridor and trenchless construction is also proposed within this residential area to avoid potential direct and indirect impacts on the surface. The remainder of the study area contains primarily agricultural businesses or residential uses and therefore are outside the scope of this BIA. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 9 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Figure 5 Areas of interest (overview) Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 10 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment 2.0 Scoping requirements The EES scoping requirements for the Project were issued by the Victorian Minister for Planning in February 2019, and augment the key matters listed in the Minister's decision to require an EES. The scoping requirements set out the specific matters to be investigated and documented in the EES in the context of the Ministerial guidelines for assessment of environmental effects under the Environment Effects Act 1978. The EES is an accredited assessment process for the purposes of the assessment of the Project under the EPBC Act, and the EES scoping requirements also include matters to be assessed under the EPBC Act. 2.1 Draft evaluation objectives The following draft evaluation objective is relevant to business and identifies the desired outcomes in the context of potential Project effects. The draft evaluation objectives, as set out in the final scoping requirements, provide a framework to guide integrated assessment of the environmental effects of the Project. These draft evaluation objectives are to be used in the context of the relevant legislative requirements set out in Section 3.0. Draft evaluation objective for business impact assessment Social, economic, amenity and land use – To minimise potential adverse social, economic, amenity and land use effects at local and regional scales. 2.2 Assessment of specific environmental effects The following extracts from the scoping requirements, issued by the Minister for Planning, are relevant to the draft evaluation objective(s) listed above. Table 2-1 Scoping requirements for business impact assessment Aspect Scoping requirement Relevant section Key issues • Potential for Project works to affect Section 7.0 (Impact assessment) business (including farming) operations or other existing or approved facilities or land uses. • Potential for temporary or permanent changes to use of or access to existing infrastructure in the Project Area and in its vicinity. Priorities for • Identify existing and reasonably Section 5.0 (Existing conditions) characterising the foreseeable land uses and businesses existing environment occupying land to be traversed by, or adjacent to, the Project. • Identify relevant strategic plans specifying or encouraging land use outcomes for land to be occupied by the Project. Design and mitigation • Identify options for mitigating impacts from Section 6.0 (Risk assessment) measures the Project construction or operation on Section 7.0 (Impact assessment) adjacent businesses and community Section 8.0 (Mitigation measures) facilities including open space. Assessment of likely • Identify implications for current land uses Section 7.0 (Impact assessment) effects and immediately foreseeable changes in land use. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 11 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Aspect Scoping requirement Relevant section Approach to manage • Measures to manage other potentially Section 8.0 (Mitigation measures) performance significant effects on amenity, environmental quality and social wellbeing (including access to open spaces) should also be addressed in the EES, including a framework for identifying and responding to emerging issues, as part of the EMF (Section 5). • Describe any further measures that are proposed to enhance social outcomes, and either manage risks to landscape and recreational values, or enhance visual amenity outcomes both for residents living near the Project and for visitors to the locality, to form part of the EMF (see Section 5). In the context of this report, ‘effects’ includes all potential direct, indirect, on-site and off-site environmental impacts resulting from the Project. The description and assessment of effects is not confined to the immediate area of the Project but also considers the potential of the Project to impact on adjacent or other areas that could be affected, in the context of a systems-based approach. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 12 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment 3.0 Legislation, policy and guidelines Table 3-1 summarises the relevant legislation that applies to the Project in the context of this business impact assessment as well as the implications and required approvals. Table 3-1 Primary legislation and associated information Document Description Implications for the Project Works area State Legislation Environment The Environment Effects Act On 8 October 2018, the Gas Import Jetty Effects Act provides a regime where Victorian Minister for Works and Pipeline 1978 projects with potentially Planning determined that an Works (Environment significant environmental EES was required for the Effects Act) impacts may require the Gas Import Jetty Works and preparation of an EES for Pipeline Works (as a single assessment by the Minister joint project). In February for Planning. An EES may be 2019, the Minister for required for declared ’public Planning issued the scoping works’ or works determined requirements for the Project. by the Minister for Planning The EES has been prepared to require an EES following in accordance with these referral. Where an EES is scoping requirements, which required, the Minister for require the assessment of a Planning will issue scoping range of specific requirements to guide environmental effects. preparation of the EES. The EES would be placed on Once the EES is prepared it public exhibition and an is placed on exhibition for inquiry would be appointed to public comment (typically for consider the environmental 20 to 30 days). effects of the projects. At the The Minister for Planning conclusion of the EES may appoint an inquiry to assessment process the assess the impacts of the Minister for Planning’s project, taking into account Assessment Report would be the EES studies and any provided to the relevant public submissions. This can statutory decision-makers to involve a formal hearing. inform their decisions The Minister for Planning whether to grant approvals subsequently provides an for the projects. assessment (typically within 25 business days of the inquiry report being received), having considered the proponent’s response, public submissions, EES documents and the inquiry report. The relevant statutory decision-makers must consider the Minister for Planning’s Assessment when deciding whether to approve the project and, if so, on what conditions. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 13 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Document Description Implications for the Project Works area Planning and The Planning and The Planning and Gas Import Jetty Environment Environment Act establishes Environment Act is relevant Works and Pipeline Act 1987 a framework for planning the due to the potential impacts Works (Planning and use, development and on landowners, where the Environment protection of land in Victoria. land is used for business Act) The Planning and purposes. Environment Act provides for More specifically, the pipeline the preparation of planning construction has the potential schemes in each municipality to disrupt the way in which consistent with the Victoria owners utilise and develop Planning Provisions (VPPs) their land for business and procedures by which purposes. Where applicable, planning schemes may be these matters are addressed amended and planning through consultation with permits obtained to govern landowners and land use and development. compensation where applicable under the Pipelines Act. Measures to reduce the potential disruption to businesses from pipeline construction include ongoing consultation with business owners and alternative access arrangements as outline in the Transport Management Plan (TMP). Transport The Transport Integration Act Business owners and Gas Import Jetty Integration Act provides a legislative employees can reasonably Works and Pipeline 2010 framework for transport in expect to be considered and Works (Transport Victoria. The Act seeks to consulted during the EES on Integration integrate land use and traffic implications of the Act) transport planning and Project. decision-making by applying Interruption to movement the framework to land use during construction needs to agencies whose decisions be considered. can significantly impact on Potential impacts associated transport. The Transport with pipeline construction Integration Act requires works have been significantly agencies, including the reduced by utilising the Stony Department of Transport and Point rail corridor for the Planning Authorities, to pipeline alignment through consider the potential impact Hastings, combined with the of land use planning use of horizontal directional proposals on transport. drilling (HDD) as the The vision statement states construction methodology. that Parliament recognises Interruption to movements the aspirations of Victorians during operation of the for an integrated and Project is associated with the sustainable transport system movement of nitrogen trucks that contributes to an to and from the Crib Point inclusive, prosperous and Receiving Facility. environmentally responsible State. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 14 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Document Description Implications for the Project Works area Road The Road Management Act The Road Management Act Gas Import Jetty Management provides a statutory provides a statutory Works and Pipeline Act 2004 (Road framework for the framework for the Works Management management of Victorian management of the Victorian Act) road networks and facilitates road network. Consent may the coordination of road be required under the Act for reserves for roadways, works on, in or under any pathways, infrastructure and road. similar purposes. A Traffic Management Plan While the Minister for Roads (TMP) would be prepared to is responsible for mitigate any impacts to administering the Act, business during construction VicRoads is responsible for of the Project. the management of freeways and arterial roads that are used by through traffic. Arterial roads not used by through traffic and service roads will be managed by the relevant local council. Non- arterial roads will be managed by whichever person or body is prescribed to do so. Pipelines Act The Pipelines Act is the The Pipelines Act intends Pipeline Works 2005 (Pipelines primary Act governing the that responsible authorities Act) construction and operation of consider several relevant pipelines in Victoria. The 'Principles of sustainable Pipelines Act covers ‘high development', including that transmission’ pipelines for long and short-term the conveyance of gas, oil economic, environmental, and other substances. social and equity DELWP and Energy Safe considerations should be Victoria are responsible for effectively integrated into administering the Act and the decision-making. Pipelines Regulations 2017. The Pipelines Act requires that landowner and business interests are an integral part of the planning and design process for pipelines and provides for compensation where appropriate. Local Policy / guidelines / standards Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 15 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Document Description Implications for the Project Works area Planning Policy The Planning Policy To ensure integrated Gas Import Jetty Frameworks Framework (PPF) decision-making, authorities Works and Pipeline (PPF) encourages and facilitates must take into account the Works sustainable land uses related general principles and to business and industrial specific policies contained in land uses. the PPF. The Project would The key PPF clauses of deliver improved access and relevance to business are: efficiency associated with • Clause 11 which states resource access. However, that planning should respond access to jobs and to the needs of existing and businesses and business future communities through operations may be provision of zones and temporarily interrupted during serviced land for, amongst construction. other things, employment, commercial and community facilities and infrastructure • Clause 17.01-1 which promotes the achievement of net community benefit in relation to accessibility, efficient infrastructure use and the aggregation and sustainability of commercial facilities. Mornington The aim of the Mornington Relevant objectives under Gas Import Jetty Peninsula Peninsula Planning Scheme the Mornington Peninsula Works. Planning is: Planning Scheme are: Scheme • to provide a clear and • to encourage the consistent framework within concentration of major retail, which decisions about the residential, commercial, use and development of land administrative, entertainment can be made and cultural developments • to express state, into activity centres that are regional, local and highly accessible to the community expectations for community. areas and land uses Access to businesses will be • to provide for the considered in the EES implementation of state, Technical Report N: regional and local policies Business impact affecting land use and assessment. development. Mornington Alongside the Mornington Regulatory authorities will Gas Import Jetty Peninsula Peninsula Planning Scheme, have regard for the Localised Works and Pipeline Localised the Localised Planning Planning Statement in Works Planning Statement sets out the assessing the potential Statement (July policies and provisions that impacts of the Project. 2014) control land use and development in the Peninsula. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 16 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment 4.0 Methodology A systematic risk-based approach has been applied to understand the existing environment, the potential impacts of the Project and how to avoid, minimise or manage the risk of impact. The following sections outline the method for the business impact assessment. 4.1 Existing conditions assessment A review of the existing conditions was conducted through a combination of desktop research and data analysis, using the data sources displayed in Table 4-1. Table 4-1 Existing conditions data Parameter Data source Study area Population ABS Census (2016) SA2 Employment data ABS Businesses by Industry Division (2016) SA2 Business types ABS Businesses by Industry Division (2016) SA2 Method of journey to work ABS Census (2016) SA2 Population growth rates Victoria in Future (2016) VIFSA (SA2 proxy) Number of businesses Worksafe statistics (2016) SA1 Commercial land use DEDJTR Victorian Land Use Information System (2016) Land parcels Technical reports that informed the findings include: • EES Technical Report G: Transport impact assessment • EES Technical Report H: Noise and vibration impact assessment • EES Technical Report I: Air quality impact assessment • EES Technical Report O: Agriculture impact assessment • EES Technical Report L: Land use impact assessment • EES Technical Report M: Social impact assessment. The desktop review was an essential first step for assessing and reviewing the potential impacts on local businesses from the Project, as it gave direction towards the parties necessary for consultation to understand impacts during both the construction and operational phases. 4.2 Risk assessment method The EES scoping requirements for the Project require that a risk-based approach be adopted for assessment of the potential impacts of the Project. A risk assessment was carried out using an approach that is consistent with Australian/New Zealand Standard AS/NZS ISO 31000:2018 Risk Management Process. The risk assessment process provides a method for: • facilitating a consistent approach to risk assessment across the various specialist studies in the EES • identifying key Project risks to inform where detailed investigations are required • ensuring that the level of investigation is proportionate to the relative environmental risk • assessing the effectiveness of proposed mitigation measures and whether additional measures may be required. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 17 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Risk can be defined as a combination of: • the magnitude of potential consequences of an event • the likelihood of the event occurring. The risk assessment process developed for the Project involved the assignment of consequence and likelihood ratings which combined to give an overall risk level for each identified risk. The initial findings of the impact assessment were used to identify and describe cause-and-effect pathways for the Project and thereby determine links between Project activities and their subsequent environmental consequences (known as risk pathways). These risk pathways were identified considering the assets, values and uses requiring protection identified during the existing conditions assessment. Assigning consequence of risks In this risk assessment, the consequences of a risk occurring were assigned using a consequence guide. Specific consequence categories were developed considering existing conditions in the study area. The consequence rating criteria used in the risk assessment specifically for risks relating to business is shown in Table 4-2. Table 4-2 Business impact assessment consequence rating criteria Level Qualitative description Negligible The net change in real annual business income in the precinct is in the range of 0-5 per cent. On average, that would result in only the most very marginal businesses in the precinct being unprofitable. Minor The net change in real annual business income in the precinct is in the range of 5-10 per cent. On average, that would result in only the marginal businesses in the precinct being unprofitable. Moderate The net change in real annual business income in the precinct is in the range of 10-15 per cent. On average, that would result in many businesses in the precinct being on the verge of being unprofitable. Major The net change in real annual business income in the precinct is in the range of 15-20 per cent. On average, that would likely result in most businesses being unprofitable. Severe The net change in real annual business income in the precinct is greater than 20 per cent. On average, that would likely result in all businesses being unprofitable. Assigning likelihood of risks A likelihood rating for each identified risk pathway has been assigned using the guide in Table 4-3. The likelihood criteria in the risk assessment range across a scale from ‘almost certain’ where ‘the event is expected to occur in most circumstances or is planned to occur’ to ‘rare’ where ‘the event may occur only in exceptional circumstances.’ Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 18 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment Table 4-3 Likelihood guide Level Description Rare The event may occur only in exceptional circumstances Unlikely The event could occur but is not expected Possible The event could occur Likely The event will probably occur in most circumstances Almost Certain The event is expected to occur in most circumstances or is planned to occur Risk matrix and risk rating Together the consequence and likelihood were combined to arrive at a risk rating, using the matrix shown in Table 4-4. Table 4-4 Risk assessment matrix Consequence ratings Negligible Minor Moderate Major Severe Rare Very Low Very Low Low Medium Medium Unlikely Very Low Low Low Medium High Likelihood Possible Low Low Medium High High rating Likely Low Medium Medium High Very High Almost certain Low Medium High Very High Very High Further information regarding the risk assessment process and the risk register for the Project is detailed in EES Attachment III Environmental risk report. Application of mitigation measures An initial set of mitigation measures have been developed as part of this impact assessment. These mitigation measures are based on compliance with legislation and standard requirements that are typically incorporated into the delivery of infrastructure projects of similar type, scale and complexity. As the Pipeline Works design, construction methodology and operation strategies were well progressed at the commencement of this impact assessment, mitigating measures that were already incorporated in the Pipeline Works design were included as initial mitigation measures. Initial risk ratings were applied to each of the identified risk pathways assuming that these initial mitigation measures were in place. Where the initial risk ratings were categorised as medium or higher, additional mitigation measures have been developed as part of this impact assessment. The initial and additional mitigation measures have been incorporated into the Project description and design (where relevant) by AGL and APA and included in the EMF to effectively manage the environmental performance of the Project during construction and operation. See Chapter 25 Environmental Management Framework for further detail on how the mitigation measures are proposed to be implemented. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
AECOM Gas Import Jetty and Pipeline Project 19 Technical Report N: Business impact assessment The risk and impact assessment process is iterative. Potential impacts were reassessed after the risk assessment and after mitigation measures were refined. The level of residual risk was reassessed using the same methodology to confirm the mitigation measure is effective in mitigating or managing potential impacts such that the Project is able to satisfy the draft evaluation objectives set out in the EES scoping requirements. 4.3 Impact assessment An impact assessment was conducted to have an informed view about the likely impacts of the Project. This provides an opportunity to identify key issues and the businesses impacted so they can be addressed and mitigated. Inputs into the impact assessment were derived from two major sources. These were: • Consultation with non-agricultural businesses in the study area. • Findings from other technical reports (see Section 4.1 for a list of relevant reports). An overview of the consultation carried out with potentially affected businesses is set out in Section 4.5. Impacts on agricultural businesses are discussed in EES Technical Report O: Agriculture impact assessment. 4.4 Assumptions and limitations Assumptions and limitations relating to this assessment are provided below: • AECOM is not responsible for the accuracy of third-party data including information obtained through stakeholder consultation. • Existing businesses were identified through aerial photo analysis, desktop research and a site inspection conducted in March 2019. • The findings presented in this report are based on a limited scope of feedback received from businesses and are therefore not a complete reflection of all existing businesses and the potential impacts on those businesses that may arise from the Pipeline Works. • This report does not assess any changes in business or property values because of the Project. 4.5 Stakeholder engagement A program of stakeholder and community engagement has been undertaken to assist with Project development (see Chapter 26 Stakeholder engagement). Specific stakeholder engagement undertaken as part of this impact assessment is summarised in Table 4-5. This consultation has occurred as part of the broader suite of engagement activities undertaken by AGL and APA during the development of the Project and the preparation of the EES. These engagement activities are summarised in Chapter 26 Stakeholder engagement). Three businesses formally provided feedback through face-to-face interviews and surveys. The survey and face to face interviews were based on the same questionnaire, and sought information from businesses on: • size of businesses, the characteristics of their customer bases, and the size of their customer catchments • mode of travel for customers, and how the projects could potentially impact staff and customer travel patterns • an understanding of potential impacts of the construction and operation phases of the Project, including factors such as customer access • potential mitigation approaches for the risks to their business operations. Prepared for – AGL Wholesale Gas Limited and APA Transmission Pty Limited – 60592634
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