Energy Trading ULG-March 2018 - Blogs ULg
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ENERGY TRADING Frédérik Demaret B2B Services EDF Luminus P +32 (0)2 213 48 35 M +32 (0)499 96 84 32 frederik.demaret@edfluminus.be March 23rd 2018
AGENDA • Introduction of EDF Luminus • European Energy Market • Price Drivers • Portfolio Management • Remit • Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
EDF Luminus Subsidiary 20% of EDF group > Market share Vision Energy Power supplier & “to become the first solutions energy partner, bringing Shareholders provider producer progress and comfort to all our customers through our 5 star service, our innovative and sustainable • ETHIAS solutions, the global • PUBLILE expertise of EDF (…)”. C 31,4% • SOCOFE • NETHYS 68,6% EDF Belgium Other Shareholders
Energy production Kluizendok Antwerpen (Evonik) Doel Ringvaart Beringen Gent Oevel Ham (Stradus) Ham Olen/Geel 67MW GENT Olen HASSELT Izegem Taminco Lummen Ieper Kortrijk Dendermonde 17% (Evolis) hydro power Melle Bilzen installed > BRUSSEL Lixhe Leuze-en- Monsin Berloz of our production Hainaut 600 Verlaine Femelmont capacity from renewable > mio € Villers / Wanze Seraing Liège Ivoz-Rament Angleur Ampsin Belgian energy Spy Andenne sources In the next years, Luminus will invest Floriffoux Floreffe Tihange Grands-Malades Ciney over €600 million in Dinant/Yvoir renewable energy 587mioMW in Belgium Walcourt wind energy Bièvre FOSSIL OR NUCLEAR ENERGY RENEWABLE ENERGY Thermal power stations Wind farm Cogeneration Hydroelectric power station 10% participation in Tihange 2 & 3 and Doel 3 & 4
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Remit Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
European power markets – installed capacity (2018) Source :: https://transparency.entsoe.eu Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret 12
Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret 13
The role of interconnections German effects Gas and Coal pulling Germany to the cheap (exporter side) Wind and sun: growing effect, up to negative prices Stop of German Nukes French effects Temperature sensitive (on power) in southern area Spiky merit order with cheap base Benelux New CCGT’s and Coal PP in The Netherlands UK UK price as f(gas,coal) Decoupling of Prices Only when capacities are saturated Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Market description – Type of gas Gas network is divided in 2 types of gas networks H-Cal : high calorific value (MWh/m³ delivered) – the orange network L-Cal : low calorific value (MWh/m³ delivered) – the blue network H-Cal sourcing is coming from all around the world (LNG, North sea, baltic countries and Russia) L-Cal sourcing is only coming from the Groningen gas field in the Netherlands Production of Groningen gas field will decrease due to earthquakes risks Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Remit Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Power Price Drivers 18
Drivers of natural gas prices Source: RWE
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Portfolio Concept & Definitions Hedging Short Term Market Imbalance Market Remit Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
TRADING TERMINOLOGY PHYSICAL/FINANCIAL POSITION Customer Trader L O N Financial Physical G Net position: Physical + financial S H Physical Financial O R T 21
Optimisation versus Trading Asset Optimiser Trader • Manages a portfolio of assets • Creates a position (power plants, contracts, retail • Objective is to make money portfolio,…) from this position when market • Objective is to control physical conditions change and financial risks and maximising margins = speculation = hedging Both actors sell and buy in the wholesale markets to achieve their objectives, thus creating a liquid market 22
TRADING TERMINOLOGY HEDGING VERSUS SPECULATION Hedging = • Hedging aims at reducing the riskiness of a portfolio; match an existing exposure with an opposite exposure Speculation = • taking risky positions in a market with the intention of exploiting market price movements 23
TRADING TERMINOLOGY MARK TO MARKET Mark to market • Value of the position according to the current market prices. • MtM of the portfolio assumes that the portfolio could be liquidated instantly, to realise the value, without moving the market. • Process of reconciling asset values or obligations with a set of market prices Example of MTM: buy 5 MW for March 2016 & April 2016 @ 41,9 EUR/MWh Contract Market Contract Volume Market value MTM MTM value price price (MWh) (EUR) (EUR) (EUR/MWh) (EUR) (EUR/MWh) (EUR/MWh) 01/03/2016 3715 186.664 -155.659 31.005 50,25 -41,9 +8,35 01/04/2016 3600 147.208 -150.840 -3.632 40,89 -41,9 -1,01 24
MARKET PLACES Global vision Screen managed by OTC market brokers (GFI, Spectron, Icap, etc.). Intermediaries between market counterparties Execution Clearing house ICE Endex, EPEX, Belpex, etc. venues (Organized market place) (Own platform or via broker) Secondary In direct line with market market (OTC alternative) counterparties 25
OTC markets and power exchanges 26
OTC MARKET GV8 SPOT & FORWARD POWER MARKET EDFL active on Belgian and French markets (Baseload and Peak products) Spot market Day ahead (DA) and intraday (ID) Forward market Beyond DA & ID Bid Buyers side (price at which you are prepared to buy) Ask (or offer) Sellers side (price at which you are prepared to sell) Both markets traded in €/MW 27
OTC MARKET GV8 SPOT & FORWARD GAS MARKET EDFL active on Belgian, French & Dutch markets (Baseload products) Spot & Forward market same definition as POWER Bid & Ask (or offer) same definition as POWER In Belgium Traded in Pence/therms (1MWh = 34,1214 therms) In France and the Netherlands Traded in €/MWh 28
TYPE OF PRODUCTS Commodities Futures Organized exchange, standardized contract Buy or sell a specific type of asset at a specific time Forward OTC market & secondary market, not standardized For a given price Power physically OR financially Spot OTC market & secondary market Gas Financial swap OTC market & secondary market Products CO2 Time and location spreads OTC market & secondary market Oil Spark spread OTC market & secondary market Coal Options (call put) OTC market & secondary market … Capacities booking TSO or secondary market TSO: Transmission System Operator 30
Timeline of activities of an asset optimiser From 3 years to 1 1 Month ahead of Day Ahead [D-1] Intraday & Balancing month ahead of implemenation date • Create operating Market [D] implementation date [D] schedule for the • Respond to latest [D] • Refine the power plants unanticipated • Forecast of the supply/demand • Balancing supply changes in the medium-term balance to more and demand on portfolio supply/demand accurate weather the Day-Ahead • Send re- balance forecasts and market (DAM) nominations to • Scheduling of availability of • Send nominations TSO power plant power plants to TSO • Sale/purchase maintenance • Sale/purchase operations on the • Sale/purchase operations on the intraday and operations on the forward markets balancing markets forward markets 31
THE SPOT MARKET REFLECTS THE PHYSICAL BALANCE OF THE MARKET ■ The Belpex Day-Ahead Market (DAM) provides hourly products to sell and purchase electricity to be delivered for each hour of the next day on the Belgian grid ■ Retailers and generators can buy and sell on Belpex before handing in a balanced portfolio to the grid operator Elia 32
BUT SPOT PRICES CAN BE VERY VOLATILE 33
FORWARD MARKETS PROVIDE A HEDGE AGAINST SPOT VOLATILITY ■ Forward markets allow two parties to enter into a contract for future delivery of power at a price agreed upon today ■ Forward prices are today’s expectations of future spot prices (thus making it a derivative instrument) ■ Traded over-the-counter (OTC) or via a futures exchange (Endex) ■ Allows retailers and generators to protect themselves from the volatility of the spot markets by entering into hedging contracts 34
Forward and spot prices 35
Forward and spot prices 36
Forward and spot prices 37
Forward and spot prices 38
0 €/MWh 20 €/MWh 30 €/MWh 50 €/MWh 60 €/MWh 70 €/MWh 10 €/MWh 40 €/MWh 01/01/2014 09/01/2014 17/01/2014 25/01/2014 02/02/2014 10/02/2014 18/02/2014 26/02/2014 06/03/2014 14/03/2014 22/03/2014 30/03/2014 07/04/2014 Belpex €/MWh 15/04/2014 23/04/2014 01/05/2014 09/05/2014 Forward and spot prices 17/05/2014 25/05/2014 02/06/2014 10/06/2014 18/06/2014 Clean Gas - €/MWh 26/06/2014 04/07/2014 12/07/2014 20/07/2014 28/07/2014 Spot prices vs fundamentals 05/08/2014 13/08/2014 39 21/08/2014 29/08/2014 Clean Coal - €/MWh 06/09/2014 14/09/2014 22/09/2014 30/09/2014 08/10/2014 16/10/2014 24/10/2014 01/11/2014 09/11/2014 17/11/2014 25/11/2014 03/12/2014 11/12/2014
FORWARD AND SPOT PRICES (GAS) YEAR AHEAD GAS PRICE EVOLUTION (FROM 2011 TILL TODAY- Gas prices have been falling sharply Following bearish coal Following bearish oil (supply glut) Less power generation demand Less energy intensive industries Less domestic demand Slowing Asian growth Fukushima crisis over Global growing LNG capacities Since mid 2016, slow economical regain 41
Types of customers in a portfolio B2C High value customers with standard load profiles (SLP), strong seasonal and temperature sensitivity (value strongly decreased) Increased churn varies from active clients or due to “group buying” Pricing (fix prices or market index) B2B From
Portfolio Management : Definition/Concept Forward Market vs Spot Market spot market is also known as "cash market" where the commodities are sell on the current price or the spot rate and deliver immediately where as in case of forward market, market dealing with commodities for future delivery at prices agreed upon today (date of making the contract). Hedging vs Trading Hedging is the practice of taking a position in one market to offset and balance against the risk adopted by assuming a position in a contrary or opposing market. Trading is the fact to buy or sell a product on the market. Stochastic vs Deterministic view A deterministic model is one in which every set of variable states is uniquely determined by parameters in the model and by sets of previous states of these variables. Therefore, deterministic models perform the same way for a given set of initial conditions. Conversely, in a stochastic model, randomness is present, and variable states are not described by unique values, but rather by probability distributions. Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Portfolio Management : Definition/Concept Trader : A trader is person or entity, who buys and sells financial instruments such as stocks, bonds, commodities and derivatives, in the capacity of agent, hedger, arbitrageur, or speculator. Asset Optimiser : asset managers/optimisers are responsible for portfolios. They are supposed to ensure the financial profitability of the assets and are not supposed to speculate. Broker : A broker is an individual or party (brokerage firm) that arranges transactions between a buyer and a seller, and gets a commission when the deal is executed Market Maker : A market maker is a company, or an individual, that quotes both a buy and a sell price in a financial instrument or commodity, hoping to make a profit on the bid-offer spread, or turn. Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Portfolio Management : Definition/Concept Retailer : A retailer purchases goods or products in large quantities from producers or through a wholesale, and then sells smaller quantities to the consumer for a profit. Producer : A producer is a company that owns and operated production assets. Integrated Company : an integrated company is a company that is composed by a producing division and retail division. Retailers are mostly making high profit in long market, Producers in short market. An Integrated Company should realize confortable profit in all market conditions. Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Portfolio Concept & Definitions Hedging Short Term Market Imbalance Market Remit Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
What is a hedge? Hedging aims at reducing the riskiness of a portfolio; match an existing exposure with an opposite exposure Earnings depend on fluctuating commodity prices Hedging = act (buy/sell commodities) to reduce the variability of earnings Hedging does not impact expected earnings (except for transaction costs) Energy portfolio is complex, and hedging involves buying/selling different commodities (including FX) Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
What is the right time/price to hedge? A hedge is a transaction on the forward market: agree now to buy/sell in the future at agreed fixed price Prices can be very volatile timing is crucial Player B contracted on 18 Sep 14 for delivery in 2015 and will pay 52,3 €/MWh 28% PRICE DIFFERENCE FOR THE Player A contracted on 21 Aug 13 for SAME PRODUCT delivery in 2015 and will pay 40,6 €/MWh Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Key elements for hedging Liquidity is key for hedging Bid-Ask cost Lot size slippage risk Types of products forces to proxy hedges or tailor made products (costly) Hedge through portfolio indexes, origination But still: Many areas of basis risk: power indexation, time spreads, Hub/ZIG,… Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
TRADING TERMINOLOGY HEDGING EXAMPLE Position Volume Market value Contract price MTM (MWh) LONG ASSET 1000 60 0 60 000 SHORT HEDGE -1000 MWh -60 59 -1000 PORTFOLIO 59 000 Position Volume Market value Contract price MTM (MWh) LONG ASSET 1000 55 0 55 000 SHORT HEDGE -1000 MWh -55 59 +4000 PORTFOLIO 59 000 Position Volume Market value Contract price MTM (MWh) LONG ASSET 1000 65 0 65 000 SHORT HEDGE -1000 MWh -65 59 -6000 PORTFOLIO 59 000 51
DIFFERENT EXPOSURES DIFFERENT STRATEGIES Each exposure being different, hedging strategy will be different 52
FIXED EXPOSURES • Endex click • Endex/Belpex Mix • Fix Price • Floating to Fix Directly hedged as exposure arises to lock margin • Gas • Gas • Gas • Power • Power? • Power? 53
FLOATING EXPOSURES • Lagging products • Day ahead products For lagging Volume sill products: Every to be fixed in day we have to June buy the volume Example B2C 303 Volume fixed fixed that day during May due to the Volumes fixed during differents April laggings 54
FLOATING EXPOSURES – EXEMPLE POWER ■ Floating sales are structural and arise from: B2C : Products like Essential/Optimal SME ■ Floating B2C formula is 1/3*(12-12-12)+1/3*(12-0-12)*1/3*(3-0-3) Meaning price for delivery during Q1 2016 is the average of 12-12-12 : Average of closing prices of product Cal16 during year 2014 12-0-12 : Average of closing prices of product Cal16 during year 2015 3-0-3 : Average of closing prices of product Q1-2016 during Q4-2015 ■ To hedge this exposure, we have to buy every day the volume that was fixed that day Example: In Q2-16, we have to deliver 600GWh to our variable customers In 2014, markets will be open 250 days Every day of 2014, we have to buy 1/3*600GWh/250 = 0,80GWh of Q2-16 In 2015, markets will be open 250 days Every day of 2015, we have to buy 1/3*600GWh/250 = 0,80GWh of Q2-16 In Q1-16, markets will be open 66 days Every day of Q1-16, we have to buy 1/3*600GWh/66 = 3,03GWh of Q2-16 Vol fixed in Q1 Vol fixed in 2015 Vol fixed in 2014 55
Types of Hedging Strategies Hedging strategies No hedging Static hedging Dynamic hedging Naked strategy/ Covered strategy with Delta hedging strategy: "Do nothing“: After perfect hedge: Trading the Dynamically rebalancing a taking a position, no underlying asset to portfolio to make it delta- activities with respect to completely hedge away the neutral, i.e., a change in the hedging are pursued risk underlying asset price has no Covered strategy with impact on overall portfolio proxy hedge: Trading an value asset that is highly correlated to the underlying to hedge away the risk as well as possible Stop-loss strategy: Closing position when a given threshold is exceeded Source: Endesa Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Fundamentals of Delta Hedging Using the forward market to increase value of power plant by taking positions varying with the delta of the option At The Money In The Money Value Time & volatility value Option value Intrinsic value Strike Price Out of The Money Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Portfolio Concept & Definitions Hedging Short Term Market Imbalance Market Remit Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Day Ahead power price formation Price Hydro reservoir Peak units Residential demand Commercial demand Industrial demand CCGT Exports Coal Nuclear Imports Renewables Power Merit order principles for bid & ask curves Algorithm to calculate match price (on full CWE region and beyond) Includes block (conditional) bids & offers Settles the price at 1 pm: If bid price > settlement price, power purchased @ settlement price If offer price < settlement price, power sold @ settlement price Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
HOW IS THE POWER PRICE FIXED? €/MWh STRATEGIC RESERVE ■ Inelastic demand DEMAND ■ Offer subject to Supply mix DIESEL / TURBOJETS Fuel prices Regulatory ■ Merit order Market price OCGT@ 37% CCGT@ 49% CCGT@ 57% CCGT@ 53% ■ Role of CHP COAL OCGT@ 25% Import/Export OFFER NUCLEAR GREEN MW 61
HOW ARE POWER PRICES IMPACTED? Offer/demand logic to 4 common examples 1. Lot of wind tomorrow! 2. Nuclear outage 3. Fuel prices are falling 4. Belgian economic growth is reviewed lower 62
LOT OF WIND TOMORROW! €/MWh STRATEGIC RESERVE DEMAND ■ Free wind pushes the merit order to the right, sending some expensive DIESEL / TURBOJETS units out of the money! Market NEW Market price price OCGT@ 37% CCGT@ 49% CCGT@ 57% CCGT@ 53% CHP COAL OCGT@ 25% NUCLEAR GREEN MW 63
NUKE IS OUT AGAIN! €/MWh STRATEGIC RESERVE ■ Nuclear shrinks, DEMAND marginal unit is more expensive DIESEL / TURBOJETS NEW Market price Market price OCGT@ 37% CCGT@ 49% CCGT@ 57% CCGT@ 53% CHP COAL OCGT@ 25% NUCLEAR GREEN MW 64
FUEL PRICES ARE DOWN €/MWh STRATEGIC RESERVE ■ The cost of marginal DEMAND units is reduced DIESEL / TURBOJETS Market price NEW Market price OCGT@ 37% CCGT@ 57% CCGT@ 53% CCGT@ 49% OCGT@ 25% CHP COAL NUKE GREEN MW 65
SLOWING ECONOMIC GROWTH €/MWh STRATEGIC RESERVE ■ Less demand means DEMAND we will just use CCGT@ 49%DIESEL / TURBOJETS cheaper supply! Market price NEW Market price OCGT@ 37% CCGT@ 49% CCGT@ 53% CCGT@ 57% CHP COAL OCGT@ 25% NUKE GREEN MW 66
CWE (Nov 9th 2010) > NWE (Feb 4th 2014) • Two separate Market Couplings (CWE & Nordic) linked by a volume coupling (ITVC organised by EMCC) • Sequential calculation approach • No common algorithm applied • Full coupling with GB NWE • One single price coupling based on a single calculation • One single common algorithm to allow for a sound and robust price formation 67
NWE (Feb 4th 2014) NWE/SWE (May 13th 2014) • SWE joined on May 13th 2014 • New Name : MRC (Multi Regional Coupling) • Feb 24th 2015 : + Italy borders • 4M Market (seperated market with the same algorithm principle) -> CZ + SL + HU + RO 68
Flow Based Market Coupling (2018) • The flow-based model has been advocated as the target model for highly meshed grids (like the Central West Europe grid). • Market coupling allocates capacity by optimising the total economic surplus of the different coupled spot markets’ order books, while ensuring that the physical limits of the grid are respected. The consequence of this is price harmonisation in the CWE region when sufficient capacity is available. By using a more detailed grid description, the flow-based method increase this price convergence while ensuring a same security of supply as today. 69
CWE Market Results 22nd February 2018 70
CWE Market Results 26th February 2018 (Today) 71
Definition (Clean) Spark-Spread/Dark-spread The spark spread is the theoretical gross margin of a gas-fired power plant from selling a unit of electricity, having bought the fuel required to produce this unit of electricity. The dark spread is the theoretical gross margin of a coal-fired power plant from selling a unit of electricity, having bought the fuel required to produce this unit of electricity. In countries that are covered by the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme, generators have to consider also the cost of carbon dioxide emission allowances. Clean spark spread represents the net revenue a gas-fired power plant makes from selling power, having bought gas and the required number of carbon allowances Clean dark spread represents the net revenue a coal-fired power plant makes from selling power, having bought gas and the required number of carbon allowances Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Definition of Spark-Spread Optimisation of coordinable units based on Clean Spark-Spread : Heat Power Power Plant CO2 Fuel Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret 73
Cross Border Trading Physical capacity Total Transfer Capacity Available Transfer Capacity Net Transfer Capacity Applied on fluxes Allocation Explicit Implicit Congestion Management Harmonisation in Europe? Scheduling Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Portfolio Concept & Definitions Hedging Short Term Market Imbalance Market Remit Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Imbalance Market Electricity cannot be stored in large quantities. Generation must always be equal to consumption, at any time of the day of the year. This physical reality is called the ‘generation/consumption balance’. Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
How does the TSO manage to balance the country? primary reserve AUTOMATIC 30sec
BRP Responsability = individual Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Imbalance Invoice Imbalance Volume Imbalance Prices (Production-Consumption) X f(country position) Imbalance Invoice Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Balancing – Main principles? 1/4h Balancing • Balancing = difference between production and obligation for each consumption of the whole portfolio (metering) BRP TSO takes care of the • Short position of BRP purchased at imbalance price - position of the country • Long position of BRP sold at imbalance price + Imbalance price is • High incentive for BRP to be balanced equal to marginal price • Many opportunities for BRP activated by TSO Imbalance price + and – are equal most of • Differences (extra incentive) only if big imbalances the time Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Some exemples Sunny afternoon Cold evening Power plant outage Windy night 81
Delta between DAH prices and imbalance prices D D-1
Delta between DAH prices and imbalance prices D-1 D
Demand side management 84
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Remit Specific cases Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Market Regulation Prohibition of market manipulation and trading on the basis of ‘insider information’ Market monitoring by ACER Transparency Market Integrity Public transparency of Post trade Trade data fundamental data transparency for Market manipulation Insider dealing reporting to / inside energy markets prohibitions prohibitions ACER information and through ACER their reporting to ACER Applies to underlying physical power, gas and transport contracts and markets Applies to all gas, power and transportation contracts and markets 86
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Remit Specific cases Winter 2017-2018 Sales Trading Platform & Decentralized Production Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
Winter 2016-17
AGENDA Introduction of EDF Luminus European Energy Market Price Drivers Portfolio Management Remit Specific cases Winter 2016-2017 Sales Trading Platform & Decentralized Production Energy Trading – Frederik Demaret
LE MARCHÉ DE L’ÉNERGIE HIER CENTRALIZED POWER Transmission Network house Distribution Network factory commercial building 90
LE MARCHÉ DE L’ÉNERGIE HIER ET DEMAIN CENTRALIZED CLEAN, LOCAL POWER POWER solar PV power plant Transmission Network storage storage flow control house power quality power device quality device Distribution local CHP storage storage Network plant house with domestic CHP factory wind power plant commercial building 91
UN IMPACT PROFOND POUR BESOIN EN NOTRE Offre Demande ÉNERGIE NON PORTEFEUILLE COUVERT MANQUE DE CAPACITÉ POUR ÉQUILIBRER NOTRE PORTEFEUILLE 92
LA SOLUTION? Une collaboration “gagnant-gagnant” entre des producteurs locaux et EDF Luminus • EDF Luminus offre les services nécessaires au producteur local afin de réduire au maximum sa facture d’énergie et d’optimiser son unité de production • Le producteur local vend son énergie et sa flexibilité à EDF Luminus • Possible grâce à notre Sales Trading Platform 93
The customer will EDF LUMINUS Full integrated system via maximize & optimize the SALES TRADING Web application system value of his asset position with a 24h/7d access PLATFORM: thanks to Flexibility option LA SOLUTION IDÉALE The customer will be in The customer will POUR DES the driver seat for all his automatically have the PRODUCTEURS energy related services: correct information for from the nomination till invoicing purposes LOCAUX the imbalance position Trading desk: the customer As full integrated solution, will manage his price the dataflow will increase position with accurate and the operational added value information excellence position 94
ELECTRICITY PRODUCTS OVERVIEW LAGGING Risk Averse FORMULA Services of Clicks on ENDEX phone OTC, OTC via FORMULA STP or Endex quote (manual or automated) CUSTOMER Services: CHOICE - Financial Swaps (*) NO (phone OTC, OTC via STP NOMINATION or Endex quote) BELPEX FORMULA Services: Risk Taking - Financial Swaps (*) NOMINATION - DAH Conditional Bids - Intraday ReNomination - ID Conditional Bids 95
But in a changing Market context… 96
We create innovative products for flexibility from decentralised production and our customers Providing a “window to the market” for our customers allowing them to capture value in the energy and flexibility markets Sales Trading Platform: web based tool to communicate with our customers 97
ENERGY OPTIMIZATION ACTS ON THE SHORTEST PERIOD Energy Management Energy Optimization Quarter Month Week Year(s) Day Ahead Intraday Realtime from Year fromYear fromYear Click and Remote Nomination & Click volume declick on Activation of Conditional Bid volume capacity Flexibility 98
LUMINUS FLEXIBILITY PROVIDES A COMPLETE OPTIMIZATION SOLUTION LUMINUS FLEXIBILITY Pricing Interactivity Program Active Load Management Program Company Load Market Price Baseline Load Company Load Load Reduction 99
PRICING INTERACTIVITY PROGRAM PRINCIPLE 1 You manage your energy load daily, you know what’s Pricing Interactivity Program your capacity (to consume or to inject) You make your nomination directly 2 into our Customer Zone the day Market Price before or review it intraday Company Load 3 You manage your asset in order to fit to your new profile Valid for Demand Side Valid for Supply Side 100
ACTIVE LOAD MANAGEMENT PROGRAM PRINCIPLE 1 You notice your availability to be activated in case of Active Load Management Program need The signal is sent to your Lumibox installed 2 Company Load on your site Baseline Load Load Reduction 3 The action is automated and you are directly informed that an activation is realized. Valid for Demand Side Valid for Supply Side 101
A REAL TIME ACTIVATION AS FOR THE DEMAND OR SUPPLY SIDE Valid for Demand Side Valid for Supply Side 102
FLEXIBILITY CHARACTERISTICS 8 6 1 Call up time : period needed before activation 3 MW 2 Activation time 1 3 Minimum & Maximum duration of activation 5 4 Direction (up/Down) 7 5 Power t 6 Availability 4 7 Rebound effect? 2 8 Frequency of activation 103
THANKS TO EDF LUMINUS OPTIMIZE YOUR REVENUE ON EACH MARKET ! Forward Market Spot Market Intraday Market Energy Volume Reward €/MWh Reactivity Luminus Flexibility Click & Declick Optimalisation via Energy Management solutions 104
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! 105
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