Energy policy and (energy security) as a part of Russian foreign policy

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Nordia Geographical Publications 40: 4, 121–132                                     Jussi Huotari

Energy policy and (energy security) as a part of
Russian foreign policy

Jussi Huotari
Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Lapland

   Abstract: In cartoons Russia is often portrayed as a grim soldier, sitting on a pipeline,
   cutting off gas supplies to Europe. Images like this tell us something about a drastic
   change which the EU-Russia relationship has undergone during the last twenty years.
   While Russia was in the 1990s perceived as weak, it is currently framed as a powerful
   state. Russia’s strengthened position was correlative of stable political system during
   the two presidential terms of Vladimir Putin, and a high world market price of energy,
   especially oil. The outcome of these two factors was that Russia managed to almost
   double its real GDP in the past decade.
      Oil and gas have been important factors in Russian foreign policy in the last fifteen
   years. Energy policy itself is a complex question. It includes both oil and gas fields and
   the energy infrastructure. The relationship between energy policy and foreign policy is
   often interpreted via the concept of energy security, which is defined either from a sup-
   plier’s or a customer’s point of view. After gas disputes between Russia and Ukraine
   (during the years 2005–2006 and 2008–2009) the question of energy security arose in
   political discourse both in Russia and in the European Union (EU). Finally, the presenta-
   tion discusses Russian energy policy in three geostrategically important “Rimlands” of
   the Eurasian landmass (East Asia, Central Asia and Eastern Europe and the Arctic).

Introduction                                      political connections, economic relations,
                                                  military capacity and other available means
In public debate a common claim has               to strengthen the nation’s position in the
been that Russia uses its oil and natural         international arena (e.g. Morgenthau 1993
gas resources and their transports as a           [1948]).
power tool for getting more political                Energy emerged as one of the top
influence in the former Soviet region.            priorities in the EU-Russia relations after
The Western media has often described             the Russo-Ukrainian gas dispute in turn
Russia as an energy imperialist, unreliable       of the year 2005 – 2006. This was the
energy supplier and unable to develop its         first time when energ y transits from
own energy assets (e.g. Karaganov 2007).          Russia to European Union were cut off.
These kind of claims generate an image            A consequence of the dispute was that
of Russia as a country that uses energy as        it politicized Russian energy in the EU
a principal instrument to maximize state          member states. The Russo-Ukrainian “gas
influence and power. In this regard, Russia       war” led to the situation where almost
is not an exception. Every nation uses its        every contradiction in the EU-Russia

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relations was interpreted to deal with                politics (Finger & Finger-Stich 2010). It also
energy issues (Raeste 2006; Baev 2008).               promotes the preserving of the nation state
Russia’s actions, like an impressive flag             as a principal actor in international relations,
planting underneath the North Pole on the             despite globalization.
Lomonosov Ridge in August 2007 and the                   Energy geopolitics, which is about access,
military intervention in Georgia one year             supply and transit of energy resources,
later, set off speculation in the international       technology of production, state of logistical
community about the emergence of a new                supply lines, processing facilities and
Cold War (e.g.Lukyanov 2010; Overland                 transit infrastructures, is one of the major
2010). But everything changed after the               components of international relations
global downturn in the world economy and              (Kropatcheva 2011, 555). Natural and
its effect on the world market price of oil.          economic resources fuel state’s industrial
    The changes in the world market price             and military capacity, and consequently
of energy have diverse effects in the                 control over these strategic goods bestows
economies of the nation states. This shows            influence and power. Uneven distribution
up as different geopolitical interpretations          of oil and natural gas resources makes
and competing discourses. One of the                  some regions strategically more valuable
discourses describes the change in the world          than others. What happens in, and to such
market price of energy as a threat to state           regions, has an impact on the lives of other
sovereignty, a race for natural resources and         states, which consequently will pay more
conflicts (e.g. Borgesson 2008; Smith 2008).          attention, militarily or diplomatically to these
A contrasting interpretation to previous              regions. (Grygiel 2006, 30.) This question of
discourse claims that there is neither a race         strategic resources and geostrategic regions
for natural resources nor conflicts between           brings the concept of energy security into
states in the case energy policy; on the              discussion, because these resources are
contrary, states are ready and able to search         vital for a state’s survival. As one of the
together alternative energy solutions that            fathers of Realism, Hans Morgenthau (
ensure stable and peaceful development                1993 [1948]), put it, “A country that is self-
in the global context (e.g. Paillard 2010;            sufficient, or nearly self-sufficient, has a
Trenin 2010).                                         great advantage over a nation that is not,
    The relationship between politics and             because it does not depend on the will or
energy is not a new phenomenon. In fact,              power of other states”.
oil and oil politics has reshaped relationships            This article analyses Russia’s energy
between states for over two hundred                   geopolitics and its implications for energy
years. Control over energy resources has              security in the three geostrategic regions in
influenced the emergence of conflicts.                the Eurasian landmass and its “Rimlands”:
Even though alternative sources of energy             Asia-Pacific region, Central-Asia and
are more common, societies will still stay            Eastern Europe, and the Arctic region1.
highly dependent on fossil fuels in the               In the 21 st century, interpretations of
future. This deepens and intensifies the              actions of the states have considered the
interplay between energy, economy and                 “Rimlands” of the Eurasian landmass to be

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potential stages for geopolitical competition     economic modernization. (Legvold 2009,
between great powers. The actors have             30.) Because of this, Russia’s economy has
been looking for a common understanding           developed slower than the economies of
and consensus from different international        the great powers in the West.
institutional organizations (such as G8               Russia’s great power politics is often
and the UN Security Council) and ad hoc           explained in the light of the three geopo-
meetings (the five littoral states get-together   litical theories. The first one is based on
in Illulisat, Greenland 2008 and in Ottawa,       Sir Halford Mackinder’s idea of the World
Canada 2010 and Russia’s, France’s and            Island, in which the governing of the Eura-
Germany’s alliance against war in Iraq)           sian landmass is the key element for being
for controlling Eurasian “Rimlands”. For          world power. Mackinder’s “Heartland”
Russia’s prestige it is important to be part      theory highlighted geostrategic factors
in these international alliances with other       e.g. rich natural resources of the Eurasian
great powers.                                     landmass (Mackinder 1904, 430 - 437). The
                                                  second one is based on Nicholas Spykman’s
                                                  thinking. This theory emphasizes the “Rim-
Russia’s energy geopolitics                       lands” and sea areas that surround the
in the light of                                   “Heartland”. This description underlines
geo-political theories                            the meaning of the Central Asia as crucial
                                                  for Russia’s security (Heininen 1991, 21
Russia is considered to be one of the great       - 22). The third explanation stresses the
powers, because of her large territorial          meaning of the strategic sea areas and sea
extent. She has reached her current shape         routes for Russia’s economic might and
following prolonged geographical expansion.       great power status. This interpretation is
One factor behind motivating conquest of          based on Alfred Thayer Mahan’s Sea Power
new regions was natural resources e.g.            theory. According to Russian Naval officer,
minerals which exist in Russian soil. The         Admiral Sergei Gorskov, (see Heininen
Russian state’s historically recurrent drive      1991, 23 - 24) Russia is not only the biggest
to mobilize human and natural resources           inland state, but because of geography, also
for economic development and war was              a dominant sea power, whose coastline is
conducted under control of authoritarian          almost two times longer than the United
political system. A strong sovereign has          States’ shore. Admiral Gorskov stressed
been a dominant feature in Russia’s politics.     the meaning of the navy as an economic
This together with the centralized economy        and military powerhouse also during peace,
system and geographical expansion has led         because with the help of the navy, a state is
Russia to several confrontations with the         able to demonstrate its strength outside of
rest of the world. Russia’s foreign policy        her borders. The definition made by admiral
has been shaped by the struggle to stabilize      Gorskov is on based on technology models
empire’s borders through the centuries. That      in classical geopolitics.
has led to permanent military mobilization
and frequent war, and has delayed country’s

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    To outline Russian naval politics, it is          of Russian energy policy becomes apparent
essential to notice one geographical fact;            in different geopolitical aspects to the
Russia has only two harbours which are                strategic “Rimlands”. The “Rimlands” that
free from ice and have an open access to              surrounds the Russian Heartland create
the world’s oceans around the year. Rest of           the geostrategic buffer zones between the
the Russia’s oceanic harbours are struggling          East and the West. These buffer zones
with the severe ice conditions, or they are           are defined militarily, economically and
located in inlet straits, which can be easily         politically (Elo 2009, 54).
sealed (Heininen 1991, 23; Kefferpütz 2010,              The early 21st century cuts in Russian oil
3). Because of vulnerable sea routes, Russia          and gas exports for neighbouring countries
is often considered to be an inland power             raised questions about relationship between
in compliance with the “Heartland” theory.            energy and foreign policy. Western critics of
However, in recent years Russia has also              Russia and President Vladimir Putin tend to
showed up as a credible sea power. This               assume that everything the Kremlin does
is in line with Russia’s Maritime Doctrine            is geopolitically motivated (Lo 2008, 135).
from 2001, in which it is stressed the aim to         Russia was blamed for using “energy weapon”
reassert her position among other leading             as tool in its foreign policy. However, this
sea powers (Maritime Doctrine of Russian              “energy weapon” interpretation neglects two
Federation 2020 2001). This has appeared              important factors. First, it underestimates the
as an increased military patrolling in the            importance of commercial considerations
oceans around the world. The opening of               in Russian decision making. The Russian
the new sea routes, which is the consequence          government and major energy companies
of retreat of the sea ice, has led to the             such as Gazprom, Rosneft, and Lukoil are
situation in which Russia has started to              keenly interested in profits for its own sake.
patrol regularly in the Arctic Ocean. The             The price hike for Belarus in December
year 2008 was the first time when she did             2006 highlighted the growing importance
that since the dissolution of the Soviet              of commercial considerations (Lo 2008,
Union (YLE Uutiset 17.7.2008).                        135; Liuhto 2010, 49 - 51; Casier 2011,
    All of these theories describe the                545). Secondly, energy trade between Russia
regions that are important for energy                 and EU has almost 50 years long history
production and transportation. In order               without cuts in supplies. The gas and oil
to discover the energy geopolitical reality           infrastructures, which were constructed
it is necessary to look at the location of            during the Cold War between EU member
resources and the lines of communication              states and Soviet Union, were an expression
linking them. This brings in the concept              of common economic interdependence; the
of security, due to the importance of                 Soviet Union needed western currency and
energy to modern industrialized societies.            the EU desired energy to secure economic
The configuration of these two variables              development (Stern 2005; Nies 2008,
assigns the strategic value to locations,             18). The energy cooperation during the
privileging some over others. The dynamics            Cold War was a starting point for broader

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geopolitical change which culminated to the       Ukraine. The latter is able to divert natural
dissolution of the Soviet Union (Heininen         gas, transported for the EU, for its internal
2002, 101-102).                                   purposes (See more Balmaceda 2009;
                                                  Pirani, et al. 2009). The transit pipelines,
                                                  which bind Russia and Ukraine, were
Energy as a part of Russia’s                      built while the two countries were part of
foreign political goals in                        the Soviet Union as a transit and supply
geo-strategic regions                             pipelines. Any disruptions of internal
                                                  supplies may cause problems for external
Russia acts simultaneously as an energy           transits, as the pressure in the pipeline will
producer, exporter, importer, consumer,           change (Kropatcheva 2011, 556).
and a transit state. Russia’s foreign energy          The land between Belarus and China
policy is influenced by the factors of global     comprises a hot spot for which states in
politics and economy, as well as by the           the world community are positioning for
developments at regional and bilateral levels,    (Juntunen 2009, 129). This very region has
and the dynamics of the energy market. This       been a target for power struggle between
diverse role in energy sector becomes clearly     great powers from the 19 th century. In
evident in the progress of the neighbouring       the 21st century the Great Game is going
countries. The CIS2 countries, former Soviet      on in the region between the United
states are, despite their independence, often     States, China and Russia. Central-Asia, the
still regarded to be included in Russia’s         Caucasus and the South-East corner of the
sphere of influence, where Russia has             Europe constitute a chain which control is
legitimate interests (Medvedev 2008).             essential for energy exports from Russia to
The reasoning for Russia’s interests in her       EU. In this regard, natural resources and
near neighbours is explained by existing          their transport infrastructures play a key
geopolitical status quo, in what the shifts       role in the geo-strategic power game of
would mean global geopolitical instability.       Central Asia and Caucasus region. With
Despite political changes in the relations        its vast pipeline network, Russia acts as an
CIS vis-à-vis Russia, there are still elements    important gatekeeper for Central Asian
from the Soviet system in the economic            energy exports. Gatekeeper position is
relations. The economic networks, e.g. oil        not only improving Russian foreign policy
and gas infrastructures are difficult, if not     position vis-à-vis the Central Asian countries,
impossible to dissolve. The CIS countries         which are dependent on hydrocarbon
are dependent on Russian energy imports           exports, but also strengthens Russia’s
which give Russia the option to use these         powers of negotiation towards Ukraine
imports as an instrument of political power.      (Liuhto 2010, 11-12; Shadrina 2010,
Nevertheless, Russia’s opportunities to use       108-109; Casier 2011, 545). The Central
energy exports to the CIS countries as a          Asian countries have started to look for
political “weapon” are quite limited. The         geographical diversification of their energy
Russian Federation is vulnerable to the           ties, for reducing their dependence on
disruptions to its deliveries to the EU by        Russian pipeline network. Over the last

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couple of years, Russia has been faced with           For China, energy is not an instrument of
competition, especially from China’s side,            geopolitical ambition, but the principal
for Central Asian oil and gas. The purchase-          for more assertive foreign policy, on the
agreement of China for Turkmenistan                   contrary for Russia; possession of vast oil
gas has helped the Central-Asian states to            and gas resources is the power-equivalent of
demand higher prices for their gas from               nuclear weapons in the Soviet era. Energy
Russia.                                               is not just an instrument of influence in
    Moscow has been aiming to restore its             itself, but impacts on other dimensions
presence in the Asia-Pacific region through           of power: military, political, economic,
increases in oil and natural gas exports.             technological, even cultural and normative.
Energy Strategy for Russia the Period up to 2030      (Lo 2008, 132-133.) The most fundamental
envisioned that Russia would increase its             is that Russia and China have very different
exports of oil so that the use of Russian             understandings of energy security. China
oil would increase in the Asia-Pacific                is most concerned of security of supply.
region would increase from 8 percent to               The biggest threat to its energy security
of oil used in 2008 to 22 – 25 percent in             is an interruption to or a reduction in
2030. Natural gas exports were predicted              the physical flow of energy, and a rise in
to increase from 0 percent up to about 20             the price of energy. To reduce these risks
percent in the same period (Ministry of               China has diversified its energy imports to
Energy of the Russian Federation 2009,                around the world (EIA 2010; Andrews-
140-141). The strategic goals for Russia in           Speed & Dannreuther 2011, 65 - 71). For
its so called eastern vector are, on the other        Russia energy security means security of
hand, to increase energy exports toward the           demand. Oil and gas account for over two
Asia-Pacific for creation of an “Asia card”           thirds of Russia’s exports and a quarter of
vis-à-vis the nations of the Europe Union,            the country’s GDP (Liuhto 2010, 9). The
and on the other hand, to attract domestic            dependence of the Russian economy on the
and foreign investments to modernize                  energy sector means that Russia’s interest is
economic backwardness of eastern Siberia              to have long term contracts for its energy
and the Far East, which Moscow considers              exports to protect commercial interests
a Russian weakness vis-à-vis geopolitical             both in the Far East and in the Europe.
rival, China (Itoh 2011, 1).                              Another strategic compass point in
    In the Sino-Russian energy relationship           Russia’s foreign energy policy is north.
energy and geopolitics are intertwined.               Global climate change has catapulted
At first sight the relationship appears to            the Arctic in the centre of the global
be based almost ideal complementarity:                geopolitics, as melting ice reveals options
on one side the world’s biggest exporter              for new oil and gas deposits. According to
of oil and gas; on the other, one of the              Russian sources, most of these Arctic’s oil
largest consumers of energy in the world.             and gas resources are located in Russian
Also, China and Russia have a common                  territory (e.g. Kontorovich, et al. 2010).
border which makes possible to transport              The Arctic region is considered to be
energy via pipelines without third parties.           primary resource base and potentially

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important corridor for future ship traffic        Comparison of Russia’s
between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans           policy between
(Security Council of the Russian Federation       geo-strategic regions
2008; Ministry of Energy of the Russian
Federation 2009). However, it was not until       The changes in Russia’s energy policy from
2008 that the Russian Federation managed          year 2000 to 2011 have appeared, mainly,
to formulate a comprehensive state policy         as dynamics between internationalisation
in its Arctic region. The Arctic State policy     and nationalisation of energy sector. This
is strongly linked to other federal strategies    dynamics has influenced to the meaning of
and policies that are aiming to reduce            analysed regions in Russia’s foreign policy.
socio-economic gap between regions                    First common thing between the Eurasian
within the Federation (Heininen 2011, 48).        “Rimlands” is their meaning in the protection
The development of the Northern Sea               of “Heartland”, and that is why the strategies
Route (NSR) alongside with the extraction         and policies of the Russian Federation
of hydrocarbon resources is one of the            which consider these regions include along
fundamental goals of Russia’s Arctic policy.      with the other goals a security aspect. The
This shipping channel is perceived as the         security aspect is emphasized by concept
sole means of transportation for Russian          of energy security which legitimates the
petroleum products from coastal and               states participation in energy production
insular Arctic regions (Zysk 2010, 105).          and transportation. In this regard, Russia to
Potential opening of the trans-arctic sea         shows up as an actor who has a messianic
routes and options for energy resources           task to take care stable distribution and
has got also the non-arctic states to look for    supply of energy in the Eurasia and Asia-
the benefits of them. For example China,          Pacific regions. By using a comprehensive
whose economy is dependent on imported            understanding of energy security, Russia
energy and foreign trade, follows the             justifies state’s control over the energy policy.
development of the Arctic region carefully        Matters, like environmental protection
(Jakobson 2010).                                  and human aspects, are well noticed in the
    In the future the meaning of the Arctic       concept of comprehensive energy security,
oil and gas resources for global energy           and these kinds of “soft” security means are
security may increase. Events like, ´Arab         making the comprehensive energy security
Springs´, an earthquake in Fukushima,             a received and eligible state of affairs. To
Japan and Germany’s decision to close its         succeed in this, Russia needs to control over
nuclear power plants by end of 2022 have          its energy infrastructure and that is why
promoted the Arctic’s energy reserves as a        pipelines are in strategic position.
choice for global energy security.                    A second common phenomenon is a
                                                  geopolitical rivalry for the control over
                                                  the strategic “Rimlands” which is levelled
                                                  mainly at the United States and Nato. This
                                                  is interpreted to mean that Russia’s uses its
                                                  energy assets as an instrument of power
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for protection of its national interests.             Transport infrastructure is crucial part of
However, in the light Russia’s Energy                 state’s capacity to control energy policy.
strategy, in which country’s foreign energy              One of the biggest differences between
policy objectives are defined “the maximum            analysed regions is also related to energy
efficient use of the Russian energy potential         transports. In the southern “Rimlands” of
for full-scale integration into the world             Eurasia energy is transported via pipelines,
energy market, enhancement of positions               where as in the Arctic main transport mean
thereon and gaining the highest possible              is planned to be oil and gas tankers. The
profit for the national economy” (Ministry            existing pipeline network has its advantages
of Energy of the Russian Federation 2009,             and disadvantages. On the other hand, the
55), the “stick and carrot” policy seems              pipeline network which Russia controls
to be false interpretation. Use of energy             binds and makes former Soviet states
as a foreign policy mean is like a double             dependent on Russia, but then again it
edged sword, because any threat of cutting            prevents Russia from diversifying its energy
or reducing energy supplies will have a               exports geographically and from achieving
negative effect to Russia’s reputation as             maximum commercial profits. In this sense
a liable trade partner. In this regard the            the use of tankers in energy transports
geopolitical competition is not contested             seems to be logical, since it provides global
by means of the Cold War rhetoric’s, and              markets for Russian energy.
that is why it does not necessarily mean the             In Central Asia and the Caucasus region
return to arms race. In fact, this struggle is        Russia acts mainly as a transit state, while
fought according the rules of international           region Russia’s role in the Arctic and
law and international regional institutions.3         the Asian Pacific is energy producer and
Russia is chasing to pursue extensive and             exporter. These different roles influence
multicentre cooperation, in which foreign             Russia’s foreign energy policy in analysed
policy’s goal is to get the maximum profit            regions. The gatekeeper position in Central
from the eastern and western markets.                 Asia allows the control of energy transports
   A third common feature underlines                  between China and the EU. The Central
the state sovereignty. In Russia’s energy             Asian states are trying to reduce their
policy, state sovereignty is manifested in the        dependence on Russia by concluding
discussion of infrastructure and transport            bilateral relationships for energy exports
routes. By keeping the pipelines and oil              and by planning alternative pipelines
and gas tanker fleet under state ownership,           e.g. Nabucco project which are bypass
Russia shows that, even though the country            Russian territory. On the other hand, in
is ready to open its strategic energy sector          the Arctic region Russia is dependent
to foreign investments, she not willing to            on both technological and economical
give up the control of energy transport               foreign investments. In order to encourage
infrastructure. The desire to avoid transit           investments Russia has had to change the
states countries by building up new supply            energy sector and to make it more open.
routes e.g. Nord Stream and South Stream,
support Russian foreign energy policy goals.

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Conclusions                                        However, the use of “energy weapon” is
                                                   bad policy from Russian point of view,
Energy became more central to Russian              because it reduces the incentive to do
foreign policy due to the rapid rise in the        business with Russia in other sectors. After
world market price of oil in the beginning         oil prices’ peaked in 2008 Russia tried to
21 st century. High prices resulted from           modernize its economy by reducing the
the exports of fossil fuels became the             country’s economic dependence on natural
most important income for state. Rapid             resources. The modernization policy has
economic recovery and centralization of            softened Russia’s foreign policy. This has
power revised character of Russian foreign         increased the prestige in doing business
policy. The strengthening of Russia did not        with Russia and has strengthened Russia’s
mean return to expansive foreign policy,           credibility. A politically and economically
thus Russia’s foreign policy is guided by the      strong and steady Russia is crucial for world
objective maximize its economic growth.            geopolitical stability and peace.
   After Vladimir Putin’s accession to
power, both domestic and foreign policy
was economy-oriented. The economic                 End notes
system was capitalist even though state’s
role was bolstered up. This affected also          1
                                                    All these three regions are vital for Russia’s
the energy sector in which state control           energy and foreign policy. It has been
increased as compared to privatization             estimated that one fourth of the world’s
policy during 1990’s. Strong state policy,         undiscovered hydrocarbon resources and
led by president Putin, promoted better            strategic sea route for energy transports
execution in reaching Russia’s national            exists in the Arctic region (Circum-
interests. Putin’s foreign policy did not mean     Arctic Resource Appraisal: Estimates
Russia’s isolation from the world markets          of Undiscoverd Oil and Gas North of
because Russia still tried to integrate strongly   the Arctic Circle 2008). Also the role of
into the global economy. However, the              the Central Asian and Caucasus states as
integration would only happen according            a non-OPEC and non-Russian oil and
to Russia’s national interests.                    gas producer is strategic; however these
   Russia’s foreign, security and energy           countries are dependent on Russian energy
policy documents and strategies do not             transport infrastructure i.e. pipelines.
differ from their targets as compared to           (Palonkorpi 2007, 57.).
Western documents, even though Russia
and Western countries’ have different              2
                                                    CIS= Commonwealth of Independent
approach to the post-Cold War world.               States.
Despite this, interpretations of the Russian
strategies often highlight the security            3
                                                     In the High North under Arctic Council
aspects of strategies and policies. This           and Barents Euro-Arctic Council, in the
has politicised oil and gas, when Russia           East Asia, Central Asia and Caucasus
has had conflicts with other countries.            regions under Shanghai Cooperation

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