Energy Efficiency in Europe - The levers to deliver the potential.
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Content Executive summary...........................................................................................................6 1. Set appropriate indicators and targets.......................................................................8 2. Promote product standards and labels.....................................................................9 3. Unleash the energy efficiency potential of buildings......................................... 9 4. Mobilise retail consumers...........................................................................................10 5. Send the right price signals.........................................................................................11 6. Facilitate financing of energy efficiency measures...............................................12 Introduction..............................................................................................................14 Energy efficiency in Europe: A fuel waiting to take off..........................................................................16 1. A key element of the EU’s energy strategy................................................17 Energy is at the heart of the European economy.......................................................17 Ambitious targets embedded in a complex regulatory environment...................19 2. Progress falls short of ambitions.....................................................................21 2020 goals likely to be missed..........................................................................................21 Transposition of EED behind schedule..........................................................................21 Significant variations among Member States...............................................................22 More challenges ahead.......................................................................................................23 3. Capturing more of energy efficiency’s potential....................................24 Proposals to capture the untapped potential of energy efficiency.............................................................28 1. Set appropriate indicators and targets .......................................................29 1.1. Use simple targets to assess and communicate progress.......................30 Set national targets in PEC (Primary Energy Consumption) at EU level.....30 Use decomposition analysis to assess real energy savings......................30 1.2. Monitor progress with key indicators and prioritise energy efficiency measure...................................................................................31 Impacts vary widely depending on the type of energy efficiency measures...........................................................................31 Prioritise energy efficiency measures by piloting towards an overarching target: avoided CO2 emissions ............................................34
2. Promote product standards and labels........................................................35 2.1. High potential of eco-design and energy labelling.......................................36 2.2. Overcoming the barriers to wider use of energy labels.............................37 3. Unleash the energy efficiency potential of buildings...................................................................................................................40 3.1. Buildings are Europe’s worst energy-guzzlers..............................................41 3.2. Mixed success from regulatory action to date..............................................42 3.3. Energy standards for buildings: Energy Performance Certificates (EPC)....................................................................................................43 3.4. Obtain the right assessment of potential EE project savings...................46 3.5. New approaches to financing energy efficiency in buildings....................47 4. Mobilise retail consumers...................................................................................50 4.1. Measure consumption and quantify realistic savings.................................51 4.2. Inform consumers through direct or indirect feedback............................54 4.3. Convince end-users to become pro-active....................................................58 5. Send the right price signals................................................................................60 5.1. ETS: current reform plans might not be enough.........................................61 Review the quota allocation system.................................................................61 Integrate diffuse emissions into the EU ETS..................................................62 5.2. Introduce a carbon tax........................................................................................62 5.3. White certificates as a specific market instrument for energy efficiency..............................................................................................63 6. Facilitate financing of energy efficiency measures..............................66 6.1. Ramp up public funding......................................................................................67 Many European funding schemes exist, but it will not be enough.........67 National and local funds as a complement to European funds..............69 Public finance as a stimulus to private finance.............................................70 6.2. Promote innovative financing mechanisms...................................................71 Boosting ESCOs and EPCs..................................................................................71 Green Bonds need a better policy framework.............................................72 6.3. Ease access to energy efficiency funding for SMEs.....................................73 Bibliography.......................................................................................................................75 Contact list..........................................................................................................................79
Glossary Abbreviation Description 5E Efficacité Energétique et Empreinte Environnementale des Entreprises BAFA German Federal Office for Economic Affairs and Export Control (Bundesamt für Wirtschaft und Ausfuhrkontrolle) BAT Building Automation System BPIE Buildings Performance Institute Europe CBA Cost Benefit Analysis CDC Caisse des dépôts et consignations CEB Council of Europe Development Bank CEN European Committee for Standardization CENELEC European Committee for Electrotechnical Standardization CF Cohesion Fund CHP Combined Heat and Power CO2 Carbon dioxide COP21 21st session of the Conference Of the Parties CPS Carbon Price Support CUMAC Cumulé et actualisé (Cumulated and updated) DSO Distribution System Operators EACI Executive Agency for Competitiveness and Innovation EAFRD European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EC European Commission EDD European Eco-Design Directive EDF Électricité de France EE Energy Efficiency EEA European Environment Agency EEC Energy Efficiency Certificate EED Energy Efficiency Directive EEEF European Energy Efficiency Fund EEFIG Energy Efficiency Financial Institutions Group EEG Energy Efficiency Group EIB European Investment Bank ELD Energy Labelling Directive ELENA European Local Energy Assistance EMFF European Maritime and Fisheries Fund EnMS Energy Management System EPBD Energy Performance of Buildings Directive EPC Energy Performance Contract EPC Energy Performance Certificate ERA European Research Area ERDF European Regional Development Fund ESCO Energy Service Company
Abbreviation Description ESF European Social Fund ESIF European Structural & Investment Fund ETS Emissions Trading System ETSI European Telecommunications Standards Institute EU European Union EUA European Emission Allowance FEC Final Energy Consumption GDP Gross Domestic Product GHG Greenhouse Gas GIB Green Investment Bank GWP100 Global Warming Potential over 100 years H2020 Horizon 2020 Programme ICT Information and Communications Technology IEA International Energy Agency IEEN Industrial Energy Efficiency Network IFC International Finance Corporation ISO International Organization for Standardization JESSICA Joint European Support for Sustainable Investment in City Areas JRC Joint Research Centre KfW Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (German Development Bank ) MEPS Minimum Energy Performance Standard MLEI Mobilising Local Energy Investment MS Member States MURE Mesures d’Utilisation Rationnelle de l’Energie (Measures for rational use of energy) NEEAP National Energy Efficiency Action Plan nZEB Nearly Zero-Energy Building OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development PACE Property-Assessed Clean Energy PDA Project Development Assistance PEC Primary Energy Consumption PF4EE Private Financing for Energy Efficiency REN Renewable Energy SEFF Sustainable Energy Financing Facility SET plan Strategic Energy Technology Plan SME Small and Medium-sized Enterprise UK United Kingdom US United States WtW Well-to-Wheels YAECI Yearly Appliance Energy Costs Indication YEI Youth Employment Initiative
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. In December 2015, the COP21 meeting more than EUR 400 billion per year5 (~3% of and the Paris Agreement stressed more EU GDP in 2015), making the EU the biggest than ever how crucial it is for the future energy importer worldwide5. of mankind to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below Numerous reports and studies have shown 2°C above pre-industrial levels (and even that the untapped economic potential to pursue efforts to limit the temperature behind energy efficiency remains increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial considerable. The IEA, for examples, has levels). According to the International been treating energy efficiency as the ’first Energy Agency (IEA), energy efficiency fuel’ since 20133 and reckons that two is central to any two-degree energy thirds of the economically profitable scenario. The IEA considers that, by investments to improve energy 2035, investments in energy efficiency efficiency will remain untapped in the 1 CarbonBrief (2014): IEA: The marginal cost need to represent nearly half of all the period to 20354 . Most of these are in the of two degrees, http://www.carbonbrief.org/ global energy investments required building sector. iea-the-marginal-cost-of-two-degrees to stay under the two degree limit1. 2 Eurostat © European Union, 1995-2004, Accordingly, energy efficiency is one Hence, it is not surprising that energy http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products- datasets/-/nrg_100a of the key elements of the EU’s energy efficiency is one of the cornerstones 3 IEA (2013), Energy Efficiency Market Report policy. This is reflected in existing of EU Energy Policy5 , and closely linked 2013 – Market Trends and Medium-Term legislation and in targets to be reached by to its three main pillars: security (security Prospects, page 3, available at: https:// www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/ 2020 and 2030. of supply, import independence, safe publication/EEMR2013_free.pdf production), sustainability (reducing 4 IEA (2012), WEO 2012, available at: https:// While there is a broad consensus at the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions) and www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/ publication/English.pdf. Note on the IEA international level that there is considerable competitiveness (affordable energy for methodology: This estimate is based on the untapped economic and technical end-users). In 2015, the new Energy Union IEA New Policies Scenario outlined in the World Energy Outlook 2012. Investments energy efficiency potential, the measures Strategy confirmed the energy efficiency are classified as “economically viable” if the implemented with a view to an improvement targets of an improvement in energy payback period for the up-front investment is equal to or less than the amount of time in energy efficiency have not made it efficiency by 20% by 2020 6 and by 27% an investor might be reasonably willing to possible so far to stay on track to reach the by 2030. In this context, the European wait to recover the cost, using the value of undiscounted fuel savings as a metric. The targets set by the European Union. This is Commission called for a fundamental payback periods used were in some cases due in particular to various existing barriers, rethink of energy efficiency and advocated longer than current averages, but they were always shorter than the technical lifetime of such as the diffuse nature of energy saving treating it as an own energy source, individual assets. potential, the presence of many different representing the value of energy saved. 5 European Commission (2015) Energy market actors with partially conflicting However, despite the high ambitions Union Package [COM(2015) 80 final], interests, volatile energy prices and the very and numerous actions taken, progress available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/ resource.html?uri=cellar:1bd46c90- long payback period of energy efficiency has not matched expectations: the bdd4-11e4-bbe1-01aa75ed71a1.0001.03/ investments, which make energy efficiency implementation of the Energy Efficiency DOC_1&format=PDF measures unattractive for investors. Directive (adopted in 2012) 7 is behind 6 T he 2020 target is less than 1086 Mtoe of final energy consumption or less than 1483 schedule and the 2020 target of a Mtoe of primary energy consumption. The present study aims to identify 20% saving is likely to be missed at the 7 Directive 2012/27/EU of 25 October the main levers for public authorities, European level (primary energy savings are 2012 on energy efficiency, amending private companies and households, projected to reach only 17.6% by 2020 8). Directives 2009/125/EC and 2010/30/ EU and repealing Directives 2004/8/ which could help to better unleash This failure to meet the target is particularly EC and 2006/32/EC, available at: http:// the untapped technical and economic striking, since one third of the savings eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ TXT/?uri=celex%3A32012L0027 potential of energy efficiency in Europe. achieved so far can be attributed to the 8 E uropean Commission (2015), Report economic crisis9. from the Commission to the European Despite high potential and Parliament and the Council [COM(2015) 574 final], available at: http:// ambitions, progress falls below Clearly there is no silver bullet and the eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ expectations solution will lie in a complex set of many TXT/?uri=COM:2015:574:FIN different measures. 9 E uropean Commission (2015), Report from the Commission to the European Energy is a key element of the European Parliament and the Council [COM(2015) Union’s economy. The EU consumes 11% 574 final], page 3, available at: http:// eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ of global energy (i.e. 1,606 Mtoe in 2014)2 . PDF/?uri=CELEX:52015DC0574&rid=1 53% of this energy is imported at the cost of 07
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. We have grouped the key findings of this At EU and national level, the main study into six main lines of action that binding target for energy demand need to be tackled to better unleash policies should be expressed in Primary the untapped potential behind energy Energy Consumption (PEC), since a target efficiency: expressed in PEC covers both the reduction 1. Set appropriate indicators and targets; of energy consumption and the move to 2.Promote product standards and labels; a more efficient and less carbon-emitting 3.Unleash the energy efficiency potential of energy mix. Targets in PEC should be buildings; defined Member State by Member State, 4.Mobilise retail consumers; taking into account their economic growth, 5.Send the right price signals; their specific energy mix and the structure 6.Facilitate financing of energy efficiency of their economy. measures. In parallel, each Member State can use additional indicators, such as FEC or energy intensity, depending on its specific national situation, to monitor its progress and analyse the success of policy measures related to energy efficiency. At the same time, it is important to ensure that targets are consistent with other objectives linked to energy and climate policies, such as those related to renewable energy and greenhouse gas emissions. It is also important to prioritise those energy efficiency measures that have the 1. Set appropriate indicators most significant impacts on all aspects of and targets European energy strategy: reducing GHG emissions, increasing security of supply Using the right indicators and setting and maintaining competitiveness. Avoided the right targets is key to monitoring GHG emissions should be promoted as progress and communicating on an indicator in order to assess the wider achievements. So far, under the impacts of energy efficiency policies on Energy Efficiency Directive, Member overall energy and climate strategy and to States can choose whether to set their prioritise energy efficiency measures national target based on either primary based on their overall impacts. Avoided energy consumption (PEC), final energy GHG emissions: consumption (FEC), primary or final energy • encompass the broader picture (energy savings, or energy intensity. efficiency, renewables, mitigation of climate However, there are several concerns with change); these targets: FEC covers only 66% of the • can be related to long-term global targets EU-28’s gross inland consumption10 , as it (e.g. the COP 21 target); does not take into account energy losses • are already widely in use (GWP100); and from energy production, transport and • are well known to decision-makers and distribution. Energy intensity (measured stakeholders. as units of energy per unit of GDP) is influenced by many non-energy related Moreover, an adequate decomposition factors, such as standards of living, analysis method should be defined at different weather conditions, the structure EU level and used in all Member States of the economy, etc. to enable the actual progress of energy 10 Eurostat © European Union, 1995-2004, http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products- efficiency to be tracked independently of datasets/-/nrg_100a structural and activity changes (such as the impacts of an economic crisis). 08
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. are needed to develop relevant, up-to date and easily understandable energy labels, possibly integrating the full life cycle cost of energy-using products. 11 Directive 2009/125/EC of 21 October 2009 establishing a framework for the setting of ecodesign requirements for energy-related products, available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/ en/ALL/?uri=CELEX:32009L0125, and 2. Promote product standards Directive 2010/30/EU of 19 May 2010 on the indication by labelling and standard and labels product information of the consumption Energy standards and labels enable better of energy and other resources by energy- communication and transparency for related products, available at: http:// eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ customers and investors, and enhance ALL/?uri=CELEX%3A32010L0030 competition and innovation for companies. 3. Unleash the energy efficiency 12 Deloitte (2014), Preparatory Study to The Ecodesign and Energy Labelling potential of the construction establish the Ecodesign Working Plan 2015- 2017, draft report available at: http://www. Directives11 implemented key measures to sector ecodesign-wp3.eu/ promote energy standards and labels for Buildings account for 39% of the EU’s 13 European Commission (2016), An EU energy-using products in Europe, with much total final energy consumption (2014), Strategy on Heating and Cooling (COM (2016) 15 final), available at: http:// success (175 Mtoe of savings per year by two thirds of which is in the residential eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ 2020, or 11.6% of the EU-28’s PEC in 2014). sector. This is where the greatest potential PDF/?uri=CELEX:52016DC0051&rid=1 Further progress is still possible through for energy savings lies: 75% of the EU’s 14 BPIE (2014), Investing in the European several actions: building stock is still energy inefficient and buildings infrastructure – An opportunity for the EU’s new investment package http:// • The list of product categories targeted the rate of building renovation remains bpie.eu/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/ by these directives could be further very low at around 0.4% to 1.2% per Investing_in_Europe_s_buildings_ infrastructure_BPIE_Discussion_Paper.pdf extended (potential additional savings year13 , while a rate of around 3% per year 15 Directive 2010/31/EU of 19 May 2010 on the estimated at 6.2 Mtoe by 2020 for a would be needed14 . energy performance of buildings, available selection of product groups (and at 8.9 at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/ EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A32010L0031 Mtoe by 2030));12 European legislation on building sector • Labels and ecodesign requirements energy efficiency is embedded in 16 Ricardo-AEA (2015), Study evaluating the national policy measures and need to be updated regularly, taking different Directives, mainly in the Energy methodologies to implement Article 7 of into account technological progress and Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD)15 the Energy Efficiency Directive, available at: http://rekk.hu/downloads/projects/ ensuring that the level of ambition is and the Energy Efficiency Directive (EED). Final%20Report%20on%20Article%20 adequate; According to a recent study16 , 48% of the 7%20EED.pdf, page vi • The legislative process should be energy savings targeted under the EED’s17 17 A rticle 7 refers to ’Energy efficiency obligation schemes’ and requires, inter optimised and shortened, particularly energy obligation schemes (Article 7) are alia, that each MS ’shall set up an energy in relation to review studies designed likely to be achieved in the building sector. efficiency obligation scheme that shall ensure that distributors and/or retail to update requirements in line with energy sales companies should achieve a technological developments; However, the implementation of cumulative end-use energy savings target by 31 December 2020, at least equivalent to • Last but not least, stronger market the Directives is lagging behind: a achieving new savings each year of 1.5% of surveillance is needed to enforce recent study by BPIE showed that only the annual energy sales to final customers’. ecodesign and labelling regulation. five countries were fully compliant with 18 It scores the strategies against the five component sections of Article 4 on a scale European requirements: the Czech Republic, of 0-5 where 0=Missing, 1=Unsatisfactory, Additionally, there is a need to ensure that Finland, Romania, Spain and the UK18 . In 2=Inadequate, 3=Adequate, 4=Good, 5=Excellent. A strategy is considered consumers are informed about both the practice, most Member States had not as being compliant with the minimum absolute and relative performance of their set a consistent path for the renovation requirements of Article 4 if it achieves a rating of 70% and each of the individual products and that the meaning of labels is of their national building stocks, but sections scores at least 3. fully understood. Hence, continuous efforts were following a rather short-sighted 09
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. strategy. Various measures have proven energy efficiency measure, but to amortise successful in encouraging the improvement the investment on a regular basis and in of energy efficiency in buildings and these line with the energy savings generated. should be promoted more widely in the EU. Examples are on-bill or on-tax financing schemes, such as Property-Assessed Clean One example, already promoted in the Energy (PACE) programmes in the US. More EPBD, are Energy Performance Certificates than 47,000 residential PACE assessments (EPCs), an application of energy labels worth almost $960 million have been for buildings. EPCs have been shown to implemented so far across California21. have a positive effect on energy efficiency Such mechanisms need to be promoted improvements and to contribute to higher by public authorities and put in place by sale or rental prices (up to 6%)19. However, private companies. EPCs have not yet achieved their full potential, due to poor implementation, lack of enforcement and the variety of existing methods. Comparable buildings in different countries, or even regions within a country, can obtain different classifications. This weakens the reliability of the certificates. Public authorities should therefore strive for better homogenisation of EPCs and promote them more extensively. The calculation and verification methodology for EPCs should be harmonised throughout the EU. At project level, a better anticipation of benefits resulting from energy efficiency 19 Deloitte / a.k.a. Bio Intelligence Service measures is necessary to justify their 4. Mobilise retail consumers (2013), Energy performance certificates in buildings and their impact on transaction implementation on solid grounds: ex ante prices and rents in selected EU countries, assessment of energy savings should Raising the awareness of the end-users, https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/ files/documents/20130619-energy_ be based on real ex post evaluations of and gathering and communicating the performance_certificates_in_buildings.pdf similar projects and be tailored to each relevant data, will play an important role in 20 The “landlord-tenant problem” is a typical specific measure. The analysis should also reaching the EU energy efficiency targets. case of split incentives, i.e. a situation where economic actors participating take into account potential co-benefits End-users need to be mobilised to adapt in an exchange do not share the same (impact on individual comfort, on the their everyday habits and become more objectives. In the case of energy efficiency, split incentives occur between tenants and market value of buildings, etc.). These aware of their energy consumption, and of landlords. While tenants want to minimise can be more significant than pure energy the potential savings they could generate. their energy bill, landlords want to minimise their investment costs. Since the landlord savings in certain cases. France’s pilot Several interrelated actions are required: will not get any return from investment in energy renovation passport is one example a more efficient energy system, and the tenant is not certain to cover the cost of of such specific analysis. This passport Measure precisely what end-users an investment through cost savings on the is an in-depth energy audit of a dwelling, consume and quantify what they could energy bill, the energy efficiency potential often remains unrealised. with at least three detailed scenarios realistically save. Rolling out smart meters, for the renovation work. It includes a for electricity and/or gas, can work as an 21 Berkelay LAB (2016), Residential Property Assessed Clean Energy in California, https:// detailed analysis, a cost estimation, and enabler for such measurement actions. In emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-1003964.pdf an assessment of expected savings and 2012, most Member States performed a 22 European Commission (2014), Cost-benefit potential subsidies. cost-benefit analysis to decide whether they analyses & state of play of smart metering deployment in the EU-27, [COM(2014) should introduce smart meters or not 22 . The 356 final, SWD(2014) 188 final], http:// One key barrier to energy efficiency in average cost of a smart metering system eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ PDF/?uri=CELEX:52014SC0189&rid=1 the building sector is the landlord-tenant is estimated at between EUR 200 and EUR 23 European Commission (2014), Cost-benefit problem20. Solutions to this problem can 250 per customer, as opposed to average analyses & state of play of smart metering be found in specific and innovative financing benefits per metering point (including the deployment in the EU-27, available at http:// eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ mechanisms that enable the tenant not cost reduction permitted by average energy PDF/?uri=CELEX:52014SC0189&from=EN to pay upfront for the investment in an savings of around 3%23 and other benefits, 10
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. such as lower metering costs) of EUR 160 taken up either by incumbent operators for gas and EUR 309 for electricity. As a (power utilities, energy providers) or consequence, 16 Member States24 started by innovative, often IT-focused, new a wide-scale roll-out programme (80% or companies. more) for electricity, while seven countries25 opted for a selective roll-out or a limited roll- out (i.e. less than 80%). Only a few countries (Austria, France, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands and UK) 26 have so far chosen to roll out gas smart metering. I nform consumers through direct or indirect feedback. Potential gains have to be presented in a clear, transparent and easily understandable way. Achievable targets should be forecasted and progress monitored. Several companies are developing home automation systems (domotics) to provide end-users with relevant, transparent and incentivising feedback. Many new companies are 5. Send the right price signals emerging on this market (Nest, founded in 2010 and acquired by Google for EUR 3.2 Higher carbon prices would contribute billion in 2014), Evohome (United States), towards making energy efficiency measures Tado (Germany), Hive, Heatmiser, Heat economically more attractive. A structural Genius and Connect (United Kingdom) or reform of the EU emissions trading system Istabai (Latvia), claim that they can help (EU ETS) is being undertaken, but will most their clients cut their bills by up to 15%-50%. probably not be sufficient to solve all the Gamification techniques, such as customer- current difficulties of the system (surplus feedback programmes comparing the of allowances, sensitivity to shocks, etc.). energy performance of neighbours, can be Further action is needed to set carbon price used to make this feedback more attractive. signals at a level that really induces actors to invest in energy efficiency, i.e.: Convince end-users to become proactive. • Make sure that the long-term reform While more and more large companies are of the ETS currently under discussion conducting energy audits and implementing is ambitious enough and does not Energy Management Systems (EnMS), lead to any over-allocation of CO2 specific measures are needed to encourage allowances; this implies, inter alia, that SMEs, and also households. A recent the calculation of future allocation of EU study found a tendency for countries to allowances should take into account all pay more attention to energy audits than the energy and climate policy measures specific instruments dedicated to EnMS27. implemented at EU and national levels 24 Austria, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, An example of a mechanism to incentivise (especially those in favour of low-carbon Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, Energy Management Systems can be energies and energy efficiency, since they Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom found in Germany, where energy intensive have a significant impact on future GHG industries (> 1GWh) with a certified Energy emissions); 25 Belgium, Czech Republic, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, Slovakia Management System are exempt from • As long as the CO2 price set by the EU 26 http://ses.jrc.ec.europa.eu/smart-metering- the renewable energy surcharge (EEG ETS is not high enough, complement the deployment-european-union surcharge). ETS by implementing carbon taxes, 27 European Commission (2016), A Study on similar to the UK’s carbon floor price, Energy Efficiency in Enterprises: Energy Audits and Energy Management Systems, These measures provide opportunities which has increased the cost of carbon available at: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/ to develop new business models (smart for UK power plants to £23/CO2eq., as sites/ener/files/documents/EED-Art8- Implementation-Study_Task12_Report_ metering, smart home appliances, compared to EUR 5/tCO2eq. through the FINAL-approved.pdf consumer-friendly bills, etc.), which can be EU ETS alone. 11
Energy Efficiency in Europe |The levers to deliver the potential. Revenues from carbon taxes could be uncertain energy prices, lack of relevant and used, for instance, to reduce other taxes understandable information for investors, or be channelled into energy-efficient etc.), an efficient financing framework needs investments. to be developed to ensure an optimal • Integrate diffuse emissions into these interplay between public and private actors. price-setting mechanisms as much as possible (55% of overall GHG emissions The European Commission estimates are not covered by the EU ETS); this that EUR 100 billion need to be invested can be done either by integrating more annually to achieve Europe’s 2020 energy sectors into the ETS (buildings, road efficiency targets28 . Yet, the total annual transport, etc.) as is currently being done investment by public banks is currently in California’s ETS, or by implementing estimated at only EUR 15-20 billion29. ambitious carbon taxes targeting diffuse Ramping up funds and facilitating the emissions. access to energy efficiency financing needs to become a key priority at the EU and at While the EU ETS and carbon taxes aim to Member State level. reduce GHG emissions, other market-based mechanisms, such as white certificates, Public funds alone cannot finance all the target energy savings directly. However, necessary energy efficiency measures. The these schemes still have a long way to go public sector needs to act as a catalyst, before reaching full efficiency and credibility. boosting private financing to close the Quantification standards need to be investment gap. implemented to avoid unrealistic energy • Tailor-made solutions provided by saving calculations and a harmonisation closer public-private collaboration of existing schemes is necessary to need to be developed to drive broader create a larger and more efficient investments in energy efficiency; market. • SMEs deserve particular attention. SMEs represent 99% of all companies in the EU, but only 64% of all SMEs are taking action to save energy, compared to 82% of large companies30. Therefore, specific support needs to be offered to SMEs, among others, through intelligent project pooling structures and bundling mechanisms. Innovative financing mechanisms need to be put in place and promoted in order to overcome existing market failures and to unlock the significant energy efficiency potential, in particular in the building sector. Such innovative 6. Facilitate financing of energy mechanisms include energy performance 28 European Commission, Financing energy efficiency, available at: https://ec.europa. efficiency measures contracting schemes (EPCs) offered by eu/energy/en/topics/energy-efficiency/ Energy Service Companies (ESCO), green financing-energy-efficiency Facilitating access to energy efficiency bonds, etc. The latter constitute promising 29 DIW (2013), Financing of Energy Efficiency: financing needs to become a key priority at investment products for companies: green Influences on European Public Banks’ Actions and Ways Forward, page 1, the EU and Member State level, and a set bond issuance increased 16-fold between available at: http://www.diw.de/documents/ of key actions needs to be taken to get on 2012 and 2015 from USD 2.6 billion to USD publikationen/73/diw_01.c.422405.de/ hudson_financing.pdf track to meet the EU’s long-term targets. 41.8 billion worldwide. 30 European Commission, Eurobarometer Since various barriers are limiting the survey: SMEs are important for a smooth attractiveness to traditional private transition to a greener economy, http:// europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-12- investors of financing energy efficiency 218_en.htm measures (such as long payback periods, 12
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. 13
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. Introduction 14
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. The COP21 meeting and the in energy efficiency is not particularly Paris Agreement, agreed upon attractive from a purely financial in December 2015, highlighted perspective, because of long payback more than ever how crucial it is periods and uncertain returns on for the future of mankind to hold investments; the economic crisis the increase in the global average and the dwindling energy prices are temperature to well below 2°C not favourable contexts for energy above pre-industrial levels (and savings, etc. even to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above This study aims to identify the pre-industrial levels). According to main levers for public authorities, the International Energy Agency private companies and households, (IEA), energy efficiency is central to which could better unleash energy any energy scenario that matches efficiency’s technical and economic this two degree limit. In fact, by 2035, potential. Obviously, there is no investments in energy efficiency silver bullet and the solution lies need to represent nearly half of all in a complex set of many different global energy investment in order to measures. stay within this figure31. Accordingly, energy efficiency is a key element of After an introductory section EU’s energy policy. designed to present the context and key elements of European Union Many studies have stressed energy and energy efficiency policies, that the economic and technical we group our key findings into six potential behind energy efficiency groups of proposals: is considerable, demonstrating that 1. S et appropriate indicators many readily available measures and targets; could yield significant savings, both in 2. Promote product standards terms of energy consumption and in and labelling; terms of costs. 3. U nleash the energy efficiency potential of buildings; Despite this emphasis on energy 4. M obilise retail consumers; efficiency, both from international 5. S end the right price signals; experts and policy-makers, there 6. F acilitate financing of energy is a consensus that the measures efficiency measures. targeting an increase in energy efficiency implemented so far have This study is based on Deloitte’s not enabled the EU to reach its in-house expertise, bibliographical targets. Different reasons for having analyses and consultation of several fallen short of expectations have key European companies and been put forward: energy savings industry associations. The views are potential is diffuse, with many Deloitte’s own. different players involved; investment 31 CarbonBrief (2014): IEA: The marginal cost of two degrees, http://www.carbonbrief.org/ iea-the-marginal-cost-of-two-degrees 15
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. Energy efficiency in Europe: A fuel waiting to take off 16
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. 1. A key element of the EU’s energy strategy Energy is at the heart of the renewables 13%. European economy Transport is the largest source of final The EU consumes 11% of global energy demand (32%), followed by energy32 and is the third largest energy the residential sector (28%) and by consumer after China (23% of global industry (26%). 94% of transport energy energy consumption) and the United States consumption is based on oil products, of (17%) 33 . Fossil fuels represent 72% of EU’s which 90% are imported. energy consumption, nuclear 14% and 14 - 1% 201 269 153 13% 17% 14% 377 32 Eurostat © European Union, 1995-2004, http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products- 226 26% datasets/-/nrg_100a 14% 33 Enerdata, Total energy consumption, 296 https://yearbook.enerdata.net/energy- 344 553 28% consumption-data.html 21% 34% 349 34 Gross inland energy consumption is equal 32% to primary energy consumption plus the consumption of fossil fuels for non-energy purposes. 35 Calculations based on Eurostat data, Solid Fuels Oil Gaz Industry Transport Eurostat © European Union, 1995-2004, Nuclear RES Other Residential Services http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products- datasets/-/nrg_100a Figure 1: EU-28 Gross Inland Consumption34 Figure 2: EU-28 Final Energy Consumption, by 36 Eurostat © European Union, 1995-2004, by energy source in 201435 (Mtoe, %) sector in 2014 (Mtoe, %)36 http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products- datasets/-/nrg_100a 37 European Commission (2015), Energy Union The EU meets 53% of its total primary year (2013) 37, or around 3% of EU GDP. This Package [COM(2015) 80 final], available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ energy needs from imports. makes the EU the world’s biggest energy TXT/?uri=COM%3A2015%3A80%3AFIN This costs more than EUR 400 billion per importer. 17
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. 600 558 520 500 400 300 278 231 200 112 123 100 0 Solid fuels Total petroleum Gas products 2010 2014 Figure 3: Net imports of solid fuels, petroleum products and gas in EU-28 (Mtoe). 38 On average, EU household and industrial In every EU Member State, the electricity consumers currently pay more for their price to industrial consumers is higher than electricity than consumers in most in the US, India or Canada. This relative major world economies. The exceptions price difference as compared to other are Japan (due to reactor shutdowns in economies can have a strong impact on the the aftermath of the nuclear accidents in competitiveness of European companies, in Fukushima), and Australian households. particular for energy-intensive industries. Current prices for electricity - Household Consumers Current prices for electricity - Industrial Consumers 300 highest 300 250 250 highest EU 28 200 average 200 EU 28 150 150 average 100 100 lowest lowest 50 50 0 0 n ay y a il a a ia S da lia n Tu y ey S da a a a U ke in di si az pa a U in di si pa ss w na rk w ra na ne In ne Ch In Ch Br r Ja Ru Ja or or Tu st Ca Ca do do N N Au In In Figure 4: Current prices for electricity in EU-28 and other major economies for household and industrial consumers (EUR/MWh)39 , reference year 2012. 38 Calculations based on Eurostat data, Acknowledging that energy is at the heart competitiveness and affordability, and Eurostat © European Union, 1995-2004, http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products- of the European economy, the EU has been security of supply. Energy efficiency is a datasets/-/nrg_100a defining ambitious energy strategies major component of these strategies and 39 European Commission (2014), Presentation and targets for years. These strategies has a key role in reducing greenhouse « Energy Union and Climate Change Policy », https://ec.europa.eu/priorities/sites/beta- aim at achieving energy sustainability (inter gas emissions, increasing the EU’s political/files/energy-union-1-year_en.pdf alia reducing greenhouse gas emissions), competitiveness and security of supply. 18
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. Ambitious targets embedded in a energy efficiency targets. Some of the complex regulatory environment regulatory texts, such as the EED48 and Irrespective of other considerations, the Energy Performance of Buildings such as carbon emission reduction Directive (EPBD) 49 , will undergo a review requirements or import dependence, there in the second half of 2016. The complex 40 Council of the European Union 7224/1/07, REV 1., available at: http://register.consilium. is a clear case on efficiency grounds alone regulatory environment is illustrated in the europa.eu/doc/srv?l=EN&f=ST%207224%20 for the EU to use less energy. As part of an Figure 5 next page. 2007%20REV%201 initial set of targets, the EU set in 2007 an 41 Directive 2012/27/EU of the European energy efficiency target of 20% by 202040 . In 2014, the EU agreed on a new energy Parliament and of the Council of 25 October 2012 on energy efficiency, amending Four years later, the European Council efficiency target of 27%, or greater, by Directives 2009/125/EC and 2010/30/ acknowledged that the EU was off track to 2030 (i.e. 27% energy savings compared EU and repealing Directives 2004/8/ EC and 2006/32/EC, available at: http:// reach this target and as a result, the Energy with the business-as-usual scenario 50) 51. eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ. Efficiency Directive (EED) was adopted in The intention is to integrate the 2030 target do?uri=OJ:L:2012:315:0001:0056:EN:PDF 2012 to help close the gap, amending and in the EED as part of the review foreseen 42 European Commission (2012), EED (2012/27/ EU), Article 1.1 repealing older Directives 41. for the second half of 2016. 43 European Commission (2012), EED (2012/27/ EU), Article 3.1(a) The EED is grounded in three major cross- On 25 February 2015 the EC adopted a 44 European Commission (2012), EED (2012/27/ sectoral targets: “Framework Strategy for a Resilient Energy EU), Article 3.1 • The Union’s 2020 20% headline target. Union with a Forward-Looking Climate 45 European Commission (2012), EED (2012/27/ The main objective of the Directive Change Policy” (also known as the Energy EU), Article 24.7 is “to ensure the achievement of the Union Package or the Energy Union 46 European Commission (2012), EED (2012/27/ Union’s 2020 20% headline target on Framework Strategy), with an overarching EU), Article 7.1 energy efficiency and to pave the way for goal of paving the way for the transition 47 Averaged over the most recent three-year period prior to 1 January 2013. For this further energy efficiency improvements to a low-carbon, secure and competitive calculation, the sales of energy used in beyond that date”42 . It provides a legal economy. That transition is to be grounded transport may be partially or fully excluded. basis for the target for 2020 of limiting in the three main pillars of EU energy 48 The review will focus on Articles 1, 3, 6, 7, primary energy consumption (PEC) to not policy: security (security of supply, 9-11, 20 and 24, in view of the introduction of a new energy efficiency target for more than 1,483 Mtoe or 1,086 Mtoe of import independence, safe production), 2030: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/ final energy consumption (FEC) 43 . This sustainability (reducing greenhouse gas consultations/consultation-review-directive- 201227eu-energy-efficiency equates to a 20% saving compared to (GHG) emissions) and competitiveness 49 Directive 2010/31/EU of the European projections made in 2007, prior to the (keeping energy prices reasonable for end- Parliament and of the Council of 19 financial crisis. users). Within this framework strategy, the May 2010 on the energy performance of buildings, available at: http://eur-lex. • Indicative national efficiency targets. Commission defined five dimensions52 , of europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ The Directive requires Member States which one is “Energy efficiency contributing PDF/?uri=CELEX:32010L0031&rid=1 to set their own individual indicative to moderation of demand”53 . 50 This target will be reviewed by 2020, having in mind a target of 30% instead. national energy efficiency targets 44 . These are subject to an evaluation by In this context, the EC called for a 51 The European Commission had initially proposed 30% in its Energy Efficiency the Commission, assessing whether they fundamental rethink of energy efficiency Communication; available at: http:// will be sufficient to reach the overall EU and advocated treating it as an own eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ TXT/?uri=COM:2014:0520:FIN. target 45 . energy source, representing the value 52 The four others are: energy security, • Binding national targets for end-use of energy saved. This approach is new in solidarity and trust; a fully integrated savings. The Directive46 requires Member the European energy strategy, but in line European energy market; decarbonising the economy; research, innovation and States to have an energy efficiency with the vision of the International Energy competitiveness. obligation scheme; this scheme should Agency (IEA) which - until a few years’ ago 53 European Commission (2015), Energy Union allow them to reach a general binding - described energy efficiency as a “hidden Package [COM(2015) 80 final], available at: target from 1 January 2014 to 31 fuel”, but changed the notion to “first fuel” http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ TXT/?uri=COM%3A2015%3A80%3AFIN December 2020. This is new savings each in its Energy Efficiency Market Report 54 IEA (2013), Energy Efficiency Market Report year of 1.5% of annual energy sales to final 201354 . 2013 – Market Trends and Medium-Term customers 47. Prospects, page 3, available at: https:// www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/ In the aftermath of COP21, the EC did publication/EEMR2013_free.pdf In addition to the EED, several Directives not change its strategy, stating that 55 Speech by Miguel Arias Cañete on EU’s and other regulatory texts or financial measures already taken or initiated were climate and energy policies after COP21 - http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_ instruments were put in place to considered to be sufficient to deliver on the SPEECH-16-264_en.htm contribute to reaching the overall commitments55 . 19
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. Overarching policies The way forward The energy Efficiency Directive Action Plan for Energy 2030 framework for climate Roadmap for moving to a low- (EED) (20/12/27/EU) Efficiency (2007-12) and energy policies carbon economy in 2050 Rules and obligations to help Aims to achieve a 20% Sets a target of at least 27% Establishes energy the EU reach its 2020 energy reduction in energy for renewable energy and efficiency as central efficiency target consumption by 2020 energy savings by 2030 to EU energy policies Processes Emissions Products The Energy Performance of Emissions Trading System Ecodesign of Energy-related The Tyre Labelling Regulation Buildings Directive (2010/31/EU) (2003/87/EC) Products Directive (2009/125/EU) (1222/2009) Mandatory energy efficiency Provides an incentive to the Minimum energy efficiency Defines tyre label standards certificates accompanying the sale industries covered to increase standards for a variety to amongst others help and rental of buildings. Alle new energy efficiency by setting of products consumers choose a product buildings to be nearly zero-energy a price on GHG emissions that more fuel efficient by the end of 2020 The Energy Labelling Directive (2020/30/EU) Construction Products Regulation The Combined Heat and Power Effort Sharing Decision (305/2011) Directive (2004/08/EC) (406/2009/EC) Minimum energy labelling standards for a variety Sets energy efficiency of products requirements in construction Requirements on setting Supports energy efficiency works comprehensive assessment measures through the adoption of on the national potential mandatory targets The Energy Star Regulation of congeneration and ditrict for GHG reduction in (106/2008) Directive on the Promotion heating and cooling the non-ETS sector. of Clean and Energy Efficient Road Transport Vehicles (2009/33/EC) Voluntary energy labelling Strategic Energy Technology Plan Industrial Emissions Directive scheme for office equipment Stimulates demand for lower (SET Plan) (2010/75/EU) carbon technologies alternative fuels and clean and energy-efficient Enables Member States to vehicles Supports technologies with set limit values for GHS the greatest impact on the EU’s emissions from installations transformation to a low-carbon that are excludes from energy system. the ETS Financial Instruments Private Financing for Energy European Energy Efficiency Fund Horizon 2020 Efficiency instrument (PF4EE) (EEEF) Provides support for energy- Provides support to projects related research, including for the implementation of national Offers funding for energy energy-efficiency, low carbon Energy Efficiency Action Plans efficiency and small scale technologies and Smart Cities or other national energy renewable energy projects & Communities efficiency programs Project development Assistance European Structural & Investment Energy Efficiency Financial (PDA) Funds (ESIF) institutions Group (EEFIG) Bridge the gap between Provides support to overcome sustainable energy plans and EUR 27 billion is ring-fenced challenges to obtaining real investment by mobilizing to support the shift toward long-term financing for investment in sustainable energy a low-carbon economy energy efficiency. projects Figure 5: Legal and Financial Energy Efficiency Framework in the EU 20
Energy Efficiency in Europe | The levers to deliver the potential. 56 Under the Energy Efficiency Directive (EED), 2. Progress falls short of ambitions each EU country must draw up a National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP) every three years. This plan sets out estimated energy consumption, planned energy efficiency measures and the improvements each country expects to achieve. In addition, EU countries must report the progress 2020 goals likely to be missed • Member States need to take additional achieved towards their national energy efficiency targets on an annual basis. In 2014, calculations published by the measures and fully implement EU European Commission showed that, based legislation; 57 European Commission (2015), Report from the Commission to the European on the indicative energy efficiency • the greatest potential lies in the building Parliament and the Council [COM(2015) targets fixed in Member States’ National sector;61 574 final], page 3, available at: http:// eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ Energy Efficiency Action Plans (NEEAP) 56 , • financing energy efficiency measures PDF/?uri=CELEX:52015DC0574&rid=1 the sum of those targets would lead to remains an important barrier; 58 European Commission (2015), State only 17.6% primary energy savings in • information failures need to be of Energy Union, http://eur-lex. europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ 2020 when compared to projections57, overcome. PDF/?uri=CELEX:52015DC0572&from=EN below the target of 20%. So far, the EED 59 European Commission (2015), Report has therefore not fully delivered what it was Transposition of EED behind schedule from the Commission to the European created for. EU Member States were required to Parliament and the Council [COM(2015) 574 final], page 13, available at: http:// transpose the EED’s provisions into eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/ On 18 November 2015, the EC published their national laws by 5 June 2014 62 , PDF/?uri=CELEX:52015DC0574&rid=1 the first State of the Energy Union58 , an but nearly all of them failed to do so 60 Decarbonisation of the economy; energy efficiency; a fully-integrated internal energy assessment of the progress made since the on time. In the second half of 2014, the market; energy security, solidarity and trust; inception of the Energy Union Framework EC launched infringement procedures 63 research, innovation and competitiveness. Strategy in February 2015. A key conclusion against 27 EU Member States (all except 61 At that time, a dedicated EU-wide strategy for heating and cooling was missing; since then, was that “Member States should accelerate Malta) for non-transposition of the in February 2016, the Commission proposed their efforts in order to achieve their Directive. Until 2015, the Commission had an EU heating and cooling strategy, available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/en/ national energy efficiency targets for 2020 issued 22 reasoned opinions to Member TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52016DC0051 or to go beyond them.”59 This assessment States where transposition was still not 62 European Commission (2012), EED (2012/27/ analysed the progress in the EU from completely achieved and had referred EU), Article 28(1) several perspectives 60 and the diagnosis is two Member States to Court (Hungary 63 Infringement procedures take several steps particularly clear when it comes to energy in March 2015 64 and Greece in June to encourage countries to comply with a legislation before ultimately leading to the efficiency: 2015). In October 2015, the EC requested European Court of Justice and possible fines: • the 2020 target is likely to be missed if eleven Member States (Belgium, Bulgaria, a letter of formal notice, a reasoned opinion, and finally the referral to the European Court ambitions remain at the current level; Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Spain, Finland, of Justice. 21
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