Enel Russia Capital Markets Day - Strategic Plan 2021-23
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Agenda Stephane Zweguintzow 2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars General Manager Key financial data Yulia Matyushova 2021-23 Chief Financial Officer Strategic plan Earnings & targets Stephane Zweguintzow Closing remarks 2
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Main drivers & events of 2020: delivery on strategic pillars Strategic pillars 2020 delivery - Effect of COVID-related restrictions and complications on projects timeline Transformation towards - Active construction at Azov and Kola windfarms sustainable generation profile - Reftinskaya GRES disposal completed: power plant transferred & final fixed payment received - Successful actions against COVID with almost no impact on efficiency of day-to-day work process Focus on development of gas - Continued work on modernization with the first project to be power plants commissioned in 2022 (TG4 NGRES) - Persistent activities on improving the parameters of existing assets (SP8 CCGT NGRES upgrade) Operational efficiency - Continued fixed costs decrease following RGRES disposal - Rub 3 Bn dividend distributed during 2020 Shareholder remuneration - Fixed dividend approach updated for the transformation phase 4
2020 financial targets affected by external factors¹ 2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars EBITDA (RUB bn) Net ordinary income (RUB bn) -12% -26% 15.3 11.2 7.5 9.9 6.2 4.6 2019 2020E 2019 2020E 2020 2020 Adverse effect of lower power demand and prices Target Estimate 1. Financial data as per Enel Internal accounting standards (IAS) hereinafter unless otherwise stated; Audited IFRS results for 2019 5
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Key directions of Strategic Plan 2021-23 Finalization of Execution of Dedicated focus on Shareholder renewable projects modernization project financial profile remuneration 362 MW wind Timely Fixed dividend projects under Financial performance of approach execution despite sustainability activities related updated, “force majeure” supports to replacement distribution of resulting in 39% industrial & upgrade of RUB 3 Bn shifted EBITDA from RES repositioning facilities from 2021 to 2023 in 2023 Participation in new tenders on case-by-case basis 2021 is a “pivotal year” for the Company 6
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Gradual increase of installed capacity: lower carbon and more efficient technologies Evolution of installed capacity (GW) Net Power Output (TWh) 5.6 5.9 18.6 18.4 18.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 18.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 Renewable 12.7 12.9 12.5 12.0 4.8 4.8 Conventional gas CCGT 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.8 0.8 0.8 2020 2021 2022 2023 …onwards 2020E 2021 2022 2023 +90 MW +201 MW +71 MW Azov Wind Farm Kola Wind Farm Rodnikovski Wind Farm +40 MW SGRES modernization Company will continue following the path of technology profile diversification as one of its strategic pillars 7
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Main directions of development EBITDA outlook by technology 2020E 2021 20221 20231 0% 0% 12% 5% 4% 9.9 7.5 34% 10.6 12.4 RUB bn RUB bn RUB bn 39% RUB bn 61% 57% 100% 88% Strategic plan for 2021-2023 is based on updated assumptions on macro & market outlook in a “new normality” 1 8 Total contribution of the modernized unit to EBITDA
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Renewables: impact of pandemics Challenges caused by pandemics Effect on renewable projects Cause Effect Azov Kola Rodnikovski COVID-19 cases on the temporary interruptions construction site of works impact on the entire issues with supply / delivery manufacturing chain of several main components travel restrictions to enter issues with arrival of foreign Russian territory from abroad specialist and supervisors In January 2021 the Supervisory Board of the Market Council recognized the situation on Azov project as force majeure, opening the opportunity not to pay fines from Dec. 2020 to Mar. 2021 in accordance with the DPM terms 9
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Renewables: virtual site visits Azov Kola Powerplant completed and fully energized Significant progress on ground infrastructure and equipment assembly https://youtu.be/lITxn0KLuMg 10
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Renewables: on path towards commissioning Status of project Azov Kola Rodnikovski 2021 2022 2024 Design and contracting completed completed in process HV T-line 50 km out of 50 km 56 pylons out of 262 Medium Voltage collector system 15 km out of 15 km 6 km out of 88 To start after design and Main elements contracting Internal Roads 16 km out of 16 km 4,5 km out of 58 WTGs foundations 26 units out of 26 17 units out of 57 To start after design and Manufacturing of main wind 100% towers completed contracting turbine components ~66% WTG parts Construction Wind turbine installation works 26 WTGs out of 26 0 WTGs out of 57 To start after design and High Voltage Substation completed in process contracting Power Plant full Energization completed To start after construction To start after construction DPM eligibility confirmation in process To start after construction To start after construction Final hot commissioning Finalization of preparatory Active construction stage in process works 11
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Modernization: execution on track Status of project NGRES T4 + boiler NGRES T3 boiler SGRES T7 SGRES T6 + boiler 2022 2025 2025 2025 Design and contracting all contracts in process main contracts main contracts in process in process Main elements Engineering >80% completed in process Turbine production completed in process in process to start after in process Boiler production completed contract signing Installation Dismantling works ~90% completed after engineering and after engineering and after engineering and Installation works production production production in process DPM eligibility confirmation after construction after construction after construction after construction https://youtu.be/pyIibcaXG58 Construction in Preparatory works ongoing process 12
2020 Delivery & 2021-23 Pillars Dividend distribution time shifting Previous dividend distribution timeline1 New dividend distribution timeline1 5.2 RUB bn 65% NOI2 3 RUB bn 3 RUB bn 3 RUB bn 3 RUB bn 3 RUB bn 3 RUB bn 0 RUB bn 2020 2020E 2021 2022 2020 2020E 2021 2022 2023 Considering the period of strategic repositioning in 2021, the anticipated RUB 3 Bn dividend is shifted to 2023, offering increased return after renewable and modernization projects start being launched one-by-one. 1 Cash flow basis 13 2 Planned Net ordinary income for 2022
2021-23 Strategic plan
Updated assumptions in a “new normality” 2021-23 Strategic plan Consumer price index (CPI) Average EUR/RUB exchange rate 84.4 84.7 84.8 2021-23 new plan 81.7 4.1% 4.0% 2020-22 old plan 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 3.6% 72.9 72.5 71.7 3.5% 2020E 2021 2022 2023 2020E 2021 2022 2023 Installed capacity vs. Electricity demand Electricity price change by region of presence (European Russia and Urals) Center South Urals Cumulated 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2016-2020 7% 7% 6% Center +7% 6% South +0% 0.3% 0.4% 3% 2% -0.5% 1% 0% Urals +3% -0.8% 0% -4% Gas +16% -1%-1% 0% CPI +22% Installed capacity, % change -7% Electricity demand, % change -5.1% -8% 2020E 2021 2022 2023 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 15
2021-23 Strategic plan Substantial improvement of margins until the end of business plan period Electricity spreads (RUB/MWh) Margin by segment (RUB bn) 500 1 800 1 504 1 376 1 600 CAGR 7% 1 400 21.0 1 057 1 200 19.2 1 000 Average gas 17.8 1.5 300 800 spread¹ 1.5 600 Renewables: 1.9 14.8 4.3 181 183 170 400 Electiricty price 3.4 107 0.1 200 1.5 0.1 100 0 0.8 7.3 2020E 2021 2022 2023 11.4 11.0 Capacity prices (Th RUB/MW/month) 9.5 1500 7.1 1 237 1 255 1 280 1300 Regulated 2.9 3.2 3.7 1100 1.5 300 236 900 "Old" units (KOM) 2020E 2021 2022 2023 190 700 Modernization 180 2 Electricity Capacity: thermal (KOM+RD) 500 (DPM) 150 162 Renewables Capacity: CCGT/Modernization Capacity: renewables (DPM) 142 169 154 300 (DPM) 149 Heat and other operating income 126 100 100 2020E 2021 2022 2023 Low risk margin (capacity)/Total 74% 78% 77% 1. Calculated as average Day-ahead market price minus Average unit gas cost 16 2. For modernization only OPEX is compensated during the first year
2021-23 Strategic plan Continued improvements in operational efficiencies Cost evolution (RUB bn) Further operational efficiencies in 2021 to smooth drop in margin and speed up the recovery from 2022 CAGR 0.2%1 Continued programs of performance optimization & digitalization: 8.5 8.6 8.0 ▪ Implementation of system of predictive analysis and 7.9 1.6 1.6 integration between systems for technical KPIs 1.5 1.3 ▪ Economies from remote work mode on overheads ▪ Introduction of new ERP system for more efficient 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.1 management process ▪ Upgrade of internal electronic document management system for workflow optimization 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 Personnel costs management and continued improvement in processes across functions 2020E 2021 2022 2023 Operation & Maintenance Personnel Overhead and other 17 1 Net of one-off effects in 2020, keeping same Company’s perimeter (e.g. renewables excluded)
Stable EBITDA growth following a «pivotal year» 2021-23 Strategic plan in 2021 EBITDA (RUB bn) Net ordinary income (RUB bn) CAGR 29% CAGR 15% 12.4 9.9 10.6 7.5 4.6 3.9 3.0 3.3 2020E 2021 2022 2023 2020E 2021 2022 2023 0% % of Ebitda from 39% Renewables 18
2021-23 Strategic plan Continued investment into strategic projects alongside with focus on operational improvements Gross capex (RUB bn)¹ Asset development capex (RUB bn) After FX hedging addressed RUB ~95% -7% 23% Renewables 22.6 EUR ~5% 39.4 29.5 36.7 Modernization 6.9 and other 77% 32.3 29.5 Asset management capex (RUB bn) 7.1 7.2 Operational 9% 5.1 2020-22 2021-23 21% improvements Asset management Asset development Safety and 7.2 1.5 other 70% Environment 0.6 19 1. Capex numbers refer to Construction capex accrued
2021-23 Strategic plan Cash flow: effects of new external & internal context 2020 cash flow (RUB bn) Cumulated cash flow 2021-23 (RUB bn) 8.2 42.2 36.7 17.0 16.6 16.6 28.5 4.5 5.0 9.2 Net debt Operational CAPEX Net debt 31/12/2019 & Financial 31/12/2020 Net debt Operating CF Financial CF CAPEX Dividends Net debt 1 CF 31/12/2020 and delta 31/12/2023 NWC Significant CAPEX needs during the 2021-23 investment cycle require financing from external sources 20 1. Including dividends distributed
2021-23 Strategic plan Leverage increase following the investment cycle Net debt evolution (RUB bn) Long term credit ratings +RUB 25.6 bn Rating Outlook 42.2 Moody’s Ba3 Stable 36.5 30.5 Fitch BB+ Stable 16.6 Expert RA ruAA Stable 2020E 2021 2022 2023 Net debt/EBITDA 1.7 4.1 3.4 3.4 21
Earnings and targets Earnings and targets 2020-2023 Earnings 2020E 2021 2022 2023 CAGR EBITDA (RUB bn) ~9.9 ~7.5 ~10.6 12.4 +7.7% Net ordinary income (RUB bn) ~4.6 ~3.0 3.3 3.9 - Shareholder remuneration 2020 2021 2021 2022 Dividend distributed during the year 3.0 - 3.0 ~5.2 (RUB bn) Dividend per share (RUB/sh) 0.085 - 0.085 0.146 22
Closing remarks
ESG¹ Risk Rating evolution Closing remarks ESG Risk Rating Management score ESG Ranking of Russian companies 2021 The lower, the better The higher, the better as of 15.02.2021 28.3 28,3 24,5 25.7 25,7 68.2 68,2 24.5 58.2 58,2 66,4 66.4 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 New rating was based on 2019 Annual report under GRI Standard² Reftinskaya GRES was still included in rating perimeter (for 9 Fourth place among 80 leading Russian companies in terms of months of 2019). Next rating will consider exit from coal overall ESG performance Main driver for the ESG rating impact was modification of Leading position in the “Social” category, highlighting our efforts methodology with higher weights on resource usage in work with all our stakeholders 1. Environmental, social, governance 24 2. Global Reporting Initiative
Closing remarks Closing remarks Renewables projects are on path towards commissioning despite COVID-related challenges Modernization projects’ execution is on track with first project to be commissioned in 2022 Fixed dividend timeline, with distribution of RUB 3 Bn shifted from 2021 to 2023 Leverage to remain on moderate levels 25
2021-23 Annexes
Scenario and assumptions Main assumptions of the Strategic Plan • Increase in line with CPI. Regulated • NGRES increase in 2021 vs 2020 is higher than CPI due to applying of economically justified tariff after the end of post must-run period • Price fixed for 2021-24 as per auction results with annual indexation by “CPI minus 0.1%” “Old” units • Auction for 2022-24 implied an additional price curves increase by 15%-0%-5% for 2022- / KOM 2023-2024 vs. 2021 level Capacity price Modernization From 2022: modernization tariff for 50 MW at Nevinnomysskaya GRES (OpEx is compensated program during the first year) “New” units 2021: end of DPM for two CCGT units; switch to KOM price / thermal DPM Renewables • Azov WPP (90 MW) commissioning by end-May 2021 DPM • Kola WPP (201 MW) commissioning by end-April 2022 Regulated Increase following fuel costs Electricity price Day ahead • 2021: rebound of DAM prices during the year following 2020 figures affected by COVID market • 2022-2023: gradual increase mostly in line with the gas price growth Fuel (gas) price Increase following Ministry of Economy forecast 27
2021-23 Sustainability plan
2021-2023 Targets Our sustainable business model drives change OUR GOAL SUSTAINABLE LONG-TERM VALUE CREATION STRATEGIC PILLARS OUR CONTRIBUTION TO SDG circular economy, innovation & digitalization, GROWTH ACCELERATORS financial value creation 29
2021-2023 Targets Identify Develop Climate climate climate TCFD reporting risks strategy reporting partial verification Enel Russia Sustainability Plan 2021-23 2021-2023 Decarbonization 2021- 2023 Targets & Activities SDG PLAN 362 Renewable capacity installed (MW) DECARBO- NIZATION 0 2020 2023 438 CO2 emissions intensity (g/kWh) 402 CENTRICITY PEOPLE 2020 2023 NEW Climate risks assessment & TCFD Climate strategy & climate risks AND GROWTH reporting BACKBONES ACCELERAT. ESG NEW New goal Redefined goal Target affected by COVID-19 Impact on ESG Rating score 30 30
2021-2023 Targets Enel Russia Sustainability Plan 2021-23 2021-2023 People development 2021- 2023 Targets SDG Talent retention 2021- 2023 Targets SDG PLAN 90 60 100 100 Multiskilling (% of O&M Climate survey (% of eligible 84 96 personnel) and % of redemptions) 2020 2023 2020 2023 DECARBO- NIZATION 40 Cross functional development Performance appraisal 100 100 (% high-potential young 0 (% of involved and % of 99 99 people) 2020 2023 appraised) 2020 2023 49,5 42 48 Training hours (per High-potential employees in 20 employee/year) CENTRICITY training programs (%) PEOPLE 2020 2023 2020 2023 43 Internal mentors among 3-year individual career path 15 10 managers (% of involved) for high potential employees 0 2020 2023 (%) 2020 2023 AND GROWTH BACKBONES ACCELERAT. ESG NEW New goal Redefined goal Target affected by COVID-19 Impact on ESG Rating score 31 31
2021-2023 Targets Enel Russia Sustainability Plan 2021-23 2021-2023 Diversity & Inclusion 2021- 2023 Targets SDG Engaging the local communities 2021- 2023 Targets SDG PLAN 50 75 Women recruitment (% in 46 SDG-linked support to 38,8 short list of candidates) communities (k beneficiaries) 2020 2023 2020 2023 DECARBO- NIZATION 23 30 Women in top management 20 Employees involved in 2 (%) corporate volunteering (%) 2020 2023 2020 2023 35 Sustainability knowledge 7 CENTRICITY dissemination (hours/year) PEOPLE 2020 2023 Set up a program for social Develop & 5 NEW entrepreneurship support launch (grants/year) 2020 2023 AND GROWTH BACKBONES ACCELERAT. 4 Increase employees participation in Develop a concept & NEW Community support & development ESG launch program (n of projects/year) 2020 2023 NEW New goal Redefined goal Target affected by COVID-19 Impact on ESG Rating score 32 32
2021-2023 Targets Enel Russia Sustainability Plan 2021-23 NEW 2021-2023 Environmental Management 2021- 2023 Targets SDG Health & Safety 2021- 2023 Targets/Activities SDG PLAN 307,8 295,5 Fuel consumption reduction • Reduction of injury frequency rates LTIFR reduction (g/kWh) compared to prior years (LTIFR) 2020 2023 DECARBO- • Growing the culture, awareness and NIZATION Reduction of specific water 0,267 commitment of employees and 0,234 Safety culture contractors with respect to health and requirements (m3kWh) 2020 2023 safety issues 297,8 Zero plastics campaign (kg 98,8 CENTRICITY of single-use plastic) PEOPLE 2020 2023 AND GROWTH BACKBONES ACCELERAT. ESG NEW New goal Redefined goal Target affected by COVID-19 Impact on ESG Rating score 33 33
2021-2023 Targets Enel Russia Sustainability Plan 2021-23 2021-2023 Sustainable Supply Chain 2021- 2023 Targets SDG Sound Governance NEW 2021- 2023 Targets/Activities SDG PLAN ▪ Re-launch Human Rights policy Qualified suppliers assessed for 100 ▪ Training for employees health and safety aspects for all 0 Human rights ▪ Bridge management gaps following Human product groups (% qualified suppliers) 2020 2023 Right Due Diligence study ▪ Evaluation of the control procedures DECARBO- NIZATION Qualified suppliers assessed for 100 ▪ Evaluation of the internal control system & environmental aspects for all product 0 Enel Global development of corrective and preventive groups (% qualified suppliers) 2020 2023 Compliance Program actions ▪ Training for employees Qualified suppliers assessed in 100 ▪ Post-certification external and internal audits relation to aspects of human rights or Integrated under ISO 37001 Anti Bribery Certification 0 business ethics for all product groups Management System ▪ Update of the corruption risk assessments (% qualified suppliers) CENTRICITY 2020 2023 development ▪ Communication campaign and training ▪ ISO 500001 on NGRES and SUGRES PEOPLE Continuous increase in coverage rate 80 of tenders with K of sustainability ▪ Election of 4 and more independent directors to (% of tenders with K of 0 the BoD sustainability/total tenders) 2020 2023 Corporate ▪ Independent evaluation of BoD performance governance ▪ Be among Top-5 companies listed in 1st quotation list on MSE for compliance with Corporate Governance Code AND GROWTH BACKBONES ACCELERAT. ▪ Increase quality of GRI disclosure Non-financial ▪ Report on climate strategy & risks ESG reporting ▪ TCFD-reporting ▪ Non-financial disclosure verification NEW New goal Redefined goal Target affected by COVID-19 Impact on ESG Rating score 34 34
2021-2023 Targets Enel Russia Sustainability Plan 2021-23 2021- 2023 2021-2023 Circularilty NEW 2021- 2023 Targets/Activities SDG Innovation & Digitalization NEW SDG Targets/Activities PLAN 14 Resources use (paper, ▪ Reduce paper consumption by 20% and Circular economy initiatives 6 waste by 10% (projects per year) energy) & waste in ▪ Reduce electricity consumption due to use 2020 2023 office facilities of cloud-based data centers DECARBO- NIZATION Embed principles of circular ▪ Definition and application, in 72 NEW economy in construction and collaboration with various Digital skills training 70 company areas, of circular operation of PPs (% of involved) economy solutions 2020 2023 ▪ Integrating communication services and Financial value creation* NEW 2021- 2023 Targets/Activities developing digital initiatives that contribute Digitalization to lower CENTRICITY to the reduction of carbon dioxide CO2 emissions (video communications, shared PEOPLE platforms, instant messaging) Targets will be equal to those presented in Strategic plan for 2021-2023* AND GROWTH BACKBONES ACCELERAT. ESG NEW New goal Redefined goal Target affected by COVID-19 Impact on ESG Rating score 35 35
Disclaimer This presentation contains certain statements that reflect the Company’s management’s current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company. These forward-looking statements are based on Enel Russia’s current expectations and projections about the future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Enel Russia to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Enel Russia does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Enel Russia. 36
Contact us Channels Website Mobile App Enelrussia.ru Enel Investors Ilya Kalinin Investor Relations Email ilya.kalinin@enel.com Follow us Phone +7 495 539 31 31 ext. 7843 37
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