Elderly Care Home Market Spain - (Research March 2021)
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1. Introduction ............................................................................................................. 3 2. Executive Summary Spain......................................................................................... 3 3. Executive Summary Europe ...................................................................................... 4 4. Spanish Market - Details of Demand ......................................................................... 7 5. Spanish Market - Details of Supply ........................................................................... 8 6. Spanish Market - Monthly Price...............................................................................10 7. Spanish Market - Senior Living Communities............................................................11 8. Spanish Market - Investment Considerations ...........................................................12 9. Where To Invest ......................................................................................................14 10. Further Reading.......................................................................................................16 The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 2
1. Introduction The objective of this report is to describe the main factors that affect the demand and supply for residential places for the elderly in Europe and Spain specifically, the current characteristics of the offer, short term and medium term outlook of the Spanish care home market and the resulting opportunities for (real estate) investors and care home operators. This report is based on information found in a variety of publicly available online sources, mainly derived from 2019 and 2020 market studies from Cushman & Wakefield, Jones Lang LaSalle, PWC, Knight Frank and CBRE. This also means that the figures and calculations mentioned in this report should be put in that perspective (i.e. some figures date from 2018 and 2019 and therefore have changed, albeit not in a significant way). The links to the market studies of these consultancy organizations that have been used for this report can be found in Chapter 11, at the end of this document (some are in Spanish only). A variety of links to other (mainly Spanish) articles and reports can also be found there. 2. Executive Summary Spain Spain is set to face the challenge of an ageing population over the next 2-3 decades. The increase in life expectancy and the resulting chronic conditions of the elderly will lead to a rise in the demand for (social) care services. The public sector is struggling to meet the increasing demand of public places in care homes. This explains why the private sector is playing an increasingly important role to cover this shortfall. More private and government-subsidized beds are being offered to meet the needs of the elderly. Out of the total of 381,340 beds offered in 2018, 25% (95,898) are under public ownership, while the remaining 75% (285,442) are private. Life expectancy in Spain has increased notably while the birth rate has decreased, producing an aging population. Currently, 19% of the population is over 64 years old. From that age, the average life expectancy is 22 years, but only 53% of that time is in healthy conditions. That is, we live longer, but age is associated with a deterioration that requires specific care. According to estimates of INE (Spanish bureau for statistics) if this trend continues, in 2050 Spain will go from 9 to 16 million people over 64 years of age (around 230,000 people a year), approximately one third of the population. This would place Spain as the oldest country in the European Union. Moreover, people in Spain are predicted to have the longest life expectancy in the world by 2040, beating Japan into second place. This demographic challenge constitutes a fundamental element to guarantee long-term social and economic sustainability. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 3
In addition, the social and labor changes of the last decades have transformed the structure of families and homes. The incorporation of women into the labor market, the decrease in the number of children and the increase in longevity, among other factors, have changed the structure of households and the traditional family system of care within families. The Spanish tradition of caring for the elderly within the family is gradually disappearing, stimulating the demand for professional elderly care (homes). The ageing population, the increase in single-person households, the entry of women into the labor force, the reducing traditional family system of care and the increase of dependent people requiring care: these 5 factors all contribute to the rise in demand for care homes and related facilities and services in Spain. According to the latest available public data (Q1 2020), in Spain there are around +/- 5,400 residences with 381,000 places in nursing homes for the elderly, 4.4 places for every 100 people over 64 years of age. This figure is below the 5 places as recommended by the WHO. This represents a current deficit of around 107,000 places (report JLL, 2018). With this recommended ratio and the INE population projections, a need for 785,000 beds in 2050 is estimated, double the current number and requiring +/- 180 new residences each year. 25% of the places are publicly owned, although the management can be private. The rest are privately-owned places, of which 34% are subsidized places, with a regulated price set according to the income and level of dependency of the user. Any user can access the private places by paying the monthly fees in full themselves, or by financing part of the fee with a subsidy. This subsidy is available to those individuals that have (at least a low level of) dependency AND don’t have access to a public place (due to a long waiting list for example). 3. Executive Summary Europe Before going into the details of the Spanish market, in this section an overview of the European market is provided. There has been a clear increase in capital targeted at the elderly care home and senior living property market in recent years. As a share of all commercial property transactions, care home and senior living investment has also jumped up to 2.5% in recent years. This remains a small measure of the circa €285 billion invested annually across all commercial sectors, but there is clearly growing appetite for elderly care property assets. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 4
There are six structural and sector-specific drivers which help to explain the current shift in investor interest and these also explain the sector's future growth potential. While countries are maturing at different rates, these six drivers apply to the continent of Europe as a whole, with all health and social care systems looking to prepare for the future. 1. Ageing Populations Until 2050, the elderly population in the European Union is projected to more than double, up by 130% (Eurostat: Ageing Europe — looking at the lives of older people in the EU). An ageing population is the root of this growth with care bed demand projected to bulge to unchartered levels across many developed economies. Many countries are already feeling the strain of this with care home occupancy levels nearing capacity and informal methods of care beginning to look unsustainable as the medical needs of the elderly become more acute. Rapidly ageing populations across Europe will be the biggest long-term driver of growth in the care home market. The share of people over the age of 80 is expected to surge across Europe and especially so in Spain, Germany and Italy. The demographic shift will also be driven by increasing life expectancy – a product of developments in medicine and medical procedures. Estimates suggest the cost of long-term care across Europe will rise from 1.8% of GDP at present, to between 3% and 5% in 2060 (EPRS - Older people in Europe: EU policies and programs). Countries like Italy and Spain, where cultural norms – until recently - have limited the need for long-term care, need to adjust their healthcare budgets as their societies evolve. 2. Appetite For Alternative Sectors Investor interest in the healthcare sector is partly a reflection of structural change in global property markets with investors increasingly seeking out alternative sectors. Broader real estate surveys indicate that 66% of investors wish to increase their holdings in alternative sectors (Emerging Trends in Real Estate: Creating Impact – Europe 2019, PWC & Urban Land Institute). Care homes and senior living residences are among the alternative sectors most sought after because of the long-term income they offer and a growing awareness of the demographic fundamentals driving these markets. 3. Strong Property Performance Occupancy rates are among the highest of any property class, typically close to 90%, with a constant flow of residents needing care beds. Lease lengths for care operators are usually between 20 and 30 years. The most attractive European markets (like Spain) offer prime yields around 5% - 5.5%. The operational performance of many private care home providers is also garnering attention from real estate investors as well as private equity firms targeting going concern acquisitions. Pre-tax profit margins for private operators range from 25-35%. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 5
4. Formalization Of Care Many western European countries rely heavily on homecare or informal methods to care for the elderly. Informal care is typically delivered within families and households and while difficult to quantify is very common in Italy, Spain and France. However, the number of multi- generational households is declining across Europe, limiting the ability of many families to assist elderly relatives. Secondly, the scale of population ageing in many countries is such that by 2050, 1 in 6 adults will be over the age 80. This compares to around 1 in 15 at present levels. Over 80’s are more likely to suffer from chronic and degenerative health conditions, such as dementia, that require specialist nursing care and propel the need for (full-time) residential care. 5. Growing Private Sector Involvement Much of the healthcare provision within Europe falls under state control, especially acute (hospital) care which accounts for between 60-70% of healthcare spending in most countries. The same cannot be said for the care home sector which is characterized by private sector ownership in many countries, making it more accessible to investors. The market is now experiencing a (further) shift toward the private sector as publically operated homes continue to struggle against rising demand and cost pressures. It is expected to see more and more private operators leading the development of new homes and growing their share in the years to come, creating a larger pool of real estate investment opportunities. 6. Consolidation And International Expansion The European care home market has long been fragmented and restricted to small localized operations. However, the last decade has seen the market begin to consolidate both domestically and internationally. This consolidation has given birth to operators with care home portfolios spanning across regions and countries. Merger and acquisition activity has been common with several operators expanding into neighboring countries. Korian, Orpea and Domus VI are the largest pan-European operators by bed numbers and have created scalable businesses across Europe. The table to the right shows the extent of this expansion. With private operators gaining a greater share in many countries and continued consolidation among the main players, it is expected to see more interest from investors as healthcare becomes an increasingly global alternative asset class. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 6
4. Spanish Market - Details of Demand Currently, there are around 9 million people over 64 years of age in Spain, almost 3 times more than in 1960, and the figure is expected to exceed 16 million in 2050, according to INE projections. In 2050, a third of the population, 16 million people, will be over 64 years old, for an estimated total population of around 49.6 million inhabitants. Having a better grasp of how the 64+ population in Spain is distributed as well as its evolution, it is essential to understand how the demand for care homes will take shape. In the overview depicted on the right, it shows how the age of the population will develop over the next few decades. In 2050, Spain will become the oldest country in the EU. The life expectancy of Spaniards after turning 65 is almost 22 years, but in many cases with a high degree of dependence to carry out basic activities. In Spain, 65-year-olds will develop, on average, 53% of their remaining years in a healthy way (free of disabilities or in conditions of personal independence), compared to 50% on average in the EU. This implies that in 47% of the remaining years they will be able to operate independently in the development of all their daily activities. Regarding this dependence, and according to a study of the Spanish Society of Geriatrics, the main activities that elderly people need permanent help with are of a social and non-sanitary nature: avoiding loneliness and receiving help for activities such as dressing, taking medication - in many cases, these are poly-medicated patients -, grooming or simply being supervised. These are activities that they cannot do on their own, and therefore require the assistance, formal or informal, of a third party. Spain has a less developed care home market, largely due to the reliance on informal care. The care of the elderly is a less developed business in Spain than in many other European countries, as Spanish families have traditionally looked after their elderly members at home. However, this structure has gradually broken down in recent years due to demographic changes, leaving elderly relatives to rely on third party care services. The incorporation of women into the labor market, the decrease in the number of children and the increase in longevity, among other factors, have fundamentally changed the structure of households and the traditional family system of care within Spanish families. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 7
There are large regions of Spain that have many elderly people who live alone and few adults who can care for them, mostly women. The dependency ratio (the number of people aged over 65/the population aged 15-64) in the European Union was at 30.5% in 2018. The dependency ratio for the elderly in Spain is 29%, with great disparity between provinces. As depicted in the chart above, the outlook for the next few decades provides a bigger gap between Spain and the average in Europe. It is expected that in 2050 southern Europe (Italy, Spain and Portugal) will have a significantly higher dependency ratio (estimated at 63%) than the European average. A higher dependency ratio means a higher need and thus a higher demand for care homes, related facilities and services for the elderly. 5. Spanish Market - Details of Supply In Q1-2020, there were +/- 5,400 residential centers for the elderly in Spain with a total of 381,000 places available. Regarding the evolution of these variables, between 2005 and 2010 it experienced a notable increase of almost 25% in just 5 years. Starting in 2010, the economic crisis and cuts in public spending on social affairs slowed down this growth, which, despite everything, has continued being positive. Throughout the 2005-2018 period, the number of places has grown at a compound annual rate of 2.2%, a figure in line with the evolution of demand, if we consider that around 76% of the people living in residences are over 75 years old, and this population segment experienced a compound annual growth rate during the same period of 2%. The market consists mostly of small national entities that operate a single center. The 10 largest companies barely account for 17% of the total number of places offered. The average size of the Spanish residences is 67 beds, although it varies greatly between autonomous communities. The chart on the right shows the percentage of residences according to the number of beds they provide (Envejecimiento en Red, 2020). The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 8
The residences can be privately owned (75%) or publicly owned (25%). Among those privately owned, some may receive public funding/subsidies for certain residents (“Plaza Concertada”). Therefore, there exist three main types of residences: A. Public Places: Publicly-owned places, whether publicly or privately managed, in which the resident pays a public maximum price based on their income. B. Plaza Concertada: Privately owned places that are partially publicly financed (only for certain residents) and have private management. The resident pays a public price based on their income, in a similar way to public places. The remaining part is paid by the government to the private care home owner. C. Private Places: Privately owned and privately managed places with a market cost, where the resident pays the entire amount. Obviously, care home operators tend to offer beds in regions where there is greater demand, i.e., where there are more people aged over 64. To that end, they look at the coverage ratio, which is the ratio between the number of beds and the population aged over 64. The WHO recommends that this ratio should stand at 5 places for every 100 people aged over 64. This ratio is already met by countries such as the Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Finland, Germany and France but Spain does not comply. The coverage ratio in Spain stood at 4.2 in 2018, meaning there is a shortfall in Spain of 107,000 beds. The population aged over 64 in Spain in 2018 was 9,081,860, while the number of beds offered amounted to 381,340. If the population growth projections are accurate, by 2033 there will be a total of 12,851,860 people in Spain aged over 64. In order for the sector to reach the ratio of 5 beds for every 100 people aged over 64, it will be necessary to increase the number of beds by 272,000 (2018-2033). This would require +/- 18,000 new beds being added every year in Spain. Within Spain, the lack of places is not homogeneous, but varies greatly by autonomous community. In mainland Spain, the greatest deficit of care homes occurs in Murcia (2.2), Valencia (3.0), Andalusia (3.2) and Galicia (3.3). See image on the left. These regions will require greater levels of investment for the number of beds to meet the demand (that is projected to grow at 2.3% on average per annum). However, also Spain as a whole will require significant investments in residences to cover the needs until 2050. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 9
The importance of the coverage ratio is shown by the real estate investment decisions of leading European parties. An example of this is the Pan-European property investor Cofinimmo from Belgium. They are currently investing EUR 56 million in the development and construction of 5 new care homes. These care homes are all located in the areas with the lowest coverage ratios: Murcia, Valencia, Andalusia and Galicia. If there is already a deficit of 107.000 places (2018) needed in residences for the elderly, the gradual aging of the population and the increase in the dependency index will aggravate this situation in such a way that, based on the demographic estimates of the INE and the recommendations of the WHO, in Spain around 785,000 residential places will be needed in 2050, double the existing ones (dated 2018). Currently, there are around 272 residential centers with more than 25,000 spaces in the project portfolio pipeline - of which 61% are from the private sector. However, this is an insufficient figure to cover the gap. 6. Spanish Market - Monthly Price Care homes in Spain are typically large, often offering more than 100 beds and the intensity of nursing can be limited. This is reflected in fee rates which are in the region of € 1,800 - 2,200 per month, lower than elsewhere in Western Europe. The prices of residences in Spain are low compared to other European countries. This relationship continues to be maintained when the retirement pension is considered. The average pension in Spain (€ 1,134 / month) allows covering almost 60% of the price of a private place (€ 1,955, including Value Added Tax), above the European average. The prices of private places in residences for the elderly reflect, once again, a high degree of heterogeneity between autonomous communities, varying from € 1,421/month in Castilla La Mancha to € 2,496/month in the Basque Country, a difference of 76%. According to a report by the OECD and the European Commission, (Joint Report on health care and Long Term Care Systems & Fiscal Sustainability) these differences are mainly determined by the cost of personnel. Due to the characteristics of the service and the fact that it is very employment intensive, it is difficult to reduce the ratio of caregivers to users below a certain minimum level. This means that the provision of the service involves a very similar number of hours of work in all countries, making the cost of this work decisive. Around 60% of a care home income is destined to the remuneration of the workers, 2.2 times more than the average of the service sector in Spain. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 10
In private residences, the financing will depend entirely on the users. Only in case an elderly person cannot receive a place in a public residence (due to the unavailability of a public place) and having been recognized as a person with a certain level of dependency, they will be able to obtain a subsidized place (based on the PEVS, the Spanish Law of Dependency). The amount of the subsidy depends on the degree of dependency and the user's income level. 7. Spanish Market - Senior Living Communities Care homes have, until now, been the market’s solution for residents that require (intensive) 24/7 care in the closing stages of their life. However, the longer life expectancy and the better health of citizens when they retire have given rise to new ways of living after retirement. The public sector in Spain has thus far been unable to provide a comprehensive response to this trend in terms of investment, also creating opportunities for private investors that are able to take advantage of the potential of Senior Living. The Senior Living concept entails residing in a community where the elderly can continue to enjoy life thanks to the leisure options, activities and minimum care services on offer. Senior Living is already an established sector elsewhere around the world, such as in the United States, Australia and New Zealand. In Europe, the United Kingdom and France are the countries with the highest number of resorts of this type, with renowned groups in both countries, such as McCarthy & Stone and DOMYTIS, respectively. With its ageing population, Spain has the potential to become another major market in the future. Certain investors have already seen the opportunity and have launched projects in Madrid and Barcelona. In addition to the domestic demand among the Spanish population, there is also potential demand from foreign nationals, mainly from other European countries (UK, France, Benelux, Germany, Nordic countries), who are attracted to Spain by its excellent climate, culture and cost of living, factors that are complemented by the convenience and simplicity offered by this product. This applies especially for the areas along the Spanish coastlines. There are currently 340,000 foreign nationals living in Spain, aged over 64, of which approximately 69% are nationals from a European Union Member State. Demographic trends in Europe also point to a progressive ageing of the population. Europe-wide, the population aged over 64 is expected to rise by over 37 million to reach 20% of the total population by 2030 compared to 16% now (2018, Oxford Economics estimates). Spain therefore represents also a major opportunity for the development of a residential- tourism model with products that combine, in varying proportions, tourism, leisure, community and residential concepts. The range of products and possibilities is very broad. For those people who have the financial means, privately-run residences which offer more tailor-made services are the answer. Private care homes located in Spain’s coastal areas are also attracting more residents, including from other European countries, because many of these homes employ English-speaking professionals and offer a mix of socio-health care and leisure facilities, taking advantage of the micro-climate in the region. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 11
8. Spanish Market - Investment Considerations • While Spain does provide publicly-funded care homes for the elderly, obtaining a place in one of these retirement homes is a long and complicated process. Furthermore, health service cuts implemented over the last few years to reduce Spain’s hefty public deficit has led to a deterioration in the quality of service offered in state-managed residences, as well as a reduction in assistance offered to the elderly still living in their own homes. • Spain still relies on an estimated 2 million informal cares and commits less than 1% of GDP to long-term care. As a result, care provision is less developed than elsewhere in Europe. The number of elderly people is expected to boom from around 3 million to over 7 million, by 2050. These forecasts have not gone unnoticed with care operators and investors now beginning to circle. • The market is fragmented with fewer large operators than elsewhere in Europe. Recognizing the gap in care provision, international operators have been moving into the market. • Overseas capital is already being targeted at the Spanish care home market with international buyers looking to capitalize on the huge demand for residential care and a largely free market structure, compared to elsewhere in Europe. • Real estate investments in the care/nursing home sector for the elderly in Europe reached a record volume of € 7.3 billion in 2019. Despite the need to meet the growing demand for residential places for the elderly, the level of investment in Spain is still below that of neighboring countries. • The Spanish market has a modest level of investment. However, the entry in recent years of companies specializing in residential real estate assets and the arrival of new operators has significantly changed the investment landscape: in 2019, investment in residences for the elderly reached 300 million euros, doubling the investment made in 2018. • In Spain, the real estate component is often still owned by the operators. However, in recent years there has been an externalization of the real estate component; several portfolios have recently been acquired by investment funds. In only a few years, the landscape of investors has considerably broadened and changed. The sector is increasingly more efficient and specialized and there is a clear line being drawn between OpCo and PropCo. This allows the operator to focus on its core business, the day to day running of the facility and securing liquidity through sale & leaseback deals to further its expansion strategies. The guaranteed and long-term contracts allow real estate investment funds to secure higher (and more stable) yields than would otherwise be obtained from more traditional asset classes. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 12
• Sale & Leaseback begins to gain relevance (again) in the real estate market, as a financial mechanism to alleviate the solvency difficulties that the Covid-19 pandemic situation is generating. A phenomenon like the one that produced the economic crisis of 2008, especially in sectors with owned properties, such as residential homes for the elderly, that need the assets disposed of to develop their business. It is a real estate formula very common in businesses in the tertiary sector such as hotels or offices, and for some years is now also being applied to the elderly care residential sector. Specifically, geriatric groups decide to sell their properties to Real Estate funds and / or Listed Stock Companies for Investment in the Real Estate Market (“Socimi”), with which they sign long-term rental agreements, many structured as "triple net”, in which tenants assume all expenses, insurances, taxes associated with the use of the property and assume the cost of maintenance. While this may provide a slightly lower rental income, it’s very long term and income stability is guaranteed for 25-30 years typically. • Spanish prime yields for care homes currently stand at 5.0%. Yields are compressing given the significant investor demand, dipping by 50 basis points versus last year, although Spain continues to offer higher yields than other European markets. This trend is set to continue over the short to medium-term as the current development pipeline comes on steam, bringing new portfolios to the market. The market is expected to attract increasing capital volumes from institutional investors, mirroring the trends observed in other consolidated markets. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 13
9. Where To Invest As mentioned, Murcia is currently the area with the lowest coverage ratio in Spain (2.2). The table below (Source Statista) shows the growth of the number of residents aged 65 and above, between 2020-2035 in the Murcia region. If we apply the coverage ratio as recommended by the WHO (5 residence places for every 100 people above 65), we can conclude for example that there is a need of 13.600 beds in the Murcia region in 2025 (based on 272.000 elderly). Assuming an average residence size of 70 beds (Spanish national average), this means that the Murcia region needs 194 elderly residences in just 4 years (2025). According to the IMAS (Instituto para la Mejora de la Asistencia Sanitaria), in Q1-2020 there were just 53 elderly residencies in the Murcia region, resulting in a deficit of 141 elderly residences by 2025. Other sources and calculations arrive at a similar conclusion: According to the Spanish organization Asociación Estatal de Directoras y Gerentes de Servicios Sociales, in Q1-2020 there was a deficit of 8.364 beds in the Murcia region. Assuming again an average residency size of 70 beds, this would result in a shortage of 120 elderly residences by 2025. The Spanish government so far has not been able - and will not be able - to provide the required beds (mainly due to insufficient funds to finance these projects). This, in combination with the fact that most residences in Spain are privately owned and the current move of investors, PE funds and (more) private operators into the market, shows the attractive opportunities currently available to operators and real estate investors alike. In addition, it should be noted that the above-mentioned calculations and opportunities only reflect the need for the internal (Spanish) market. However, as stipulated before, there is also a growing market for Senior Residences targeted at foreigners that want to spend their golden years in an attractive area with a good climate. Without doubt, Murcia is one of the best areas in Spain in this respect. With over 300 days of sunshine per year, it's no wonder that more and more foreigners from the Norther part of Europe are considering retirement in Spain, but why is Murcia one of the most attractive areas? With its enviable climate and proximity to many countries in Northern Europe, Murcia lies in the south east and is one of Spain's least touristy regions. It boasts 250 km of spectacular coastline, known as the Costa Calida and is made up of a principal city, medieval towns, mountains and fishing villages. The area is rich in history, culture and tradition. It benefits from an unspoiled landscape compared to the crowded Costa Del Sol and Costa Brava. It's warm and sunny, all year round. The summer heat is less intense and winters generally dry. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 14
Murcia has all elements to become the “Miami of Europe” for snowbirds. The region offers the best value for money, not just property-wise, but also regarding the daily cost of living. In addition, the climate is ideal for outdoor living and enjoying activities like walking, hiking, fishing, tennis and watersports, supporting a healthier way of life. Also for golfers the area of Murcia is a paradise since it has 20 Golf courses within just one hour drive. Murcia has clean air; therefore, it is also a popular destination for asthma, arthritis and rheumatism sufferers. In combination with the Mediterranean diet, living in this area helps reduce the risk of major disease and increases longevity of life. The WHO classified the area just north of Murcia (Torrevieja) as one of the healthiest areas in the world to live. Furthermore, it enjoys a low crime rate and is generally clean. Besides, a lot of low-cost airlines provide flights to Murcia. The landscape is varied with long and sandy beaches, high cliffs and little inlets. La Manga – the sleeve – is a 22-kilometer strip of land lying between the Mediterranean and the Mar Menor. Mar Menor is a very nice spot to swim, as the water is hotter than in the sea. There is also a small part of it where people go to cover themselves with some sort of black mud which is frequently visited by people suffering from rheumatism. Elderly with limited mobility will find this a relatively easy beach to use as ramps and wooden walkways help to access the beaches. The water is not tidal and has only very insignificant currents and waves, so it's perfect for elderly bathing. It has shallow fringes which slope gently, and is only 7 meters deep in the center, so the water temperature is warmer than that of the Mediterranean, particularly around the edges where it is possible to wade out 50 meters from the shore and still only be waist deep. The Mar Menor beaches offer shallow and calm bathing conditions, whereas the Mediterranean beaches are wider, longer, windier, and are susceptible to wave conditions and currents. Therefore, bathers can enjoy the waters of the Mar Menor for most of the year. The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 15
10. Further Reading Links to the main market studies used in this report • CBRE: https://www.cbre.es/es-es/research-and-reports/residencias-tercera-edad • PWC: https://dependencia.info/imagenes/radiografia-sector-residencias-pwc.pdf • Cushman & Wakefield: https://www.silvereco.fr/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/ETUDE-European- retirement-homes-16-05-19.pdf • Jones Lang LaSalle: https://www.jll.es/content/dam/jll-com/documents/pdf/research/jll-es-en-care- homes-report.pdf • Knight Frank: https://content.knightfrank.com/research/656/documents/en/european-healthcare- care-homes-elderly-care-market-2020-6902.pdf Links to various other documents and (Spanish) articles • Orpea In The Long Term Care Sector: https://gala.gre.ac.uk/id/eprint/22272/7/22272%20LETHBRIDGE_ORPEA_in_the_Long- Term_Care_Sector_2018.pdf • European Commission – Long Term Care: https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/joint-report-health-care-and-long-term-care-systems-and- fiscal-sustainability-country-documents-2019-update_en • PWC - Emerging Trends in Real Estate: https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/industries/financial-services/asset-management/emerging-trends-real- estate/europe-2019.html • Eurostat – Ageing Europe: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Ageing_Europe_- _looking_at_the_lives_of_older_people_in_the_EU • EPRS - Older People in Europe: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/bibliotheque/briefing/2014/140811/LDM_BRI(2014)14081 1_REV1_EN.pdf • Viability Study for a Spanish Elderly Residence (Spanish): https://ruc.udc.es/dspace/bitstream/handle/2183/18155/SantosRivas_JoseIgnacio_TFG_2016.pdf?se quence=2&isAllowed=y • Cost Estimation for a Spanish Elderly Residence (Spanish): http://envejecimiento.csic.es/documentos/documentos/enred-info19-costeslares2017.pdf • Various Statistics Regarding Spanish Elderly Residences (Spanish): http://envejecimiento.csic.es/documentos/documentos/enred-estadisticasresidencias2020.pdf • Search engine for Spanish Elderly Residence Homes and General Information (Spanish): https://www.inforesidencias.com/particulares • Meal Costs Spanish Elderly Residences (Spanish): https://www.elmundo.es/comunidad- valenciana/2015/11/08/563f005122601da12c8b45b8.html • Growth of Murcia Elderly Resident population (Spanish): https://es.statista.com/estadisticas/632925/proyeccion-de-la-poblacion-mayor-de-65-anos-r-de- murcia/ • Need for beds in Murcia (Spanish): o https://www.laopiniondemurcia.es/comunidad/2020/01/24/faltan-8-000-plazas- residenciales-34867632.html o https://www.laopiniondemurcia.es/opinion/2020/04/21/negocio-residencias-mayores- 33994984.html The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 16
• Big or small Elderly Residency – Advantages, disadvantages and trends (Spanish): https://www.inforesidencias.com/contenidos/mayores-y-familia/nacional/es-mejor-una-residencia- geriatrica-grande-o-una-peque- a#:~:text=Si%20hacemos%20una%20divisi%C3%B3n%20vemos,religiosas)%20tienen%20m%C3%A1s %20de%20100. • Increasing popularity of Sale & Leaseback for Spanish Elderly Residences (Spanish): o https://www.balancesociosanitario.com/economia/residencias-de-mayores-inversores-y- gestores-apuestan-por-el-largo-plazo-en-sus-contratos-inmobiliarios/ o https://cincodias.elpais.com/cincodias/2020/03/06/companias/1583523769_624703.html o https://www.infolibre.es/noticias/politica/2020/05/11/el_otro_gran_negocio_con_las_resid encias_fondos_inversion_inmobiliarias_destinan_cientos_millones_comprar_geriatricos_106 655_1012.html o https://www.inmoley.com/NOTICIAS/1912345/2019-1-inmobiliario-urbanismo-vivienda/02- 19-inmobiliario-012-23.html o https://www.eldiario.es/economia/inversiones-residencias-mayoreslos-envejecimientoante- ofertapublica_1_1295805.html o https://attac.es/el-otro-gran-negocio-con-las-residencias-fondos-de-inversion-e- inmobiliarias-destinan-cientos-de-millones-a-comprar-geriatricos/ • Increasing Shortage of Spanish Elderly Residences (Spanish): o https://cincodias.elpais.com/cincodias/2020/03/06/companias/1583523769_624703.html o https://www.elespanol.com/invertia/economia/20201002/espana-necesita-incorporar- plazas-residencias-ancianos-proximos/524948925_0.html o https://www.65ymas.com/sociedad/en-espana-faltan-66000-plazas-residencia-cumplir-con- recomendado-por-oms_19818_102.html o https://www.eldiario.es/sociedad/espana-plazas-residenciales-personas- mayores_1_1077128.html o https://www.eldiario.es/economia/inversiones-residencias-mayoreslos-envejecimientoante- ofertapublica_1_1295805.html • New Elderly Residence Murcia. Collaboration Operator Clece Vitam & RE Fund Cofinimmo (Spanish): o https://www.plantadoce.com/empresa/clece-a-la-conquista-de-cartagena-invierte-13- millones-en-una-residencia-para-mayores.html o https://brainsre.news/clece-invierte-13-millones-en-una-residencia-para-mayores-en- cartagena/ The Art Of Living In Spain – Elderly Care Home Research – March 2021 17
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