Dolutegravir transition and weight gain: an update - Aug 2020
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Dolutegravir transition and weight gain: an update Aug 2020 Professor Francois Venter Ezintsha, University of the Witwatersrand
Case studies: (1) • 1) A healthy person starts the new dolutegravir- containing regimen. They gain 20kg, and are classified “obese”, but there are no other complications. The person is satisfied and wants to continue the treatment, but the nurse is worried.
Case studies (2) • Previous case but: • Person now morbidly obese, with hypertension and has developed diabetes; • Nurse insisting on taking her off treatment, but she is saying she is happy with her weight and gaining more and is fine with the risk. • What to do?
ADVANCE: Study design Inclusion criteria: treatment-naïve, HIV-1 RNA level ≥ 500 copies/mL, no TB or pregnancy, no baseline genotyping TAF/FTC+DTG N=351 TDF/FTC+DTG 1053 Participants N=351 TDF/FTC/EFV N=351 96 weeks Open-label, 96-week study in Johannesburg, South Africa Study visits at Baseline, Week 4, 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, 72, 84, and 96
And representative by race and gender and geography Baseline characteristics (1/2) TAF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC/EFV Characteristic (n=351) (n=351) (n=351) Age, mean (SD), years 33 ± 8 32 ± 8 32 ± 7 Female 61% 59% 57% Black 99% 100% 100% Baseline HIV-1 RNA ≤100,000 copies/mL 78% 80% 77% >100,000 copies/mL 22% 20% 23% CD4+ cell count, mean (SD), 349 ± 225 323 ± 234 337 ± 222 cells/mm3
Weight was high even pre-ART! Baseline characteristics (2/2) TAF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC/EFV Characteristic (n=351) (n=351) (n=351) Weight, mean (kg) Male 67.9 67.1 67.3 Female 68.8 69.5 70.2 BMI, mean (kg/m2) Male 21.7 21.6 21.8 Female 25.6 26.1 26.1 Categories of BMI, n (%) Underweight (< 18.5) 42 (12%) 35 (10%) 37 (11%) Normal (18.5-25) 177 (51%) 190 (54%) 193 (55%) Overweight (25-30) 96 (27%) 78 (22%) 77 (22%) Obese (> 30) 35 (10%) 48 (14%) 44 (13%)
Mean change in weight (kg) to Week 96: women 14 +12,3 kg 12 TAF/FTC+DTG 10 +8,2 kg Weight (kg) 8 +7,4 kg TDF/FTC+DTG 6 +4,6 kg +5,5 kg TDF/FTC/EFV 4 +3,2 kg 2 0 n= 0 4606 12 590 24 563 36 546 48 532 60 519 72 513 84 506 96 493 108 379 120 164 132 206 144 152 Week
Mean change in weight (kg) to Week 96: men 9 +7,2 kg 7 TAF/FTC+DTG +5,2 kg +5,5 kg Weight (kg) 5 TDF/FTC+DTG +3,6 kg 3 +2,6 kg +1,4 kg TDF/FTC/EFV 1 -1 0 4 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 n= 419 403 388 377 375 369 357 355 344 292 119 144 113 Week
Treatment-Emergent Obesity at Week 96 30 27% Percent of patients (%) 25 20 17% 15 11% 10 7% 5 3% 2% 0 Women Men TAF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC/EFV
% Weight Change from Baseline to Week 144 Females Males 20 + 18.3% Weight change from baseline (%) 15 + 11.1% + 10.6% 10 +8.6% +7.7% 5 + 3.9% 0 0 4 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 Week Week -5 TAF/FTC + DTG TDF/FTC + DTG TAF/FTC + DTG TDF/FTC + DTG
Linear regression model: predicted mean percentage change in weight from baseline over 5 years in females 40 35 Weight gain from baseline (% ) +32.2 30 % 25 20 +18.7% 15 +14.9% 10 5 0 0 4 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 240 252 264 -5 Week Predicted: TAF arm Predicted: TDF arm
Predicted 10-year risks of diabetes and cardiovascular disease in the ADVANCE trial Andrew Hill1, Kaitlyn McCann2, Ambar Qavi2, Bryony Simmons2 ,Victoria Pilkington2, Michelle Moorhouse3, Godspower Akopmiemie3, , Simiso Sokhela3, Celicia Serenata3, Alinda Vos4, Francois Venter3 1 Liverpool University,Pharmacology, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 2 Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, London, United Kingdom 3 Ezintsha, Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, Johannesburg, South Africa; 4 University Medical Center Utrecht, Epidemiology, Utrecht, Netherlands
QDIABETES Equation Results: Females (Linear Predictions) Median change from baseline to: Treatment arm / 10 year diabetes risk Week 96 Baseline Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 (Observed) TAF/FTC/DTG 0.30% +1.20% +1.40% +2.00% +2.50% n = 120 TDF/FTC/DTG 0.40% +0.50% +0.60% +0.90% +1.30% n = 111 TDF/FTC/EFV 0.30% +0.80% +1.00% +1.30% +1.50% n = 116 *TAF/FTC/DTG risk significantly higher than TDF/FTC/DTG at Week 96 (p=0.028); Year 3 (p= 0.025); Year 4 (p= 0.015); Year 5 (p= 0.014) 12 additional cases of diabetes in TAF vs TDF per 1000 females over 30 treated for 5 years
OPERA: Longitudinal Prospective Cohort Analysis Routine EHR data collected from ~ 8% of US PWH receiving care (> 115,000 individuals across 65 cities in 19 states and Puerto Rico) Current analysis restricted to adults receiving TDF-containing 3-drug ART at BL with ≥ 2 consecutive HIV-1 RNA < 200 copies/mL who switched TDF to TAF Anchor Agent by Class, % (n) Maintained Other ARVs (n = 5479) Elvitegravir/cobicista 73 (2389) t INSTIs (n = 3281) 20 (643) Dolutegravir 8 (249) Raltegravir Rilpivirine 85 (1238) Nevirapine 12 (176) NNRTIs (n = 1452) Efavirenz 2 (26) Etravirine 1 (12) Darunavir 68 (504) Atazanavir 28 (211) Boosted PIs (n = 746) Lopinavir 3 (22) Mallon. AIDS 2020. Abstr OAB0604. Fosamprenavir 1 (9) Slide credit: clinicaloptions.com
OPERA: Weight Change With Switch From TDF to TAF While Also Switching to an INSTI 92 Estimated Weight 90 Δ by Time From EVG/c DTG BIC 88 DTG TDF to TAF Switch, (n = 1120) (n = 174) (n = 129) EVG/c kg/yr (95% CI) Weight (kg) 86 0.24 0.22 0.01 84 -60 to 0 mos BIC (0.04 to 0.43) (-0.08 to 0.52) (-0.38 to 0.39) 82 2.55 3.09 4.47 80 0 to 9 mos (1.86 to 3.24) (1.26 to 4.93) (0.81 to 8.13) 78 -9.97 0.26 -0.23 0 9+ mos (-23.79 to (-0.10 to 0.61) (-1.62 to 1.16) -60-54 -48 -42 -36-30-24-18 -12 -6 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 3.85) Mos From Switch Mallon. AIDS 2020. Abstr OAB0604. Reproduced with permission. Slide credit: clinicaloptions.com
Integrase inhibitors associated with larger rises in weight Sax et al Clin Inf Dis Sept 2019
Dolutegravir and bictegravir associated with largest rises in weight Sax et al Clin Inf Dis Sept 2019
CYP2B6 Genotype and Weight Gain Differences Between Dolutegravir and Efavirenz Rulan Griesel, Gary Maartens, Simiso Sokhela, Godspower Akpomiemie, Francois Venter, Michelle Moorhouse, Phumla Sinxadi
How on earth did we get here?
• Uganda/ US/ UK – ‘higher life expectancy that matched populations • HIV positive people are going to get old Thanks: Julie Fox, Guys
So HIV-positive people are leading normal lives – which means they will gain weight
Lots of people stand to gain or lose from this being a side effect • Pharmaceutical companies • Governments, donors and budgets • Researchers
People make a LOT of money from making you feel horrible about your body – implicated in everything from depression to anorexia
And we aren’t really sure what is a “healthy diet”
Nature, 2013
Weight is culturally sensitive… • Different communities = different perceptions of what is healthy, desirable, sexy • Stigma that skinny = HIV, TB, other illness • Advertising and magazines – steadily skinnier models • Self-perception is important (and flawed)
But obesity IS an issue… “The associations of both overweight and obesity with higher all-cause mortality were broadly consistent in four continents.”
Being obese is linked to lots of issues • Diabetes (glucose) • Hypertension (blood pressure) • Lipids (cholesterol, LDL (‘bad cholesterol’) • Strokes • Heart attacks • Cancer • Joint pain • Mental health issues • Poor COVID outcomes
Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections 2020 CHANGES IN BODY MASS INDEX AND THE RISK OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE: THE D:A:D STUDY Kathy Petoumenos, Locadiah Kuwanda, Lene Ryom, Amanda Mocroft, Peter Reiss, Stephane De Wit, Christian Pradier, Andrew Philips, Camilla I Hatleberg, Antonella d’Arminio Monforte, Rainer Weber, Caroline Sabin, Jens Lundgren, Matthew G Law On behalf of the D:A:D Study group
Conclusion • Increases in BMI across all levels of baseline BMI were consistently associated with increased risk of DM • Increases in BMI across all levels of baseline BMI were not associated with an increased risk of CVD Some evidence of an increased risk of CVD with a decrease in BMI (especially at low baseline BMI) • The extent to which these results apply to PLHIV with increased weight while receiving contemporary ART are uncertain • Further analysis of weight change, INSTI/TAF and clinical events is needed
African HIV Burden
First-line for >30 million people… TDF XTC EFV Desirable Property EFV/TDF/FTC High resistance barrier No Well tolerated Not initially Toxicity driver Toxicity No lab tox monitoring TDF creat Pill size Pill size Safe in pregnancy Yes Low genetic barrier Cost Low pill burden Yes FDC Cost Once a day Yes Contraception drug Use with TB (rif) Yes interactions
Why INSTI? • All well tolerated • Highly effective • New reference for ‘’third drug’’
Which INSTI agents are we talking about? • Raltegravir • Well studied, relatively widely registered • Can be used in paeds (>4 weeks) • Had a role in PEP, Rx • Expensive, high mg, twice daily till recently, no FDC • Use in lower income countries largely confined to third line • Unlikely to change in next 5 years – cost, co-formulation, TB, resistance barrier • Role in children • ? Any role in adults • Elvitegravir • QUAD-Stribild • First drug registered as FDC • ’Boosted’’ – lots of drug interactions • Limited registration, Gilead drug • Expensive, but potential for price reduction • Unlikely to change in next 5 years – cost, TB, pregnancy • In fact, unlikely to be around! • Bictegravir • Very similar to dolutegravir • Co-formulated with TAF • Very limited data in Africa • Almost no pregnancy data • TB data – high drug interaction potential • ?role in our setting • Cabotegravir • Phase 2-3 as prevention and treatment • Injectable • 4 or 8 weekly • For treatment: switch strategy with injectable rilpivirine • Remarkably well tolerated! May be a more popular than first blush
Why dolutegravir? • Very well tolerated • Highly effective • Low mg, co-formulation with TDF and TAF by generics (ABC co-formulation registered) • Resistance profile compelling • Creatinine clearance issue? • TB a problem, but ?double dosing
“Dolutegravir in first line therapy has by far the highest impact in getting to the last 90 for South Africa” Professor Gesine Meyer-Rath -Boston University/HE2RO
WHO 2019 guidelines Population First-line regimens Second-line regimens Third-line regimens Adults and adolescents Two NRTIs + DTG Two NRTIs + (ATV/r or LPV/r) (incl. women of childbearing potential and Two NRTIs + EFV Two NRTIs + DTG pregnant women) DRV/r + DTG + 1–2 NRTIs (if possible, consider optimisation using Children (0–10 years) Two NRTIs + DTG Two NRTIs + (ATV/r or LPV/r) genotyping) Two NRTIs + LPV/r Two NRTIs + DTG Two NRTIs + NNRTI Two NRTIs + DTG • Guidelines include recommendations on the selection of ARV drugs in response to high levels of DR1 − Recommend countries consider changing their first-line ART regimens away from NNRTIs if levels of NNRTI DR reach 10% 1. http://www.who.int/hiv/pub/arv/arv-2016/en/World Health Organization. HIV treatment interim guidance. Accessed August 2018
What about drug interactions? InSTI Backbone Key drug interactions Polyvalent cation–containing All regimens supplements/medication (including antacids), rifampicin BIC FTC/TAF Metformin ABC/3TC FTC/TAF Metformin DTG FTC/TDF RPV Metformin, PPIs EVG/ FTC/TAF Statins, inhaled/injected/systemic steroids COBI FTC/TDF FTC/TAF RAL FTC/TDF
TB: DTG and rifampicin DTG 50 mg 12 hourly + rifampicin DTG concentration DTG 50 mg daily Time after dose (h) AUC0-24 DTG 50 mg/d 32.1 DTG 50 mg 12 hourly + rifampicin 42.6 Dooley KE et al, JAIDS 2013;62:21−7
Ceiling price agreement announced • This ceiling price agreement could yield billions of rand in savings through TLD rollout and enable widespread access to a clinically superior regimen Historical launch prices for new regimens 2002 2006 2010 2018 d4T/3TC/NVP AZT/3TC/NVP TDF/3TC/EFV TDF/3TC/DTG $280 $240 $300 $75 • The TLD agreement lasts four years: 01 April 2018 – 31 March 2022 • Applies to over 90 countries • Results of collaboration from many partners: Governments of Kenya and South Africa, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Clinton Health Access Initiative; Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria; President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR); United Kingdom’s Department for International Development; Unitaid; UNAIDS; and USAID, with Mylan Laboratories and Aurobindo Pharma.
Works in first line, works in second line…. • Cheaper and better! • Massive move to DTG – double dose in TB, safe if started in pregnancy • Investment by PEPFAR, Global Fund, other agencies – unprecedented switch • 2 million in Africa on DTG/TDF/3TC often in absence of VL • 3-4 million South Africans about to transition
New drugs in the REAL real world… Discontinuation due to neuropsychiatric AE Factors associated with DTG discontinuation AIDS 2016 Hoffmann et al. HIV Medicine 2017; Libre et al. CROI 2017 abstract #615; Hsu et al. CROI 2017 abstract #664
DTG in the real world… Discontinuation due to Factors associated with DTG neuropsychiatric AE discontinuation Hoffmann et al. HIV Medicine 2017; Libre et al. CROI 2017 abstract #615; Hsu et al. CROI 2017 abstract #664
The recent signal • 4 cases of severe NTDs among 426 women in women on DTG periconception • Approx 45% of all births • ± 600 more exposures • 0.9% versus 0.1% • No clear time trend or obvious explanation NTDs: neural tube defects Zash R, et al.AIDS 2018 Session TUSY15.
Efavirenz controversy: conflicting evidence Preclinical data Clinical data: T1 EFV exposure • NTDs in primate study • 4 retrospective • 1 prospective case report of NTDs in humans Meta analysis (2011): 1 NTD Incidence: 0.7 (95% CI 0.002 – 0.39%) = NO association 1. Ford N, et al. AIDS. 2011;25:2301-2304. .
Overall health benefit DALYs and cost-adjusted (net) DALYs averted per year compared with TLE Policy option net DALYs TLE DALYs TLD VL dependent in men / TLE in women TLD in men / TLE in women TLD VL dependent TLD Number mean over 3 month periods from 2018-2038; cost adjustment based on cost effectiveness threshold $500 / DALY averted
Tsepamo Update: Prevalence of NTDs by ARV Exposure Conception Pregnancy HIV Negative Parameter DTG Non-DTG EFV DTG (n = 119,630) (n = 3591) (n = 19,361) (n = 10,958) (n = 4581) Total NTDs per exposures, n/N 7/3591 21/19,361 8/10,958 2/4581 87/119,630 NTD prevalence, % (95% CI) April 2019 0.30 0.10 0.04 0.03 0.08 (0.13-0.69) (0.06-0.17) (0.01-0.11) (0.00-0.15) (0.06-0.10) April 2020 0.19 0.11 0.07 0.04 0.07 (0.09-0.40) (0.07-0.17) (0.03-0.17) (0.01-0.16) (0.06-0.09) Prevalence diff. with DTG 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.12 conception, Apr 2020, % (95% Ref (-0.03 to 0.30) (0 to 0.32) (0 to 0.36) (0.01 to 32.0) CI) NTDs per exposures between 2/1908* 6/4569 5/2999 1/741 17/30,258 April 2019 and April 2020, n/N Zash. AIDS 2020. Abstr OAXLB01. Slide credit: clinicaloptions.com *Includes 1 lumbosacral myelomeningocele (spina bifida) and 1 encephalocele.
Weight gain likely to have a much greater impact… On pregnancy outcomes than DTG teratogenicity!
Predicting the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes due to ART-induced weight gain Sumbul Asif1, Evangelina Baxevanidi1, Andrew Hill2, Celicia Serenata3, WD Francois Venter3, Lee Fairlie3, Masebole Masenya3, Nomathemba Chandiwana3, Simiso Sokhela3 1. Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, London, United Kingdom, 2. Liverpool University, Department of Translational Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 3. Ezintsha, Wits RHI, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
TAF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC+DTG TDF/FTC/EFV Baseline APO 96-weeks 96-weeks 96-weeks Preterm delivery 70 73 71 70 Gestational Hypertension 28 39 34 29 Gestational diabetes mellitus 16 23 19 16 Pre-eclampsia 25 35 30 26 Postpartum haemorrhage 112 115 114 112 Caesarean section 213 232 224 215 Small-for-gestational-age infants 89 87 88 89 Large-for-gestational-age infants 134 154 145 137 Low birthweight infants 64 65 64 64 Macrosomia 31 37 34 31 Stillbirth 4 4 4 4 Neonatal death 2 2 2 2 Neural tube defect 0 0 0 0
So what are the issues in moving from EFV to DTG? • Resistance – what if failing virologically? • Side effects • Pregnancy – issues re teratogenicity • CNS • Weight gain
• Cape Town model – if you act on detectable viral loads FAST, >1/2 will suppress!
Outcomes after HIV RNA >50 at Week 48 TAF/FTC + DTG arm
Outcomes after HIV RNA >50 at Week 48 TDF/FTC + DTG arm
Proportion of participants with HIV-1 RNA level
But… • Deenan Pillay (CID): Rising NNRTI resistance in large rural community, poor virological outcomes • But didn’t affect response to NNRTI-based treatment!
Addressing pretreatment TDR ↓ chance of transmitting resistant virus Improve adherence • Strengthen adherence support Potent fixed-dose • Suppress HIV-RNA combination • High adherence regimens • Promptly switch individuals with confirmed VF to • Which is second-line treatment the more VL monitoring • Minimize time spent on a failing regimen with cost- resistant virus effective • Perform viral load monitoring strategy? • HIV-DR testing with failure Use agents with • Change first-line regimen at a national level, high genetic barrier from an NNRTI-based regimen to DTG- or bPI– based regimen http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/255896/9789241512831-eng.pdf
Conclusions for me • Weight gain is real – definitely associated with DTG, and with TAF • DTG may not be as perfect as we hoped – but at the moment, only have efavirenz! • No data on what to do if someone is gaining weight on either DTG or EFV (or anything else) • When can we say “too much weight” and stop treatment (against the patient’s wishes)? • Summary: switch when VL undetectable ideally (in context of drug stock outs); counsel re side effects – and probably try EFV/rilp until newer drugs come out
Thank you!
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