DIGITAL POWERS CONSUMER DURABLES - A $23 Bn opportunity by 2023 July 2019 - Afaqs
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The consumer durables industry is penetration, falling smart phone expected to become 55% by 2023 expected to continue the growth prices, decline in data tariffs, more • Between 2013 and 2017, number of momentum to become USD 36 Bn vernacular content & sales thrust by digitally influenced consumers has by 2023 on back of multiple growth ecommerce companies grown disproportionately for tier drivers viz. low product penetration, • We expect USD 10 Bn out of the 2-3 city consumers (5X) and women rising disposable income, increasing above to be online sale consumers (10X) urbanization, easy access to credit & Government’s thrust on electrification Digital Influence varies by product Digital influence varies by brands categories • Offline market share by brand does Decoding Digital Influence: • 3 out of 10 consumers today are not translate into similar share for Digital Influence will power digitally influenced for high average digitally influenced purchases today consumer durables selling price (ASP) durables like Decoding Digital Consumer: ACs, Televisions, Refrigerators and • We define a sale as ‘digitally influenced sale’ if the buyer uses Washing machines. 1 in 3 buy these Pre-purchase phase: products online internet during any stage of • 84% in-store buyers and 74% online purchase cycle • 2 out of 10 consumers today buyers are not decided on their are digitally influenced for choice of brand when they start • Percentage of digitally influenced comparatively lower ASP products their search sales in consumer durable industry like small appliances, water purifiers has more than doubled over last • Influence window is short. Digitally & microwaves. 1 in 2 buy these five years and in next 5 years we influenced buyers typically research products online expect 63% of overall consumer for 2-3 weeks before making the durable sales to be digitally Digital influence varies by consumer final purchase influenced. USD 23 Bn by 2023!!! demographics • Digitally influenced buyers use • Multitude of drivers will propel this • 29% of urban consumer are digitally search engines as the primary growth in India viz. rising internet influenced today & this number is source for online research; social This report has been compiled using proprietary research and data from BCG & Google. We have also considered perspectives of industry leaders
media, online videos, blogs & online Post-purchase phase: • Drive focused interventions at forums are other key sources for individual consumer level across • Nearly 1 out of every 3 online online research journey touchpoints to leverage buyers provides digital review post • Consumers tend to search for high short research window of 2-3 weeks purchase ASP durables by brand & low asp of ~80% undecided consumers • ~26% in-store buyers and ~36% durables by product specifications • Leverage ~30% of consumers who online buyers look for other • Nearly 2 out of every 3 digitally post reviews online to influence offerings from the same brand post influenced consumers rate online ~60% for whom this matters. Drive purchase; propensity for repeat reviews as a significant influencer in post purchase experience and purchase is over-indexed for low ASP their purchase decisions amplify advocacy at scale durables Purchase phase: This will require a big shift. From Seizing the opportunity: • Low price and convenience are the • ‘Digital as a channel’ to ‘Digital as What does this mean for consumer largest drivers of online purchase; core of future marketing’ durable companies? choice of multiple payment options • ‘Current focus of driving purchase’ is one of the top 5 drivers • Set up investments and create right to ‘Driving end to end consumer • Absence of in-person guidance and digital organization structure to engagement’ lack of ‘touch & feel’ are the biggest capitalize the upcoming USD 23 Bn • ‘Mass marketing’ to ‘Personalized barriers of online purchase digitally influenced opportunity interventions’ • Buying from e-commerce • Given disconnect in market share • ‘Driving offline market share’ to aggregators is preferred over and digitally influenced shares – ‘Driving digitally influenced market individual brands’ website/apps reset the digital ambition. Market share’ across categories; TV, AC & water leaders should strive for at least fair • ‘Driving company driven purifiers are relatively over-indexed share in digitally influenced sales communication’ to ‘Driving advocacy on brand website or app led to remain relevant. Aspirers have at scale’ purchases opportunity to beat the market leaders through digital leadership
The Consumer Durables industry is set to grow by 13% to reach ~$36Bn by 2023 Growth Drivers Consumer Durables Industry size USD Bn 36 Low penetration levels Low penetration of consumer 31 durables in India vs developed 13% economies (Eg: penetration 28 levels of air conditioners and washing machines is
By 2023, 63% of total consumer durable sales is expected to be digitally influenced: A $23 Bn opportunity to embrace A sale is called ‘digitally influenced’ sale, if the buyer uses the internet during any USD Bn stage of the purchase cycle 36.4 e.g. for product discovery, research and/or purchase. 10.4 Approx For this report we have $23 Bn (63% broken this into two types of overall sale) as defined below. is expected to be digitally A sale is called ‘digitally influenced influenced in-store sale’ 16.9 12.5 sale when the buyer uses 1.7 internet during the 13.2 purchase cycle but makes 0.9 3.0 10.3 the purchase in-store 0.3 1.7 (offline- brick & mortar 1.0 store). 13.6 A sale is called ‘digitally 10.6 12.3 9.0 influenced online sale’ when the buyer purchases online. 2013 2015 2017 2023E Digitally influenced Digitally influenced Non digitally online sale In-store sale influenced sale Source:BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital Influence Study 2013, 2015, 2017; BCG Analysis Decoding Digital Influence 9
In terms of number of consumers, 55% of urban consumers will be digitally influenced by 2023 2013 2017 2023E Digital footprint is defined as the % consumer durable buyers with access to % of Urban buyers internet. 85% For urban consumers, digital footprint has grown from 69% 32% in 2013 to 69% in 2017 and is expected to become Digital 32% 85% by 2023 (~2.5x vs 2013). Footprint Concurrently, digital influence has grown from 55% 14% in 2013 to 29% in 2017 and is expected to reach 29% 55% by 2023 (~4x vs 2013). Digital 14% The % of online buyers Influence has witnessed exponential growth from a mere 3% in 22% 2013 to 9% in 2017 and is expected to reach 22% by 2023 (~7x vs 2013). 9% Online 3% Buyers 1. Urban Buyers – Any consumer in urban India who bought any consumer durable in past 1 year 2. Digital Footprint - % urban consumer durable buyers with internet access 3. Digital Influence - % urban consumer durable buyers using internet during any stage of the purchase process 4. Online Buyers - % urban consumer durable buyers buying consumer durables online Note : Consumer durables include television, air conditioner, refrigerator, washing machines, water purifier, microwave oven & small appliances; Also, numbers are different from last page as one consumer can buy multiple items & these numbers are only for urban consumers Source : BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital Influence Study 2013, 2015, 2017, Press Search, BCG Analysis 10 10 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
High digital influence & online buying in other emerging economies like China & Brazil show potential for India Digitally influenced consumers in Emerging Markets A comparative study of digitally influenced consumers in emerging markets shows that India currently lags 50 behind other markets such as China, Brazil etc. in terms of digital influence on the consumer durables purchase 40 Brazil journey. Only ~29% consumer durable consumers are digitally influenced in India, China as compared with ~90% and 30 ~80% in China and Brazil, % Online buyers Significant respectively. potential to For online buyers, the 20 increase share of difference is starker. Only ~9% digital influence consumers buy online in India & online buying vs ~40% and ~50% in China Philippines Nigeria and Brazil, respectively. 10 India South Africa India has the potential to move up the digital ladder Morocco Indonesia in the years to come owing 0 to factors like increasing 0 20 40 60 80 100 internet penetration, cheaper smartphones and data, rise of vernacular content and % Digitally Influenced consumers e-commerce companies thrust Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG – Digital Consumers, Emerging Markets & on online buying. the $4 Trillion Future Report, BCG CCI Digital Influence Survey 2017 Decoding Digital Influence 11
Increasing internet penetration, cheaper smartphones and data, vernacular content and ecommerce thrust will continue to drive digital influence India is currently 1 Increasing internet penetration 2 Falling smart phone prices undergoing a digital explosion driven by a Internet users in India Average smartphone price ($) multitude of factors. These include: Increasing internet 1 penetration (650 650 million+ 250-260 million+ internet users expected in India by 2020) Falling smartphone 150-160 2 prices Significant decline in 3 data tariffs 500 2011 2018 million Increasing 4 availability of vernacular content 2020 Sales thrust by 5 ecommerce companies These factors will continue to drive disproportionate 2018 growth in digital influence over coming years. Source: Press search, BCG Analysis 12 12 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
3 Significant decrease in data tariffs 4 Increase in vernacular content 5 Ecommerce companies thrust on online buying Data consumed per user per month (MB) vs Price per MB (Paise) Promotions and offers 12,000 Jan 2018 20x Increase in non English watch time Exchange offers Data consumed per user (MB) on Youtube 9,000 No cost EMIs 6,000 Faster delivery Jun 2017 9 out of 10 Mar New Internet users in 3,000 2017 Sep India are likely to be 24x7 product tracking 2016 Indian language users 0 5 10 15 20 25 Post sale support or service Price per MB (paise) Source: Press search, Google Year in Search 2017, 2018, 2019, BCG Analysis Decoding Digital Influence 13
Digital influence varies for different durable categories and is higher for high ASP durables High ASP1 durables Low ASP1 durables The extent of digital influence varies by category ~3 out of 10 of consumers are ~2 out of 10 consumers are and is higher for high digitally influenced digitally influenced ASP durables (e.g. TV, AC, washing machines and 10% 9% refrigerators) and lower 25% 29% 8% 53% for low ASP durables (e.g. Washing Small Microwaves, water purifiers Machine 65% Appliances 83% and small appliances). 9% 10% Low ASP durables have higher percentage of online Air 24% 27% 6% 63% Water buyers. A strong 53-63% of Conditioner 67% 84% Purifiers digitally influenced buyers % of consumers vs only 27-35% for High ASP durables. 11% 10% 21% 34% 6% 63% Television Microwave 68% 84% 9% Online buyers as a % 17% 35% of digitally influenced Refrigerator 74% buyers is high for low ASP durables Digitally influenced Digitally influenced Non digitally influenced online buyers in-store buyers Online buyers as a % of digitally influenced buyers 1. High ASP products – Appliances with ASP >INR 20,000; Low ASP products – Appliances with ASP
DigitalInfluence Decoding Digital Matters 15 17
Digital influence varies by demographics; high growth in women, 35+ age group and tier 2-3 city consumers in last 4 years Significant growth observed in digitally influenced 10x increase in female online buyers over last 4 years buyers from non-tier 1 cities, women and higher age group consumers over the last 4 years. By Gender 2013 2017 10x growth in the % of digitally influenced female online buyers in the last 4 years. 5x growth for men ~5x in online buying between 3% 15% 2013 and 2017. Male 11% 16% Significant growth in digital influence & online purchases in the 35-55 year age bracket. Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities ~10x have witnessed the fastest 1% 10% growth in terms of digital Female influence (5x growth over 9% 10% the last 4 years). Digitally influenced online buyers Digitally influenced in-store buyers Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital influence Study 2013, 2017, BCG Analysis 16 16 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
3-5x growth in digital influence & online purchases in the 35-55 year age bracket over last 4 years By Age Group 2013 2017 ~2x 18-24 year 3% 13% 17% 15% ~2x 25-34 year 3% 16% 13% 19% ~3x 35-44 year 2% 5% 11% 13% ~5x 45-54 year 2% 2% 14% 7% ~3x >54 year 1% 4% 5% 8% 5x growth in digital influence in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities By City Tier 2013 2017 5% ~2x 18% Metro 16% 18% 1% ~2x 9% Tier-1 10% 14% 1% ~5x 8% Tier-2 3% 12% 1% ~5x 15% Tier-3 4% 8% Digitally influenced online buyers Digitally influenced in-store buyers Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital influence Study 2013, 2017, BCG Analysis Decoding Digital Influence 17
For brands, offline market share does not translate into similar share for digitally influenced purchases Challengers are leveraging digital platforms over the traditional mediums to Market leaders in the enhance reach respective categories are Overall market share1 not necessarily the most % share by brand effective in driving digital influence. In washing Brand 1 24% machines for example, the overall market leader ranks Brand 2 20% third in terms of share of online purchases; losing out to market challengers in the Brand 3 18% Washing Machine online space. Brand 4 10% The scenario is similar in case of other categories like air conditioners, where only Brand 5 9% 2 of the top 5 overall market leaders feature in the top 5 brands in online purchases. Challengers are leveraging Brand 1 21% digital platforms over the traditional mediums to Brand 2 18% enhance reach. Air Conditioners Brand 3 10% Brand 4 8% Brand 5 7% 1.Euromonitor 2.BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019 18 18 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Digitally influenced in-store purchases2 Online purchases2 Brand 1 27% Brand 2 24% Brand 2 18% Brand 5 18% Overall market share Brand 5 18% Brand 1 17% Brand 6 8% Brand 6 9% Digitally influenced in-store purchase market share Brand 4 7% Brand 3 6% Online purchase Brand 1 14% Brand 3 26% market share Brand 3 12% Brand 8 10% Brand 6 10% Brand 1 9% Brand 7 10% Brand 6 9% Brand 2 7% Brand 7 7% Decoding Digital Influence 19
DECODING DIGITAL CONSUMER 20 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 21
Consumer durable buyers traverse through multiple journeys before making their purchase decision All purchase transactions Journeys can be grouped into 4 broad archetypes based on the Share of transactions Pathway pathway followed for research for consumer durable and purchase- as shown in the Pre-purchase purchase Post-purchase buyers exhibit. Pure Online For consumer durables, - Negligible nearly all digitally influenced transactions involve an omnichannel interaction: Research offline; buyers typically traverse purchase online through multiple online & 9% offline touchpoints before making the final purchase. To This complex mesh of become interactions across online 55%+ Research online, by 2023 and offline channels presents purchase offline multiple opportunities for leading consumer durable 20% players to delight and influence the customer journey. With increase in digital Pure Offline influence, % of digitally influenced consumer durable 71% buyers is expected to become ~2x by 2023. Online touchpoints Offline touchpoints Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG CCI Digital Influence Study 2017, BCG Analysis 22 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 23
Consumer journey and opportunities for intervention Example 1: Research Offline - Purchase Online for TV Research Offline Purchase Online HI I’M RAJ Profile Raj wishes to replace his existing TV, wants 22 years, Delhi to upgrade to Offline Interaction across channels latest technology Tech savvy television buyer Digital Age ends up buying 6 years online owing to Online The tech savvy better prices shopper Decides to check specifications online using his smartphone Opportunities Create greater engagement through personalized content 1. MBOs: Multi brand outlets Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Industry interactions, BCG Analysis 24 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Eg: Television Pre-purchase Purchase Post-purchase Tracks product Gets Word of Mouth rigorously Visits MBOs1 to check recommendations different brands & models from friends & family to ratify features in-person & receive salesman guidance Further, reads product reviews and contacts Appreciates customer care for installation clarifications regarding support "money back policy" Prompted by Finds 15% discount the app, he Turns to mobile search on e-commerce site rates the seller again- explores TV models Orders TV – he gets excited online, pays through e-commerce but is also wary of apps and search engines online spending. that allow comparison of features & prices Leverage digital Proactive data Reviews from Optimize supply Incentivize post marketing to driven targeted trusted influencers chain for faster purchase advocacy; make relevant offers basis past to overcome initial delivery closely manage recommendations purchases, age hesitation in online social sentiment and showcase product group/income shopping about the products offerings profiles Decoding Digital Consumer 25
Example 2: Research Offline - Purchase Online for Microwave Research Offline Purchase Online HI I’M Mamta wants MAMTA to purchase a Profile new convection microwave with 30 years, preloaded dishes; Offline Interaction across channels Bhopal to experiment with new ways of cooking Tier-3 buyer orders Digital Age microwave 4 years online due Online The tech savvy to greater shopper Searches online for "convection availability & microwave cookware" variety Opportunities Personalization-tailor messages to consumer profile Consumers are increasingly searching for latest technology & trends. For example, searches for double-door refrigerators are growing at >30% YoY Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Google Trends data, Industry interactions, BCG Analysis 26 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Eg: Microwave Pre-purchase Purchase Post-purchase Checks with her sister who Expects next recently bought a convection Visits local wholesale day delivery microwave oven; her sister store to see the product. recommends to purchase However, the model that from nearby store she has selected is not Gets available. installation support Researches online using appliance Returns online guides, brand Decides the final to complete her Orders microwave product & adds She rates websites & purchase online online; avails the the seller user reviews to cart without COD option to zero in completing purchase on the exact model Integrate Influencer Digital kiosks Easy financing Online videos, reviews from marketing, network in stores to options like no virtual assistants common sites of advocates to extend in-store cost EMIs to drive to provide with social promote products inventory online payments customer support media & answer queries and installation assistance Decoding Digital Consumer 27
Example 3: Research Online - Purchase Offline for Refrigerator Research Online Purchase Offline HI I’M Sarika is looking SARIKA Profile to replace her fridge; to Offline 31 years, accommodate the needs of her Interaction across channels Hyderabad growing family Refrigerator buyer switches Digital Age offline for 1 year salesman The Patient Searches online Online guidance and evaluator using her touch & feel of smartphone the product Consumers are increasingly using mobile devices to do research. In categories such as AC, Refrigerator queries from mobiles are growing at 25%+ Opportunities Tailored marketing to relevant age groups/ income profiles to increase product awareness Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Google Trends data, Industry interactions, BCG Analysis 28 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Eg: Refrigerator Pre-purchase Purchase Post-purchase Visits a multi brand outlet to explore Fixes an immediate different brands delivery and and models Returns home to installation date confer with family and friends Receives salesperson Decides to make the guidance on size & final purchase offline; capacity at the store touch & feel and salesman guidance factors supersede online Checks on a benefits e-commerce Back home, watches website but product videos is unable to online on Youtube understand features Use of online tools such Digital companions Digital kiosks Digital billboards for as augmented and virtual like chatbots, expert for faster order flashing targeted offers reality to help better recommendations to assist placement and self to passer-by consumers visualize product, gauge size, with purchase decision checkout at stores shape and capacity Decoding Digital Consumer 29
Example 4: Research Online - Purchase Offline for Mixer Research Online Purchase Offline HI I’M VARUN Profile Varun wants to purchase a new mixer to replace 40 years, his existing mixer Offline Interaction across channels Lucknow Buyer decides to buy the mixer Digital Age offline for fear 2 years of duplicate/ Online The Patient Actively starts taking damaged evaluator feedback from products friend/family online on the brands that they use Opportunities Proactive data driven targeted offers Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Google Trends data, Industry interactions, BCG Analysis 30 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Eg: Small Appliances Pre-purchase Purchase Post-purchase Visits a local store from where he has purchased kitchen appliances in the past; trusts the store Searches online more than online by the term "mixer" for all brands available Makes final Expects good after in the category purchase offline sales services from the dealer Checks on a e-commerce Seeks sales websites for prices, person guidance reviews and ratings of and finalizes the the product; however, model doesn’t order online for fear of duplicate/ damaged product Recommendations One click user Virtual assistants for Data analytics driven with similar interests– friendly process for advisory and prompt targeted marketing for ‘people like you also returns and refunds customer support in similar/ related product buy’ – integrated into in case of damaged case of complaints offerings; personalized browsing experience products loyalty programs and offers to drive repeat purchases Decoding Digital Consumer 31
Key insights accross 3 phases of digitally influenced consumer journeys Brand decisiveness: ~84% in-store buyers and ~74% online buyers are undecided on 1 their choice of brand at start of research Research Duration: Digitally influenced buyers typically research for upto 2-3 weeks before 2 making the final purchase Research channel: Digitally influenced buyers use search engines as the primary source for Pre- 3 online research; social media, online videos, blogs & online forums are other key sources for online research Purchase Search Behavior: Consumers tend to search for high ASP durables by brand and low ASP 4 durables by product specifications Role of online reviews: 2 out of every 3 digitally influenced consumers rate ‘online 5 reviews’ as important influencer in their purchase decisions 32 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Triggers for online purchase: Low price and convenience are the 6 largest drivers of online purchase; choice of multiple payment options is one of the top 5 drivers Barriers for online purchase: Absence of in-person guidance and 7 Purchase lack of ‘touch & feel’ are the biggest barriers of online purchase Channel for online purchase: Buying from e-commerce aggregators is preferred over individual brands’ website/apps across categories; 8 TV, AC & water purifiers are relatively over-indexed on brand website or app led purchases Product Review: Nearly 1 out of every 3 online buyers provides 9 digital review post purchase Post Purchase 10 Repeat purchase: ~26% in-store buyers and ~36% online buyers look for other offerings from the same brand post purchase; propensity for repeat purchase is over-indexed towards low ASP durables Decoding Digital Consumer 33
PRE-PURCHASE PHASE 34 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 35
84% in-store buyers and 74% online buyers are undecided on their brand choice initially A significant proportion of both online and in-store buyers do not exhibit a concrete brand % buyers who start with % buyers who made choice at the beginning 1 brand choice & end up their brand decision of their research cycle. buying the same brand during the research cycle Only 16% digitally influenced in-store buyers and 26% digitally 16% influenced online buyers start with 1 brand choice & end up buying the Digitally same brand. influenced 84% Consumers are turning in-store buyers to search to get answers On the other hand, on the “best” products in 84% digitally influenced the market. For example, +300% YoY growth in in-store buyers and terms like “best water 74% digitally influenced 26% purifier 2018” online buyers made their brand decision during 74% the research cycle. Digitally influenced online buyers Opportunity to influence brand choice using dedicated digital Question: How many brands were you considering at the start of your research activities? & Was this the brand you had planned to buy initially? Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Google Trends data, BCG Analysis 36 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Digitally influenced buyers typically research for upto 2-3 weeks before making the final purchase 2 out of every 3 digitally influenced buyers research upto 2-3 weeks before Online making the final Buyers 34% 30% 24% 8% 4% purchase. ~65% Online buyers Around >3 a week A months month ~60% In-store buyers research for upto 2-3 weeks before making the final purchase 2-3 2-3 weeks months In-store 28% 32% 23% 12% 5% buyers Question: How much time passed between the time you started to research and the time you actually bought on your most recent occasion? Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG Analysis Decoding Digital Consumer 37
Digitally influenced buyers use search engines, blogs & social media as the primary source for online research Digitally influenced in-store buyers primarily use search engines (56%) to look for product information online, Digitally influenced in-store buyers Digitally influenced online buyers followed by social media (36%), online videos (26%), blogs & online forums (24%). % in-store buyers % online buyers Over 90% of people In the case of digitally say they discover influenced online buyers, new brands or 56% products on search engines (43%) YouTube 43% followed by blogs & online forums (36%) and online Watchtime videos (31%), e-commerce for Consumer Brands & e-commerce websites Brands & e-commerce websites websites (25%) make up Electronics videos 43% in India doubled 36% for top sources for online year over year in 31% research. 2018 36% Blogs & online forums Blogs & online forums 25% Promotional emails Promotional emails 26% Search engines Search engines 24% Online videos Online videos 20% 20% Social media Social media 13% 11% Source for online research Source for online research Question: Where did you find the information you were looking for online? Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG Analysis 38 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Consumers tend to search for high ASP durables by brand and low ASP durables by product specifications Category-wise most searched terms Google trends on most searched terms indicate that consumers tend to Televisions Water Purifiers look for a specific brand ‘Sony TV’, ‘32 inch LED TV’, ‘Eureka Forbes’, ‘Kent RO’, while searching for high ASP ‘Smart TV’, ‘Samsung TV’, ‘Aquaguard’ durables like TV, washing ‘MI TV’ machines etc. Whereas, while buying a low ASP durable, they tend Air Conditioners Microwaves to start with the product ‘Inverter AC’, ‘Voltas AC’, ‘Microwave oven’, ‘OTG’, specification in mind. ‘Lloyd AC’, ‘Portable AC’, ‘Convection oven’, ‘LG microwave’, However, water purifiers ‘Samsung AC’ ‘Samsung Microwave’ are an exception as consumers tend to search for a few specific brands Washing Machines Small Appliances of water purifiers than just ‘LG washing machine’, ‘Mixer grinder’, ‘Juicer’, specifications. ‘IFB washing machine’, ‘Electric rice cooker’ ‘Fully automatic washing machine’, Refrigerators ‘LG refrigerator’, ‘Samsung refrigerator’, ‘Double door fridge’ Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Google search trends data, BCG Analysis Decoding Digital Consumer 39
A majority of digitally influenced buyers rely on online reviews to arrive at purchase decision % respondents who believe that online reviews played a ‘very important’ role in The influence of online their purchase decision reviews on the purchase of consumer durables has Overall High ASP Low ASP been on the rise. Durables Durables 67% of in-store buyers and 74% of online buyers consider online reviews to have played 67% 68% 65% a ‘very important’ role in influencing their purchase decision. Digitally influenced Online reviews have in-store buyers marginally higher importance for purchase of high ASP durables vs low ASP durables. 74% 74% 73% Digitally influenced online buyers More and more people are going to YouTube to research and learn about tech products. The searches happening on YouTube for reviews and unboxing has doubled since last year for TVs Question: How important were online reviews/ratings in influencing your decision about what to buy/book/sign up for? Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, Year in Search 2018, BCG Analysis 40 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 41
PURCHASE PHASE 42 Digital DigitalInfluence on consumer Powers Consumer durables Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 43
Low price and convenience are the largest drivers of online purchase; Choice of multiple payment options in Top 5 drivers I have bought three electronic appliances in just last year – Fridge, % online buyers Washing Machine, Cooler – and I didn’t face any Low Price 52% problem. I got good discounts and EMI options Non-metro television online. So why not T.V.?” Convenience 46% buyers believe ease of returns & refunds to be - Online buyer, Male, Ease of returns the key trigger Indore & refunds 40% Availability 29% Product availability We had gone to a local is the key trigger for store to window shop Multiple 24% online purchases in & check out the screen payment options Tier-3 cities size we wanted. But the Helps making salespeople are quite 19% informed decisions impatient. They want you to just purchase. So we Post sale support 19% Washing machine and didn’t consult them. Had a AC buyers consider look and returned.” ‘good post sale support’ Variety 15% as one of the top 3 - Online buyer, Female, Delhi triggers for online Status symbol 14% purchase Percentages mentioned are on a base of total consumers and not relative in nature, the total may exceed 100% Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG research & analysis 44 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Absence of in-person guidance and lack of ‘touch & feel’ are the biggest barriers for online purchase I did a search on Amazon app and Google. There % In-store buyers were a lot of options. But I got so confused. Then I Absence of in- person guidance 51% asked my senior at work, he suggested a nearby store. More critical for He said that they have a Lack of 49% sale of high ASP good team to guide on this touch & feel matter.” durables, vis-à-vis low ASP durables - Offline buyer, Male, Fear of duplicate/ Mumbai damaged products 38% ~50% of Tier-2 and Tier-3 buyers consider potential delivery of Delayed delivery & 36% The interaction with the installation damaged/duplicate products to be the sales staff, discount offered key barrier for online and trust/point of contact purchase were the key reason for Concerns regarding online payments 26% purchasing the product offline.” Difficult to repair & - Offline buyer, Female, service the product 27% Mumbai Percentages mentioned are on a base of total consumers and not relative in nature, the total may exceed 100% Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG research & analysis Decoding Digital Consumer 45
Buying from e-commerce aggregators preferred over individual brands’ website/apps Highly imperative for brands to simultaneously compete & collaborate Individual brands’ websites / apps contribute to only ~10% of the total online purchases. Nearly ~90% % of online buyers purchasing from brand website / app of online buyers buy from % online buyers e-commerce aggregators. 17% TV, AC & water purifiers are Television 90% relatively over-indexed on brand website or app led purchases. Nearly 17% of 16% online buyers for TV, 16% Air Conditioner for air conditioner and 12% for water purifiers purchase 12% from brand website / app. E-commerce Water Purifiers aggregators 7% Washing Machine 7% 10% Small Appliances 4% Brand website Microwave or App 3% Refrigerator Question: Which website or app did you buy from? Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG analysis 46 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 47
POST-PURCHASE PHASE 48 48 Digital DigitalPowers PowersConsumer ConsumerDurables Durables
Decoding Digital Consumer 49
Nearly 1 in every 3 online buyers provides digital review post purchase 32% of online buyers 32% of online 60-65% in case of Interaction on social media, provide product reviews buyers provided a other digitally evolved brand website and online blogs online after purchasing a digital review post / forums are the key modes of countries such as China consumer durables across purchase in India review category. Buyers typically post on Posted on the 13% % of online buyers the brand’s social media brand’s social media page page for providing product reviews; closely followed Shared a review on 12% by writing on the brand’s the brand’s website website. 32% Other than providing Provided Shared or liked a post or page 11% reviews and a digital of the product via social media recommendations; review buyers typically engage Wrote on blogs or in other post purchase online forums 11% activities such as seeking information on installation & use, availing warranty Recorded and posted an 11% services, downloading the Did not 68% online video review brand’s app & searching provide Wrote an for more/ similar offerings a digital email to the 8% from the same brand. review company 5 10 15 % of online buyers Question: How did you share your review or recommendation? Note: Percentages mentioned are on a base of total consumers and not relative in nature, the total will exceed 100% because of choice of multiple selections to the question Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG Analysis 50 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
26% in-store buyers and 36% online buyers look for other offerings from the same brand post purchase 26% in-store buyers who 36% online buyers who Approximately 36% Product Category look for similar offerings look for similar offerings online buyers and 26% from the same brand from the same brand post offline buyers either post purchase purchase research for more 27% 34% offerings from the same Television brand and/or buy more from the same brand 24% 30% post purchase of a Air Conditioner consumer durable. This propensity for 23% 34% repeat purchase is over- Washing Machine indexed towards low ASP durables as compared to high ASP durables. 26% 27% Refrigerator 24% 43% Propensity for repeat purchase Water Purifiers increases as ASP decreases 34% 41% Opportunity to Microwave cross sell through dedicated digital 26% 40% marketing efforts Small Appliances Question: What did you do after completing the purchase? Source: BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019, BCG Analysis Decoding Digital Consumer 51
SEIZING THE OPPORTUNITY 52 Digital Powers Consumer Durables 52
Seizing the Opportunity 53
Key themes to leverage the digital influence opportunity Key takeaways How to win Case study Digitally influenced sale will grow Set up investments and create right disproportionately. However, it digital organization structure to 1 2 varies by categories capitalize this opportunity Offline market share does not Achieve fair share or strive to beat translate into digitally influenced the market leaders in the future 3 4 share through digital leadership ~80% of digitally influenced Focused interventions at individual consumers finalize the brand consumer level across journey 5 6 during the research cycle, in a short touchpoints window of 2-3 weeks Lack of “in person guidance” and Leverage technology solutions like “touch and feel” biggest barriers to 7 8 AR/VR to mitigate barriers online purchase Drive post purchase experience 30%+ digitally influenced and amplify advocacy at scale to 9 10 consumers post reviews online influence new consumers 54 Digital Powers Consumer Durables 54
What does this mean for Consumer Durable players? From To Digital as a Digital as the core of small channel future marketing Focus on driving End-to-end consumer purchase engagement Mass Personalized marketing interventions Battling offline Driving digitally market share influenced share Company-driven Enabling advocacy communication at scale Seizing the Opportunity 55
Case study 1 Align digital budgets to tap the opportunity early Leveraging digital and social media platforms enabled Analytics based customized marketing the company to efforts to tap rich A leading drive its ‘celebrating available data and the new’ campaign multinational and garner over a drive actionable consumer insights electronics million views within company’s a day of the launch digital budget went up from high single- digit figures in 2014 to ~30% of its total marketing budget in 2018 Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis 56 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Case study 2 Digital initiatives to be complemented with organizational enablement to ensure success A leading Indian consumer goods company re-organized itself to carve out digital business as a separate business unit to ensure right focus at senior management level Select examples A mid sized Indian consumer company set up digital brand team to enable from India efficient digital marketing ecosystem for larger group of brand managers & and globally driving synergies on increasing importance of organizational enablement An American electric car-maker selling its cars online through its website, is using social media platforms, such as Twitter, to allow customers to interact directly with the company, including its leadership Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis Seizing the Opportunity 57
Case study 3 Achieve fair share or strive to beat the market leaders in the future through digital leadership The smartphone maker held ~51% market share of online smartphone sales as of 2017 Nearly 80% The founder believes the company to be of sales for a more in the e-commerce business, than as leading Chinese a smartphone manufacturer. This indicates smartphone the company’s focus towards online maker comes presence and digital leadership from online The company also manages social media sentiment channel by creating a buzz for it’s products and flash sales, offering incentives for retweets, how-to-guides, and events like photo contests etc. Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis 58 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Case study 4 Critical to simultaneously compete & collaborate in the e-commerce space A leading European Focus on leading online It aims to hit a target of It uses its ever-widening sportswear retailers helped a €4 billion ($4.9 billion) portfolio of apps to manufacturer European sportswear by 2020 by leveraging push rarer — and more uses its app to company achieve €1.5 the likes of both leading expensive — products, billion ($1.9 billion) in e-tailers and retailers while using other online push rarer & online sales in 2017, as well as its’ company retailers to sell its cheaper more expensive an unprecedented 57% owned channels, products products, while growth over the previous particularly its apps year online retailers sell its cheaper products Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis Seizing the Opportunity 59
Case study 5 Focused interventions at the consumer level in their research journey A leading Indian hypermarket retain chain has created ‘Smart Search’ where With this campaign, the company anyone who searches for anything with successfully added young digital the company name prefixed is offered customers, who seek offers and exclusive offers from the company which A leading Indian can be redeemed across its network of information online, to its fold and drove them to shop at its stores hypermarket 225 stores throughout India retail chain is targeting consumers with focused Over 1,80,000 discount coupons interventions were distributed against each search in their search on every occasion, which saw an journey increase of more than 30,000 people visiting the retail chain’s stores Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis 60 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Case study 6 Leverage AI to generate data-driven actionable business insights An online healthcare platform connects patients with doctors in real time using chatbots. They have dedicated doctors at the backend but are building an AI layer to scale operations An Indian healthcare venture which provides online They have built AI engines which process over 10 million minutes The company then performs consultations of talk time every month. This analytics on this data to is using AI to generate actionable business has enabled them to profile their pitch the right customers for their preferences, insights (Eg: the company is aware to what extent the product to the likes and dislikes and the kind of queries they raise agents were able to answer right customer the queries and accordingly pitch the right product) Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis Seizing the Opportunity 61
Case study 7 Bring the physical ‘touch & feel’ and eliminate other related barriers to digital purchase A large global furniture retailer brings the ‘touch & feel’ experience to the digital consumer through the use of augmented reality to improve the furniture buying experience A large global furniture retailer uses augmented Consumers can preview how furniture will look like in reality to help life-size proportions in their homes and order directly consumers from the free app visualize furniture in their homes This initiative has greatly helped in eliminating the barrier of ‘lack of touch & feel’ in online buying Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis 62 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Case study 8 Use technologies like AR/VR to create immersive environments and provide engaging experience for users As a result, the ad netted nearly 10 million views with 65% audience retention One of India’s top e-commerce brand created a TrueView in- stream ad with state-of-the-art VR360 A leading Indian equipment in an effort e-commerce to reach consumers on brand created an their mobile devices ad with VR360 equipment to reach consumers on their mobile The VR360 project capitalized on the devices growing prominence of on-demand music, smartphone penetration and effective use of media. The results of this project -from retention rates to brand lift – surpassed all internal benchmarks. Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis Seizing the Opportunity 63
Case study 9 Leverage digital for continued post purchase experience The company’s users will now be able to interact with Google’s virtual assistant to get answers to various An Indian telecom giant is queries pertaining to their offering Google Assistant- subscribed plans, data based Digital Customer usage and account balance. Care experience to step up Notably, the feature is the customer experience available for both, the An Indian global postpaid and prepaid users communications services company is leveraging technology to The newly launched feature is part of the company’s make digital Project Next - it’s digital self-care more innovation program, aimed interactive at transforming customer experience across all of its services and touch points Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis 64 Digital Powers Consumer Durables
Case study 10 Re-imagine the role of advocacy Interestingly, the company’s bookstore has less than 5000 titles, compared with the millions of titles in its online store. Using technology and big A US chain of retail data around customer bookstores uses reviews, the company customer ratings, has been able to make reviews and data collected from their the shopping experience A US chain of more efficient & effective e-commerce business retail bookstores and Kindle devices to offers a curated display books that are most likely to entice range of books The featured books readers to make a table isn’t selected based on online purchase by a local employee popularity or organized by latest hyped releases—it’s a selection of most highly rated online books Source: External reports, Press search, BCG Analysis Seizing the Opportunity 65
NOTE TO THE READER ABOUT THE AUTHORS Nimisha Jain is a Partner and Managing Director in the New Delhi office of Boston Consulting Group and leads the Center for Customer Insight for Emerging Markets. She is also the India Lead for Marketing, Sales & Pricing. Anubhav Pateriya is a Senior Principal in the New Delhi office of Boston Consulting Group and works extensively with consumer and retail companies. Kanika Sanghi is a Partner & Associate Director in the Mumbai office of Boston Consulting Group and leads the Centre for Customer Insights in India. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This report has been prepared by Boston Consulting Group in collaboration with Google India. We would like to thank and acknowledge the contributions of Vikas Agnihotri (Country Director, India Sales), Shaurab Kapadia (Industry Head – Technology), Prabhanshu Pandey (Principal Account Manager – Technology) and Bhavna Jagwani (Industry Analyst – Technology) from Google India Pvt Ltd and Ankur Jain, Akash Sethia, Viren Rajani and Ity Jain from Boston Consulting Group. We would also like to thank Kantar IMRB for conducting extensive quantitative survey of 6800 consumer durable buyers & qualitative discussions for BCG-Google Digital Influence on Consumer Durables Study 2019. A special thanks to Jasmin Pithawala for managing the marketing process and Jamshed Daruwalla, Saroj Singh and Divya Mehrotra for their contribution towards design and production of the report. FOR FURTHER CONTACT If you would like to discuss the themes and content of this report, please contact: NIMISHA JAIN ANUBHAV PATERIYA VIKAS AGNIHOTRI Partner & Managing Director Senior Principal Country Director, India Sales BCG, New Delhi BCG, New Delhi Google India Pvt. Ltd. +91 124 459 7210 +91 124 457 5659 +91 22 66117129 jain.nimisha@bcg.com pateriya.anubhav@bcg.com vikasagnihotri@google.com KANIKA SANGHI SHAURAB KAPADIA Partner & Associate Director Industry Head - Technology BCG, Mumbai Google India Pvt Ltd. +91 22 6749 7134 +91 124 451 2900 sanghi.kanika@bcg.com shaurabk@google.com
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