Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission

 
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Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
Demographic Data
How to get it and how to use it (with caution)
                  By Amber Keller
Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
101 Where does it come from?
o The American Community Survey
   o Socio-economic characteristics of a population
      o Administered by the U.S. Census Bureau funded by Housing and Urban
        Development (HUD)
         o 5 year estimates for Zip Codes, Census Tracts, and Block Groups

o Decennial Census
   o Population Count
      o Last data with socio-economic data – 2000
         o 2010 and 2020 does/will not have social & economic data
             o Population and Race
Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
American Fact Finder = Data
o Download the data
   o Or don’t and call the API
      o Join by a geography identifier to the geographic areas
         o Document table and year

o Block Group – smallest level of geography Census collects data on
   o Highest margin of error
      o Highest precision lowest accuracy

  factfinder.census.gov
Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
Document Data Source!
• Geography
• Data Set
• Data Table

Data Source
Tracts ACS14 5yr: S0101
Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
Policy : update [x] every 10 years
          based on Census Data
o Possibly a policy created when socio-economic data was collected every ten
  (10) years with the decennial census ?
   o Update [geographic.Areas] with [ x% of Poverty] with the Decennial
     Census numbers
       o This is not possible
o Can make calculations on areas each year a dataset comes out
   o Calculations each year to identify key areas NOT to compare overlapping
     data sets
Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
CAUTION! Different Methodologies

     Population vs Sample

     Decennial Census vs ACS
Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
CAUTION! Boundaries Change
      Cities             (City geography is called “Place” by the Census)

The city grew in Population from {yyyy} to {yyyy}; == People are moving to City of {cityName};
                                            FALSE

             Did it really? Or did the city annex residential areas?
 City Boundaries change every year (Census Boundary and Annexation Survey)
          Define “city” - Numbers by City boundary or a Metro area?
Demographic Data How to get it and how to use it (with caution) - By Amber Keller - Atlanta Regional Commission
CAUTION! Boundaries Change
      or don’t exist
                       Zip Codes
 o Most familiar – easiest to comprehend by the public
    o But Not a Census Geography
         o Representations of USPS service areas
            o The USPS service areas change multiple times throughout
              the year
            o Census makes a ZIP boundary shapefile every year
 o 1st ACS data set with Zip Codes is the 2007 – 2011 release
CAUTION! Boundaries Change
                  Tracts and Block Groups
     Census 2000                  Census 2010       Census 2020
   ACS 2005 - 2009               ACS 2006 - 2010   ACS 2016 - 2020
                                 ACS 2007 - 2011   ACS 2017 - 2021
                                 ACS 2008 - 2012   ACS 2018 - 2022
2010 to 2014 First NON-          ACS 2009 - 2013   ACS 2019 - 2023
overlapping 5 year ACS dataset
with ACS 2005 – 2009             ACS 2010 - 2014   ACS 2020 - 2024
                                 ACS 2011 - 2015   ACS 2021 - 2025
2011 – 2015 First NON-           ACS 2012 - 2016   ACS 2022 - 2026
overlapping 5 year ACS dataset   ACS 2013 - 2017   ACS 2023 - 2027
of the SAME GEOGRAPHY with
ACS 2006 – 2010
                                 ACS 2014 - 2018   ACS 2024 - 2028
                                 ACS 2015 - 2019   ACS 2025 - 2029
CAUTION! Survey Questions Change
   CAUTION! People don’t respond to the survey
      CAUTION! Statistical sampling margin of error
             CAUTION!
                 CAUTION!
                     CAUTION!

                          CAUTION!

    Understand there are limitations to the data
              The data is what it is
         make calculations and move on
What the Client needs to know to make decisions
                                     Example
             Is [Address] in a qualified [BlockGroup] based on [ACS.DataConstraint]?
                                                              YES
Variable [ACS.DataConstraint] = {
IF Housing Facility Deficiency is >= .08
#because 8% is one standard deviation above the mean
   Housing Facility Deficiency =
     Lacking Full Plumbing ACS14 Table B25051 >= .08
   OR
     Lacking Full Kitchen Table ACS14 Table B25051 >= .08};
Return : YES
                                                                    Exactly what Block Group

                                                                    YES or not – the
                                    Extra data                      main piece of
                                    Why YES                         information
                                    For reliability and
                                    trust in result
GEOI
                D

133199602003
STATE

    COUNTY

              TRACT

             BLOCK GROUP
Thanks for listening!
   Contact: amber.keller@dca.ga.gov
Combined Demographic Data
o Previous example combined two ACS data tables
   o Can combine data tables, assign weighted values etc etc
Pre-Combined Socio-economic Data
 o Social Vulnerability Index
    o Aid in planning for populations to respond to hazardous events
    o Agency for Toxic Substances & Disease registry
         o Geography: Nationally by County and Tract
         o Uses: 14 Factors
         o Data Year: 2014
             o ACS 2014 5 yr data and other source population data
         o Download Shapefile or CSV file http://svi.cdc.gov/SVIDataToolsDownload.html
Pre-Combined Socio-economic Data
                                   For GEORGIA
 o Socioeconomic Demographic Clusters
    o Ranks socioeconomic status from “higher” to “lower”
    o GA Department of Public Health
         o Geography: Georgia by Block Group
         o Uses: 25 Factors
         o Data Year: 2011 (2007-2011 ACS)
         o View online map or printable poster
           https://oasis.state.ga.us/gis/demographiccluster/DemoClusters2011.htm
         o Request or Purchase data: http://dph.georgia.gov/phip-data-request
Pre-Combined Socio-economic Data
 o Esri Tapestry Segmentation
    o Help understand customers’ lifestyle choices – identify best customers and
        underserved markets
    o Environmental Systems Research Institute :P
          o Geography: Nationally by all geographic levels
          o Uses: 67 Factors ACS and many more data sources
          o Data Year: 2016
             o   Yes 2016 read more if you like– but to view the map you need an ArcGIS Online account
                 https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=a422e35d395743089893f08c6f4325f6
         o Accessible online map by Zip Code http://www.esri.com/landing-pages/tapestry
             o Zip Code Boundaries and methodology created by HERE – not the same boundaries at the
               Census Zip Codes!
Open Tapestry from ArcGIS Online in
        ArcGIS for Desktop
                       Womp womp 

         o   Not very useful
         o   Can only click and view the data
         o   Cannot use in Geoprocessing tools
         o   Cannot Export
         o   Cannot view Attribute Table
         o   Cannot even select!
So much data!
(see every component of this vast
  dataset with the Identify Tool)

Predictive Demographics
Use Esri Maps for Office
http://www.esri.com/software/maps-for-office#mapsForOfficeDownload

                                              Need an ArcGIS Online
                                              account to use Esri Maps for
                                              Office

                                              ArcGIS Online comes with ArcGIS
                                              for Desktop license
Esri Maps for Office
o If concerned about consuming credits – Enrich data with caution

o Scenario – I want to know Tapestry data for a bunch of addresses
    o Enrich the addresses?
         o But what geography level is going into these addresses?
              o Response from chat with esri tech support “When using point data, the output values are
                interpolated in some way based on the entire zip code”
              o This lead me to learning all about Zip codes – conclusion not a good idea to use Zip Codes
                   o … A conversation for another time
    o Instead – get a dataset I can work with longer term for addresses again and again
         o Enrich by Tract or Block Group ID (or Zip Code too if you need to)
Esri Maps for Office

o Recommendation – Don’t enrich your point data
   o Get base layer dataset then geocode and spatial join to the data
      o Have control and knowledge of the geography

DEMO! YouTube: https://youtu.be/IKwgS0N9XSI

Tapestry Data for all the Tracts in Georgia Cost (two columns) 40 Credits
Data Enrichment costs 10 credits per 1,000 records
Which is only $4 ($100 = 1,000 credits)
Send me that excel sheet or
            shapefile!
          Absolutely NOT
Cannot send other organization’s data if
  that organization charges for data
Case Study
o What insights can I gain about a client’s customers with just the address?
  o Client – Homeowner Program for people that make less than $65k/year
     o Customer – Homebuyer
         o Data- Addresses for 5 years
Workflow
     Get Tapestry Data
       by enriching
     polygon GEOID in                    Join to Shapefile
       Esri Maps for
           Office

                                                             Frequency (Count)
                          Spatial Join                        or don’t and use
Geocode                                                      Pivot Table in Excel
Addresses
Result
                                          HOMEOWNERSHIP
                                          GA DREAM
                                             PROGRAM
                                                                             GEORGIA            USA
                                                                                                              Life mode 10 Common market
                                                                                                               in Georgia, but not so much
                                                                                                                    with the customer

                            2.81%          Out to the TOP FIVE Segments
        2.24%                              they fall in only two Life Mode
                                                 Categories 4 and 7

        5.97%
                            8.17%

                                         2.83%                                                               3.16%

                                         5.65%

                                                                   1.47%                1.72%                9.79%
        16.34%
                           14.56%                                  2.62%
                                                                                        2.61%                                        1.38%

                                         8.56%
                                                                   6.03%                                                             5.54%
                                                                                        5.55%
                                                                                                             4.12%

                                                                                                                                     0.50%
          7A                 4C           4A                         7C                  4B                   10A                    10E
UP AND COMING FAMILIES   MIDDLEBURG   SOCCER MOMS           AMERICAN DREAMERS     HOME IMPROVEMENT    SOUTHERN SATELLITES       RURAL BYPASSES
LifeMode 4 Family Landscapes                                   LifeMode 7 Ethnic Enclaves

o Successful young families in their first homes               o Established diversity—young, Hispanic homeowners with
o Non-diverse, prosperous married-couple families, residing      families
  in suburban or semirural areas with a low vacancy rate       o Multilingual and multigenerational households feature
  (second lowest)                                                children that represent second-, third- or fourth-
o Homeowners (80%) with mortgages (second highest %),            generation Hispanic families
  living in newer single-family homes, with median home        o Neighborhoods feature single-family, owner-occupied
  value slightly higher than the U.S.                            homes built at city's edge, primarily built after 1980
o Two workers in the family, contributing to the second        o Hard-working and optimistic, most residents aged 25 years
  highest labor force participation rate, as well as low         or older have a high school diploma or some college
  unemployment                                                   education
o Do-it-yourselfers, who work on home improvement              o Shopping and leisure also focus on their children—baby
  projects, as well as their lawns and gardens                   and children's products from shoes to toys and games and
o Sports enthusiasts, typically owning newer sedans or SUVs,     trips to theme parks, water parks or the zoo
  dogs, and savings accounts/plans, comfortable with the       o Residents favor Hispanic programs on radio or television;
  latest technology                                              children enjoy playing video games on personal computers,
o Eat out frequently at fast food or family restaurants to       handheld or console devices
  accommodate their busy lifestyle                             o Many households have dogs for domestic pets
o Especially enjoy bowling, swimming, playing golf, playing
  video games, watching movies rented via Redbox, and
  taking trips to a zoo or theme park
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