Deloitte's outlook for sports investment in 2023 - Deloitte Sports Business Group March 2023
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Deloitte Insight | Deloitte’s outlook for sports investment in 2023 Deloitte’s outlook for sports investment in 2023 Investment trends across sports rights holders support a growing M&A market with strong tailwinds. A larger number of sophisticated investors along with a higher degree of capital availability has driven the market to record levels. Global M&A experienced a turbulent ride Defining the sports sector in the second half of 2022, and investment Sport is diverging as its own asset class in sports assets mirrored wider market with multiple subsectors spanning trends with the volume of transactions professional spectator sports, media, falling by 27% in the second half of 2022. leisure and entertainment, and complementary organisations. While activity slowed towards the end of 2022, it was still a year of demarcation for In professional spectator sports, sports investments, highlighted by the organisations focus on the delivery of, landmark sales of Chelsea Football Club and participation in, elite sporting events (England), AC Milan (Italy), and the Denver and competitions that are consumed by Broncos (USA). There were also significant the greater public. Within this sub-sector, investments in European football leagues, rights holders are the entities that own second and third-division European and control these events including leagues, football teams, Indian cricket teams, rugby competitions, governing bodies, clubs, teams and competitions, and extreme and teams. sports, amongst others. Overall, we expect to see In recent years, increased external increased investment In 2023, despite the challenging investment into the sports sector macroeconomic climate, we are expecting has brought dividends to the growing activity fuelled by a variety to see a new influx of capital flow into the professionalism and commercialisation of of new industry entrants sports sector. This will be driven by investor these rights holders. confidence in the predictable and improving who are attracted to the revenue streams that premium sports prestige, and potentially properties can offer, buoyed by growing Sports M&A metrics media rights, globalisation of valuable Mature sports markets, such as the compelling risk-adjusted content, and the resilience showcased Americas and Europe, are seeing a surge in returns, to be recognized by sports assets subsequent to the initial investments as assets gain popularity and COVID-19 pandemic and now during commercial value. Sports assets in these from owning a sports asset. challenging macroeconomic conditions. regions drew approximately 80% of total sports investments by volume in 2022. Take a look at our Q1 2023 M&A market outlook insights to learn how the In 2022, the sports sector saw over 220 macroeconomic environment may affect M&A transactions completed across the M&A deals across other sectors in 2023. industry. American sports assets took the lion’s share of larger deals, with twice Overall, we expect to see increased as many tournaments, competitions investment activity fuelled by a variety of and leagues in this region attracting new industry entrants who are attracted investments in 2022, in comparison to to the prestige, and potentially compelling Europe. However, almost five times as risk-adjusted returns, to be recognized many deals were struck with mid-sized from owning a sports asset. 2
Deloitte Insight | Deloitte’s outlook for sports investment in 2023 Sports M&A Transactions in 2022 Deal Volume by Region of Acquired Deal Volume by Organisation Type (%) Entity (%) 100% 38 52 48 55 Rest of World Asia Pacific 80% 6% 6% 10% 10% 60% 47 44 38 41 52% Europe 40% 5 Americas 32% 32% 20% 15 10 4 8 0 Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Source: Refinitiv. (Tier 1) Competitions/Leagues/Governing Bodies Source: Refinitiv. (Tier 2) Clubs/Teams (Tier 3) Other assets in Europe – typically football clubs Some key overarching investment trends attractive investment characteristics and teams – than in the Americas. Almost that have emerged are the influx of such as stable, contractual cash flows half of investments made into mid-sized institutional private equity capital into from broadcasting and commercial European sports assets in 2022 were premium sports assets, the emergence agreements, highly predictable ticketing acquired by organisations outside of of sports focused investment funds, and revenue, high barriers to entry, resilience Europe, highlighting the globalization investors employing a portfolio approach to macroeconomic downturns and high trends in the sports sector. to sport investments. inflationary periods, strong profit margins, and compelling value appreciation Private equity capital flowing into the fundamentals driven by the scarcity of Current approach to investment sports sector has, to date, primarily been premium sport assets. Investment in in sport deployed into premium assets. Premium these assets also often provides a unique Unlike other industries, investment in assets differentiate themselves in terms of opportunity to connect with fans and sports assets has historically been driven maturity, quality of infrastructure, overall positively impact local communities. by the ‘trophy asset’ rationale. Ultra-high commercial value, and risk profile relative net worth individuals have at times been to less attractive peer assets. As sport formalises into its own asset class, drawn to invest due to their interest as sports focused private equity funds are fans and the prestige that comes with Examples of premium rights holders successfully raising funds from institutional owning a sports asset, rather than by include direct investments into leagues sources (e.g. pension plans, sovereign sound investment decisions based on an and competitions, investments in North wealth funds, insurance companies, overriding desire for financial returns. American franchises across the “big university endowments, etc.) and deploying five” leagues (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and capital exclusively or predominantly into In more recent years, we’ve seen a new MLS) and investments in top-tier teams the sports sector. These funds have universe of investors looking to explore the or clubs with large commercial appeal targeted strategies around how they invest sector, primarily due to the attractive risk- and remote relegation risk. Premium and achieve strong risk-adjusted returns adjusted returns on offer. assets provide private equity firms with for their investors within the sector. 3
Deloitte Insight | Deloitte’s outlook for sports investment in 2023 As we enter the next wave Examples include funds focused premium assets continue to rise. Premium on minority stakes in league and/or assets will have the opportunity to highlight of mass investment in competition-level media rights, club-level their resilience and compelling investment sport, we expect to see revenue streams, or control-oriented merits amidst current challenging investments in clubs and/or teams. In macroeconomic conditions for ‘next the most premium assets exchange for external investment, rights buyers’ and we expect that this will attract retain high levels of interest, holders tend to gain operational and an evolving set of investors. commercial expertise, strategic direction which will drive an evolving and discipline at the ownership and This expanding set is likely to include investor base. In addition, board levels that ultimately helps to drive institutional investors such as pension growth and sustainable business models. plans, sovereign wealth funds, women’s sports assets These funds are recognising the need for endowments, and insurance companies will continue to offer a industry-specific knowledge and insight to that will invest both indirectly through support their investment objectives. commitments to new and/or existing compelling opportunity for private equity funds and directly into new and existing investors The portfolio approach provides investors premium assets themselves. with growth opportunities across a range in the sports sector. of related, but defined, sports assets. As the next wave of buyers evolves, These portfolios tend to be constructed so too will the portfolio strategies across various sports and geographies, adopted by investors. We expect to which has proven to be valuable when see a broadening of the portfolio executed strategically. This approach can approach that incorporates additional provide diversification benefits, de-risk sports, geographies, and complimentary the portfolio, and unlock operational and businesses. Investors will look to commercial synergies. Portfolios can span strategically invest in businesses that a single sport across multiple geographies, provide synergistic growth, with sports such as football clubs across Europe, North assets acting as the catalyst. When and South America, and Asia; or they can broadening a portfolio in this manner, it is cross sports and geographies, such as critical for investors to form a long-term football in Europe and ice hockey in strategy that optimises the portfolio’s North America. growth opportunity in each market. A clear understanding of the global sports market along with a strong understanding of the What’s next in sports M&A nuances in local markets is necessary As we enter the next wave of mass for investors to support responsible investment in sport, we expect to see the investments, and ultimately generate most premium assets retain high levels higher returns. of interest, which will drive an evolving investor base. In addition, women’s sports Women’s professional sports had a assets will continue to offer a compelling record-breaking year in 2022, with growing opportunity for new and existing investors awareness of the commercial returns in the sports sector. that women’s sports assets offer. For instance, the 2023 edition of the Deloitte In the next wave of investment in the Football Money League reported average sports sector, we will see continued high attributable revenues of €2.4 million to demand for premium sports assets, and the women’s sides in the 2021/22 season as such, returns will compress as prices for at the world’s top 20 revenue generating 4
Deloitte Insight | Deloitte’s outlook for sports investment in 2023 clubs. In addition, clubs in the National Women’s Soccer League (NWSL – USA) and the Women’s Indian Premier League (WIPL – India) achieved record-setting valuations. As levels of interest, attendance, viewership, and media coverage – not to mention revenues – keeps building, investor interest will inevitably follow. Women’s sports offer new investors an appealing entry point and an opportunity to achieve attractive returns. Investors can also engage with a relatively untapped and growing fanbase that typically represents a different demographic to fanbases in men’s sports. Such an opportunity is likely to attract new entrants to the sports sector that, in the short-term, will comprise of investors that can strategically partner with women’s sports rights holders to execute on the segment’s strong growth tailwinds. As women’s sports continue to professionalise, commercialise, and ultimately mature, financial investors are likely to take note and become more active in the sector. A holistic approach to sports investing Ultimately, attractive returns can be made As more capital flows into the sports in the world’s most exciting industry, but sector, sustainable investment models that the biggest winners will be those that are balance financial and operational viability informed by industry-specific knowledge with spending on performance are front and insight which acts as the foundation of and centre and gaining traction. What’s their investment and business decisions. more, new investments are often the Sports, at the end of the day, will always trigger to organisational transformation carry an excitement factor, but that aimed at driving increased returns shouldn’t overlook the need for sound and and success. rational consideration. Investors must enter the sector in a conscious and risk-focused manner, considering all the factors that may impact their future ability to be responsible custodians of sport. 5
Deloitte Insight | Deloitte’s outlook for sports investment in 2023 About Deloitte’s Sports M&A Advisory and Transaction Support Deloitte facilitates major global sports transactions; supporting client investment and providing end-to-end M&A services to create value for private and institutional investors. Our areas of expertise include: M&A strategy Tim Bridge Providing early-stage advisory services Lead partner, Deloitte Sports regarding the potential to make an Business Group investment/divestment. tbridge@deloitte.co.uk M&A advisory Sam Boor Project managing the negotiation and Director, Sports M&A Advisory execution of acquisitions and divestments, and Transaction Support including deal structure, holding periods sboor@deloitte.co.uk and efficient exit periods. Marco D’Elia Transaction support Manager, Sports M&A Advisory Providing a full range of commercial, and Transaction Support financial and tax due diligence processes, medelia@deloitte.co.uk including transaction implementation services such as contractual protections and management incentive plans. Jenny Haskel Knowledge & Insights lead, Deloitte Sports Business Group Post-transaction support jhaskel@deloitte.co.uk Providing strategic advisory services including strategy development, operating model review and digital transformation. 6
Deloitte Insight | Deloitte’s outlook for sports investment in 2023 Deloitte’s Global Sports M&A Leaders Steven Amato Lakhbir Chhina David McCarthy New York, USA Doha, Qatar Sydney, Australia samato@deloitte.com lchhina@deloitte.com damccarthy@deloitte.com.au Richard Bell Jeff Harris Bimal Modi Manchester, UK Toronto, Canada Mumbai, India ribell@deloitte.co.uk jeffharris@deloitte.ca bimalmodi@deloitte.com Sam Boor Karsten Hollasch Martin Reilly London, UK Dusseldorf, Germany Dublin, Ireland sboor@deloitte.co.uk khollasch@deloitte.de mreilly@deloitte.ie Tim Bridge Simon Howard James Walton Manchester, UK Madrid, Spain Singapore tbridge@deloitte.co.uk sihoward@deloitte.es jmwalton@deloitte.com Robin Butteriss Stefan Ludwig Dubai, UAE Dusseldorf, Germany robutteriss@deloitte.com sludwig@deloitte.de 7
Deloitte Football Money League 2021 | Top 20 clubs This publication has been written in general terms and we recommend that you obtain professional advice before acting or refraining from action on any of the contents of this publication. Deloitte LLP accepts no liability for any loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of any material in this publication. Deloitte LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales with registered number OC303675 and its registered office at 1 New Street Square, London EC4A 3HQ, United Kingdom. Deloitte LLP is the United Kingdom affiliate of Deloitte NSE LLP, a member firm of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”). DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL and Deloitte NSE LLP do not provide services to clients. Please see www.deloitte.com/about to learn more about our global network of member firms. © 2023 Deloitte LLP. All rights reserved. Graphic design: www.heliographic.co.uk 8
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