Credit Suisse 26th Annual Technology Conference - Ganesh Moorthy President & CEO November 29, 2022
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Credit Suisse 26th Annual
Technology Conference
A Leading Provider of Smart, Connected and Secure Embedded Solutions
Ganesh Moorthy
President & CEO
November 29, 2022
SAFE HARBOR Forward Looking Statement Safe Harbor: During the course of this presentation, we will make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding the future financial performance of the company (including our guidance) or future events, including our strategy, growth drivers, industry outlook, industry trends, market size, our financial model, supply constraints, managing a soft landing, performance in industry cycles, strong cash generation, capital return strategy including debt paydown, dividend growth, and buybacks and our winning formula. These statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially, including, but not limited to: any continued uncertainty, fluctuations or weakness in the U.S. and world economies (including China) due to rising interest rates, high inflation or the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (including lock-downs in China), actions taken or which may be taken by the Biden administration or the U.S. Congress, monetary policy, political, geopolitical, trade or other issues in the U.S. or internationally (including the Ukraine-Russia military conflict), changes in demand or market acceptance of our products and the products of our customers and our ability to meet any continued increases in market demand; the impact that the CHIPS Act will have on increasing manufacturing capacity in our industry by providing incentives for us, our competitors and foundries to build new wafer manufacturing facilities; the amount and timing of any incentives we may receive under the CHIPS Act, the impact of current and future changes in U.S. corporate tax laws (including the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017), foreign currency effects on our business; the mix of inventory we hold and our ability to satisfy short-term orders from our inventory; changes in utilization of our manufacturing capacity and our ability to effectively manage and expand our production levels to meet any continued increases in market demand; the impact of inflation on our business; competitive developments including pricing pressures; the level of orders that are received and can be shipped in a quarter; our ability to realize the expected benefits of our preferred supply program and our long-term supply assurance program; changes or fluctuations in customer order patterns and seasonality; our ability to obtain a sufficient supply of wafers from third party wafer foundries to meet our increasing needs and the cost of such wafers, our ability to obtain additional capacity from our suppliers to increase production to meet any continued increases in market demand; our ability to successfully integrate the operations and employees, retain key employees and customers and otherwise realize the expected synergies and benefits of our acquisitions; the impact of any future significant acquisitions or strategic transactions we may make; the costs and outcome of any current or future litigation or other matters involving our Microsemi acquisition, the Microsemi business, intellectual property, customers, or other issues; the costs and outcome of any current or future tax audit or investigation regarding our business or the business of Microsemi, our actual average stock price in the December quarter and the impact such price will have on our share count; fluctuations in our stock price and trading volume which could impact the number of shares we acquire under our share repurchase program and the timing of such repurchases; disruptions in our business or the businesses of our customers or suppliers due to natural disasters (including any floods in Thailand), terrorist activity, armed conflict, war, worldwide oil prices and supply, public health concerns (including the COVID-19 pandemic) or disruptions in the transportation system; and general economic, industry or political conditions in the United States or internationally. For a detailed discussion of these and other risk factors, please refer to Microchip's filings on Forms 10-K and 10-Q. You can obtain copies of Forms 10-K and 10-Q and other relevant documents for free at Microchip's website (www.microchip.com) or the SEC's website (www.sec.gov) or from commercial document retrieval services. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date such statements are made. Microchip does not undertake any obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements to reflect events, circumstances or new information after the date of this presentation or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures: In this presentation, we have included certain non-GAAP financial information, including for example, adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP gross profit and operating profit and free cash flow. Our non-GAAP results exclude the effect, where applicable, of share-based compensation, COVID-19 shelter in place restrictions on manufacturing activities, manufacturing excursion, expenses related to our acquisition activities (including intangible asset amortization, severance, and other restructuring costs, and legal and other general and administrative expenses associated with acquisitions including legal fees and expenses for litigation and investigations related to our Microsemi acquisition), professional services associated with certain legal matters, IT security remediation costs, non-cash interest expense on our convertible debentures, losses on the settlement of debt, and gains and losses related to equity investments. Our determination of our non-GAAP measures might not be the same as similarly titled measures used by other companies, and it should not be construed as a substitute for amounts determined in accordance with GAAP. There are limitations associated with using non-GAAP measures, including that they exclude financial information that some may consider important in evaluating our performance. Management compensates for this by presenting information on both a GAAP and non-GAAP basis for investors and providing reconciliations of the GAAP and non-GAAP results. Non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to net income, cash from operations or other measures of profitability, liquidity or performance under GAAP. Certain supplemental information and reconciliations are available on our website at www.microchip.com/investors under the heading “Supplemental Financial Information”.
Corporate Overview
Leading Total Systems Solutions Provider:
• High-performance standard and specialized • Wireless and Wired Connectivity solutions
Microcontroller, Digital Signal Controller and • FPGA solutions
Microprocessor solutions $6.8 • Non-volatile EEPROM and Flash Memory
• Mixed-Signal, Analog, Interface and Security solutions
solutions Billion • Flash IP solutions
• Clock and Timing solutions
FY23 net sales run rate of ~$8.1 Billion
Elite long-term non-GAAP profitability & returns
Diversified and resilient business model
Durable end markets
Solid track-record of shareholder value creation
3 * Run rate for FY23 represents actual results for the first two quarters multiplied by 2
Empowering Innovation
Consumer Industrial Space
Sustainability Automotive Medical Data Center
Defense Communication Infrastructure Aviation
4
Record Fiscal 2nd Quarter 2023 Results (non-GAAP)
Record revenue of $2.073 billion; grew 5.6% QoQ and 25.7% YoY
‒ 8 consecutive quarters of record revenue
Record gross margin of 67.7%; increased 244 basis points YoY
Record operating margin of 46.9%; increased 438 basis points YoY
Record earnings per share of $1.46; increased 36.4% YoY
Reduced net debt by $192.6 million
‒ Cumulatively paid down $5.48 billion of debt over the last 17 quarters
Record adj. TTM EBITDA* of $3.8 billion or 50% of TTM revenue
Achieved net debt to adj. EBITDA ratio of 1.84x
Free cash flow** of $682.9 million or 32.9% of revenue
Total cash return of $413.3 million
‒ Share repurchases of $247.2 million and Dividends of $166.1 million
Announced record dividend of 32.8 cents per share for Q3FY23
5 * TTM adjusted EBITDA equals adjusted EBITDA for the first two quarter of the fiscal year multiplied by 2
** Microchip free cash flow (FCF) is based on fiscal year ending March 31. FCF is defined as cash flow from operations less capital expenditures
Fiscal Year 2022 Revenue By End Market
Durable End Markets
14%
Industrial
11% 40% Data Center & Computing
Automotive
Communication
Consumer Appliance
17%
18%
6Fiscal 3rd Quarter 2023 Guidance (non-GAAP)*
Q2 FY23 Q3 FY23 Guide Long Term
Actual @ mid-point Model
$2,073.2 $2,156.0 FY22 – 26 CAGR
Revenue ($ Million) 5.6% QoQ 4.0% QoQ of 10% to 15%
25.7% YoY 22.7% YoY
Gross Margins 67.7% 67.9% 67.5% to 68.5%
Operating Expenses 20.9% 20.8% 22.5% to 23.5%
Operating Margins 46.9% 47.1% 44% to 46%
$1.46 $1.55**
Earnings per share
36.4% YoY 29.2% YoY
* Represents guidance provided on November 03, 2022
** Includes increase in cash tax rate in FY23
7 Additional guidance metrics can be found in the Q2 FY2023 earning release. Click hereManaging A Soft Landing
We recognize that macro conditions are weakening, although we do not
see any weakness in our business
‒ We expect to be supply constrained well into 2023
If or when macro weakness catches up to our business, we believe we
can achieve a soft landing because:
‒ Strong PSP (≥ 12 months NCNR) backlog that is >>50% of our total backlog
‒ Growing base of multi-year supply agreements with several large customers
‒ Significant cushion from near term unsupported backlog that is much greater than
100% of supported backlog
‒ Replenishing distribution inventory
‒ Replenishing internal inventory and building more die bank and finished goods
‒ Above average secular growth trends provided by TSS and Megatrends strategy
‒ Will normally have much lower capital needs which will help drive free cash flow
‒ High variable compensation which will buffer operating expenses
8Consistent Revenue Growth
9,000
8,000
128 consecutive quarters of Non-GAAP profitability!
7,000
6,000
$ Million
16.2% CAGR
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
MCU Analog Other
9 * Run rate for FY23 represents actual results for the first two quarters multiplied by 2Semi Industry Sales YoY Growth Through Cycles
35%
30%
25%
Semi Industry Sales Y/Y Growth Rates
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Semi Sales Y/Y % Chg.
Semi Sales Y/Y Growth is sourced BOA Global Research, IMF, and SIA
10Resilient Profitability Through Cycles
35% 70%
30% MCHP LT Non-GAAP Gross Margin Target* 68%
25% 65.7% 66%
Microchip NG Gross Margin %
20% 64%
Semi Industry Sales Y/Y Growth Rates
62.0% 62.8%
15% 60.4% 60.9% 62%
60.1% 58.8% 61.1% 61.9%
10% 60%
57.4% 58.1%
5% 57.9% 58.8% 58%
58.2%
57.2% 57.6%
0% 56%
-5% 54%
-10% 52%
-15% 50%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Semi Sales Y/Y % Chg. MCHP NG Gross Margin
* Long-term target range 67.5% to 68.5%
MCHP’s non-GAAP gross margin % is based on fiscal year ending March 31
Semi Sales Y/Y Growth source BOA Global Research, IMF, and SIA
11Improving Efficiency Through Cycles
35% 50%
30% MCHP LT Non-GAAP Operating Margin Target* 45%
25% 43.5%
38.7% 40%
Microchip NG Operating Margin %
37.1% 36.2%
20% 36.1% 35.9% 39.6%
Semi Industry Sales Y/Y Growth Rates
15% 32.3% 35%
34.9% 31.8% 31.0%
10% 32.4% 31.6% 30%
30.2% 30.3%
28.6%
5% 25%
0%
20%
-5%
-10% 15%
-15% 10%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Semi Sales Y/Y % Chg. MCHP NG Operating Margin
* Long-term targe range 44% to 46%
MCHP’s non-GAAP operating margin % is based on fiscal year ending March 31
Semi Sales Y/Y Growth source BOA Global Research, IMF, and SIA
12Strong Cash Generation Through Cycles
35%
21.6%
$2,800
30% $2,300
10-Year
25% FCF CAGR
Semi Industry Sales Y/Y Growth Rates
$1,800
Microchip Free Cash Flow*
20%
15% $1,300
($ in millions)
10% $800
5% $300
0% $0
-$200
-5%
-10% -$700
-15% -$1,200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
MCHP FCF Semi Sales Y/Y % Chg.
* Microchip free cash flow (FCF) is based on fiscal year ending March 31. FCF is defined as cash flow from operations less capital expenditures
Semi Sales Y/Y Growth is sourced BOA Global Research, IMF, and SIA
13Microchip 3.0 – One Year Later
Elite long-term non-GAAP
Sustained growth from 5-year Organic Revenue
business model of
organic efforts focused on CAGR of 10% - 15% using
67.5% - 68.5% Gross Margin
TSS and Megatrends FY21 as baseline
44% - 46% Operating Margin
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Diversified end-market mix Investment in inventory –
target of
creates consistent and 130 - 150 days over
≥ 48% and FCF target of
resilient results business cycles
≥ 38% of revenue
Investment in capacity for
Increase capital returned to
specialized trailing-edge Strong business
shareholders to 50% of FCF,
technologies – capital foundation based on
rising to 100% of FCF as
intensity of 3% - 6% of culture and sustainability
net leverage drops to ≤ 1.5X
revenue
14 Source: Microchip internal estimateMicrochip’s Winning Formula
Grow revenue
Generate significant
~10% - 15% Extend our strong
cash and increase
organically while foundation built on
capital returned to
significantly culture and
owners to 100% of
expanding gross and sustainability
Free Cash Flow
operating margins
Our best is still ahead of us!
15THANK YOU A Leading Provider of Smart, Connected and Secure Embedded Control Solutions
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