Creche Demand and Needs Assessment - Roselawn Strategic Housing ...
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Creche Demand and Needs Assessment Proposed residential development At: Granville Hall, Stillorgan Road, Foxrock, DUBLIN 18 (eg. site location) On behalf of: Granville Hall Partnership March 2019 DATE -------------- Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
Contents CONTENTS ....................................................................................................................................................... 2 1. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................................ 3 2. PLANNING POLICY .................................................................................................................................... 4 2.1 CHILDCARE FACILITIES GUIDELINES FOR PLANNING AUTHORITIES 2001 .................................................................. 4 2.2 SUSTAINABLE URBAN HOUSING: DESIGN STANDARDS FOR NEW APARTMENTS GUIDELINES FOR PLANNING AUTHORITIES (2018) ................................................................................................................................................................ 4 2.3 DUN LAOGHAIRE-RATHDOWN DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2016-2022 ........................................................................... 4 3. APPROACH ............................................................................................................................................... 5 4. DEVELOPMENT NEED ............................................................................................................................... 5 4.1 CATCHMENT AREA........................................................................................................................................ 5 4.2 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE ................................................................................................................................. 5 5. EXISTING CHILDCARE PROVISION ............................................................................................................. 6 6. ASSESSMENT OF CHILDCARE INFRASTRUCTURE PROVISION .................................................................... 8 6.1 CURRENT AND POTENTIAL FUTURE PROVISION .................................................................................................. 8 6.2 SUMMARY OF THE WIDER NEEDS OF THE CATCHMENT ........................................................................................ 8 7 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................................ 9 APPENDIX 1: DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS IN CATCHMENT .................................................................................. 11 APPENDIX 2: WIDER HOUSING TRENDS IN DLR .............................................................................................. 14 Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
1. Introduction The following report has been prepared by Future Analytics Consulting (FAC) in support of the proposal for a residential unit development comprising 142 units at Granville Hall, Stillorgan Road prepared by Henry J Lyons architects on behalf of Granville Hall Partnership. We understand the proposal is for a Built to Rent Scheme (BTR) and includes the following unit mix; • 73 x 1 bedroom units (51%) • 68 x 2 bedroom units (48%) • 1 x 3 bedroom unit (1%) The following report considers the need for a childcare centre based on the; • Demographics of the area, • Characteristics of the population who are likely to rent a home within the scheme, and • Requirements of the relevant planning policy. FAC have reviewed the available census data for the Dun Laoghaire-Rathdown Council (DLR) Area and the wider Dublin area, provided by the Central Statistics Office (CSO). FAC have also considered existing planning approvals for childcare facilities in the area and the following planning policy in our review of the proposal; • Section 28 Ministerial Guidelines • Childcare Facilities Guidelines for Planning Authorities 2001 (the Guidelines) • Sustainable Urban Housing: Design Standards for New Apartments Guidelines for Planning Authorities (apartment guidelines) • Dun Laoghaire-Rathdown Development Plan 2016-2022 The following provides an evidence-based opinion on the development need for a childcare centre within the subject proposal. Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
2. Planning Policy 2.1 Childcare Facilities Guidelines for Planning Authorities 2001 The Childcare Facilities Guidelines for Planning Authorities 2001 (the Guidelines) state that one childcare facility should be provided for new large-scale housing developments unless there are significant reasons to the contrary for example, development consisting of one bed apartments or where there are adequate childcare facilities in the area. The Guidelines recommend that for new housing areas, an average of one childcare facility per seventy- five dwellings would be appropriate. The threshold for provision should be established having regard to the existing geographical distribution of childcare facilities and the emerging demographic profile of areas. 2.2 Sustainable Urban Housing: Design Standards for New Apartments Guidelines for Planning Authorities (2018) The recently revised Sustainable Urban Housing: Design Standards for New Apartments Guidelines for Planning Authorities (2018) also requires that childcare facilities be provided in accordance with the demographic profile of the area and the existing capacity of childcare centres. The guidelines also specifically state; ‘One-bedroom or studio type units should not generally be considered to contribute to a requirement for any childcare provision and subject to location, this may also apply in part or whole, to units with two or more bedrooms’ (our emphasis) 73 of the proposed units (51%) will comprise one bedroom apartments. These units, in accordance with the guidelines, will not generate the need for a childcare facility. Accordingly, 68 two bedroom units and 1 three bedroom unit (which we note is below the 75 unit threshold which triggers a childcare facility) are to be provided and considered in the context of generated requirements for an additional childcare facility, including local area characteristics. 2.3 Dun Laoghaire-Rathdown Development Plan 2016 -2022 Dun Laoghaire-Rathdown Development Plan 2016-2022 (the Plan) provides the overarching planning policy that applies to the area. Policy SIC11 of the Plan requires the provision of childcare facilities in new large scale residential developments as appropriate. The indicative standard is one childcare facility accommodating twenty children, for each 75 dwellings. This standard may be modified in any particular case where there are significant reasons for doing so. Section 8.2.12.1 of the Plan further clarifies that this standard may be enforced depending on local circumstances but that the Planning Authority will consult with the Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown County Childcare Committee in this regard. In accordance with the requirements of DLR Council, a childcare facility audit and assessment has been undertaken to ascertain the need and demand for a crèche facility in conjunction with the provision of 142 units on the subject site. (Noting that 51% (73) of these units are one bed and therefore excluded in the parameters of the guidance). Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
3. Approach Having due regard to the planning policy above, we must also consider the legacy of the economic crash which illustrates that a defined need should be established and critical mass before a childcare facility can be successful. Purpose-built crèche facilities provided in accordance with the policy requirements, can remain vacant and unoccupied when space is not taken up by a childcare provider. This can be attributed to several factors including; the adequacy and profile of existing childcare facilities within the immediate area, or simply inadequate demand as a result of the development needs. The resultant effect can manifest into unused commercial property or floor space within a residential development which over time and without maintenance, can physically deteriorate reducing the visual amenity of the development for the residents and result in an uneconomic use of land. Therefore, this childcare assessment has been undertaken in accordance with the following three steps; 1. Determining the need arising from the development proposal; 2. Determining the extent and provision of existing childcare facilities within the neighbourhood; and 3. Analysing the characteristics of the demographics of the population who currently rent in the area. 4. Development Need 4.1 Catchment Area The catchment area for the study is defined as the area within 2km of the subject site boundary (see Figure 1 – Context Map). Precise population figures from the Central Statistics Office called Small Area Population Statistics (SAPS) data have been used for both 2011 and 2016. Specifically, the assessment uses Electoral Divisions data for a more disaggregated view of local populations. The 2km buffer of the site boundary intersects 15 different Electoral Division areas (ED) (note that certain ED areas were removed, where less than 30% of the ED area was within the 2km buffer area – see Figure 1). The total population for this catchment area is 47,598 in 2016 up 3.1% from 2011 or 1,430 persons. 4.2 Demographic Profile In accordance with census data for the area, 60% of all privately rented properties in DLR Council have no children (See Appendix 2). Applying this to the proposal, 41 out of the 69 two and three bedroom dwellings will not accommodate children. This leaves 28 two bedroom and 1 three bedroom dwelling where children are likely to be accommodated. Further analysing this figure, Census 2016 data shows that 35.5% of privately rented households are by single persons and a further 24.5% of renters are married or a cohabiting couple with no children. The proposed scheme is solely a BTR development and therefore it is reasonable to assume that these figures will apply to the proposal. We also note that, 25% of the population who are renting in the area are under 29 years of age and less likely to have children according to recent census data. This demonstrates that the characteristics of the population who are most likely to rent accommodation in the proposed scheme will not have children. The proposed development comprises 142 units with 73 of those units being one bedroom only. Accordingly, 69 units are considered in relation to the requirements for an additional childcare facility. Utilising an average household size of 2.73 persons per unit, in accordance with standardised Census of Population data for DLR Council, 69 houses will yield a population of 188 persons. Through further analysis of 2016 Census data, it has been determined that, in the catchment, the average household contains 1.64 1 children (persons aged 19 and under) of which 24% are children aged between 0-4 years old. In accordance with current 1 Calculated weighted average of households by number children born for the 15 catchment EDs using Census 2016 SAPS. Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
rates of population, the proposed development would yield 113 children (69 units x 1.64) of which 27 would be between 0 and 4 years of age, that is within the crèche requirement age. The Quarterly National Household Survey, Childcare, Quarter 3 2016’ reports 2 that only 25% of pre-school children in Dublin attend a childcare facility. This figure is entirely relevant to the subject proposal. When this ratio is applied, to the development, only 7 childcare spaces would be required. Variables Value Potential Children in Development 113 Children Aged 0-4 24% Max Need 27 QNHS Assumed Take-up Rate 25% Min Need 7 For the purpose of this exercise it is intended to assume a worst-case scenario and assume that all children within crèche going age group would require childcare. As a precaution, we have therefore also reviewed the existing TUSLA listings for the area. 5. Existing Childcare Provision In addition to the above analysis, it was deemed appropriate to audit existing childcare provision within a 2km catchment of the subject site, equitable to a 22-minute walk time. There are additional childcare facilities beyond the 2km catchment but these have not been included in this assessment. The 2km study catchment is considered to reflect, a typical 22-minute walk time based on an average walking speed within an urban environment. The spatial extent of this study area is clearly illustrated in the map overleaf. TUSLA provides independent data on childcare facilities generated from their inspections of childcare facilities. The inspections are undertaken yearly and updated accordingly. The subject figures are taken from the 2017 – 2018 reports. These inspections are undertaken by TUSLA to ensure that the childcare facilities are compliant with legislative requirements. From a planning perspective, this information provides standardised and comparative data inclusive of; • Childcare capacity, • Number of children registered, and, • Childcare take up (on day of inspection). A table of childcare facilities located within the 15 EDs in the study area alongside the attendance figures can be found below: Table 1 Existing Tulsa Registered Childcare Facilities Tusla Ref. Facility Name Attendance TU2015DR089 Cocco's Creche & Montessori 34 TU2015DR061 St. Brigid's Parish Playschool 25 TU2015DR066 Wee Care Ltd. 143 TU2017DR500 The Playroom Stillorgan 3 TU2015DR049 Stepping Stones Playschool 12 TU2015DR163 Lycee Fracais D'Irelande No Data TU2015DR060 Guardian Angels Montessori School 14 TU2015DR129 Mountainside Montessori 22 TU2016DR023 The Children's House Montessori Primary School 40 2 https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/er/q-chi/qnhschildcarequarter32016/ Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
TU2015DR082 Monkstown Day Nursery Community Playgroup Ltd. 17 TU2015DR116 FitZone Montessori and Creche Leopardstown 23 TU2016DR020 Wendy Kelly -Childminder No Data TU2015DR034 Glenalbyn Montessori School 18 TU2016DR015 Lily Montessori 16 TU2016DR013 Foxrock Montessori School 26 TU2015DR080 Giraffe Childcare Leopardstown 60 TU2015DR025 Greenfields Montessori 19 TU2015DR154 Giraffe Childcare Central Park 55 TU2015DR070 Constructive Pre-Preschool 13 TU2015DR104 Beechwood Childcare 55 TU2016DR024 Childminding by Agata Siejko No Data TU2017DR501 Cocobee Childcare 15 TU2016DR005 Miss Judi's IMEB Montessori No Data TU2015DR047 Simbas Playgroup & Montessori 35 TU2015DR064 Hollypark Montessori 24 TU2016DR022 Libby McGuire Montessori School 19 TU2015DR158 Little Gems Montessori & Childcare 7 TU2015DR138 Raglan Child Care Centre 10 TU2015DR039 Leopardstown Montessori School 29 TU2015DR122 Star Tots Creche 89 TU2016DR009 Wise Little Owls Montessori 16 Total 839 Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
6 Assessment of Childcare Infrastructure Provision 6.1 Current and Potential Future Provision A total of 32 (TUSLA registered) childcare facilities currently operate within a 22-minute walking distance of the site (listed in Table 1) offering a minimum of 839 places. A further 6 crèche facilities with a potential capacity for 1623 children have been granted planning permission within the catchment area. The locations of each of these has been provided on the map above and itemised in Table 2 below. The applications relate to extensions to existing creches and proposals for new creches and are not associated with other large-scale housing developments. Table 2 Planned Future Childcare Provision Planning Ref Description Status Decision Date D17A/0367 Extension to Creche Commenced 12/06/2017 D17A/0359 Change of Use to Creche Commenced 12/06/2017 D15A/0553 Change of Use - Childcare Facility Plans Granted 20/01/2016 D17A/1092 Change of Use to Creche Plans Granted 12/02/2018 D15A/0842 Change of Use to Childcare Facility Plans Granted 23/02/2016 D16A/0195 Extension to Creche Plans Granted 17/05/2016 6.2 Summary of the W ider Needs of the Catchment Existing Demand: Using the recommended 25% of a resident population aged 0-4 taking-up childcare, there is a demand for 688 places in the study area. Our review of the TUSLA listings in Table 1 demonstrates that there are 839 spaces available in the area. Therefore, there is sufficient current capacity for the resident population within the catchment. The 7 spaces which will be generated by the subject proposal can be absorbed by the existing childcare facilities. 2016 Population Aged 0-4 2,750 QNHS Take-up Rate 25% Minimum Need 688 3 Although not specifically stated in the planning applications, the additional capacity of these developments would likely be in the region of 162 places. This quantum of spaces is derived by taking the average enrolments across the 31 current facilities in the catchment (of 31 enrolments per facility) and assumes a similar capacity for new offerings. Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
7 Conclusion FAC have conducted a creche demand analysis and assessed the likely demand generated for a childcare facility (creche) as a result of the proposed Build-to-Rent (BTR) scheme. The scheme comprises 142 units including; • 73 x 1 bedroom units, • 68 x 2 bedroom units, and • 1 x 3 bedroom units. The development need for a creche has been considered in the context of; • The composition of the proposed development including unit mix and form, • The demographics of the surrounding area, and • The existing childcare capacity of the area. Our review has concluded that the proposal does not generate a need for a childcare facility as follows; 1. Unit Mix • 68 two bedroom units and 1 three bedroom unit are proposed which does not meet the threshold criteria of the guidelines (75 units) which require construction of a childcare facility. The guidelines state that; ‘one-bedroom or studio type units should not generally be considered to contribute to a requirement for any childcare provision’. 2. Demographics Notwithstanding the above, the demographics of the area and the characteristics of current renters in the area demonstrate that the future occupants of the BTR scheme will not warrant the construction of a purpose-built childcare facility as follows; • Census data (2011 and 2016) show that 60% of privately rented households within DLR Council area do not have children. Applying this to the proposed development, this would mean that 41 of the 69 two and three bedroom dwellings would not include children, • 24.5% of current renters within DLR Council are married or cohabiting couple with no children. 35.5% of privately rented households are by single persons. These figures indicate that the future occupants of the proposed BTR scheme are not likely to include children. • The Quarterly National Household Survey, Childcare, Quarter 3 2016’ reports that only 25% of pre-school children in Dublin attend a childcare facility. When applied to the subject development, only 7 childcare spaces would be required. This does not warrant the construction of a purpose-built facility. 3. Planning Review Our review of planning approvals in the area has also demonstrated that capacity is emerging in the sector as follows; • Planning permission has been approved in the area for four additional childcare facilities and two extensions to existing childcare facilities. These approvals are not associated with large-scale housing developments and will provide additional spaces in the area on completion. On this basis, it is considered that there will be sufficient childcare capacity and availability within the local catchment area to accommodate the likely childcare going age generated by the proposed development, being Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
only 7 children. It is not feasible or practical to provide a purpose built childcare facility for this number of children onsite. Therefore, in our opinion, due to the proposed unit mix and the proximity and availability of existing childcare facilities to the proposed development, there is no need or requirement for the provision of additional childcare spaces as part of this development proposal. Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
Appendix 1: Demographic trends in Catchment The catchment area for the study is defined as the area within 2km of the Subject Site boundary. Precise population figures from the Central Statistics Office called Small Area Population Statistics (SAPS) data have been used for both 2011 and 2016. Specifically, the assessment uses Electoral Divisions data for a more disaggregated view of local populations. The 2km buffer of the site boundary intersects 15 different Electoral Division areas (ED) (note that certain ED areas we removed where less than 30% of its area was included with the buffer area). The total population for this catchment area is 47,598 in 2016 up 3.1% from 2011 or 1,430 persons. The subject site is located in the Foxrock-Deans Grange ED (CSO Area Code ED: 05055), which has a population of 2,448 people in the Census 2016. The ED has experienced population growth of 0.6% over the past 5 years since 2011. Just 6 of the ED in the study area grew at a rate over 1% per annum, while 4 EDs actually experienced a decline in population over the period. Stillorgan-Leopardstown and Stillorgan-Merville were the 2 EDs which experienced the strongest growth at 11.7% and 17.2% respectively. The catchment is in a low-density suburb and with very little greenfield sites for future residential development. As a result, the capacity of the catchment to expand in population is not as strong as in other locations around Dublin. Table 3 –Population Change for Catchment ED’s ED Name 2011 2016 Change Percentage 2011-16 change Blackrock-Carysfort 6,160 6,318 158 2.6% Blackrock-Central 3,841 3,733 -108 -2.8% Blackrock-Monkstown 3,073 3,239 166 5.4% Blackrock-Newpark 2,164 2,316 152 7.0% Blackrock-Stradbrook 2,299 2,462 163 7.1% Blackrock-Templehill 2,687 2,658 -29 -1.1% Cabinteely-Pottery 4,833 4,997 164 3.4% Dún Laoghaire- 130 6.2% Monkstown Farm 2,095 2,225 Foxrock-Beechpark 1,653 1,680 27 1.6% Foxrock-Carrickmines 6,088 5,951 -137 -2.3% Foxrock-Deans Grange 2,434 2,448 14 0.6% Foxrock-Torquay 1,439 1,445 6 0.4% Stillorgan-Leopardstown 2,429 2,714 285 11.7% Stillorgan-Merville 2,744 3,217 473 17.2% Stillorgan-Priory 2,229 2,195 -34 -1.5% Total 46,168 47,598 1,430 3.1% Discounting the population gain from future residential development within the catchment, this study focuses on the existing population and the natural increases that will occur over the next 10-year horizon within the 15 catchment EDs. The catchment population is expected to rise by at least 7,536 persons over the next decade (+15.8%). Comparing this growth to the national projected average growth from the CSO 4 (which is estimated to be just under 12% over the same period (2016-2026)). 4 www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/releasespublications/documents/population/2013/poplabfor2016_2046.pdf Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
Table 4 – Population Projection for Catchment ED’s ED Name 2016 2026 Change Percentage 2016-26 change Blackrock-Carysfort 6,318 7,436 1,118 17.7% Blackrock-Central 3,733 4,451 718 19.2% Blackrock-Monkstown 3,239 3,730 491 15.2% Blackrock-Newpark 2,316 2,498 182 7.9% Blackrock-Stradbrook 2,462 2,795 333 13.5% Blackrock-Templehill 2,658 3,172 514 19.3% Cabinteely-Pottery 4,997 5,715 718 14.4% Dún Laoghaire-Monkstown 2,225 2,602 377 16.9% Farm Foxrock-Beechpark 1,680 1,808 128 7.6% Foxrock-Carrickmines 5,951 6,857 906 15.2% Foxrock-Deans Grange 2,448 2,725 277 11.3% Foxrock-Torquay 1,445 1,685 240 16.6% Stillorgan-Leopardstown 2,714 3,264 550 20.3% Stillorgan-Merville 3,217 3,789 572 17.8% Stillorgan-Priory 2,195 2,606 411 18.7% Total 47,598 55,134 7,536 15.8% Age Profile The second demographic factor relevant to childcare infrastructure provision is age profile. Ensuring that there is an adequate provision of the right type of community infrastructure based on need should be a direct determinant of what infrastructure is required and where. The current age profile for 2016 (below) shows relatively lower concentrations of younger age cohorts with just 17.8% of the current population under the age of 15 compared with 21.1% Nationally. Table 5 – Population by Age in 2016 for Catchment ED’s Age Group Population 2016 % of Total 0-4 2,750 5.8% 5- 9 2,945 6.2% 10-14 2,788 5.9% 15-19 2,978 6.3% 20-24 3,337 7.0% 25-29 2,823 5.9% 30-34 2,939 6.2% 35-39 3,233 6.8% 40-44 3,150 6.6% 45-49 3,265 6.9% 50-54 3,412 7.2% 55-59 3,094 6.5% 60-64 2,582 5.4% 65+ 8,302 17.4% Total 47,598 Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
This population breakdown will shift over the next 10 years but is likely to maintain sizable concentrations of young persons under the age of 5. Similarly, we are seeing larger numbers of persons entering the age brackets 65+ with a net increase of further 1,300 persons over the next decade. Table 4 – Population Projection by Age in 2026 for Catchment ED’s Age Group Population 2026 % of Total 0-4 3,402 6.2% 5- 9 2,935 5.3% 10-14 2,881 5.2% 15-19 3,117 5.7% 20-24 3,655 6.6% 25-29 4,617 8.4% 30-34 4,655 8.4% 35-39 3,579 6.5% 40-44 3,355 6.1% 45-49 3,434 6.2% 50-54 3,234 5.9% 55-59 3,279 5.9% 60-64 3,353 6.1% 65+ 9,639 17.5% Total 55,134 Modelling this change using the Demographic Component Model methodology from the Central Statistics office 5 highlights a number of key points: • The population of the catchment area is set to grow by just under 16% over the period 2016 - 2026. Given the area’s existing high population, this will result in a sizable cohort of 3,402 people aged 0-4 years old. This represents a 23.7% increase in population aged 0-4 over the period. • The dependency ratio in the catchment is set to rise only marginally over the next 10 years. • There is a continued need to provide suitable childcare facilities, and infrastructure for young people where 16.7% of the population is under the age of 15. The projection does not account for the zoned land and development capacity for new residential developments that in the area. 5 FAC’s projection of population is underpinned by the application of the demographic cohort component methodology (CCM); the same methodology as used by the Central Statistics Office in preparing the national projections. CCM is widely used internationally as a best-in- class methodology. It provides a flexible and powerful approach to population projection by using varying comparative scenarios, each tailored around the application of qualified assumptions in mortality, fertility and migration (as aligned with the Central Statistics Office’s assessments). Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
Appendix 2: Wider Housing Trends in DLR Summary Findings: • 78,601 Private Households in DLRCOCO • 15,907 households in DLRCOCO privately rent • 20.2% of all households in DLRCOCO are renting privately • 35.5% of Privately Rented Households are by Single Persons • A further 24.5% of renters are married or cohabiting couple with no children • 60% of all privately rented properties in DLRCOCO have no children All types of Rented from % Rented from Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown occupancy private landlord private landlord All private households 78,601 15,907 20.2% All persons in private households 213,468 43,592 20.4% One person 17,576 2,512 14.3% Married couple 13,082 1,395 10.7% Cohabiting couple 3,618 2,081 57.5% Married couple with children 24,867 3,898 15.7% Cohabiting couple with children 1,997 723 36.2% One parent mother with children 5,716 934 16.3% One parent father with children 933 158 16.9% Married couple with other persons 674 143 21.2% Cohabiting couple with other persons 425 274 64.5% Married couple with children and other 1,468 313 21.3% persons Cohabiting couple with children and other 178 59 33.1% persons One parent mother with children and other 794 136 17.1% persons One parent father with children and other 135 26 19.3% persons Two or more family units with or without 997 118 11.8% other persons Non-family households containing related 1,759 512 29.1% persons Households comprised of unrelated persons 4,382 2,625 59.9% only Renters by Age All types of occupancy Rented from private landlord % Under 25 years 2,030 1,429 9.0% 25 - 29 years 3,452 2,460 15.5% 30 - 34 years 6,495 3,520 22.1% 35 - 39 years 8,120 3,175 20.0% 40 - 44 years 7,828 1,987 12.5% 45 - 49 years 7,518 1,241 7.8% 50 - 54 years 7,832 788 5.0% 55 - 59 years 7,285 486 3.1% 60 - 64 years 6,556 310 1.9% Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
65 years and over 21,452 510 3.2% All ages 78,568 15,906 46.6% of renters are under 35 years of age and just 21% are above the age of 44. Accommodation Type 77.3% 21.9% 0.8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Family Houses Apartment Living Other Renting by Age of Stock All types of occupancy Rented from private landlord % Rented from private landlord Before 1919 4,835 912 18.9% 1919 to 1945 4,932 409 8.3% 1946 to 1960 10,735 675 6.3% 1961 to 1970 10,925 734 6.7% 1971 to 1980 10,850 1,120 10.3% 1981 to 1990 8,763 1,533 17.5% 1991 to 2000 8,107 2,086 25.7% 2001 to 2010 13,064 5,472 41.9% 2011 or later 1,838 847 46.1% Not stated 4,519 2,118 46.9% In DLR, the preference to privately rent newer stock is apparent. This is partially to do with the change in stock type to higher concentrations of apartment type dwellings over single family dwellings over the past 2 decades. Future Analytics Consulting 2_0543_Creche Demand Assessment_Granville Hall
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