Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022

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Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Creating value,
         finding focus:
         Global Insurance
         Report 2022
         This report is a collaborative effort by Pierre-Ignace Bernard, Stephan Binder,
         Alexander D’Amico, Henri de Combles de Nayves, Kweilin Ellingrud, Philipp Klais,
         Bernhard Kotanko, and Kurt Strovink, representing views from McKinsey’s Insurance Practice.

February 2022
Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Contents
ii
Introduction

01
Welcome to a new world

07
State of the industry

21
Strategic imperatives for insurers

27
Where to play: Focusing the portfolio
Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Creating value,
     finding focus
     Welcome to the first edition of McKinsey’s Global             create more value for shareholders? Can they
     Insurance Report, focused on challenges and                   unlock latent demand and improve the customer
     opportunities for carriers in the global insurance            experience? How can they regain momentum on
     industry. In this report, we look back at the past            the long-running quest to improve productivity?
     year’s developments and ahead to the ways that                Also, what about talent? How can they reimagine
     the industry is evolving.                                     the employee proposition to attract and retain
                                                                   the brightest and best after the pandemic? Finally,
     The global pandemic is resurgent with yet another
                                                                   how can insurers, individually and collectively,
     wave of rising case numbers and pressure on
                                                                   reframe the role and purpose of insurance
     healthcare systems. Its effects on business are no
                                                                   in society?
     less significant. Over the past two years, COVID-
     19 has accelerated some trends that look certain              To address these questions, we believe
     to reshape the way insurance is underwritten,                 the leadership teams of insurance carriers need to
     distributed, and managed. At the same time, some              capitalize on nine value levers:
     of the problems that have challenged the industry
                                                                   1. Make environmental, social, and governance
     over the past decade have not gone away, and
                                                                      (ESG) considerations a core feature of
     the complexity of the macroeconomic environment
                                                                      the business model.
     has increased. Revenue growth is limited in
     most regions; intermediaries are capturing more               2. Regain relevance through product innovation
     value; scale economies are proving elusive;                      and coverage of new risks.
     and productivity is quite stagnant. As a result,
                                                                   3. Enhance and personalize customer
     economic profit—that is, profit after cost of
                                                                      engagement and experience.
     capital—in the insurance industry is practically at
     a standstill.                                                 4. Engage with ecosystems and insurtechs.

     The industry’s problems are not lost on capital               5. Develop new businesses for the digital age.
     markets. As public investors mark down
                                                                   6. Scale impact from data and analytics.
     companies’ shares, private investors swoop
     in to acquire closed books, and some insurers                 7. Modernize core technology platforms.
     reconsider their geographical footprints,
                                                                   8. Address the productivity imperative.
     the fundamental structure of the industry is
     coming into question. Insurers now face several               9. Reimagine culture, diversity, and ways of
     fundamental strategic questions: How can they                    working to attract and retain talent.

ii   Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Addressing these nine imperatives will help                   and breadth of footprint, a common strategic
carriers answer strategic questions about “how to             thrust of the past decades for many insurers,
play.” But the challenges and recent trends facing            yields to a more rigorous search for a company’s
the industry will force some insurers also to think           true source of competitive advantage.
about “where to play,” to rebalance their portfolios
                                                              To form a strategy that addresses the challenges
of businesses, and to review their capital allocation
                                                              of this period of intense flux, carriers will need to
accordingly, in particular through M&A and asset
                                                              put focus and local scale at center stage. Insurers
disposals. At the end of this report, we focus on
                                                              that can develop a tightly defined business
this pressing question: Where should insurers be
                                                              model and take advantage of the trends and
active (in terms of geography, lines of business,
                                                              currents unleashed by the global pandemic can
and position in the value chain) to renew value
                                                              restart growth, expand performance on multiple
creation and themselves? The recent wave of sales
                                                              dimensions, and renew themselves through value
of noncore businesses to buyers with different
                                                              creation, securing an industry-leading position in
business models suggests that a secular change
                                                              the years to come.
may be in the works. We might be witnessing
a period when the quest for economies of scale

Where should insurers
be active to renew value
creation and themselves?

Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                           iii
Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
In coming years, the global
insurance industry will
be profoundly shaped by
some megatrends that have
emerged and accelerated
since February 2020.
© Alexander W Helin/Getty Images
Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
1
Welcome to
a new world
                                       The past two years may have been the most
                                       peculiar recession and recovery in living memory.
                                       In 2020, the human tragedy of the COVID-
                                       19 pandemic triggered a global economic
                                       downturn that was initially sharper than the Great
                                       Depression. As government support programs
                                       took shape, the recession rapidly bottomed out,
                                       leading to a strong economic recovery in 2021.
                                       Global financial markets took a roller-coaster ride
                                       as well.

                                       The impact on the insurance industry was
                                       noticeable: in 2020, premium growth slowed
                                       to approximately 1.2 percent (compared with
                                       more than 4 percent per year between 2010 and
                                       2020). Profits fell by about 15 percent from 2019.
                                       The decline was sharpest in Asia–Pacific (down
                                       36 percent) and was particularly driven by falling
                                       profits in life (Exhibits 1 and 2).

                                       Preliminary data suggest that premium growth and
                                       profits rebounded in 2021, especially in regions
                                       where strong vaccine rollouts have made many
                                       activities possible again, at least periodically.

Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                  1
Exhibit 1
Premiumgrowth
Premium  growth  rebounded
              rebounded      in after
                        in 2021 2021slowing
                                      after slowing
                                            in 2020. in 2020.
Global insurance gross premiums written, $ billions1                                                                  Health     P&C         Life

                                                                          4.0% p.a.2                                                   CAGR, %
              4.1% p.a. 2
                                                                                                                         5,987         2016–21
                                                                   5,421                  5,602         5,672
                          4,932                5,157

                                                                                          2,462         2,389            2,491           2
      3,878                                                        2,454
                          2,258                2,348
      1,909
                                                                   1,604                  1,700         1,735            1,834           5
                            1,459               1,531
      1,126
                            1,214              1,278               1,363                  1,440         1,548            1,662           6
       843
      2010                  2016                2017               2018                   2019          2020E            2021E

Americas

                                                                          5.5% p.a.2
              4.7% p.a.2
                                                                                                        2,541            2,761
                                               2,185               2,310                  2,442
                            2,116
                                                                                           633          635              693             4
      1,606                 580                 569                 607
                489                                                                        810          828              905             6
                             691                726                 759
       531
                            845                890                  944                   999           1,078            1,164           7
      586
      2010                  2016                2017               2018                   2019          2020E            2021E

Europe, Middle East, and Africa

              1.3% p.a.2                                                  2.2% p.a.2

                            1,395              1,453               1,536                  1,533         1,475            1,558           1
      1,288
       753 376               786 420            823      435        882      450          848     472    780 479          831    498     3
            159                   189                    196                 204                  212         217                229
                                                                                                                                         4
      2010                  2016                2017               2018                   2019          2020E            2021E

Asia–Pacific

                                                                          3.3% p.a.2
              6.3% p.a.2
                                                                   1,574                  1,627         1,656            1,668
                            1,421               1,519                                                                                    2
       984                                                                                               975              967
                219         892      349        956      371        965      395          980     418           429              431     4
       668      98                   180                 192                 214                  229           252              269
                                                                                                                                         8
      2010                  2016                2017               2018                   2019          2020E            2021E

Note: Figures may not sum, because of rounding.
1 Based on 2020 average fixed exchange rate.
2 Per annum.
Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

2                           Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Exhibit 2
Industryprofits
Industry profits   increased
                increased      in 2021
                          in 2021 after aafter
                                         dip ina2020.
                                                 dip in 2020.
Global insurance after-tax profits, $ billions1                                                                  Health      P&C          Life

                                                                         4.8% p.a.2                                                CAGR, %
             4.8% p.a.2                                                                 392                                        2016–21
                                                                                                                     360
                                                                  324                                332
                                                  311
                           284                                                          181
                                                                   134                               118             170             4
       215                                        156
                           139
        90
                                                                                        140          134
                                                                  128
                            111                   105                                                                147             6
        86
                                                  50               62                    71          79
        39                          34                                                                                43             5
      2010                2016                 2017              2018                   2019        2020E           2021E

Americas

                                                                         4.6% p.a.2
             3.1% p.a.2
                                                                                        167          152
                                                                  144                                                142
                           113                 120                                      49                  20                        1
        94                                                        39                                                 43
                24          41                  47                                      70           71
        43                 49                   41
                                                                  62                                                 75              9
                28                 24                   32         42                   49           60                     23
                                                                                                                                     –1
      2010                2016                 2017              2018                   2019        2020E           2021E

Europe, Middle East, and Africa

                                                                         4.3% p.a.2
             4.7% p.a.2
                                                                                        121          114             126
        78
                           103                 104                 92                                                                 4
                                                  56                                    65           61              68
        41      32         57                                      40                                                                 5
                4          40      5              42    6          46      7            49     7     45     7         51    8
                                                                                                                                     10
      2010                2016                 2017              2018                   2019        2020E           2021E

Asia–Pacific

                                                                         6.1% p.a.2
             8.1% p.a.2
                                                  88               88                   104                           91
                25         68                                                                        67                               7
        43      11                 22             53    22         55      21           67     21           18       59     21
                           41                                                                        37                              –1
                7                  5                    13                 13                  15           12              12
                                                                                                                                     19
      2010                2016                 2017              2018                   2019        2020E           2021E

Note: Figures may not sum, because of rounding.
1 Based on 2020 average fixed exchange rate.
2 Per annum.
Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

                          Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                        3
Megatrends in the                                                          it. The insurance industry has not escaped
    post-COVID-19 world                                                        this trend, moving from a moderately value-
    In coming years, the global insurance industry will                        creating industry to one that destroys value—
    be profoundly shaped by some megatrends that                               and the trend is even stronger at the company
    have emerged and accelerated since February                                level. Half of insurers globally are not earning
    2020. Some are shifts in the macroeconomy;                                 their cost of capital, and half are trading below
    others are changes in competitive dynamics.                                book value.
    The most dramatic may be changes in customer
                                                                          — A potential anchoring of remote-interaction
    and employer behaviors. While most of these
                                                                            models with customers. The pandemic
    trends are not completely new, they have
                                                                            saw a “decade in days” acceleration in digital
    accelerated during the pandemic. In aggregate,
                                                                            uptake—for example, e-commerce sales in
    they are shaping a new operating environment
                                                                            the United States grew as much in the first
    for insurers that is hugely disruptive and that
                                                                            half of 2020 as in the previous ten years.2 Tech
    challenges traditional ways of value creation.
                                                                            players’ platforms strengthened their position
    These trends, in brief, include the following:
                                                                            as go-to places for customers. The frequency
    — A decoupling of macroeconomic                                         of interactions and the level of personalization
      environments among Asia, Europe, and                                  have dramatically changed, and insurers
      North America, whether through elevated                               need to ensure they stay relevant and can
      geopolitical and trade tensions or different                          craft truly personal, needs-based contextual
      interest rate trends between regions. (For                            experiences. This situation will probably
      example, while the situation remains highly                           provide tailwinds for insurtechs and other
      ambiguous, the United States may be exiting                           digital attackers, raising the risk of disruption
      the “low for long” rate environment on the back                       for incumbents. To fend off the threat, insurers
      of a noticeable though perhaps transitory                             will need to make additional IT investments
      spike in inflation). In areas where low rates                         to digitalize and automate their processes; if
      continue to prevail, this could put even more                         the trend persists, they might even need to
      pressure on life insurers to revamp their                             significantly modify their distribution models
      business models accordingly.                                          by repositioning the roles of agencies, brokers,
                                                                            and digital sales channels.
    — A dichotomy between ‘winners’ and ‘losers,’
      reinforced by the crisis. The economic                              — An increased awareness of sustainability,
      impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has varied                            climate change, and issues of diversity,
      considerably by geography (for example, Asia,                         equity, and inclusion (DE&I). Corporates
      Europe, and North America are recovering at                           and customers alike have become attuned to
      different speeds); by sector (for example, travel                     a broader range of environmental and energy
      and hospitality suffered a deep recession,                            issues, as well as situations of social, racial,
      whereas e-commerce companies soared);                                 and generational injustice. This will have
      and within each sector (resulting in intense                          an immediate impact on insurers, particularly
      M&A activity). The past two years have thus                           in their investment and underwriting portfolios,
      reinforced the superstar phenomenon1 —the                             as governments set target dates to reach
      growing concentration of economic success—                            net-zero emissions. In addition, natural
      that we have observed not just among                                  catastrophes abounded in 2020 and 2021,
      companies but also in cities, economic sectors                        leaving insurers wondering whether these
      such as insurance, and other aspects of                               patterns represent extraordinary activity
      the global economy. Among the world’s largest                         or the new normal—in which case, they will
      companies, economic profit is distributed                             need to examine whether their pricing models
      unequally along a “power curve,” with the top                         adequately account for these events.
      10 percent of firms capturing 80 percent of

    1
        For more, see “What every CEO needs to know about ‘superstar’ companies,” McKinsey Global Institute, April 2, 2019.
    2
        Arun Arora, Hamza Khan, Sajal Kohli, and Caroline Tufft, “DTC e-commerce: How consumer brands can get it right,” McKinsey,
        November 30, 2020.

4   Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Several megatrends are shaping
a new operating environment for
insurers that is hugely disruptive
and that challenges traditional
ways of value creation.
— New challenges to the purpose and                                           about their role in a world increasingly
  relevance of insurers. Just as the financial                                dominated by platform companies.
  crisis of 2007–09 put the spotlight on
                                                                         — A renewed focus on health and well-being
  the banking industry, the pandemic and
                                                                           and a greater interest in home nesting.
  its associated insurance issues have put
                                                                           The ongoing health crisis could leave a mark
  the spotlight on the insurance industry. This
                                                                           on consumers’ psyches for a generation and
  might prompt insurers to rethink their societal
                                                                           could inspire insurers to actively participate
  purpose and relevance in the economy as
                                                                           in health and protection ecosystems.6 At
  a risk-taking industry. There is a perception
                                                                           the same time, consumers are now hooked on
  that the industry has lost this characteristic in
                                                                           “home nesting,” or leisure activities at home
  the past ten years by limiting the types of risks
                                                                           (such as cooking, DIY projects, meditation,
  or clients it covers (as seen in Europe, where
                                                                           and streaming entertainment). According to
  life insurance has moved sharply toward unit-
                                                                           the McKinsey Global Institute, home nesting
  linked products).
                                                                           is one of the new behaviors most likely to
— A rethinking of mobility. Commercial aviation                            endureafter the pandemic.7 In response,
  and other forms of travel fell sharply over                              insurers might invest in smart-home 8 services
  the past two years; shared mobility3 and                                 and offerings such as discounts on homes
  micromobility4 fell, then resumed their steady                           equipped with devices that can detect fire,
  rise. Next steps might include a rebalancing                             flood, or unwanted visitors.
  among modes of transport; for example,
                                                                         — The dawn of new ways of working. Almost all
  COVID-19 habits might result in a continued
                                                                           companies are trying to figure out new hybrid
  preference for individual car use over public
                                                                           working models9; so are many professions that
  transport but also in less driving overall as
                                                                           have close contact with customers. This will
  people continue to work from home. This
                                                                           have a huge impact on the insurance industry.
  might encourage insurers to reexamine
                                                                           Carriers will have to identify the skills required
  their product offerings on severely affected
                                                                           to manage remote and hybrid teams10 and
  lines of business (such as life, travel, and
                                                                           review their real estate needs—both to adjust
  events) and to innovate. For example, they
                                                                           to a changing workforce and to match clients’
  might cover emerging mobility needs, make
                                                                           new geographical footprints (for example,
  new use of telematics, or engage in mobility
                                                                           as people move to midsize cities, suburbs,
  ecosystems 5—being thoughtful and realistic
                                                                           and exurbs).

3
     Lennart Andersson, Andreas Gläfke, Timo Möller, and Tobias Schneiderbauer, “Why shared mobility is poised to make a comeback after
     the crisis,” McKinsey, July 15, 2020.
4
     Kersten Heineke, Benedikt Kloss, and Darius Scurtu, “The future of micromobility: Ridership and revenue after a crisis,” McKinsey, July
     16, 2020.
5
     Insurance insights that matter, “A view from the Pacific Insurance Conference: How to create a successful insurance ecosystem,” blog
     entry by Bernhard Kotanko, McKinsey, January 8, 2020.
6
     “Digital health ecosystems: A payer perspective,” McKinsey, August 2, 2019.
7
     For more, see “The consumer demand recovery and lasting effects of COVID-19,” McKinsey Global Institute, March 17, 2021.
8
     “Digital ecosystems for insurers: Opportunities through the Internet of Things,” McKinsey, February 4, 2019.
9
     Aaron De Smet, Bonnie Dowling, Mihir Mysore, and Angelika Reich, “It’s time for leaders to get real about hybrid,” McKinsey Quarterly,
     July 9, 2021.
10
     Insurance insights that matter, “Why insurers should embrace remote work,” blog post by Julie Goran and Tom Welchman, McKinsey,
     April 21, 2021.

Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                                                5
Insurance barely earns
its cost of capital, making
investors skeptical.
© Suzana Topita/Getty Images
2
State of the
industry
                                       Old challenges still loom
                                       Even before 2020, the insurance industry faced
                                       challenges. Now, those issues have taken on even
                                       greater urgency:

                                       — Headwinds on revenue growth. Three
                                         structural factors are challenging industry
                                         growth (Exhibits 3 and 4): persistent low
                                         interest rates, which pressure spread-based
                                         businesses such as life insurance; pricing
                                         pressures driven by fee transparency, digital
                                         attackers, and lower-cost options—pressures
                                         that in some markets are aggravated by price
                                         comparison websites; and organic demand
                                         that is growing only slowly in mature markets.
                                         The latter is particularly worrying, because
                                         growth in developed economies is coming
                                         mostly from price increases rather than from
                                         volume or new risks covered, highlighting
                                         a risk that the industry might lose its relevance
                                         over time.

Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                  7
Exhibit 3
In life,
In  life,revenue
          revenue  growth
                 growth     in much
                        in much of theof the isworld
                                       world         is subdued.
                                                subdued.
Global revenues by life insurance product and region, 2021E
Gross direct domestic premiums written (GDDPW), $ billions1
Difference between premiums                 2021 GDDPW                 Growth rates            3 ppt³
and GDP growth,2 ppt3

                                    Individual             Individual          Individual
                                     term life            endowments           annuities             Unit-linked                 Group life                   Total
                                                  40                  118                  140                       109                   224                          630
North America                    0.5                     –2.9                3.7                    –5.7                    0.9                        –0.7
                                                  26                  238                      72                    175                   240                          749
Western Europe                   –0.3                    –2.3                –2.9                   2.7                     –2.1                       –1.2
                                                   9                  212                  210                        34                   20                           484
Emerging Asia                    –6.9                    –9.9                16.2                   0.8                     –5.9                       –1.4
                                                  95                  231                      45                     47                    66                          483
Developed Asia                   –1.2                    –3.5                –9.6                   –3.5                    –2.7                       –3.7
                                                   7                    2                       4                     39                      11                         62
Latin America                    0.3                     1.9                 –13.0                  0.9                     –1.5                       –0.8
                                                   3                   18                       3                     15                      21                         59
Africa and Middle East           –1.6                    –1.6                –0.6                   –0.8                    –1.3                       –1.2
                                                   2                    5                       1                     11                      4                          22
Eastern Europe                   –1.8                    –2.9                –2.8                   0.5                     –4.6                       –1.5
                                                  181                 824                  473                       428                   584                        2491
Total                            –3.0                    –5.6                3.5                    –2.1                    –2.9                       –2.7

Note: Figures may not sum, because of rounding.
1 Based on average fixed exchange rate.
2 Growth in nominal premiums and GDP, 2016–21.
3 Percentage points.
Source: McKinsey Global Institute; McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

Exhibit 4
In nonlife, North America has been the highest-growth region compared to
In
GDPnonlife, North years.
      in recent   America has been the highest-growth region compared to GDP in
recent years.
Global revenues by nonlife insurance product and region, 2021E
Gross direct domestic premiums written (GDDPW), $ billions1
Difference between premiums                 2021 GDDPW                 Growth rates            3 ppt³
and GDP growth,2 ppt3

                                                        Fire and                                                    Other
                                    Motor               property       Liability         Accident                   P&C               Health                    Total

North America                             339                   245                214                14                    43             1,147                  2,002
                                 0.9                2.6               1.0                –0.9                 1.9                   2.6                   2.1
Western Europe                             151                  109                 35               50                     58                204                     608
                                 0.3                1.3               1.7                0.8                  1.6                   1.6                   1.2
                                          132                    15                 16               20                     44                134                     361
Emerging Asia                                                                                                                       7.6
                                 –5.1               –0.4              13.7               1.7                  4.9                                         1.2
Developed Asia                             85                    35                 17               43                     25                135                     339
                                 0.2                2.9               3.2                2.8                  –3.2                  1.8                   1.3
                                            21                   12                  3                    7                 8                  17                       67
Latin America                    –2.7               2.5               3.7                3.1                  4.6                   1.5                   0.8

Africa and Middle East                      27                   9                   3                    3                  9                 21                       72
                                 –1.1               1.0               2.0                –0.1                 4.2                   2.0                   0.8

Eastern Europe                             22                    9                   3                    5                  3                     4                    47
                                 –2.3               –2.5              –4.2               9.8                  –1.7                  –3.8                  –1.5
Total                                     777                   434                291               142                   190             1,662                  3,497
                                 –1.1               0.9               0.7                0.2                  0.9                   1.8                   0.8

Note: Figures may not sum, because of rounding.
1 Based on average fixed exchange rate.
2 Growth in nominal premiums and GDP, 2016–21.
3 Percentage points.
Source: McKinsey Global Institute; McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

8                         Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
— An ongoing ‘fight for the customer.’                                  — A value shift toward intermediaries. Over
                            Insurtechs are driving digital innovation and                           the past five to ten years, brokers have
                            disruption in the industry,11 with investments                          emerged as the clear winners of the industry,
                            in insurtechs worldwide growing from                                    with both public and private investors
                            $1 billion in 2004 to $7.2 billion in 2019 to                           recognizing their position of strength in
                            $14.6 billion in 2021. More than 40 percent                             the insurance value chain (Exhibit 6). Total
                            of insurtechs are focused on the marketing                              shareholder returns are much higher for
                            and distribution segments of the insurance                              brokers than for other industry segments, and
                            value chain (Exhibit 5), enabling them to                               private-equity firms are investing.12 In 2019,
                            solve customer pain points through a digitally                          for example, CVC Capital Partners invested in
                            enhanced client experience that could pose                              April, and GTCR invested in AssuredPartners.
                            a competitive threat to incumbents. And while                           PE-backed brokerage deals completed in
                            some of these players have seen their share                             the United States accounted for roughly
                            price tumble since their IPOs, we believe that                          three-quarters of all insurance transactions
                            a distinctive digital customer experience—from                          from 2016 to 2019. Because insurers do not
                            attackers or incumbents—will be a prerequisite                          control their distribution channels as tightly as
                            for industry-beating growth. And beyond                                 other financial sectors (though it depends on
                            distribution, superior technology and healthy                           the region and line of business, as illustrated in
                            margins in insurance service businesses will                            Exhibit 7), they might run an even greater risk
                            challenge the traditional approach of many                              of becoming pure balance-sheet providers,
                            insurers to own the whole value chain—they                              while intermediaries keep an asset-light client
                            will be forced to form partnerships or make                             relationship model. The shift toward digital is
                            outsize investments to keep up.                                         perhaps the last chance for insurers to regain
                                                                                                    the upper hand in this “fight for the customer.”

Exhibit 5
Insurtechs
Insurtechs areare concentrated
               concentrated      in marketing
                            in marketing         and distribution.
                                         and distribution.
Insurtechs by product and business activity, % of database total1                                                      10%

                                                                                              Products

                                             P&C: Motor                     P&C: Other2                         Health                           Life
             Product
             development                           2                               5                               2                               2

             Marketing and
             distribution                          8                              21                               7                               7

             Pricing and
             underwriting                          3                               6                               2                               2
Value
chain        Policy
             management                            2                               5                               2                               2

             Claims                                3                               6                               2                               1

             Other3                                1                               4                               2                               2

Note: Overlaps exist because some insurtechs provide solutions for multiple P&C subproducts and operate across multiple value chain components.
1 Insurtech database includes ~2,000 profiles as of 2020.
2 Including accident, fire and property, liability, and other P&C insurance.
3 Includes IT, HR, finance, and other support functions.
Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools; McKinsey insurtech database

                          11
                               Tanguy Catlin, Simon Kaesler, Alex Kimura, and Pradip Patiath, “Global perspectives on insurtechs,” McKinsey, September 30, 2021.
                          12
                               Ramnath Balasubramanian, Grier Tumas Dienstag, Katka Smolarova, and Ruxandra Tentis, “The insurance trends private-equity
                               investors should understand in 2021,” McKinsey, August 20, 2021.

                          Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                                              9
Brokers
Exhibit 6        and North American insurers produced the best returns in the past
decade.and North American insurers produced the best returns in the past decade.
Brokers
Annualized TSR by line of business, %

                            2010–19                                                       2020–21
Global brokers                                            21.9                                                                                         53.4
Reinsurers                                         14.9                     –4.4
P&C                                            12.7                                                               19.8
Multiline                                9.8                                                               14.9
Life and health                          9.7                                                       7.0

Annualized TSR by geography, %

North America                                      15.6                                                                  25.1
Europe, Middle
East, and Africa                         8.7                                       –0.2
Asia–Pacific                       4.9                                        –3.4

Note: The following sectoral indexes have been considered: Refinitiv Global Reinsurance Index, S&P Global 1200 Insurance Brokers TR Index, S&P Global 1200
Life & Health Insurance TR Index, S&P Global 1200 Multiline Insurance TR Index, S&P Global 1200 Property & Casualty Insurance TR Index, STOXX Asia/Pacific
600 Insurance Index, STOXX Europe 600 Insurance Index, STOXX North America 600 Insurance Net Return Index.
Source: Bloomberg; Capital IQ; Refinitiv Eikon

Exhibit 7
Distribution
Distribution   channels
             channels      differ
                      differ      by geography
                             by geography and lineand  line of business.
                                                   of business.
Gross premiums written by                                                           Dominant             Tied agents and branches         Bancassurance
                                                                                    distribution
distribution channel, 2015–20, %                                                    channel              Brokers                          Direct and other

                  Americas                                Europe, Middle East, and Africa                                  Asia–Pacific
     Life regional total               Delta                 Life regional total            Delta             Life regional total              Delta
                                      2015–20                                              2015–20                                            2015–20
      29               27                  –2                    22         23                 1
                                                                 15         16                 1                  48             53                5
      49              52                       3                                                                   9             11                2
                                                                 61         59                –2                  36
        11             9                   –2                                                                                    27               –9
     11             12                      1                 3             3                  0               6                 9                 3
     2015           2020                                     2015         2020                                2015              2020

     P&C regional total                                     P&C regional total                               P&C regional total

      33              29                   –4                                                                  29                31                2
                                                                 58        53                 –5
                                                                                                               43                46                3
      58              59                       1
                                                               24          27                  3                3                     1           –2
             0                 0               0                 8           9                 1               26               22                –4
      9                11                      2             10          11                    1
     2015           2020                                      2015       2020                                 2015              2020

Note: Figures may not sum to 100%, because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

10                          Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
— Elusive economies of scale. Many segments                                an opportunity for a value-creating wave of
                            of the insurance industry have been seeking                              local consolidation in the industry.
                            scale in recent years. In North America, for
                                                                                                 — Limited productivity improvement. Though
                            example, increased scale was a primary
                                                                                                   many insurers have undertaken cost savings
                            goal for 60 percent of recent acquisitions.13
                                                                                                   programs, the aggregate results have not
                            The results have been meager: globally, scale
                                                                                                   been fruitful. Industry-wide, productivity
                            does not seem to be producing higher ROE
                                                                                                   improvements have been limited.14 Exhibit 11
                            (Exhibit 8). It turns out that trying to achieve
                                                                                                   offers an illustration: between 2014 and 2019,
                            scale on a global level has been a recipe for
                                                                                                   expense ratios fell for only 45 percent
                            becoming average.
                                                                                                   of global P&C carriers (with important
                                Importantly, this does not hold true for local or                  variations across regions). For many, ratios
                                national scale effects; on these levels, scale is                  did not budge or actually rose. That’s
                                correlated with profitability (Exhibit 9).                         a disappointing outcome for an industry that
                                                                                                   has communicated so much on the need for
                                The fragmentation of the industry in several
                                                                                                   productivity improvements.
                                countries (Exhibit 10), coupled with this
                                scale effect at the local level, could present

Exhibit 8
Thereisislittle
There      little evidence
                evidence      of global
                         of global        scale effects.
                                   scale effects.
Return on equity and assets for listed and nonlisted insurers, 2016–20, n = 630 insurers worldwide

Average ROE
2016–20, %
50
                                                                                                                  R2 = 0.0007
45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

 5

 0
     0                   200,000                     400,000                   600,000                    800,000           1,000,000
                                                                                                                      Average assets (2016–20)
                                                                                                                                       $ millions
Source: Capital IQ; Company annual reports; SNL Financial

                          13
                               “A better approach to M&A in North American insurance,” McKinsey, March 9, 2021.
                          14
                               “The productivity imperative in insurance,” McKinsey, August 14, 2019.

                          Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                               11
Exhibit 9
Scaleeffects
Scale  effects
             cancan occur
                occur      within
                      within        local
                             local and    and national
                                       national markets. markets.
Return on equity and assets for life insurers in Italy, 2016–20, n = 24 insurers

Average ROE
2016–20, %
25
                                                                                                    R2 = 0.150
20

 15

 10

     5

     0
         0            20,000                40,000               60,000                80,000       100,000         120,000
                                                                                                      Average assets (2016–20)
                                                                                                                       $ millions

Return on equity and assets for P&C insurers in China, 2016–20, n = 35 insurers

Average ROE
2016–20, %
25
                                                                                                    R2 = 0.231

20

 15

 10

     5

     0
         0       10,000         20,000         30,000          40,000          50,000      60,000    70,000     80,000        90,000
                                                                                                         Average assets (2016–20)
                                                                                                                          $ millions

Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

12                       Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Exhibit 10

Marketshare
Market share   is highly
            is highly     fragmented
                      fragmented        in several
                                 in several         countries.
                                            countries.
Domestic business of all players in markets

      Largest           2nd largest             3rd largest                          4th largest                               5th largest                     Other

Life insurance market share of top 5                                                                                                                                     Top 5 market share,
insurers by premiums, 2020, %                                                                                                                                            life, 2020, %

Developed            Germany                                 28                     8            7 4 4                                           49                             51
markets
                     Canada                             22                          19                           18                  12          5             24              76
                     United Kingdom                 17                     16                10           10              7                           40                       60
                     Japan                          16                11            9            7        7                                      50                            50
                     France1                        16                11            9            9           7                                   49                             51
                     Switzerland                                  41                                      11              10            8        6             23              77
                     Italy                              18                     17                    15                   11        5                     35                   65
                     United States             7        6 6 6 5                                                                     72                                         29

Emerging             Mexico                         16                 15                    14                  11             11                        34                   66
markets
                     India                                                          64                                                    8        6 6 3            13         87
                     Indonesia                     13             13                11           8           6                                   50                            51
                     China    2                              28                                  25                            11        7       7             23              77

Nonlife insurance market share of top 5                                                                                                                                  Top 5 market share,
insurers by premiums, 2020, %                                                                                                                                            nonlife, 2020, %

Developed            Germany                       13         8            7        6        6                                              60                                 40
markets
                     Canada                         15            9            7         7           7                                        55                               45
                     United Kingdom                11         9            9            8        6                                            57                               43
                     Japan                          15                15                 11              8        6                                  45                        55
                     France1                        17                 13                10              9            7                              44                        56
                     Switzerland                   13             12               10            7           7                                   50                            50
                     Italy                              21                     15                    12          6 6                                  41                       59
                     United States             10            5 4 4 4                                                                73                                         27

Emerging             Mexico                        14             11                11           6 5                                          53                               47
markets
                     India                         14             8            7         7       6                                            57                               43
                     Indonesia                 8         8        7        6 5                                                          67                                     33
                     China2                                       40                                              25                          12          7 5       10         90

Note: Figures may not sum to 100%, because of rounding.
1 France life comprises life insurance and capitalization; nonlife comprises P&C excluding accident.
2 Based on 2019 data.
Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

                             Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                                                                   13
Exhibit 11

ManyP&C
Many P&Cinsurers
          insurers have
                 have     struggled
                      struggled       to reduce
                                to reduce costs. costs.

Distribution of changes in P&C insurance expense ratio 2014–19,¹ %

Global, n = 858                                      Reduced ratio                                      Increased ratio

                                                                                                                          25%
                                       18%                  16%                                              18%
                                                                                 11%         12%

                                    3 ppt

Americas, n = 672

                                                                                                                          23%
                                       19%                  17%                                              19%

                                                                                 10%         12%

                                    3 ppt

Europe, Middle East, and Africa, n = 62

                                                            24%                  26%
                                                                                                             18%
                                                                                             15%
                                       10%                                                                                 8%

                                    3 ppt

Asia–Pacific, n = 124
                                                                                                                          45%

                                       17%
                                                            10%                   9%                         11%
                                                                                              8%

                                    3 ppt

1 Changes in expense ratios are expressed as percentage point (ppt) difference, 2014–19.
Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

14                        Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Insurance barely earns its cost of
                                                                                                 capital, making investors skeptical

After decades of stable                                                                          Together, these elements explain the industry’s
                                                                                                 limited value creation recently. Exhibit 12 shows

returns, insurance is                                                                            the “power curve” distribution15 of economic profit
                                                                                                 of every sector in the economy. Not only has

now a value-destroying
                                                                                                 the overall insurance industry destroyed value in
                                                                                                 the past years, but its positioning has eroded from

industry in which half
                                                                                                 2005–09 to 2015–19 (with insurance brokers as
                                                                                                 the exception).

the players do not earn                                                                          Looked at another way, industry average ROEs
                                                                                                 have remained at or slightly below the cost of

their cost of equity.
                                                                                                 equity over the past years, notably in North
                                                                                                 America and Western Europe (Exhibit 13).

                                                                                                 15
                                                                                                      Alex D’Amico, Mei Dong, Kurt Strovink, and Zane Williams, “How
                                                                                                      to win in insurance: Climbing the power curve,” McKinsey, June
                                                                                                      18, 2019.

Exhibit 12

Insurance
Insurance has hadhad
            has   negative economic
                     negative       profit inprofit
                                economic      recentin
                                                     years.
                                                       recent years.
Economic profit earned by an average company in 96 industries,1 $ millions

2005–09

 3,000                                                                                                    Insurance                Multiline
                                                                                                           brokers                insurance
 2,000
                                                                                                 Property
 1,000                                         Life and health                                 and casualty
                                                  insurance                                     insurance               Reinsurance
      0

–1,000

–2,000

–3,000

2015–19

 3,000

 2,000

 1,000

      0
                               Life and health       Multiline                       Property                                                    Insurance
–1,000                            insurance         insurance                      and casualty                                                   brokers
                                                                                    insurance
–2,000                                                                    Reinsurance

–3,000

1 Based on the 2,689 largest companies globally where sufficient data are available; including financial institutions and private companies; excluding real estate
  and real estate investment trusts.
Source: S&CF Insights; S&P Global; McKinsey Corporate Performance Analytics

                           Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                                               15
Exhibit 13
Economic
Economic   profitability
         profitability has has slumped
                           slumped        in several
                                   in several regions. regions.
Insurers’ ROE by region, 2011–21E, %                                                                                      Average ROE,          Average COE,1
                                                                                                                            2021, %              2017–21, %
         Eastern Europe              Developed Asia               North America
         Western Europe              Emerging Asia                Africa and Middle East

20
                                                                                                                                17.6                13.3
                                                                                                                                17.2                10.3
 15

10                                                                                                                              10.0                12.4
                                                                                                                                 9.2                11.5
                                                                                                                                 7.3                10.2
     5                                                                                                                           5.7                13.0

     2011    2012     2013         2014       2015       2016        2017       2018       2019       2020 2021E

1 Cost of equity.
Source: Bloomberg; McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

                          This is not a problem caused by a few                                     which half the players do not earn their cost of
                          underperformers. Rather, it is industry-wide:                             equity. What can insurers do to beat the odds
                          54 percent of listed insurers, representing                               and emerge from the current environment as
                          52 percent of the global industry’s equity,                               winners? Our research16 across insurance and
                          had an ROE below their cost of equity over                                other sectors has found that five bold moves,
                          the past five years (Exhibit 14), raising questions                       pursued persistently, can propel players up
                          about the long-term economic viability of their                           the power curve: dynamically reallocate capital
                          business model.                                                           among businesses; reinvest a substantial share
                                                                                                    of capital into organic growth and innovation;
                          Not surprisingly, investors in the public markets
                                                                                                    pursue thematic and programmatic M&A (but not
                          have taken note. Worldwide, about 50 percent
                                                                                                    megadeals); enhance underwriting margins; and
                          (depending on region and lines-of-business focus)
                                                                                                    make game-changing improvements to achieve
                          of listed insurance companies have consistently
                                                                                                    top-quartile productivity. All of this has to be
                          traded below their book value over the past
                                                                                                    done in a very different and rapidly changing
                          five years (Exhibit 15). This is clearly a vote of no
                                                                                                    environment, and starting points vary greatly
                          confidence in the industry and raises questions
                                                                                                    among geographies and lines of business.
                          about the long-term future of several players as
                          stand-alone entities—particularly in multiline,                           To acknowledge these differences and capitalize
                          where about 60 percent of players are trading                             on the tailwinds of change outlined above, we
                          below book value.                                                         have identified nine levers that insurers can pull to
                                                                                                    improve value creation.
                          In summary, after decades of stable returns,
                          insurance is now a value-destroying industry in

                          16
                               Chris Bradley, Martin Hirt, and Sven Smit, “Strategy to beat the odds,” McKinsey Quarterly, February 13, 2018.

16                        Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
Exhibit 14

Morethan
More thanhalf
          halfof of insurers
                 insurers     globally
                          globally do notdo not
                                          earn   earn
                                               their   their
                                                     cost     cost of equity.
                                                          of equity.
Distribution of average ROE minus average cost of equity (COE), 2017–21, %                                        Listed players, n = 299

                                          54% oflessinsurers earn
                                                      than COE                                   46% ofmoreinsurers earn
                                                                                                              than COE

Number of                         25%
insurers,                                                                                                                   23%
%
                                                                            17%

                                                                                                          12%
                                                          11%                              11%

                               5 ppt

Note: Figures may not sum to 100%, because of rounding.
1 Percentage points.
Source: McKinsey Global Insurance Pools

                         Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                        17
Exhibit 15

Morethan
More thanhalf
          halfof of insurers
                 insurers havehave been trading
                              been trading        below
                                           below book     book value.
                                                      value.

Insurers’ price-to-book (P/B) ratio and proportion                                         Insurance P/B             Percentage of insurers
trading below book value, 2016–21, %                                                                                 trading below book value

World (n = 251)

     1.5
                                                                                                                                     1.01
 1.0
                                                                                                            59%                      52%
                  45%                                            49%                    50%
 0.5                                    40%

 0.0
                  2016                    17                       18                     19                    20                  2021

Americas (n = 88)                                                                Europe, Middle East, and Africa (n = 116)

     1.5                                                       1.41               1.5
                                                                                                                                       1.05
 1.0                                                                              1.0
                                                   60%                                                    53%                54%
                                                              51%                       46%                          52%               49%
 0.5       36%      36%         42%      42%                                     0.5             43%

 0.0                                                                             0.0
           2016      17         18        19         20       2021                      2016         17    18          19     20       2021

Asia–Pacific (n = 47)                                                           Life (n = 66)

     1.5                                                                          1.5
                                                       0.58                                                                        0.65
 1.0                                                                             1.0
                                         62%       68%          62%                                                          70%
           60%                  53%                                                     56%               56%        61%                    56%
                    40%                                                                         45%
 0.5                                                                             0.5

 0.0                                                                             0.0
           2016      17         18        19         20       2021                      2016         17    18         19      20       2021

P&C (n = 132)                                                                   Multiline (n = 53)

                                                              1.42
     1.5                                                                          1.5
                                                                                                                              0.72
 1.0                                                                             1.0
                                                                                                          64%        62%     68%            62%
                                                                                        58%     58%
                                                   50%        46%
 0.5       34%                  39%      40%                                     0.5
                    30%

 0.0                                                                             0.0
           2016      17         18        19         20       2021                      2016         17    18         19      20       2021

Source: Bloomberg; Capital IQ

18                        Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
© Suzana Topita/Getty Images
What can insurers do
to beat the odds and
emerge from the current
environment as winners?
© imageBROKER/Luca Renner/Getty Images
3
Strategic
imperatives
for insurers
                                       So far we have sketched the trends and challenges
                                       buffeting the industry. Their effects run so
                                       deep that insurers now face some fundamental
                                       strategic questions:

                                       — How can we improve shareholder
                                         value creation?

                                       — How can we unlock latent demand and improve
                                         customer experience?

                                       — How can we overcome
                                         stagnating productivity?

                                       — How can we reimagine the employee
                                         proposition to attract and retain talent post-
                                         COVID-19?

                                       — How can we frame the industry’s wider
                                         purpose and role in society?

Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                21
Answering these questions is an urgent and                                   Risks are rapidly evolving. In P&C commercial
     broadly transformational task. In our view, it                               lines, for instance, data and cybersecurity risk
     can be best accomplished by taking action on                                 and machine-learning liability are coming to
     the following nine imperatives:                                              the fore. New risks call for new products and
                                                                                  a reallocation of priorities, and they represent
     — Make environmental, social, and governance
                                                                                  significant opportunities for P&C and life
       (ESG) considerations a core feature of
                                                                                  insurers that are willing to innovate. Such firms
       the business model. ESG issues increasingly
                                                                                  are taking three steps: making their products
       affect how all companies do business. More
                                                                                  modular, reallocating capital between
       and more companies and their investors
                                                                                  personal and commercial lines, and moving
       are recognizing ESG as a strategic priority
                                                                                  quickly to establish strong market positions in
       that involves significant business risks and
                                                                                  the new risks.
       opportunities. In interactions with many
       stakeholders, including at annual general                                  As noted, climate risk will require product
       meetings of publicly listed insurers, ESG has                              innovation. But even more innovation is
       become a major theme.                                                      necessary as the insurability of entire regions
                                                                                  may come into question.18 As our colleagues
           But ESG is often used as a catchall term
                                                                                  have written, “The P&C industry can address
           covering many topics; for any given company,
                                                                                  this issue by forming an industry-wide
           just a handful of those topics will be of
                                                                                  coalition and collaborating more closely with
           supreme importance. As an illustration,
                                                                                  governments and regulators.”19 At the very
           consider climate risk, an area in which
                                                                                  least, requiring customers to opt out of
           evidence is mounting that P&C insurers will
                                                                                  protection, rather than the current model
           soon need to revisit their business models.17
                                                                                  of opting in, could substantially increase
           However, while many insurers have begun
                                                                                  insurance penetration, as behavioral
           to incorporate climate-risk considerations
                                                                                  science has shown. This raises the issue
           in their investment processes, new-product
                                                                                  of affordability; on that front, rather than
           launches and underwriting processes are
                                                                                  artificially suppressing risk-based rates,
           mostly unchanged. With climate risk mounting,
                                                                                  governments and insurers might need stronger
           insurers have an opportunity to broaden
                                                                                  public–private partnerships, including
           the relevance of the industry’s traditional risk
                                                                                  government insurance voucher programs to
           transfer to explicitly address risk mitigation.
                                                                                  address affordability issues without losing
           Five simultaneous actions can make this
                                                                                  the highly valuable pricing mechanism
           happen: stress-test total exposure against
                                                                                  that signals risks back to the insured (for
           projected climate hazards; build resilience
                                                                                  example, to prevent building in areas with high
           and rebalance portfolios; help organizations
                                                                                  flood risk).
           mitigate climate risk; create innovative
           products to address climate-related risk; and                      — Enhance and personalize customer
           revise investment strategies.                                        engagement and experience. New customer
                                                                                behaviors require a shift in distribution.
     — Regain relevance through product
                                                                                Consumers are embracing digital channels and
       innovation and coverage of new risks.
                                                                                have become used to delightful experiences
       While the insurance industry has improved its
                                                                                with leading tech companies. They expect
       resilience and solvency in recent years, some
                                                                                the same when buying insurance both online
       substantial risks have been left uninsured.
                                                                                and offline. A seamless, consistent “multi-
       A fast-changing world is creating many
                                                                                access” experience20 in every channel is now
       new and evolving risks—cyberrisks, climate
                                                                                the gold standard for insurers. At the same
       change, pandemics, intangible assets—that
                                                                                time, most customers still expect some form of
       remain underinsured, while other risks have
                                                                                advice on most products. Addressing customer
       been gradually transferred to governments
                                                                                needs and improving customer experience
       to handle.
                                                                                thus does not necessarily mean going direct.
                                                                                It might mean supporting distributors with

     17
          “Climate change and P&C insurance: The threat and opportunity,” McKinsey, November 19, 2020.
     18
          Sylvain Johansson, Andy Luo, Erwann Michel-Kerjan, and Leda Zaharieva, “State of property and casualty insurance 2020,” McKinsey,
          April 22, 2020.
     19
          Ibid.
     20
          Simon Kaesler, Michael Krause, and Johannes-Tobias Lorenz, “The multi-access (r)evolution in insurance sales,” McKinsey, April 1, 2020.

22   Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
seamless, digital customer journeys that                             and organizational foundations as well as
      let customers decide which topics they can                           the necessary partnerships to generate
      access digitally themselves and on which                             value from their ecosystem approaches. Our
      topics they value personal advice (for example,                      conversations with insurance executives
      before buying a complex and low-frequency                            around the world suggest that leading carriers
      product or in the case of a severe claim).                           take a three-stage approach22 to participating
                                                                           in or forming an ecosystem: strategize,
      Major European and US carriers have not
                                                                           enable, and generate value. These stages
      moved as quickly as some players in Asia that
                                                                           can help insurers implement ecosystems in
      have seamlessly linked their digital platforms
                                                                           manageable, focused phases.
      and tied agent channels and invested in
      customer personalization and engagement.                         — Develop new businesses for the digital age.
      Carriers willing to launch this journey could                      Private investors have spotted the potential
      follow different approaches based on their                         for improvement and the not-too-distant
      strengths and organizational capabilities. Many                    prospect of attractive returns in insurance.
      insurers that traditionally rely on agents start                   They are investing heavily in insurtechs, whose
      by providing digital tools to agents. Insurers                     attractive talent pools can rapidly create and
      that depend on direct distribution are typically                   scale new businesses.
      far down the road of digitalization; they can
                                                                           In this context, incumbent carriers must
      augment direct channels with tools to connect
                                                                           reinvent their business models to fulfill
      customers with people. Carriers that rely on
                                                                           the imperative to grow and, ultimately, to
      both an agent network and direct channels
                                                                           deliver stakeholder value. As our colleagues
      can build a true multi-access model that fully
                                                                           wrote recently, “New-business building is
      integrates both agent and direct channels.
                                                                           emerging as a crucial strategic priority to drive
— Engage with ecosystems and insurtechs.                                   reinvention and innovation for the industry.
  The ongoing drive toward digitalization has                              Part of the reason is speed: what used to take
  also put the insurance industry on the verge                             years must now be done in months or weeks
  of a paradigm shift: as traditional industry                             to meet changing demands of the market.
  borders fall away, ecosystems will greatly                               Insurance executives must shift how they lead
  influence the future of insurers, with insurtechs                        their institutions—from a methodical pace
  aiming to play a role in this recomposition of                           of change to the decisive reinvention of their
  the value chain. Our research suggests that                              businesses. Many established companies
  ecosystems could encompass $60 trillion in                               have tried and failed to build new businesses
  revenue by 2030.21                                                       from scratch. The ones that succeed combine
                                                                           the speed of a start-up with the scale and
      Many insurance executives are looking at
                                                                           resources of the core business.”23
      ways to engage with emerging ecosystems
      in areas such as mobility, healthcare,                               Organizations that repeatedly build successful
      and the connected home. While only                                   new businesses exhibit six characteristics:
      the very largest insurers will be able to                            strong commitment from senior management,
      create or orchestrate their own ecosystems,                          obsession with value over ideas, a test-and-
      the ability to connect with ecosystems will                          learn culture, “open architecture” capabilities,
      be a prerequisite for growth for all carriers as                     balance between organizational freedom and
      these systems gain in scale and customers                            corporate support, and dynamic performance
      come to expect insurance products as part of                         management and measurement. To get
      the offering.                                                        started on new-business building, insurers
                                                                           can look for opportunities that simultaneously
      Carriers will need to take a close look at their
                                                                           meet customer demands, square with
      relationships with end customers in the context
                                                                           the organization’s strengths, and are sizable
      of purchasing journeys—such as buying a car,
                                                                           enough to create real value.
      going on vacation, and buying a home—and
      decide how to embed solutions and services                       — Scale impact from data and analytics. Most
      alongside insurance coverage. To succeed,                          insurance executives would agree that data
      insurers need to build the technological                           and analytics capabilities are becoming table

21
     Miklos Dietz, Hamza Khan, and Istvan Rab, “How do companies create value from digital ecosystems?,” McKinsey, August 7, 2020.
22
     “Ecosystems and platforms: How insurers can turn vision into reality,” McKinsey, March 12, 2020.
23
     Ari Libarikian and Kurt Strovink, “CEO brief: The future of business building in insurance,” McKinsey, June 2, 2021.

Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                                          23
stakes in the P&C and life sectors in Europe,                          even more advanced technologies to
           North America, and Asia.24 Leaders see                                 enhance decision making and productivity,
           enormous potential in best-in-class data and                           lower costs, and optimize the customer
           analytics capabilities across the value chain,                         experience: as AI becomes more deeply
           even for the highest-performing companies.                             integrated25 in the industry, carriers need to
           For example, even the leading P&C insurers                             understand the potential for AI to reshape
           can see loss ratios improve three to five                              claims, underwriting, pricing, and distribution.
           points, new business premiums increase                                 With this understanding, they can build
           10 to 15 percent, and retention in profitable                          the skills and create the culture needed for
           segments jump 5 to 10 percent. However,                                an AI-powered future.
           after years of investing and experimenting,
                                                                             — Modernize core technology platforms.
           most insurers have not yet seen the return on
                                                                               From 2012 to 2020, technology’s average
           their investments at the enterprise level. While
                                                                               share of operating costs rose by 36 percent
           individual pilots are successful, they realize
                                                                               for P&C and 10 percent for life. The key driver
           the real challenge is in scaling the impact to
                                                                               is increasing digitalization—at both the front
           the whole organization. We call this the pilot
                                                                               end, where technology enhances the customer
           trap; to escape it, insurers need to move
                                                                               experience, and the back end, where digital
           analytics from experiments to the mainstream.
                                                                               drives productivity gains and operational
           This move requires a combination of distinctive                     performance. Digitalization is straining legacy
           analytics, tools, frontline and management                          systems, some of which are decades old, and
           routines, and investments in talent and                             many insurers are considering a replacement
           capability building. The ideal mix of these                         of core systems with tech platforms that
           elements will vary by line of business. Based                       support the requirements of the digital age.
           on our experience with similar efforts, getting                     The challenge is that such projects can take
           a few things right often determines whether                         five to ten years, and they often last longer
           companies achieve their full potential. One                         and cost more than expected. Insurers
           principle is to start small to learn and build                      need to clearly pinpoint the real business
           conviction—for example, by picking two lines                        requirements, quantify the effects, and
           of business, one with strong performance                            then identify the tech changes required to
           and another that is performing less well, to                        achieve them. A wholesale change of all core
           prove impact. “Big bang” efforts made without                       systems is not always the right answer, and
           examples of the potential outcome often                             the long timeline of such a change can prevent
           fail to drive change. Another guideline: keep                       carriers from adjusting to rapidly changing
           the effort anchored in the C-suite; delegating                      market conditions.
           down can dilute long-term aspirations. Carriers
                                                                                  To reach the next normal of core technology,26
           should also focus on the pace of execution:
                                                                                  carriers will need to take three bold actions:
           in other words, speed is a strategy, especially
                                                                                  reimagine the relationship between the IT
           in the next 18 to 24 months, given evolving
                                                                                  group and other business functions, reinvent
           market conditions. Fourth, carriers should
                                                                                  the ways that IT delivers products and services
           engage the front line throughout the effort
                                                                                  to internal customers, and anticipate the future
           to help ensure lasting change; adoption by
                                                                                  requirements of technology systems to provide
           users is the foundation for success. Finally, it’s
                                                                                  the organization with essential capabilities (but
           a good idea to link capital allocation decisions
                                                                                  without necessarily undertaking a complete
           to the latest market intelligence and insights
                                                                                  change of the IT stack).
           (at a high enough frequency to ensure you can
           react to market shifts).                                          — Address the productivity imperative. In
                                                                               the current conditions, addressing structural
           At the same time, technology is evolving
                                                                               expenses27 has become an even more
           quickly. The next level will be to leverage
                                                                               important source of value—especially given

     24
          Kia Javanmardian, Sirus Ramezani, Ashish Srivastava, and Cameron Talischi, “How data and analytics are redefining excellence in P&C
          underwriting,” McKinsey, September 24, 2021.
     25
          Ramnath Balasubramanian, Ari Libarikian, and Doug McElhaney, “Insurance 2030—The impact of AI on the future of insurance,”
          McKinsey, March 12, 2021.
     26
          Krish Krishnakanthan, Ani Majumder, Björn Münstermann, and Peter Braad Olesen, “Reaching the next normal of insurance core
          technology,” McKinsey, July 2, 2020.
     27
          Alex D’Amico, Kweilin Ellingrud, Daniel Garza, and Nancy Szmolyan, “The productivity imperative for US life and annuities carriers,”
          McKinsey, March 16, 2021.

24   Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022
the limited progress to date. Total expenses                            colleagues summed it up recently: “Once in
      relative to total revenues (including investment                        a generation (if that), we have the opportunity
      income) increased by 20 percent from 2003 to                            to reimagine how we work. In the 1800s,
      2019 for the life and annuities industry and by                         the Industrial Revolution moved many in
      6 percent for P&C insurance carriers. During                            Europe and the United States from fields to
      these same years, automakers and telecoms                               factories. In the 1940s, World War II brought
      companies successfully reduced their total                              women into the workforce (if not the C-suite)
      expense ratios by 15 percent or more.28                                 at unprecedented rates. In the 1990s,
                                                                              the explosion of PCs and email drove a rapid
      Insurers need more than mere piecemeal
                                                                              increase in productivity and the speed of
      attempts at improvements. Only
                                                                              decision making, ushering in the digital age as
      a transformative approach29 will allow
                                                                              we know it today. And in 2020, the COVID-19
      an insurer to survive and thrive in a post-
                                                                              pandemic drove employees out of offices to
      COVID-19 world. Each carrier is unique, but
                                                                              work from home. ... The return to the workplace
      any company can begin the process to improve
                                                                              is a chance to create a new, more effective
      productivity by establishing the trajectory
                                                                              operating model that works for companies
      and full performance potential of the business
                                                                              and people navigating a world of increasing
      across the value chain—including sales and
                                                                              uncertainty. There is, however, one big catch:
      distribution, product development, operations,
                                                                              employers must confront the broadening
      technology, and corporate functions.
                                                                              disconnect between how they and their
      With a clear vision, insurers can write                                 employees see the future.”30 Because of this
      a comprehensive and detailed plan with clear,                           disconnect, a record number of employees
      measurable goals and assign responsibility to                           are quitting or thinking about doing so (the
      specific executives. Financial, operational, and                        so-called Great Resignation). 31
      customer-experience targets are all in scope.
                                                                              Many companies don’t really understand why
      Examples include straight-through processing
                                                                              their employees are leaving. Without knowing
      rates and all-digital policy application and
                                                                              the true causes of attrition, companies
      issuance rates in underwriting. Without both
                                                                              sometimes offer pay raises and bonuses that
      clear goals and accountability, transformations
                                                                              fall flat. Rather than sensing appreciation,
      often deliver poor results.
                                                                              employees sense a transaction. Leaders need
      To do the work, insurers should build a team                            to start from scratch, question everything, and
      to continually and logically sequence all                               make changes to the working model based on
      the improvement initiatives so that every part                          the evidence.
      of the organization knows what to do and
                                                                              There is no road map or playbook for this
      when to do it in a harmonized way. A senior
                                                                              unprecedented time. Experimentation will be
      executive should lead the team, holding people
                                                                              key. Carriers can try different working models
      accountable for their actions and their results.
                                                                              and norms, physical-space layouts, and tools
      The keys to success of such a productivity
                                                                              in service of a future that balances productivity
      transformation are top-management
                                                                              with creativity, personal flexibility with team
      conviction, leadership to challenge prevailing
                                                                              collaboration, and the office with the home.
      orthodoxies and drive step-change
                                                                              That means experimenting and piloting as
      performance improvements, and a rigorous
                                                                              individuals, teams, business units, offices, and
      execution machine that ensures delivery (and,
                                                                              organizations. Letting experiments play out is
      where required, adaptation) of initiatives.
                                                                              not easy for many leaders. A clear solution may
— Reimagine culture, diversity, and ways of                                   not be immediately apparent—the big answers
  working to attract and retain talent. Our                                   may not emerge for years.

28
     Ibid.
29
     Alexander Erk, Pradip Patiath, Jonathan Pedde, and Jasper van Ouwerkerk, “Insurance productivity 2030: Reimagining the insurer for
     the future,” McKinsey, October 8, 2020.
30
     “It’s time for leaders to get real about hybrid,” July 9, 2021.
31
     Aaron De Smet, Bonnie Dowling, Marino Mugayar-Baldocchi, and Bill Schaninger, “‘Great Attrition’ or ‘Great Attraction’? The choice is
     yours,” McKinsey Quarterly, September 8, 2021.

Creating value, finding focus: Global Insurance Report 2022                                                                              25
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