CREATE 2021 Foreign Bank Tracker - ENGAGE - Minter Ellison
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Introduction Welcome to the sixth edition of our Foreign Bank Tracker, which analyses capital flow trends into Australia via foreign banks. Informed by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) statistics, and our own experiences with clients across the globe, our report provides market analysis and predictions around ongoing foreign investment patterns into Australia. In 2020, major events threatened the investment landscape throughout the world. And yet, in spite of all the turmoil, foreign banks continued their expansion into Australia. Creating value from capital flow John Elias Lead Partner, Stuart Johnson Managing Partner of Foreign Bank Tracker Capital Markets Corporate MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 3
This year’s report highlights several key trends: As global economies Foreign banks’ growing While growth was slower shift to ‘recovery mode’, presence in Australia than in previous years, foreign we anticipate more reflects that overall long banks continued to increase opportunities and increased term confidence. their presence in Australia. foreign bank growth. Looking ahead, we’re As 2021 continues, we’re likely to continue seeing seeing growing confidence some volatility as markets in the market, driven by around the world shift and North American banks the vaccine rollout and recover from the economic grew resident Australian economies being reopened. slowdown and market assets by 26% In 2020, businesses were uncertainty – and, at different focused mainly on survival. paces. Overall, however, Now momentum is building the foreign bank activity as businesses start to paints a positive picture of recover and repay loans to capital flow into Australia. banks, governments provide With increased government Asian banks European banks incentives for business stimulus, customers grew by 12% grew by 7% spending and growth, and embracing digital solutions funds with capital to spend and Australia offering a are looking for opportunities relatively stable market, we to invest. have high confidence there will be plenty of opportunities ahead. While overall this is a little and the Foreign Investment driven by the COVID-19 slower than in previous Review Board (FIRB) lowering pandemic – lockdowns and years, the growth patterns the threshold to zero for FIRB the economic slowdown, are promising. The figures scrutiny. travel disruptions and are all the more impressive cashflow volatility – long term when one considers the 2020 While economies around prospects are positive as banks events including investments the world were impacted by find themselves in relatively stalling, deals falling through a number of factors largely stable positions. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 4
Contents 6 Key highlights 20 Japan 8 The Global Picture 21 Singapore 10 Key Findings: Europe 22 India 12 Germany and France 23 South Korea 13 The Netherlands and Switzerland 24 Key Findings: North America 14 UK Banks 28 North America 16 Key Findings: Asia 29 Canada Asian Banks: 17 30 Conclusion Total resident asset value and growth 18 Mainland China 31 About this report 19 Taiwan 32 Contacts MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 5
Key highlights Two new banks North America Asia: Both European: Fastest growing Asian Bank growth region in 2020. slowed from to Up 17% 12% 26% in resident Australian asset growth Taiwanese banks grew Transferwise (HQ UK); granted a (restricted) banking license in November 20 17% US Banks: Chinese banks 27% dropped from to 20% 13% Intesa Sanpaolo SPA (Italy) Canadian: Japanese banks grew 19% 12% MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 6
Europe: Grew resident Australian assets by The exception is with France – with French banks recording 7% the weakest growth since 2017. 41% growth. Relatively subdued growth United Kingdom Germany 5% 3% Switzerland The Netherlands 1% 8% MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 7
The Global Picture Resident Assets Over the past year, North by Region American banks in Australia have been the fastest growing of banks from the three different regions. • F astest growing foreign banks fairly evenly spread between the different regions: three from Europe, three from North 1. Europe America, and four from Asia. • B anks in top 10 had a sizeable presence in Australia - just two having less than $1bn in assets. • G rowing presence of large foreign trust banks: Northern Trust, State Street and BNP Paribas are three of the four 2. Asia largest banks in the top 10 fastest growing banks • S ociety Generale and Paypal both made the top 10 fastest growing foreign banks in their second year in APRA’s data, and neither are the smallest two banks in the top 10. 3. North America MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 8
Total Resident Assets Held by Total Resident Assets Held by Foreign Banks Foreign Banks in Australia – growth rates in Australia CAGR since 2002 60% 40% 50% 30% 40% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% -10% -10% -20% -30% -20% 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Europe North America Asia Europe North America Asia Total Resident Assets Held by Total Resident Assets Held Banks in Australia – growth rates by Foreign Banks in Australia 350 50% 300 A$ billions 40% 250 30% 200 20% 10% 150 0% 100 -10% 50 -20% -30% 0 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Europe North America Asia Au Majors Australian GDP Europe North America Asia MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 9
Key Findings: Europe There are now 19 European banks operating in Australia. 2020 saw two new entrants: TransferWise Australia (a subsidiary of the UK headquartered TransferWise) and Intesa Sanpaolo SPA from Italy. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 10
Key Findings: Europe French banks in aggregate UBS almost completely offset Australia in 2019 following a six- contracted resident Australian recorded the fastest growth by a contraction in assets from year absence. BNP Paribas, ABN assets over the past year; rate of 41%, driven by strong Credit Suisse. Amro, Standard Chartered and however it is worth noting that growth from both Société Investec Bank all grew Australian for two of these three banks Générale and BNP Paribas. In Société Générale was the fastest assets by over 20% in 2020. they have additional locally contrast, Swiss banks were in growing bank, increasing in licenced entities which grew. aggregate the slowest growing size by approximately 3¾x, off Credit Suisse, Cooperative at just 0.7%, with growth by a small base after reopening in Rabobank and the HSBC all 60% 350 Europe Banks A$ billions 300 50% YOY% growth 40% 250 30% The Netherlands 200 20% UK 10% Germany 150 France 0% 100 Switzerland -10% Cyprus 50 Ireland -20% Spain 0 -30% Total Europe Growth % 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 European banks grew Dutch banks are the largest ING Bank (Australia) is the resident Australian assets by in Australia (mainly ING but largest European bank in $18.6bn in aggregate, the also Rabobank), followed by Australia, followed by HSBC equivalent of 7%. British banks (mainly HSBC). Bank Australia, Rabobank and UBS. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 11
Europe Germany and France 45 A$ billions 60% German Banks 50% 40 YOY% growth 35 40% 30% 30 20% 25 10% 20 0% 15 -10% 10 -20% Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft 5 -30% WestLB AG 0 -40% Dresdner Bank AG 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total Germany Growth % 60 200% A$ billions French Banks 50 150% YOY% growth 40 100% 30 50% 20 0% 10 -50% BNP Paribas BNP Paribas Securities Services 0 -100% Societe Generale 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total France Growth % MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 12
Europe The Netherlands and Switzerland 140 50% A$ billions Dutch Banks 120 40% YOY% growth 100 30% 80 20% 60 10% 40 ING Bank 20 0% Rabobank Fortis Bank SA/NV 0 -10% ABN AMRO Bank N.V. 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total Netherlands Growth % 30 80% A$ billions Swiss Banks 25 60% YOY% growth 20 40% 15 20% 10 0% 5 -20% UBS AG 0 -40% Credit Suisse AG 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total Switzerland Growth % MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 13
Europe UK Banks In the UK, 2020 had Unfortunately COVID-19 meant And while the first half of 2020 As global economies start to With growing confidence in the been the year everyone that the market halted again. saw a slowdown in market recover from lockdown periods, UK as a result of the COVID-19 We saw fairly weak growth in activity, by June it had picked businesses are starting to repay vaccine rollout and the UK was waiting for – with UK-based banks, and a drop in back up. We still saw interest in loans again, which will assist government’s budget measures Brexit coming to an end the total UK growth percentage. Australian targets. While deals banks in maintaining their capital to stimulate spending and and the UK elections However, 2020 saw the entry of a were significantly slower to close, adequacy thresholds. Private growth, we’re anticipating a recently taking place, new bank, TransferWise Australia, activity was still taking place, equity funds are holding onto boom of market activity – and investors were looking which is a subsidiary of the UK particularly towards the end of a significant amount of capital, Australia remains an attractive forward to a period headquartered TransferWise. the year. and are looking for opportunities location for investment. to invest. of stability. 120 60% UK Banks A$ billions 50% YOY% growth 100 HSBC Bank Plc 40% The Royal Bank of Scotland plc 30% The Royal Bank of Scotland N.V. 80 Barclays Bank PLC 20% Bank of Scotland plc Lloyds TSB Bank plc 60 10% Investec Bank NM Rothschild & Sons 0% (Australia) Limited 40 Standard Chartered -10% Total UK Growth % -20% 20 -30% 0 -40% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 14
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Key Findings: Asia orth Asian countries who N are major trading partners of Asian banks grew resident Australian Australia, namely China, Japan assets by $20.4 billion in aggregate, and also Taiwan, recorded double the equivalent of 12%. While the growth digit growth. rate slowed, Asian foreign bank growth appears to be a trend set to continue. 2020 saw a lag in capital investment and deals from Asian investors as short term, lockdowns paused economic activity earlier in the year, but the end of the year ank of Baroda from India was B saw deals picking back up. the fastest growing Asian bank, more than doubling resident assets – though from a low base. hina Everbright increased C resident assets by over 80%, and Bank of Communications increased resident assets by over 50%. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 16
Asia Key Findings: Asian Banks: Asia Total Resident Asset Value and growth • T here are 28 Asian banks Asian Banks YOY% growth operating in Australia - unchanged since last year. Japan China Singapore Taiwan India Korea Total Asia Growth % • J apanese banks have the largest regional presence in Australia, followed by 250 60% Chinese banks. A$ billions • M UFG (Japan) is the largest 50% in Australia. SMBC (Japan) is second largest, followed by 200 Bank of China (China). 40% • M izuho Bank (Japan) is the fourth largest bank followed by 30% UOB (Singapore), ICBC (China) 150 and OCBC (Singapore). 20% 100 10% 0% 50 -10% 0 -20% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 17
Asia Mainland China The overall story for the Bank of China remains the The top 3 Chinese banks by Australia and continued interest The ongoing impact of mainland Chinese banks largest Chinese bank by resident Australian resident asset growth in renewable energy and energy COVID-19 and China’s 14th five Australian assets. Its percentage in percentage terms are China storage. This reflects a goal year plan will, however, shape appears to be one of growth relative to other Chinese Everbright Bank, Bank of recently set by the Chinese these trends. continued, measured banks in Australia has slowed Communications and Bank of government to achieve carbon growth among larger in recent years, allowing China. peak by 2030, and carbon established players and China Everbright and Bank of neutrality by 2060. We also continued searches for Communications to pass it as the We continue to expect the trend expect a continued interest in fastest growing Chinese bank in and approach of China’s banks industries such as minerals and growth among newer, Australia. to follow their clients, which resources, education, agtech, smaller, market entrants. includes ongoing investment in biomedicine and health. 70 250% Chinese Banks A$ billions YOY% growth 60 200% Bank of China Limited 50 150% Bank of China (Australia) Limited 40 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 100% China Construction Bank 30 Corporation Agricultural Bank of 50% China Limited 20 Bank of Communications Co., Ltd. 0% China Merchants Bank 10 Co., Ltd China Everbright Bank 0 -50% Co., Ltd 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total Chinese Growth % MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 18
Asia Taiwan In aggregate, Taiwan’s Mega International Commercial The top three Taiwanese The Taiwanese banks’ presence banks now have $13.3bn Bank remains the largest banks by percentage growth in in Australia remains an area of Taiwanese bank by resident Australian resident assets were healthy growth to be watched, of resident Australian assets in Australia. Taishin International Bank, Hua albeit on a smaller scale to assets, up 17% over the Nan Commercial Bank and Mega mainland China. past year. International Commercial Bank. 14 80% Taiwanese Banks A$ billions 70% YOY% growth 12 60% 10 50% 40% Mega International 8 Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. 30% Taiwan Business Bank 6 20% First Commercial Bank Hua Nan Commercial Bank, Ltd. 10% 4 Taiwan Cooperative Bank, Ltd 0% E.SUN Commercial Bank, Ltd. 2 Taishin International Bank -10% Co., Ltd Bank of Taiwan 0 -20% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total Taiwan Growth % MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 19
Asia Japan Japanese bank activity Consistent with SMBC’s strong Finally, the decision by the Marubeni, Sumitomo and MUFG, SMBC and Mizuho Bank in Australia continues 22% growth in 2020, we expect Japanese Government to ITOCHU have committed to no have all recently announced new SMBC’s exposure to grow in become carbon neutral by longer participate in new coal- investments funds that will focus to go from strength to Australia in the short-to-medium 2050 is a significant policy fired power plants whilst Mizuho on both domestic and overseas strength. MUFG remains term following their commitment announcement that will further Financial Group has halted all renewable energy assets and Japan’s largest bank to the NSW Government in accelerate the trends we have new financing for such projects incorporate environmental, social in Australia and grew respect of the Western Sydney been seeing in the Japanese and aims to reduce outstanding and governance factors into their its resident Australian Airport and Western Sydney market in recent years towards credit for such projects to zero investment decisions. assets by 5% or $1.3bn to Aerotropolis, Australia’s largest the adoption of domestic by 2040. Conversely, each of single infrastructure project renewable energy. $30.7bn last year. which is expected to commence operations in 2026. Japanese Banks YOY% growth Both SMBC and Mizuho Bank also The continued double-digit MUFG Bank, Ltd. Sumitomo Mitsui Mizuho Bank, Ltd. Total Japan Growth % strengthened their presence with growth in Japanese bank assets Banking Corporation $29.3bn and $19.8bn in resident in Australia reflects the broader 90 80% assets respectively, increasing by economic trends in Japan. The A$ billions $5.2bn and $2.1bn respectively 80 70% Japanese economy, like all over the past year, equivalent to major economies at present, is 60% increases of 22% and 12%. This 70 under pressure from the global places all three of these Japanese 50% headwinds that COVID-19 banks within the top 10 foreign 60 presents. Coupled with a 40% banks by resident assets in decreasing Japanese population 50 30% Australia. and the Bank of Japan’s inability to reach its 2% inflation targets, 40 20% these factors are driving Japan’s 10% 30 mega banks offshore for growth 0% opportunities, together with the 20 remainder of Japan Inc. -10% 10 -20% 0 -30% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 20
Asia Singapore Throughout 2020, Against this backdrop, Australia Through its 2021 budget, There is a continued emphasis chains in the region. This should overall growth from has remained an attractive Singapore has indicated that on positioning Singapore as translate into an increasing investment destination for it will continue to support the a global node of technology, number of commercial and Singapore’s three banks public and private Singaporean recovery from the COVID-19 innovation and enterprise, and economic links between present in Australia investors. With a view towards pandemic, but at the same time, placing Singaporean firms at Singapore and Australia in the continued – although long term opportunities, Australia position itself for future growth. the intersection of key global coming years. their growth rate has is generally seen by Singaporean decreased from previous investors as a close, safe and years. stable jurisdiction. Being a relatively small, but highly Real estate, infrastructure and developed and sophisticated education have always been key country with strong economic areas of interest for Singaporean Singaporean Banks YOY% growth foundations, Singapore was able investors. We also saw increased to swiftly react to the economic United Overseas Oversea-Chinese Banking DBS Bank Ltd Total Singapore Growth % interest in technology and Bank Limited Corporation Limited challenges of the COVID-19 agriculture assets during pandemic via a range of stimulus 35 80% 2020. The Australia-Singapore measures, ranging from the Digital Economy Agreement A$ billions 70% Stabilization and Support 30 (DEA) entered into force on 8 Package to various employment 60% December 2020. The DEA aims related, sector specific and 50% to facilitate more digital trade 25 general economic stimulus opportunities through cross- 40% measures. While Singapore’s border data flows, developing 20 GDP contracted in 2020, the year 30% standards for open banking ended on a generally optimistic 20% and encouraging collaboration 15 note as the economy shrank less between FinTech and RegTech 10% than expected. enterprises, which could see 10 0% increased interest and activity in the technology space. -10% 5 -20% 0 -30% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 21
Asia India COVID 19 and its downstream Corporate clients generally The pick up in the Australian impact on supply chain and deferred their debt raising plans economy in recent months other activities, had a profound during the difficult and uncertain and the generally more upbeat impact on capital flows and COVID impacted year, and in environment is reflected in an business volumes of Indian banks common with Australian banks, uptick in more recent activity. operating in Australia. Exposure Indian banks were kept busy Indian banks expect that 2021 to corporates, particularly in extending all necessary support to will see a return of their business relation to working capital and their corporate clients to weather activity to pre-COVID levels resident assets declined during the impact of the pandemic. and growth momentum will be the year. So too did trade finance This included extending liquidity regained. volumes which were down by mismatch support, waivers of approximately 15 – 20 %, year covenants and deferral of fees on year. and interest charges. Indian Banks YOY% growth State Bank of India Bank of Baroda Union Bank of India Total India Growth % 3.5 350% A$ billions 3.0 300% 250% 2.5 200% 2.0 150% 1.5 100% 1.0 50% 0.5 0% 0.0 -50% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 22
Asia South Korea The COVID-19 pandemic kangaroo bonds in the amount and project financing of the Once COVID-19 is contained due to IPO later this year) has has caused global of $500 million, $400 million 162MW Columboola solar farm and we reach a post pandemic around 13.6 million users and and $400 million respectively, in Queensland. Additionally recovery, greater consideration is commended for its speed, economic disruption in an effort to provide loans in February 2020, the Reserve should be given to Korea’s new contactless service and low resulting in a major to South Korean companies Bank of Australia renewed the and emerging digital banking interest rates. Accordingly, the slowdown in Korean impacted by the coronavirus bilateral local currency swap market which now coexists with opportunities in Australia look export and domestic and to finance eco-friendly agreement with the Bank of traditional banking. Internet-only fruitful once both economies consumption. projects. Korea’s attraction Korea which is reflective of the banking is on the rise and has walk the road to recovery with towards renewables remained commitment towards bilateral gained widespread attraction many speculating that the era steady with one of Korea’s major trade notwithstanding a period of particularly from retail customers. of Korea’s digital banking to be With Korea’s GDP experiencing financial players, Hana Financial financial uncertainties. Notably, Korea’s mobile-only just the beginning of the nation’s the steepest decline since the Investment, sealing its $199 bank, Kakaobank (which is surge in technology investment. Asian Financial Crisis in 1998, million acquisition, development it appears that the nation’s potential for penetrating the 2,500 600% Korean Banks Australian banking sector, which was well on track, is now A$ millions YOY% growth 500% deprioritised as the focus has 2,000 become keeping the momentum in local economic recovery. 400% While activity in the Australia- 1,500 300% Korea banking sector remained sluggish, 2020 still witnessed a number of meaningful 200% 1,000 investments. The major Korean banks such as Korea 100% Development Bank, Woori 500 KEB HANA Bank Bank and Shinhan Bank issued 0% Woori Bank Shinhan Bank Co., Ltd 0 -100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total Korea Growth % MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 23
Key Findings: North America While North American banks are the smallest foreign region by resident Australian assets, they grew the fastest of the three global regions over the past year - by 26% or $26.6bn to $130.6bn. There are 11 North American banks operating in Australia. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 24
Key Findings: North America In percentage terms, the larger In summary: US banks grew faster than • N orth American banks grew resident Canadian banks, with growth Australian assets by 26% or $26.6bn to over the past year of 27% vs $130.6bn in aggregate. 19% - which when expressed in terms of dollars growth in • U S banks have over five times the resident Australian assets of Canadian resident assets is even more banks. pronounced: $23.4bn vs $3.3bn. • T he major US banks dominate the North American banks with residents in Of individual banks, the Northern Trust was Australia, led by Citibank, JP Morgan and the fastest growing, increasing resident Bank of America, with North American assets by over three times, an increase of trust banks such as Northern Trust, State over $8.1bn in resident assets, followed by Street continuing to grow strongly too. State Street, Paypal, and JP Morgan, which all recorded over 30% growth in resident assets. Bank of America and Bank of New York Mellon both contracted resident Australian assets over the past year. orth American banks grew N resident Australian assets by 26% or $26.6bn to $130.6bn in aggregate.” MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 25
North America North America 140 40% North American A$ billions Banks YOY% growth 120 30% US Canada Total North America Growth % 100 20% 80 10% 60 0% 40 -10% 20 0 -20% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 26
North America North America 140 40% All North American Banks YOY% growth 120 Citibank, N.A. A$ billions 30% Citigroup Pty Limited JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association 100 Bank of America, 20% National Association Royal Bank of Canada State Street Bank and 80 Trust Company The Toronto-Dominion 10% Bank The Northern 60 Trust Company The Bank of Nova Scotia Canadian Imperial Bank 0% of Commerce 40 PayPal Australia Pty Limited Bank One, National Association The Bank of New York Mellon -10% 20 Total (All) Growth % 0 -20% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 27
America North America North America was While there was a concern that the fastest growing US banks may have withdrawn from overseas markets to focus region for overseas on domestic priorities in 2020 banks in Australia in due to the pandemic, this has 2020, growing resident not been the case. In fact, activity US Banks YOY% growth Australian assets by 26%. and assets grew at a steady rate as it became evident that the Citibank, N.A. Citigroup Pty Limited pandemic would not evolve into US banks have over five times JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association Bank of America, National Association the resident Australian assets of a financial crisis. State Street Bank and Trust Company The Northern Trust Company Canadian banks. Non-traditional banks such PayPal Australia Pty Limited Bank One, National Association Citibank’s dominant presence in as Paypal also increased their The Bank of New York Mellon Total US Growth % presence and activity in Australia, terms of US bank assets located in Australia has been reduced competing with non-bank since the Global Financial Crisis financial services. American 120 40% and no longer accounts for the Express also expanded into A$ billions majority of US bank Australian Australia to compete with resident assets. Alternative established banks, launching its 100 30% financial services companies small business lending offering – have seen significant growth, its first market for this outside of 80 20% including Northern Trust who the US. have made a conscious decision to increase their presence and With banks and consumers 60 10% take on competitors in Australia, across the world embracing with a particular focus on asset online banking like never before, management. US banks pushing towards digital 40 0% transformation are continuing to lead the world in digital and mobile banking. We’re seeing 20 -10% technologies such as artificial intelligence, robotic process automation and other disruptive 0 -20% banking technologies starting 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 to gain traction – and the US is leading the way. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 28
Canada Similar to banks from Canadian Banks YOY% growth several Asian countries, there are three Canadian Royal Bank of Canada The Toronto-Dominion Bank The Bank of Nova Scotia banks with resident Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Total Canada Growth % Australian assets. The largest of these is Royal 25 80% Bank of Canada, with $11.0bn of resident Australian assets, just A$ billions over half of the total Canadian 60% banks’ resident Australian assets 20 of $20.5bn. 40% It was the slowest growing Canadian bank by resident Australian assets in percentage 15 20% terms, with other Canadian banks outgrowing it in both percentage and dollar terms, although there 0% was not too much difference in 10 dollar terms, with all Canadian banks growing resident assets between $1.0bn and $1.2bn. -20% The Bank of Novia Scotia was the 5 fastest growing Canadian bank, -40% increasing resident assets by 33% or $1.2bn. 0 -60% We anticipate further Canadian 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 bank growth in Australia in the coming years, reflecting broader macro-economic shifts. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 29
Conclusion The data we explored While foreign bank growth Now banks find themselves in a There are challenges – travel Our multidisciplinary, in this report around wasn’t as strong as it had been in fortunate situation, with money restrictions, regulatory hurdles international team at previous years, we observed that to invest and opportunities to including FIRB and ACCC MinterEllison can help you foreign bank activity in many cases, market activity explore. requirements and managing navigate the challenges and capital flow paints paused for a period of time – multiple state jurisdictions, for and take advantage of the a far more positive but it restarted before the end of Compared to other markets, example. However, the results opportunities with investing in picture than many had the year. Australia has been relatively are extremely rewarding – Australia. anticipated throughout stable throughout 2020 and and foreign banks’ continued is an increasingly attractive growth reflects that optimism. Contact us for a tailored 2020. investment destination. discussion of your interest. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 30
About this report MinterEllison’s sixth edition Foreign Bank Tracker provides insights and key trends on the growth of resident assets held by foreign branch and subsidiary banks in Australia. Our insights are based on data • T he Domestic books of a bank from the Australian Prudential has the following scope: Regulatory Authority (APRA) which assess the size of foreign – includes operations/ bank loan books across three transactions booked or regions – Asia, Europe and US/ recorded inside Australia; Canada. The data analysed in this report is current to 31 December – d oes not consolidate 2020. Australian or offshore controlled entities; • “ Resident assets” refers to all assets on the banks’ domestic – includes transactions of books. Unless otherwise stated, Australian-based offshore the statistics analysed relate banking units; to the operations/transactions – e xcludes transactions of conducted with residents that overseas-based offshore are recorded on the domestic banking units; books of licensed banks. – e xcludes offshore branches; • T he term “Total resident assets” and has been used throughout this report. It refers to all assets on – e xcludes transactions, assets the banks’ domestic books that and liabilities with offshore are due from residents. To put branches. simply, it shows the value of assets the foreign banks hold in Australia. MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 31
Contacts John Elias Jeremy Blackshaw Rahoul Chowdry Lead Partner, Managing Partner, Partner, Foreign Bank Tracker International Financial Services Industry Lead +61 2 9921 4115 +61 3 8608 2922 +61 2 9921 8781 john.elias@minterellison.com jeremy.blackshaw@minterellison.com rahoul.chowdry@minterellison.com UK & Europe Mainland China Japan Singapore Nicola Marley Bi Chen Geread Dooley Jeremy Blackshaw Steven Wang +44 (0) 207 429 2786 +86 10 6535 3477 +61 2 9921 4081 +61 3 8608 2922 +61 3 8608 2901 India South Korea Canada US Rahoul Chowdry Tom Shon Brendan Clark Jeremy Blackshaw Geoff Earl +61 2 9921 8781 +61 2 9921 4214 +61 7 3119 6455 +61 3 8608 2922 +61 2 9921 2531 MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 32
MinterEllison | Foreign Bank Tracker 2021 33
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