CRE ROAD TO RECOVERY: GAINING THE EDGE - Awfis Leadership Series Summit August 2021
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The commercial real estate industry has had its own set of opportunities and challenges throughout 2020 and first half of 2021. It has witnessed a tremendous change over the last few months due to the underlying forces of the pandemic. The industry has however, successfully managed to remain robust during the ongoing pandemic. The year 2020 ended on a good note for the CRE sector with signs of revival clear- ly visible from continuous lockdowns that were imposed and an increase in investment activity. And while green shoots of recovery were seen during the first quarter of this year, the second wave did usher in uncertainty which led to a tempo- rary pause in commercial real estate’s path to growth and success. Despite the endless challenges faced by the sector, the abili- ty to adapt to changing conditions and to bounce back quickly by re-strategizing enabled the commercial real estate market to stay afloat and resilient in the present sce- nario. With vaccination rollouts and slow easing of restric- tions, CRE is transitioning to a recovery phase and is all poised to pick up pace, in the coming years. The Awfis Leadership Series Summit 2021 brought together the best that CRE industry has to offer- leading experts, industry veterans and thought leaders to provide actionable insights on the commercial real estate’s gradual recovery and how it is all set to witness an upward growth trajectory, going forward. The main mission of the virtual summit was to discuss the latest trends as well as address the challenges and opportunities shaping the commercial real estate sector by bringing knowledge and information from prominent professionals of the industry. This report features a compilation of the key learnings and strategic guidance derived from two iinsightful Panel Discus- sions during the Summit into what the future holds for the CRE industry, what is going to be the gamechanger for the sector in the coming months and how CRE leaders can take advantage of the various opportunities to flourish in the market. Leadership Series Summit 2021 01
CONTENTS Panel 1 : Resilient CRE sector: Past, Present & Future 3-7 Panel 2 : Reimagining workspaces: Perspectives from IPC's vantage point 8-12 Leadership Series Summit 2021 02
PANEL/01 Resilient CRE sector: Past, Present & Future The years 2020 and 2021 have forever changed the way organi- sations function around the world and with emerging trends and new learnings, the CRE industry had to quickly re-strategize and adapt accordingly. And while the ever changing normal has dras- tically impacted the CRE sector in 2020, better days are expect- ed, going forward as the industry reimagines its strategies to overcome the difficulties brought about by the pandemic for a sustained recovery and to gain momentum in the coming years. Leadership Series Summit 2021 03
Key Insights 1 2 The demand for CRE is seeing an A strong penetration of flex office uptake especially from the IT sector spaces will be seen in Tier II & III since the cost of operating in India is cities since organisations want to be lower compared to other markets as closer to employees who have well as the large pool of talent the moved back to their hometowns in country has to offer. these cities. 3 4 India has been on a digital transfor- In the coming years, with hoteliza- mation journey and is known as the tion of spaces, residential segments, outsourcing hub of the world. With malls, and offices will overlap with that journey continuing to grow the each other. Therefore, development industry will see hotelization of companies will become service spaces by 2030, since flexibility is companies. demanded by the new workforce. 5 6 There is an increased focus on Nearly 50% of the real estate is insti- development because of quality tutional in terms of ownership, so supply especially due to lease and there is a lot of pressure from inves- up lease models. tor partner in terms of rental pres- sure and future retention. 7 8 Coworking seats absorption will be Grade A office stock is predicted to at about 20-30% of the total office grow to ~750 msf by 2022. leasing by corporates in 2022 Leadership Series Summit 2021 04
EXPERT INSIGHTS “The first and the second wave did have an impact on commercial real estate especially on-demand that was nearly half of its 2019 level. Net absorption may reach 2019 levels by 2025, however, new completions in 2021 may witness lag due to 2nd wave. Post the outbreak of pan- demic the business continuity plan has taken center stage of the risk management process and most companies are now contemplating Anuj Puri Chairman, ANAROCK “Core + Flexi + Location Agnostic” model as a Property Consultants way forward for their office requirements. In long Private Ltd run, the fundamentals of Indian office sector remain strong due to its vast talent pool as well as cost arbitrage that will encourage MNCs to continue to outsource work to India as well as set up their captive business centers. The Indian IT and start-ups that have emerged stronger during the pandemic are also expected to drive the demand for office space in coming future.” “With more than 75% of the workforce wanting to return to the office, we certainly feel that the commer- cial real estate business will see a steady increase in demand to 30-35 million sft per annum levels next two years. The learnings from the COVID-19 pandemic are bound to bring in progressive inclinations such as well- ness has taken centre stage in our lives. Soon, property wellness will also be closely monitored by developers via a business intelligence enterprise dashboard. We also foresee a fundamental shift from the permanent workforce to freelance or contract-based work, thus making Co-working space an amenity in the coming years. Developers are destined to be “a service indus- try”. We have noticed that companies are now focus- Sanjay Dutt MD & CEO, Tata Realty and ing on adopting a flexible and dynamic work model; Infrastructure Ltd. therefore, occupiers desire flexibility in contracts. With nearly 50% of Grade A office real estate now being institutional in terms of ownership, there is drive on asset enhancement with the intent to retain and improve overall customer experience and extract better economic value. Leadership Series Summit 2021 05
“With respect to crucial learnings from the pandemic, the learnings occu- piers derived from the crisis will be very different from an investor’s learn- ing and similarly the lessons that the developers learnt will be something entirely different - the culmination of all these will make real estate a much more robust environment to work in. Going forward, product enhance- ment is something to watch out for as buildings will have to change in terms of the offering the client is looking for. Developers also need to step Juggy Marwaha into the occupier’s shoes and understand what they want to deliver CEO, Prestige Office Ventures accordingly.” “The commercial real estate sector was quick to embrace the evolving business landscape amid the pandemic. With the gradual lifting of lock- down restrictions and the government’s mass vaccinations drive – we can expect businesses to display an increased inclination towards co-work- ing/flexible spaces to meet the evolving real estate requirements. We can expect commercial leasing activities to gain momentum in the next quar- ters, with a renewed demand for ‘blended’ offerings that include tradition- Ram Chandnani al offices, flexible/co-working spaces, and personalized human-delivered Managing Director Advisory & Transaction services – enabled by new technologies.” Services India, CBRE “In response to COVID-19, commercial real estate stakeholders have adapted quickly on the physical and technology fronts, health and safety and cost controls. Despite the second wave, liquidity and investments are improving as we are witnessing a positive sentiment amongst investors as compared to last year, where they preferred a cautious approach. The CRE market needs to see movement beyond renewals towards pre-commit- ments and built-to-suit office deals, which will create more optimism amongst occupiers. We also expect share of flexible workspaces in total Ramesh Nair demand to increase in the future. Over the next few quarters, we will see CEO India & MD, Market Development, more occupiers incorporating best practices to improve and modernize Asia, Colliers the workplace in terms of refurbishment and design.” “The ongoing pandemic has had an unprecedented impact across indus- tries and real estate was no exception. However, one of the few resilient sectors in real estate that was able to sustain the disruption caused by the pandemic was the commercial real estate sector. Despite the pandemic’s impact on its operation, culture and the way in which the industry func- tions, the CRE sector was able to bounce back stronger than ever.” Mr. Amit Ramani, CEO & Founder, Awfis Leadership Series Summit 2021 06
AUDIENCE INSIGHTS 01 Which aspects of CRE were most affected by the first and second wave? 26% Operations 16% Investments 32% Leasing 54% All of the above 02 What can help the industry to recover and thrive in the coming months? 49% Adapting to shifting occupier preferences 26% Identifying new business opportunities 45% Focusing on driving efficiency and providing value 46% Leveraging technology to improve tenant experience *The respondents could select multiple options Leadership Series Summit 2021 07
PANEL/02 Reimagining workspaces: Perspectives from IPC's vantage point The definition of an office is forever evolving with the pandemic changing the idea of a traditional workplace. Organisations and employees alike had to adapt quickly and with vaccinations rollouts and gradual easing of restrictions, they have begun to reconsider the concept as well as purpose of an office space. It has become important to reshape workplaces for the modern workforce and the post pandemic offices of tomorrow will have to be redesigned in such a way that it meets the changing needs and expectations of employers and employees, both. Leadership Series Summit 2021 08
Key Insights 1 2 We are now dealing with a liberated Working from home had its impact work environment and collaborative on employees in terms of stress and workspaces are a subset of this new diminishing the overall well-being of work environment. With this trend, a the employees. In today’s world, conventionally popular trend of hybrid work model, remote working, building the office first and then hiring has been reversed. Despite work from home will co-exist. these changes, office is a flag that stands for stability, retaining and hiring talent. 3 4 The other change which will take While Work from home has its posi- front seat in reimagining workspac- tives, offices are about collaboration, es is the safety of employees. Offic- engagement, culture building and es will be designed in line with the talent development which is only new reality where space utilization possible with physical offices. will get monitored, behaviour adjustments will be taken into con- sideration and the offices will provide an environment that yields higher productivity. 5 Covid-19 has accelerated a few trends like digitalization where the new age workforce have different attitudes and preferences com- pared to the millennials. Leadership Series Summit 2021 09
EXPERT INSIGHTS “Flexible office sector has shown remarkable growth in recent years with the pandemic not only introducing the concept of work from home but also work near home. Organizations and employ- ees are favouring a more hub and spoke model – a trend that was already a talking point in tier 1 cities now moving towards tier 2 and tier 3 cities too. Arpit Mehrotra There is pressure on traditional lease models Managing Director - South India, towards short term contracts and diversifying Occupier Services, Colliers portfolios in the different micro markets as well.” “Workspaces are no longer going to be a binary decision- it is going to have work from home, flexibility, and tier 2 cities- all these things will coexist in the world we will be moving forward to. Conversations around flex is on the rise and employee safety is becoming a matter of para- mount importance along with other wellness factors. Space utilisation will also have to be monitored and behavioural adaptation to space environments will be necessary as work environments will be more about Badal Yagnik Managing Director, experience and productivity.” Cushman & Wakefield “We are witnessing an accelerated change in performance, expectations, and role of the work- place. Firms have been successful in changing their strategies to ensure seamless functioning, while effectively leveraging potential changes in work styles. With a renewed focus on health and safety, businesses are now incorporating smarter and people-centric business models to better fit employee-wellness strategies. While for many the work from home may continue, the demand for Janak Malkani physical workspaces is expected to be driven by Executive Director, CBRE flex offerings. The ‘office’ will continue to evolve as a place for active collaboration, and act as a cata- lyst for solidifying corporate culture.” Leadership Series Summit 2021 10
“Conversations around satellite offices are getting stronger and clients are looking for country specific solutions instead of location specific solutions. With respect to the purpose of offices, office spaces are spaces to collab- orate, engage, ideate- it is an experience. Employee connect, bonding, camaraderie, talent integration and development, all these need physical Sanjay Bajaj office environments. Such spaces are required to build, sustain, and retain Managing Director - culture to socialise and network.” Pune and Logistics & Industrial Services, JLL “Every walk of life has been changed by the pandemic including office spaces. We are now dealing with a liberated work environment- hybrid, flex, work from home, in premises work and collaborative spaces are all subsets of a liberated environment. One thing is for sure, office is a flag of strategic importance for the corporate world, a flag that stands for stabili- ty and for retaining as well as hiring talent.” Viral Desai Executive Director – Transaction, Knight Frank “With a mass transition to work from home last year, organizations are now gradually breaking away from the traditional office environment and look- ing to build a new type of workspace for the future. The ongoing pandem- ic has disrupted the traditional definition of office and this has led both the employers and employees to reconsider the purpose and need for an office space. In a pre-pandemic world, offices were designed to be primar- ily functional however with the changing times and revolving work cultures, companies look forward to building open and collaborative Mr. Sumit Lakhani, CMO, Awfis workspaces that facilitates knowledge and idea sharing among their employees.” Leadership Series Summit 2021 11
AUDIENCE INSIGHTS 01 The major factors driving workplace transformation are: 37% Emerging concept that work can be accessed anywhere, anytime 17% The need for efficient use of space 24% Changing employee sentiments/needs 22% Digital Innovation and advancements 02 In the evolving work landscape, Organisations are seeking office spaces that puts central focus on: 50% Safety and security 34% Collaborative opportunities 77% Flexibility and sustainability 32% Customization in design *The respondents could select multiple options Leadership Series Summit 2021 13 12
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