COVID-19 and Social Mobility Impact Brief #3: Apprenticeships

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COVID-19 and Social Mobility Impact Brief #3: Apprenticeships
RESEARCH BRIEF                MAY 2020

                     COVID-19 and Social Mobility
                     Impact Brief #3: Apprenticeships
Katherine Doherty and Carl Cullinane

  KEY FINDINGS                                                   • Around a third (31%) reported that they were likely to
                                                                 hire fewer apprentices over the coming year, or none at
  • The COVID-19 health crisis is having significant
                                                                 all.
  impacts on apprentices, their employers and learning
  providers. Companies are furloughing or making staff           • Firms worried about their ability to survive the crisis
  redundant, off the job learning has been disrupted, and        were more likely to say their apprentices were unlikely
  apprentices, already on low pay, have faced additional         to resume, and more likely to cut future apprentice-
  financial strains.                                             ship recruitment. Half of such businesses reported they
                                                                 would be recruiting fewer apprenticeships, or none at
  • Many young people from disadvantaged backgrounds
                                                                 all. This picture is likely to have worsened since April.
  undertake apprenticeships. They are more likely to be
  concentrated in apprenticeships at lower levels, be paid       • Apprentices themselves are encountering significant
  lower salaries, and work at smaller companies.                 challenges. 37% of surveyed employers reported that
                                                                 some of their apprentices were not able to work from
  • Going forward, employers are unlikely to be recruit-
                                                                 home due to a lack of equipment, or because their role
  ing apprentices in the numbers we have seen recently,
                                                                 was not suitable for such work. A further 14% said
  meaning there will be fewer apprenticeship vacancies
                                                                 some apprentices could not access learning from home
  available for young people to access and more competi-
                                                                 due to a lack of internet or devices.
  tion for the fewer opportunities.
                                                                 • Employers are encountering a variety of issues with
  • In the first half of 2019/20, apprenticeship starts
                                                                 their apprentices. A quarter (24%) of employers sur-
  were already down by 7% on last year and we expect
                                                                 veyed reported that a learning provider had closed, with
  these to drop significantly further for the rest of the
                                                                 16% reporting that a learning provider had been unable
  year.
                                                                 to continue provision for other reasons. While 16% said
  • As of early April, employers surveyed reported that on       apprentices had been redeployed to other ‘keyworker’
  average just 39% of apprenticeships were continuing            roles in the business, 29% reported that their appren-
  as normal, with 36% having been furloughed and 8%              tices did not yet have the skills for such redeployment.
  made redundant. 17% of apprentices had their off-the-
                                                                 • With young people now not in school or college to
  job learning suspended.
                                                                 access face to face career guidance or able to attend
  • On average, these employers felt that 81% of their           networking events or work experience opportunities it
  apprentices would return to their course once economic         will be harder for disadvantaged young people to access
  restrictions were relaxed. 58% were confident all their        high quality information and skills needed to secure an
  apprentices would return, while 17% reported that              apprenticeship.
  fewer than half of their apprentices would resume.

INTRODUCTION                              made redundant, being furloughed           to increase again. We know that
                                          or experiencing breaks in learning,        careers guidance for young people
The COVID-19 pandemic has
                                          with a minority of apprentices able        interested in apprenticeships is
caused complex challenges across
                                          to continue their apprenticeships as       already inconsistent1 and young
the apprenticeship landscape. The
                                          normal. For those apprentices who          people are now navigating this
unique position of apprenticeships
                                          have been able to continue their           complex landscape without face to
– which combine education, training
                                          learning, this has moved online,           face support from their schools or
and employment - has made the
                                          raising further issues: Not all will       colleges, while closures continue.
sector particularly vulnerable to
                                          have equal access to required              This could potentially put this
the current health crisis. Impacts
                                          devices, internet access or a suitable     year’s school leavers at more of a
on training providers and access to
                                          home learning space, leaving them          disadvantage to those who are older
learning are being compounded by
                                          unable to access training.                 and have more knowledge of where
the profound impacts on employers
                                                                                     to find and successfully access
and the economy. Some apprentices,
                                          On top of this, apprentice recruitment     vacancies. Sutton Trust polling of
particularly those working in the
                                          is being put on hold, with no clear        young people in Year 13 has shown
sectors and industries most adversely
                                          idea of when opportunities will start      that they feel career and education
affected by COVID-19, are being
                                                             1
advice has particularly suffered          apprentices, to help ensure all young              apprentices at large. Employers
during lockdown in comparison             people, no matter their background,                surveyed reported that, on average,
to the support they have received         continue to have the opportunity                   just 40% of their apprentices
for learning.2 Schools are carrying       to both access and succeed on an                   were continuing as normal, with
a significant burden at this time,        apprenticeship.                                    the remainder of apprenticeships
and addressing the basic needs                                                               disrupted in some way. 43% of
of their pupils is inevitably taking                                                         respondents indicated that none
precedence.
                                          IMPACT ON APPRENTICES                              of their apprentices had been able
                                          Considering the uncertainty caused                 to continue as normal, while 28%
However, as the impacts of the            by the pandemic, both current                      reported that all of their apprentices
pandemic on the economy develop,          and future apprentices are likely                  were able to do so. Employers on
the importance of apprenticeships as      to need more support than before.                  average were furloughing 36% of
a model for education and training        Many apprentices have been made                    their apprentices, though in some
is only going to increase. A skilled      redundant. Others are facing a                     cases this was much higher. 30%
workforce will be more important          decrease in wages due to being                     of employers indicated that they
than ever to rebuild the economy and      furloughed, whilst also experiencing               were furloughing more than three
apprenticeships offer opportunities       barriers to their learning provision               quarters of their apprentices. On
to those out of work to retrain or        with many unable to continue                       average employers reported that
learn the skills that will be needed      training. For future apprentices they              8% of their apprentices were being
when the pandemic subsides. This          will be missing out on crucial face                made redundant, though only 26%
makes it vital that every effort is put   to face information and guidance                   of employers had needed to make
in now to ensure that all parts of        through schools and colleges. Even                 at least one redundant. Some
the apprenticeship supply chain can       if they can navigate the landscape                 apprentices however had remained
continue into the future – and the        independently, they will be faced with             in their jobs, but off-site learning
progress made in recent years is not      a diminished numbers of vacancies,                 had been suspended, either due
lost.                                     making them even more competitive                  to a provider shutting down, or
                                          to access.                                         the apprentice being unable to
In our Better Apprenticeships                                                                access remote learning. On average
research, we explained that               In early April we surveyed senior HR               employers reported that 17% of their
since the age-based funding               decision makers across the country                 apprentices fell into that category.
rules were relaxed in 2006, the           to gauge the impact of the pandemic                Figure 1 shows the average proportion
apprenticeship programme has              on apprentices.5 While the number                  of apprentices reported in each
been largely adult based, with the        of companies employing apprentices                 category by employers, along with the
majority of apprentices over 19           in the sample was relatively small                 distribution of reported percentages.
and many aged 25 and above.3              (around 150), the responses paint                  For example, it shows that on
Many of these apprentices are also        a picture that is indicative of the                average employers reported 39% of
existing employees rather than            challenges faced by employers and                  their apprentices were continuing
new starters. This is important to
bear in mind in light of the survey
                                            Figure 1. Average proportion of apprentices reported by employers in each status,
evidence below. In the 2018-19              along with distribution
evaluation report, around six in ten
apprentices already worked for their
                                            100%
apprenticeship employer before
starting their apprenticeship.4 The          90%
vast majority (88%) of apprentices
who were 25 and over were already            80%

employed before their apprenticeship,        70%
compared to 50% of apprentices
aged 19-24 and 29% of apprentices            60%
aged 16 – 18. Now COVID-19 is
                                             50%
exacerbating the disadvantages                            39%
already facing young people seeking          40%                               36%
apprenticeships.
                                             30%

This report is the third in a series         20%                                                        17%
of impact briefs released by the                                                                                                8%
                                             10%
Sutton Trust in response to the
COVID-19 pandemic, looking at the             0%
implications of the current crisis                 Continuing as normal     Furloughed            Off-site learning      Made redundant
on apprenticeships, with a focus on                                                                  suspended

young people from less advantaged                         100% (i.e. all)   75%-99%              50%-74%              25%-49%
backgrounds. The brief will look at                       1%-24%            0% (i.e. none)       Mean
how employers, training providers and
government can lessen the impact
                                                        Source: YouGov HR decision makers omnibus for the Sutton Trust, April 9th-16th
of the crisis on current and future
                                                                2
as normal, there was substantial             Figure 2. Proportion of apprenticeship starts 2018/19, by apprenticeship level and
variation: 43% of employers said             Index of Multiple Deprivation quintile
none of their apprentices were, with
28% saying all of their apprentices.        30%
                                                                                                                                  27%
                                                    26%
From a social mobility perspective,         25%
we know that apprentices from                                           21%
lower socio-economic backgrounds                                                                             20%
are clustered in lower return and           20%                                               18%
                                                                                      17%
lower level apprenticeships. In
                                                               14%
2018-19, 43% of all apprentices             15%
                                                                                                                   13%
were in the two quintiles with
the highest deprivation, around
                                            10%
167,500 apprentices. 84% of
these apprentices were clustered
in intermediate (66,500) and                 5%
advanced apprenticeships (73,700).6
Figure 2 shows the breakdown                 0%
of deprivation by apprenticeship                      Intermediate          Advanced                Higher               Degree
level, with intermediate (level 2)
apprenticeships and degree (level                       Q1 (most deprived)       Q2      Q3      Q4      Q5 (least deprived)
6 and 7) apprenticeships forming
mirror images of each other. The                      Source: DfE FE data library - Apprenticeship starts by indices of multiple deprivation
former is dominated by those from
more deprived areas, and the latter         experience than colleagues who were             wherever possible. Although some
by those from less deprived areas.          existing employees in a business, they          providers will be using distance-
There are twice as many degree level        may be considered more disposable               learning tools, for others this will not
apprentices from the wealthiest areas       by employers having to make                     be possible for a range of reasons. If
as there are from the poorest.              cutbacks.                                       the technical system was not already
                                                                                            in place, apprentices, especially those
Higher level apprenticeships, typically     Apprentices concerned that they                 from lower income backgrounds, may
undertaken by those who are older or        are more at risk of redundancies,               not have the equipment, access to
more affluent, as explored in greater       while balancing a significant                   internet or a suitable home learning
detail in the degree apprenticeship         change in their working practices               space. In our survey 37% of these
report that accompanies this brief,7        may also affect their mental health             employers reported that some of
are more likely to be with larger           and wellbeing. The level of support             their apprentices were not able to
employers.                                  they will need both now and once                work from home due to a lack of
                                            they begin to re-integrate back into            equipment, or because their role was
Conversely, younger apprentices from        the workforce should be carefully               not suitable for such work. A further
lower socio economic backgrounds            considered and implemented.                     14% of employers asked said they
are more likely to have been in                                                             had apprentices who could not access
sectors which have been vulnerable in       Access to training and                          learning from home due to a lack
the crisis, for example the hospitality     assessments                                     of internet or devices with which to
sector. 21% of small employers                                                              access learning.
                                            COVID-19 has led to a variety of
surveyed rated themselves as unlikely       issues surrounding apprentices’
or unsure they would survive the                                                            Even if an apprentice does have the
                                            ability to access training and                  access, tech and skills needed, the
crisis, compared to 14% of large            assessments. The government’s
employers.                                                                                  training provider may not. While
                                            training guidance for apprentices               IT contractors or the apprentice’s
                                            reiterates that employers can use               employer could potentially help
Newer apprentices may also be at            the job retention scheme for their
more risk from the current crisis                                                           here, they may be overwhelmed
                                            apprentices and confirms that                   with demand at a time when they
as they have only just started their        apprentices can continue their
apprenticeships and may not have                                                            are likely to not have a fully staffed
                                            training whilst furloughed.9 This is            team, or it may come at a cost the
developed the skillset needed to            a positive move, and employers are
redeploy to other roles. In fact, 29%                                                       provider is unable to fund. Initially
                                            clearly taking advantage of this, but           some providers were furloughing
of employers reported that their            every employer may not be aware that
apprentices did not yet have the                                                            staff, which meant that even if all
                                            apprentices can continue or begin               these barriers were overcome, there
skills and training to be redeployed        their apprenticeship training whilst
into other roles they would have                                                            may not have been the teaching staff
                                            furloughed, which may need to be                needed to deliver the training. This
liked to fill. Many of those in higher      emphasised more.
apprenticeships, by contrast, are                                                           was supported by our survey, with a
current employees rather than new                                                           quarter (24%) of employers reporting
                                            The Department for Education                    that a learning provider had closed,
starters.8 As newer apprentices are         (DfE) has encouraged training and
likely to have lower levels of skills and                                                   with another 16% reporting that the
                                            assessments to be delivered remotely
                                                                3
learning provider had been unable to
                                          Figure 3. Median hourly pay for apprentices in 2018/19 by apprenticeship level
continue provision for other reasons.
The provider relief scheme being
implemented may now have started          £12.00                                                              £11.07
to address this barrier for eligible
providers, as some will be in a better    £10.00
financial position to bring staff back
to deliver the government funded           £8.00                                      £7.65
provision.
                                                            £5.90
                                           £6.00
In mid-April the Association of
Learning Providers (AELP) found
that 43% of the providers they asked       £4.00
were managing to train apprentices
and other learners at between 80           £2.00
and 100% of their pre-pandemic
capacity. For providers to have put        £0.00
in place digital learning so quickly,                Intermediate (level 2)    Advanced (level 3)     Higher and degree (level
whilst experiencing the loss of                                                                                4+)
funding that may have come with
some apprentices being put on a                                                                       Source: 2018/19 Pay Survey
break in learning, is a considerable
achievement.10                             Financial impacts                           been made redundant or put on
                                                                                       breaks in learning. It will also not
                                           Many apprentices are likely to face
If apprentices are ready to undertake                                                  support the majority of apprentices as
                                           financial difficulties in the coming
their end point assessments it is                                                      they will not be doing enough training
                                           months. While apprentices can be
being encouraged that these happen                                                     to be in excess of their furlough
                                           furloughed, for many their wages are
remotely, wherever possible. The                                                       payment.
                                           already low, so they may struggle to
Chief Executive of the Institute           cope on levels any lower than they
for Apprenticeships and Technical                                                      The government should widen
                                           already receive. Even before the
Education (IfATE) Jennifer Coupland                                                    this minimum wage requirement
                                           current crisis, many apprentices
has backed this, saying there should                                                   to include all usual weekly hours,
                                           were struggling financially.14 Since
be a “significant shift” towards online                                                not just those spent training. It is
                                           April 2020 the minimum wage for
assessments, but acknowledging                                                         vital that the financial security of
                                           apprentices under 19 and those in
there will be challenges ensuring                                                      apprentices already on low wages is
                                           their first year is just £4.15 per hour,
quality, which is a concern not just                                                   protected, both by government and
                                           and in the most recent 2018/19 Pay
for the apprentice but the sector                                                      employers themselves.
                                           Survey among Level 2 and Level 3
as a whole.11 There have been              apprentices in England, the median
estimates that only 40% of current         basic pay was just £6.95 an hour.15         IMPACT ON TRAINING
frameworks or standards could be           Given the low levels of pay for             PROVIDERS AND EMPLOYERS
assessed remotely,12 with worries that     apprentices, and the high proportion
variation between external quality                                                     Funding for training providers
                                           citing financial difficulty on their
assurance providers could lead to          current wages, many are likely to face      All providers who deliver
diminishing consistency across the         significant financial challenges if this    apprenticeship training, whether
system. The IfATE has tried to ease        is reduced.                                 they are colleges, independent
these worries by stating that External                                                 training providers or universities
Quality Assurance (EQA) providers          The government have announced               will be facing challenges during this
have now agreed assessment plans           that furloughed apprentices must            crisis. The government have already
to be rolled out remotely for over 50      be paid at least the appropriate            implemented several measures
apprenticeship standards and that          minimum wage16 for all the time they        to limit the damage and allow
around 300 of the 538 standards            spend training.17 For the majority of       apprenticeships an opportunity to
approved for delivery have no end          apprentices their furlough payment          continue.
point assessment due in the coming         will be sufficient to cover the training
months. However, AELP also found           hours being paid at their appropriate       Breaks in learning for up to 12 weeks
that a third of apprentices now            minimum wage. Where there is a              can now be actioned by the provider
have less than a 1 in 5 chance of          shortfall between the time spent            or employer, whereas previously it
completing their programmes in the         training (which they have to be paid        was only the apprentice who could
expected timescale13 which could           minimum wage for) and the amount            initiate a break in learning. However,
have a direct impact on apprentices        of their furlough payment, the              any such break in learning raises
gaining pay rises or promotions they       employer has to top it up.                  issues for everyone involved. For
may have been anticipating once                                                        apprentices, learning being put on
completing their apprenticeship.           While this was welcome news for             hold and assessments being delayed
                                           some apprentices, it may have come          could lead to some not returning and
                                           too late for some who have already          subsequently not completing their

                                                                4
apprenticeship, as well as delays to       is ineligible, reducing further the             Problems encountered by
promotions and pay increases. For          amount that providers can claim                 employers
training providers, the government         through the scheme. The extent of
guidance confirms that they will           ineligibility for this relief is of serious     Apprenticeships would not be
continue to be paid for the training       concern.                                        possible without employers, and
they have delivered and can evidence,                                                      they have a bigger input than
but this payment will be made              Providers ineligible for this scheme            ever before in the development
retrospectively.18 TProviders will         have been encouraged to consider                of apprenticeships. Employers
not be paid for learners who are on        their eligibility and apply for the             throughout the economy are currently
breaks in learning, which could lead       financial support already announced             battling for survival and we found that
to some coming under significant           for businesses21 but only 4% have               10% of apprenticeship employers
financial strain, with the potential of    successfully received a Coronavirus             surveyed rated their business as
some collapsing altogether.                Business Interruption Loan.22 It is             unlikely to survive the Covid-19 crisis,
                                           crucial that training providers are             with a further 5% unsure. 85% said
The DfE has now confirmed that             still standing at the end of this               their business was likely to survive,
some apprenticeship training               crisis in order to play a key role in           slightly higher than employers not
providers may be eligible for support      supporting the economic recovery                employing apprentices (80%).
under the Cabinet Office’s supplier        post-outbreak. However, the longer              For employers who do not survive
relief scheme to ensure some service       providers do not receive funding                the pandemic, their apprentices
continuity.19 This will provide targeted   the less likely it is they will be in a         are left to find a new employer to
financial relief. However, concerns        place provide the training that will            complete their apprenticeship. This
were immediately raised that many          be desperately needed. At the end of            is a hard ask: at such a challenging
providers will miss out on this            March AELP found that 83% of their              time for the economy it is unlikely
support, specifically those whose          training providers were furloughing             employers will be in a position to
funding comes through levy contracts       employees, with consequent impacts              take on apprentices and for those
with employers, rather than direct         on delivery.23 In April they warned             who are taking on apprentices who
funding through the Education and          that a quarter of providers rated their         have partially completed their course
Skills Funding Agency (ESFA).20 FE         chances of surviving the crisis at              elsewhere is likely to be challenging.
Week found 593 current providers           less than 50-50.24 This could have
that have received non-levy funding        serious and immediate impacts on                Employers are having to make tough
this year amounting to £690 million,       apprentices. AELP have reported                 choices to survive and may see
with over a thousand providers             an estimated 52,000 apprentices                 apprentices as an easier option to cut
using levy funding which will not be       could lose their apprenticeship                 back on, especially newer apprentices
supported through the scheme. It was       due to providers potentially closing            who potentially do not have the
also clarified that any apprenticeship     down, with another 60,000 adversely             training or experience to redeploy to
funded via an employer transfer            affected by mothballing.25                      other roles. While 16% of employers

Figure 4. Problems encountered by apprenticeship employers during the COVID-19 health crisis

 Apprentices are unable to work from home (e.g due to a
  lack of equipment or access or because the role isn't                                                                       37%
                        suitable)
  Our apprentices do not yet have the skills and training
   to be redeployed into other roles that we would have                                                         29%
                  liked them to work in

            The apprentices learning provider has closed                                               24%

  Apprentices have been redeployed to key worker roles
 within the business, so the work is no longer relevant to                                16%
                   their apprenticeship
   The apprentices learning provider has been unable to
     continue provision for other reasons (i.e. excluding                                 16%
                           closing)
 Apprentices are unable to access distance learning (e.g
    they do not have access to internet or appropriate                                   14%
                          devices)
      Not applicable - my company has not faced any
   challenges with our apprentices since the Coronavirus                                     17%
                    (COVID-19) outbreak
                                                             0%       5%   10%      15%      20%     25%      30%     35%      40%

                                                        Source: YouGov HR decision makers omnibus for the Sutton Trust, April 9th-16th

                                                                  5
said apprentices had been                 Figure 5. Proportion of apprentices expected to resume studies by employers, by size of
redeployed to other ‘keyworker’           company
roles in the business, 29%
                                          70%
reported that their apprentices                                                                                            62%
did not yet have the skills for such      60%
redeployment (Figure 4).                                                                                                       52%
                                          50%
Unsurprisingly then, we have
already seen apprentices                  40%
experiencing redundancies. The
government said that apprentices          30%
made redundant are to be
                                          20%                                                       14%
supported to find a new employer                                                  13%
                                                                               10%                             11%
within 12 weeks. However, it              10%                     7%                           8%
                                                                                                             5%
appears to be the responsibility                   2%
                                                        0%             2%
of training providers to ensure            0%
this happens, which is likely                      0% (i.e.     1% - 24%      25% - 49%      50% - 74%      75% - 99%     100% (i.e.
to be extremely challenging for                     none)                                                                    all)
them to do so successfully in                                                      SME      Large
the current economic climate,
alongside many providers having to
                                                           Source: YouGov HR decision makers omnibus for the Sutton Trust, April 9th-16th
furlough staff or close completely.
The 12 week timeframe should be
kept under review and extended
if necessary, as 12 weeks in the            Figure 6. Anticipated number of apprentices hired in the year following the COVID-19
current circumstances is not a long         outbreak, compared to the year before
time to find a new role. The ESFA
may step in if a significant number       40%                                      37%
of apprentices are made redundant
in one instance to offer ‘practical       35%
support’ – but it is unclear what this
                                          30%
support would be.26
                                          25%
Employers are also facing a
multitude of challenges surrounding       20%
maintaining and progressing their
current apprentices. Just 17% of          15%                         12%
                                                                                                    11%        12%
the HR leaders we asked reported                                                                                               9%
                                          10%         8%
that they had not faced any
challenges with their apprenticeship        5%
programme since the outbreak, and
since the survey in mid-April it is         0%
likely this may have reduced further.             Much more A few more          About the      A few less    Much less        None
                                                                                  same
So far, we have seen 60%
of employers stop all new
                                                           Source: YouGov HR decision makers omnibus for the Sutton Trust, April 9th-16th
apprenticeship starts,27 and
with so much uncertainty this
is unlikely to improve in the near          ensure barriers can be broken down               traction and recognition, and we
future. September is the next               and young people are equipped to                 have been hearing more about
peak in the year for apprentice             access competitive apprenticeships.              positive apprenticeship experiences,
starts so it is vital that that where       As part of this, the Sutton Trust is             increasing awareness of a valuable
employers can, that they continue           launching its first apprenticeship               route into the workplace. However,
the recruiting and on boarding of           summer school. This will be delivered            the pandemic risks this progress.
apprentices. With the decrease in           digitally this year to ensure we are             During a significant economic
apprenticeship vacancies, they will         providing information and guidance               downturn, they may seem an easier
become even more competitive and            around apprenticeships at a time                 option for employers to cut, and
difficult to access. We know that less      when young people are missing out                employers may become less willing
advantaged young people already             on face to face outreach.                        to invest in them in the short-term.
face barriers in accessing higher level                                                      The resilience of the apprenticeship
apprenticeships and this is likely to                                                        system will undoubtedly be tested in
                                            PROSPECTS FOR RECOVERY                           the coming months.
worsen.28 It is more essential than
ever that employers are reaching out        In recent years, apprenticeships
to disadvantaged young people to            have been gaining increased                      Making the case for the economic

                                                                  6
value of apprenticeships is crucial
                                          Figure 7. Anticipated number of apprentices hired in the year following the COVID-19
at a time like this. As employers         outbreak, compared to the year before, by size of company
recover from the economic
consequences of COVID-19,                 70%
                                                                        63%
their initial priorities may not
involve recruiting apprentices.           60%               54%
Currently there are just over
6,000 apprenticeship vacancies            50%
being advertised on the Find An
                                          40%
Apprenticeship website, with 52% at                                                                   33%
intermediate level, 44% at advanced                                                                                29%
                                          30%
level and only 3% for higher and
degree level apprenticeships. The         20%
sharp drop in employers taking on
new apprentices29 and the already         10%
high dropout rates30 for apprentices
look set to rise even higher. Some         0%
apprentices will have been made                            More or the same                             Less or none
redundant, some breaks in learning
may lead to apprentices not                                                      SME      Large
returning, and some apprentices
may not be able to survive on low                      Source: YouGov HR decision makers omnibus for the Sutton Trust, April 9th-16th
furloughed wages meaning they may
                                           elapsed, including 58% saying that             hiring. While 61% of those likely to
try and seek alternative employment.
                                           all apprentices would continue. 17%            survive rated themselves as likely to
                                           reported that fewer than half of their         hire the same or more apprentices,
COVID-19 has shone a light on
                                           apprentices would return. On average,          for those worried for their future,
certain sectors such as health
                                           the employers reported that 81%                this was 44%. There were also
and social care, engineering and
                                           of their apprentices would resume.             some differences by the size of the
technology, influencing public opinion
                                           We will have to wait and see if this           company (Figure 7), with larger
towards how essential vocational
                                           surprisingly positive outlook plays out        companies appearing to show greater
routes are in developing future talent.
                                           as anticipated, but the figures are            resilience in anticipating to hire
If employers are to recover and
                                           likely to reflect the high proportion          apprentices at the same or higher
thrive going forward, new skills and
                                           of apprentices which are existing              rate.
ways of working will be crucial. This
                                           employees. Apprentices employed
provides an important opportunity for
development through apprenticeships.
                                           as new starters are likely to be more          DISCUSSION: POLICY
                                           vulnerable.
Flexibility and a new set of skills may                                                   IMPACTS
be required to thrive in the post-                                                        The apprenticeship sector is in the
                                           The perceived likelihood of survival
pandemic workplace, and businesses                                                        midst of a profound challenge, with
                                           for a company obviously influences
could use their levy allowance to                                                         the crisis having severe impacts on
                                           perceptions of the future for their
build capacity by upskilling current                                                      employers, providers and apprentices
                                           apprentices. While 69% of those
staff or taking on new apprentices,                                                       themselves. As is being seen across
                                           who felt likely to survive reported
who are keen to develop new skills.                                                       society, the virus is exposing and
                                           than more than three quarters of
In particular, employers should be                                                        exacerbating existing inequalities. In
                                           apprentices would resume, this
encouraged to significantly focus                                                         the case of apprentices, it is those
                                           was just 44% for those who rated
on supporting young people into                                                           from disadvantaged backgrounds who
                                           themselves as unlikely.
apprenticeships, as we know that                                                          are most vulnerable. They undertake
they are likely to particularly suffer                                                    lower level apprenticeships, are paid
                                           Employers were also asked about
in the coming months and years.                                                           less, are more likely to be recent
                                           the prospects for future hiring for
Leaving education or training in the                                                      starters, and are most likely to
                                           the next year (Figure 6). Again there
middle of a recession and suffering                                                       struggle to access remote learning. As
                                           were some signs of optimism. 31%
unemployment leaves scars that                                                            competition for fewer apprenticeship
                                           of companies said they were likely
continue throughout a young person’s                                                      vacancies increases, the potential
                                           to hire fewer apprentices over the
career.31 It is vital that we do                                                          for apprenticeships to drive social
                                           coming year than before the outbreak,
everything we can to avoid these scars                                                    mobility is likely to be seriously
                                           or none at all. However, a significant
for the ‘Covid Cohort’.32                                                                 affected.
                                           proportion of companies reported
                                           they were likely to increase their
In our employer survey, HR decision                                                       It will be essential to monitor closely
                                           apprentices (20%). 37% said they
makers were cautiously positive about                                                     the affect the pandemic is having on
                                           would hire about the same, the most
their current group of apprentices                                                        apprentices. It has been promising
                                           common response.
(Figure 5). 65% of respondents                                                            to see the IfATE asking apprentices
felt that more than three quarters                                                        for comments on the impact
                                           Worries for the viability of the
of their apprentices would resume                                                         that Covid-19 is having on their
                                           company again impacted anticipated
their studies once restrictions were                                                      learning in their recent satisfaction
                                                                7
survey.33 But to complement the           the economic recovery.                    unsustainable. It is vital that the levy
apprentice voice, the publishing                                                    is refocused on providing genuinely
of key data around apprentice             Even before the pandemic,                 new opportunities for young people,
starts, participation, completion         the expansion of higher-level             and those who would benefit most
and breaks in learning is essential.      apprenticeships that were going to        from upskilling, and not becoming
The intial apparent cancellation of       older, potentially existing employees     a vehicle for subsidising training
regular apprenticeship statistics         was questioning whether one of the        for senior employees. Employer ‘top
was of concern. The publication of        core objectives of providing young        ups’, where employers are required to
as much information as practicable        people a good quality training route      pay a certain percentage of training
will allow transparency as to how the     into their chosen career was being        costs for certain types of apprentice,
situation is developing, which is vital   met. Now more than ever employers         for example those who are older,
information for everyone involved in      should be focusing their attention        are already well-paid, or already
the apprenticeship sector.                on young people and new starters          have an equivalent qualification,
                                          as we know they will be severely          could help both to relieve pressure
That is not to say however that there     affected by the impact of COVID-19        on funds, while also incentivising
is nothing that can be done. But          on the economy. The government            apprenticeship provision in areas
many of the challenges facing the         should direct the focus of the limited    where it could have greater benefit. A
sector will require all players in the    apprenticeship vacancies towards          maximum salary ceiling should also
apprenticeship landscape to work          young people and promoting social         be considered, ending the practice
together. The primary goals should        mobility.                                 of levy funds being spent on highly
be to ensure current apprentices                                                    remunerated senior staff.
can complete their apprenticeships,       With young people now missing out
and young people are still able to        on face-to-face information and           The potential of apprenticeships
access and acquire high quality           guidance, apprenticeship open days        to offer social mobility, to increase
apprenticeships in the future.            and direct opportunities to interact      opportunity and to deliver the skills
                                          with employers, digital programmes        needed by the economy remains
Even small changes can have               have a huge part to play to ensure        undimmed by the virus. With focused
substantial impacts. More should          they are informed about their future      effort, the apprenticeship programme,
be done to highlight to employers         decisions. Outreach work should           which has made so much progress in
that furloughed apprentices can           not be stopped but transitioned to        recent years, cannot just survive, but
continue to carry out training where      digital delivery where possible. Now      help to offer a way out of this crisis.
possible. This could help to address      is not the time to let up on widening
issues across the board. The more         access to opportunities, as those
hours of learning an apprentice can       opportunities become more valuable
complete whilst furloughed, the more      than ever but harder and more
hours they are then entitled to the       competitive to access.
appropriate minimum wage, meaning
they do not have to survive on even       In the context of an economic
lower wages than normal. It also          downturn, the prospects for the
enhances their chances of completing      apprenticeship levy, already under
their apprenticeship in the expected      strain, look even more difficult.
timeframe or reduces the delay they       Levy contributions are likely to go
may face.                                 down as company turnovers drop,
                                          putting an even greater pressure on
Protecting training providers is also     the funds available for providing
of paramount importance. Continuing       apprenticeships, both for levy
training would ensure training            paying employers, but also small
providers are receiving an income         and medium employers who don’t
and put them in a better situation        pay the levy, but rely on government
to survive the crisis. Where this         funding for their apprentices. As our
isn’t possible, providers in danger       report on degree apprenticeships
of folding should receive further         highlights, there are significant
support. The government has stated        concerns about the prioritisation of
that it doesn’t want to see viable        spending in the levy. As much was
businesses go to the wall during this     spent in 2018/19 for the new cohort
crisis, and the benefits to society of    of senior leader apprentices, as was
a functioning apprenticeships system      spent on degree apprentices under
mean that the survival of training        25 as a whole. Levy funds in general
providers are even more important.34      are increasingly skewed towards
The Supplier Relief scheme should         older apprentices, on higher salaries
ensure all providers are supported        and from wealthier areas. (Figure
sufficiently to retain capacity in the    8) This was already a concerning
apprenticeship sector to deliver the      direction of travel, but in the context
skills that will be needed to support     of economic contraction, this is

                                                              8
Figure 8. Apprenticeship Levy spend per cohort in 2018/19 by age and apprenticeship framework/standard, level 6 and 7
apprenticeships only (degree level)

           Accountancy / Taxation Professional
                                   Senior Leader
                             Chartered Manager
   Digital & Technology Solutions Professional
                               Registered Nurse
                             Chartered Surveyor
                                   Civil Engineer
                          Academic Professional
                                Police Constable
                                          Teacher
                  Senior Insurance Professional
                 Financial Services Professional
                        Manufacturing Engineer
                 Advanced Clinical Practitioner
                              All other standards

                                                   £-00        £10,000,000 £20,000,000 £30,000,000 £40,000,000

                Under 25 Levy spend per cohort 2018/19                    Over 25 Levy spend per cohort 2018/19

                                 Source: Authors' calculations from DfE monthly apprenticeship starts, levy statistics and ESFA funding bands

                                                  RECOMMENDATIONS

1) The current support measures for apprenticeship training providers do not go far enough. The COVID supplier
relief scheme for training providers should also cover levy-funded apprenticeships, in order to ensure that providers
survive the crisis and can drive the next generation of apprenticeships.
2) The priority for current apprentices should be to continue training where possible, even when on furlough or if
redeployed within a company. This can create a virtuous circle for the apprentice, provider and employer.
3) The government should require employers to top up the wages of furloughed apprentices up to the appropriate
minimum wage for all usual hours per week, not just those spent training. Additionally, where employers can, they
should top up the 80% of furlough funding to 100% for apprentices on low wages, to secure the finances of all the
lowest paid apprentices.
4) Information, advice and guidance for young people considering apprenticeships should be protected. While young
people are missing out on face-to-face- support and open days, outreach from employers, and support from schools
and colleges should continue and be moved online where possible.
5) In order for apprenticeships to deliver on the levelling up agenda as we come out of the coronavirus crisis, social
mobility and widening opportunity should be an explicit criterion in a review of the apprenticeships levy. The balance
of apprenticeships across age groups, levels, those with equivalent or lower qualifications (ELQ) and existing versus
new starters should be examined.
6) With the likelihood of limited funding in the future, it is even more vital that apprenticeship levy funding is
focused in the right direction, to ensure both effectiveness and sustainability. The government should consider a
maximum salary ceiling for levy-funded apprentices, ensuring that levy funding is not being spent on highly-paid
and well-qualified senior staff. Other measures to reduce the strain on levy funding should also be considered, for
instance, requiring employers to ‘top up’ levy funding for certain categories of apprentice, or otherwise incentivising
apprenticeships most conducive to increasing opportunities for groups who need it most.

                                                                   9
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                                                            10
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                                          growing-pains-the-impact-of-leaving-

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