Cosmetics: Inside the Beauty of the Brazilian Market - Camaya ...

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Cosmetics: Inside the Beauty of the Brazilian Market - Camaya ...
OCTOBER, 2013

     Cosmetics: Inside the Beauty of the Brazilian Market
                         Strong historical growth and high market concentration in few companies
                         proportionate to the middle and small competitors opportunities in differentiation
                         and niche strategies, as well contribute to the consolidation of the sector by
                         Merges and Acquisition activities (M&A).

By                       The Cosmetics, Fragrances &               investment in sustainable initiatives.
                         Toiletries Sector is increasingly
Vinicius Biagi Basílio                                             Driven by rising per capita income,
                         consolidating itself as one of the
                                                                   economically active population
                         Brazilian economy's most important
                                                                   growth, increase of women joining
                         sectors. Its role is essential not only
                                                                   the labor force and the evolution of
                         from an economic and financial
                                                                   the C consumer class, the sector had
                         perspective, but also from a social
                                                                   net sales of R$ 34 billion in 2012, and
                         and sustainability viewpoint, due to
                                                                   has maintained double-digit growth
                         the number of workers that compose
                                                                   for a decade, highlighted by a very
                         the upstream, middle stream and
                                                                   high performance vis-à-vis Brazilian
                         downstream markets, as well as due
                                                                   GDP growth.
                         to the strong contribution toward
Cosmetics: Inside the Beauty of the Brazilian Market - Camaya ...
The use of cutting edge technology helps          benefiting major companies in the
                                             to increase productivity and changes in           international context.
                                             prices in the industry (which grew less
                                                                                               Optimistic expectations about the future
                                             than inflation in recent years), as well as
                                                                                               of the sector and active history of mergers
                                             the volume of new product launches,
                                                                                               and acquisitions reveal a panorama of
                                             adapting to market needs and the life
                                                                                               transactions involving consolidation of the
                                             expectancy of the population. These
                                                                                               sector in the short and medium term.
                                             characteristics insert Brazil in the global
                                             context as the 3rd largest CF&T market,

Overview of the CF&T Sector

         Net Revenue Evolution                                                             World Overview
                                                                         50.000
                                                                                  55,00%

50.000

                                                                                                                                    United States
                                                                                                           10,5
                                                                                  45,00%

40.000
                                                                                                       12,2                         Japan
                                                             34.006                             12,4               60,7
                                                                                  35,00%

                                                                                                                                    Brazil
                                                 29.412                                       15,6
30.000                               27.258                                                                                         China
                            24.414                                                25,00%

          19.516   21.340                                    15,6%                           16,1                                   Germany
                            14,4%
20.000

                                     11,6%                                                                                          France
          11,0%    9,3%                           7,9%
                                                                                  15,00%

                                                                                             17,7                                   United Kingdom
                            11,6%                                                                                       43,4
10.000

                                                              0,9%                5,00%

                                                                                                                                    Russia
          7,9%     -0,7%                                                                            23,9
                                      3,6%        2,7%                                                                              Italy
    -                                                                             -5,00%                    36,2
                                                                                                                                    Spain
          2007     2008     2009     2010         2011        2012       2015

                   CF&T         CF&T - Growth              GDP Growth

                                             General Overview                                  (consumer prices), behind only of U.S. and
                                                                                               Japan, with lower growth in the CF&T
                                             In 2012, the CF&T sector achieved sales of
                                                                                               sector.
                                             R$ 34 billion Reais, 15.6% growth
                                             compared to 2011, exceeding the                   Regarding jobs generation, the sector has
                                             historical average of 13% over the last 15        significant contribution. In 2012, 4.94
                                             years. In volume, the sector reached 1776         million jobs were created.
                                             tons in 2011, an increase of 4.3% over
                                             2010.

                                             Brazil ranks third in the world, according
                                             to 2012 data, with sales of USD 42 billion
Cosmetics: Inside the Beauty of the Brazilian Market - Camaya ...
Price fluctuations below inflation            Competitiveness
registered in the country, pursuant to the
                                              Currently, the industry is composed of
Amplified Consumer Price Index (IPCA),
                                              approximately 2,423 companies, an
reflects strong growth in terms of volume
                                              increase of 70% over 2004, with particular
and value-added products. From 2007 to
                                              note to the concentration in the
2011, the Brazilian general price index
                                              Southeast region, with approximately
accrued a 35.6% increase, while in the
                                              1,492 companies. Among them, only 20
same period, the price index for CF&T
                                              companies dominate 73% of the market,
products determined by Fipe (Fundação
                                              with revenues over R$ 100 million.
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica da
Universidade de São Paulo) was
                                              An important characteristic of the
17.5%;14.3% for beauty products versus
                                              industry is the intensive capital necessity,
29.4% in the General Consumer Price
                                              with high investments in brand, R&D and
Index.
                                              fixed assets. Maintaining competitiveness
                                              depends on massive cash flow, access to
The relevant performance is a result of
                                              capital and distribution capabilities and
large investments in innovation and
                                              sale points, so that competitiveness in
products technology, along with the
                                              small industries is restricted to niche
modernization of production processes as
                                              performances.
reflected in increased productivity. In
2012, CF&T invested R$ 13.6 billion in
                                              In this environment, growth alternatives
Brand, R&D and Assets, equal to 40% of
                                              for small and medium companies are
industry revenue. R&D alone accounted
                                              restricted to product innovation and
for 1.8%, while Brand obtained the largest
                                              brand differentiation or development of
investment.
                                              partnerships, joint ventures and mergers
                                              and/or acquisitions of smaller
Regarding sustainable development, there
                                              competitors.
are various investments in environmental
policies. Millions of Reais are invested in
                                              Moreover, the presence of a few large
natural resource management, nature
                                              companies becomes conducive to industry
conservation and in research and
                                              consolidation. In an environment where
development of environmentally friendly
                                              few Brazilian companies occupy a
products and processes, such as the use of
                                              prominent position, like Natura and
"green plastic" in the packaging or
                                              Boticário, there are numerous
development of supplier partner
                                              opportunities for mergers and
communities of natural ingredients and
                                              acquisitions, aimed at expanding the
assets.
                                              musculature of some medium sized
                                              Brazilian players for increase of
                                              competitiveness, or the search for access
                                              to niche markets.
Revenue Breakdown - 2011                                                Sector Inflation Evolution
             Hair Care               6.709,5                 22,8%      185

           Fragrances          4.750,2            16,2%                 175

                                                                        165
            Disposable      3.486,2          11,9%
                                                                        155
                  Bath     3.008,8       10,2%
                                                                        145
             Skin Care    2.678,9      9,1%
                                                                        135
            Deodorant     2.661,1      9,0%
                                                                        125
          Oral Hygiene    2.391,8     8,1%
                                                                        115
               Makeup     2.321,8     7,9%
                                                                        105
   Sunscreen/Sunblock 1.193,9 4,1%
                                                                        95
Preparation for Shaving   210,10,7%                                            2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

                                                                                              Price Index                 CF&T

                                    Trends                                                 to a climate that favors hygiene and good
                                                                                           looks and a rich source of active
                                    Despite the uncertainties in the
                                                                                           ingredients and natural resources, have
                                    international market, Brazil has favorable
                                                                                           directed investments of cosmetics
                                    macroeconomic fundamentals for growth
                                                                                           companies.
                                    and the outlook for the retail sector is
                                    positive and will continue on an upward                Changes in the pattern of consumption of
                                    trend, fueled by the increase in the                   the general public as well as the products
                                    minimum wage and low unemployment.                     that companies offer to their consumers
                                                                                           and their marketing strategies converge
                                    It is worth remembering that Brazil is
                                                                                           toward different trends, which
                                    undergoing a change in its social
                                                                                           themselves are important, and, together,
                                    structure. The rise of classes C and D
                                                                                           are characterized as essential changes in
                                    expands the consumer market and,
                                                                                           the sector.
                                    coupled with the desire from repressed
                                    consumption and the willingness of the                 More recently, companies in the CF&T
                                    new middle class to use their funds for                sector have to deal with audiences of
                                    different and more diversified goods, this             different ages, different preferences and
                                    is an important pillar for the advancement             interests in products that perform specific
                                    of aggregate demand.                                   functions - due to increased life
                                                                                           expectancy and differentiated physical
                                    Thus, the socio-demographic structure,
                                                                                           characteristics - offering them specific
                                    combined with the increase in per capita
                                                                                           products, such as shampoos that cater to
                                    income and the growing public interest in
                                                                                           different types of hair through unique
                                    the health and beauty habits, in addition
                                                                                           formulations and packaging,
creams for dry or too oily skin, and many      increased use of natural extracts from
other products. An example is the stores       flowers, seeds and fruits and less use of
that are intended for different audiences      synthetic ingredients that can harm the
such as those from Grupo Boticário,            skin, such as dyes and preservatives.
"Quem disse Berenice" and "The Beauty          Furthermore, there is concern about
Box".                                          environmental responsibility, which
                                               implies the use of recyclable or
In terms of business strategies, there is a
                                               biodegradable packaging, the
growing trend toward the incorporation
                                               commitment not to test on animals or use
of new active ingredients, for example,
                                               fruit species or endangered flowers, and
anti-aging, and moisturizing active
                                               also the environmental sustainability of
ingredients aimed at increasing elasticity
                                               production of natural inputs.
and firmness of the skin. In addition to the
development of new proteins, amino             However, the growth of plant extracts
acids and amino acid chains with more          experience a slower pace of growth in the
specific functions, the form of application    face of competition offered by synthetic
has received increased investments. More       materials - petroleum products - that have
recently, the development of the               lower prices and greater availability.
applications of nanotechnology to
                                               It is also possible to highlight the rise both
cosmetics is gaining momentum as one of
                                               of many small companies operating in
the priority areas in R&D labs of large
                                               niche market as well as more prominent
companies in the sector and its contracts
                                               companies that have managed to link
with universities and research institutions.
                                               their image to natural products and
In addition to the dermocosmetics,
                                               celebrities, such as Weleda, L'Occitane,
nanotechnology is also being used in hair
                                               Jequiti and the Natura market.
preparations.

                                               Among large companies, we can point the
Another important trend, already quite
                                               strategy of M&A, for example, the
consolidated, is the growing concern of
                                               Sannoflora, specializing in organic
companies developing products that use
                                               cosmetics, by L'Oreal, as well as other
natural and organic ingredients,
                                               several transactions involving strategic
stimulated by environmental and
                                               investors and private equity funds. GP
ecological concerns of consumers,
                                               Investments acquired a stake in the
resulting in increased use of raw materials
                                               company Beleza Natural in July 2013,
with ingredients that give increased
                                               Hypermarcas acquired Bitufo in
functionality to products such as natural
                                               November 2010 and more recently, the
fragrances.
                                               Australian company Emeis was purchased
In general, companies seeking to               by Natura seeking international expansion
differentiate themselves through the           in the premium market.
appeal of organic products highlight the
Another recent example was the sale of        Additionally, studies conducted by
51% of the shares of Empório Body Store       ABIHPEC estimate some macro trends
from the Brazilian state of Rio Grande do     that will guide the sector in coming years,
Sul, to the French company L'Oréal, a case    the main ones being:
where the first sought the capital
                                              (a) Digital relationship: the use of social
necessary to compete and sustain its
                                              networks and viral marketing will become
growth and the second sought a
                                              increasingly relevant to the purchase
distribution network for its products.
                                              decision, as well as advertising strategies;
Also noteworthy is the launch of
                                              (b) Personalized customer loyalty: access
"nutricosmetics", as are known oral
                                              to information and database with
ingestion products (food, beverages or
                                              consumer behavior information allows
tablets) with ingredients that promise to
                                              companies to direct their marketing
promote the health and beauty of the
                                              strategies to specific niches;
body, skin and hair. Many companies in
the food industry, such as Danone, have
                                              (c) Smartphone: the use of mobile phones
been seeking to develop functional foods,
                                              in the purchase decision upon comparing
recently beginning to highlight the effects
                                              prices and to receive advertising and as a
of their products on beauty. In the Asian
                                              tool for purchasing goods is a very strong
market, Nissin Foods recently launched
                                              tool in countries like the United States
enriched noodles with collagen. However,
                                              and Japan. As mobile phone usage
perhaps the most important initiative is
                                              spreads in Brazil, this trend can also take
the positioning of L'Oreal, which has
                                              on great strength in the country;
developed a line of nutricosmetics in
partnership with Nestle. The products         (d) Sensory Experiences: access to
developed have active ingredients that        information and rapid communication
are absorbed by the body and promote          becomes much more demanding. It not
antioxidant action.                           only seeks the acquisition of goods, but
                                              also distinctive experiences at the time of
Another example is L'Oreal's partnership
                                              purchase. The creation of concept stores
with Coca-Cola for the development of
                                              reflects this trend;
tea-based beverages with skin beauty
promotion properties.                         (e) The consumer market for cosmetics by
                                              the male audience is quite important in
In this sense, though positioned as
                                              other countries. In Brazil, as the prejudice
product of high value added, is the
                                              decreases, more men are becoming
Beauty'In brand created by entrepreneur
                                              concerned with their appearance.
Cristiana Arcangeli, designated
"aliméticos", consisting of foods with
cosmetic properties.
In numerical terms, studies by ABIHPEC                    International companies also see high
                                   together with the consulting firm                         value in the Brazilian market. One of the
                                   Booz&Co estimate that the sector should                   largest retailers in the world of cosmetics,
                                   reach R$ 50 billion in net sales by 2015, an              Sephora, of the LVMH group, estimated
                                   increase of 47% compared to 2012 and                      that it would open 40 stores by 2018.
                                   US$ 50 billion in consumption (consumer
                                                                                             These trends and the expectations of
                                   prices). Also according to the study,
                                                                                             investors point to an environment for
                                   business investment shall reach R$ 20
                                                                                             investments in several fields, not only in
                                   billion in the same period.
                                                                                             traditional chemistry, but also in the field
                                   In the stock market, the company Natura                   of pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and
                                   Cosméticos S.A. is an example of                          nanotechnology.
                                   optimistic expectations of investors in the
                                                                                             Small and medium enterprises that can
                                   sector.
                                                                                             scope a position within these market
                                                                                             changes will find an opportunity for
                                                                                             development in niche markets, and with a
Natura’s Shares Evolution Since IPO
                                                                                             solid strategic direction, will be able to
                                                                                             assume a prominent position in the
800
                                                                                             industry and participate in consolidation
700
                                                                                             processes, while those who are already
600
                                                                                             consolidated in the market will be able to
500                                                                                          further develop their competencies, and
400                                                                                          accelerate their growth through mergers
300                                                                                          and acquisitions to obtain innovative

200                                                                                          technologies and access to market niches,

100                                                                                          especially in Brazil, a country that still has
                                                                                             many opportunities available in the sector.
  -
      2004   2005       2007     2008        2010       2011          2013

                    Natura Cosméticos         Index Bovespa
                                                                                             Source: ABIHPEC, Sebrae, Booz&Co.,
                                                                                             BMF&Bovespa, ABDI.
                                   Since the company went public in 2004,
                                   with shares listed at R$ 8.00, the company
                                   appreciated 423%, reaching R$ 41.80 on
                                   February 12, 2013, with a peak in January
                                   04, 2013, when the shares reached R$
                                   59.89.

                                                                             Vinicius Basílio (vinicius.basilio@camaya.com.br) is analyst at Camaya Partners.
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