Connected Car 2014 Connected Car Business Models - State of the Art and Practical Opportunities
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Connected Car 2014 Connected Car Business Models – State of the Art and Practical Opportunities http://connectedcar.autoscout24.com © Continental AG
Table of contents 1 Executive summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 7 Outcome and use cases . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 8 Position AutoScout24 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 9 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 3 Study methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Appendix. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 4 Relevance of the Connected Car 6 market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Trends affecting the Connected 7 Car market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Challenges for the development 8 of the Connected Car market . . . . . 2
1 Executive summary The car market is currently undergoing major After analyzing the trends, challenges and the changes. Stricter regulations, pollution restric- customer value of the use cases, the conclusions tions, more driving assistance and an increasing drawn based on the view of AutoScout24 are: awareness of safety and security are driving the development of the Connected Car. Furthermore, the expectations of consumers are shifting towards • Connected Car Cloud as a driver for greater connectivity. These changes are giving rise the success of the Connected Car to new business models and opportunities for the entire Connected Car market. This study examines • There aren’t any applications with a major both existing and future business models related value for the customer on the market to the Connected Car. We interviewed 27 participants from related indus- • A real open source initiative could push tries such as car manufacturers, telecommunica- the Connected Car market tions and the digital sector. We asked them about the various challenges, trends and business models • Used cars could have a major impact on relating to the Connected Car. The main challenges the development of the Connected Car identified were technical-, business-, and mar- ket-related. These include the difference between • Consumer needs and problems have not the automakers and the Internet industry as well yet been identified extensively as the question of how to monetize the Connected Car. Moreover, there may be conflicts caused by the use of varying platforms in different brands of AutoScout24 takes part in the identification of car. The platforms all need to be compatible with customer problems and needs. Being the largest the smartphone used by the driver. This difference online car marketplace in Europe, the development accounts for embedded and brought-in solutions. of the car offers great potential. This study can The concern about data security remains. Who has serve as an overview of possible Connected Car the right to access which data and to who does the applications and also as an overview of the main data belong? Many use cases require the collection trends and challenges in this young growth market and analysis of car or user data. The Connected Car for everyone in the industry. market still needs to overcome a range of chal- lenges in order to grow. The study identified over 40 potential and existing use cases. 3
2 Introduction © Audi AG Connecting the car to the Internet could lead the consumer. The results will then be categorized to major changes in the automobile industry. and analyzed. It introduces the IT business to a traditional in- The study begins by explaining the methodology dustry segment. This new field of business follows that was applied. This chapter is followed by a different rules and has contrasting characteristics. description of the relevance of the Connected Car There are some advantages and also a number of field. The study then analyzes the current trends challenges that accompany the introduction of the affecting the Connected Car. We asked 27 market Connected Car. However, not only carmakers stand experts to state their opinions and share their to benefit from the development of the Connected insights on this topic. The future of the connect- Car. The industry is set to undergo a great many ed vehicle faces numerous challenges that are changes and see new market entrants within the described in the chapter prior to the outcome and next few years. These new market participants findings of the study. The use cases will also be have the opportunity to expand their businesses mentioned and categorized. Furthermore, these and enter the automobile sector. This is especially possible applications are evaluated and ranked true for the telecommunications industry and the according to their importance. The study then digital sector. These markets are very consum- concludes by outlining the position of AutoScout24 er-driven. Therefore, the main goal of this study is and providing an outlook. to identify use cases that provide greater value for OEM Network Provider OEM Network Provider Connected Car Digital Business Digital Business 4
3 Study methodology AutoScout24 surveyed 27 experts from various The questionnaire consisted of basic questions industries related to the Connected Car market concerning the trends and factors driving the in Germany. The study was performed from the development of the Connected Car. The survey end of December 2013 until March 2014. During focused on the identification of use cases. qualitative interview sessions the experts answered Questions concerning customer value made up open questions with the goal of identifying use the third part of the questionnaire. Monetizing cases. The experts work in the following industries: the Connected Car played as much of a role as the outlook and further development. • Car manufacturing 4 In order to identify a trend in the importance of • Consulting 8 the use cases identified, the experts then received • Telecommunication 3 an online questionnaire in which they were asked • Tier 1 supply 3 to evaluate the use cases on a scale from very im- • Car sharing 2 portant to very unimportant. The survey gathered • Information technology 4 information from 24 expert participants in order • Financial services 3 to obtain knowledge on the perceived importance of the use cases for the Connected Car market. 2 Financial services 3 Information technology 8 Car manufacturing 3 Car sharing 3 Tier 1 supply 4 Consulting 4 Telecommunication 5
4 Relevance of the Connected Car market Cars are one of the last of very few white spots on The ecosystem includes telecommunications the digital map. But now the digital revolution is companies, governments, insurance companies, increasing the connectivity of cars and enhanc- garages, app developers, retailers, and auto ing the possibilities for being connected at all suppliers. When talking to these players, they are times. Regulations, for example the eCall, and all aware of the high importance of increasing the growing demand for infotainment are pushing connectivity. Even though there are estimates for the development of the Connected Car. Entertain- the future potential of the Connected Car market, ment and other functions within the car are rather we can only begin to imagine how the market is static, whereas smartphones are accustomed to likely to develop. dealing with real-time data. Due to decreasing New features relating to Connected Cars may well prices for technology and data transfer, the car be more relevant to the end customer than, for now has the chance to become a mobile device on example, the actual engine technology. The study wheels. This development offers new options for “The Cars We Want Tomorrow” conducted by Auto- car manufacturers to position themselves in the Scout24 in 2013 indicates the increasing demand market. Connected Cars enable carmakers to build for Connected Car features in the near future. and maintain a relevant relationship with their According to this study, in particular, end custom- customers. ers expect safety and entertainment features. This Increasing connectivity is already being seen with will lead to a variety of very important changes the increased numbers of smartphones and greater from the perspective of the customer with regard volumes of global mobile data traffic. Studies to mobility. First of all, mobility itself is becoming predict more than ten billion mobile-connected more important than actually owning a car. This devices within the next 4 years. This mega-trend can be seen especially in bigger cities, which have is changing customers’ expectations regarding the an increasing number of car-sharing companies. availability of connectivity. Increasing volumes of While on the move, consumers expect the same data will be collected and data science will create experience and connectivity they have at any other new business opportunities. This forecast has led to time and place. Greener solutions such as electric many studies stating that all cars will be connected mobility greatly depend on connected vehicles. within the next few years. According to a study by Cars need to charge their batteries, but charging MarketsandMarkets the market value for the Con- stations have limited capacities. Therefore a solu- nected Car is expected to be close to 100 billion tion that shows the availability of charging points US dollars by 2018. at any station would be very helpful. The Connect- The Connected Car not only impacts carmakers, ed Car market offers a large number of possible but also other industries. This trend can be seen in applications with many benefits for consumers. the efforts of companies such as Microsoft, Apple, and Google. They are all competing with one another to ensure that their operating systems are fitted in the info- tainment units of new cars. 6
5 Trends affecting the Connected Car market Connected vehicles are becoming a mainstream phenomenon. The way people connect with their environment has changed radically over the past years. Therefore the experts were asked about the trends they see developing in the field of the Con- nected Car. This chapter summarizes the four major trends that were identified. They include not just the consumer but also external trends affecting the Connected Car market. Increasing demand for connectivity Autonomous driving is not an immediate goal Cars are expected to offer more and more con- A self-driving car will become standard at some nectivity features. Today, it might still be a selling point in the future. However, it is not the main proposition to offer certain connectivity services, focus of automakers at the present time. First, but in the future these features will be expected as many advanced features are being developed to standard equipment. On the one hand there are make driving easier, safer, and more convenient. the consumers who expect connectivity every- Then new laws and regulations need to be passed where. On the other hand, regulations and safety in order to pave the way for a self-driving vehicle. laws require cars to be connected. Carmakers can Before all these challenges are mastered and cars profit from increasing connectivity by providing are ready to drive on their own, customers first new after-sales solutions, thereby bolstering cus- need to be made aware of self-driving cars. This tomer retention. New car models, such as electric necessitates the broad acceptance of consumers. cars, require more connectivity than other vehicles. Another factor is car-to-x communication. The in- Their range is limited and charging stations are not frastructure needs to be able to communicate with yet available everywhere. The availability of charg- the cars on the road. A general system to establish ing points necessitates real-time communication in data transmission will be necessary. order to meet the need to charge car batteries. Laws and regulations influence the future “While the e-mobility slowly picks up the speed, of the Connected Car another revolution is already in full swing: Safety regulations will affect the Connected Car the digital revolution.” market in general. The eCall is the first regula- Dieter Zetsche, Vorstandsvorsitzender, Daimler AG tion that will immediately have an impact on the connectivity of cars in the European Union. As Mobile devices are important for the from 2015, all new cars will be equipped with this connection feature. Automakers have to bow to these laws Smartphones are a great way of connecting and accept them. Taking the eCall as an example vehicles. First of all, most people use smartphones to connect all vehicles, the power of regulation is regularly and are therefore accustomed to greater obvious. A car needs to be equipped with a black connectivity. Furthermore, smartphone users box to make the eCall work. Driver distraction may have their personal data stored on these devices. well become a topic for governments to regulate A connection between cars and mobile devices what a driver is allowed to do while driving and is therefore inevitable. Smartphones and other which actions need to be limited to a non-moving devices need to be compatible with their owners’ position. Various other government plans may also vehicles. Therefore, all types of car need to be determine the future of the Connected Car market. able to connect with all brands of smartphones. Used cars may rely on smartphones as control devices to operate Connected Car features. Addi- tionally, mobile devices offer the advantage of reducing the amount of hardware required. 7
6 Challenges for the development of the Connected Car market © Volkswagen AG The increasing use of smartphones, growing urban industries to work together. Updates and upgrades areas and greater numbers of cars on existing must be applied regularly in order to meet the roads – the car industry will be facing a great requirements of end consumers. They will expect many challenges going into the future. Connected the operating systems in their cars to work as well Cars require a wide range of industries in order to as those in their smartphones. interact with one another. On the one hand, car Furthermore, car manufacturers rely on part- manufacturers are still responsible for the devel- nerships with mobile network providers to some opment of the car itself. On the other hand, they extent. A stable Internet connection is a prerequi- need to open up and work together more closely site at all times. with telecommunications companies. The Connect- ed Car is therefore causing a paradigm shift within Embedded vs. brought-in solutions the car industry. This shift is also supported by Embedded connectivity systems are meanwhile the changing needs of consumers. Car buyers are fitted in many new cars, whereas used cars are becoming older and no longer need to own a car rarely equipped with them. In order to connect within cities. Furthermore, the car’s specification them, a brought-in solution is required. The use is no longer the most important criterion. of interfaces such as OBD2 to connect the car to the smartphone might well be a suitable solution. Monetizing the Connected Car Generally, cars need to be able to connect to end Connecting the car will also lead to new costs. But consumers’ mobile devices using cables, Bluetooth who will pay for these services in the future? How or other technologies, enabling them to fully much are consumers willing to pay to connect their access the contents of these devices. In order to vehicles? These questions are as yet unanswered. achieve a high percentage of Connected Cars on Firstly, car buyers are used to paying for their vehi- the roads, the discrepancy between new and used cles once only. The Connected Car requires a con- cars requires a solution. Brought-in solutions may stant Internet connection, which might therefore solve this discrepancy. cost subscription fees. There might be business models similar to the smartphone or a one-time payment when the car or the application is initially purchased. Data and roaming costs also need to be paid in addition to the services used. Difference between automobile manufacturers and Internet industry The lifecycles of automobiles and Internet prod- ucts, such as smartphones or apps, differ from one another. Cars usually take much longer to develop. A car development lifecycle takes up to five years, whereas operating systems and apps are con- stantly updated. The Connected Car requires both 8
© Volkswagen AG Ownership of cars may change and introduce Data security and ownership of data new ownership models Connected Cars transmit data to a variety of receiv- Car manufacturers are aware of the changes in ers. These might be mobile devices, automakers, customer behavior. The trend is heading away insurance companies and so on. But who has the from owning a car towards the general need right to access this data? Carmakers see themselves for mobility. Many automakers are supporting as the owners, but car buyers want to decide about car-sharing programs in order to fulfill the need of the use of their data themselves. Who is responsi- mobility. Traveling from one city to another could ble for the security of the data? Privacy questions then be done by train. When the consumer has may slow down the development of the Connected arrived in the foreign city, car sharing might well Car market. The possibilities of analyzing the data be a suitable option as a way of accessing mobility. transmitted by vehicles have not yet been fully ex- Therefore, it is no longer necessary to own a car. plored. Time will tell which companies are able to Intermodal transport is increasing as a result of set up new business cases and create new business new ownership models. This means you have the models. option to book trains, car-sharing vehicles and other transportation devices in just one accounting process. Smooth transportation options are availa- ble without the need to own a car. ”The expectations of the people towards mobili- ty will change fundamentally.” Dr. Martin Winterkorn, Vorstandsvorsitzender, Volkswagen AG Compatibility between different platforms Currently, each individual car manufacturer devel- ops its own operating system for its vehicles. The carmakers decide which apps will be available for their vehicles. Closed platforms allow them to de- cide about the level of security and reliability. This, on the other hand, limits the number of applica- tions in each vehicle. The automakers control the developers and therefore regulate the variety of services available. An open platform would allow external developers to create apps for cars. But the cars’ operating systems need to be compatible with one another in order to make the use of apps possible across different models and brands. 9
7 Outcome and use cases © Volkswagen AG The term Connected Car is well known within the automotive business, but not yet among consum- Importance of identified categories ers. Therefore the driver of the Connected Car needs to be identified and analyzed. So who are 4 5 6 these drivers specifically? Autoscout24 asked the opinion of 27 experts in Saftey 5.35 Germany about which use cases or trends may help to increase awareness regarding the Connected Car. Safety is paramount for consumers. With an Diagnosis 5.13 average of 5.35 on a scale up to 6, the experts consider safety of great importance to the future Navigation 5.13 of the Connected Car. This opinion is driven by the eCall regulation passed by the European Union. Car sharing 5.08 The eCall is an emergency call system designed to help the driver and passengers in the car in case of an accident. Cars will have telematics boxes Remote telematics 4.92 fitted during manufacturing, which will be set up to make the eCall. The other important categories Infotainment 4.71 in the field of Connected Cars are diagnosis and navigation. Infotainment and insurance take a Insurance 4.33 rather less important role in taking the Connected Car to the next level. Legende? 10
© Continental AG Overall, the study resulted in over 40 different use “Market participants other than the OEMs are cases relating to the Connected Car. Use cases are able to access car data through the OBD-2 possible scenarios for applications. The use cases interface. This allows many new use cases and are sorted by category, but some of them are in- benefits for the driver and car owner.” terrelated. Thus, for instance, the use cases in the Thomas Girod, Sales Manager Automotive, Vodafone GmbH field of safety also relate to navigation. The eCall is taken as an example to illustrate the connection between the various categories. In order to make an eCall, the vehicle must be fitted with a telem- atics box, GPS tracking, and a SIM card, thereby creating the basic technology required for other Top 10 use cases possible applications. Tracking of one’s vehicle or geo-fencing use cases may then be established. 1. Live traffic information (5.83) Furthermore, a person’s driving behavior can be analyzed by means of the extracted data, which 2. eCall (5.46) may then be taken to determine usage-based in- 3. Accident prevention (M2M communication) (5.46) surance premiums or to optimize one’s own driving behavior. This leads to the finding that a combina- 4. Self-diagnosis including data cloud (5.43) tion of different applications is very much possible 5. Intermodal route planning (5.25) and may even be desired. If an application meets the same basic requirements, such as technological 6. Intelligent parking – showing the availability of standards, it offers the possibility to use the same parking spots (5.13) standard for a number of use cases. This becomes 7. Wrong-way driver warning (5.09) even more important when looking at used cars. An external telematics box or OBD2 dongles might 8. Usage-based insurance (5.08) be necessary to connect the vehicle. Therefore a 9. WLAN in the car (5.04) standard for an app store or similar may allow the introduction of various use cases from different 10. Synchronization of playlists (5.00) categories. 11
Navigation • Live traffic information • Points of interest displayed in the car • Finding parked car • Intelligent parking - pinpointing available parking spots • Counterevidence for speeding tickets • Areally/ timely extension of navigation area • Booking of parking spots in advance • Intermodal route planning • Automatic traffic sign recognition • Locally based information about events • Offers of available parking spots • Electronic logbook Safety • eCall • Wrong-way driver warning • Prevention of accidents (M2M communication) • Health check of driver Infotainment • WLAN in the car • Purchasing and downloading music Remote telematics • Entertainment streaming into the car’s displays • Remote control • Synchronization via the airwaves • Stolen vehicle recovery • SMS messages - reading and sending • Surveillance of the car • Spotify and Internet radio • Analyzing driving behavior/ • Location-based ads optimizing fuel efficiency • Business functions such as calendars, address books • Social networking in the car • Location-sharing and tracking of friends 12
Insurance • Usage-based insurance • Combined insurance services (e.g. bCall) • Cross-selling offers Diagnose • Self-diagnosis including data cloud • Used car check Car sharing • Ad hoc carpooling • Combined booking of cars and parking spots • Private car sharing without physically exchanging keys Other • Reminder of forgotten mobile devices in the car • Mobile payment of car tolls • Concierge services • Automatic information on delays • Location-based memory function • Leasing rate based on driving behavior • Current car residual value sent to the consumer 13
“The car will become a sensor cloud. The data Prevention of accidents (M2M communication) is important and may help to enhance driving This use case describes the general M2M communi- for everyone. This could include traffic, street cation. Therefore it is not just a specific car-to-car conditions, etc.” communication aspect, but also offers many other Dr. Michael Dinkel, Head of Software Integration, Elektrobit possibilities. Generally, it enables cars to commu- Automotive GmbH nicate with other vehicles or even mobile devices. Two specific examples will explain this use case. Live traffic information A car has broken down immediately after a corner Real-time traffic information is a service that and is hidden from view. The following car receives shows current conditions on the roads, including the information that the car in front has broken traffic jams and construction sites. Radio stations, down and therefore notifies the driver to slow navigation systems, and the Internet are possible down to prevent a collision. sources for retrieving real-time traffic information. M2M communication includes more than car-to- The information is gathered from the police, auto- car capabilities. It could be developed further to mobile clubs, and sensors on and nearby roads as establish car-to-mobile device communication. well as from floating data. The latter data source Especially during the night or in other difficult then becomes increasingly interesting. Floating driving conditions, this type of communication data can be collected from smartphones and cars. could inform drivers that people are walking on For drivers and their passengers, this use case the street or are even running towards the street. offers a variety of specific benefits. First of all, live traffic informs drivers about the current traffic sit- “Connected Cars can increase the safety on the uation along the planned route, allowing them to streets by far. This can even go as far as seeing make detours if necessary and be aware of possible cars communicating with mobile devices to delays along the way. This could save time and prevent accidents with pedestrians.“ have a positive impact on the well-being of the Wilko S. Wolters, Practice Leader, Ingenieurskunst GmbH driver. The highly accurate information it provides could lead to stress reduction. It therefore becomes Self-diagnosis including data cloud possible to avoid traffic jams without having to Car owners can self-diagnose their vehicles using rely on traffic reports from the radio. Furthermore, interfaces such as OBD2. Instead of depending on Live Traffic usually includes radar warnings. The repair shops or garages, it is possible to diagnose driver therefore always knows where speeding is the electronic condition of the car. The analyzed inadvisable. data can be read in an app or sent to a repair shop of the driver’s choice. Therefore the car can be eCall monitored and major damage can be prevented eCall stands for emergency call. It is an automatic before it occurs. The data can be stored in the emergency call system that contacts emergency Connected Car Cloud and then made available for services via the emergency telephone number further analysis. automatically in case of an accident. They then Knowing which problems your car has or what send rescuers to the place of the accident. The car might break down in the near future can have a sends basic data such as the time the accident oc- major impact on the amount of money spent on curred, driving direction, car and service provider repairs. ID as well as whether the eCall has been triggered The automatic notification of repair shops allows automatically or manually. Furthermore, it is pos- a vehicle to be constantly monitored. Therefore sible to send data from the safety system on board drivers no longer need to worry about the condition the car. These include the number of passengers, of their cars. They can rely on the repair shop to whether the seat belts were fastened and the inten- contact them in case of damage. It is also important sity of the accident. In every case the emergency to immediately know the reasons that caused the call center tries to contact the integrated phone in problem, which reduces stress in case of car trouble. the car to talk to the driver or passengers. This use case offers great value in terms of safety. Intermodal route planning When car accidents happen, minutes can decide Increased connectivity also makes it possible to between life and death. Therefore the eCall may provide the driver with itineraries that include reduce the road toll and help to reduce the inci- several modes of transport. The following example dence of major injuries occurring due to car acci- demonstrates this type of travel planning. A person dents. Particularly the damage caused by accidents leaves home to travel to the local train station, that happen at night on streets with little traffic which requires public transport. Then this person can be greatly reduced with the help of the eCall. takes a train to travel to another city. After arriving Sending the GPS position and the driving direction at the destination, a car-sharing vehicle is needed enables vehicles to be recovered more quickly. This to reach the final destination. When the person saves time in cases of accidents that do not result enters the car, the navigation system could receive in serious injury. The amount of time saved could data from a mobile device to set the address of the be as high as 50% in rural and 40% in urban final destination. If the final destination cannot areas. be reached by car, the vehicle’s navigation system could send the remaining route to the traveler’s 14
mobile device. Public transport, trains, and car This encourages a fair evaluation of policy rates sharing are booked and displayed in one single and might well benefit the low-risk drivers. route planning. This use case may go as far as Consumers now have the option to select between including the automatic rebooking of modes of different insurance types instead of relying on the transport if the traveler is running late any time standard premium. Drivers are able to improve their during his journey. driving habits and even compare the results to their family and friends because of the tracking device. Intelligent parking – pinpointing available parking spots WLAN in the car Parking spots have become rare in bigger cit- The car provides a WLAN connection for the driver ies. Therefore it might be an option to show the and the passengers. This allows various devices availability of parking spots directly in the car. such as notebooks, tablets, or smartphones to This means that if the desired parking areas are connect to the network and use the Internet for occupied, the car’s navigation system will guide working, streaming, or other purposes. the driver to the closest available parking spot. This use case offers a specific value for the cus- Furthermore, whenever a car leaves, this specific tomer. Traveling and business trips may require parking spot needs to be shown as available to access to a WLAN connection. On business trips it other drivers. Therefore cars need to communicate is possible to connect all devices such as tablets, with each other to share their location anony- smartphones, and notebooks to the WLAN and mously. Connected Cars are able to send data to thereby reduce the number of separate SIM cards each other. This requires a very high number of or WLAN sticks required. This use case also offers Connected Cars in order to make this use case another benefit while traveling. The WLAN allows possible. Another possibility might be the develop- the streaming of movies, songs, and other activ- ment of the infrastructure to show the availability ities such as checking e-mails or connecting to of parking. This has the major advantage of being social networks. independent of the parked cars’ connectivity. “Car data allows an electronic profile of each Wrong-way driver warning car. This could be a health insurance file for the There are two possibilities for this use case. On vehicle including user data, driving behavior, the one hand there are cars that enter a highway amount of driven kilometers and so on…” going the wrong way. They could receive alerts Andreas Bucholz, CEO, conexas GmbH and warnings on their displays and possibly even instructions on how to behave correctly after being Synchronization via the airwaves on the wrong road. On the other hand it might This use case provides for a wireless connection be possible to warn other drivers. This means that between the car and the home computer, smart- as soon as someone is driving the wrong way, the phone, and other online services. Therefore play car transmits warnings to any cars that might be lists could be synchronized with the car, which affected and exposed to danger. Then the other means that your favorite music you listen to at drivers receive alerts on their head-up displays. home could be automatically streamed into your Increased safety and fewer accidents may occur vehicle. Furthermore calendars, notes, and address from implementing this use case. books could be synchronized with the car, allowing passengers to use these functions while in the car. Usage-based insurance According to the experts, the personalization of the Pay as you drive (PAYD) and pay how you drive car is the key value. One expert gave the example (PHYD) are parts of the usage-based insurance of a shared car. If a husband and wife share a car, scheme. This type of automobile insurance calcu- they should easily be able to set up their calendar, lates its costs based on the vehicle type and its notes and favorite music within the car. Further- actual driving record. Factors such as time, place, more, it is entirely up to the driver or passenger and distance are measured. They add up to the to decide which music he or she wants to listen to. driving behavior that serves as the basis for the insurance premium. The difference to traditional car insurance is the In the following, the top 3 use cases are displayed consideration of driving skills. The safer the driver for each category. The results are ranked according is, the less he or she needs to pay for their cover- to the evaluation of the experts. The explanations age. If car owners choose this type of insurance, for each use case can be found in the appendix of they will be evaluated concerning how, when, and this study. where they drive. The most important value for customers is the potential to reduce the cost of their insurance policies. The better the driver, the less he needs to pay. This might be interesting especially for young drivers who need to pay a lot at the beginning of their driving careers. They might reduce their rates by adopting safer driving behavior. 15
© Volkswagen AG Top 3 use cases: Remote telematics Top 3 use cases: Diagnosis • Stolen vehicle recovery (4.88) • Self-diagnosis (5.43) • Remote control (4.70) • Automatic data transfer to repair shops (5.13) • Fuel efficiency analysis (4.67) • Check-up of used cars (4.65) Use cases in the field of remote telematics are not Diagnosis is considered the second most important the main factors driving the Connected Car market. factor driving the Connected Car market. There are However, overall, remote telematics is ranked in the already some applications on the market that allow middle of the available categories, just below car car owners to check the electrical status of their sharing. The experts mentioned five use cases and cars. Major breakdowns may therefore be prevent- evaluated them all with a lesser importance than oth- ed due to early detection of problems in the car. er categories. The other two use cases are the analysis The ability to check one’s car could lead to further of driving behavior and the surveillance of the car if, uses for this application. One day, it may even be for example, children take the car unasked. possible to make a full car inspection of a used car before buying it. Top 3 use cases: Infotainment Top 3 use cases: Insurance • WLAN in the car (5.04) • Synchronizing play lists (iTunes etc) (5.00) • Pay-as-you-drive (5.08) • Spotify and Internet radio in the car (4.92) • Additional services (e.g. bCall) (4.63) • Cross-selling of insurance policies (3.96) The results of the infotainment use cases are sur- prising, as infotainment is ranked low compared to The Connected Car offers new business models the other categories. The respective use cases are for insurance companies. Besides being able to evaluated higher. Two infotainment use cases are introduce new policies based on driving behav- ranked among the top ten use cases. Other possi- ior, they can also offer additional services. Some ble applications include entertainment streaming, insurers offer breakdown calls or other services in social networking, location sharing, business func- addition to their regular policies. If a telematics tions, and voice control for messaging services. box is installed in the car, they may either find use cases concerning the data or create cross-selling „Augmented Reality offers so many new benefits opportunities. to the Entertainment applications of the car. Just imagine if you travel and always know where your favorite music is played. Information about live concerts or bars and clubs may be sent into the your car and based on your location and the music you listen to in the car.” Steffen Holly, Head of Media Management & Delivery, Fraunhofer IDMT 16
© Audi AG Top 3 use cases: Navigation Top 3 use cases: Car sharing • Live traffic information (5.83) • Ad hoc car-pooling (4.83) • Intermodal route planning (5.25) • Combined booking of cars and parking (4.78) • Intelligent parking – showing the availability • Private car sharing without physical key of parking spots (5.13) exchange (4.58) Navigation has been considered a major driver Car sharing may greatly benefit from Connected of the Connected Car market. The importance of Cars. Being able to pick up people along the road navigation applications can be seen when looking may be an interesting concept for car-pooling com- at the top ten use cases. The top three use cases panies. Car sharing tends to increase their field displayed above are all ranked among the top ten of operation, especially in bigger cities. Therefore use cases overall. Other use cases, such as locally new concepts such as the combined booking of a based information, electronic logbooks, the finding vehicle and a parking spot may become possible. of a parked car, or point-of-interest information are Concerning private car sharing, a Connected Car also included in the navigation category. provides the option to rent cars out the same way as car-sharing companies. “The eCall is certainly an important step towards the Connected Car, but there will be also other Top 3 use cases: Other drivers to force connectivity onto the market. These definitely include driving data related use • Mobile payment toll (4.74) cases.” • Leasing rate based on driving behavior (4.30) Thomas Becher, VP Business Development, TomTom Telematics • Location-based memory function (4.22) Top 3 use cases: Safety Some use cases simply do not fit into the chosen categories. In general, these are rather unpopular • eCall (5.46) and ranked at a low level. The use cases may be- • Prevention of accidents (M2M communication) (5.46) come interesting at some point, but are not among • Warning of wrong-way driver (5.09) the main topics of focus today. Further possible applications include the sending of the current car As the most important factor of the Connected Car, residual value to the owner of a car. Another future safety has a few very important use cases. Besides option is to remind drivers if they have forgotten the well-known eCall, the safety applications offer any mobile devices in the car. enhancements for the driver and other road users. Other use cases in this field are a digital driver control and a health check for the driver. The last mentioned possible application checks the health status of the driver and monitors, for example, the blood sugar level. 17
8 Position AutoScout24 © AutoScout24 GmbH As we have seen, there are a great number of There aren’t any applications with a major relevant use cases for the Connected Car. As a value for the customer on the market very important player in the used car sector and Overall, the survey showed that there is uncertain- operating an online garage marketplace, Auto- ty about the future development of the Connected Scout24 plans on taking part in the Connected Car Car market. Cars will become more and more con- market. AutoScout24 therefore draws the following nected and will be available with new functions. conclusions: Today there isn’t one particular use case or idea that would immediately boost the popularity of the Connected Car Cloud as a driver for the Connected Car. There are numerous applications success of the Connected Car and functions available when purchasing a new Smartphones have changed the way consumers car, especially in the premium segment. But all of interact with their environment. A Connected Car these show only minor enhancements for driving Cloud offers new opportunities for both drivers and the car itself. Connecting used cars requires a and passengers, including access to information mobile device. These vehicles aren’t equipped with and navigation as well as entertainment. An on- telematics boxes to connect themselves. Therefore board system or an after-sale solution is required a retrofit solution is required. Even if there are to handle data. The data may be sent to car manu- applications that offer an enormous potential, they facturers or other service providers. A cloud offers do not reach most cars. drivers and passengers access to apps for navi- gation, infotainment, or other information either Real Open Source offers more diversity for with an embedded system or a retrofit device. the Connected Car market The best solution in order to push the Connected Car market and increase customer awareness would be an open platform and a real open source con- cept. This would allow all-in-one solutions for both new and used cars. Instead of the walled garden solutions on the market today, creating an open platform offers more scope for individualization. This leads to a greater chance of reaching a broad- er market than relying only on solutions created by car manufacturers. However, car manufacturers are not likely to open their businesses in the fore- seeable future. Telecommunications and Internet companies are forcing their businesses towards the car market. The first step in this direction has been taken with the establishment of the Open Automotive Alliance and other alliances between car manufacturers and companies such as Google and Apple. 18
An open platform enables external developers to Consumer needs and problems are create applications and functions for a variety of not yet identified vehicle brands. There are many advantages if real This study showed the expectations of the key open source becomes the standard in cars. This is market players and what they expect the con- especially true for the used car market. Even after sumers to be interested in. Most of the use cases buying a used car, functions related to the use cas- discovered offer some value and benefit to drivers es previously mentioned can be set up in the car and passengers. However, a key question remains: individually. Overall, this study displayed the wish What exactly does the consumer want? It might be and maybe even the need for an open platform. diagnosis, increased safety, or infotainment fea- tures. Safety is often mentioned as very important Used cars have a major impact on the in consumer studies, but potential customers are development of the Connected Car usually not willing to pay a higher price for more The used car market is playing an important role safety features such as the eCall. Therefore the in the development of cars. If cars tend to be question still remains unanswered: What is the more than 10 years on the street, than even if the customer willing to pay for and how much? As soon eCall remains mandatory for any new car in 2015, as actual customer needs are identified, the Con- it will take until 2025 before nearly all cars are nected Car market will boost itself. The answers to connected for eCall. So for most people who own these questions are even more difficult today, due and buy used cars, it won’t be before the end of to an obvious change in consumer behavior. Car the decade until the broad awareness of Connected buyers become older when they purchase new cars Cars is raised among them. Furthermore, they will and owning a car is no longer as important miss many of the latest functions available only as it used to be. for new cars. This isn’t very different from earlier times, but in the specific case of the Connected Car, where machine-to-machine communication will take place, it has a great impact on the cars on the street. If every car transmits data, e.g. for crash protection and other safety reasons, an older car without the relevant functions will not take part in the communication process. Therefore the safety issue cannot be solved completely and the devel- opments of such features need to take used cars into account. The challenge of connecting almost every car may also be solved with retrofit solu- tions. AutoScout24, for example, offers an OBD2 solution to make the connection possible. 19
9 Summary © Daimler AG Despite the challenges and possible risks concern- Who will pay for the mobile data? These questions ing the Connected Car, it will play a major role in are still unanswered and there are numerous the future of the car in general. All experts agree options to answer them. Laws abandoning high on the importance of increasing connectivity. mobile roaming costs in the European Union, for Automakers need to develop global solutions and example, certainly give this topic a boost. By 2016, open themselves to other market participants in cars will be able to connect in European countries order to push the Connected Car. Applications at the same cost as in Germany, for example. need to be set up for upgrades and updates. Consumers are changing their buying behavior and This may be another challenge for carmakers, the average buyer is getting older. So what are the specifically because they were used to developing future criteria for buying a car? Is it still the brand their products in longer cycles than the digital or the power of the engine? These factors may cer- market. Furthermore, the connectivity of a vehicle tainly play a role when making a buying decision, is already achievable by means of mobile devic- but connectivity may also be an important factor es. Many people who own smartphones or other as well, along with user-friendliness. The features devices can make their vehicle “connected,” but the Connected Car offers need to be easily accessi- to set up valuable applications, the capability to ble in a straightforward way. The human-machine extract vehicle data is required. This is necessary interface therefore needs to be optimized, which for diagnosis, tracking, analyzing driving behav- could include touchscreens with new functions or ior, and so on. Connectivity requires consistent other solutions. One possibility could be voice con- service. This means that the infrastructure needs to trol. Which of these options will become standard be enhanced in order to offer service and network remains to be seen. access everywhere. To conclude this study it should be mentioned This study covered over 40 use cases and possi- that awareness of the Connected Car is very high ble applications concerning the Connected Car. among the key players. This is true of the carmak- Many of them are likely to be available in the near ers, the telecommunications industry and all of the future. Some will need to be available in every other participants. New entries are also likely to car in order to comply with regulations and others launch themselves onto the Connected Car market. may become available as add-ons or in app stores. Their strategies will be adapted to take part in this In order to set up app stores, standards need to market. New mobility concepts and intermodal be established. It remains to be seen whether route planning will enhance the way we travel. A the initiative comes from the carmakers or from high degree of vehicle connectivity is required to alliances with companies such as Apple, Google, or establish these new models. The future of mobility Microsoft. is the Connected Car. The monetizing of the Connected Car remains a challenge. Who is going to pay for these services? 20
Appendix Remote control Analyzing driving behavior/optimizing Smartphones could well be used as tools to re- fuel efficiency motely control one’s car. It is possible to lock and Increasing gas prices also increase the cost of unlock the vehicle as well to start the engine by owning a car. Therefore it might be helpful to ad- means of an app. Furthermore, sounding the horn just one’s driving behavior. The car can record the or flashing the lights may become possible via style of driving in terms of braking, accelerating remote control. In comparison to existing remote and the distance traveled. This use case could be controls, an app and a vehicle being connected via interpreted as a kind of driving coach. It may even the Internet, these features would be accessible give real-time feedback to the driver as a method from all over the world. of instant learning. However, improved driving behavior is not just about saving fuel. It is also Stolen vehicle recovery helpful to lower maintenance costs, e.g. for brakes, Tracking the vehicle and being able to recover a suspension, or transmission. The necessary data car after it has been stolen is an interesting use can be retrieved using the CAN network or the case. In the era of the Connected Car, it will be OBD2 interface. possible to track down the current position of the vehicle and then to slow it down until it comes to Purchasing and downloading music a complete standstill. The number of stolen vehi- This use case goes further than merely synchroniz- cles is likely to decrease greatly once every car is ing play lists with the car. Music stores may find equipped with a system of this type. It is already their way into the car and no longer be available common in Southern Europe, the USA, and South only on computers and mobile devices. This inno- Africa. There are many privately owned companies vation would allow the driver to search for music offering this service. to purchase while in the car and download the desired music. Surveillance of the car Drivers can track their vehicles at any time, Entertainment streaming into the car’s enabling them to know where their car is and how displays fast it is traveling. For instance, if parents lend Movies, songs, or other entertainment features their vehicle to their children, who may have only could be streamed into the car’s displays. Using recently received their driver’s license, the parents mobile devices to stream movies to the head-up are able to set geo fences, restricting the area in display may be dangerous due to driver distrac- which the children are allowed to drive. If they tion, but if the car is equipped with rear seat pass the invisible geo border, the car owner can be entertainment systems, this use case makes it pos- notified. This is also possible concerning specific sible to stream movies for the back seat passen- speed limits that can be set up individually. gers, transforming the car into an entertainment cloud connected to any mobile device. 21
© Volkswagen AG SMS messages – reading and sending Business functions such as calendars, Voice control would make it possible to use mes- address books saging services while driving. The car would be The car could become a second mobile device or able to receive and send messages. This capability personal assistant. A Connected Car Cloud, for would be possible if the car connects to the mobile example, would make it possible to connect the car device and functions as an extension of it, or if with one’s computer and mobile devices. The data the car is set up with a SIM card that has the same stored on these devices would then be automati- specifications and number as the cars used in cally transferred to the car. For people working in the mobile device. Then the car could be used for sales or other jobs requiring a lot of traveling it messaging. might be helpful to have access to this information at all times. Spotify and Internet radio A Connected Car can stream data while on the Social networking in the car move. The only requirements are a stable Inter- This use case is nothing more than Facebook in the net connection and a telematics system with the car. It creates access to social networks while in the corresponding applications. An existing Spotify car. The need for social network access in the car account could then be used not just at home or is questionable and doesn’t necessarily add much with a smartphone but also in the car. The driver value to the Connected Car. would then have a larger variety to select his or her favorite music. Location-sharing and tracking of friends It might be interesting to know where your friends Location-based ads are and if they are in the area near you. The use of Corporations could send advertisements directly GPS location technology in the car could interact to the car. This could be achieved by setting up either with smartphones or by itself to send the geo fences around a specific place or store. The driver an alert when friends are within a prede- Connected Car would then offer a variety of new fined radius. It would also allow others to see advertisement options for companies. For exam- where you are driving and possibly even how one ple, if the driver is getting closer to a fast-food is driving, which might be an attention-grabbing restaurant, he or she would receive a coupon for feature. This use case is comparable to a running that particular restaurant on the head-up display app for smartphones. of the car. 22
Points of interest displayed in the car Locally based information about events Based on fuel level or other factors, the car could Geo fencing offers a variety of interesting ap- show nearby gas stations or similar places in the plications for consumers. Connected Cars on the head-up unit. The car could recognize how long the one hand are able to analyze the music the driver driver has been behind the wheel and therefore prefers. On the other hand they can send certain motivate the people in the car to stop for a break information into the head-up display, based on at a nearby cafe. The vehicle monitors basic things their location. If cars are within a predefined area such as tire pressure or fuel level and the duration or in a foreign city, they could receive information of driving and gives advice concerning point of about events according to the music played in the interests close to the car. car. This could be of greater value to people when they are traveling. In addition, the consumer does Finding parked car not need to manually search for these entertain- The car automatically sends its GPS location to ment events as they are simply shown in the car. an app installed on the driver’s mobile device. Especially when the car is parked in unknown areas Offers of available parking spots or bigger cities it might be helpful to remember This use case relies on geo fencing. When a car where the vehicle is parked. The app then guides reaches the center of a city or an airport it could the driver to the parking spot. receive offers for available parking spots. These might be special offers or just regularly availa- Counterevidence for speeding tickets ble parking spots. It might be an advantage for If the driver is able to track his or her speed at any consumers driving into cities if they are able to time, this data may be used as counterevidence check parking options before even arriving at their if stopped by the police. Then both sides have destination. evidence to settle the case. The two measurement options may also help to calm the situation if the Electronic logbook driver is confronted with speeding accusations. Business drivers or company cars could be equipped with an automatic logbook. Therefore the Automatic traffic sign recognition driver no longer needs to fill out the information There are already a few cars on the market that can manually. Solutions for automatically logging this detect traffic signs. Most of these cars use cameras data add value, especially to fleet management to analyze the shapes and colors of traffic signs. operations. Electronic logbooks could increase This use case does not relate directly to Connected efficiency and reduce the car’s carbon footprint. Car features, but it is necessary for self-driving cars. If autonomous cars are introduced to the market, traffic sign recognition will be installed in every vehicle. 23
© Volkswagen AG Health check of driver Mobile payment of car tolls Some car companies, for example Ford and Toyota, The customer value may be quite low for this use have been developing health solutions for drivers. case, but connected vehicles offer the possibility There are features such as monitoring the glu- to calculate the exact distance driven on specific cose level for diabetics or warnings for areas with roads. Therefore it might be possible to charge a a higher risk of allergic reactions. Any of those flexible toll. However, the regulations and laws health monitoring apps require additional sensors. might be the biggest obstacle to setting up such If they are built in, other health checks can be a system. The technical aspects are practically done while driving. An impending heart attack accomplished when cars are connected. could be shown with an alert in the car’s display, possibly resulting in increased safety for the driver Booking of parking spots in advance and other road users. Another possibility would Parking spots have become rare in big cities. The be to set the navigation system to avoid certain search for an available parking spot can be both high-risk allergic areas or even high air pollution. stressful and exhausting. It can take up to an hour This might be extremely helpful for someone who to find a suitable parking space in the center of suffers from breathing problems. cities such as Munich or San Francisco. Therefore it could be a good idea to introduce the possibility of Digital driver control booking the parking spot prior to arrival. It could Drivers could be tired and may have been on the be possible for commercial parking lots or garages road for a long time. Instead of merely analyzing as well as for private parking areas. The booking the time spent driving, the entire driving behavior of such designated parking spots could be done could be analyzed to tell the driver when there is online or by using an app. Drivers and their pas- a higher risk of having an accident. Factors such sengers may see the most value in the time-saving as the average position in the car lane, reaction aspect. It is far less stressful to be able to book the time and many more factors could be evaluated. parking in advance than looking for vacant spaces. Then the car may suggest taking a break, including This could be useful on a shopping trip in a bigger possible places to rest nearby. city and allows for better planning and more effi- cient use of time when traveling. Used car check Buying a used car is a stressful situation for most Combined insurance services (e.g. bCall) people. They could look for the car’s specifications If a car is already equipped with a telematics box, and the basic car data such as age, kilometers insurers may be able to sell additional services, driven, and so on. The physical appearance can such as breakdown assistance. Even though the be evaluated only from the outside. With an app eCall will be a mandatory feature in any new car and the mandatory interface to the car it could built as from 2015, a bCall might be helpful for be possible to check the electronic systems of the used cars. It would enable drivers to have the same car. The value for consumers is tremendous if they safety functions as in new cars. are able to check the entire car. It could save them from a nasty surprise. 24
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