ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) - October 2018 - Statista
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Agenda 01 Economic Impact of AI 05 AI Technologies & Enablers ▪ GVA, GDP & jobs ▪ AI types & categories ▪ Market size ▪ AI frameworks/computing & semiconductors 02 Leading Countries 06 Applications & Industry Impact ▪ Experts, papers, patents ▪ Major use cases ▪ Funding & companies ▪ Industry & sector impact 03 AI Investment Today 07 Summary & Outlook ▪ Venture capital and funding ▪ Major deals 04 Leading Companies ▪ Investments ▪ Patents & papers 2
Executive summary Digital transformation, transhumanism, Internet of Things, connected world, smart everything, Industry 4.0, nanotechnology, biotechnology, quantum computing, big data, 5G, automation, smart robots…. Is your head spinning yet? Don’t worry, we got one more for you: artificial intelligence (AI). Welcome to the cognitive era. Today the world is in an age of fundamental change that by some is considered the Fourth Industrial Revolution and also referred to as the cognitive era. Artificial intelligence is at the center of this development as fully fledged AI has the potential to disrupt every industry in the economy and basically all aspects of human life within the next 20 to 50 years. Currently, artificial intelligence is in an era of exploration where new technologies and ideas are emerging constantly. It is transitioning from the development of underlying theoretical concepts (e.g. machine and deep learning, neural networks) to having a real-life impact across a multitude of industries, verticals and products. This includes fields such as health care, retail & e-commerce, transportation, finance, national security, energy smart cities and much more. Virtual digital assistants such as the Google Assistant and Apple’s Siri are already part of the consumer market’s mainstream. Autonomous driving is expected to fundamentally transform transportation; and applications such as robot-assisted surgery, virtual nursing assistants, and medical imaging will have a strong impact on the healthcare market This dossier provides insights into the potential economic impact of AI and current investment trends, including which countries are in the lead, major companies, and the enabling technologies. Major use cases and applications of AI across several industries and verticals are also covered. 3
Artificial intelligence timeline 1943 Warren McCulloch / Walter Pitts conceive the first neural network 1950 Turing test: test of a machine‘s capability to exhibit intelligent behavior equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, that of a human 1956 John McCarthy coins the term Artificial Intelligence (Dartmouth Summer Research Project on Artificial Intelligence (DSRPA) 1959 First definition of machine learning by Arthur Samuel („Field of study that gives computers the ability to learn without being explicitly programmed“) 1974-1980 First „AI winter“ – lack of progress leads to substantial cuts in funding 1975 Kunihiko Fukushima develops the first true multilayered neural network 1987-1993 Second „AI winter“ period – market for specialized AI hardware collapses; funding is cut once again as ambitious goals are not met 1997 IBM‘s Deep Blue defeats Gary Kasparov, the world‘s chess champion at the time 2006 Geoffrey Hinton shows how neural networks can be improved by adding more layers to the network (deep learning). 2009 Andrew Ng describes how GPUs can be used to accelerate the mathematical calculations required by convolutional neural networks (CNNS) Mid-2010s Beginning of the cognitive era 2011 IBM‘s Watson Q&A machine wins Jeopardy! 2011 Apple introduces first virtual digital assistant Siri to the market 2014 Amazon launches Alexa 2016 AlphaGo (Google DeepMind) beats Lee Sedol 2017 China‘s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) publishes its Next Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan 2018 „Edmondde Belamy“ is the first work of art created by AI sold at an auction (price $432.5k) Major car manufacturers (like Daimler, BMW, Ford, Honda, Toyota, Volvo, Hyundai, Renault-Nissan) aim to have highly-automated cars ready for the 2020/21 market 2025 Quantum computing 4
Artificial intelligence will have major economic impact Creating a reliable forecast that estimates the economic impact of artificial intelligence using “The new spring in AI is the most numbers alone is impossible. Evaluation and comparison of industry forecasts show that the significant development in overall market for artificial intelligence is projected to generate tens of billions in revenue by the computing in my lifetime. Every mid 2020s. month, there are stunning new Forecasts on the impact of artificial intelligence (in dollar value) may differ, but one thing everyone applications and transformative agrees on is that artificial intelligence will be a disruptive force – not only across every industry and new techniques. But such sector, but for society as a whole. Projections show that by 2030 artificial intelligence has the powerful tools also bring with potential to enhance the gross domestic product by ten percent or more. This is mainly through them new questions and product enhancements and productivity gains. responsibilities.” China and the United States are set to benefit the most from the continuous advancement of – Sergey Brin, Google co- artificial intelligence and its neighboring technologies. For example, increased productivity from founder and President of labor substitution in the United States is projected to increase the country’s GDP by 15 percent by Alphabet 2030. The effect of artificial intelligence will be felt strongly in the job market, impacting employment across many industries. For instance, around 70 percent of jobs in the transportation and logistics industry in North America are at high risk of automation by 2030. Additionally, the share of machine working hours is forecast to increase by ten or more percent across most work tasks and activities. 6
Market size and revenue comparison for artificial intelligence worldwide from 2016 to 2025 (in billion U.S. dollars) Artificial intelligence (AI) market size/revenue comparisons for 2016 to 2025 IDC (September 2018) Tractica (June 2018) MarketsandMarkets (February 2018) Grand View Research (July 2017) Frost & Sullivan (November 2017) Rethink (July 2018) Allied Market Research (September 2018) UBS (January 2018) 250 200 Market size in billion U.S. dollars 150 100 50 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): Grand View Research; MarketsandMarkets; IDC; Tractica; Frost & Sullivan; Statista; UBS 7
Potential aggregate economic impact of artificial intelligence worldwide in the future (in trillion U.S. dollars) Global potential aggregate economic impact of artificial intelligence in the future Low estimate High estimate 0.9 0.8 0.8 Ecnomic impact in trillion U.S. dollars 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): McKinsey 8
Projected increase of GDP due to artificial intelligence by industry sector in 2030 Impact of artificial intelligence on GDP worldwide as share of GDP 2030 GDP gains associated with product enhancements GDP gains associated with productivity 25% 20% 8.5% 15% GDP increase 6% 5.5% 12% 5.5% 5.5% 10% 4% 4% 9% 7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 5% 6% 0% Other public and personal Consumer goods, Technology, media and Energy, utilities and mining Manufacturing and Transport and logistics Financial and professional services accomodation and food telecommunications construction services services Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates 9
Impact of artificial intelligence on the gross domestic products (GDPs) worldwide in 2030, by region (in percent/trillion U.S. dollars) Increase of GDPs globally due to artificial intelligence 2030 GDP growth due to AI in % GDP growth due to AI in trillion U.S. dollars The mature economies of the United States, 30 Europe, and Asia (Japan, South Korea, Australia, Singapore etc.) are forecast to 26.1 profit from the development and application of artificial intelligence on somewhat the GDP growth in percent and trillion U.S. dollars 25 same level. China is projected to maximize the potential of artificial intelligence due to 20 its more dynamic overall economic growth and the Chinese’s government strong focus on it as a national strategy (more details on 15 14.5 China‘s AI policy in country chapter). 11.5 9.9 10.4 10 7 5.4 5.6 5 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.5 0 China North America Northern Europe Southern Europe Developed Asia Latin America Rest of world Regions Note: Worldwide; 2017 Source(s): PwC 10
Incremental GDP increase based on impact of artificial intelligence by economic driver in the United States by 2030 Economic impact of AI on GDP in the United States by 2030, by driver GDP increase -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Augmentation 4% Increased productivity from labor substitution 15% Innovation / market extension 10% Global data flows 2% Wealth creation / reinvestment 6% Gross impact 37% Transition costs -8% Negative externalities -7% Net impact 21% Note: United States; 2018 Source(s): ITU; McKinsey 11
Share of jobs at high risk of automation by 2030, by region and industry sector Share of jobs at high risk of automation by region and industry by 2030 Energy, utilities and mining Manufacturing and construction Consumer goods, accomodation and food services Transport and logistics Technology, media and telecommunications Financial and professional services Other public and personal services 80% 70% 60% Share of jobs at risk 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% North America Northern Europe Southern Europe China Developed Asia Latin America Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates 12
Ratio of machine working hours 2018 to 2022, by task Ratio of machine working hours by task 2018-2022 2018 2022 70% 62% 60% 55% 50% 47% 46% 46% 44% 44% Share of working hours 40% 36% 34% 31% 31% 28% 29% 28% 29% 30% 23% 19% 19% 20% 10% 0% Reasoning and Coordinating, Communicating and Administering Performing physical Identifying and Performing complex Looking for and Information and data decision making developing, interacting and manual work evaluating job-releant and technical receiving job-related processing managing and activities information activities information advising Note: Worldwide; November 2017 to July 2018; 313 Respondents; companies Source(s): World Economic Forum 13
Change of hours worked in 2030 compared to 2016 in the United States and Western Europe, by skill level Change in amount of hours worked by skill set in 2030 compared to 2016 Western Europe United States Percentage change in working hours -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Automation is considered to be the main driving change factor for the job -16% market of the future, as the adoption of Physical and manual skills automation and artificial intelligence will -11% transform the entire workplace. There are strong growth opportunities -17% Basic cognitive skills for technological skills such as basic -14% digital skills and advanced IT skills and programming. Basic cognitive and physical skills (e.g. inspecting & 7% Higher cognitive skills monitoring skills; basic data input and 9% processing skills) on the other hand are projected to decline. 22% The transportation and logistics industry Social and emotional skills is projected to be impacted the most in 26% terms of workforce change. 52% Technological skills 60% Note: Austria, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States; 2018 Source(s): ILO; McKinsey 14
02 Leading Countries ▪ Experts, papers, patents ▪ Funding & companies
United States and China leading the way in artificial intelligence Both China and the United States are ranked as the top countries for artificial intelligence in all „By 2020 they will have the major categories we looked at (number of companies and experts, funding, patent caught up. By 2025 they applications and papers published on artificial intelligence). Historically, the majority of funding will be better than us. And has been invested in the United States. However, China is making a strong push for the global by 2030 they will dominate lead. In 2017, almost 28 billion U.S. dollars were poured into the Chinese artificial intelligence the industries of AI. Just market. stop for a sec. The Chinese One main difference between the United States and China is the role of the government. China’s government said that.“ government has outlined its artificial intelligence plans in a national strategy and is streamlining the development more strongly than the United States. For example, four out of five artificial Eric Schmidt – Former intelligence startups with funding of more than one billion U.S. dollars are located in China. Google CEO & Executive However, the number of startups venturing into this field is around 3.5 times higher in the United Chairman of Alphabet States than China. This shows that the United States are the more innovative country for artificial intelligence, while China is more concentrated in larger artificial intelligence companies. Other countries where investment and development of artificial intelligence is at a significant level are Canada, Japan, Israel, India and the three biggest economies in Europe – Germany, the UK and France. French president Emmanuel Macron, for example, announced government investments of more than 1.5 billion U.S. dollars for his country in March 2018. 16
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Artificial intelligence performance benchmark by country as of 2018 AI country performance benchmark 2018 Personnel Monetary Impact Competitiveness Research & Education Technology Benchmark score 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 United States 36 68 59 76 98 Germany 31 56 57 52 70 United Kingdom 48 69 56 32 29 China 11 34 26 66 95 France 37 52 46 22 45 Japan 10 12 53 18 87 Republic of Korea 10 23 51 22 71 Canada 28 35 56 14 28 Netherlands 13 40 63 20 19 Australia 14 18 46 18 37 Poland 12 30 29 10 16 Russian Federation 10 18 19 16 29 Note: Worldwide, Australia, Canada, China, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Netherlands, Russia, United Kingdom, United States; 2018 Source(s): Capgemini 18
Number of artificial intelligence companies worldwide as of June 2018, by country Number of AI companies worldwide 2018, by country Number of companies 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 As of June 2018, there were 4,925 United States 2,028 artificial intelligence enterprises worldwide. The establishment of new China 1,011 artificial intelligence companies has United Kingdom 392 slowed worldwide since 2015 when the number of newly established enterprises Canada 285 worldwide reached 847. India 152 Israel 121 France 120 Germany 111 Sweden 55 Spain 53 Netherlands 40 Japan 40 Switzerland 40 Poland 33 Australia 31 Note: Worldwide; as of June 2018 Source(s): CISTP 19
Number of artificial intelligence startups worldwide in 2018, by country Number of AI startups by country 2018 Number of startups 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Total number of true artificial intelligence United States 1,393 startups worldwide is 3,465. China 383 The number of startups exceed the number of total AI enterprises for some Israel 362 countries – indicating that the AI United Kingdom 245 ecosystem of some countries (e.g. Israel) might have been growing more Canada 131 dynamically than others over the past Japan 113 year. France 109 Germany 106 India 82 Sweden 55 Finland 45 South Korea 42 Spain 39 Singapore 35 Switzerland 28 Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): Roland Berger 20
US leads world in artificial intelligence talent – both in quantity & quality Number of artificial intelligence (AI) experts/talents worldwide by country 2018 AI talent Top AI talent Number of experts/talents Estimates on the number of global AI professionals/experts/talents 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 range from 200 thousand to 1.9 million worldwide. United States The United States lead all countries with 14 percent of global AI talent and around 44 percent of AI professionals. China The AI talent pool of the United States, Europe, Japan and Australia India is more advanced in terms of expertise, skill level and experience Germany compared to China and India. United Kingdom While 18 percent of US AI talent is considered top-level, this is true France for only around 5 to 6 percent of AI talent in China. In the US, the share of top-level talent is 25 percent, up from 14 percent share of Iran** total talent, whereas China’s share of top-level talent is only 5 Brazil percent compared to a 9 percent share of overall global AI talent. Spain Around 70 percent of AI professionals in the US have more than ten years of experience compared to almost 40 percent in China. Italy Canada Turkey** Australia Japan Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): Institute for Science and Technology Policy (China) (Tsinghua University) 21
Number of artificial intelligence professionals by country in 2017 (in 1,000s) AI professionals by country worldwide 2017 Number of AI professionals in thousands Linkedin estimated the number of AI 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 professionals at around 1.9 million in United States 850 2017, based on entries in their database and desk research. India 150 Compared to the more narrow definition United Kingdom 140 used for „AI talents“, the lead of the Canada 80 United States for AI workforce is even France 50 more substantial at a 40 percent share Australia 50 China ranks only in seventh place for China 50 number of AI professionals. The data might not show the full picture though, as Germany 30 Linkedin does not have the same Netherlands 30 penetration in all of the markets shown in Italy 30 the graph. Spain 20 Brazil 20 Singapore 17 United Arab Emirates 16 South Africa 15 Note: Worldwide; 2017 Source(s): LinkedIn 22
Number of artificial intelligence patents granted by trademark/patent office worldwide from 2000 to 2016 Artificial intelligence patents granted by patent/trademark office 2000-2016 Biological Knowledge Mathematical Other Number of patents granted 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 USPTO (United States) SIPO (China) PCT (International) JPO (Japan) EPO (Europe) Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2016 Source(s): RIETI 23
Number of artificial intelligence patents granted to universities by country from 2000 to 2016 Artificial intelligence patents granted to universities 2000-2016 Number of patents granted 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Chinese university 725 U.S. university 241 Japanese university 93 ROW universities 118 Note: Worldwide, China, Japan, United States; 2000 to 2016 Source(s): RIETI 24
Number of papers published in the field of artificial intelligence worldwide from 1997 to 2017, by country AI-related paper publications worldwide 1997-2017, by country Number of publications 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 United States 369,588 China 327,034 United Kingdom 96,536 Japan 94,112 Germany 85,587 India 75,128 France 72,261 Canada 61,782 Italy 61,466 Spain 58,582 Republic of Korea 52,175 Taiwan, China 46,138 Australia 45,884 Iran 34,028 Brazil 27,552 Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017 Source(s): CISTP 25
Number of papers published in the field of artificial intelligence in China and worldwide from 1997 to 2017 (in 1,000s) AI-related paper publications in China and worldwide 1997-2017 Global China 160 146 140 135.5 134.5 120 120 Number of publications in thousands 106 102 99.5 100 93.5 89.5 89.5 83.5 86 80 72 61 60 54.5 49.5 37.5 39 36.5 40 33 35 29.5 30 24.5 27 26.5 26 23.5 22 22 21 19 17.5 20 12.5 7.5 9 4 6 2 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017 Source(s): Statista estimates; CISTP 26
United States – Still in the artificial intelligence driver’s seat? Projected increase of GDP due to artificial intelligence by industry sector in North America in 2030 Productivity Consumption GDP increase 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% AI policy/strategy Trump administration Health, education and other public and personal services 10% 11.5% New Select Committee on AI to advise White House in 2018. Main government goals to maintain global leadership in AI: Consumer goods, accomodation and food services 7% 9% • Support national AI R&D ecosystem (e.g. public-private partnerships) • Develop US workforce to benefit from AI Technology, media and telecommunications 6.5% 7% • Remove barriers to innovation (regulations) Obama administration Three separate reports released in 2016 outlining Financial and professional services 4.5% 5.5% a possible foundation for future US strategy: • Preparing for the Future of Artificial Intelligence: Recommendations regarding Manufacturing and construction 4% 5% regulations, public R&D, automation, fairness, ethics and security • National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategic Plan: Outline for Energy, utilities and mining 5% 4% publicly funded AI R&D strategy • Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and the Economy: Deals with impact of automation, Transport and logistics 3% 5% possible policies to increase benefit from AI and mitigate costs Note: North America; 2018 Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates 27
Artificial intelligence funding investment in the United States from 2012 to 2018 (in million U.S. dollars) Artificial Intelligence funding United States 2012-2018 6,000 Funding and investment in artificial intelligence in the United States has consistently risen over the years. 5,012 5,000 Data for the first two quarters of 2018 point towards a new record high in AI funding for 4,218 the whole year in the United States, as AI funding for Q1 and Q2 2018 alone already 3,921 Funding in million U.S. dollars 4,000 amounted to around 85 percent of overall funding for the full year of 2017. 3,203 Funding across all industries in the United 3,000 States was 27.5 billion USD in Q3 2018, an increase of about 15 percent from Q2 2,489 2018. AI funding is expected to grow at least in line with overall funding as well. 2,000 For 2018, overall AI funding in the United States is forecast to amount to between nine and ten billion USD based on overall 1,118 funding growth and growth rates of AI 1,000 funding over the past eight quarters. 595 282 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 & Q2 2018 Note: United States; 2012 to 2018 Source(s): CB Insights; PwC 28
China on its way to global artificial intelligence dominance In July 2017, the State Council of China released the Next Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan outlining the country’s strategic approach and policy for AI up to 2030: • 2020: Keeping pace with developments in artificial intelligence and narrow/close the gap to the United States; China as a global innovation leader. Focus on big data intelligence, autonomous intelligence systems (estimated core AI industry size 150 billion yuan / roughly 21.5 billion USD) • 2025: Make major breakthroughs in basic AI technologies; initial AI laws and regulations; broader use of AI across all sectors – medicine, city infrastructure, manufacturing, agriculture (estimated core AI industry size 400 billion yuan / roughly 58 billion USD) • 2030: World leader in AI; major breakthroughs in core technologies. Focus in social governance, national defense construction, industrial value chain (estimated core industry size 1,000 billion yuan / roughly 144 billion USD) • Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent and iFlytek appointed by Chinese government as “national champions” to lead development and innovation of AI • The state-owned electric utility monopoly State Grid Corporation of China holds by far the most AI patents in the country with 4,246. Baidu has the most amongst enterprises with 542 and the Chinese Academy of Sciences System the most in the academic world with 897 patents • 2.1 billion USD investment in a technology park dedicated to artificial intelligence to be built in Beijing • Government funding of around 430 million USD for AI-related research projects in a six month period in early 2018 alone 29
Government funding of artificial intelligence related projects in China in the six month period ending April 2018, by focus (in million U.S. dollars) Artificial intelligence related project funding in China six months ending April 2018 Funding in million U.S. dollars 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Smart cars 128.7 Cloud and big data 74.6 Smart robotics 72 Quantum and high performance computing 57.3 Strategic technologies 55.2 Leading electronic materials 27.2 Smart medical devices 13.9 Note: China; 2015 to 2018 Source(s): SCMP; Various sources (National Science and Technology Information System) 30
Size of the artificial intelligence market in China from 2015 to 2020 (in billion U.S. dollars) Artificial intelligence market size in China 2015-2020 16 Considering the goal of the Chinese 14.3 government to make the country the global leader in AI by 2030, the market is 14 projected to grow strongly over the next few years. The GDP in China is forecast 12 to increase by at least ten percent across all industries and sectors. Market size in billion U.S. dollars 10.2 10 8 6.2 6 4 3.4 2.1 2 1.6 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Note: China; 2015 to 2018. Source(s): CMN; CISTP; Statista estimates 31
Projected increase of GDP due to artificial intelligence by industry sector in China in 2030 Impact of artificial intelligence on GDP in China as share of GDP 2030 Productivity Consumption GDP increase 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Health, education and other public and personal services 23% 22.5% Consumer goods, accomodation and food services 14.5% 14% Technology, media and telecommunications 13.5% 12.5% Financial and professional services 14% 11.5% Manufacturing and construction 12% 11.5% Energy, utilities and mining 11% 10.5% Transport and logistics 8.5% 8.5% Note: China; 2018 Source(s): PwC; Statista estimates 32
Number of newly founded artificial intelligence companies in China from 2000 to 2017 Number of AI start-ups in China 2000-2017 250 The average age of artificial intelligence 228 enterprises in China is 5.5 years. 75 percent of AI companies in China are located in Beijing, Shanghai and 200 192 Guangdong. Number of companies 150 128 98 100 62 57 50 30 30 20 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: China; 2000 to 2017 Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates; CISTP 33
Highest valued artificial intelligence companies in China in 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars) Artificial intelligence unicorn companies in China by value 2018 Estimated worth in billion U.S. dollars 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 DJI 15 UBTech 5 SenseTime 4.5 Cambrion 2.5 Cloudwalk 2 YITU 2 Face++ 2 Horizon Robotics 1.5 iCarbonX 1 Pony.ai 1 Unisound 1 Tongdun 1 Mobvoi 1 Orbbec 1 Note: China; 2018 Source(s): CMN 34
03 Investment & Funding ▪ Venture capital & funding ▪ Major deals
Investment in AI is at an all-time high Artificial intelligence has, once again, entered an exciting period - with hopes for breakthrough “AI is the new electricity. I developments and products. We are in what has been termed an “AI spring”, as investments can hardly imagine an and funding into artificial intelligence have grown strongly over the past few years. For example, industry which is not going the growth in global funding of AI startups amounted to more than 460 percent from 2012 to to be transformed by AI. A 2017. Furthermore, the overall artificial intelligence market is forecast to grow annually by more clear path to an AI-powered than 100 percent each year up to 2025. society includes wide In 2017, AI investment and financing reached almost 40 billion U.S. dollars globally - up from adoption of AI to drive around 31 billion U.S. dollars the year before. Almost 70 percent of investments went to China, industrial and technological as the country is making a strong push to reach its goal of becoming the world‘s leader in AI. endeavors.” Globally, the majority of investment and funding goes into all purpose AI companies that are not Andrew Ng – Co-Chairman focused on a specific industry or product. Startups are a huge part of the artificial intelligence & Co-Founder of Coursera; ecosystem, as funding of AI startups amounted to more than 15 billion U.S. dollars in 2017. Former Chief Scientist at Trends show that an increasing number of startups are moving to more mature funding phases. Baidu Only around a quarter of investment and funding projects in the first quarter of 2018 were in the seed/angel phase compared to more than 40 percent in the previous year. Full year data for 2018 will highlight if this trend solidifies itself. 36
Growth of the artificial intelligence market worldwide from 2017 to 2025 Artificial intelligence market growth worldwide 2017-2025 160% 154% 150% 152% 151% 146% 143% 140% 140% 133% 127% 120% Year-on-year growth 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Note: Worldwide; 2016 to 2017 Source(s): Tractica 37
Global artificial intelligence investment and financing from 2013 to Q1 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars) AI investment and financing worldwide 2013-2018 45 Available data for the first quarter of 2018 points towards AI investments 40 39.2 leveling off at 2017 values. Global AI investments in the first quarter of 2018 were at about a quarter of total 2017 35 spending. 31.3 AI startup funding is also on pace to 30 Funding in billion U.S. dollars 28 match, but not strongly exceed, 2017 levels. 25 20 15 13.2 10.1 10 4.5 5 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Note: Worldwide; 2013 to Q1 2018 Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates 38
Artificial intelligence startup funding worldwide from 2011 to 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars) AI funding worldwide 2011-2018, by quarter Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 16 14 12 Funding in billion U.S. dollars 10 8 6 4 2 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Note: Worldwide; 2011 to Q3 2018. Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates 39
Share of global artificial intelligence investment and financing projects from 2013 to Q1 2018, by stage of funding Distribution of AI investment and financing projects 2013-2018, by stage of funding Seed/Angel Series A Series B Series C Series D Series E Series F Other series 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Share of projects 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Note: Worldwide; 2013 to Q1 2018 Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates 40
Share of artificial intelligence startup funding count (deals) worldwide from 2012 to 2017, by stage of funding AI funding count share worldwide 2012-2017, by stage of funding Seed A B C D Late stage 100% 90% 80% 70% Share of funding count 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: Worldwide; 2012 to 2017 Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates 41
Share of artificial intelligence funding amounts worldwide from 2012 to 2017, by stage of funding AI funding amount share worldwide 2012-2017, by stage of funding Seed A B C D Late stage 100.0% 2.5% 4% 6.5% 9.5% 13.5% 7% 15.5% 20.5% 2.5% 29.5% 90.0% 18% 8% 21% 80.0% 20.5% 26% 25% 70.0% 31.5% Share of funding amounts 28.5% 60.0% 31.5% 23.5% 40% 50.0% 29.5% 40.0% 28.5% 27.5% 29.5% 30.0% 22% 20.0% 19% 15% 10.0% 12.5% 11% 11.5% 8% 3.5% 0.0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: Worldwide; 2012 to 2017 Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates 42
Number of newly founded artificial intelligence companies worldwide from 2000 to 2017 Number of AI start-ups worldwide 2000-2017 900 845 800 740 700 650 600 Number of companies 500 450 400 385 320 300 245 200 180 130 100 100 85 60 65 45 50 35 35 30 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 July 2018 Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2017 Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates 43
Number of artificial intelligence startup company acquisitions worldwide 2013-2017 Acquisitions of AI startup companies worldwide 2013-2017 140 The growth of investment in AI over the past few years has led to more acquisitions of startups as well. 120 115 Intel is one of the most active investors in AI with more than one billion USD invested in AI startups through its Intel 100 Capital division. Number of acquisitions 80 80 60 45 39 40 22 20 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: Worldwide; 2013 to 2017 Source(s): CB Insights 44
Number of artificial intelligence investments by investor as of November 2018 Number of AI investments by investor as of November 2018 Number of investments 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Intel Capital 50 500 Startups 45 NEA 34 Battery Ventures 29 Y Combinator 28 Madrona Venture Group 25 Horizon Ventures 22 Accel 22 Bloomberg Beta 22 Data Collective 21 Techstars 21 First Round Capital 21 Sequoia Capital 21 Kima Ventures 21 vesna 20 Note: Worldwide; as of November 2018 Source(s): Website (index.co) 45
Artificial intelligence funding worldwide cumulative through September 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars), by category AI funding worldwide cumulative through September 2018, by category Funding in billion U.S. dollars 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Machine learning applications 19.5 Machine learning platforms 9.4 Computer vision platforms 6.5 Smart robots 5.4 Recommendation engines 4 NLP 3.1 Computer vision applications 3 Virtual assistants 2.5 Speech recognition 2 Gesture control 0.8 Video recognition 0.4 Note: Worldwide; Cumulative through September 2018 Source(s): Venture Scanner; Statista estimates 46
Share of global artificial intelligence investment and financing projects from 2013 to Q1 2018, by category Distribution of AI investment and financing projects worldwide 2013-2018, by category Share of total number 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% AI+ 53% Computer Vision 11% Big Data & Data Services 10% Smart Robot 8% Natural Language Processing 6% Autonomous Vehicles 4% Speech 4% Basic Hardware 3% Unmanned Aerial Vehicle 2% Augmented & Virtual Reality 1% Note: Worldwide; 2013 to Q1 2018 Source(s): CAICT 47
04 Leading Companies ▪ Investments ▪ Patents & papers
US companies heavy hitters in AI with China catching up Artificial intelligence is not limited in its possibilities of use, meaning companies from all spheres “If the internet was the are engaged in the market. Naturally, major players from the tech industry are leading the way; appetizer, then AI is the having already invested billions of dollars into research, development and the artificial main course. The internet intelligence ecosystem overall. Amongst these are well-known US-based internet and tech giants changed a lot of our daily like Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple, Intel, IBM and Microsoft. lives, but did not have Google is at the forefront of AI investment and development. Over the past two decades the much impact on the 2B company has invested billions of dollars in AI R&D and the acquisition of startups in the industry. industries. I think AI will Most notably they acquired Deepmind, which Google bought for 500 million U.S. dollars in 2014. change that.” Using AI patents and published papers on AI topics as an indicator for innovation and “AI readiness” of companies Microsoft, IBM and Samsung consistently show up in the Top-5 of such Robin Li Yanhong – CEO rankings. of Baidu Chinese companies like Tencent, Baidu and Alibaba are rapidly closing in on the leading US- based tech giants though as some of the best-funded AI startups are also located in China. Toutiao, Bytedance, SenseTime and NIO have each raised more than 2.5 billion U.S. dollars in funding. Today there are more than ten unicorn AI companies in China with a value of one billion U.S. dollars or more each. The state-owned electricity utility company State Grid Corporation of China also has a strong presence in the market as it leads all companies in China in terms of patents and paper publications. 49
Artificial intelligence startup acquisitions spending of tech companies from 1998 to 2017 (in million U.S. dollars) Technology companies by AI startup acquisitions spending 1998-2017 Acquisition spending in billion U.S. dollars 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 Some of the major tech companies are using a two-part approach to AI by Google 3,900 investing into their own AI research and development departments but also Amazon 871 investing in and acquiring startups from the AI ecosystem. Apple 786 The acquisition of AI startups provides the companies with potential products Intel 776 and use cases. However, more importantly they are able to acquire AI Microsoft 690 professionals and experts which are in high demand all over the world. Uber 680 Twitter 629 AOL 191.7 Facebook 60 Salesforce 32.8 Note: Worldwide; January 2018 Source(s): Website (techrepublic.com) 50
Number of artificial intelligence startups acquired from 2010 to June 2018, by company AI startup acquisitions by company 2010-2018 Number of acqusitions 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Alphabet/Google 14 Apple 13 Facebook 6 Amazon 5 Intel 5 Microsoft 5 Meltwater 5 Twitter 4 Salesforce 4 Note: Worldwide; 2010 to June 2018 Source(s): Fortune; CB Insights 51
Artificial intelligence patent applications of leading technology companies from 1999 to 2017 Global AI-related patent applications by company 1999-2017 AI patent applications 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 Some of the major players in the tech industry are leading the charge in AI Microsoft 4,167 foundation work and innovation, as companies like IBM, Microsoft, Google and IBM 3,360 Samsung have applied for the most patents and published the majority of Google 2,650 papers on AI topics over the past 10 to 20 years. Samsung 2,404 Quantity in AI papers and patents are indicative of these companies being in the AT&T 1,413 lead today but this does not necessarily mean that they are the ones to cash in first Baidu 1,246 or that they will be at the forefront in five years, as more money than ever is State Grid 1,167 invested in AI research especially in China. Toshiba 1,149 Fujitsu 1,132 NEC 930 Note: Worldwide; 1999 to 2017 Source(s): CAICT; Statista estimates 52
Number of published artificial intelligence patents in DWPI database by company worldwide from 1997 to 2017 AI patents published in DWPI database worldwide 1997-2017, by company Number of patents 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 IBM 7,276 Microsoft 5,356 Samsung Electronics 5,255 State Grid Corporation of China 3,794 Canon 3,569 Sony 3,090 NEC Corporation 2,932 Fujitsu Limited 2,868 Google 2,757 Mitsubishi Electric 2,716 Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017 Source(s): CISTP 53
Number of artificial intelligence patents granted by company worldwide from 2000 to 2016 Artificial intelligence patents granted by company 2000-2016 Number of patents granted 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 IBM (US) 1,057 Microsoft (US) 466 Qualcomm (US) 450 NEC (Japan) 255 Sony (Japan) 212 Google (US) 195 Siemens (Germany) 192 Fujitsu (Japan) 154 Samsung (Korea) 119 NTT (Japan) 94 Hewlett- Packard (US) 93 Yahoo (US) 88 Toshiba (Japan) 86 D-wave (Canada) 77 Hitachi (Japan) 69 Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2016 Source(s): RIETI 54
Number of papers published in the field of artificial intelligence worldwide from 1997 to 2017, by company AI-related paper publications worldwide 1997-2017, by enterprise Number of publications 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 IBM 5,105 Microsoft 4,710 Siemens AG 2,825 Samsung 1,548 Google 1,383 Intel 1,324 Philips 1,229 Microsof Research Asia 1,181 General Electric 1,168 Siemens 1,136 NEC Corporation 957 Philips Research 923 Nokia 869 State Grid Corporation of China 841 Honda 816 Note: Worldwide; 1997 to 2017 Source(s): CISTP 55
Artificial intelligence startups ranked by total equity funding as of November 2018 (in million U.S. dollars) Ranking of most well-funded AI startup companies worldwide as of November 2018 Total funding in million U.S. dollars 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Some of the best funded companies in Toutiao (China), 2012 3,100 artificial intelligence today are located in ByteDance (China), 2012 3,000 China. SenseTime (China), 2014 2,600 With a high number of AI companies and enterprises in the United States, funding NIO (China), 2014 2,500 and investment money is more spread out Argo AI (United States), 2017 1,000 when compared to China. The majority of AI funding in China is more concentrated Dataminr (United States), 2009 968.6 with fewer but bigger companies, UBTech Robotics (China), 2012 940 indicative of a more concentrated market Zoox (United States), 2014 790 space. Tanium (United States), 2007 782.8 Affirm (United States), 2012 720 Indigo (United States), 2014 609 Megvii Technology (China), 2011 607 OakNorth (United Kingdom), 2013 601 CloudWalk Technology (China), 2015 546 Kreditech (Germany), 2012 497.3 Note: Worldwide; as of November 2018 Source(s): CB Insights; Statista; CrunchBase; various sources 56
Highest valued artificial intelligence companies in China in 2018 (in billion U.S. dollars) Artificial intelligence unicorn companies in China 2018, by value Estimated worth in billion U.S. dollars 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 DJI 15 UBTech 5 SenseTime 4.5 Cambrion 2.5 Cloudwalk 2 YITU 2 Face++ 2 Horizon Robotics 1.5 iCarbonX 1 Pony.ai 1 Unisound 1 Tongdun 1 Mobvoi 1 Orbbec 1 Note: China; 2018 Source(s): CMN 57
05 AI Technologies & Enablers ▪ AI types & categories ▪ AI frameworks ▪ Computing & semiconductors
Artificial intelligence technologies – a wide field of opportunites & categories Artificial intelligence mainly functions as an umbrella term for different technologies and concepts. One subset of AI that has been one of the main focus areas of AI research and investment over the past ten years is machine learning. Pattern recognition – a subfield of machine learning, natural language processing, learning systems, and neural networks, to name a few, have attracted tenth of billions in funding money over the past ten years. Further development of AI not only hinges on investments and research in the field itself but also on various adjacent hardware, software and service technologies. Deep learning artificial intelligence systems, for example, need huge amounts of data and sufficient computing power to improve through reinforcement learning. In 2016, Google Deepmind‘s AlphaGo used 1,202 CPUs and 176 GPUs in computing power when it beat world champion Lee Sedol in the Chinese board game of Go. Example systems and products: • Availability of / access to large sets of data for AI systems to learn from (big data) • Semiconductors / computer chips (CPU, GPU, VPU, SPU & AI chips) & sensors • Computing power & AI frameworks (environments) • 5G mobile network (low latency in autonomous driving) 59
External investment in artificial intelligence-focused companies worldwide in 2016, by technology category (in billion U.S. dollars) External investment in AI-focused companies worldwide 2016, by category High end Low end External investment in billion U.S. dollars What actually is…? 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Computer vision is an interdisciplinary 7 field of computer science dealing with Machine learning 5 enabling computers to see, identify and process images. It aims at giving 3.5 computers a high level of Computer vision 2.5 understanding of these images similar to humans. 0.9 Natural language Natural language processing (NLP) 0.6 is a subfield of AI that helps computers understand, interpret and manipulate 0.5 Autonomous vehicles human language. It combines 0.3 linguistics with computer science to identify and understand spoken 0.5 language as well as text based Smart robotics 0.3 language. 0.2 Virtual agents 0.1 Note: Worldwide; 2016 Source(s): McKinsey; PitchBook; Dealogic; S&P Capital IQ 60
Number of artificial intelligence publications worldwide from 2007 to 2017, by topic AI-related publications worldwide 2007-2017, by topic Number of publications 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 What actually is…? Pattern recognition 63,666 Pattern recognition is a branch of machine Learning systems 53,539 learning (supervised/unsupervised) that is Machine learning 29,941 used to recognize patterns and regularities in data sets. It makes use of computer Neural networks 26,470 algorithms to discover these regularities and Natural language processing systems 23,486 then classifies the data into different Learning algorithms 22,626 categories. Pattern recognition is the basis for computer-aided diagnosis systems in Data mining 20,089 medical science. Other applications include Feature extraction 19,709 speech recognition, image recognition and classification of text into categories. Semantics 18,529 Image processing 16,649 Artificial neural networks (ANN) is an AI technique that mimics or tries to replicate Pattern recognition, automated 15,848 the workings of the human brain. It is one of Pattern recognition, visual 14,629 the main concepts/frameworks used for Non-human 13,855 machine and deep learning. Developed neural networks can extract meaning from Decision support systems 13,580 complicated data and detect trends and Decision making 13,430 patterns too complex for humans to identify. Note: Worldwide; 2007 to 2017 Source(s): IP Pragmatics 61
Share of global artificial intelligence enterprises in 2018, by category Distribution of AI enterprises worldwide 2018, by category Share of total number 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Artificial intelligence companies are AI+ - specific industry verticals 49% almost evenly split amongst ones that focus on one specific industry vertical, Big Data & Data Services 12% such as business intelligence and healthcare, and those that are focused on a specific type of horizontal AI Computer Vision 11% application. Smart Robot 8% Natural Language Processing 7% Basic Hardware 5% Speech 4% Autonomous Vehicles 3% Unmanned Aerial Vehicle 1% Augmented & Virtual Reality 1% Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): CAICT 62
Artificial intelligence hardware market share worldwide in 2017, 2020 and 2023, by product AI hardware market share by product worldwide 2017-2023 Sound processor Embedded sound processing unit Vision processor Embedded vision processing unit 100% 96% 43% 38% 90% 80% 70% 60% 15% Market share 7% 50% 4% 46% 6% 40% 41% 30% 20% 10% 4% 0% 2017 2020 2023 Note: Worldwide; 2017 Source(s): Yole Développement 63
Semiconductor sales revenue worldwide from 1987 to 2019 (in billion U.S. dollars) Semiconductor industry sales worldwide 1987-2019 500 450 400 350 Sales in billion U.S. Dollars 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Note: Worldwide; 1987 to 2017 Source(s): WSTS; SIA 64
Semiconductor unit shipments worldwide from 2000 to 2018 (in billions) Semiconductor unit shipments worldwide 2000-2018 1,200 1,075.1 986.2 1,000 868.8 815.3 800 Unit shipments in billions 705.6 623.7 600 556.2 467.1 397.4 400 200 0 2000 2004 2006 2007 2010 2014 2016 2017 2018 Note: Worldwide; 2000 to 2018 Source(s): IC Insights 65
Estimated size of the artificial intelligence semiconductor market in the United States from 2017 to 2022 (in billion U.S. dollars) AI semiconductor industry revenue in the U.S. 2017-2022 35 The global market for AI specific chips is forecast to increase from 33 4.52 billion USD in 2017 to more than 90 billion USD by 2025. Major semiconductor manufacturers as well as a variety of startups are 30 currently developing chips specifically for AI purposes. CPUs (Central Processing Unit) are chips used for general 26 computing purposes. 25 GPUs (Graphic Processing Unit) are programmable chip Revenue in billion U.S. dollars processors originally designed for display functions (images, videos, animations). They have been adopted for use in AI as they can 20 19 perform parallel operations on multiple sets of data. FPGA (Field Programmable Gate Arrays) is a semiconductor chip that can be configured and programmed by the user. FPGAs are 15 good at processing small-scale but intensive data. 12 ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) chips are built for a 10 specific purpose or application. They are tailored towards that one specific use but cannot be customized after production. 6 NPU (Neuromorphic Processing Unit) are a type of newly 5 developed chip category mimicking the architecture of the human 3 brain. These type of chips are still in the early stages of development. 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Note: United States; 2016 to 2018 Source(s): SIA 66
Optoelectronics / optical semiconductor revenue worldwide from 2008 to 2019 (in billion U.S. dollars) Global optical semiconductors market revenue 2008-2019 40 38.02 35.99 34.81 35 33.26 31.99 29.87 30 27.57 26.2 Sales in billon U.S. dollars 25 23.09 21.7 20 17.9 17.04 15 10 5 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Note: Worldwide; 2008 to 2017 Source(s): WSTS 67
CMOS image sensors sales revenue worldwide from 2007 to 2022 (in billion U.S. dollars) CMOS image sensor sales worldwide 2007-2022 20 CMOS image sensors are projected to become one of the most 19 important means to acquire image data for artificial intelligence 18 17.4 applications. They could be considered the eye of artificial intelligence bringing vision to these systems. 16.1 16 15.2 Today there are two main technologies in use for CMOS image sensors: 13.7 Sales revenue in billion U.S. dollars 14 FSI (front side illuminated) – limited in the fields of use compared 12.5 to BSI because the pixel size is reduced with higher resolutions. 12 The manufacturing process of FSI sensors is more simple, lower in 10.5 cost and has a higher yield compared to BSI. 9.9 10 BSI (back side illuminated) – more mature/advanced technology 8.9 than FSI. Solution for applications in need of high resolution with 8 7.4 limited optical and pixel size. BSI sensors have a high sensitivity 7.1 and a strong low-light performance. Exemplary fields of application 5.9 are surveillance, factory automation and smartphones. 6 4.5 4.5 4 3.9 4 2 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): IC Insights; Statista estimates 68
Worldwide revenue of the supercomputer market from 2015 to 2017 (in billion U.S. dollars) Supercomputer revenue worldwide 2015-2017 5 4.8 4.5 4.1 4 3.5 3.3 Revenue in billion U.S. dollars 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2015 2016 2017 Note: Worldwide; 2015 to 2017 Source(s): Hyperion Research 69
Deep learning artificial intelligence framework power scores 2018 Ranking of artificial intelligence deep learning frameworks 2018 Power score 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Deep learning uses neural networks and TensorFlow 96.77 large data sets (big data). The concept is in many aspects inspired by the human Keras 51.55 brain. Based on existing information and the neural network, the system is capable PyTorch 22.72 of connecting what it has already learned with new content and information to Caffe 17.15 continuously learn more. As a result, the system has the ability to make predictions Theano 12.02 and decisions. Software frameworks are platforms for MXNET 8.37 developing software applications. They CNTK provide generic functionalities that can be 4.89 selectively changed by additional user- DeepLearning4J 3.65 written code. Caffe2 2.71 Chainer 1.18 FastAI 1.06 Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): Website (Towards Data Science) 70
Artificial Intelligence frameworks by number of commits and contributors on GitHub as of November 2018 Popularity/usage of artificial intelligence frameworks worldwide 2018 Commits Contributors Number of commits/contributors Google’s open source TensorFlow AI 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 framework/library has become the 43,768 most used and popular one since its TensorFlow 1,723 initial release in November 2015. Theano 28,052 330 DeepLearning4J 26,623 237 Chainer 16,675 192 Microsoft Cognitive Toolkit (CNTK) 15,994 189 PyTorch 14,709 838 Apache MXNet 8,846 641 Keras 4,907 748 Caffe 4,152 270 Torch 1,336 132 Note: Worldwide; as of November 16, 2018 Source(s): GitHub 71
Forecast number of mobile 5G subscriptions worldwide from 2019 to 2022 (in millions) Forecast number of 5G mobile subscriptions worldwide 2019-2022 450 400 400 350 300 Subscriptions in millions 250 200 150 100 84 50 11 0.42 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 Note: Worldwide; December 2017 Source(s): 5G Americas 72
06 Applications & Industry Impact ▪ Major use cases ▪ Industry & sector impact
Where will artificial intelligence impact be felt first? Artificial intelligence is set to impact every industry and many aspects of everyday life in the future. “Whenever I hear people There are still many milestones to be reached to achieve full AI maturity and “strong AI“. However, saying AI is going to hurt some fields such as virtual digital assistants and chatbots are already making an impact. people in the future I think, Amazon Alexa, Google Assistant, Apple’s Siri and Microsoft Cortana are well-known examples of yeah, technology can generally virtual digital assistants (VDA) making use of AI technology. These VDAs answer questions, always be used for good and provide news and weather updates and let the user control other devices in their home. bad and you need to be careful about how you build it … if All major automotive manufacturers are now developing self-driving autonomous vehicles and plan you’re arguing against AI then to release partly, if not fully, automated cars to the market in the mid-2020s. you’re arguing against safer In e-commerce and retail, artificial intelligence can help companies with warehouse automation, cars that aren’t going to have identifying target groups for their products and predicting sales more accurately. accidents, and you’re arguing against being able to better In healthcare, the use cases for artificial intelligence are manifold as well. Medical imaging, cancer diagnose people when they’re detection, diagnostic scans, robot-assisted surgery, health monitoring, drug discovery and virtual sick.” nursing assistants. - Mark Zuckerberg – Facebook CEO 74
Share of artificial intelligence startups worldwide in 2018, by industry Share of AI startups by industry 2018 Share of startups 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% More than 60 percent of AI startups General/Cross-Sectoral (B2B services) 25% are applying to major functions in Communication (B2B services) 14% cross-cutting sectors (communications, marketing, HR, Sales/Marketing (B2B services) 12% security, e-commerce, legal, etc.) and Healthcare/BioTech 9% are therefore considered B2B services. Other 7% Defense/Security (B2B services) 6% FinTech 6% Human Resources (B2B services) 3% Entertainment 3% Transportation 3% Education 2% Travel 1% Other (B2B services) 1% Energy 1% Automotive 1% Note: Worldwide; 2018 Source(s): Roland Berger 75
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