Company presentation and investment story - Avanza Investor ...
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Overview Sweden’s leading platform for savings and investments SEK 688 bn in savings 1,471,900 No. 1 long-term target to have the capital most satisfied savings customers in Sweden – won for the last 11 consecutive years customers 526 market share of the employees and eNPS of 69 5.8% Swedish savings market 3
Overview Over 60 000 investment opportunities, together with decision-making tools, inspiration and education Securities Mortgages and trading Retirement plans margin lending Mutual funds Savings accounts 4
Overview We focus on decision-making tools for our customers o The Avanza Academy o The Avanza blog, podcasts and Avanza Play o Auto funds o Portfolio generator o Stock generator o Independent news site Placera 5
Overview Capital light, fee-based business model 2020 % of income Net brokerage income 47 o Mainly fixed costs, ~70% staff related Fund commissions 18 o High scalability Net interest income 12 o Self-financed through shareholders’ equity and customer deposits Other income 1) 23 Total 100 1) Mainly currency-related income, but also income from Avanza Markets, Corporate Finance, compensation for distribution, advertising sales, subscriptions and customer’s ad-on services. 6
Overview Business model built on scale 160 700 000 142 Savings capital, SEK m 140 600 000 120 500 000 Basis points 100 400 000 73 80 63 300 000 60 200 000 40 20 100 000 13 0 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 3m Savings capital Income/savings capital Cost/savings capital 7
Overview A typical Avanza development team, where business and IT go hand in hand Product QA specialist Front-end o Full expertise for their respective domain o Innovation, business development and maintenance UX Front-end are done within each team o They define their own mission and sets their own Product owner goals, linked with the overall vision and targets Designer Back-end Back-end 9
Overview We innovate together “Feedback Buddy” Our feedback system keeps with our customers our development teams close to the customers. Customers can sign up as test users to early releases of new functionality and provide feedback. We meet with hundreds of customers for interviews and user tests each year. And get, tens of thousands of twitter feedback, app reviews and customer service messages, which Beta experience are also a vital part of the development feedback Customers can sign up for to the teams. beta functionality inside the app. This is an example of a beta experience for goal savings functionality.
Overview User experience, information and tools increasingly important NPS 67 Daily active users 500,000 11
Overview Our superior customer experience, also makes us the perfect partner for product challengers Mutual fund platform Mortgages Over 1,300 external funds Our partners deliver low Exchange traded products on the platform and Third party savings exclusive cooperations for interest mortgages through Exclusive exchange traded High yielding savings our interface. actively managed funds. products with 0 brokerage accounts with a number of fees partner banks. 12
13 New customers Overview 60 000 20 000 40 000 80 000 0 100 000 120 000 140 000 160 000 180 000 Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Customer inflow Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Customer growth drives net inflow Q1-18 Net inflow Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 0 5 000 30 000 35 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 Net inflow, SEK m
Position Market share of 19.0% rolling 12M of net savings on the Swedish savings market 30% Swedish savings market Net inflow Net inflow, R12 m 25% Avanza market share, % 20% Target 2025 to 19.4% reach at least 19.0% 15% R12 m 15% 10% Target 2025 to reach nearly 7% 5.8% 5% 1.9% 0% Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 14
Position Significant growth potential with a 5.8% market share of the Swedish savings market Capital on the savings market SEK 3,573 bn 1) Avanza's share SEK 2,231 bn o The Swedish savings market SEK 9,894 bn o Annual market growth of on SEK 1,510 bn SEK 1,419 bn average 8% last ten years SEK 1,162 bn o An estimated 80% of the Swedish population saves in funds and around 20% own shares 10.3% 1.0% 6.4% 1.0% 3.0% 17.7% Individual pensions & Occupational pensions & Deposits/savings accounts Mutual funds Shares, bonds and other insurances insurances securities 1) The occupational pension market can be divided into traditional life and unit-linked insurance. Unit linked amounts for about a third, of which 15 Avanza is active in the portion outside collectively agreed occupational pensions, which is valued at nearly SEK 820 billion.
Position The largest Swedish participant in stock market transactions and turnover on Nasdaq OMX and First North o Market share of 20.7% in terms of transactions and 9.2% of turnover in Q1 2021 Transactions Turnover 25 10 9 20 8 7 15 6 Market share, % 5 10 4 3 5 2 1 0 0 Q2-17 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Q3-15 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Q4-17 Q1-18 Q2-18 Q3-18 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Avanza Nordea Swedbank SEB SHB Carnegie Nordnet Skandiabanken
Position Age distribution among new customers Market penetration 4,0 o Total share of Swedish population: 11.5% as of 3,5 1 November 2020 o ages 20-29: 20.8% 3,0 o ages 30-39: 22.1% 2020 o ages 40-49: 16.5% Share, % 2,5 2012 2007 o Highest penetration in urban 2,0 areas. Stockholm region, snapshot (Women/Men) as of 1 November 2020: 1,5 o ages 20-29: 21%/31% o ages 30-39: 24%/34% 1,0 o ages 40-49: 18%/27% o ages 50-59: 15%/20% 0,5 o ages 60-69: 11%/15% 0,0 42 87 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 90 93 96 99 Age 17
Growth drivers Potential in both existing and new customers o Increasing share of wallet in existing customer base o Continue to attract young people and keep them happy as wealth grow by age o The broad offering makes us relevant for a larger group of people o Digital onboarding with BankID has removed friction to move o Increasing digitisation and Open Banking functionality creates more awareness, simplifies self-directed financial management o More reasons for customers to take responsibility for their own savings as public pension and welfare systems are covering fewer needs o Growing focus on sustainable investments o TINA in current low interest rate environment
Growth potential Savings capital grow by age 4,0% 1,6 3,5% 1,4 Savings capital, SEK m 3,0% 1,2 Customers, % 2,5% 1,0 2,0% 0,8 1,5% 0,6 1,0% 0,4 0,5% 0,2 0,0% 0,0 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 Age Savings capital by age Total customer base 19
20 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 3,0% 3,5% 1,5% 2,0% 2,5% 18 years Growth potential 21 years 24 years 27 years 30 years 33 years 36 years next generation 39 years Avanza 38 Median age 42 years 45 years 48 years Sweden 48 Median age 51 years 54 years Sweden 57 years 60 years 63 years Avanza 66 years 69 years Age distribution Swedish population and Avanza’s customers 72 years 75 years 78 years 81 years 84 years 87 years 90 years 93 years 96 years Strong potential when wealth is transferred to the 99 years
Growth potential One of the fastest growing pension companies in Sweden o Competitiveness with no annual insurance fees and broad investment opportunities o The strong offer an advantage when the transfer right is improved to the benefit of 1.0 % the consumer 45 000 40 000 Savings capital, SEK m 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 Swedish pension market SEK 3,573 billion1) 5 000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1 1) The occupational pension market can be divided into traditional life and unit-linked insurance. Unit linked amounts for about a third, of which Avanza is 21 active in the portion outside collectively agreed occupational pensions, which is valued at nearly SEK 820 billion.
Growth potential Enable customers to apply for mortgages from various external lenders o Important part of customers economy o Frees up savings capital with other banks 0.6 % 30 000 25 000 Volume, SEK m 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 Swedish mortgage market 0 SEK 3 641 billion 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q1 Avanza Private Banking mortgages External mortgages 22
Growth potential We are prepared to capture new opportunities in the world of tech… Mortgages are Credit transfers Payment accounts can be signed digitally. between banks are aggregated, and payments made in real-time. initiated, by any interface. Customers have the Pension accounts can Data from all financial products right to data portability. finally be transferred can be easily shared with third cheaply parties by customer consent. 23
To summarise Customer satisfaction and employee engagement create shareholder value over time Long-term targets Customer proposition o Customer satisfaction & Employee engagement o Cheaper, better and simpler offering o Growth in customers and savings capital o High user experience o Profitability and effective management of the o Broad range of product balance sheet o Information, education and decision-making tools Business model Growth potential o More stable revenues through funds and mortgages o Strong potential in existing customer base o High scalability o Young customers a potential when wealth is transferred o Cost control vital (top modern IT platform) o Public pension and welfare systems are covering fewer needs
To summarise Employee engagement a key success factor for Avanza Long-term targets Continuous growth o Customer satisfaction – keep the No 1 position o Continuous growth in both number of customers and volume o Create possibilities for continued strong innovation Customer satisfaction Strong innovation 25
Appendix Operations 27 Financials 28-33 Balance sheet data 34-35 Contact details 36 26
Targets and fulfillment 2020 Long-term targets Outcome 2020 Comments Sweden’s most satisfied savers according to the √ Achieved in 2020 for the eleventh consecutive year Swedish Quality Index Engaged employees, eNPS of at least 45, raised to at 69 Record-strong ambassadorship least 50 Market share of least 15 per cent R 12M of the total net inflow to the Swedish savings 19% Almost every fifth savings krona ends up on the Avanza platform market 2025 Market share of 7% 2025 5.8% Well on track to achieve the target Return on equity of 25-30% 57% Ensures focus on profitability and effective management of the balance sheet The dividend for 2020 was SEK 0.85 per share, in line with the FSA's recommendation Dividend of at least 70% 10% due to the Covid-19 pandemic. The assessment is, there is still room to distribute more Increased share of capital in sustainable √ A lot of improvements done during the year to make it easier to save sustainably investments Be regarded as the leading sustainable brand and √ Regarded as the financial company in Sweden with the highest reputation (Kantar Sifo) the natural choice for sustainable savings Increase share of new female customers to 50% 39% Not achieved despite record high number on new female customers Organisation with parity between women and men 47% Measured in Group Management and among employees with personnel responsibility The year’s emissions amounted to 263 tonnes CO2e and climate offsets for the total Become climate positive √ emissions was purchased 27
Financial overview Q1 21 Q4 20 ∆% Q1 20 ∆% 2020 2019 ∆% Operating income, SEK m 957 706 36 542 77 2,349 1,193 97 Operating expenses, SEK m -202 -221 -8 -179 13 -763 -666 15 Operating profit, SEK m 756 486 56 361 109 1,576 520 203 Operating margin, % 79 69 10 67 12 67 44 24 Income to savings capital ratio, % 0.63 0.52 0.10 0.56 0.07 0.51 0.34 0.17 Costs to savings capital ratio, % 0.13 0.16 -0.03 0.18 -0.05 0.17 0.19 -0.02 ROE, % 74 58 16 64 9 57 27 30 EPS, SEK 4.08 2.70 51 1.98 106 8.66 2.94 195 28
Long-term revenue development 3 000 2 500 2 286 2 000 Revenue, SEK m 1 500 1 193 975 1 049 1 000 909 500 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total income Income from sales of shares in Stabelo Net brokerage income Income from mutual funds Net interest income Other income 29
Income split 3M 2021 SEK m % of income Shares, bonds, options 439 46 (transactions) Mutual funds 150 16 1) Net interest income 76 8 2) Other 291 30 Total 957 100 1) Based on deposits. 2) Mainly currency-related income, but also income from Avanza Markets, Corporate Finance, compensation for distribution, advertising sales, subscriptions and customer’s ad-on services. 30
Annual cost development 800 734 700 657 600 594 535 Operating expenses, SEK m 500 443 400 300 200 100 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total expenses Non-reccuring items Personnel Marketing Depreciation Other expenses 31
Costs 3M 2021 SEK m % of total costs Personnel -137 68 IT systems and licenses -23 12 External services -19 9 Marketing -9 5 Depreciation -17 8 Other1) 3 -1 Total costs before credit losses -202 100 Credit losses, net2) 1 1) Including one-off reversed write-down of SEK 10 million. 2) Reported credit losses are attributable to calculations of expected credit losses according to IFRS9. 32
Operating margin at extreme levels 1 800 100 1 576 90 1 600 1 400 80 Operating profit, SEK m Operating margin, % 70 1 200 60 1 000 50 800 40 600 520 465 441 30 418 400 20 200 10 0 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Operating profit Operating margin 33
Balance sheet, 31 March 2021 Assets SEK m Liabilities & equity SEK m Comments Lending to credit 6,547 Deposits 48,765 o Mainly self-financed through institutions1) shareholders’ equity and customer deposits Lending to the public 18,327 Liabilities in insurance 179,688 operations o Surplus-liquidity of SEK 33,213m invested in covered bonds, at Bonds 25,087 Other liabilities 1,900 the Riksbank and O/N (including SEK 1,579m deposits in client Assets in insurance 179,686 Shareholders’ equity 3,670 fund accounts) operations o The value of the insurance Other assets 4,376 liabilities tracks the value of the insurance assets since the Total assets 234,022 Total liabilities and 234,022 policyholders bear the direct shareholders’ equity investment risk. No products with guaranteed return is offered 1) Including balances at central banks and treasury bills eligible for refinancing. 34
Strong capital position with additional distribution power after dividend pay-out 31 March 31 December 2021 2020 Total capital requirement, %1) 13.4 13.5 Capital requirement buffer, % 10.5 10.9 Total capital ratio, % 23.9 24.4 Leverage ratio,%2) 4.3 4.9 Additional distribution power for 2020, 2.95 SEK/share, SEK m 457 1) Including external buffers and Pillar 2 requirements. 2) Requirement of 3%, as of June 2021. Q1 results not included. 35
Updated 4 May 2021 Historical financial key data 2001 – Q1 2021 is available in Excel at: avanza.se/keydata sofia.svavar@avanza.se +46 8-409 420 17 36
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