COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT - ISSUE #026 2021 - Lehigh Valley ...
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One of the core principles of the Lehigh Valley Economic Development Corporation (LVEDC) is to serve as the leading source of economic data and market intelligence on Lehigh Valley’s economic assets and resources to serve our economic strategies, marketing efforts, and the needs of our stakeholders. To that end, LVEDC prepares a series of quarterly reports about the real estate climate in Lehigh Valley. This report focuses on the region’s office, industrial, and flex markets. CURRENT CONDITIONS The Lehigh Valley is the fastest-growing region in Pennsylvania for the population between ages 18 and 34. Lehigh County ranked No. 1 of all the state’s 67 counties in population growth among that demographic, and Northampton County ranked No. 4. Industrial and economic growth remains strong As vaccination rates increase, Lehigh Valley in the region. The Lehigh Valley Economic employers have begun releasing guidance Development Corporation (LVEDC) is tracking and policies to employees about the return to an active pipeline of 32 companies considering the office. Reopening plans have varied across a move to or expansion in the region as of the the region, with some offices planning full or end of Q2 2021, 21 of which are manufacturing phased reopenings, and others approving companies. hybrid schedules. LVEDC surveyed regional companies in July about their plans to return to Demand for smaller-footprint industrial space their offices. This report details the information remains high. Industrial buildings in the range that companies like Olympus, B. Braun, ADP, of 20,000 SF to 80,000 SF have the lowest and others shared with us. vacancy rate in the Lehigh Valley, but the least amount of inventory under construction. The Lehigh Valley office market currently Regional vacancy rates for that size range comprises 27.7 million square feet of inventory; are 2.5%, compared to 7.9% for 80,000 SF excluding medical or owner-occupied space, to 300,000 SF, and 5.2% for 300,000 SF to the total rentable office space is 16.9 million 500,000 SF. square feet. The Lehigh Valley has a total of 135 million This report also includes notable commercial square feet of industrial inventory as of Q2 real estate sales and leases from the second 2021, with an overall vacancy rate of 4.8%. quarter of 2021. This includes the Rockefeller Group’s sale of 951 Willowbrook Road in Allen In terms of office space, the Lehigh Valley Township for $201.5 million, the largest sale is still the most affordable option for Class A price for a single industrial building over the space among nearby regions in Pennsylvania last five years in the Lehigh Valley. and New Jersey. The Lehigh Valley’s direct asking rent for Class A is $23.68 per square foot, compared to $32.94 in Plymouth Meeting/ Blue Bell, and $49.13 in University City in Philadelphia. Cover photograph courtesy of Jaindl Enterprises.Jaindl Enterprises in the second quarter began raising steel for its six-story office building, the first project in the larger Waterfront development along Allentown’s stretch of the Lehigh River. 2 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT • Q2 2021
Lehigh Valley SNAPSHOT: INDUSTRIAL SPACE MARKET SUMMARY There is nearly 7 million square feet of industrial space under construction. 135M 4M $6.97 7M Total Space (SF) Q2 Net Absorption (SF) Average Asking Rent (NNN) Total Under Construction (SF) 4.8% 5.3M 15.2% 5.08M Total Vacancy 2021 Net Absorption (SF) Rent Change Since Q2 2020 2021 Deliveries (SF) SUPPLY & DEMAND (SF) INDUSTRIAL FOOTPRINTS 4M Total Inventory 2.7M 135 Million SF 2.4M 1.5M Space Under 1.3M Size of 913K 932K 1M Construction as 811K Building % of Inventory 20K-80K 2% -1.2M 80K-300K 2.5% Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 300K-500K 13.8% SQUARE FEET Deliveries Absorption Over 500K 6.6% Smaller footprint buildings have ASKING RATE (PER SF) the lowest vacancy rate but the least amount of inventory under $7.63 construction. $7.22 $7.19 $7.07 $6.60 $6.61 $6.97 $6.48 $6.51 Industrial space $6.40 $6.40 $6.40 $6.40 under construction $6.25 in the Lehigh Valley $6.05 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 at the end of Q2 was equal to Combined 20K to 80K >300,000 SF 5.2% of existing Asking rates for buildings between 20,000 and 80,000 square feet has risen faster in the last 12 months than the industrial overall rates per square foot for industrial buildings. space. Sources: CoStar, LVEDC Research COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT • Q2 2021 3
Lehigh Valley SNAPSHOT: OFFICE SPACE MARKET SUMMARY The market summary includes total office space. 27.7M -23.2K $16.31 794.4K Total Space (SF) Q2 Net Absorption (SF) Average Asking Rent (NNN) Total Under Construction (SF) 9.4% -206.8K 0.8% 0 Total Vacancy 2021 Net Absorption (SF) Rent Change Since Q2 2020 YTD Deliveries (SF) Rentable Office Space 16.9M $16.66 Excluding Owner-Occupied and Medical Total Space (SF) Average Asking Rent (NNN) 10.7% VACANCY RATE (PER SF) UNDER CONSTRUCTION (SF) 13.0% Owner Occupied Rentable 12.1% 12.0% 12.0% Q2 2020 736,984 0 10.8% 11.0% 10.4% 9.90% Q3 2020 632,884 0 10.0% 9.30% 9.40% 8.60% Q4 2020 632,884 0 9.0% 8.20% 8.0% 7.60% Q1 2021 794,432 161,548 7.0% Q2 2021 794,432 161,548 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Total Office Office w/o Medical, Owner-Occupied Office construction is driven by the owner- occupied Air Products new campus in Upper Vacancy rates for office space have Macungie Township and a rentable office increased since the spring of 2020 as building in the Waterfront project in Allentown. more office workers shifted to remote work. CLASS A OFFICE SPACE The Return to the Office: A key indicator for the Lehigh Valley office market Location Price Per SF will be the return of remote workers to offices. LVEDC Lehigh Valley $23.68 spoke with several office-based companies in July Central Bucks County $26.16 about plans to return to the office. Companies are King of Prussia $28.12 monitoring CDC and state guidance, and their plans are subject to change. Of the companies we spoke Route 78 (NJ) $30.52 with, ADP began a phased return to the office in Plymouth Meeting / Blue Bell $32.94 June, IotaComm returned with a hybrid model in Radnor with Hudson Waterfront (NJ) $45.48 July, Netizen continues a hybrid model for office and University City in Philadelphia $49.13 remote work, and B Braun and Olympus are planning returns with a hybrid model in September. LVEDC Lehigh Valley has the lowest asking rent for will continue to monitor and analyze trends and Class A office space among nearby regions, space requirements for office-based Lehigh Valley according to a recent JLL report. companies. Sources: CoStar, LVEDC Research 4 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT • Q2 2021
BROKER PERSPECTIVE “The Lehigh Valley has continued to outpace the majority of the nation in industrial absorption. The expansion of the industrial market has been energized by the Lehigh Valley’s location, excellent labor and overall quality of life. We see these trends continuing for the foreseeable future.” William Wolf Executive Vice President CBRE Advisory & Transaction Services PROSPECT PIPELINE Of the 32 industrial prospects, 27 The Lehigh indicated how much space they needed: Valley Economic Development Total Square Footage Corporation had 3,400,305 Requested an active pipeline of 32 companies Average Square Footage 11 21 Requested 125,937 considering a move to or expansion in Median Square Footage Lehigh Valley as of the 75,000 Requested end of Q2 2021. Number of Prospects 2 *Of the 11 non-manufacturing Requesting 500,000+ SF prospects, nine were Number of Manufacturing Prospects distribution. Number of Non-Manufacturing Prospects* Number of Prospects 25 Requesting 200,000 SF or less Source: LVEDC Research. *Not all prospects identify a square footage requirement. COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT • Q2 2021 5
BROKER PERSPECTIVE “Office leasing and office sales activity in the Lehigh Valley remains sluggish. On a positive note, larger employers such as Olympus, B. Braun and ADP are returning to the office, many of them offering hybrid work schedules for their employees. Next up for completion of office environments is the new Air Products Corporate Headquarters in Upper Macungie and the construction of the first office building on the Waterfront in the City of Allentown.” Cindy McDonnell Feinberg, CCIM, Feinberg Real Estate Advisors, LLC Q2 2021 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE TRANSACTIONS NOTABLE SALES SALE PROPERTY BUYER SELLER PRICE MUNICIPALITY CLASS 951 Willowbrook Centerpoint Rockefeller Group $201,500,000 Allen Township Industrial Road Willowbrook LLC Lineage PA Re 2 Orefield Cold Storage Dist 3824 Route 309 $33,750,000 North Whitehall Industrial LLC Cent Inc 2645 Mitchell Lineage PA Re 2 Ocsii Inc $23,750,000 Allentown Industrial Avenue LLC 6355 Farm Bureau Riverbend Allentown Upper Macungie Jamble Enterprises $11,700,000 Industrial Road Properties I LLC Township 2601 Baglyos Bethlehem Hamco Realty LLC J2 Properties LLC $5,200,000 Industrial Circle Township 601 E. Highland Schaedler Yesco Joseph A. Zipley $2,125,000 Allentown Industrial Street Distribution Inc Francesca Associates 850 13th Avenue 850 13 LLC $1,750,000 Bethlehem Industrial LLC 4937 Hanoverville Bethlehem LVTC LI Owner LLC Joseph M. Pokojni Jr. $1,725,558 Industrial Road Township NOTABLE LEASES LANDLORD PROPERTY SF REPRESENTATIVE TENANT MUNICIPALITY CLASS Lee & Associates of 7378 Airport Rd 450,000 Smart Warehouse East Allen Township Industrial Eastern Pennsylvania LLC Feather Way 294,240 CBRE Bethlehem Industrial 8615 Congdon Hill Sun Opta Grains & Lower Macungie 271,374 CBRE Industrial Drive Foods Township 9747 Commerce Lee & Associates of Weisenberg 211,134 Industrial Circle Eastern Pennsylvania LLC Township 2325 Newlin Mills Lee & Associates of 163,338 Palmer Township Industrial Road Eastern Pennsylvania LLC 600 Brighton Street 160,000 CBRE Yellow Supply Fountain Hill Industrial 2685 Opus Way 139,000 JLL Bethlehem Township Industrial South Whitehall 1436 Eck Road 125,000 Gelcor Realty Industrial Township Sources: Lehigh and Northampton County Real Estate Tax Records, LVEDC Research, CoStar *CoStar, a leading source of real estate news, reported that investors spent more than $500 billion in seven markets around Philadelphia, and Lehigh Valley accounted for a third of those transactions. 6 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT • Q2 2021
“President Joe Biden recently kicked off his Made in America program with a visit to the Mack Trucks assembly plant in Lower Macungie Township. It was very appropriate that he chose the Lehigh Valley to highlight this important initiative. Not only does the region have a long and rich history of manufacturing, but it also remains the cornerstone of our economy. Manufacturing is in the region’s DNA with about 700 manufacturers and 33,000 workers making everything from guitars to medical devices to Mack Trucks. The Lehigh Valley proves every day that America still makes things.” Don Cunningham President & CEO, Lehigh Valley Economic Development Corporation (LVEDC) LEHIGH VALLEY DEMOGRAPHICS 687,508 LEHIGH VALLEY POPULATION Two of only 23 Pennsylvania counties that have increased in population since 2010. 6.2% POPULATION CHANGE (2010-2020) Lehigh County* 2020 374,557 DOMESTIC INTERNATIONAL 7.2% 2010 349,508 BIRTHS 41,993 DEATHS 33,966 MIGRATION -5,516 MIGRATION 18,420 Northampton County 2020 312,951 5.1% DOMESTIC INTERNATIONAL BIRTHS DEATHS MIGRATION MIGRATION 2010 297,704 28,541 29,789 3,389 6,058 POPULATION AGES 18-34 RELOCATIONS (% CHANGE 2019-2020) MOVES WITHIN PHILADELPHIA 2020 149,069 -8% -2% 10.7% THE LV METRO REGION 2010 134,616 NEW YORK 13.7% EAST STROUDSBURG 0.2% METRO REGION METRO REGION *Lehigh County ranks in the top 1% of all U.S. counties for migration from international locations, according to SelectUSA, a program of the U.S. Department of Commerce. Sources: 2020 U.S. Census, U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program and CBRE Research. TRACKING LEHIGH VALLEY’S RECOVERY The Lehigh Valley’s growing population is attractive to companies looking to June 2021 June 2020 re-shore operations or shorten supply Unemployment Rate 6.7% 14.3% chains in an affordable location in the heart of the Northeast market. Employment 361,000 334,100 Manufacturing 39,200 37,400 Logistics 34,000 31,300 Retail 37,700 35,600 Professional/Business Services 46,500 45,700 Health Care/Social Assistance 63,500 61,200 Leisure/Hospitality 35,000 22,400 Sources: Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employment figures are for the Metropolitan Statistical Area, which includes the Lehigh Valley plus Carbon and Warren counties. COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT • Q2 2021 7
LVEDC Commercial Real Estate Report designed by Michelle Chrin. ©2021 Lehigh Valley Economic Development Corporation. All Rights Reserved. 08.2021 Our Mission The mission of Lehigh Valley Economic Development Corporation is to market the economic assets of the Lehigh Valley and to create partnerships to lead the recruitment, growth, and retention of employers. Our Vision Our vision is of a diverse Lehigh Valley economy that provides economic growth and opportunity for people of all skills and education and strengthens all our cities, boroughs, and townships. Our Priorities • Market the economic assets of the Lehigh Valley • Recruit companies in targeted economic sectors • Support the growth and retention of new and existing employers • Promote and coordinate a skilled and prepared workforce • Provide intelligence and data on the Lehigh Valley economy • Expand public and private LVEDC investment and build partnerships for economic growth 2158 Avenue C, Suite 200 Bethlehem, PA 18017 Phone: 610-266-6775 • Fax: 610-266-7623 www.lehighvalley.org Lehigh Valley Come here. Start here. Grow here.
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