Cochin International Airport Limited - ICRA
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Cochin International Airport Limited August 13, 2018 Summary of rated instruments Current Rated Amount Instrument Rating Action (Rs. crore) Fund based-Term Loan 500.00 [ICRA]AA- (Stable); Assigned Total 500.00 Rating action ICRA has assigned a long-term rating of [ICRA]AA- (pronounced ICRA double A minus) to the Rs. 500.00-crore1 fund- based facilities of Cochin International Airport Limited (CIAL)2. The outlook on the long-term rating is ‘Stable’. Rationale The assigned rating favourably factors in the healthy growth in passenger traffic at a CAGR of 17.1% during FY2014- FY2018 to 10.2 mn and air traffic movement (ATMs) grew at a CAGR of 10.2% to 69,662 during the period. The rating takes into account the strong operational track record of over 19 years with lowest capital cost 3 per sqm with least burden on passengers (no user development fee (UDF)) amongst all the major airports which reduces regulatory risk to a large extent. The rating favourably factors in the policy directive from Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA), which recommended hybrid till (as per National Civil Aviation Policy, 2016 (NCAP-2016)) for future tariff determination at all airports; the shift from single to hybrid till will result in increase in cash accruals. ICRA notes that the Airport Economic Regulatory Authority (AERA) has finalised the tariff for second control period (FY2017-FY2021) on July 13, 2017 with effective date of implementation as August 2017. The rating draws comfort from the healthy financial profile of the company characterized by conservative capital structure with low TOL/TNW of 0.9 times, strong debt coverage indicators with interest coverage of 8.8 times, and comfortable liquidity position with unencumbered liquid surplus of Rs. 81 crore as on March 31, 2018. The rating also takes into account the strengths arising from the regulatory framework which allows efficient cost recovery as a part of the tariff from the users. The rating, however, remains constrained by the high competition from four (three operational and one under construction) international airports situated within 180 km radius from CIAL viz. Trivandrum International Airport, Calicut International Airport and Coimbatore International Airport and one upcoming airport - Kannur International Airport. However, CIAL is well positioned in terms of cost competitiveness (least burden on passengers), its proximity to major tourist destinations and Cochin being the major business hub in Kerala. International passengers account for around 52% of total passenger throughput at CIAL. ICRA notes that majority of the international traffic is from the middle-east region. Any slowdown in the economy in Gulf region, could have an adverse effect on traffic and consequently revenues. The variation in passenger traffic due to economic cycles, which may lead to temporary traffic de-growth and in-turn revenue decline is compensated by truing up for the shortfall in the next regulatory period, albeit with a lag. Unlike the other private airports which are either governed by the operations, maintenance and development agreement (OMDA) or concession agreements. There is no concession awarded by GoI in the case of CIAL. In the absence of a concession 1 100 lakh = 1 crore = 10 million 2 For complete rating scale and definitions, please refer to ICRA's website www.icra.in or other ICRA Rating Publications 3 CIAL has been used as benchmark for normative approach for capex as per AERA 1
agreement (CA), the rights, obligations and the concession period are not defined for CIAL. Further, GoI is not bound by any non-compete/ right of first refusal clauses should there be any proposal to develop new international airports in the region. However, comfort can be taken from Government of Kerala’s shareholding of around 34% along with the long operational track record – there was no objection raised by GoI/AAI even at the time of inviting bids for other major private airports (during FY2002-FY2006). ICRA in its base case scenario has assumed capex of around Rs. 700 crore during FY2019-FY2021 in line with the capex considered in the tariff order for second control period. Outlook: Stable ICRA believes CIAL will continue to benefit from the long operational track record and the low regulatory risk on account of high cost competitiveness and lowest capital cost among all major airports. The outlook may be revised to 'Positive' if there is significantly higher than estimated traffic growth and non-aeronautical revenues. The outlook may be revised to 'Negative' if there is higher than expected support to Group companies, or significantly lower than estimated traffic resulting in lower than anticipated revenues. Key rating drivers Credit strengths Robust growth in traffic: The growth in traffic both in terms of passenger traffic and air traffic movement has been robust over the last five years. Passenger traffic grew at a CAGR of 17.1% during FY2014–FY2018 to 10.2 million and ATMs grew at a CAGR of 10.2% to 69,662 during the period. Favourable policy directive from the Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA): MoCA recommended hybrid till (as per NCAP- 2016) for future tariff determination at all airports; the shift from single to hybrid till aids in improvement in cash accruals. Long operational track record with low burden on passengers: The company has strong track record of operations for over 19 years with lowest capital cost per sqm and least burden on passengers (no user development fee (UDF)) when compared to other major airports which reduces regulatory risk to a large extent. Further, AERA has finalised the tariff for second control period under hybrid till (FY2017-FY2021) on July 13, 2017 with effective date of implementation as August 2017. Healthy financial profile: The rating draws comfort from the healthy financial profile of the company characterized by conservative capital structure with low gearing of 0.4 times, strong debt coverage indicators with interest coverage of 8.8 times, TOL/TNW of 0.9 times and comfortable liquidity position with unencumbered liquid surplus of Rs. 81 crore as on March 31, 2018 Credit challenges High competition from other international airports in the vicinity: CIAL has four (three operational and one under construction) international airports within 180 km radius from CIAL. However, CIAL is well positioned in terms of cost competitiveness (least burden on passengers), its proximity to major tourist destinations and Cochin being the major business hub in Kerala High concentration of international passengers from middle-east region: International passengers account for around 52% of total passenger throughput at CIAL. ICRA notes that majority of the international traffic is from the middle-east region. Any slowdown in the economy in Gulf region, could have an adverse effect on traffic and consequently revenues 2
Lack of Concession Agreement: In the absence of a concession agreement (CA), the rights, obligations and the concession period are not defined for CIAL. Further, GoI is not bound by any non-compete/ right of first refusal clauses should there be any proposal to develop new international airports in the region. However, comfort can be taken from Government of Kerala’s shareholding of around 34% along with the long operational track record – there was no objection raised by GoI/AAI even at the time of inviting bids for other major private airports (during FY2002-FY2006). Revenue generation remains exposed to movements in aviation traffic: The variation in passenger traffic due to economic cycles, which may lead to temporary traffic de-growth and in-turn revenue decline is compensated by truing up for the shortfall in the next regulatory period, albeit with a lag. Analytical approach: For arriving at the ratings, ICRA has applied its rating methodologies as indicated below. Links to applicable criteria: Corporate Credit Rating Methodology Rating Methodology for Airports About the company: Cochin International Airport Limited (CIAL) was the first airport in India to be built under Public Private Partnership (PPP), with equity participation from the airport users as well as the general public, Non-Resident Indians (NRIs), Government of Kerala (GoK) and the airport service providers. Chief Minister (CM) of Kerala is the chairman of the company. CIAL was incorporated on March 30, 1994 as a public limited company. The construction work commenced in August 1994 and achieved commercial operations in June 1999. To cater to the high traffic demand, CIAL constructed new international terminal with 12 mn passenger capacity per annum which was inaugurated in March 2017. The project cost for the same was Rs. 985 crore which was funded through external debt, rights issue and internal accruals. Government of Kerala (GoK) is the major shareholder in CIAL with 32.4% stake. Key financial indicators FY2017 FY2018 Audited Provisional Operating Income (Rs. crore) 473.6 540.6 PAT (Rs. crore) 179.5 156.0 OPBDIT/OI (%) 60.2% 69.4% RoCE (%) 24.0% 16.3% Total Debt/TNW (times) 0.3 0.4 Total Debt/OPBDIT (times) 1.3 1.3 Interest coverage (times) 80.3 8.8 Source: CIAL 3
Status of non-cooperation with previous CRA: Not applicable Any other information: None Rating history for last three years: Chronology of Rating History for the Current Rating (FY2019) past 3 years Date & Date & Date & Date & Rating in Rating in Rating in Amount Amount Rating FY2018 FY2017 FY2016 Rated Outstanding Instrument Type (Rs. crore) (Rs Crore) August 2018 - - - 1 Term Loan Long 500.00 500.00 [ICRA]AA- - - - Term (Stable) Complexity level of the rated instrument: ICRA has classified various instruments based on their complexity as "Simple", "Complex" and "Highly Complex". The classification of instruments according to their complexity levels is available on the website www.icra.in 4
Annexure-1: Instrument Details Date of Amount Issuance / Coupon Maturity Rated Current Rating and ISIN No Instrument Name Sanction Rate Date (Rs. crore) Outlook March NA Term Loan 8.9% March 2028 500.00 [ICRA]AA- (Stable) 2015 Source: CIAL 5
ANALYST CONTACTS Shubham Jain Rajeshwar Burla +91 124 4545306 +91 40 4067 6527 shubhamj@icraindia.com rajeshwar.burla@icraindia.com Abhishek Lahoti +91 40 4067 6534 abhishek.lahoti@icraindia.com RELATIONSHIP CONTACT Jayanta Chatterjee +91 80 4332 6401 jayantac@icraindia.com MEDIA AND PUBLIC RELATIONS CONTACT Ms. Naznin Prodhani Tel: +91 124 4545 860 communications@icraindia.com Helpline for business queries: +91-124-2866928 (open Monday to Friday, from 9:30 am to 6 pm) info@icraindia.com About ICRA Limited: ICRA Limited was set up in 1991 by leading financial/investment institutions, commercial banks and financial services companies as an independent and professional investment Information and Credit Rating Agency. Today, ICRA and its subsidiaries together form the ICRA Group of Companies (Group ICRA). ICRA is a Public Limited Company, with its shares listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange. The international Credit Rating Agency Moody’s Investors Service is ICRA’s largest shareholder. For more information, visit www.icra.in 6
ICRA Limited Corporate Office Building No. 8, 2nd Floor, Tower A; DLF Cyber City, Phase II; Gurgaon 122 002 Tel: +91 124 4545300 Email: info@icraindia.com Website: www.icra.in Registered Office 1105, Kailash Building, 11th Floor; 26 Kasturba Gandhi Marg; New Delhi 110001 Tel: +91 11 23357940-50 Branches Mumbai + (91 22) 24331046/53/62/74/86/87 Chennai + (91 44) 2434 0043/9659/8080, 2433 0724/ 3293/3294, Kolkata + (91 33) 2287 8839 /2287 6617/ 2283 1411/ 2280 0008, Bangalore + (91 80) 2559 7401/4049 Ahmedabad+ (91 79) 2658 4924/5049/2008 Hyderabad + (91 40) 2373 5061/7251 Pune + (91 20) 6606 9999 © Copyright, 2018 ICRA Limited. All Rights Reserved. Contents may be used freely with due acknowledgement to ICRA. ICRA ratings should not be treated as recommendation to buy, sell or hold the rated debt instruments. ICRA ratings are subject to a process of surveillance, which may lead to revision in ratings. An ICRA rating is a symbolic indicator of ICRA’s current opinion on the relative capability of the issuer concerned to timely service debts and obligations, with reference to the instrument rated. Please visit our website www.icra.in or contact any ICRA office for the latest information on ICRA ratings outstanding. All information contained herein has been obtained by ICRA from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable, including the rated issuer. ICRA however has not conducted any audit of the rated issuer or of the information provided by it. While reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information herein is true, such information is provided ‘as is’ without any warranty of any kind, and ICRA in particular, makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of any such information. Also, ICRA or any of its group companies may have provided services other than rating to the issuer rated. All information contained herein must be construed solely as statements of opinion, and ICRA shall not be liable for any losses incurred by users from any use of this publication or its contents 7
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