CHILE AIMS TO WIN GREEN HYDROGEN RACE - Willkie ...

 
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CHILE AIMS TO WIN GREEN
HYDROGEN RACE
WHILE THERE ARE A NUMBER OF COUNTRIES CONTENDING TO BE GLOBAL LEADERS IN COMMERCIALISING
GREEN HYDROGEN AT SCALE, WE THINK CHILE MAY BE POSITIONED TO ASSUME A GLOBAL ROLE IN THE
NASCENT GREEN HYDROGEN INDUSTRY GIVEN A COMBINATION OF POLICIES, RESOURCES AND CONDITIONS
THAT WE EXPLORE IN THIS ARTICLE. BY MARIA-LETICIA OSSA DAZA, JORGE KAMINE, MATTHEW VITORLA AND
JAVIER PEREZ-MARCHANT, WILLKIE FARR & GALLAGHER LLP.

              The year 2020 will undoubtedly be remembered               • The culmination of various factors improving
              for the global pandemic and its devastating                the economics of green hydrogen, including
              and disruptive effects on people’s lives, global           expanded investment in projects, lower energy
              markets and national economies. Moreover,                  and technology prices due to the deployment of
              it independently proved to be a year of global             renewables and other market forces.
              shocks for energy – first due to the oil price             • An accelerating pace of new green hydrogen
              war between Russia and Saudi Arabia, followed              projects, including 50 viable global projects
              by the collapse of demand as a result of the               announced in the past year with a total
              pandemic-related lockdowns around the world.               hydrogen production capacity of four million
                 It may also come to be remembered as the                tons per annum.
              year that a diverse group of forces converged                 As many commentators and critics have
              to accelerate a global push to expand the                  observed, we have been here before. The recent
              development and use of hydrolytic or green                 surge of attention has focused on hydrogen,
              hydrogen generated from renewable energy as                specifically green hydrogen, as an energy carrier
              a cornerstone for the energy transition to a net-          that can play a pivotal role, together with
              zero carbon emission global economy. Those                 electrification in decarbonising key sectors of
              forces have included:                                      the global economy, specifically industry, the
              • New or expanded public policies in many                  built environment and transport.1 In the past,
              advanced and emerging economies to accelerate              waves of enthusiasm for hydrogen have waned
              the energy transition in their countries given             in the face of challenges to making hydrogen a
              another record year of adverse weather changes             cost-competitive energy carrier manufactured
              and natural disasters and parallels drawn                  at scale to allow it to compete and displace
              between the global pandemic and dangers of                 hydrocarbons. The current wave of interest can
              climate change. Those policies have also linked            be attributed to a convergence of essential and
              pandemic recovery and economic development                 catalytic factors described above that appear
              to incentivising investment in energy and                  certain to lead to sustained momentum behind
              infrastructure, particularly the expanded                  the development of a global hydrogen industry.
              deployment of electrification and use of renewable            As noted above, chief among these factors
              energy. Green hydrogen production and use have             is the accelerating global push for the energy
              been a key part of those public policies, with             transition away from hydrocarbons and, where
              Australia, Chile and Spain emerging as regional            green hydrogen allows for advancing those
              forerunners. Those policies have spanned various           goals through sector coupling, in achieving
              levels of government with the support of an array          net-zero emission targets in power generation,
              of international and non-governmental actors all           transportation and industrial processes. An
              focused on promoting green hydrogen.                       equally important factor in the resurgent focus
              • Last year also saw a wide range of private               on green hydrogen has been the broad and rapid
              sector industries making significant                       deployment of renewable energy generation
              commitments towards the decarbonisation of                 facilities worldwide, which has significantly
              their companies, manufacturing, and supply                 reduced the price of electricity, particularly in
              chains. There was an emphasis on reorientation             countries such as Chile.
              of the corporate strategies of major energy                   Given that electricity accounts for up to 60% of
              companies and other major corporations                     the total production costs of green hydrogen,2 a
              towards reducing carbon intensity, incorporating           significantly lower price of electricity translates
              green hydrogen as part of changes intended to              into a lower cost factor for green hydrogen
              address business, consumer and public concerns             production, which increases the possibility of
              about advancing towards net-zero emission                  making it cost-competitive with other energy
              targets, and improving ESG (environmental,                 carriers.3 Hence, as further discussed below,
              social and governance) outcomes and impacts,               Chile’s substantial deployment of and significant
              including those related to carbon intensity and            capacity for expanding renewable generation
              climate change.                                            and its potential to supply a large, decarbonising

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HYDROGEN AND CHILE

mining sector and promising export market, as                renewable generation has yielded increasingly
well as its strong regulatory and institutional              lower electricity prices in Chile.8 This trend is
foundations, mean that Chile is well positioned              expected to continue steadily into the future
to be a leader in developing a scalable,                     with Chile’s more immediate planned expansion
cost-competitive green hydrogen industry                     of installed renewable capacity (expected to
that effectively navigates the financeability                double in the next few years) as well as its vast,
challenges inherent in nascent technologies and              untapped resources.9 According to the Hydrogen
applications.                                                Council Report, these factors could enable Chile
                                                             to achieve the world’s lowest production costs
Chile                                                        for green hydrogen, making it cost-competitive
While there are a number of countries                        not only in Chile but also in the growing export
contending to be global leaders in                           market.
commercialising green hydrogen at scale, we                  • Strong domestic demand and export potential – In
think Chile may be positioned to assume a global             addition to favourable cost conditions, Chile’s
role in the nascent green hydrogen industry                  hydrogen industry is positioned to benefit from
given a combination of policies, resources and               strong domestic demand – generated primarily
conditions that we explore in this article.                  by the large mining sector, the country’s largest
• Chilean energy policy and electricity prices – As          fuel and energy consumer, as it sets out to
noted above, the market competitiveness of                   achieve carbon neutrality goals – as well as
green hydrogen turns primarily on the price                  from its ability to export, at low cost, significant
of renewable energy.4 Chile made significant                 amounts of hydrogen to key locations in the
headway towards driving down the cost of                     Asia-Pacific market (ie, China, Japan and South
renewable-sourced electricity by encouraging                 Korea) and the United States where hydrogen
an immense mobilisation of the renewables                    consumption is expected to be stronger and
industry, starting in the late 2000s and achieving           develop faster.
a greater penetration of renewables than                        The domestic hydrogen market is expected
many other advanced economies.5 Building on                  to be buoyed in large part by Chile’s mining
advantageous natural geographic conditions6,                 industry, which has already begun a transition
Chile’s success with renewables has been                     away from its traditional fuel sources by
the result, in part, of policies creating strong             turning to renewable energy and supporting
incentives for investment in renewable projects.             sustainability-focused research and development.
   Chile introduced a 10% renewable energy                   Green hydrogen and its derivative products,
target in 2008, which was increased in 2013                  such as green ammonia, will be able to play a
to 20% of energy consumed nationally.7 Chile                 key role in helping this major Chilean industry
also introduced other favourable regulatory                  achieve its net-zero emission targets when
features credited with significantly boosting the            used as an alternative power source for heavy
renewables industry’s development, including                 machinery and mining vehicles. In addition,
exemptions from transmission tolling and VAT                 Chile’s National Oil Company (Empresa Nacional
charges on critical imported equipment and                   del Petroleo, or ENAP) is already engaging in the
other services used in constructing renewable                development of a major green hydrogen project
energy projects, simplified reporting and pricing            that will produce components of synthetic green
frameworks for distributed generation assets                 gasoline and other eFuels.
and an aggressive coal retirement strategy. This                With respect to exportation, Chile has
scheme of industry-friendly features was built               strategically leveraged its geographic and
on the strong legal foundation that has made                 economic conditions by consistently investing in
Chile an attractive investment target for years,             its port infrastructure and by developing a strong
as described further below.                                  network of trade and tax treaties that facilitates
   Chile’s continuing success in stimulating                 access to high-demand markets and lower
dynamic renewable energy development                         transaction costs. With the rise of renewables,
should impart a good deal of optimism for                    Chile’s trade and shipping infrastructure could
the green hydrogen industry. The experience                  see a corresponding transition from importing
with renewables has provided the national                    fossil fuels to exporting green hydrogen and
government of Chile (the Chilean government)                 related products.
and other institutions a set of familiar policy                 In South America, Chile’s position as a leader
tools that have already proven their viability. We           in the green hydrogen race may enable it to
discuss below several ways in which such tools               strategically assist other countries to make
might be applied in the early stages of the green            progress in their renewable energy transitions.
hydrogen industry.                                           In fact, Chile recently committed to helping
   In addition to the value that renewable                   Colombia become a partner in the region and to
energy development has in serving as a model                 coordinating efforts across the region to develop
for government and industry with respect to                  a broader hydrogen market. Chile’s work to
green hydrogen technologies and applications,                create a strong network in the region will help
the expansion of renewable energy generation                 position its industry to benefit from the steady
is itself a major component of green hydrogen’s              growth of neighbouring developing economies,
massive potential in Chile. The boom in                      such as those of Colombia, Brazil, and Peru.

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The large North American hydrogen market                energy and infrastructure projects in Chile and
also represents a significant opportunity for              other parts of Latin America. Infrastructure
the Chilean hydrogen industry’s future. The                funds were raising record amounts of capital to
expansion of ambitious carbon emission targets             deploy in the region. Given intense competition
and other favourable policies supporting electric          and tightening margins for financing
vehicles and fuel cells, including those supported         renewables, we increasingly saw investors
by the Biden-Harris administration, would                  and lenders expanding the types of projects
significantly accelerate the shift in demand from          that they sought to finance. The pandemic
grey and blue hydrogen to green hydrogen and               certainly disrupted those trends and seems
could outpace the domestic industry’s ability to           to have ushered in more conservative plans.
transition its production to renewable energy.10           Nevertheless, even the second half of 2020 saw
   Moreover, the United States has already seen            steadily increasing interest in hydrogen among
the development of several green hydrogen-                 investors.
fuelled projects, including large projects to                 Most green hydrogen projects that have been
supply power to major cities in California and             discussed in the press appear to rely on financing
Florida, such as the Los Angeles Department                from corporate balance sheets and occasionally
of Water and Power’s (LADWP’s) proposed                    on grants or other support from government,
Intermountain Power Project/ACES Project,                  such as the Haru Oni pilot project in southern
which will convert existing coal-fired generation          Chile, which aims to produce sustainable eFuels
projects supplying electricity to the City of Los          using green hydrogen.
Angeles into gas-fired and ultimately green                   As credit and capital markets return to their
hydrogen-fuelled projects.                                 pre-pandemic levels of activity and confidence,
• Developing industries in an advanced economy –           we would expect that well-structured green
Chile is consistently recognised as a regional             hydrogen projects in Chile should be able to
success for having built an attractive economic            access third-party debt and equity financing.
and regulatory framework from a foreign                    As with any project financing, sponsors will
investment perspective. The first Latin American           need to present projects with sound economics
country accepted into the OECD, Chile has                  based on creditworthy offtake arrangements
achieved one of the highest levels of GDP per              and sustainable production, transportation, and
capita in South America and provides foreign               storage costs, as well as minimal exposure to any
investors with easy access to its competitive and          lingering technology risks.
dynamic domestic capital market. There is no                  In addition, some commentators have noted
doubt that Chile has become a leader in foreign            that hydrogen projects tend to involve project-
direct investment in Latin America and the                 on-project risk that will make it more difficult
Caribbean for a number of reasons, including               to secure financing. Based on our experience,
its stable institutions, which have shown                  strong sponsors in a burgeoning industry will be
themselves to be resilient amid recent social              able to structure their projects to address these
unrest and the ongoing constitutional process,             issues as costs continue to drop. We also believe
and a favourable tax scheme, both generally and            that project sponsors and policymakers may be
with respect to infrastructure projects, which             able to look to the financing of certain other
combines a simple structure with favourable                energy projects for useful ideas and models for
incentives for foreign investors.                          addressing these issues and mobilising financing
   Although the Covid-19 pandemic has                      for green hydrogen projects.
affected the country’s development forecast,                  Chile’s National Green Hydrogen Strategy
as it has for other developed economies, the               (Estrategia Nacional de Hidrógeno Verde, the
Chilean government has been committed to                   National Strategy)11 sets as one of its primary
its recovery plan by increasing investment in              goals addressing the significant hurdles that
critical infrastructure. Chile’s green recovery            every nascent technology faces: navigating
plan is expected to provide the private sector             regulatory frameworks not designed to
with attractive investment opportunities in the            accommodate the new technology and obtaining
energy, infrastructure, public works, water,               access to financing at a cost of capital that makes
and transportation sectors, and will prioritise            scalable projects feasible with an attractive
projects involving emission reductions and                 equity return. The scope of the National Strategy
other sustainability features. Green hydrogen              demonstrates recognition that governmental
and other renewable projects are thus well                 support through either direct financing or other
positioned to benefit from the recovery plan,              incentives, eg, tax and permitting relief, will be
and the prioritisation of such projects appears            critical to ensuring that green hydrogen facilities
to have emerged as a global trend amid the                 are financeable.
pandemic, which has highlighted sustainability
as a key social and environmental issue.

Strategies for financeable projects
Prior to the pandemic, debt and equity financing
                                                           The large North American hydrogen market represents
seemed readily available from a variety of                 a significant opportunity for the Chilean hydrogen
sources for a wide range of well-structured                industry’s future

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HYDROGEN AND CHILE

• Providing direct support to green hydrogen projects              In addition, CORFO awarded a consortium
and other development initiatives – With the first              of foreign and domestic universities with a
green hydrogen pilots in Chile still in their                   concession and over US$190 million in funding
early stages, the Chilean government has been                   to form and operate the Clean Technologies
quick to recognise that access to financial                     Institute (Instituto de Tecnologías Limpias, or
assistance will be key to their success. In its                 ITL), which will focus its research efforts on
initial targeted development programme,                         the development of a green mining industry in
the Chilean Economic Development Agency,                        Chile, including applications of green hydrogen
CORFO, is providing direct financial support                    and innovation with respect to renewables.
to green hydrogen projects and promoting                        CORFO will also offer US$50m in direct grant
innovation and research efforts directed                        funding available for early-stage projects. The
towards expanding hydrogen applications in                      tender for this pool of grant funding is expected
key industries.                                                 to be available as early as March 2021.
   Substantial grants have been awarded to                         At the same time, the Chilean government
projects in the pre-feasibility and engineering                 is working diligently with international
study phases under CORFO’s Innova High                          organisations, financial institutions, and
Technology Program. One of these projects is the                development banks in an effort to grant
Hydra Project being run by Engie, in partnership                developers of green hydrogen projects access to
with Australian research agency CSIRO and                       either government-backed financial guarantees
major players in the mining sector, to examine                  for new projects or bank financing on terms
replacing the powertrain of mining vehicles with                similar to concessional financing, which is not
hydrogen-powered fuel cells.                                    usually available to Chilean projects.
   CORFO’s Innova High Technology Program                          It is worth noting that a recent request
has also provided to the Hyex project, also                     for information issued by CORFO for the
developed by Engie, which focuses on producing                  development of green hydrogen projects on
green ammonia, a key component in mining                        government land caught the attention of
processes, and to the Caex project, led by Anglo                several investors. As reported by the Chilean
American and the Catholic University of Chile,                  Development Agency, the initiative has
which promotes the use of a hybrid diesel-                      received at least 18 expressions of interest from
hydrogen-powered engine in mining trucks and                    interested parties in diverse industries – energy,
machinery.                                                      mining and green hydrogen derivatives, among

Santiago de Chile Skyline © Lukas Bischoff | Dreamstime.com

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others. The proposed projects, which entail                 standards arising from a disparate body of
an aggregate private investment of US$12bn,                 regulations. The Chilean government thus had to
involve the development of facilities to produce            build from the ground up a legal framework that
green hydrogen or its derivatives in locations              addresses the uncertainties that might endanger
with an ample supply of renewable energy                    the feasibility or financing of a green hydrogen
resources, easy interconnection to the electrical           project.
grid and good transportation access.                           In this regard, the Ministry of Energy &
   The Chilean government has also announced                Mining retained the German development
that specific tax benefits are likely to be included        agency, GIZ, to issue a hydrogen regulation
in forthcoming legislation that will introduce              proposal based on international standards. The
the initial set of green hydrogen regulations.              proposal, issued in April 2020, suggested that
The benefits are expected to be tied to the use             initial efforts focus on key regulations that will
of hydrogen-powered electric vehicles, which                enable the industry to grow relating to hydrogen
may include tax deductions for the purchase of              infrastructure, transportation and storage, and
a vehicle or the cost of green hydrogen-based               the use of hydrogen in freight vehicles to ensure
fuel. Other incentives currently being discussed            that the industry has sufficient clarity to grow in
by Chilean officials range from increasing the              its early stages.
current carbon tax rates on the use of fossil                  Comprehensive safety regulations and
fuels, to eliminating fossil fuel subsidies to              regulations customised for other applications
the freight and transportation industries, to               will follow in order to support the continued
introducing a temporary tax holiday for green               expansion of the industry. Eventually, a mature
hydrogen.                                                   legal framework will include municipal
   In addition to these new potential benefits,             regulations and updated labour and work safety
developers of green hydrogen projects will                  standards, as well as regulations for the use of
still have access to the typical suite of tax               hydrogen in specific vehicles. The Ministry of
and investment incentives under the Chilean                 Energy and Mining is aiming to draft and issue
tax framework. A tax-reduction mechanism                    regulations within the time frame suggested by
commonly used in renewable energy projects,                 the proposal, which entails completing the key
the VAT refund, allows developers to recoup                 regulation by 2024 and a secondary regulation
certain costs paid on goods and services.                   by 2028, with the final layer following thereafter.
Developers may also benefit from the zero-VAT                  The Chilean government is acting rapidly to
regime for certain imported capital goods.                  implement this proposal. In January 2021, the
• Establishing a favourable, efficient regulatory           Ministry of Energy & Mining, joined by the heads
framework – As noted above, Chile has a history             of several Senate Committees – Energy, Mining,
of successfully recognising the importance of               Science and Technology, and Future Challenges
developing a clear and favourable regulatory                – presented the H2V Initiative, which is designed
framework for growing industries that are                   to coordinate the upcoming regulatory policies
facing high investment costs and uncertainty                and proposals relating to the development of the
associated with new technologies. Support                   green hydrogen industry in Chile. Key policies
from governmental authorities with respect to               that are expected to be issued as part of this
permitting and reporting requirements is key to             initiative in 2021 include an “electromobility
actually achieving viable projects and to further           plan”, which will provide for tenders to supply
reducing project financing costs.                           hydrogen-fuelled buses for public transportation,
   As regulatory regimes adapt to accommodate               certain regulatory changes to disincentivise
green hydrogen, traditional lenders and other               the use of diesel in industrial processes and,
sources of credit will be more comfortable                  notably, the proposed regulations governing the
entering the new market. As a more immediate                production, storage, transportation and use of
accommodation, the Chilean Energy & Fuels                   hydrogen in the mining sector.12
Superintendency (Superintendencia de                        • Creating a robust export market – One of the
Electricidad y Combustibles) is working with the            pillars of Chile’s National Strategy is securing
Ministry of Energy & Mining to provide some                 a strong market for the exportation of green
flexibility in granting permits requested by                hydrogen to allow the industry to replicate the
green hydrogen pilot projects and in allowing               scale and financial success of Chile’s mining
developers to apply international industry                  industry, which has historically been the main
standards in the absence of local regulations.              driver of the country’s economic activity. As
   As part of Chile’s effort to mitigate the                part of this effort, the Chilean government,
regulatory and legal risks that can drive up                employing what it has designated as “green
financing costs, the National Strategy calls for            hydrogen diplomacy,” is actively promoting
establishing a legal framework that will be
independent from political changes and provide
clear incentives and guidance to investors.
   Chile’s current regulatory regime refers to
hydrogen only in the context of hazardous
                                                            As regulatory regimes adapt to accommodate green
substances, and provides only a handful of                  hydrogen, traditional lenders will be more comfortable
generic safety, transportation and storage                  entering the new market

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HYDROGEN AND CHILE

the creation of international cooperation                    development of a scalable industry with
agreements to support innovation and research                adequate access to investment.
on green hydrogen’s potential applications and                  From a policy perspective, Chile had a
is currently negotiating with public agencies                good deal of success stimulating demand for
and private organisations from Germany, Japan,               renewable energy projects using government-
Singapore, Spain, and the United Kingdom.                    supported auctions of offtake agreements,
   As discussed above, the Chilean Government                mandates and portfolio standards in a way that
has also agreed to assist Colombia in designing              could be emulated to increase the demand for
its own green hydrogen roadmap for joining                   green hydrogen projects, which could help
Chile as a large-scale hydrogen producer and                 reduce costs and improve overall economics, as
exporter. The agreement also provides for                    discussed above. In some cases, the auctioned
the creation of a regional plan to promote                   power purchase agreements involved public
the development of the hydrogen industry,                    entities or government support to raise the
which may provide Chile with greater access                  creditworthiness of the offtaker and reduce the
to potential hydrogen buyers in the region.                  overall credit risk of the project, which in turn
Combined with Chile’s trade policies and                     served to lower the cost of financing.
shipping infrastructure, the cost competitiveness               Again, similar approaches could be employed
that Chilean green hydrogen is expected to                   to expand the deployment of green hydrogen
achieve will mean that it will be supplying not              projects in the short to medium term. For
only the growing domestic market, but also the               example, the LADWP Intermountain Power
regional and broader international markets as                Project/ACES Project will be a transformative
well. With plentiful buyers, low export costs and            power and underground storage project
the potential for long-term supply agreements,               with improved bankability given LADWP’s
green hydrogen developers should be able to                  involvement as an offtaker. As we have seen with
demonstrate to investors and lenders that their              the evolution of the renewable energy industry,
projects mirror the favourable economics that                those government supports can be reduced over
drove the success of Chile’s mining industry.                time and ultimately eliminated as the projects
• Addressing offtake risk –- As green hydrogen               become more cost-competitive and accepted by
projects mature and become more familiar                     commercial debt and capital markets.
to industry and investors, they may find that                • Structuring to resolve project-on-project risk –
long-term revenue agreements with reputable                  As previously noted, some observers have
offtakers provide another solution to attracting             noted that green hydrogen projects will have
investment and lowering financing costs.                     difficulties being financed because of project-
In Chile, green hydrogen and its derivative                  on-project risk: a hydrogen production facility
products (such as green ammonia or green                     may require the construction of other facilities
methanol) present the mining industry and                    such as storage or transportation facilities for
retailers with an alternative to fossil fuel-derived         the hydrogen, the production may be primarily
products.                                                    intended for another project that will distribute
   A prime example is the Haru Oni Highly                    or utilise the hydrogen, or the hydrogen
Innovative Fuels (HIF) project mentioned above,              production may require the construction of
which has brought together Porsche, Siemens                  infrastructure to supply inputs such as the
Energy, Andes Mining & Energy (AME), ENAP and                electricity and water supply (or perhaps the
Enel as partners. The project, which has received            renewable energy generation project itself).
substantial financial support from the German                   While the interdependency of these parts of
government, will supply a German oil company                 the project certainly introduces additional risks
with eFuels and will also be able to provide                 to be addressed, we have the experience and
green methanol to ENAP.13                                    tools to structure these complex projects – much
   As we know from past experience with other                like LNG-to-power projects, renewable energy
novel or innovative energy projects, this type of            projects requiring new transmission facilities
long-term offtake contract with a creditworthy               (or vice versa), and midstream projects serving
offtaker is key to demonstrating the demand                  larger manufacturing or production facilities –
necessary to support the development of a                    into bankable projects.
stable, domestic market for green hydrogen                      In some cases, it may be a matter of using
projects in Chile and the bankability of                     a tolling arrangement, minimum capacity
those projects. Government support, in the                   payment or reservation charge to ensure
form of funding, guaranties and other credit                 that a key part of the project is not exposed
enhancements, bolsters confidence with                       to commodity, volumetric or other variable
offtakers that the project will have access to               offtake risk. It may mean requiring termination
the financial resources necessary to realise the             payments where the offtake project does not
project and fulfil the offtake contract, which               proceed. In all cases, the party making those
in turn improve the project’s financeability                 payments must be creditworthy (or provide
and ultimate rate of return. Like the trajectory             appropriate credit enhancements).
observed in the development of renewable                        Another example would be to structure the
generation in Chile, these structural elements               incorporation of hydrogen as a post-financing
work together to push and accelerate the                     phase of a project, as appears to be the case

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with New Fortress’s Long Ridge Energy                       Competitiveness_Full-Study-1.pdf (the Hydrogen
Terminal, which is a gas-fired project in Ohio              Council Report).
that will ultimately run on hydrogen but                    4 – In the Chilean context, renewable energy
that will start with a blend of natural gas and             means energy from non-conventional renewable
hydrogen. In our experience, we would expect                sources (energíasrenovables no convencionales),
to see strategies like these used to overcome               such as solar photovoltaic, wind, small
this type of risk and allow the financing of these          hydroelectric, biomass, geothermal, and tidal
projects to proceed.                                        sources.
                                                            5 – Starting from having virtually no facilities
Conclusion                                                  in 2011, Chile now has more than 6,000MW of
Despite the potential challenges, we remain                 renewable generation installed, representing
very optimistic that the momentum around a                  around 25% of total installed capacity.
transition to a hydrogen economy will continue,             Furthermore, Chile is currently on the path
both in Chile and globally, given the range of              to meeting 70% of its electricity demand with
private sector companies – from oil majors to               renewables by 2050.
renewables companies – and the diverse group                6 – Chile possesses outstanding conditions
of public sector actors that are committed and              for the development of renewable energy, in
actively engaged in different aspects of the                particular the complementary pair of solar and
transformation.                                             wind energy, with the Atacama Desert in the
   This year will be an important year in                   north boasting one of the world’s best solar
assessing the pace of those advances and                    irradiation indexes, and an extensive coastline
whether such pace will follow more conservative             and southern region presenting excellent wind
predictions or accelerate. Of course, it will be            resources.
important to see how we emerge from the                     7 – See Law No 20.257, dated as of April 1 2008;
pandemic midyear. We will also be watching                  Law No 20.698, dated as of October 22 2013.
the trajectory of previously announced green                8 – Chile’s energy auctions have consistently
hydrogen projects and the implementation of                 yielded low prices for energy due to growing
Chile’s National Strategy.                                  participation by renewable generation. In the
   In introducing the National Strategy and                 most recent auction, held in 2017, the winning
building on its competitive advantages and                  bid was priced at US$21.48 per MWh, when
past successes with renewables deployment,                  the average price in previous years had ranged
Chile has emerged as a likely candidate to                  between US$47 per MWh and US$79 per MWh.
perform well in the global green hydrogen                   9 – Chile has the potential to develop more
race. Sponsors and developers of green                      than 70 times its current renewable generation
hydrogen projects, together with the Chilean                capacity, around 1,300GW and 1,800GW. See
government, will nevertheless need to address               Hydrogen Council Report.
the complex commercial and legal challenges                 10 – On January 27 2020, President Biden
and uncertainties that exist in Chile, and                  signed an executive order on key climate
around the world, in order to attract favourable            change actions, which included a direction
financing terms and encourage investment in                 to federal agencies to procure carbon-
the industry. n                                             free energy and electric vehicles, support
                                                            the commercialisation of clean energy
Footnotes                                                   technologies, and accelerate clean energy
1 – See, eg, the DNV GL Group Technology                    generation. See https://www.whitehouse.gov/
& Research Position Paper 11-2020 entitled                  briefing-room/statements-releases/2021/01/27/
“Sector Coupling: Creating an interconnected                fact-sheet-president-biden-takes-executive-
decarbonised energy system benefiting industry,             actions-to-tackle-the-climate-crisis-at-home-
the power sector and society” and available                 and-abroad-create-jobs-and-restore-scientific-
at https://www.dnvgl.com/publications/sector-               integrity-across-federal-government/.
coupling-192058.                                            11 – Chile officially announced the National
2 – See https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/                Strategy during the International Green
research/articles/201119-how-hydrogen-can-fuel-             Hydrogen Summit it hosted in November
the-energy-transition-11740867.                             2020. Since then, the Ministry of Energy
3 – Please see the report from the International            and Mining has been actively promoting the
Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), “Green                     National Strategy through a range of Chilean
Hydrogen Cost Reduction,” available at https://             investment and development agencies, ie
www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/                 CORFO, InvestChile, ProChile, as well as with
latest-news/metals/121720-irena-outlines-path-to-           the active support of the German development
cost-competitive-green-hydrogen-at-scale-report;            agency, GIZ.
see also the report published by the                        12 – See https://www.senado.cl/senado/site/
Hydrogen Council, supported by consulting                   mm/20210113/asocfile/20210113233046/
firm McKinsey & Co, “Path to hydrogen                       iniciativa_h2v.pdf.
competitiveness: A cost perspective,”                       13 – See https://www.siemens-energy.com/
available at https://hydrogencouncil.com/                   global/en/offerings/renewable-energy/hydrogen-
wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Path-to-Hydrogen-                solutions/haru-oni.html.

                        Reproduced from Project Finance International February 10 2021 © Refinitiv
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