Irish Water Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) - Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
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November 2018 Irish Water Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) Network Capital Expenditure Look Back IW/FF/LDB/0115 1 | Irish Water | [Type Document Title]
Contents 1. Executive Summary 3 2. 2017-2019 Network Capex 9 2.1 Introduction 9 2.2 IRC2 CRU allowance and IW outturn/forecast 10 2.3 2017-2019 Portfolio Review 14 2.4 Capital efficiencies 16 2.5 Capex monitoring during IRC2 17 3. Conclusion 19 Appendix A – 2016 network capex 21 Appendix B – Case Studies of Projects Delivered from 2016 to date 24 Appendix C – IP2 outcomes to end 2019 33 1 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
1 Executive Summary 2 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
1. Executive Summary Irish Water (IW) was established in 2014 to provide safe, clean, affordable and environmentally compliant water and wastewater services to households and businesses connected to the public networks. IW supplies drinking water to approximately 80% of the general public (3.3m people), with the remainder supplied by group water schemes and private wells. This is delivered through some 1,000 separate water supply areas and involves the abstraction, treatment and delivery of c.1,700 million litres of drinking water each day. IW also collects wastewater from over 1,000 separate communities connected to the wastewater network (wastewater zones known as “agglomerations”). We treat c.1,200 million litres of wastewater daily, before we discharge it back into our rivers and coastal areas. IW’s operations include several thousand water extraction points, treatment plants, pumping stations and wastewater discharge points, c.63,000kms of mapped water pipelines and an estimated c.25,000kms of wastewater pipelines. The Commission for Regulation of Utilities (CRU) has decided to implement a five year revenue control (RC3) to cover the period 2020-2024. RC3 will be the first long-term revenue control in the water services sector since the establishment of IW in 2014. As such, it is an important milestone in the water services regulatory framework. This review paper forms part of IW’s submission to the CRU for RC3. It covers network capital expenditure (network capex) in the second Interim Price Control period (IRC2) (2017-2019). Investment in network capex since 2014 has delivered major improvements in service and environmental performance. IW has delivered two investment cycles to date. The first Investment Plan for the period 2014-2016 largely involved the completion of projects which the Local Authorities (LAs) had committed to under the Water Services Investment Programme. The second Investment Plan, covering the period 2017-2021, involved closing out legacy LA committed projects. This was combined with a transition to the development of IW’s own projects and programmes at a national strategic level. This second Investment Plan set outcome targets for both 2018 and 2021. We have made considerable progress to date through consistently prioritising investment to deliver the most urgently needed improvements in drinking water quality, water availability, wastewater compliance, efficiency, leakage reduction and customer service. At the same time, we have reacted effectively to high impact national weather events, such as Storms Ophelia and Emma, and national water supply issues due to the recent drought. Since 2014, network investment has delivered substantial benefits to our customers, including: Removal of Boil Water Notices for over 20,000 people that had been in place in 2014 for greater than 200 days; 3 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Removal of over 60,000 population from a Boil Water Notice that had been in place for over 30 days; Leakage reduction (gross) of 163 megalitres per day at the end of September 2018; Completion of work at 144 supplies on the EPA’s Remedial Action List (RAL) for water at the end of September 2018; Removal of 105 schemes from the Priority Areas List (PAL) for wastewater since 20151; Commissioning of 39 new/upgraded water treatment plants; Provision of wastewater treatment at 12 agglomerations previously discharging raw sewage; Commissioning of 90 new/upgraded wastewater treatment plants; and Delivery of nearly 1,400kms of new or rehabilitated watermains. Network capex performance in the 2017-2019 period is expected to largely meet the CRU’s requirements. All capex incurred by IW in IRC2 is both necessary and efficient. Projects and programmes are delivered through IW’s Gate process which is an internal governance procedure to ensure that investment is appropriately prioritised and delivers the best possible value for money. The CRU allowance and IW’s forecasted outturn for the 2017-2019 period is detailed in the table below.2 We expect a small variance of €70m (c.3.8%) above the CRU allowance. In the context of the scale of the investment programme, and the inflationary pressures which are now clearly impacting the construction sector, IW considers this a very strong performance. The Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) indicated that construction tender prices increased by 6.2% in 2017, with a further rise of 7% projected for 2018.3 This level of inflation is being driven by a significant uplift in construction activity and constraints on the availability of construction labour. Similar to any other entity managing a significant investment programme, IW is subject to these market pressures. Given the national scale and scope of our investment programme, these pressures have a significant impact on our costs. The elevated rate of inflation represents a challenge to the delivery of IW’s investment programme for the remainder of IRC2 and is expected to continue into the next RC3 investment period. 1 PAL is only in place with the EPA since 2015. 2 All expenditure figures in this paper are in 2017 monies unless otherwise stated. 2016 and 2017 numbers are outturn figures. As IW’s RC3 submission has been made in Q3 2018, 2018 and 2019 are forecasted budgets. 3 Please refer to the following link here. 4 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
2017-2019 CRU 2017-2019 IW Diff (b) – (a) IP2 Network Capex allowed (a) outturn/forecast (b) Water Projects 499 486 -13 Wastewater Projects 709 551 -158 Water Capital Maintenance 175 61 -114 Wastewater Capital Maintenance 46 66 20 Water National Programmes 243 516 273 Wastewater National Programmes 130 116 -14 Other National Programmes 30 152 122 Total pre 2019 efficiency 1832 1949 117 Projected 2019 efficiency4 47 Total post 2019 efficiency 1832 1902 70 Table E.1 Network Capex 2017-2019, CRU Allowed vs IW Outturn in € millions (rounded). IW’s Capital Investment Plan for IRC2 included service level targets to end 2018 and end 2021.5 These targets, developed during 2016, drew on our 25 year Water Services Strategic Plan (WSSP), IW Business Plan, and the outcomes of our customer and stakeholder engagement process. The targets covered a range of metrics, including Boil Water Notices, the number of untreated agglomerations, and the number of Water Treatment Plants on the EPA’s RAL, among others.6 We are still on track to deliver the majority of these critical investment targets by the end of 2018, including the removal of the last remaining legacy long-term Boil Water Notices. However, the timelines for some targets, such as untreated agglomerations, have been extended, primarily due to complexities associated with legislative, legal, environmental and planning matters. We have also needed to take account of emerging needs, portfolio rebalancing and revised scope, schedules and costings as each programme and project moves from conceptual design to detailed planning and construction. Refinements of this nature over time are expected across all utility investment programmes. For example, unexpected asset failures, new or changing policies, and severe weather events all have a cost impact and must be accommodated within overall funding limits. IW’s investment planning process is now sufficiently flexible to adjust the overall portfolio and adapt to necessary change while protecting the overall strategic intent. We have continued to deliver capital efficiencies through our investment activities. As a national utility, IW takes a strategic, countrywide approach to asset planning and investment. This national focus enables us to take advantage of economies of scale and scope. Our 2014-2021 Business Plan included a challenging objective to deliver €500m in cumulative capital efficiencies and cost savings by end 2021. We recognised c.€290m by the end of 2017 and expect to deliver the remaining c. €210m by the end of 4 IW is projecting €47m in capex efficiency in 2019 but we have not yet determined the category allocation. 5 Investment Plan covering the period 2017 to 2021 6 Please refer to the following link here on the CRU website – CRU/16/345. 5 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
2021, meeting the original target. This has been achieved through a number of initiatives including: Using Asset Management techniques to optimise existing assets; Standardisation of asset technical standards; Centralisation of procurement activities; Contract management, including IW bulk purchasing power; and Value Engineering through implementing innovative solutions that maximise effectiveness of current assets or allow for lower cost alternatives. IW has engaged with, and contributed to, the monitoring structures implemented by our stakeholders. The CRU has, to date, published two reports on IW’s capital investment activities. The first report, Irish Water’s Capital Investment Outputs 2016, sets out the key outputs and outcomes confirmed by IW as delivered during the period from its establishment to the end of 2016. The second report covers key outputs and outcomes delivered by IW in the first six months of 2017.7 IW is also a member of the Outputs Monitoring Group (OMG), which monitors capital expenditure and output delivery. This group was established in early 2018 by the Department Housing Planning and Local Government (Department) to ensure that there is a common understanding of the outputs expected from investment by IW, while respecting the particular statutory roles of the OMG participants - IW, the CRU, the EPA and NewERA. A long term investment perspective is required in order to strategically address the many deficiencies in IW’s asset base. While IW has made significant progress to date, the full repair and upgrading of our water treatment plants, wastewater treatment plants, and water and sewerage networks requires a multi-billion euro investment programme. This will be needed over several investment cycles. There are a number of key challenges facing the water services sector in the years ahead. These are: Enhancing compliance with regulatory standards (both drinking water and wastewater); Addressing the network loss rate, and reduce leakage; Increasing network and treatment capacity to support growth, both social and economic; and Developing the resilience required to cater for greater frequency of extreme weather events. To meet these challenges, increased investment will be required in the coming years. IW is now moving into the RC3 period (2020-2024) and has prepared an Investment 7 Both CRU reports can be found on the CRU website at the following link here. 6 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Plan which accompanies this submission.8 This Investment Plan is significant in that it represents the first five-year portfolio that contains projects and programmes wholly developed by IW. We have projected a network capex investment requirement of €4.8bn for RC3. IW’s service level targets to the end of the period are set within our policy and legislative framework, our funding constraints, and feedback from our two-stage stakeholder engagement process. IW’s Investment Plan for the RC3 period builds on our achievements to date. It has been optimised to allow us to utilise scarce capital by making investments that deliver the best possible service improvements for customers, while maximising value-for- money. 8 In accordance with section 34 of the Water Services (No.2) Act 2013. 7 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
2 2017-2019 Network Capex 8 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
2. 2017-2019 Network Capex 2.1 Introduction IW submitted its second Investment Plan (IP2) to the CRU in 2016, as part of the IRC2 review. IP2 covers the period 2017-2021. The CRU, as part of its IRC2 revenue determination, decided to approve the first two years of the plan, 2017 and 2018. This approval was subsequently extended to the end of 2019. Although IP2 did contain projects and programmes developed by IW, it also included a significant element of LA project commitments (Carryover projects). In developing IP2, IW looked to ensure that the overall investment portfolio was financeable, deliverable, operable and met the needs of our stakeholders and customers. In order to balance the above requirements, we used an Investment Planning Framework to assess each investment option based on its cost, benefits, and contribution to specific targets and needs. This framework enabled an appropriate combination of investment solutions to be identified based on legislative, business and financial constraints. The investment portfolio of IP2 is broken down into the following areas: Water Projects Wastewater Projects Water Capital Maintenance Wastewater Capital Maintenance Water Programmes Wastewater Programmes Other National Programmes Within the current investment period, IW has continued to review and rebalance the overall portfolio to reflect emerging needs and revisions to scope, schedules and costings as each programme and project moved from conceptual design to detailed planning and construction. Refinements of this nature over time are expected across all utility investment programmes. For example, unexpected asset failures, new or changing policies, and severe weather events all have a cost impact and must be accommodated within overall funding limits. IW’s investment planning process is now sufficiently flexible to adjust the overall portfolio and adapt to necessary change, while protecting the overall strategic intent. In the following section, we set out the forecast outturn for each investment category in comparison to the IRC2 CRU allowance. Variances are explained and we highlight examples of how we have reallocated available funding across the overall portfolio, where necessary 9 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
2.2 IRC2 CRU allowance and IW outturn/forecast The CRU allowed network capex for 2017-2019 and outturn/forecast capex are detailed in the table below. At an aggregate level, IW’s network capex investment over 2017 to 2019 meets the overall CRU allowance, with a variance of only 3.8%. 2017-2019 CRU 2017-2019 IW Diff (b) – (a) IP2 Network Capex allowed (a) outturn/forecast (b) Water Projects 499 486 -13 Wastewater Projects 709 551 -158 Water Capital Maintenance 175 61 -114 Wastewater Capital Maintenance 46 66 20 Water National Programmes 243 516 273 Wastewater National Programmes 130 116 -14 Other National Programmes 30 152 122 Total pre 2019 efficiency 1832 1949 117 9 Projected 2019 efficiency 47 Total post 2019 efficiency 1832 1902 70 Table 2: Network Capex 2017-2019, CRU Allowed vs IW outturn & forecast outturn in € millions (rounded). Each of the above investment categories is discussed in turn below.10 Appendix B provides additional detail through case study examples of water and wastewater projects delivered since the start of IRC2. Full details of all IW investment in the period (both financial and outputs/outcomes) are included in the accompanying Business Planning Questionnaire excel file. 2.2.1. Water Projects The category ‘Water Projects’ covers capital expenditure at specific locations that deliver drinking water service improvements. Capex in this category generally covers a new, or upgraded, Water Treatment Plant (WTP) and associated trunk mains. Water projects have a range of associated outputs and outcomes, including improved drinking water quality, the facilitation of growth and the remediation of water supply interruptions. One of the most significant projects in this category is the Vartry Regional Water Supply Scheme (c.€60m in the 2017-2019 period). Works include the construction of the Vartry to Callowhill Pipeline link, the upgrade of the Vartry Reservoir and WTP, and the construction of a new covered storage reservoir at Stillorgan. It will ensure a safe and sustainable water supply for c.200k customers in the north Wicklow and south Dublin areas. It will also remove 10 schemes from the EPA’s RAL. We expect this project to complete in 2021. 9 IW is projecting €47m in capex efficiency in 2019 but we have not yet determined the category allocation. 10 All forecast outturn figures are pre-2019 efficiency. 10 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Another notable project is the Central Kerry Regional Water Supply Scheme (c.€25m in the 2017-2019 period). This project, recently commissioned, involved the construction of a new 51,000 mᵌ/day water treatment plant for central Kerry, including Tralee, Killarney, Castleisland, Castlemaine and the surrounding rural area. It provides a reliable drinking water supply for 62,000 customers and 1.1 million tourists in the central Kerry region, covering nine water supply zones. It also removes six drinking water supplies from the EPA’s RAL. The success of this project is signified by its recent award from Engineers Ireland as ‘Engineering Project of the Year’. Overall, there is a forecasted IRC2 outturn of €486m for Water Projects, €13m below the 2017-2019 CRU allowance of €499m. In the upcoming RC3 period, we will continue to focus on necessary investment to improve drinking water capacity and quality for the current and future needs of our customers. 2.2.2 Wastewater Projects The category ‘Wastewater Projects’ covers capital expenditure at specific locations that deliver wastewater service improvements. Capex in this category generally covers a new, or upgraded, Wastewater Treatment Plant (WWTP) and associated sewers. Wastewater projects have a range of associated outputs and outcomes, including improved wastewater compliance issues and the facilitation of growth. One of the most significant projects in this category is the Ringsend WWTP Upgrade (c. €94m in the 2017-2019 period). Proposed works at Ringsend include the use of innovative Aerobic Granular Sludge (AGS) technology in the existing secondary treatment tanks and increasing the capacity of the plan to 2.4 million population equivalent. We forecast that all upgrade works on the Ringsend site will be complete by 2025. Another significant wastewater project is the Blanchardstown Sewerage Scheme (c. €23m in the 2017-2019 period). This project will facilitate existing and future development in the greater Blanchardstown region and surrounding areas, including Meath and Kildare. It will also reduce the frequency and volume of untreated wastewater overflows from the wastewater network to the River Tolka. Overall, there is a forecasted IRC2 outturn of €551m across Wastewater Projects, which is a variance of c. €158m below the CRU allowance of €709m. This is primarily due to project delivery schedules which have not progressed at the pace originally envisaged in the IP2 profile. We have re-allocated the available investment into National Programmes, which is discussed further below. IW recognises that the delivery of wastewater projects is critical to increase wastewater treatment capacity across the country, to improve environmental protection and to meet our obligations under EU and Irish law. Since 2014, we have upgraded or built new WWTP in 90 locations across the country, including 12 towns where raw sewage was being released untreated directly into the receiving water. IW expects to double the average annual expenditure on wastewater projects from IRC2 to RC3 – rising from c. €184m to c. €414m. Projects such as Ringsend, Arklow Sewerage Scheme, and the Greater Dublin Drainage (GDD) project will drive a significant amount of this RC3 expenditure. These investments are key to improving wastewater services for our customers and delivering on our RC3 outcome targets. 11 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
2.2.3 Capital Maintenance Capital Maintenance is ‘like for like’ replacement or refurbishment of worn out assets. The objective of Capital Maintenance is to find the most cost-effective way of maintaining services, making the best use of existing assets. Prior to the establishment of IW, capital expenditure was predominantly focused on individual projects, building new assets on a county by county basis. In general, very limited funding was allocated to the maintenance of existing asset performance and ‘run to failure’ was common. Insufficient Capital Maintenance results in an increasing number of asset failures which has a knock on impact on both costs and service to customers. This simply defers necessary investment, leading to further asset degradation and greater ultimate costs of remediation. The CRU recognised the importance of increasing Capital Maintenance expenditure during the IRC2 review.11 Drinking water quality, leakage, and internal and external flooding were all addressed under IP2’s Capital Maintenance Programme across water and wastewater. There is a forecasted IRC2 outturn of €127m in Capital Maintenance versus the CRU allowance of €221m (water and wastewater combined). However, since submission of IRC2, we have re-categorised a significant number of the IP2 Capital Maintenance items as IP2 National Programmes. As a result, this projected outturn does not reflect an underspend, but rather a reallocation to other IP2 categories. The €127m projected investment in Capital Maintenance has also been reallocated within sub-categories, reflecting the prioritisation of needs within the period. For example, IW’s 2017-2019 estimate for Capital Maintenance on above ground water assets such as abstraction works, treatment plants, pumping stations and storage reservoirs was €30.5m. We are now expecting to invest nearly double that amount within the period, at €58.5m. Similarly, our estimate for Capital Maintenance on below ground wastewater assets such as sewers, sewage rising mains and outfall pipelines was €21.5m. We are now forecasting IRC2 investment of €30.4m. Failing assets impact on service provision to customers and on the surrounding environment. IW recognises the importance of Capital Maintenance in avoiding asset failure and sustaining asset performance. Within IRC2, we have allocated available resources to address the most urgent requirements. We expect to maintain a strong level of Capital Maintenance activity into the RC3 period and this is reflected in our accompanying RC3 Investment Plan. 2.2.4 National Programmes A key focus of investment in IRC2 is the new National Programmes. These programmes improve our asset information, performance, and service levels across the country, ensuring an appropriate geographic spread of investment. They are designed to deliver a wide range of improvements in both drinking water and wastewater schemes. 11 Please see section 3.5.2.2 Capital Maintenance in CRU IRC2 consultation paper here. 12 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Key programmes to address customer and stakeholder concerns include those to tackle risks to drinking water quality (Water Treatment Programme), lead in water (National Lead Programmes: Lead Service Pipe Replacement and Orthophosphate Dosing) and leakage (First Fix). In wastewater, the progression of Drainage Area Plans, which identify network performance and flooding issues, have also been included. The category “Other” covers National Programmes that stretch across both water and wastewater services, such as energy efficiency programmes. Since the submission of IRC2, we have refined the project and programme portfolio, including merging some programmes where appropriate. One of the most important merged National Programmes (water) is Mains Rehabilitation. High burst rates on certain sections of the water network result in constant interruption of supply to customers and deterioration of water quality. Reduced bursts and leakage levels deliver improved service provision to customers, conserve our precious water supplies, and reduce ongoing operational costs. IW’s original 2017-2019 estimate for merged watermain rehabilitation works was €62m. We now expect to invest double that, at €123m. This strong level of activity is evidenced by the delivery of c.1,400kms of new or rehabilitated watermains from 2014 to date, including c.550kms since the start of 2017. Another important water initiative is the Coagulation/Filtration/Clarification (CFC) programme. This involves the upgrading and installation of new CFC processes to remove contaminants (e.g. THM precursors, turbidity, colour, iron, manganese, etc.) from raw water prior to disinfection. This is a key activity in improving drinking water quality for our customers. IW’s original 2017-2019 estimate for CFC works was c.€14m. We now expect to nearly triple that investment to €37m. This has allowed 15 plants to be upgraded in 2017, maintained Microbiological compliance in the 99.9% range, and improved THM compliance from 91.38% in 2014 to 94.06% in 2017. On the wastewater side, Drainage Area Plans (DAPs) identify the current performance level of our wastewater collection network. This includes level of infiltration/exfiltration, structural deficiencies, hydraulic performance, and significance of individual storm water overflows. All of these factors have a direct impact on the environment and the potential for flooding of homes and businesses. IRC2 represented the start of a national approach to the development of DAPs. Each DAP involves a significant amount of development work, including CCTV mapping. As a result, they can take a number of years to complete. IW’s original 2017-2019 estimate for DAP works was €28.5m and we now expect to invest €24.4m. The deliverables associated with this investment are considerable. Since January 2017 we have developed four DAPs, with an additional 46 underway. Combined, these represent c.38% of the wastewater collection network. For National Programmes overall, there is a forecasted IRC2 outturn of €785m versus the original CRU allowance of €403m (water, wastewater and other combined). This variance reflects a combination of three factors: reallocation within the IP2 portfolio from Wastewater Projects and Capital Maintenance, increased investment in key areas such as Mains Rehabilitation reflecting urgent requirements to address leakage; and 13 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
the initiation of new works to accommodate emerging needs. 2.3 2017-2019 Portfolio Review In accordance with best utility practice, IW reviews and refines its Investment Plan on an ongoing basis to ensure that it: continues to reflect the most urgent investment needs. This includes responding to severe weather events or unforeseen asset failures, e.g. such as those in Staleen in July 2017 and June 2018; captures any required scope changes to projects or programmes; responds to any emerging policy requirements; and takes account of any scheduling changes and revised scope and costings, as each programme and project moves from conceptual design to detailed planning and construction. The portfolio of projects and programmes in IRC2, and the prioritisation of each, continue to change, in response to these drivers. In August 2016, when submitted to the CRU, IW’s Investment Plan contained over 360 individual projects, at various stages of development, together with over 150 programmes. The plan targeted to deliver improvements in drinking water quality and wastewater compliance and to enable economic growth in the wider economy. Less than 10% of the projects were at construction stage in August 2016. Approximately 50% of the projects were still at conceptual design stage, with an indicative scope, and hence their forecasted costs and delivery dates were subject to refinement as the project matured. The overall balance of the investment portfolio between projects and programmes is continuously managed by IW to optimise delivery as detailed designs, costs and schedules are confirmed. Outturn projections (both financial and outputs/outcomes) vary from original estimates for many reasons, including the following: Revised estimates and delivery schedules were prepared for legacy projects which pre-date IW’s establishment. These are now estimated on the same basis as the projects which have originated in IW; Original expenditure and schedule estimates from August 2016 continue to be refined and updated with the latest information as projects and programmes move into detailed design, statutory processes, and procurement; The overall investment portfolio has been rebalanced. In particular, National Programme expenditure has been accelerated to address critical issues. This acceleration was enabled by the extension of some project timelines (particularly Wastewater Projects) and hence lower project expenditure in the early years of the investment period; There has been some re-categorisation of investment, for example from Capital Maintenance to National Programmes; and some additional reallocation within Capital Maintenance. 14 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Emerging needs have been incorporated e.g. critical asset failures and housing infrastructure acceleration; Inflation in the construction sector is exerting significant cost pressure. The Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) indicated that construction tender prices increased by 6.2% in 2017, with a further rise of 7% projected for 2018. The scope of some projects has increased as the delivery solutions became more defined; and During IRC2, IW had to respond to major unforeseen events, including the July 2017 and June 2018 bursts in Staleen;12 Storm Ophelia in October 2017; Storm Eleanor in January 2018; Storm Emma in March 2018;13 and the severe drought of summer 2018.14 IW responded effectively to each of these unpredicted events but, in order to do so, we needed to re-allocate resources (financial, planning, and capital delivery) while maintaining service provision to the greatest possible extent. It is clear that the factors set out above, and their complex interplay, inevitably result in performance variances versus point-in-time estimates. However, at an aggregate portfolio level, IW’s forecasted network capex variance is only 3.8% above the CRU allowance across all network capex line-items. Given the multiple pressures experienced within the period, this represents a very strong performance. IW’s Investment Plan for IRC2 included service level targets to end 2018 and end 2021.15 These targets, developed during 2016, drew on our WSSP, Business Plan, and the outcomes of our customer and stakeholder engagement process. The targets covered a range of metrics, including Boil Water Notices, the number of untreated agglomerations, and the number of Water Treatment Plants on the EPA’s RAL, among others.16 We are still on track to deliver the majority of these critical investment targets by the end of 2018, including the removal of the last remaining legacy long-term Boil Water Notices. However, the timelines for some other targets, such as untreated agglomerations, have been extended, primarily due to complexities associated with legislative, legal, environmental and planning matters. We have also needed to take account of emerging needs, portfolio rebalancing and revised scope, schedules and costings as each programme and project moves from conceptual design to detailed planning and construction, as described above. Expected progress on IW’s targets to the end of IRC2 is set out in Appendix C. The refinement of investment plans over time is normal practice across all utilities. For example, Scottish Water produces an annual update to its 2015-2021 investment programme. IW’s outturn forecasts (both financial and outputs/outcomes) are similarly 12 We estimate that the new Staleen trunk main will be in operation by the end of 2018. 13 All storms required investment in electricity generators to keep treatment plants in operation. 14 Since summer 2018 we have brought forward capital works on the identification and drilling of groundwater boreholes to increase drinking water capacity. 15 Investment Plan 2 covering the period 2017 to 2021. 16 Please refer to the following link here on the CRU website – CRU/16/345. 15 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
subject to further amendment as IRC2 completes and we move into the next investment cycle. 2.4 Capital efficiencies From establishment, IW recognised the importance of delivering efficiencies for our customers. Our 2014 - 2021 Business Plan committed IW to delivering €500 million of capital efficiencies by the end of 2021. We recognised c.€290m by the end of 2017 and expect to deliver the remaining c.€210m17 by the end of 2021. We have developed categories for these capital efficiencies, which are discussed below. Innovative technology options: IW leverages its national utility expertise to develop innovative investment solutions for issues such as increased demand on wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs). We have rolled-out innovative technology and processes in WWTPs since 2014, in plants such as Ringsend and Youghal. These initiatives will result in a smaller plant footprint for equivalent, or an improved, treatment standard. We have identified €131m in savings through such initiatives to the end of 2017. Procurement activities: Frameworks are in place for Engineering Services, Minor Civil works, Water Main Rehabilitation and other services, to drive efficiencies in procurement of frequently purchased services and works. Further procurement savings have been achieved by designing more appropriate contracts, reflecting better risk allocation. We have identified €65m in savings through such initiatives to the end of 2017. Value engineering: There are two elements to Value Engineering that enable capital efficiencies – (i) the development of projects and (ii) construction delivery. i. In the first instance, IW examines project options to meet the required outcome at least cost. This is different to the use of alternative / innovative technologies. For example, 20MLD of water treatment needed across five adjacent towns could be delivered through one large scheme of 10MLD and four small schemes of 2.5MLD. However, it could be more cost effective over the operational lifespan to build one larger 20MLD WTP and increase the surrounding network. This is the case in the design of the Thurles Regional Water Supply Scheme. ii. Value Engineering in construction is largely contractor led and delivers the same outcomes but at lower cost. For example a project which was tendered on the basis of a pipe being installed in a road, may accept a proposal from a Contractor to install that pipe in a verge, which would deliver shared benefits to the contractor and IW. We have identified €77m through both value engineering initiatives to the end of 2017. Standardisation of Design: Prior to IW establishment, professional and construction services were delivered by various suppliers on an ad-hoc basis. 17 Includes €47m of projected 2019 efficiencies. 16 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
This resulted in bespoke design solutions for capital investments and this variability in capital delivery was reflected in higher project costs. By standardising designs, specifications, project management, construction methods, health and safety measures and supervision, IW now drives better value for money. In addition, our implementation of National Programmes, such as drinking water disinfection, allows for economies of scale in design, engineering and project management of nationwide service improvement. We have identified €17m through such initiatives to the end of 2017. 2.5 Capex monitoring during IRC2 It is crucial that the delivery of our Investment Plan is tracked robustly to demonstrate to our customers, the CRU, and other stakeholders that (a) we are making the best possible investment decisions in the drinking water and wastewater services assets; (b) we are steadily improving service delivery; and (c) we are working towards meeting our target outcomes. The CRU has, to date, published two reports on IW’s capital investment progress. The first report, Irish Water’s Capital Investment Outputs 2016, sets out the key outputs and outcomes confirmed by IW as delivered during the period from its establishment to the end of 2016. The second report covers key outputs and outcomes delivered by IW in the first six months of 2017.18 In addition, the Outputs Monitoring Group (OMG) established by DHPLG in 2018 also contributes to the monitoring of IW’s capital expenditure and output delivery. The OMG ensures that there is a common understanding of the outputs expected from investment by IW, while respecting the particular statutory roles of the participants in the group - IW, the CRU, the EPA and NewERA. Among other functions, it also provides a forum to discuss any policy issues and change management issues arising with particular regard to the Government’s Water Services Policy Statement and the River Basin Management Plan. IW will continue to engage with, and contribute to, all capex monitoring frameworks during the remainder of IRC2 and into the next investment cycle, RC3. 18 Both CRU reports can be found on the CRU website at the following link here. 17 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
3 Conclusion 18 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
3. Conclusion IW was established in 2014 to take on the challenge of reforming how Ireland’s water and wastewater services are delivered. Over the course of IRC1 and IRC2 much progress has been made. Our investment to date has delivered real benefits to our customers, including the removal of long-term Boil Water Notices for over 20,000 people and the completion of work at 144 supplies on the EPA’s Remedial Action List. Given funding limits and supply chain capacity, we have prioritised investment to deliver the most urgently needed improvements in drinking water quality, water availability, wastewater compliance, efficiency, leakage reduction and customer service. At the same time, we have reacted effectively to high impact national weather events, such as Storms Ophelia and Emma, and the recent drought. Such emerging needs and unforeseen events have a cost impact and must be accommodated within overall funding limits. These additional demands, inflationary pressures, and other drivers, have resulted in outturn projections (both financial and outputs/outcomes) varying from original estimates. However, IW’s investment planning process is now sufficiently flexible to adjust the overall portfolio and adapt to necessary change while protecting the overall strategic intent. During IRC2, we have rebalanced the portfolio and made necessary revisions to scope, schedules, and costings as each programme and project moved from conceptual design to detailed planning and construction. At an aggregate level, we have performed strongly in the period, and we are projecting a variance of only 3.8% above the CRU allowance while making clear, quantifiable progress in improving water and wastewater services. While IW has made significant progress to date, the full repair and upgrading of our water treatment plants, wastewater treatment plants, and water and sewerage networks requires a multi-billion euro investment programme. This will be needed over several investment cycles. We are now moving into the first full five year regulatory cycle. In developing the RC3 Investment Plan we have refined our approach, building on lessons learned in IRC1 and IRC2. We are confident that our RC3 Investment proposals are once again optimised across our entire portfolio to ensure that we deliver the best possible service improvements, while maximising value-for-money. 19 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
4 Appendices 20 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Appendix A – 2016 network capex Introduction Network capex in IW’s first investment plan (IP1, 2014-2016) was presented broadly in the following categories: Drinking Water; Wastewater; Capital Maintenance; Infrastructure Support; and Metering. 2016 outturn capex versus the CRU allowance is detailed in the table below. In total, there is a variance of €157m below the CRU allowance, which is discussed further below. Network capex since 2016 has been steadily increasing, with 2017 outturn at €489m and ramping up to a 2018 forecast of €630m. 2016 CRU 2016 Diff IP1 Network Capex allowed (a) IW outturn (b) (b) – (a) Drinking Water 84 70 -14 Wastewater 185 128 -57 Capital Maintenance 182 140 -42 Infrastructure Support 72 53 -19 Metering 85 61 -25 Total 609 452 -157 Table A.1 Network Capex 2016, CRU Allowed vs IW Outturn in € millions (rounded) . IP1 categories and spend Water & Wastewater Projects Drinking water capex was comprised of investment in Drinking Water Quality and Drinking Water Capacity. Expenditure on quality included much needed investment to address chronic failures in water quality, e.g. non-compliant water supplies on the EPA’s RAL. Expenditure on capacity included the replacement and rehabilitation of mains and upgrades to existing water treatment plants. There was investment of €70m against the CRU allowance of €84m. One of the main IW drinking water projects in 2016 was the Northeast Roscommon & Ballyleague Regional Water Supply Scheme (€4.9m). This project, delivered in Q3 2017, serves a population of c. 5,400 people in Co. Roscommon. Since 2014, households and 21 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
businesses served by the scheme had been on a Boil Water Notice due to the detection of cryptosporidium in the water. This notice was lifted after project completion. Wastewater capex was comprised of Wastewater Compliance and Wastewater Capacity investment. Compliance projects were those aimed at achieving compliance with statutory standards, e.g. the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive or EPA licence standards. Capacity projects were those aimed at providing treatment or network capacity to deal with deficiencies in capacity and/or to accommodate growth. IW delivered investment of €128m in this category against the CRU allowance of €185m. Almost €50m of the investment was in two of IW’s major projects, the upgrade to Ringsend WWTP and Cork Lower Harbour. Another project that had significant investment (€8.7m) in 2016 was the Youghal Wastewater Treatment Plant / Sewerage Scheme. This project was delivered in Q1 2018. As a result of this investment, there is now no untreated wastewater discharging directly into the sea in Youghal. The works also ensure that wastewater is treated and discharged in compliance with the Urban Wastewater Treatment Regulations and with the conditions of the Wastewater Discharge Licence issued by the EPA. Capital Maintenance Capital Maintenance covered investment in four areas. Water Conservation was a programme focused on renewing or rehabilitating water mains to actively reduce leakage. Minor Capital Works provided for the quick delivery and resolution of customer, compliance and safety issues in partnership with the LAs, for example the fencing of potentially hazardous locations. Minor Capital Programmes was aimed at developing and delivering low capital cost solutions to address quality, statutory and operational efficiency deficits, e.g. disinfection of drinking water supplies. Suppressed Capital Maintenance addressed assets at most risk of failure due to a legacy of under-investment. There was investment of €140m in Capital Maintenance against the CRU allowance of €182m. The largest area of investment in this category in 2016 was watermains rehab (€44m). This was instrumental to the delivery of the c.850kms of watermains replaced over 2014-2016. Infrastructure Support Infrastructure support was comprised of eight expenditure categories19. There was investment of €53m versus the CRU allowance of €72m. This variance was mainly due to the lower than expected uptake in Customer Side Leakage (i.e. First Fix) and the reduction in Legacy Final accounts achieved by IW negotiation. 19 The eight expenditure categories are legacy final account, developer driven reinforcement, HSQE, metering, key studies, capital project office staff, telemetry and Customer Side Leakage. 22 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Domestic Metering The IW Domestic Water Metering Programme was mandated by Government to provide a national infrastructure of domestic water meters. This metering infrastructure is an enabler for demand management, leakage reduction, and network control. There was investment of €61m against the CRU allowance of €85m in 2016. This contributed to the programme’s overall delivery of c.894k domestic meters. 2016 summary commentary There is a combined variance across the 2016 network capex activities of €157m below the CRU allowance, primarily attributable to Wastewater Projects and Capital Maintenance. IW assumed responsibility for providing drinking water and wastewater services in 2014 against a backdrop of historic under-investment. The 2014-2016 period encompassed a transitional phase involving the novation of projects from the LAs to IW (‘Carryover’ projects). IW faced significant challenges during this transitional phase in rectifying water leakage issues and imminent risks to public health from poor drinking water quality and wastewater compliance in some areas. IW also had to operate with a significant data deficit. For example, our 2014 estimate of the water network length, based on existing records at the time, was c.58,000kms. By 2016, through better asset data, we had revised this figure up by 10% to c.63,000kms. The data challenges on wastewater were even more significant, with little information available on the length or locations of the sewer network. Rather than progress all originally proposed investments to meet the CRU allowances, IW took a prudent approach to first gather sufficient robust data to assess the relative merits of each project and programme. This approach is reflective of the strategic, national focus which IW has brought to water services investment in Ireland. . 23 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Appendix B – Case Studies of Projects Delivered from 2016 to date This appendix details a number of projects delivered since 2016 and how they have provided service and environmental improvements. Water Supply Projects B1. Kingscourt Water Supply Scheme (Co. Cavan) Investment Project Name Region Completion (€m) Number Date Kingscourt Water Region 1 - 10001740 €3.5 Million Supply Scheme Dublin/Leinster Autumn 2018 Table B1: Kingscourt Water Supply Scheme Scope: Decommissioning and demolition of 580 mᵌ/day failing water treatment plant (original works commissioned in 1948). Construction of a new 1,040 mᵌ/day water treatment plant. Construction of a new 1,042 mᵌ storage reservoir at the existing Kingscourt site. Construction of an off-site well at Descart, Co. Monaghan. Benefits: 3,200 customers removed from the EPA’s RAL for both the Kingscourt Water Supply Scheme and Ballinaclose Water Supply for THM exceedances. Increase in water supply, eliminated need and associated costs for tankered water supply during high demand periods. 24 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
B2. Burncourt & Fethard Regional Water Supply Scheme / Water Treatment Plants (Co. Tipperary) Project Investment Completion Name Region Number (€m) Date Burncourt & Fethard Regional Water Supply Region 2 10001107 €15.9 million Spring 2017 Scheme / Water - Munster Treatment Plants Table B2: Burncourt and Fethard Water Supply Scheme / Water Treatment Plants Scope: Construction of new 2,600 mᵌ/day water treatment plant at Burncourt and 6,500 mᵌ/day water treatment plant at Fethard. Construction of new 2,600mᵌ water reservoir at Burncourt and 6,500mᵌ water reservoir at Fethard. Construction of new sludge dewatering building, tanks, new river intake works on the Anner River and pumping station for the Fethard Regional Water Supply Scheme. Rehabilitation of 18.3km of water mains in the area. Construction of 1.7km of new access roads. Benefits: Reliable and safe drinking water supply to over 7,000 customers. Removal of boil water notices for over 90 properties in the area. Removal of the Burncourt, Cloran and Gortnapisha supply zones from the EPA’s RAL for inadequate treatment for Cryptosporidium. Improved water pressure in the area. Eliminated water shortages in summer months 25 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Figure B2: Fethard WTP, Co. Tipperary B3. Central Kerry Regional Water Supply Scheme / Water Treatment Plant (Co. Kerry) Investment Completion Project (€m) Date Name Region Number Kerry Central Regional Summer Water Supply Scheme Region 2 - 2018 10001446 €33.5 million / Water Treatment Munster Plant Table B3: Kerry Central Regional Water Supply Scheme / Water Treatment Plant Scope: Construction of a new 51,000 mᵌ/day water treatment plant for central Kerry (Tralee, Killarney, Castleisland, Castlemaine and surrounding rural area). New state-of-the-art water treatment facility includes: o Dissolved air flotation clarification, rapid gravity sand filtration, chemical conditioning and disinfection facilities (pH correction, chlorination and fluoridation); 26 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
o UV pathogen inactivation, incorporating a cryptosporidium barrier and sludge handling facilities; o Treated water pumping facilities to deliver drinking water via the Glenflesk and Sheheree reservoirs; and o Hydroelectric power turbine to generate electricity for the site. Upgrade of water intakes from Lough Guitane, upgrading of raw water abstraction and screening works at River Owgarriff and Lough Guitane. 15,000 mᵌ of water storage. Benefits: Removal of 6 water supplies from the EPA’s RAL (absence of a Cryptosporidium barrier). Reliable and certainty of supply of drinking water for 62,000 customers and 1.1 million tourists in the central Kerry region covering 9 water supply zones. Note: Received Engineers Ireland award for Engineering Project of the Year, 2018. Figure B3: Kerry Central Regional WTP, Co. Kerry 27 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Wastewater Projects B4. Kinvara Sewerage Scheme / Waste Water Treatment Plant (Co. Galway) Completion Project Investment Date Name Region Number (€m) Kinvara Sewerage Region 3 - Scheme / Waste 10001280 Connacht €5.1 Million Spring 2017 Water Treatment Ulster Plant Table B4: Kinvara Sewerage Scheme / Waste Water Treatment Plant Scope: Construction of a new 1,300PE20 WWTP. This plant has an additional capacity of 2,050PE to cater for peaks during the tourist season and provisions for future modular expansion. Project scope also includes construction of a marine outfall pipe and upgrading of access road. Upgrades to the Kinvara wastewater collection network. The construction of new gravity combined sewers (length approximately 900m) from the Gort Road, along part of Main Street (East) and the Quay Road, ending at the wastewater treatment plant. New connections for all customers along the route of the sewerage scheme. The change of use of some of the existing combined sewers to surface water sewers. Benefits: Removal from list of locations highlighted by the EPA in their Urban Wastewater Treatment (UWWT) Report as having no wastewater treatment. The works ensure that wastewater is treated and discharged in compliance with the Urban Wastewater Treatment Regulations and with the conditions of the Wastewater Discharge Licence issued by the EPA. It will also improve the water quality of nearby coastal areas, protecting bathing areas and the aquatic environment from pollution. Elimination of periodic bacterial sewage pollution to commercial/licensed shellfisheries (oysters and shellfish production) located 2km to 3km into the Galway bay. Increased capacity of the drainage network in the town. 20 Population Equivalent 28 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
Accommodation of future population growth or development in the Kinvara area. Figure B4: Kinvara WWTP, Co. Galway B5. Bundoran, Killybegs, Glencolumbkille and Convoy Waste Water Treatment Plants (Co. Donegal) Completion Project Investment Date Name Region Number (€m) Bundoran, Killybegs, Region 3 - Glencolumbkille and €24.4 10001760 Connacht Spring 2018 Convoy Waste Water million Ulster Treatment Plants Table B5: Bundoran, Killybegs, Glencolmbkille and Convoy Waste Water Treatment Plants Scope: Bundoran: construction of a new 12,000PE wastewater treatment plant, a new west end pumping station and rising main, 2.2km of gravity foul sewers, 29 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
refurbishment of the existing main pumping station and construction of a storm water storage tank. Killybegs: construction of a new 4,200PE wastewater treatment plant and a new wastewater collection network. Glencolumbkille: construction of a new 1,000PE wastewater treatment plant and a new wastewater collection network. Convoy: upgraded 3,500PE wastewater treatment plant and upgrade works to the existing sewerage collection network. Benefits: Removal from list of locations highlighted by the EPA in their UWWT Report as having no wastewater treatment No untreated wastewater discharging directly into the sea in the areas of Bundoran, Killybegs and Glencolumbkille. The works in Bundoran have ended the discharge of the equivalent of 9,600 wheelie bins of raw sewage per day into the sea. The equivalent number in Killybegs is 3,300 wheelie bins of raw sewage, and 800 wheelie bins at Glencolumbkille. The works ensure that wastewater is treated and discharged in compliance with the Urban Wastewater Treatment Regulations and with the conditions of the Wastewater Discharge Licence (WWDL) issued by the EPA. It will also improve the water quality of nearby coastal areas, protecting bathing areas and the aquatic environment from pollution. These works and upgrades increase the treatment capacity to meet the current needs of the towns and to allow for future growth. Figure B5: Glencolumbkille WWTP, Co. Donegal. 30 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
B6. Youghal Waste Water Treatment Plant / Sewerage Scheme (Co. Cork) Completion Project Investment Date Name Region Number (€m) 10001156 Youghal Waste Water Region 2 - Treatment Plant / €28 million 10001157 Munster Spring 2018 Sewerage Scheme Table B6: Youghal Wastewater Treatment Plant / Sewerage Scheme Scope: Construction of a new 16,000PE wastewater treatment plant (expandable to 24,000PE). Upgrade of the existing pumping stations. Constructing a new pumping station at Green Park. Installing c. 9kms of new or upgraded sewers and pumping mains. Constructing new rising mains to connect catchments. Benefits: Removal from list of locations highlighted by the EPA in their UWWT Report as having no wastewater treatment. No untreated wastewater discharging directly into the sea in Youghal. The works ensure that wastewater is treated and discharged in compliance with the Urban Wastewater Treatment Regulations and with the conditions of the WWDL issued by the EPA. It will also improve the water quality of nearby coastal areas, protecting bathing areas and the aquatic environment from pollution. Facilitate growth in local population, tourism and economic development 31 | Irish Water | Revenue Control 3 (2020-2024) | Network Capital Expenditure Look Back
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