Business Model Changes of an Incumbent Player in the European Airline Industry A Case of the Lufthansa Group

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Business Model Changes
                                   of an Incumbent Player
                              in the European Airline Industry
                                A Case of the Lufthansa Group

                                                    Author: Julian Dombrowski
                                                        University of Twente
                                                  P.O. Box 217, 7500AE Enschede
                                                         The Netherlands
                                             j.dombrowski@student.utwente.nl

     ABSTRACT
     The purpose of this paper is to investigate in how far influencing environmental factors have caused developments and
     adaptions to a dominant incumbent player of the European airline industry in the last decade.
     As a representative for these various incumbents the Lufthansa Group with its flagship airline Lufthansa has been
     chosen as a unit of analysis. Developments within the group were analyzed by using Osterwalder’s business model
     canvas framework. Subsequently, these developments were not only reported but also put into context of macro-
     environmental and competitive forces that may have caused them in the first place. The data and information have been
     gathered via a desk research approach, analyzing majorly annual reports, press releases and newspaper articles of
     influential papers.
     Results from the research indicate that the Lufthansa Group made majorly small-scale, incremental adaptions to its
     practices over the last decade that may have been caused by social, economical and technological forces in the macro-
     environment, as well as by competition of low-cost entrants in the European short-haul market. A drastic revolution in
     their business model has just emerged within the last couple of years, when a restructuring of the group started. The key
     development, is the decision to move most short-haul operations to the low-cost subsidiary Germanwings, having
     Lufthansa’s focus on the medium-and long-haul market. This finding indicates some sort of convergence of the
     incumbent’s business model on the short-haul segment with the new-entrants approach. Depending on the success of
     this move, it may imply a superiority of the low-cost model in short-haul markets, so that the new hybrid approach of
     operating different business models in separate markets may indicate the a future alternative of international airline
     groups.

     Supervisors:                      Kasia Zalewska-Kurek, PhD.
                                       Björn Kijl, MSc.

     Keywords                          Lufthansa Group, business model, adaption, environmental factor, competition,
                                       convergence, incumbent

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3rdIBA Bachelor Thesis Conference, July 3rd, 2014, Enschede, The Netherlands.
Copyright 2014, University of Twente, Faculty of Management and Governance.
1. INTRODUCTION                                                         appears interesting to see if a convergence of the incumbent to
                                                                        the new model takes place since the business model approach of
For decades the structure of the European aviation market was           the new player Ryanair seems to be more profitable than the
quite predefined due to regulations of the industry. Before the         incumbents approach (see Table 2, p.5) in an industry that is
airline market liberalization, a group of fragmented national air       known to be the least of all in terms of profitability (Porter,
markets existed, which were served by national carriers                 2008). It adds to literature by examining influential
(European Commission, 2012). Airlines could only act between            environmental factors for the airline industry in Europe and by
two markets via bilateral agreements set by governments,                studying in how far a dominant incumbent player’s business
leading to a restriction of market forces and competition               practices have developed as a response to these.
(Butcher, 2010; Morrell, 1998). The whole liberalization of the
                                                                        The outline of this thesis will be as follows: First a theoretical
airline industry aimed at creating a single, integrated European
                                                                        framework will start by giving an insight to the concept of
airline market (European Commission, 2012), with the intention
                                                                        business models, by explaining its origin, issues surrounding
to bring benefits to consumers by lower fares and a wider
                                                                        the theory, its benefits and framework approaches in analyzing
choice of offers, based on the principle of competition (Morrell,
                                                                        the concept. It will be finalized by a short review of academic
1998). Prior to this de-regulation inefficiencies by traditional
                                                                        literature on the topic of business model evolution and causing
carriers were relatively protected due to their monopolies, being
                                                                        factors. In the following the analysis part will begin by
at a disadvantage for consumers and the economy as a whole
                                                                        examining the dominant factors that may have affected the
(Doganis, 1994; Wright, 2014). The market liberalization took
                                                                        development of business models in this market. As a final step
place as a series of three packages that were gradually
                                                                        the dominant incumbent player the Lufthansa Group, with its
implemented in the time period of 1987 to 1997 by the
                                                                        flagship Lufthansa, will be studied to identify adaptions in its
European Commission (Butcher, 2010; Morrell, 1998). Results
                                                                        business model, which may represent a response to observed
from the liberalization were new entrants to the industry in
                                                                        environmental factors, and to see if a convergence to the new
general (Doganis, 1994; Morrell, 1998) and the emergence of
                                                                        business model approach, driven by low-cost principles, is
new players as low-cost airlines like Ryanair, Virgin Express or
                                                                        detectable.
Easyjet (Buck & Lei, 2003; Graham, 1998; Mason, 2001). This
so-called liberalization of the European aviation market can be
seen as the trigger for the evolution of new business models in         2. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
the aviation industry in Europe, which were further
accommodated by influential environmental factors. In                   2.1 Business Models: Origin, issues,
particular did the liberalization of the aviation market open the       functions and frameworks
doors for the “new” business model of low-cost carriers.
According to the German Aerospace Center “Low cost carriers             2.1.1 A business model, what is it?
[…] focus on cost reduction in order to implement a price               The concept of business models is among the most prominent
leadership strategy on the markets they serve.” (DLR, 2008, p.          topics in modern literature (Baden-Fuller & Haefliger, 2013;
8). Before the liberalization the models of charter airlines and        Chesbrough & Rosenbloom, 2002), while at the same time
full service carriers solely dominated the market. As the               being one about which little consensus among academics exists.
dominant incumbent a full service carrier can be defined as “a          (Al-Debei & Avison, 2010; DaSilva & Trkman, 2013).
“legacy” or “full service network carrier” is an airline that           As described in DaSilva and Trkman (2013) and Osterwalder,
focuses on providing a wide range of pre-flight and onboard             Pigneur and Tucci (2005) “business model” as a term has been
services, including different service classes, and connecting           first used by Bellman et al. in an academic article published in
flights.” (DLR, 2008, p. 5).                                            1957. Nevertheless, business models as a widely used topic
The research goal of this paper is to determine in how far the          have just become popular since the advent of the Internet age,
business model of a dominant incumbent following a full-                especially among high-tech start-ups (DaSilva & Trkman, 2013;
service approach has developed over the last decade. A focus            Demil & Lecocq, 2010; Magretta, 2002; Osterwalder et. al.,
lays on developments in response to environmental factors               2005; Shafer, Smith, & Linder, 2005). Nonetheless, the concept
influencing the industry in Europe, and to explore if a                 did not only attract the interest of consultants and managers
convergence to the more novel low-cost model is observable.             (DaSilva & Trkman, 2013), but as well of academics and
                                                                        researchers, as an analysis of the term business model in the
As a guiding research question the following will serve:                electronic bibliography “Scopus” (www.scopus.com) shows.
In how far did a dominant incumbent firm of the European                Published literature in the disciplines of accounting and
airline industry react in response to environmental changes, by         management sciences containing the term within the text or in
making adaptions to its underlying business model over the last         the title has substantially increased up from year 2005, as
decade?                                                                 visible in Figure 1.
A sub-question relevant in the analysis part will be: What have         A key issue concerning the concept is that “no generally
been dominant environmental factors that affected the evolution         accepted definition of a business model has emerged” (Shafer et
of business models in the European airline industry?                    al., 2005, p. 202). Baden-Fuller and Haefliger (2013) define a
                                                                        business model as “a system that solves the problem of
This topic appears worth discussing in times when European
                                                                        identifying who is (or are) the customer(s), engaging with their
airlines as the AirBerlin Group are in severe financial troubles
                                                                        needs, delivering satisfactions, and monetizing the value.” (p.1).
(AirBerlin, 2014; Vasagar, 2014), while the low cost airline
                                                                        In contrast to that Chesbrough and Rosenbloom (2002) rather
Ryanair has been able to report new record profits in its most
                                                                        see a business model as a mediator between technical inputs
recent annual report of 2013 (Ryanair, 2013). Furthermore, it
                                                                        and economic outputs, which is needed for successful

                                                                    1
commercialization. Shafer et al. (2005) define it as “a                                            particular business-model acts as some sort of filter, which will
representation of a firm’s underlying core logic and strategic                                     focus on particular practices and activities, while other
choices for creating and capturing value within a value                                            alternatives may get neglected and sorted out (Chesbrough &
network” (p. 202).                                                                                 Rosenbloom, 2002; Teece, 2010). Furthermore, business
                                                                                                   models “can be powerful tools for analyzing, implementing and
                                                                                                   communicating strategic choices” (Shafer et al., 2005, p. 200).
                               2500	
  
                                                                                                   Next to that a business model may act as some sort of common
                               2000	
  
                                                                                                   language among stakeholders and serve as a cognitive tool for
                                                                                                   visualization (Arend, 2013). As Zott and Amit (2010) describe
  #	
  of	
  Publica,ons	
  

                               1500	
                                                              it business model choice is of crucial importance for a variety of
                                                                                                   reasons. Firstly, it determines the set of activities performed and
                               1000	
                                                              resources needed by a company; secondly, it determines the
                                                                                                   ability to create and gain value, depending on the competitive
                                500	
                                                              surrounding; thirdly, it determines a company’s bargaining
                                                                                                   power, again depending on the competitive environment
                                    0	
                                                            determined by the choice of business model; and lastly, it as
                                            1961	
  
                                            1969	
  
                                            1972	
  
                                            1975	
  
                                            1978	
  
                                            1981	
  
                                            1984	
  
                                            1987	
  
                                            1990	
  
                                            1993	
  
                                            1996	
  
                                            1999	
  
                                            2002	
  
                                            2005	
  
                                            2008	
  
                                            2011	
  
                                            2014	
  
                                                                                                   well predetermines a company’s key partners, suppliers and
                                                                                                   customers outside its own micro environment. Next to that,
                                                                                                   paying attention and gaining an understanding of the concept of
                    Figure 1: Amount of publications in the electronic                             business models is important, since if done well they have the
                  bibliography “Scopus” in the fields of accounting and                            chance to reshape industries and the competitive environment
                   management containing the term “business model”                                 (Johnson, Christensen & Kagermann, 2008; Teece, 2010).
                                                                                                   Osterwalder et al. (2005) identify five functions that the
Another interpretation is given by Zott and Amit (2010) who
                                                                                                   concepts of business models serve. They help to gain an
describe it as “the content, structure, and governance of
                                                                                                   understanding of the core business logic and facilitate sharing
transactions designed so as to create value through the
                                                                                                   with others, it contributes to analyzing the business logic, it
exploitation of business opportunities” (p.219). Osterwalder et
                                                                                                   improves the management of a company, and lastly it enables to
al. (2005), who gained popularity in the field of business
                                                                                                   compile possible scenarios and futures of a business. According
models, define it as:
                                                                                                   to Chesbrough and Rosenbloom (2002) a business model has
                                  “A conceptual tool that contains a set of elements and           the following six functions: a) to articulate the value
                                  their relationships and allows expressing the business           proposition; b) identify a market segment; c) define the value
                                  logic of a specific firm. It is a description of the value       chain structure; d) estimate the cost structure and profit
                                  a company offers to one or several segments of                   potential; e) describe the firms position within the value
                                  customers and of the architecture of the firm and its            network; and f) formulate a competitive strategy. Magretta
                                  network of partners for creating, marketing and                  (2002) sees business models as some sort of hypotheses, which
                                  delivering this value and relationship capital, to               are getting tested in the progress of business and are as a
                                  generate profitable and sustainable revenue streams.”            response to feedback and success adapted. “A business model’s
                                  (p.16).                                                          great strength as a planning tool is that it focuses attention on
In 2010, Osterwalder and Pigneur presented another definition,                                     how all the elements of the system fit into a working whole.”
which is comparatively short to their previous one: “A business                                    (Margretta, 2002, p.6).
model describes the rationale of how an organization creates,                                      What becomes evident from this section is that academics
delivers, and captures value” (p.14). At last, a very different                                    haven’t found a universal agreement on the pure functions of
approach is taken by Magretta (2002), who claims that business                                     business models yet, which probably results from different
models are “stories that explain how enterprises work.” (p.4).                                     research backgrounds and different underlying definitions of
These stories will then answer questions concerning customer                                       what the concept actually is and contains. Albeit, there is some
segments, what customers do value, how to make money, and                                          agreement that the choice for a specific approach of a business
how to deliver value at a low cost.                                                                model is of great importance for a company, since it will have
As this input of only a few definitions shows, there is clearly no                                 profound influence on future decisions and the market a
conformity on the concept yet. Concluding, one can say that                                        company is operating in. For example, it may pre-determine the
most prominent definitions have the aspect of value, either in                                     available supplier base, the market segment and a company’s
the sense of creating it and transferring it to consumers or                                       competitors. Next to that, it appears as well that research so far
otherwise taking the company’s perspective in capturing it, in                                     agrees to a certain extent that a business model facilitates the
common.                                                                                            understanding of core ideas and the sharing of these with others
                                                                                                   as possible investors or stakeholders, like employees and
2.1.2 Functions of business models                                                                 suppliers.
A critical question is why business models are perceived as
such important and what their use is for companies. Baden-                                         2.1.3 Issues relating the concept
Fuller and Haefliger (2013) for example argue that a “business                                     Besides being a very popular topic, business models remain as
models choice determines the nature of complementarity                                             well extremely controversial, as expressed by an over-existence
between business models and technology and the paths to                                            of definitions, which is as well acknowledged by academics
monetization. A poor choice can lead to low profits, a good                                        (DaSilva & Trkman, 2013; Osterwalder et al., 2005). Al-Debei
choice to superior profits.” (p. 4). Next to that the choice of a                                  and Avison (2010) claim such a lack of consensus may as well

                                                                                               2
come from the fact that the concept of business models is                     business model according to two dimensions. On the one hand
         investigated by a variety of different research backgrounds and               design elements describe a companies content (what activities
         is applied by practitioners according to their individual                     are done?), structure (how are activities linked?), and
         company’s context. This trouble of research being conducted by                governance (who and where will activities be performed?).
         various academic perspectives, which leads to different                       These design elements describe the basic set up of the company.
         interpretations of the business model concept, is further                     On the other hand they are not complete and useful without
         supported by Chesbrough and Rosenbloom (2002), as well as                     design themes, which describe the general competitive
         Shafer et al. (2005). Next to that “one of the shortcomings in                approach taken by a company. Those can be novelty
         business model literature is that the different authors rarely                (innovative approach), lock-in (buy in elements to keep
         build on each other. Consequently, business model research as a               consumers), complementarities (activity bundling) or efficiency
         whole advances more slowly than it could and often stays at a                 (reducing costs by optimization). According to this framework
         superficial level.” (Osterwalder et al., 2005, p. 33). As Al-Debei            companies’ need to make decisions about all those design
         and Avison (2010) observe business-models are frequently                      elements and combine them with themes, which will result in a
         falsely used and confused with other management concepts as                   distinctive business model and by that an individual way of
         strategy, supporting confusion and discussion about the concept               creating and capturing value. Another framework is the V4
         (DaSilva & Trkman, 2013; Magretta, 2002). However, Shafer et                  Business Model Ontological Structure proposed by Al-Debei
         al. (2005) bring it quite straightly to the point; a business model           and Avison (2010). At its core it consists of four value
         is not at a strategy, which is further supported by Teece (2010).             dimensions; starting with the value proposition as the central,
         Chesbrough and Rosenbloom (2002) define three major points                    most important factor. Next to that value-architecture,
         of difference between the concepts of strategy and business                   comprising resources and competences; value-finance,
         models; those are a) a clearer focus on value capturing by the                including revenue streams and pricing models; and the value-
         strategy concept; b) financial dimensions are more frequently                 network, representing the inner and outside relationship web,
         neglected in business models; and c) strategy assumes                         form the residual three dimensions. A tool that has become
         availability of a vast amount of reliable information, while                  prominent recently, and which will be used as a tool of analysis
         business models assume limited knowledge biased by previous                   in this paper, is the business model canvas framework of
         experiences. A further critical difference to strategy lies in the            Alexander Osterwalder, which is based on work of his doctoral
         fact that business models do only describe how the links of an                dissertation in 2004 (Osterwalder, 2004). The business model
         enterprise work, however they do not take care of competition                 canvas consists of nine building blocks forming the four key
         as a factor (Magretta, 2002), which is a fundamental element in               pillars of the framework, which are offer/ product, customers,
         strategy.                                                                     infrastructure and financial viability. Those building blocks are
                                                                                       arranged visually as a framework, which can be frequently used
         2.1.4 Frameworks for analysis                                                 as a template for printing and a consequential analysis. As the
         Several academics have proposed so-called frameworks, meta-                   authors describe it themselves, the business model canvas forms
         models or ontologies, which shall enable an easy analysis of                  “a shared language for describing, visualizing, assessing and
         companies’ business models by determining which elements are                  changing business models” (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010,
         typically expected in a business model. Similarly, entrepreneurs              p.12). Due to its set up it allows a comprehensive and accurate
         can use such frameworks in order to facilitate the development                assessment of an enterprise and its environment (Anderson et
         of their own business model. Zott and Amit (2010) propose an                  al., 2006). This is as well acknowledged by Maurya (2012),
         activity system design framework, which disassembles a                        who used the canvas business model as a basis for his design of
                            Table 1: The pillars and corresponding building blocks of the “Business Model Canvas Framework”
Pillar     Pillar                   Building Block              Description
           Offer / Product          Value Proposition           “The aggregation, or bundle, of benefits that a company offers customers.”
                                                                (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010)
           Customers                Customer segment            “The different groups of people or organizations an enterprise aims to reach and
                                                                serve.” (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010)
                                    Channels                    “Describes how a company communicates with and reaches its customer segments to
                                                                deliver a value proposition” (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010)
                                    Customer Relationships      “Describes the types of relationships a company establishes with specific customer
                                                                segments. ” (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010)
           Infrastructure           Key resources               “Describes the most important assets required to make a business model work.”
                                                                (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010)
                                    Key activities              “Describes the most important [actions] a company must do to make its business
                                                                model work.” (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010)
                                    Key partnerships            “Describes the network of suppliers and partners that make the business model
                                                                work.” (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010)
           Financial viability      Revenue streams             “Describes the way a company makes money through a variety of revenue flows.”
                                                                (Osterwalder, Pigneur, & Tucci, 2005)
                                    Cost structure              “Describes all costs incurred to operate a business model.” (Osterwalder & Pigneur,
                                                                2010)

                                                                                3
a lean canvas, which is similar to Osterwalder’s but has a focus        In order to analyze business model factors causing dynamics in
on entrepreneurs designing their own start-up business models.          the European airline industry a guiding model or framework is
Table 1 gives a short description of the individual building            needed. Since this analysis will take place at an industry level, it
blocks and their affiliation to the four pillars.                       will be focused on macro-environmental factors. A useful tool
As with the definitions, the approaches to a framework or               for such an analysis is presented by the PESTEL framework,
ontology differ again, depending on the researcher describing it.       which “categorizes environmental influences into six main
However, it is as well visible that a central part in most              types: political, economic, social, technological, environmental
frameworks is the aspect of value, which is transferred to a            and legal.” (Johnson, Whittington, & Scholes, 2011, p. 50). It
customer. Summarizing it can be said, as Al-Debei and Avison            appears to be a valid approach, since for example Kijl et al.
(2010) support it, that the business model concept in general           (2005) describe the framework as “useful for analyzing [macro-
needs clarification and consensus, so that as a final result a          environmental] factors that are affecting organizations.” (p. 8).
unified single framework can be created.                                When talking at the industry level a major factor that may cause
                                                                        dynamics can be competition, which should not be neglected.
2.2 Business model dynamics                                             Since competition does not represent a macro-environmental
                                                                        factor the PESTEL framework does not cover it. An important
After having gained an insight into the concept of business             concept describing this force is represented by Michael Porter’s
models, the topic of evolution and innovation of business               five forces framework (Johnson et al., 2011; Porter, 1979). The
models and the driving factors, which may lead to such                  framework helps in assessing the degree of competition in a
developments, are still missing and will subsequently evaluated.        particular industry and by that its attractiveness. It consists of
“Business model innovation refers to the search for new logics          the five competitive forces: the threat of new entrants, the
of the firm and new ways to create and capture value for its            bargaining power of buyers, the bargaining power of suppliers,
stakeholders […].” (Casadesus-Masanell & Zhu, 2013, p. 464).            the threat of substitutes and the extent of rivalry among existing
                                                                        competitors (Johnson et al., 2011; Porter, 1979; Porter, 2008).
As observed by Kijl, Bouwman, Haaker and Faber (2005) the
question of which factors may drive a change in business
                                                                         Macro-environmental

                                                                                                                                        Competitive forces
models for firms is not in depth investigated by researchers yet.
Therefore, the key question concerning this topic is what kind                 forces
of factors may have an influence on business models of                                                Operating
companies.                                                                                          Business Model

Demil and Lecocq (2010) say, “a business model may evolve as
response to both external and internal factors” (p.236). External
factors are according to the authors equal to environmental
changes as new entrants or increased costs for key resources.
                                                                                                              Adaptions &
Other external factors that may trigger a need for adaption in a
                                                                                                              developments
business model can be innovative technologies, deregulation or
market changes (Al-Debei & Avison, 2010). According to
Teece (2010) factors might be market changes, technologies or
legal developments. Baden-Fuller and Haefliger (2013) argue
that business model innovation does not necessarily need a shift
                                                                                                         New
in technology to occur, an example stated by them would be the                                      Business Model
just-in-time principle, developed and adopted in Japan. As said
before, Demil and Lecocq (2010) argue that those dynamics do
not only emerge from the outside of a company but can as well
arise from the inside. They name four overarching areas of
                                                                        Figure 2: Potential forces influencing the adaption to a new
change within a firm that may give rise to shifts in a dominant
                                                                                               business model
business model. Those are a) crucial management decisions; b)
uncontrollable developments in elements (e.g. reputation or
externalities); c) the interaction of elements within core              3. METHODOLOGY
components (e.g. synergies); and d) interactions between core
                                                                        This paper follows a qualitative, exploratory research approach,
components (e.g. complementarities).
                                                                        in order to gain insights to market developments of the
One thing various scholars agree on is the factor of competitive        European airline industry and emerging trends in business
advantage. As Teece (2010) claims “business model innovation            approaches. The analysis of this paper consists of two parts,
can itself be a pathway to competitive advantage if the model is        firstly, a study of factors influencing business models that are
sufficiently differentiated and hard to replicate for incumbents        prevalent in academic literature and secondly, a study of the
and new entrants alike” (p.173), which is as well supported by          developments in the business model of a dominant incumbent
Magretta (2002) saying that a business model itself can be a            of the full-service airline approaches.
competitive advantage in the market. Besides that, Weiller and
Neely (2013) frame it in a different way by observing that              The data for the literature review has been gathered by the use
companies have to develop their business models in order to             of the electronic bibliographies and search engines Scopus,
retain their initial competitive advantages.                            Google Scholar and the library catalogue of the University of
                                                                        Twente. Furthermore, the so-called snowball method (van
                                                                        Aken, Berends, & van der Bij, 2012) was used, especially

                                                                    4
tacking the approach of backward snowballing, which is the                in the residual building blocks will be more briefly studied as
tracing of influential references used in relevant literature. An         well.
initial screening of the abstract and contingently its conclusion
assessed academic articles, in order to see a potential                   As a key player the Lufthansa Group, as representative of full-
contribution to the literature review. As a basis of analysis the         service airlines is chosen. The Lufthansa Group is picked since
                                                                          it represents Europe’s biggest airline group (Statista GmbH.,
PESTEL framework is used, since macro-level factors shall be
identified, having an impact on all industry players as a whole           2014) having a long heritage in the passenger market and being
not only on single ones. However, the analysis will be focused            as well by that a dominant incumbent player of the industry.
on the dimensions of economical, social and technological                 The Lufthansa Group as a whole operates in a variety of
aspects, making it rather an EST analysis. This focus is done,            different business segments; nevertheless the analysis will focus
since it is assumed that those dimensions contain most                    on the passenger airline segment, with the flagship Lufthansa.
influential drivers for a distinct development in business                As a major unit of analysis Lufthansa Passage will be studied,
practices. Next to that, it is expected that factors in other             since it represents the traditional core element of the group.
                                                                          During the analysis of certain building blocks other subsidiaries
dimension, as regulatory compliance, would have an influence
on business models in the industry, however not in way that               of the group may become part of the analysis as well. In Table 2
may have lead to differentiated adaptions and evolutions.                 key figures of the Lufthansa Group are presented, for
Economic factors will be studied with focus on macro-                     comparison the corresponding data of Ryanair, representing
environmental developments as increases in consumer demand,               Lufthansa’s biggest European competitor in the short-haul
economic growth or shifts in disposable income. Social, or                market and being at the same time a pioneer of the low-cost
respective socio-cultural factors do include lifestyle trends,            approach in Europe, are shown as well.
shifts in consumer preferences and attitudes or demographic                   Table 2: Key figures of the Lufthansa Group and its
changes. Finally, technological factors will concentrate on                                   competitor Ryanair
technological shifts and advancements as the role of the Internet
or progress in communication technologies.
The PESTEL analysis will be accompanied by an assessment of                Ownership         German “Aktiengesellschaft” Public limited company
the industry’s competitive situation by the use of Porter’s five           structure            Public limited company
                                                                           Founded           1953                            1985
forces framework. The individual dimensions will be shortly                Headquarter       Cologne, Germany                Dublin, Ireland
assessed in the first part of the analysis, a focus will lie on the        CEO               Carsten Spohr                   Michael O’Leary
present and growing rivalry among existing players. This focus             Business          1. Passenger Airline            1. Passenger Airline
                                                                           segments               Operator                        Operator
is done, because it is assumed that competitive rivalry forms a                              2. Logistics
significant influence on the business practices of incumbents in                             3. Maintenance, Repair &
the industry. Besides, the other four dimensions form the                                         Overhaul
                                                                                             4. Catering
competitive environment of the industry in general, but may not                              5. IT Services
have lead to individually different business model adaptions of            Destinations      274                             180
new and incumbent players. Furthermore, it is based on the                 Fleet size        6221                            305
                                                                           # Employees       118, 214                        9,059
limitation of a restricted length of this article, which inhibits
                                                                           # Passengers      104.58 million                  79.3 million
both a complete PESTEL and five forces analysis, without                   Turnover          € 30.02 bn.                     € 4.88 bn.
acting on a superficial level.                                             Profit            € 313.00 mil.                   € 569.30 mil.
                                                                           1
                                                                             20 airplanes belonging to the Lufthansa Cargo (Logistics) segment
In its second part the analysis will take form of a case study,            Sources:
examining the development of core business practices of one                Ryanair, 2013; Ryanair, 2014a; Ryanair 2014b; Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2014c
key player of the full-service business model approach over the             !
                                                                          The approach for analyzing developments of this player will be
last decade by using Alexander Osterwalder’s canvas                       done via the assessment of secondary data. An essential source
framework (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2010). A study of these                 will be annual reports prepared and published by Lufthansa
developments will especially try to reveal distinctive reactions          from 1997 to 2013, next to that press releases, newspaper
to observed influencing environmental forces. Reasons for                 articles and website information will serve as further sources. A
choosing the canvas framework for analyzing the business                  limitation of taking annual reports as a main source might be a
model developments are that it takes a holistic approach, being           positive bias towards the companies’ performances (Demil &
not only focused on revenue and cost streams. Next to that the            Lecocq, 2010). Due to the high regulatory demands put on these
argumentation of Maurya (2012) is followed in saying that the             reports they appear to be still a valid source.
framework allows a fast and concise analysis of a company’s
business practices. The analysis will give a special focus on the
building blocks of key partners, value offering, customer                 4. ANALYSIS
segments and the financial structure consisting of revenue
streams and a company’s cost structure. By this at least one              4.1 Driving factors to business model
dimension of every pillar of the business model framework is in           changes
depth investigated. The focus on these dimensions is grounded
by the assumption that differentiated adaptions to the                    4.1.1 The macro-environment
incumbent’s business model have occurred in these sections,               4.1.1.1 Economical
indicating an evolution of the business model. Nevertheless,              The growth in disposable income (Eurostat, 2014) has made it
since a business model has to be analyzed as a whole, changes             possible for more people to take advantage of air travel
                                                                          (Dresner, 2006; Graham, 2006; Graham & Shaw, 2008).

                                                                      5
However, demand is not only raised by an increase in average              one can see Germanwings offering blind-booking services.
disposable income, but as well by lower ticket fares in the               Here leisure travelers can select a package, representing the
short-haul market (Wensveen & Leick, 2009). As Graham &                   possibility of various destinations for a comparable low price
Shaw (2008) state low-cost airlines do not only benefit from              (Germanwings, 2007). Until the purchasing process is finished
increased demand by an increase in disposable income, but they            customers do not know what their travel destination will be,
as well facilitate that development by pushing market fares               expressing someway the willingness of choosing low-costs for
further down (O’Connell & Williams, 2005). Another feature,               an unknown outcome (Mason, 2005).
that belongs partly to the political dimension and which
contributes to increased demand in the tourism industry in
                                                                          4.1.1.2.2 Fragmentation of the business traveller
general and the airline industry in particular, is the enhanced           segment
freedom of movement of people (Mason & Alamdari, 2007),                   Literature recognizes a decreasing propensity of people using
which expresses itself in the abolishment of inter-European               business class offerings, especially on the short-haul
borders. Not only economic development but as well low-cost               destinations, instead switching to the cheaper economy class
carriers themselves contribute to increased interest in air travel,       (Mason & Alamdari, 2007) or even to low-cost airlines (Fourie
as Graham (2006) argues low-cost carriers are generating traffic          & Lubbe, 2006; Mason, 2005).
by encouraging more frequent flying, instead of only “appealing           As Dresner (2006) says “a key difference between leisure and
to the less wealthy parts of the population” (p. 19). Therefore, it       business passengers, […], relates to their price elasticity of
is assumed that increased demand for air travel in the European           demand” (p.29). Instead of looking primarily for low-costs,
Union is an economic driver for adaptions in airlines’ business           business passengers are rather valuing time (Dresner, 2006),
models. It is proposed that this factor may have been generated           which may benefit low-cost carriers, since their business model
by general lower competitive airline fares and a higher                   aims for a higher frequency of flights, by having low
disposable income of EU citizen, which may have lead to a                 turnaround times (ELFAA, 2004). Gilbert, Child and Bennett
higher amount to spend.                                                   (2001) conclude that quite a lot of business people would be
4.1.1.2 Social                                                            willing to use low-cost airlines, indicating those could make use
In the social dimension of the PESTEL framework two major                 of the business passenger segment as long as they would offer
trends can be observed, which are namely a developing                     frequent flights and have a high punctuality. Furthermore, do
affection of consumers for shorter but more frequent holidays a           business passengers increasingly use low-cost carriers because
year and a fragmentation of business travellers, which will be            of a more dispersed choice of destinations (Mason & Alamdari,
explained in a moment.                                                    2007).

4.1.1.2.1 Shifts in consumers’ holiday preferences                        It is further observed that the two types of business and leisure
                                                                          customer are quite similar in a variety of aspects, making it not
In general it can be said that leisure travel has risen on a much         that necessary for airlines and airports to differentiate between
faster level than business travel (Dresner, 2006; Mason &                 them (Dresner, 2006), as for example via separated cabins.
Alamdari, 2007), making it important to look on developments              However Huse and Evangelho (2007) conclude that there are
in this customer segment.                                                 two types of business travellers. On the one hand the no-frills
It is observable that the valuation of time has changed in recent         passengers having a more simplistic attitude towards the travel
decades. A tendency towards taking shorter holidays but those             service and on the other hand the so-called luxury-loving
then more frequently a year has developed (Buhalis & Law,                 passengers, who value mile programs, lounges and service
2008; Mason & Alamdari, 2007; Teichert, Shehu, & von                      quality quite high. Especially “senior executives seem to be
Wartburg, 2008). As Graham (2006) further states this is partly           keen on business lounges” (p.266). A further result of the
due to increased work pressures in today’s society, leading to            research of Huse and Evangelho (2007) is the importance of
fear of job loss and the unwillingness to stay away from the              exposure to low-cost services. They found out that a significant
work place for too long time. Next to that the sociological               amount of business passengers do reassess the no-frills services
development of couples having both partners full-time working             provided by full-service airlines against the increased price,
may make it increasingly difficult to arrange joint long-term             once they have been flying with the low-cost alternative, being
holiday breaks. Moreover, do flexible working arrangements                in favor of the latest. With regard to special business customer
make it as well possible to take an extended weekend break, as            segments it is likely that especially small and medium
for example a short city-trip (Graham, 2006). In this dimension           enterprises (SMEs) are rather looking at the price when
low-cost airlines are not only a big winner from this                     selecting business travel opportunities (Fourie & Lubbe, 2006;
development but as well actively encourage weekend-breaks                 Graham & Shaw, 2008; Mason, 2001; O’Connel & Williams,
(Buck & Lei, 2003). Due to this, it can be argued that besides            2005), than big, listed corporations having travel policies and
price level and economic conditions, time available for leisure           designated departments for arranging trips, who may able to
activities is an important determinant in the demand for leisure          negotiate special terms (Mason, 2001; O’Connell & Williams,
travel services (Graham, 2006). This is especially important for          2005).
air travel services, since shorter holidays may imply that                The findings from the literature, concerning reassessment of
minimizing travel time becomes gradually more important to                inflight services, as well as the continuous use of low-cost
benefit most from the holiday (Graham, 2006).                             airlines by business customers, actually gives rise to the
Nevertheless, Mason and Alamdari (2007) say “low fares have               assumption that a price elasticity of demand for business
been the main stimulus for growth in leisure travel, with leisure         passengers partly exists, which would be in favor of the new
passengers being prepared to switch destination for good deals.”          low-cost model approach. This is supported by Mason &
(p. 303). As an example of a low-cost airline reacting on this,

                                                                      6
Alamdari (2007) and is by that somehow in contrast to the                 various alliances of airlines (Buhalis, 2004). Though, if
statement of Dresner (2006).                                              passengers use those platforms for finding low fares they appear
                                                                          to be more beneficial for low-cost carriers who are then
4.1.1.3 Technological                                                     displayed more frequently. Such ICT progress leads to an
A further factor that benefited adaptions in business models of           increased price transparency (Buhalis & Law, 2008; Mason &
the airline industry and the emergence of low-cost carriers has           Alamdari, 2007) leading to lower competitive fares, which is
been the Internet and technological progress in general (Gilbert          further accommodated by technological advancement as more
et al., 2001; Mason & Alamdari, 2007). Buhalis (2004) goes so             fuel-efficient air planes (Franke, 2007), enhancing the demand
far and says that the arrival of the Internet enabled new business        by leisure passengers (Mason & Alamdari, 2007).
models in the airline industry to emerge. It is clear that not-only
low-cost carriers benefited from the Internet but the industry as         However, Mason & Alamdari (2007) as well recognize that
a whole, including charter and full-service carriers. The                 ICTs may as well decrease demand for air travel services, as for
important difference however is that low-cost carriers may have           example business customers need to travel less frequently for
been better able to take advantage of this initial technological          meetings, since web-conferences represents a fast and
shift in certain areas as operational efficiency, since they were         extremely cost efficient alternative.
less inclined by established practices (Buhalis, 2004; Buhalis &
Law, 2008). The use of information and communication
                                                                          4.1.2 The competitive environment
technology (ICT) made it possible for all players to improve its          This section will focus on the current competitive rivalry in the
operations, as fleet or staff utilization, or improve in-flight           European airline industry as an external force to incumbents’
entertainment and traveller satisfaction (Buhalis, 2004; Buhalis          business models in the market. The residual four forces are as
& Law, 2008), which appears to be more important for full-                well briefly displayed, since they shape the competitive
service carriers. Most importantly for low-cost carriers did the          situation in the industry in general, however it is assumed that
Internet and ICTs make it possible to directly communicate                competitive rivalry is the main force causing dynamics in
with customers and by that pushing away intermediates as                  incumbents’ business models.
travel agencies (Buhalis, 2004), having more direct, online               Rivalry among competitors in the European market can be said
bookings by customers (Gillen & Lall, 2004), which reduces                to be high (Wright, 2014), several players compete on similar or
costs dramatically. Another form of those intermediates that              even the same routes within the intra-European market. This
emerged in the travel industry have been online-travel agencies           rivalry as well expresses itself in a low average-profitability of
as Expedia and more significantly websites comparing flight               the industry in general (Porter, 2008).
fares online, as Swoodo or Opodo, which have been set up by
                                                                          With regard to environmental factors that may cause business

                  Economical
                                                                                        European Airline Industry
   !    increased demand for air travel in
        Europe, possibly due to lower
        competitive fares and growing
                                                                                                 Low$Cost(Carriers(
        disposable income of citizens

                                                                                                         Ryanair

                                                                                                         Easyjet
                      Social
   !    tendency to shorter but more frequent
        holiday breaks in leisure travel
   !    fragmentation of business passengers in                                                 Competitive Rivalry
        luxury loving and no-frills attached
   !    decreasing propensity of business class
        users, especially on short-haul

                Technological                                                                          Lufthansa
   !    occurrence and improvement of the
        Internet
   !    rapid progress in the quality of
        information & communication                                                            Full-Service Carriers
        technologies

       Figure 3: Driving factors of the macro- and competitive environment to business model changes of incumbent full-service
                                                players in the European airline industry

                                                                      7
model dynamics, competition by other players can be assumed             dynamics are rather expected to be focused on the short- to
to have a profound influence on incumbents’ practices. In this          medium-haul market. Nevertheless one could argue that it is
sense, especially low-cost airlines as Ryanair and Easyjet              some sort of reaction to a continuous increase in air travel
represent a threat to the incumbents of the industry in Europe          demand, since those alliances and joint ventures promote a
(Deckstein & Mahler, 2011; Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2011b).               more dispersed offering of destinations. However alliances can
The importance to see competition, especially of low-cost               rather not be seen as a reaction on the dynamic of technology
players, as an external force that may cause alternations in            but that they are rather facilitated and enabled by the improved
Lufthansa’s business model expresses itself in the increasing           ICT capabilities of all partners. With regard to competition of
market share of low-cost players (DLR, 2008; Thomas, 2013).             low-cost airlines, the situation is alike to the social dimension.
As the German Aerospace Center reports low-cost airlines                The competition of low-cost airlines is focused on the inner-
increased their market share in seat capacity from 1998 with 5%         European short-haul market, while these alliances are
to 2008 with 30% in the European geographic market (DLR,                concentrated on the long-haul destinations to connect
2008). In a recent press release the European Commission made           continents. Nevertheless, one could argue that alliances try to
it even more drastic by stating “In 2012 for the first time, low-       promote more frequent long-haul travel by that tacking away
cost airlines (44.8%) exceeded the market share of incumbent            customer from the short-haul market and by this from low-cost
air carriers (42.4%), a trend which continued in 2013.”                 competitors.
(European Commission, 2014, para. 9). The significance as a             A second development that occurred on a continuous basis in
factor is even more evident by the fact that Ryanair nowadays           the last decade is the acquisition of and investment in other
forms Europe’s second biggest airline after the Lufthansa               airlines. Acquisitions are majorly focused on the inner
Group (Statista GmbH., 2014), being the biggest rival on the            European market as SWISS Airlines (Deutsche Lufthansa AG,
short-haul market for the incumbent. If looking at airlines             2008) or Germanwings (Eurowings, 2014), while investments
individually, Ryanair is even exceeding the passenger numbers           do rather occur into other continental operating markets.
of Lufthansa, as a single airline. Based on these observations it       Examples of investments are share acquisitions of the no-frills
is proposed that competition by low-cost airlines forms a               airline JetBlue Airways in the United States (Deutsche
driving external force to the incumbent’s business model,               Lufthansa AG, 2009; JetBlue Airways, 2014) or the joint
represented by the Lufthansa Group, potentially causing                 venture of Sun Express with Turkish Airlines (SunExpress,
adaptions to it.                                                        2014), however this joint venture had already been started way
For thoroughness the residual dimensions of the five forces             ahead of Lufthansa’s privatization. This development is
framework are subsequently evaluated in Box 1 presented in              assumed to be a reaction on environmental factors in the
appendix 9.5.                                                           economic and social dimension. First the increase of the group
                                                                        network facilitates the range of offered destinations to
4.2 Business model dynamics of the                                      customers, which is needed to meet increasing demand and
                                                                        potentially to promote further new demand. Depending on the
Lufthansa Group                                                         level of interactions and created synergies with alliance
The following section will display observations of                      partners, joint ventures and subsidiaries, the Lufthansa Group
developments and evolutions in the Lufthansa Group’s business           and its partners may actually be able to actively shape the
practices. Selected building blocks of the business model               economic factor of increasing demand for air travel by pushing
canvas framework will be displayed in depth while the residual          down fares due to lower costs. Next to that, the acquisition and
ones won’t be neglected but more briefly studied. Those                 investment in budget airlines as Germanwings, show a reaction
developments will not only get described but as well put into           on the social dynamics of no-frills business travellers and as
potential relations to already analyzed influencing                     well shorter holiday breaks. These shorter holiday breaks are
environmental factors.                                                  for example promoted and answered by Germanwings, which
                                                                        had introduced their blind-booking service in 2007
4.2.1 Key Partners                                                      (Germanwings, 2007), which reacts and facilitates the demand
In this building block one can observe several developments             of short-haul weekend trips. Besides, the investment in budget
that in its essence have already been pursued by the Lufthansa          airlines may show some sort of reaction to the driver of low-
Group since its privatization in 1997. Those developments can           cost competition. In the case of Germanwings this is done via
be categorized in the sections of creation of alliances and joint       entering the low-cost segment in Europe and actively
ventures, subsidiaries plus investments and the Star Alliance.          competing with the low-cost players in their own segment. In
                                                                        the other cases it appears to be more like a financial investment
It can be observed that within the last decade the Lufthansa            to get a return, since those players operate on different short-
Group has set up a vast amount of alliances around the globe as         haul markets, away from the home base of the Lufthansa
well as joint ventures, as the A++ for the North American               Group. Otherwise these investments may function to get some
market in cooperation with United Airlines and Air Canada               foot into these markets, to supplement long-haul arrivals in
(Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2011a) and J+ for the Asian market in           these regions. Finally, as with the creation of alliances
cooperation with All Nippon Airways (Deutsche Lufthansa AG,             technology can rather not be seen as a driving force leading to
2012a). These alliances and joint ventures have brought benefits        this development, but again acts more as a facilitator, since
to consumers by enabling easier switches between flights and a          improved ICT capabilities encourage a more easy and intense
generally higher accessibility of destinations (Deutsche                cooperation between the different Lufthansa Group members
Lufthansa AG, n.d.a). This development can not be seen as a             and partners.
reaction on factors in the social dimension since these alliances
majorly have effects on the long-haul market, while social

                                                                    8
A last finding, which is detectable in this section, is the heavy       previous low-cost customers to reassess the value of these
focus of the Lufthansa Group on the STAR Alliance that has              services and switch their supplier of travel services back to
grown rapidly since its foundation in 1997, having today 26             Lufthansa. Further, it may support the retaining of already
members (Star Alliance, 2014). It is observable that several of         existing customers, who place a higher value on service than on
the former bilateral Lufthansa alliance partners became                 price and may recognize a continuous improvement of the
subsequently integrated into the STAR Alliance. Due to the fact         technological service provided by Lufthansa.
that the foundation of the Alliance lies even a substantial time        A second development is focused on luxury loving customers,
span before the turn of the millennium raises doubt if it can be        meaning business and first class customers of Lufthansa. As
seen as a direct reaction to analyzed environmental forces in the       with the Star Alliance, Lufthansa has already used certain
dimension of economical, social and technological factors as            offerings as business lounges and designated cabin segments for
well as competition. Profound answers on that could only be             decades, however they have as well been continuously
given by internal company data. Nevertheless the alliance group         improved to meet contemporary technological standards, as for
incorporates responses to some of the factors, which are similar        example the equipment of all their lounges with WLAN
to those of the bilateral Lufthansa alliances and joint ventures.       hotspots as a reaction to technology advancements (Deutsche
The STAR Alliance reacts and promotes demand for air travel             Lufthansa AG, 2004). However, those actions are nowadays in
by increasing the destination network and it tries to give              times of smartphones relatively outdated. Other adaptions for
satisfaction to luxury loving business travellers by making             more price insensitive customers have been the building of a
services as lounges and mile upgrades available within the              whole first class terminal at the main hub Frankfurt
whole alliance network (Singapore Airlines, 2014; Turkish               International Airport (Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2005)
Airlines, 2008). However, as criticized by CNN benefits for             accompanied by special first-class lounges and areas at other
customers are just superficial if one is a less-frequent flyer          main hubs. These first-class services for example include
(Snyder, 2011). Again this alliance network appears to be               special limousine services or the provision of personal
facilitated and improved over time by the development in ICT            assistants for the term of stay. Furthermore did the Lufthansa
capabilities, nonetheless ICT capabilities are not assumed to be        Group establish a complete new subsidiary in 2005, namely
a driving force for this adaption in the key partner building           Lufthansa Private Jet (Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2006). However
block. Next to that, it does not appear to counteract to low-cost       this feature plays partly in the building block of customer
competition, since the alliance is more aimed on the long-haul          segments. It offers customers almost, if not the same, inflight
market.                                                                 services as during a first class flight, with the difference of
4.2.2 Value Proposition                                                 having the plane solely for yourself and your guests. Therefore
The building block of value proposition describes the value that        it can be said that this offering is rather designated for
is delivered to the customer in form of the product and service         completely price insensitive consumers. It is proposed that by
offering. In here Lufthansa has reacted to three influencing            these actions and adaptions to their product and value offerings
forces, namely the social and technological environmental               Lufthansa clearly responds to the social dynamic of different
dimensions as well as to low-cost competition.                          types of (business) travellers, being focused on the segment of
                                                                        high-class luxury loving passengers. At the same time this
A key feature of a customer’s flight experience is probably             developments may react on the competition of low-cost airlines,
represented by contemporary inflight entertainment, which               since by these changes Lufthansa clearly differentiates its
Lufthansa constantly tried to maintain and improve. As an               offering from its biggest rivals in the market. Albeit, it appears
example they introduced as part of their air fleet overhaul in          doubtful in how far the introduction of Lufthansa Private Jet
seat monitors for watching most recent TV shows and movies              affects its low-cost competition since it seems unlikely that
or for playing video games, which is mostly focused on long-            those customers would usually consider low-cost services of
haul operations (Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2008; Deutsche                  other airlines in the short-haul market.
Lufthansa AG, 2009). Next to that Lufthansa was the first
airline introducing Internet on its long-haul flights between           4.2.3 Customer Segments
2004 and 2006 (Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2004; Deutsche                    The next building block under analysis is represented by the
Lufthansa AG, 2005). This offer has been again introduced in            adaptions to the customer segments of the Lufthansa Group.
late 2010 for North-Atlantic flights after Lufthansa was able to        Here findings are most recent and as well most crucial for the
find a suitable partner (Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2011a). The             overall analysis. As a first thing Lufthansa announced in 2012
newest innovative adaption by Lufthansa is called                       that they would introduce the new cabin offering of premium
BoardConnect, which shall be introduced in 2014 (Deutsche               economy class on long-haul flights (Deutsche Lufthansa AG,
Lufthansa AG, 2013c.). This system allows passenger to access           2013a). As recently announced this service adaption will start in
an app on their smartphones or tablet computer by which they            the end of 2014 (Bryan, 2014a; Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2014a;
can make use of all inflight entertainment or place a menu order        Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2014b). The class combines inflight
with one of the flight attendants (Lufthansa Systems AG.,               services with a tendency to the level of the business class with a
2014a). All these adaptions to the delivered customer value             more affordable lower price. A substantial change represents
clearly represent a reaction to the dynamic of rapid                    the option for premium economy passengers to access airport
improvements in ICT and the Internet technology. Similarly,             lounges for a fixed fee of 25€ (Deutsche Lufthansa AG, 2014b),
the introduction of Internet offerings during the flight may as         which were before exclusively accessible if a customer
well appeal to business travellers since it may allow them to           belonged to business or first class or had a high frequent flyer
keep on working during a long-haul flight. Likewise does                status. It is expected that this adaption is intended to serve the
Lufthansa react to the competition of low-cost airlines, by             more price sensitive customers, which are at the same time
improving their inflight-service value, which may convince              attracted to more luxurious services, and would therefore be

                                                                    9
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