Broker Barometer 2021 - Together - Shawbrook Bank
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Broker Barometer 2021 Together THIS DOCUMENT IS FOR PROFESSIONAL INTERMEDIARIES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE SHOWN TO POTENTIAL CLIENTS Broker Barometer 2021 1
Foreword Property Investment Market remains optimistic in the face of continued Covid-related uncertainty. Shawbrook’s 2020 Broker Barometer looks at the primary concerns of the broker community, revealing a largely positive outlook for 2021. 1. Broker optimism continues… 2. Lending restrictions remain a key concern Despite on-going uncertainty as we continue to navigate the Brokers reported that ‘lending restrictions’ remain their top challenges of the pandemic, brokers remain optimistic when concern for 2021, with ‘valuation issues’, ‘Covid restrictions’ looking at the year ahead. Over two thirds (67%) of commercial and ‘product availability’ also ranked highly for anticipated brokers said they were confident about the UK lending challenges. environment this year, whilst 60% state they felt confident about the growth of their business. Whilst it’s great to see such positivity among our broker community, we’re very aware of the challenges they face Second charge brokers reveal a more cautious view, with this year and as we head further into lockdown 3.0, it is Emma Cox only 30% feeling confident about the lending environment crucial that lenders continue to support and work closely Sales Director, and 19% about business growth. with their broker partners. Property Finance Division, Confidence in the UK economy has grown across both This is very much front of mind for Shawbrook and we Shawbrook Bank commercial and second charge brokers since our last plan to continue investing in our business with product Barometer six months ago, with 44% of commercial brokers and technological enhancements, supported by and 50% of second charge brokers showing confidence in a robust appetite to lend across all our markets. this area for 2021 – a 10% increase across both. We encourage you to reach out to your Regional It’s encouraging to see that since the height of the first Development Manager to discuss any of these issues lockdown, 58% of commercial brokers and 66% of second and we look forward to supporting you throughout 2021. charge brokers have seen an increase in business volumes of more than 20%. This strong bounce back is likely to be a key factor in their optimistic view of the year ahead. Broker Barometer 2021
BTL, Commercial & Bridging Broker Barometer 2021 3
How would How would you compare you compare business volumes business volumes from the start of from April 2020 2020 to the (during the present day? height of the UK lockdown 1.0) to the present day? -40% 8% -40% 9% -30% 14% -30% 5% -20% 18% -20% 7% -10% 9% -10% 7% No Change 12% No Change 5% +10% 9% +10% 9% +20% 20% +20% 19% +30% 8% +30% 18% +40% 3% +40% 22% Broker Barometer 2021 4
Q5 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to your business in 2021? Q5 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to your business in 2021? 74% 74% 66% 66% 47% 47% 31%31%29%29% 22% 22% 16% 15% 16% 15% Lending restrictions Lending restrictions Valuation issues What do you anticipate as Valuation issues Covid-19 restrictions Covid-19 restrictions the three biggest Transactions being put on hold Transactions being put on hold Product availability challenges to Product availability Brexit uncertainty Brexit uncertainty Other Otherwindow shopping Client Client window shopping your business in 2021? Broker Barometer 2021 3 5
12% 19% 24% 11% 34% Q6 Thinking ahead to 2021, how confident are you about the following? Very concerned 11% Fairly concerned Indifferent The lending environment The UK economy Business growth Fairly confident 3% 10% Very confident 4% 12% 62% 19% 45% 24% 40% 11% 34% Very concerned 11% Fairly concerned 15% Indifferent 5% 4% Fairly confident 10% Thinking Very confident 62% 45% about the year ahead, how 40% confident are you about the 15% following? 5% 4% Broker Barometer 2021 6
77% 65% 59% What do you 45% 77% 22%65% anticipate as 18%59% 14%45% the three biggest 22% operational 18% 14% challenges in 2021? Navigating the product landscape Growing the business Retaining competitive advantage Lead generation Navigating the product landscape Digital adoption Other Growing the business TransitioningRetaining competitive back to working advantage in an office Lead generation Digital adoption Other Transitioning back to working in an office Broker Barometer 2021 7
Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021? Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021? 52% 46% 43% 42% 31% 25% 19% 14% 13% 5% 5% 4% 52% 46% 43% 42% 31% 25% 19% What do youValuation issues Financial challenges (personal finances) Tenant arrears Interest rates anticipate as Slow market bounce back Securing tenants the three biggest Job certainty Additional licensing Valuation issues Tenant arrears Falling property prices Other Financial challenges (personal finances) Interest rates challenges Impact of Brexit Vacant properties Slow market bounce back Securing tenants to face your Job certainty Additional licensing Falling property prices Other clients in 2021? Impact of Brexit Vacant properties Broker Barometer 2021 8
Q9 Which area of the property market do you think will experience the strongest growth in 2021? 29% 29% Buy-to-Let Bridging 14% 14% 14% Semi-commercial Investment Second Charge Mortgages % 29 11% 3% Residential Commercial Investment 11% 3% Which area of the property market do you think will % 29 14 % experience the strongest growth in 2021? Broker Barometer 2021 9
Increase Do you think Q10 Do you think it is likely that investors will look to increase or reduce their property portfolio in 2021? Decrease it is likely that investors will Don't know Increase look to increase Decrease or reduce Don't know their property portfolio in 2021? 62% ? 29% 10% Broker Barometer 2021 10
Q11 Did you support the Stamp Duty Holiday being introduced in July 2020? 86% 86% 10% 10% ? 4% ? 4% Did you support the Stamp Duty Holiday being Yes introduced No Yes Not sure No in July 2020? Not sure Broker Barometer 2021 11
Q12 What impact have you seen as a result of the Stamp Duty changes? Increased investment in the property market Regional inequality Higher LTVs Increased valuation requests Resilient property prices No real impact 8% Other 12 % 63% 33% What impact 14% have you seen 4% 7% as a result of the Stamp Duty changes? Broker Barometer 2021 12
Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery? Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery? Strongly agree Strongly agree Agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Disagree 37%37% Strongly disagree Strongly disagree 37% 37% Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended 14% 14% past March 2021 to aid market 10% recovery? 10% 1% 1% Broker Barometer 2021 13
2% Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery? What do you 7% 2% ? anticipate as the biggest impact 41% 7% of Stamp Duty 43% Holiday ending 41% in March 2021? 43% 7% 7% 34% Reduced investment in the market 34% 54% Rising property prices Falling property prices Reduced investment in the market Transactions not completing by the deadline 54% Rising property prices Backlog of work in Jan‐March 2021 Falling property prices No real impact Transactions not completing by the deadline Other Backlog of work in Jan‐March 2021 No real impact Other Broker Barometer 2021 14
Q15 Do you feel that you and your business are prepare ness are prepared for Brexit? Do you feel that you and your ? business are 18% prepared for Brexit? 1% 81% Yes No Not sure Broker Barometer 2021 15
Q16 What do you think will be the most challenging impact of Brexit on the property market? What do you 48% think will be the most challenging impact of Brexit on the property market? 35% 14% Reduced numbers of EU investors Nervous attitudes amongst investors Changes to laws and regulation Broker Barometer 2021 16
Second charge Broker Barometer 2021 17
How would How would you compare you compare business volumes business volumes from the start of from April 2020 2020 to the (during the present day? height of the UK lockdown 1.0) to the present day? -40% 23% -40% 8% -30% 31% -30% 15% -20% 15% -20% 4% -10% 8% -10% 4% No Change 15% No Change 0% +10% 0% +10% 4% +20% 4% +20% 8% +30% 4% +30% 31% +40% 0% +40% 27% Broker Barometer 2021 18
12% Lending restrictions Covid-19 restrictions Product availability 3 What do you anticipate as the three biggest 4% Valuation issues challenges to Brexit uncertainty Transactions being put on hold your business Other in 2021? Client window shopping Q5 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to your business in 2021? 96% 69% 54% 27% 19% 19% 12% 4% Lending restrictions Covid-19 restrictions Product availability Broker Barometer 2021 19 Valuation issues
Thinking ahead to 2021, how Q6 Thinking ahead to 2021, how confident are you about the following? confident are The lending environment The UK economy Business growth you about the 0% 0% following? Q6 Thinking ahead to 2021, how confident are you about the following? 12% The lending environment The UK economy Business growth 38% 3% 42% 4% 69% 12% Very concerned 19% Fairly concerned 12% 24% Indifferent Fairly confident Very confident 11% 34% Very concerned 11% 27% Fairly concerned 46% Indifferent 15% Fairly confident 10% Very confident 15% 19% 0% 62% 0% 45% 4% 40% Broker Barometer 2021 20
81% Growing the business 62% Lead generation 62% Navigating the product landscape 35% Retaining competitive advantage 35% 19% Transitioning back to working in an office 8% Digital adoption Other What do you anticipate as the three biggest operational Growing the business Lead generation challenges Navigating the product landscape in 2021? Retaining competitive advantage Transitioning back to working in an office Digital adoption Other Broker Barometer 2021 21
Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021? Q8 What do you anticipate as the three biggest challenges to face your clients in 2021? 92% 92% 35% 27% 23% 15% 8% 4% 4% 92% 92% 35% 27% 23% 15% 8% 4% 4% Financial challenges (personal finances) Job certainty Valuation issues Securing tenants What do you Slow market bounce back Vacant properties anticipate as the three biggest Financial Falling challenges property prices (personal finances) OtherValuation issues Impact of Brexit Job certainty Securing tenants Slow market bounce back Vacant properties challenges to face your Falling property prices Other Impact of Brexit clients in 2021? 0 20 40 60 80 100 Broker Barometer 2021 22
2% growth in 2021? Q9 Which area of the property market do you think will experience the strongest 1 42% 38% 0% Buy-to-Let Second Charge Mortgages Residential Commercial Investment 4% 12% 4% Semi-commercial Investment Bridging 42% BridgingResidential 4% Commercial Investment Second Charge Mortgages 12 % 4% 0% Buy-to-Let Semi-commercial Investment 38 42% 38% % Second Charge Mortgages Residential 42% 12% 4% Bridging Commercial Investment 4% area 0% Which of the property Buy-to-Let Semi-commercial Investment 38 market do % you think will experience the strongest growth in 2021? Broker Barometer 2021 23
Do you think it is likely that investors will Q10 Do you think it is likely that investors will look to increase or reduce their property portfolio in 2021? look to increase or reduce Increase Decrease their property Don't know portfolio in 2021? ? 54% 31% Do you think it is likely that investors will look to increase or reduce their property portfolio in 2021? Increase 15% Decrease Don't know Broker Barometer 2021 24
Q11 Did you support the Stamp Duty Holiday being introduced in July 2020? 86% 81% 10% 0% ? 4% ? 19% Did you support the Stamp Duty Holiday being Yes introduced No Yes Not sure No in July 2020? Not sure Broker Barometer 2021 25
Q12 What impact have you seen as a result of the Stamp Duty changes? What impact have you seen In as a result of 8% R the Stamp Duty H In changes? R N O 19 % 58% % 42 Increased investment in the property market Regional inequality Higher LTVs 4% 4% Increased valuation requests 8% Resilient property prices No real impact Other Broker Barometer 2021 26
Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recovery? Do you think that the Stamp Duty Strongly agree Holiday should Agree 23% be extended Neither agree nor disagree Disagree past March 2021 Strongly disagree to aid market recovery? 38% Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Hol 31% Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree 8% Strongly disagree 0% Broker Barometer 2021 27
Q13 Do you think that the Stamp Duty Holiday should be extended past March 2021 to aid market recove Reduced investment in the market Rising property prices 4% Falling property prices Transactions not completing by the deadline Backlog of work in Jan‐March 2021 No real impact Other 12% 31% ? 8% 42% What do you anticipate as the 35% biggest impact of Stamp Duty Holiday ending in March 2021? 42% Broker Barometer 2021 28
ness are prepared for Brexit? Yes No Not sure ? 27% 4% Do you feel that 69% you and your business are prepared for Brexit? Broker Barometer 2021 29
Q16 What do you think will be the most challenging impact of Brexit on the property market? What do you think will be the most challenging impact Q16 Whatof Brexit do you think will be the most challenging impact of Brexit on the property market? on the property 50% market? 46% 50% Nervous attitudes amongst investors Changes to laws and regulation 46% Other Nervous attitudes amongst investors Changes to laws and regulation Other 4% Broker Barometer 2021 30
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