BRITISH BEER A report on the 2015 Members' Survey of the Society of Independent Brewers
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BRITISH BEER A report on the 2015 Members’ Survey of the Society of Independent Brewers Dr. Ignazio Cabras Newcastle Business School University of Northumbria in Newcastle Commissioned and published by SIBA MARCH 2015
1 Foreword By Mike Benner, Managing Director, SIBA A Remarkable Year for British Beer! Welcome to the all-new 2015 SIBA ‘British Our members are keen to boost BRITISH BEER Contents Beer’ Report. their businesses through export and clearly more support and help is Business School at the University of Foreword������������������������������������������������� P1 In recent years the independent British needed by both Government and SIBA Northumbria in Newcastle. Ignazio is a brewing industry has been a leading light in this area. Tax relief is also essential leading economist with a great interest A report on the 2015 Executive Summary�������������������������������P2-3 in great British manufacturing, creating thousands of new jobs across the country to most of our members; 90% regard in and passion for beer having published Small Breweries’ Relief at at least current Members’ Survey of the SIBA Membership���������������������������������P4-5 with dozens of new and exciting brewing levels to be essential or very important to several studies on the economic and social impacts of beer, brewing and businesses setting up every year. Never has their businesses and this hints strongly at Society of Independent Brewers this been more true than in 2015. the opportunity to extend this winning pubs. Ignazio is an active member of the ‘Beeronomics Society’, an international 1. Introduction��������������������������������������P6-9 scheme to create even greater benefit and This report sheds even more light on the organisation which comprises high-profile Dr. Ignazio Cabras promote growth. academics and economists worldwide, 2. Data Analysis������������������������������������� P10 trends in the independent brewing sector as represented by SIBA members1. and chaired the third Beeronomics Newcastle Business School It’s a win for consumers too. The market conference in 2013 – the first in the UK. 2.1 Beer Production�������������������������P11-13 leading innovation of the independent Looking at the whole of the UK beer University of Northumbria in Newcastle sector together with the huge consumer– Our partnership brings a new focus to market in 2014 we saw thousands of 2.2 Beers�����������������������������������������P14-15 led boom in the number of brewers our survey report and the credibility and new jobs created in brewing and pub Commissioned and published by SIBA means beer drinkers are faced with independence that comes from working retailing, UK beer sales were in growth for unprecedented beer choice and access with a University. In these days of statistics 2.3 Employees���������������������������������P16-18 the first time in a decade, there are more MARCH 2015 to a simply amazing and ever-expanding to make every case, we think it is important breweries per head of population than range of beer styles. that our report stands up to scrutiny and 2.4 Business Activity�������������������������P20-23 any other country in the world, huge increases in sector-wide investment and is highly regarded as evidence in support With over 1,400 breweries estimated to the lowest increases in pub beer prices of the various campaigns run by SIBA on 2.5 urrent Investments and Future C produce around 8,000 regular beers and since records began. behalf of independent brewers. Developments ���������������������������P24-26 thousands more seasonal and one-off beers, consumers are enjoying a beer Our report is a tool of our new strategy. These overall positive trends set the 2.6 Your Brewery and SIBA������������������� P28 revolution never seen before. Almost every SIBA’s vision to ‘deliver the future of British tone of our report on the independent community boasts at least one brewery beer and become the voice of British brewing scene and the findings of our producing great local beers usually 3. SIBA’s Direct Delivery Scheme������������� P30 members’ survey underpin these exciting brewing’ is as ambitious as it is exciting enjoyed sociably in community pubs. and the key findings of the ‘British Beer’ developments. Comments and suggestions������������������� P32 report provide essential market insight SIBA, the Society of Independent Brewers, The survey results suggest that beer which will help us deliver our strategic represents independent brewers from production across the SIBA membership is objectives. small brewpubs through to established up by 15.8% year on year from 2013- family brewers with their own pub estates I hope you enjoy reading the report. If you 14; a fantastic achievement which far and our members’ survey aims to get their have any comments on the content or outweighs growth in 20132 and 20123. views on a number of key issues such as suggestions for improvement I would very Three out of four brewers are expecting production, employment and investment. much like to hear from you. You’ll find their turnover to increase in 2015. On jobs, a staggering 83% of members contact details at the back of the report. The purpose of the Beer Report is to expect to create one or more jobs in 2015 provide SIBA itself, our members, policy Cheers! and two-thirds of employees live very local makers and the wider industry with useful to their breweries, which often provide insight and information on what is going much needed employment in deprived on in British independent brewing. and rural areas. 77% of those surveyed Mike Benner expect to invest in staff training in the For the first time this year we have worked Managing Director, SIBA next year. with Dr Ignazio Cabras from Newcastle March 2015 There are approximately 800 full SIBA members in March 2015 and the survey does not account for the activities of brewers which are not members, currently around 600 companies 1 9.4% 35.7% 2
2 3 Executive Summary A new approach to the survey to build for the future: • A new improved survey methodology • Seven key themes on member breweries, production, beers, employment, business activity, investments & future plans and • 1 in 4 employees are women • 3 out of 4 jobs are full-time • Good spread of ages in employment – half are aged 35-54, with 34% aged 16-34 and 17% aged over 55 SIBA membership • Investing in young people - One in ten employees are aged • 323 responses to the survey 16-24 • 270 valid responses – around 35% of SIBA membership • Local jobs in local breweries. Strong impact on local • Strong statistical reliability employment – over a third live in the same town or village as their brewery with a further 29% living within five miles Breweries and Beer Production: • Survey indicates that part-time jobs have trebled between • 100 breweries joined SIBA in 2014 bringing the total to 2012-14 almost 800 Growth: • 13 breweries joined SIBA in the first two months of 2015 alone, translating to an expectation of around 80 more new • 3 out of 4 respondents expect their turnover to increase members in 2015 in 2015 • Over 226 million pints produced by respondents is estimated • One out of five forecast growth in turnover over 25% in 2015 to translate to 526m pints, 2.99 million hl by SIBA members • 38% of respondents turnover between £50k-£250k in 2014 4 in 2014 • Only 8% expect a decline in turnover in 2015 • Beer production estimated to have increased by 15.8% from • 55% of production is supplied to free-trade pubs, with 14% 2013-14, compared to 5.7% 2011-12 and 9.4% 2012-13 going to controlled pubs • Over half of respondents brew less than 1000hl • Over 80% of beer sold within 40 miles of the brewery • Keg proportion of production expected to more than double • 15% of respondent brewers now exporting their beers in two years to 6.9% in 2015 • Almost 58% of brewers are interested in exporting their beers • 23% of members are now selling some craft beer in keg • Cask production 71% of total in 2014 Investment: • More bottled, kegged and canned beers – cask proportion of • Nearly 70% of breweries made capital investments in 2014 production expected to fall to 68% in 2015 from 84% • 12% invested more than £100k in 2014 in 2013 • Bulk of investments were in modernising equipment, premises • Majority of respondents brew less than 10% of production as and to expand transport bottled beer • Duty savings from two successive duty cuts and Small • Average beer strength is 4.1% ABV Breweries’ Relief were mainly used for more capacity, new • Golden ales are the most produced beer style – 92% of equipment, pub acquisition and new staff respondents brew at least one, followed by traditional • Training is very important to members – 77% intend to invest bitter – 81% in staff training in the future and over 90% are interested in a • 30% of members still brew a traditional mild, while 20% SIBA-led training scheme brew a lager • Small Breweries’ Relief at at least current levels is essential to • Most brewers produce between four and six regular brands the future – Over 70% say it is vital to their business and a further 24% say it is ‘very important’ or ‘important’ • 90% of respondents brew seasonal beers • SBR is defined as either ‘vital’ or ‘very important’ by nearly Jobs: 93% of those breweries expressing an interest to start • 83% of brewers plan to recruit one or more new employees exporting in the next 12 months • Almost one out of five breweries plan to double their current • Estimated 840 new jobs to be created by members next year levels of production, sales and turnover by 2018 • 4 full-time and 1.5 part-time employed by members on average Excludes associate members of SIBA 4
4 5 SIBA Membership • 100 new members in 2014 • Majority of members indicate SIBA’s campaign in defence and for the development of Small Breweries’ Relief as an extremely important activity • Political lobbying by SIBA on behalf of independent breweries is also considered very important • Organisation of beer festivals and competitions and SIBA’s Direct Delivery Scheme valued as initiatives by members • Results support SIBA’s new strategies to build improved member benefits including campaigning, beer competitions, improved communications, training provision and quality auditing.
6 7 1. Introduction The researchers used a questionnaire to collect the relevant information to conduct their analysis and elaborate this report. The questionnaire was developed on the basis of previous templates provided by SIBA utilised KEY POINTS for surveys conducted between 2011 and 2013. The templates presented • A new survery methodology some significant variation with regard to order and types of questions, • Seven key themes on member answering methods, and overall structures. For instance, some questions breweries, production, beers, were repeated in successive surveys, but the types of options given to employment, business activity, respondents varied from year to year. In addition, the timing in which investments & future plans and previous surveys were conducted frequently failed to capture data and SIBA membership information related to full years (e.g. twelve months from January to December), with some questions asking for estimates rather than actual • 323 responses to the survey values and with targeted answers often related to different time-frames. • 270 valid responses – around 35% of SIBA membership In order to rectify and minimise the impact of these issues, the • Strong statistical reliability questionnaire for this annual report had to be developed and finalised between October and November 2014. This exercise involved several exchanges between researchers and SIBA officers with regards to its content and structure. In its final format, the questionnaire framework comprised of seven sections associated with specific domains related to the members’ activities, operations and relationship with SIBA. The seven sections were named as: • Brewery • Beer Production • Beers • Employees • Business Activity • Current Investments and Future Developments • Your Brewery and SIBA The first section aimed to gather information related to the surveyed businesses, their owners/managers, and their respective locations and length of membership. The second section examined levels of production accounting for cask, kegs, and bottled beer. The third section explored the types of beer styles brewed by members. In particular, questions aimed to specify the level of ABV associated with bestselling beers, the number of regular brands supplied by members and the number of seasonal beers produced in 2014. The fourth section focused on the level of employment generated by surveyed members. Questions aimed at capturing levels of full-time and part-time work, employee’s ages and location, personnel holding relevant qualifications and provision of training. The fifth section investigated the members’ annual turnover, and current routes to markets. The sixth section examined capital investment made in 2014 and members’ plans for future expansion and development. Finally, the seventh section explored and examined the benefits and services provided to members by SIBA with regards to different levels of importance. The section comprised a list of 22 items for respondents to evaluate and rank, with an open-question inserted to identify and expand on any other important issue not included in the list. The use of the questionnaire served in identifying many aspects and issues associated with members’ business activities. More specifically, the survey served to identify main attributes of characteristics of SIBA members, to map the spatial patterns related to brewing operations and brewers’ markets, and to evaluate potential trends occurring in the brewing sector. A survey-pilot of the questionnaire was conducted in November 2014 with the objective to test questions on respondents. Eight members were approached and seven responses were obtained. The content of these responses was then used to further improve and finalise the questionnaire. Draft questionnaires were reviewed successively by two senior academics specialising in quantitative data analysis for relevance, clarity and ambiguity of wording. This process resulted in several non-fundamental revisions.
8 9 Table1: Responses analysed by location and proportions Members Survey Members/survey Differences in Regions Members 2014 Survey 2014 proportions proportions proportions representation East Midlands 83 10.6% 33 12.2% 39.8% 1.7% East of England 74 9.4% 25 9.3% 33.8% -0.2% London 36 4.6% 12 4.4% 33.3% -0.1% North East 29 3.7% 7 2.6% 24.1% -1.1% North West 98 12.5% 32 11.9% 32.7% -0.6% South East 113 5.2% 30 6.3% 26.5% 1.1% The survey was officially launched on 28 November 2014 and South West 117 14.4% 41 11.1% 35.0% -3.3% the data collection progressed until 14 January 2015. Data were West Midlands 68 14.9% 26 15.2% 38.2% 0.3% collected by means of an online survey. Several attempts were Yorkshire and the made during the six weeks in order to increase the number of 89 4.8% 31 5.9% 34.8% 1.1% Humberside responses, including repeated email approaches. A total of 323 Scotland 41 11.3% 17 11.5% 41.5% 0.2% responses were gathered at the end of the data collection, a very Wales 38 10.6% 16 12.2% 42.1% 1.7% similar number to totals gathered in the two previous surveys (327 Total 786 270 34.4% and 315 collected in 2014 and 2013 surveys respectively). A more detailed inspection enabled to identify 270 responses as ‘valid’, thus providing an appropriate level of data and information in relation to all the sections included. Valid responses accounted for 83.5% of the total responses received, and for 34.3% of total memberships, meaning that about one out of three members took part in the survey. Several statistical tests were conducted in order to evaluate the Figure 1: Surveyed breweries by types of membership (counts) quality and reliability of the responses captured by each section in the survey questionnaire. Results confirmed the good quality of data and information gathered across sections and within the 60% questionnaire overall. 139 Table 1 analyses responses by location. Rates of response vary 50% from little above 24% covering total memberships located in the North East, to nearly 40% of total memberships located in the East Midlands. Differences in proportions indicate very little variation between groups weighted using total membership 40% and groups using survey responses as their basis respectively, 91 although memberships from the South West appear to be slightly underrepresented, and membership from the East Midlands and 30% the North East slightly overrepresented with regard to gathered responses. 20% Figure 1 shows that more than half of respondents (51%) are categorised as Level 1 SIBA memberships, with about 33% 33 categorised as Level 2; 12% categorised as Level 3, and the 10% remaining categorised as Level 4 and Level 5 (1.4% and 1.1% respectively). 4 3 0% Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 (up to 999 HL) (1,000-4,999 HL) (5,000-29,999 HL) (30,000-59,999 HL) (60,000-200,000 HL)
10 11 KEY POINTS 2. Data analysis • 100 breweries joined SIBA in 2014 bringing the total to almost 800 • 13 breweries joined SIBA in the first two months • Over half respondents brew less than 1000hl • Keg proportion of production expected to more than double in two years to 6.9% in 2015 of 2015 alone, translating to an expectation of • 23% of members are now selling some craft around 80 more new members in 2015 beer in keg • Over 226 million pints produced by • Cask production 71% of total in 2014 respondents is estimated to translate to 526m • More bottled, kegged and canned beers – by SIBA members5, or 2.99 million hl in 2014 cask proportion of production expected to fall • Beer production estimated to have increased to 68% in 2015 from 84% in 2013 by 15.8% from 2013-14, compared to 5.7% • Majority of respondents brew less than 10% 2011-12 and 9.4% 2012-13 of production as bottled beer 2.1 Beer Production Levels of beer production provided by respondents indicate a cumulative total of 1,07 million HL. This equates to roughly 226 million pints produced by respondents, and translates to approximately 526m pints brewed by SIBA members. Table 2 illustrates levels of production for the past six years. There is some variation in terms of hectolitres (HL) produced among the five membership categories, although data shows a clear and progressive pattern of growth as demonstrated in Figure 2 Table 2: 2009-2014 Production levels by membership6 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* Level 1 91,140 96,174 114,926 124,026 152,527 162,063 Level 2 379,577 421,638 447,752 514,381 613,123 578,505 Level 3 598,928 673,268 773,106 847,667 851,978 1,021,102 Level 4 142,237 206,617 221,596 222,959 317,250 576,535 Level 5 509,409 487,356 677,105 652,105 649,314 654,542 Totals 1,721,291 1,885,053 2,234,489 2,361,138 2,584,192 2,992,747 *estimated on full year amounts (previous estimates based on Jan-Sept month predictions) 6 SIBA Membership levels are as follows: Level 1 – up to 999HL, Level 2 – 1,000-4,999 HL, level 3 – 5,000-29,999 HL Level 4 – 30,000-59,999 HL, Level 5 – 60,000-200,000 HL Figure 2: Production totals 2009-2014 (thousand HL) 3,500 Thousands 3,250 2,993 3,000 ◆ 2,750 ◆ 2,500 2,361 2,584 2,234 ◆ 2,250 ◆ 2,000 ◆ 1,750 ◆ 1,885 1,721 1,500 1,250 R2 = 0.9845 1,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5 Excludes associate members of SIBA
12 13 Figure 3b: Total 2014 production by packaging accounted for surveyed members 100% 4.8% 4.5% 8.5% 1.2% 1.9% Figure 3a compares levels of production in 2014 with those Only two breweries indicate more than 50% of their production estimated in the 2013 survey and those forecast for 2015, being allocated to beers with a 2.9-3.4% ABV. However, six 90% 18.1% 14.9% 23.6% 15.6% 53.1% reflecting a steady increase in the total hectolitres produced and breweries report beers with 4.3-6.0% ABV accounting for more ■ Keg a significant increase in the amount of bottled/canned beer. As than 90% of their total production. 80% ■ Bottled/ shown in Figure 3b, bottled/canned beers in 2014 represented The other two ABV range intervals used in the questionnaire, 70% Canned a significant part of the production for Level 5 members (more than half of captured production), although the majority of ‘Up to 2.8%’ and ‘Above 6.0%’, provided contrasting 60% ■ Cask respondents brew less than 10% of production as bottled/ responses. On the one hand, just seven breweries reported canned beer. Most of the beer produced by Level 1, Level 2 and brewing low-alcohol beers below 2.8%, which anyway 50% Level 4 members remains predominantly cask (an average 80% accounted for very low proportions of their total production in 2014 (mostly below 5% with only one brewery reporting up to 40% of totals), while Level 3 members indicate a relatively a higher 77.1% 80.6% 67.9% 83.2% 45.0% production of kegged beers compared to other members. 10%). On the other hand, 96 breweries reported brewing beers 30% with an ABV higher than 6.0%, which accounted for more than Beer production has been investigated in relation to ABV. 20% of the total production in four cases as shown in Figure 5. 20% Figure 4 shows findings gathered by crossing proportions of total production with three ABV range intervals: between 2.9% 10% and 3.4%; between 3.5% and 4.2%, and between 4.3% 0% and 6.0%. The latter two range intervals define the average Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 strength of the vast majority of beers produced by surveyed breweries in 2014, as shown by the mid bars in the graph. Figure 4: Production levels by ABV (count of respondents on top of bars) 6 Above 90% 27 Figure 3a: Proportions of beer production according to packaging (2013-2015) 90 Above 75% 176 100% 2.8% 4.2% 6.9% 90% 13.5% 122 Above 66% 189 25.0% 25.1% 80% 70% 191 Above 50% 225 60% 2 83.7% 70.8% 68.1% ■ Keg 50% 0 50 100 150 200 250 ■ Bottled/Canned ■ 2.9-3.4% ABV ■ 3.5-4.2% ABV ■ 4.3-6.0% ABV 40% ■ Cask 30% *Estimated Figure 5: Breweries producing beers with ABV above 6% (count=96) 20% 10% 4% 0% 2013 2014 2015* 9% Shares of total production allocated to beers with ABV >6% ■ Below 5% ■ 5%-10% 46% ■ 11-20% 41% ■ Above 20%
14 15 Figure 6: Average ABV for bestselling beers 2.2 Beers Surveyed breweries were asked to indicate the strength of their bestselling draught beer in 2014. The histogram KEY POINTS 60 Mean = 4.17 in Figure 6 shows an average 4.1% ABV, with the bulk Std. Dev. = .521 of responses concentrating around this value and with • Average beer strength is 4.1% ABV N = 266 about a fifth (20.1%) indicating an ABV above 4.2% for • Golden ales are the most produced their bestselling beers. beer style – 92% of respondents brew at least one, followed by Frequency 40 Beer styles brewed by surveyed breweries on a regular traditional bitter – 81% basis are reported in Table 3. The regular production • 30% of members still brew a of Golden Bitter/Ale beers has been indicated by more traditional mild, while 20% brew than 90% of respondents, followed by traditional bitter a lager ales, stout/porters, and strong bitter/IPAs also brewed by • Most brewers produce between 20 the majority of brewers. Conversely, only a handful of breweries indicated gluten free and low-alcohol beers four and six regular brands in regular production. Interestingly, roughly one out of • 90% of respondents brew seasonal three breweries brew organic and speciality beers on a beers regular basis. 0 2 4 6 8 Figure 7 groups responses obtained with regards to the ABV % number of regular brands and seasonal beers brewed. More than 70% of respondents indicated having more than four different brands regularly brewed (a), with a quarter indicating having at least seven different brands Figure 7: Brands (a) and seasonal beers (b) in regular production in regular production. Engagement with seasonal or ‘one-off’ beers is also significant. More than 90% of a) respondents engaged in brewing seasonal beers in 60% 2014, with about 22% having brewed more than ten 55.6% seasonal beers in the period considered and only 23 breweries (about 8%) not brewing any seasonal beers. 50% 40% 30% 26.3% 148 20% 15.4% 70 10% 41 2.6% Table 3: Types of brands and seasonal beers* 7 0% 1-3 Regular Brands 4-6 Regular Brands 7-10 Regular Brands >10 Regular Brands Beer Styles Percentage Beer Styles Percentage Golden Bitter / Ale 92.2 Craft Keg Beer 19.6 b) Traditional Bitter 81.1 Local Ingredients Beer 18.9 30% Stout / Porter 73.0 Wheat Beer 18.1 26.2% 26.2% Strong Bitter / IPA 72.6 Strong Ale / Barley Wine 14.8 25% Super-Premium Bottled Beer 42.6 Unrefined Cask Beer 14.1 Organic Beer 30.7 Foreign-Style Ale 11.5 Traditional Mild 30.0 Bottle-Conditioned Beer 10.7 20% Speciality Beer 29.3 Varietal or Green Hop Beer 7.0 16.5% 70 70 Strong Mild / Old Ale 24.8 Low alcohol beer (25 Seasonals Seasonals Seasonals Seasonals Seasonals Seasonals
16 17 2.3 Employees The workforce captured by the 2014 survey comprised 1,549 staff KEY POINTS employed in the breweries approached, with total employment among Figure 8b: Surveyed workforce by type of membership • 83% of brewers plan one or more surveyed breweries rising to 1,819 when accounting for owners, new employees in the next 12 managers and directors. As shown by Figure 8a, the vast majority of Workforce months surveyed employees are full time equivalent (1, 125 - equal to nearly • Estimated 840 new jobs to be 600 73% of the total), with men representing approximately three out of four ■ Full time employees employees. Figure 8b reports cumulative totals of employees by type of created by members next year ■ Part time employees memberships. Average hours accounted for by part-time employment • 4 full-time and 1.5 part-time 503 are reported by Figure 9: about 43% of part-time employees work employed by members on average 500 between 10 and 20 hours per week, with another 26% working above • 1 in 4 employees are women 20 hours. Jobs of less than 10 hours per week related to one out of three • 3 out of 4 jobs are full-time non-full-time employees. equivalent 400 Figure 10 classifies employees by age bands and residency. Half of the • Good spread of ages in employees surveyed in 2014 are between 35 and 54 years old on average, employment – half are aged 35-54, with about one out of three employees aged under 34. Interestingly, the with 34% aged 16-34 and 17% 300 339 number of employees grouped in the oldest age band (55 years and above) aged over 55 outnumbered those grouped among the youngest category (16-24 years old). • Investing in young people - One in The majority of workers live in the same town or village as the brewery, with ten employees are aged 16-24 about two out of three employees living within five miles of their brewery. 200 • Local jobs in local breweries. Strong 143 136 131 The data confirms the importance of breweries in terms of impact on local impact on local employment – 132 124 employment. Further corroboration to this statement is provided by Figure over a third live in the same town or village as their brewery with a 100 11, which reports findings obtained with regards to future recruitment plans. The vast majority of breweries are planning to expand their staff in the next further 29% living within five miles 21 20 twelve months, with 18% of respondents saying they won’t recruit anyone • Survey indicates that part-time jobs and the remaining 82% saying they will recruit at least one employee, with have trebled between 2012-14 0 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 38% recruiting two and above which could generate about 840 new full time jobs among members in 2015. This positive trend is also confirmed in Figure SIBA Membership 12, which shows trends related to employment taken from a subsample of 20 breweries for which data were available in different years. The data identify clear patterns of growth for both full-time and part-time employment, with the latter trebling in numbers in the period 2012-2014. Figure 9: Proportions of part-time employment by working hours Figure 8a: Surveyed workforce by type of contract and gender* 35% 31% 29% 1400 30% 1200 72.6% 75.9% 25% 1000 20% 17% 14% 800 15% 9% 600 10% 27.4% 400 24.1% 5% 200 0%
18 19 Figure 10: Workforce categorised by age bands and place of living 10.9% 16.4% 22.8% 36.5% 28.9% 34.6% 25.6% ■ 16-24 yo ■ 25-34 yo ● Brewery location ■ 35-44 yo ● Living in same town/village 24.4% ■ 45-54 yo ● Living within 5 miles ■ 55 yo and older ● Living further than 5 miles Figure 11: Recruitment plans of surveyed breweries 3% 4% ■ No plans to recruit 18% ■ Planning to recruit at least one new employee 31% ■ Planning to recruit two or three new employees ■ Planning to recruit four or 44% five new employees ■ Planning to recruit more than five new employees Figure 12: Full-time and part-time employment 2012-2014 (subsample n=20) 120 105 100 75 80 64 60 ■ FT ■ PT 40 31 20 10 13 0 2012 2013 2014
20 21 2.4 Business Activity Figure 13 shows the distribution of surveyed breweries with regard KEY POINTS to levels of annual turnover. One out of four breweries approached by the survey indicated an annual turnover in 2014 below £50k. • 3 out of 4 respondents expect However, the majority of responses obtained are in the band their turnover to increase in 2015 £50K-£250k, with about 35% reporting an annual turnover above • One out of five forecast growth in the £250k threshold and 10% reporting an annual turnover above £1 turnover over 25% in 2015 million. Estimation for this year seems very positive overall: three out of • 38% of respondents turnover four respondents are expecting an increase in annual turnover in 2015, between £50k-£250k in 2014 with nearly one out of five forecasting growth above 25%. Conversely, • Only 8% expect a decline in about 8% of responses expect a decline in turnover for the next year, turnover in 2015 with another 15% predicting no change. • 55% of production is supplied to As shown in Table 4a, around one out of five breweries in the survey free-trade pubs, with 14% going indicated that they own, lease and rent pubs. Table 4b reports pubs to controlled pubs owned or tenanted/leased according to memberships. The total • Over 80% of beer sold within number of pubs owned by breweries captured by the survey is 333, 40 miles of the brewery while those leased/tenanted are 223. The majority of respondents (30) • 15% of respondent brewers now indicate that they own at least one pub, while five respondents seem exporting their beers to directly possess more than ten pubs each for a cumulative total of 233 controlled pubs. Conversely, figures related to leased/tenanted • Almost 58% of brewers are pubs are smaller, with just eleven respondents indicating that they interested in exporting their beers control at least one pub under these types of management, and only nine revealing that they have more than two. Operations conducted and finalised in 2014 saw the purchasing/undertaking of 24 pubs, of which 10 were bought and 14 were undertaken by respondents. Figure 13: Annual turnover in 2014 and estimates for 2015 Table 4a: Number of surveyed breweries owning or leasing/tenanting pubs (counts) Annual Turnover in 2014 Freehold Leased/Tenanted 37.8% 100 No. pubs operated Total Bought in 2014 Total Taken on in 2014 Zero 172 - 199 - One 46 1 19 9 80 Two 7 (14) 1 2 (4) - 25.9% Three to five 10 (26) 4 3 (16) 24.8% Six to ten 2 (14) 2 1 (6) 5 60 102 More than ten 5 (233) 2 5 (178) - Total 244 (333) 10 229 (223) 14 40 70 67 8.5% 20 Table 4b: Surveyed breweries owning or leasing/tenanting pubs by memberships*† 23 Freehold pubs 1.1% 3 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 0 No. pubs operated (up to 999 HL) (1,000-4,999 HL (5,000-29,999 (30,000-59,999 HL) £5M One 22 17 6 1 Two 3 (6) 3 (6) 1 (2) - Three to five 1 (4) 8 (18) 1 (4) - Estimated Annual Turnover in 2015 Six to ten - 1 (8) - 1 (6) More than ten - 1 (33) 5 (182) 1 (18) 100 36.6% Totals 26 (32) 30 (82) 13 (194) 3 (25) 80 Leased/tenanted pubs Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 No. pubs operated 60 96 (up to 999 HL) (1,000-4,999 HL) (5,000-29,999 HL) (30,000-59,999 HL) 18.7% One 6 10 3 - 17.9% Two - 2 (4) - - 15.3% 40 Three to five 1(5) - 1 (4) 1 (7) Six to ten - - 1(6) - 47 49 More than ten - - 4 (162) 1 (16) 20 5.7% 40 Totals 7 (11) 12 (14) 9 (175) 2 (23) 2.3% 15 6 0 * Total numbers of owned/leased/tenanted pubs corresponding to categories are reported in brackets Down >10% Down 1-10% No change Up 1-10% Up 11-25% Up >25% † No owned/leased/tenanted pub reported by breweries holding a Level 5 membership
22 23 Current sales routes to market were investigated by using Respondents were asked to estimate percentages related to percentages of total beer sales made through eight specific total on-trade sales made beyond a 40 mile radius of their channels: a) direct to breweries’ owned pubs; b) direct to free respective breweries; responses are reported in Figure 15. trade pubs; c) through the SIBA DDS route; d) direct to pub- As expected, the majority of responses indicate the largest companies tied pubs; e) direct to pub-companies free-of-tie proportion of production (80% and above) sold within spatial pubs; f) reciprocal to other breweries; g) direct to wholesalers; proximity. However, about one out of three breweries sell more and h) other routes. than a fifth of their beers beyond a 40 mile radius, with 43 breweries selling more than half of their production further Figure Figure 14 shows histograms and normal curves computed for Figure3.15: Proportionofofbeer 15: Proportion beer production production sold sold beyond beyond a 40amiles 40 miles radius* radius* away from their location. each of these categories. At a first glance, responses indicate a high level of variation among the eight different routes. Figure 16 shows data and figures related to export. About 35% However, surveyed breweries appear to indicate free trade pubs, 15% of breweries responding export their products overseas, owned pubs and wholesalers as the main channels for their with 30 destinations reported in the survey. Main markets 78 sales. In particular, an average 55% of breweries’ production are in Europe (Italy, Sweden, Finland, Norway and Spain), but 30% appears to be supplied to free trade pubs, about 14% to some breweries indicated exporting to Brazil, Canada, Australia owned pubs and little more than 13% to wholesalers. Sales and China. The majority of breweries which are not exporting through the SIBA DDS and reciprocal sales with other breweries manifested an interest to start. 25% are the lowest categories, accounting for an average of 5.4% 54 and 3.8% of the total sales respectively. 20% 42 15% 23 10% 17 Figure 14: Beer sales routes 15 Figure 14: Beer sales routes 11 12 5% 8 Direct to owned pubs Direct to free trade pubs SIBA DDS a) b) C) 25 60 Direct to owned pubs Mean = 13.93 Direct to free= trade Mean 55.23 pubs Mean = 5.38 SIBA DDS a) 125 Std. Dev. = 26.675 b) Std. Dev. = 26.72 C) Std. Dev. = 6.371 N = 217 Mean = 13.93 25 N = 253 Mean = 50 55.23 60 N = 224 Mean = 5.38 0% 20 Std. Dev. = 26.675 Std. Dev. = 26.72 Std. Dev. = 6.371 Fewer than 1% 1-10% 11-20% 21-30% 31-40% 41-50% 51-60% 61-75% More than 75% 125100 N = 217 N = 253 40 N = 224 50 15 20 Frequency Frequency Frequency 100 75 30 *Percentage bars – counts on top 10 40 15 Frequency Frequency 50 Frequency 20 75 5 30 25 10 10 50 0 20 0 0 0 30 60 90 120 0 30 60 90 120 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Percentages 5 Percentages Percentages 25 Direct to pubco-tied outlets Direct to pubco free-of-tie outlets Reciprocal to other10 breweries d) e) 120 f) 100 Mean = 6.44 Mean = 5.48 80 Mean = 3.8 Figure 16: Export activities among surveyed breweries 0 Std. Dev. = 10.645 N = 18590 100 0 Std. Dev. = 10.615 N 0 Std. Dev. = 6.162 Figure 16: Export activities among surveyed breweries 0 30 60 120 0 30= 188 60 90 120 -10N = 1930 10 20 30 40 50 80 Percentages Percentages Percentages 60 80 Direct to pubco-tied outlets Direct to pubco free-of-tie outlets Reciprocal to other breweries d) e) 120 f) Frequency Frequency Frequency 60 100 60 80 Mean = 6.44 Mean = 5.48 40 Mean = 3.8 Std. Dev. = 10.645 Std. Dev. = 10.615 Std. Dev. = 6.162 14.8% Main destinations: 40 N = 185 100 N = 188 N = 193 14.8% Italy Main destinations: 12.8% 40 80 Sweden Italy 8.5% 12.8% 20 20 60 USA 7.7% Sweden 8.5% 20 80 ● Exporting Australia 6.0% 85.2% Finland USA 6.0% 7.7% Frequency Frequency Frequency 60 0 0 60 0 ●● Not exporting Exporting Norway Australia 6.0% 6.0% 0 20 40 60 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Percentages Percentages 40 Percentages 85.2% Spain Finland 6.0% 6.0% 40 Wholesalers Other retailers ● Not exporting Norway 6.0% g) h) 40 Mean = 13.13 100 Mean = 10.43 Spain 6.0% Std. Dev. = 16.654 Std. Dev. = 16.697 20 20 60 N = 222 N = 185 20 80 0 0 0 42.5% Frequency Frequency 60 40 0 20 40 60 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 ● Want to export Percentages Percentages Percentages 57.5% 40 ● Not interested Wholesalers Other retailers g) 20 h) 100 Mean = 13.13 20 Mean = 10.43 42.5% Std. Dev. = 16.654 Std. Dev. = 16.697 ● Want to export 60 N = 222 N = 185 57.5% 0 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 0 80 30 60 90 120 ● Not interested Percentages Percentages Frequency Frequency 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 30 60 90 120 Percentages Percentages
24 25 The willingness to invest to increase the quality of training but also for future expansion. For instance, the SBR is defined 2.5 Current Investments and KEY POINTS available for employees is explored in Figure 19. More than as either ‘vital’ or ‘very important’ by nearly 93% of those three out of four breweries intend to increase the quality of breweries expressing an interest to start exporting. Future Developments training provision in the future. In addition, the huge majority • Nearly 70% of breweries made capital Breweries expressed their objectives in terms of growth and investments in 2014 of respondents expressed an interest in taking part in training expansion over the next three years. As shown in Figure 21, The majority of breweries approached with the • 12% invested more than £100k in 2014 developed and provided by SIBA. Surveyed breweries consider the vast majority of breweries plan to increase production, survey made capital investments in 2014, as shown Small Breweries’ Relief extremely important with regard to their sales volume and annual turnover in the next three years, with by Figure 17. More than one out of four breweries • Bulk of investments were in modernising ability to compete as small businesses. Figure 20 shows more only 15 breweries indicating no plans in terms of growing their invested less than £10K, with 42% investing above equipment, premises and to expand than 70% of respondents indicating SBR as ‘vital’ for their business. While the bulk of responses expressed an intention this threshold and 12% investing more than £100K transport activities, with another 24% as ‘very important’ or ‘important’. to achieve marginal growth up to 25%, almost one out of five in their breweries. The purposes of these investments • Duty savings from two successive duty cuts Only six respondents did not regard SBR as important for their breweries plan to double their current levels of production, sales are reported in Figure 18. The bulk of respondents and Small Breweries’ Relief were mainly businesses. Overall, responses corroborate evidence of the and turnover by 2018. (43%) invested to modernise equipment, while other used for more capacity, new equipment, pub significance of SBR not only for members’ current activities respondents purchased or expanded their transport acquisition and new staff fleet (15%), enlarged their current premises (14%) or purchased new premises (7%). Other investment • Training is very important to members – purposes (21%) varied significantly, although buying 77% intend to invest in staff training in the Figure 18: Priorities Figure ininrelation 18: Priorities tousing relation to using duty duty savings savings more casks and refurbishing/repairing were among the future and over 90% are interested in a most common. SIBA-led training scheme • Small Breweries’ Relief at at least current More capacity 30% More capacity 30% Breweries were asked to indicate and rank their levels is essential to the future – Over 70% priorities for utilising duty savings related to the beer say it is vital to their business and a further New equipment 28% duty reductions and Small Breweries’ Relief (for those 24% say it is ‘very important’ or ‘important’ New equipment who qualified) with regard to their business activities. 28% • SBR is defined as either ‘vital’ or ‘very Priorities were ranked from 1 to 7 in order of their important’ by nearly 93% of those breweries Pub acquisition 12% importance, where 1 is the most important and 7 the expressing an interest to start exporting Pub acquisition 12% least important. Increasing capacity and purchasing new equipment were indicated as top-priorities in • Almost one out of five breweries plan to New staff 11% 30% and 28% of the cases respectively, while savings double their current levels of production, seemed less important in relation to staff training, sales and turnover by 2018 New staff Branding, marketing 11% discounting prices or developing marketing and and design 10% branding. Branding, marketing Discounting and design 10% 10% Staff training 7% Discounting 10% Count 0 20 40 60 80 Staff training 7% Figure 17: Levels of capital investments made in 2014 and related purposes Figure 17: Levels of capital investments made in 2014 and related purposes Count Capital investments in 2014 Investment purposes Capital investments in 2014 Investment purposes 0 Figure 19: Attitude 20 towards increasing 40 available for employees quality of training 60 in future 80 To enlarge current Above £100K Other premises purposes To enlarge current Above £100K Between Other premises 12% No 14% £50K-100K investments 21% purposes To purchase new Between 8% premises 12% 31% No 14% 7% £50K-100K investments 21% To purchase new Interested in 8% To purchase premises 22% 31% or expand transport fleet 15% 7% No taking part to a To purchase 59 (22.7%) SIBA-led training 27% or expand 15% 43% Between £50-10K 22% transport fleet scheme? Invested less To modernise 27% than £10k 43% equipment Between £50-10K Yes: 91.3% Invested less To modernise No: 8.7% than £10k Yes equipment 201 (77.3%)
26 27 Figure 20: Importance of Small Breweries’ Relief for breweries (percentages in brackets) Not important: Quite important: 6 (2.3%) 6 (2.3%) Important: 14 (5.4%) Very Important: 49 (18.8%) Vital: 185 (71.2%) Figure 21: Future plans for investments Figure 21: 30% Future plans for investments 30% 25% 25% 20% 20% 15% 64 57 69 10% 58 61 54 15% 43 38 42 49 51 50 64 57 69 5% 10% 58 61 54 15 15 15 16 19 18 15 17 17 43 38 42 49 51 50 0% No 1-10% 11-25% 26-50% 51-75% 76-100% >100% 5% ■ Increase production ■ Increase sales ■ Increase turnover 15 15 15 16 19 18 15 17 17 0% No 1-10% 11-25% 26-50% 51-75% 76-100% >100% ■ Increase production ■ Increase sales ■ Increase turnover
28 29 2.6 Your Brewery and SIBA Breweries expressed their views in relation to services and benefits associated with their SIBA membership. These were ranked in terms of KEY POINTS importance by using a Likart scale with factors ranging from 1 to 5 (1 • Majority of members indicate SIBA’s = least important and 5 = most important). The survey questionnaire campaign in defence and for the proposed 22 specific services and benefits; the ten most valued by development of Small Breweries’ members have been ordered and shown in Figure 22. Relief as an extremely important activity The defence and development of instruments in support of breweries, such as Small Breweries’ Relief, appear to be significant by members, • Political lobbying by SIBA on behalf with 55% indicating these as the most important services and another of independent breweries is also 14% as a relevant service. Similarly, political representation and considered very important lobbying on behalf of independent breweries generally, is also seen • Organisation of beer festivals and as a significant service (64% cumulative comprising ‘most important’ competitions and SIBA’s Direct and ‘relevant’ responses), followed by the organisation of beer Delivery Scheme valued as initiatives competitions and festivals (52% cumulative). by members • Results support SIBA’s new Conversely cellar services, advertising opportunities, support related strategies to build improved to Cyclops and dealing with alcohol issues are valued least in terms member benefits including of significance by members. A question inserted in the questionnaire campaigning, beer competitions, asked to indicate the level of importance of other services or benefits improved communications, training not included in the pre-defined list. Among the 32 responses provision and quality auditing. generated, the provision of training and improving access to website and information were frequently mentioned as the most important, together with an expansion of the Direct Delivery Scheme and improved quality control checks/audits. Figure 22: Services and benefits offered by SIBA and ranked by level of importance Advertising Opportunities Annual Beer Report Beer competitions and festivals (regional/national,cask/keg/bottle) Brewing technical support, including helpline and training Commercial/sales initiatives, business development, eg exporting Cellar services Centralised purchase schemes - eg glasses, beer mats Container management - NCRNet, SPA-Trak, colour-banding Cyclops - support and accreditation subsidy DDS Dealing with alcohol issues Defence and development of SBR and PBD Legal and business support, including helpline Political representation - lobbying at national level PR support Regional representation (trusts, meetings) SIBA BeerX event (AGM, Annual Conference, Trade Exhibition etc) SIBA Business Awards, including Design Awards SIBA Toolbox - members’ intranet and internal communications facility SIBA Journal SIBA Website Supplier Associate members - trade directory, discount rates 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% ■ Most important ■ Indifferent ■ Least important
30 31 SIBA’s Direct 3. Delivery Scheme Responses to this year’s survey suggested that, on average, only around 5% of a member brewer’s sales were made through the SIBA Direct Delivery Scheme (SIBA DDS). However, this low figure belies the importance that SIBA DDS has had over more than a decade, since its inception in 2002, and does not adequately reflect the impact of the scheme in bringing a huge choice of quality, locally-brewed beers from over 550 participating brewers to, in 2014, some 2400 pubs in the UK. The idea is simple – by providing a centralised administration service, handling the whole process from order capture to final invoicing, SIBA DDS enables small brewers to trade in their heartland with pubs owned by multiple retailers, companies which are typically much larger than the supplying brewers, and often based many miles away. As the Figure 23 below demonstrates, the annual turnover of this wholly-owned, not- for-profit sales agency has continued to grow over recent years, from £6.5 million in 2006-07 to £13.6 million for the year to Sept 2014 with an average annual increase of 14% each year. Figure 23: DDS Annual turnover £/thousand 15,000 14,000 13,602 ◆ 13,000 12,110 ◆ ◆ 12,138 12,000 ◆ 11,377 11,000 ◆ 10,777 10,000 ◆ 9,817 9,000 8,000 ◆ 8,091 7,000 ◆ 6,500 6,000 5,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
32 33 Comments and suggestions Please send your comments and suggestions on the Beer Report addressed to Mike Benner, Managing Director at sara.knox@siba.co.uk You can download a copy of the report at www.siba.co.uk/beerreport2015 Thanks Mike Benner and Ignazio Cabras would like to thank all the SIBA members who took part in the 2015 members’ survey. Published by SIBA, the Society of Independent Brewers PO Box 136, Ripon, North Yorkshire HG4 5WW Tel: 08453 379158 www.siba.co.uk
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