BIG GAME BETTING GUIDE - PHILADELPHIA -1.5 O/U 51 FEBRUARY 12, 2023 6:30 PM on FOX STATE FARM STADIUM GLENDALE, AZ
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PHILADELPHIA -1.5 • O/U 51
FEBRUARY 12, 2023 • 6:30 PM on FOX
STATE FARM STADIUM • GLENDALE, AZ
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Cashing
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with Philly
By Brent Musburger
I’ve gone back and forth on Super Bowl 57, but the decisive matchup for me is the Philadelphia defense against Kansas City’s receivers.
Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are an unstoppable combination, good for seven receptions and 75 yards against any defense. But the Chiefs are trying to
go deep by committee, and they haven’t found a chairman to replace Tyreek Hill. In their Super Bowl victory over the 49ers, Hill caught nine passes for 105
yards, including a 44-yarder on third-and-15 with the Chiefs trailing by 10 in the fourth quarter. Super Bowls frequently come down to big plays late in the
game.
Injuries compound the uncertainties about the Chiefs’ wide receivers. Mecole Hardman has been declared out while JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney
are questionable.
Making Mahomes’ day even more difficult will be the Eagles’ defensive front, the deepest in the NFL. When you threaten the 1984 Chicago Bears D for most
sacks in a season, you are bringing the heat, and this group dominated the NFC Championship Game.
My biggest concern about the Eagles is head coach Nick Sirianni. He needs to win the game, not attempt to prove he’s the smartest coach in the NFL. His
rugby approach on fourth-and-1 can be lethal, but simply always going for it on fourth-and-2 or fourth-and-3 can lead to disaster. Despite what the nerds
preach, football games are won by the Jimmy’s and Joe’s, not the X’s and O’s or flawed math.
As for prop action, I’ll be betting “tails never fails” on the coin toss (despite losing two years in a row) and Mahomes to throw an interception because he’s
thrown two against both the 49ers and the Bucs in his two previous Super Bowls.
Finally, a bonus prop: Take the winner of the coin toss to lose the game. VSiN’s friends at Doc’s Sports tell me that the winner of the Super Bowl coin toss has
lost eight straight games.
Hope that helps you cash some tickets because that’s what it’s all about!
My prediction:
23
2o VSIN STAFF/CONTRIBUTORS
DATABASE MANAGER: Jason Latus
LAYOUT AND DESIGN: Matt Devine
VP OF DIGITAL CONTENT: Ben Fawkes
WRITERS: Adam Burke, Brent Musburger
EDITOR: Mike Sansone
photos by USA Today Sports Images
3
VSiN Expert Picks and
Favorite Prop Bets
FEMI ABEBEFE PATRICK MEAGHER
Score: Eagles 31, Chiefs 24 Score: Eagles 27, Chiefs 20
Favorite Prop: Miles Sanders Anytime TD (-105) Favorite Prop: Dallas Goedert Over 48.5 rec yards (-125)
GILL ALEXANDER MITCH MOSS
Score: Chiefs 27, Eagles 23 Score: Eagles 24, Chiefs 23
Favorite Prop: Travis Kelce 2+ TD (+475) Favorite Prop: Kenneth Gainwell Over 10.5 receiving yards
MATT BROWN TIM MURRAY
Score: Eagles 27, Chiefs 24 Score: Chiefs 26, Eagles 23
Favorite Prop: Travis Kelce Over 78.5 rec yards Favorite Prop: Patrick Mahomes Over 17.5 rush yards
STORMY BUONANTONY JEFF PARLES
Score: Chiefs 31, Eagles 27 Score: Chiefs 27, Eagles 19
Favorite Prop: Jalen Hurts 1Q Passing TD (+215) Favorite Prop: Will there be a two-point conversion attempted? Yes (+110)
ADAM BURKE GREG PETERSON
Score: Eagles 28, Chiefs 24 Score: Chiefs 23, Eagles 20
Favorite Prop: Justin Reid (KC) Over 5.5 tackles + assists Favorite Prop: Kenneth Gainwell Over 19.5 rush yards (-120)
DANNY BURKE WES REYNOLDS
Score: Chiefs 27, Eagles 20 Score: Chiefs 34, Eagles 24
Favorite Prop: Miles Sanders Under 13.5 Rush Attempts (-110) Favorite Prop: Jalen Hurts Over 10.5 rushing attempts (-120)
KELLEY BYDLON DAVE ROSS
Score: Eagles 27, Chiefs 24 Score: Chiefs 34, Eagles 31
Favorite Prop: Under 4.5 Chiefs players with a rush attempt (+190) Favorite Prop: Over 2.5 players to attempt a pass (+140)
BEN FAWKES AMAL SHAH
Score: Eagles 34, Chiefs 24 Score: Chiefs 31, Eagles 24
Favorite Prop: Quez Watkins Under 13.5 receiving yards Favorite Prop: Chiefs TD in second quarter (-145)
LOU FINOCCHIARO DAVE TULEY
Score: Chiefs 38, Eagles 31 Score: Chiefs 27, Eagles 24
Favorite Prop: Kenneth Gainwell anytime TD (+380) Favorite Prop: Will the game be tied after 0-0? Yes
MIKE GOLIC JR. BEN WILSON
Score: Eagles 28, Chiefs 24 Score: Eagles 26, Chiefs 24
Favorite Prop: Kenneth Gainwell Over 19.5 rush yards (-115) Favorite Prop: Patrick Mahomes Over 38.5 attempts
PAULY HOWARD JONATHAN VON TOBEL
Score: Eagles 24, Chiefs 20 Score: Kansas City 23, Philadelphia 17
Favorite Prop: Will a drive start inside the 5-yard line? No Favorite Prop: Will Eagles convert fourth down in own territory? Yes (+300)
MICHAEL LOMBARDI MATT YOUMANS
Score: Eagles 27, Chiefs 21 Score: Eagles 24, Chiefs 23
Favorite Prop: Patrick Mahomes Over 38.5 attempts Favorite Prop: Will the game be tied after 0-0? Yes
4
69
Chiefs 38, Eagles 31
68
67 vsin
expert
66
65
Chiefs 34, Eagles 31 64
63
62
pick
61
60
59
matrix
58
Chiefs 34, Eagles 24 Chiefs 31, Eagles 27 57 Eagles 34, Chiefs 24
56
55
Chiefs 31, Eagles 24 54 Eagles 31, Chiefs 24
53
52
Eagles 28, Chiefs 24
(x2)
-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1- -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -1-0
51
KC Margin PK Eagles 27, Chiefs 24
(x2) PHI Margin
Chiefs 27, Eagles 24
of Victory of Victory
50
Chiefs 27, Eagles 23
49 Eagles 26, Chiefs 24
Eagles 27, Chiefs 21
48
Chiefs 26, Eagles 23
47
Chiefs 27, Eagles 20
46 Eagles 24, Chiefs 23 Eagles 27, Chiefs 20
(x2)
45
Chiefs 27, Eagles 19
44
43 Eagles 24, Chiefs 20
42
Chiefs 23, Eagles 20
41
40
Chiefs 23, Eagles 17
total points scored
VSiN Experts’ Favorite
Big Game Props
By VSiN Staff
PATRICK MAHOMES TO WIN PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 38.5 shy of the 290.5 prop offered by DraftKings.
I don’t believe this angle will dictate whether
SUPER BOWL MVP (+130) PASSING ATTEMPTS (-125) or not the Chiefs win and/or cover. I don’t feel
he will get enough attempts to run up near the
300-yard mark on the league’s top-ranked pass
Adam Burke: Getting the most bang for your Ben Wilson: At first glance, you might think defense, for both yards and efficiency.
buck is really important given how hard it is to the Chiefs will be tempted to run the ball more
beat the vig and beat the sports betting markets. than average considering the injuries in their
wide receiver room as well as the matchup:
There is an opportunity to do that if you think the
Chiefs will win the Super Bowl. I don’t know if The Eagles led the NFL defending the pass but
were vulnerable against the run, finishing the
WILL THE CHIEFS CONVERT A
they will, but there is some line value on taking
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP as opposed to
regular season 23rd on an EPA-per-play basis.
But I’m not convinced Andy Reid is going to try
FOURTH-DOWN ATTEMPT? YES -130
taking the Chiefs to win or +1.5.
reinventing the wheel of a dynamic offense that Matt Youmans: The team with the inferior
led the league in multiple offensive categories, defense must take more chances, and Chiefs
Mahomes is +130 to win the Super Bowl MVP including yards per play and yards per drive. coach Andy Reid can gamble because his odds
award. The Chiefs are +105 on the moneyline
are usually better with the ball in Mahomes’
at most places. There are very few possible Patrick Mahomes threw the ball 43 times in hands. My game script has Kansas City trailing
outcomes in which the Chiefs are victorious the AFC title game despite playing on a badly in the second half, so if that’s the case and
and Mahomes fails to win MVP. There is sprained right ankle. Even when his pass catchers Mahomes is making a comeback, this prop
already a built-in narrative with his bad ankle began dropping like flies, he continued to wing it should hit at some point.
and the impressive things he has done while around the field to no-names like Marcus Kemp,
compromised. There is another built-in news story ultimately completing passes to 10 receivers.
that would make him the first player to win the
regular-season MVP and Super Bowl MVP in There’s also a healthy amount of historical data
to suggest pass-happy QBs only throw more once
LARGEST LEAD UNDER 14.5
POINTS -140
nearly 25 years.
they reach Super Sunday. Since 2000, 11 QBs
entered the Super Bowl averaging at least 36
Travis Kelce might have a big game, but
pass attempts per game (Mahomes is at about Dave Tuley: This is another prop tied to our
Mahomes will be the one throwing him passes.
38). Ten of the 11 attempted 40 or more passes prediction of a close, back-and-forth game. Since
A defensive player may have a big game, but in those Super Bowls. Add an extra week of
defensive players who have won in recent history joining VSiN, I’ve gone 4-1 with this prop. And I’m
rest to heal his balky ankle and I’m confident 6-2 the last eight years, with the only losses being
have usually returned an interception for a Mahomes will be throwing from start to finish.
touchdown or had a couple of picks. Jalen Hurts the Buccaneers’ 31-9 rout of the Chiefs two years
ago and the Falcons’ infamous 28-3 lead against
has thrown six picks all season. Von Miller is
the Patriots six years ago. Again, we’re counting
the only pass rusher since the 1980s to win the
award on the merit of sacks (Malcolm Smith had
a pick-six and a fumble recovery in Super Bowl
PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER on Mahomes or Hurts to rally his team if falling
behind by two scores. We’re not crazy about the
XLVIII). 290.5 PASSING YARDS increased juice, but we’re actually relieved as we
feared that oddsmakers might lower the number to
13.5 with the spread so close to pick-’em.
If you think the Chiefs will win, Mahomes +130 Steve Makinen: Most of the props you’ll
to win MVP is a no-brainer. If you think the game see for any Super Bowl are based on seasonal
performance averages. They don’t necessarily
A.J. BROWN OVER 72.5
is a toss-up, Mahomes +130 to win MVP is way
better than Chiefs +105 on the moneyline. To consider the opponent’s strength, recency or the
way the game will be played. This year, I see
me, it’s worth the risk and the low-percentage
outcome that the Chiefs win and somebody other two teams that have dominated recent opponents
in time of possession, thus generating inflated
RECEIVING YARDS (-125)
than Mahomes is crowned the hero of the game.
offense statistics in various ways. Obviously, Adam Burke: A.J. Brown finished the regular
the Chiefs and Eagles can’t control the time of season on an absolute tear. The star wideout had
possession on Sunday. I surmise that there is 35 catches for 665 yards over the final six games
PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 16.5 a better chance the Eagles own this key stat
based simply on their ability to run the ball
of the regular season, but he has had only seven
RUSHING YARDS more successfully, which means fewer plays for
Mahomes than he has been used to.
catches for 50 yards in the two playoff games.
The Eagles haven’t had to use the pass very
much because they’ve been shortening games
Matt Youmans: With two weeks to heal his My forecast shows the Eagles running 64.7 with the run. Blowouts are a different kind of
sprained ankle, Mahomes should look more like plays and the Chiefs 59.2; of these 59 plays, game state that negatively affects wide receivers.
he did in the regular season, when he averaged it’s reasonable to think about 37 of them will be
21 rushing yards per game and topped 20 passing plays. In his last 10 games, Mahomes I don’t think we’ll get a blowout in the Super Bowl,
rushing yards in 10 games. A Philadelphia has attempted more than 40 passes five times and that means we’ll have to see Jalen Hurts
defense that leads the league in sacks will put a and fewer than 40 passes five other times. In in action. I think Brown is the guy he looks for,
lot of pressure on Mahomes, who will be forced the latter, he has averaged just 234.2 yards per specifically as a downfield threat to keep the Chiefs
to take off and run more than a few times. game. My numbers project him for 253.8, well honest. Brown’s two highest-yardage outputs came
6in games started by Hurts. He was a low-volume Why? Because the Chiefs were the second-worst dealt with in most of his games. He’s gone over
pass-catcher but averaged 19 yards per reception. red zone defense in the NFL by touchdown this number in both playoff games, and I expect
percentage. The Eagles have played 19 games, him to do so again in the Super Bowl.
Brown’s season average for receiving yards per and Elliott had only five games with two or more
game was 88, but his Super Bowl LVII prop line field goals. Add Philadelphia’s red zone efficiency
is 72.5. I think he’s being unfairly punished for
the two games in which the Eagles were in cruise
to Kansas City’s bad red zone defense, and I think
Elliott is out there for PATs instead of FGs. GAME TIED AFTER 0-0
control. DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert may
get more volume, but Brown is the big-play guy, (FOLLOWING PATS) -110
and I think Nick Sirianni and Shane Steichen
know they’ll need some big plays. EAGLES PLAYERS WITH A RUSH Dave Tuley: In the recent era, with Super Bowl
point spreads relatively close to pick-’em, we love
ATTEMPT OVER 4.5 (+175) this prop as we just need to get the score tied
during the whole game. It hasn’t cashed the last
MILES SANDERS UNDER 13.5 Adam Burke: Coaches tend to get too cute in
Super Bowls. They’ll bust out plays that probably
two years, but before that it hit four Super Bowls
in a row (and is 5-3 the last eight years). It can
RUSH ATTEMPTS (-110) looked good on paper and aren’t effective in a
game setting. But it never fails that we’ll see some
happen as early as 3-3 in the 2019 game between
the Patriots and Rams or as late as 28-28 in the
Danny Burke: Seldom have the Eagles been random player or two get a rushing attempt, and 2017 game when the Patriots famously rallied
forced to abandon their offensive game plan. I think that will be the case for the Eagles here. to catch up with the Falcons with 57 seconds left
When they have their way, they will ground and in regulation. The Eagles and Chiefs are pretty
The number of Eagles players with a rush attempt evenly matched as the low point spread indicates,
pound you to death with their running effort
is set at 4.5 with the Over at +175. We know four and we expect this to be a close, back-and-forth
featuring a trio of backs as well as QB Jalen Hurts of them right away — Miles Sanders, Kenneth game with Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts both
as a runner. In Philly’s last game, we actually saw Gainwell, Boston Scott and Jalen Hurts. At fully capable of matching scores.
Kenneth Gainwell featured as the top running +175, I’d take a shot on DeVonta Smith or Quez
back (14 carries) over Miles Sanders (11 carries). Watkins getting a carry. The Eagles have mauled Matt Youmans: Philadelphia has been a fast-
It’s hard to bank on a guy getting a lot of reps opponents at the line of scrimmage all season long starting team all season — leading at halftime in 15
when there is a committee, but especially when and throughout the playoffs, but an extra wrinkle of 19 games — but it would be a surprise if either
the Eagles’ game plan may be altered early on. If to throw Kansas City off guard makes sense. side runs away and hides. There is always a decent
the Chiefs are able to generate offensive success chance of a 3-3, 7-7 or 10-10 score early. A point
immediately, this will put pressure on the Eagles to Smith hasn’t had any carries this season, but a spread of 1.5 indicates this should be a tight game
play catch-up and start throwing the ball more. You jet sweep with a guy who ran a sub-4.5 40-yard with two quarterbacks who can trade shots.
can’t play catch-up in the running game against dash isn’t a bad use of resources. We could
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. You will have to also run into a situation where Smith catches
throw the ball. So I don’t envision this Philadelphia something behind the line of scrimmage, and it
offensive game plan to be as run dominant as in
gets graded as a rush attempt. Watkins has three
carries to his name this season. HALFTIME TIE/EAGLES WIN 16-1
AND HALFTIME TIE/CHIEFS WIN 18-1
past games, which were against much weaker
opponents. Even if there is a sizable dose of it, the What about something crazy like a Jason Kelce
load has been pretty evenly spread out as of late. rushing attempt down by the goal line? His
Sanders has gotten more than 13 rush attempts in brother Travis has a rushing touchdown to his Dave Tuley: This is basically a bet on there
just two of the last six games. He’ll get his carries, name, but not in a Super Bowl. It just seems like being a tie at halftime, again based on our
just not an overwhelming amount of them. there could be something fluky that is worth prediction of this being a close, back-and-forth
the risk on this prop. There are enough oddities Super Bowl. Since we don’t see a “Will the game
to make this worthy of strong consideration at be tied at halftime?” prop offered anywhere,
JAKE ELLIOTT UNDER 7.5 +175, and I like rooting for chaos. we play this “Double Result” at the Westgate
SuperBook and bet both the “Halftime Tie/Eagles
POINTS (-125) Win” at 16-1 and “Halftime Tie/Chiefs Win” at
JUSTIN REID OVER 5.5 TACKLES 18-1 options. If the game is tied at intermission,
we know we will end up with a net profit of
+ ASSISTS (-110)
Adam Burke: Eagles kicker Jake Elliott led the NFL +750 if the Eagles win or +850 if the Chiefs win.
in extra points and extra point attempts this season, This has been a long-term profitable play as we
going 51-for-53 on those opportunities. He was cashed three years ago when the Chiefs-49ers
also 20-for-23 on field goals, but that is a point of Adam Burke: The Eagles have run at least 63 Super Bowl was tied at 10-10 and the Patriots-
emphasis for me in Super Bowl LVII. The Eagles were offensive plays in 15 of the 17 games started by Seahawks Super Bowl that was tied 14-14.
one of the best red zone offenses in the NFL and Jalen Hurts. Their effective running game and
ranked in the top five in fourth-down conversions top-five third-down conversion rate allow them
and fourth-down attempts. They’re not an offense to stay on the field and have a lot of snaps.
looking to settle for three points all that often. What that also means is that it creates a lot of
opportunities for Chiefs players to record tackles.
SHORTEST TD UNDER 1.5 YARDS -160
Elliott had six of his 23 attempts from 50 or more Dave Tuley: We used to get a nice, juicy plus
yards, so he was called on rather sparingly when One player who is priced a little low in this market
price on this each year, but this has cashed for us
the Eagles were in range of a touchdown. He is Justin Reid. Reid’s line sits at 5.5 tackles with
eight of the last nine years, and the oddsmakers
attempted more than two field goals in a game a little extra vig on the Under. It’s important to
have slowly made it a favorite. But it’s still
remember that the Chiefs often had the lead in
just once, and that was the Week 18 win over worth playing as -160 is cheap considering how
games, so safeties wouldn’t be able to step up and
the Giants in which he kicked five of his 20 made often it comes in (plus we’re playing with house
help against the run as much. They’d be dropping
field goals. Otherwise, he was mostly just out money). This can cash multiple ways: organically,
back into Cover-1 or Cover-2 in hopes of limiting
there for extra points and kickoffs. with a team moving the ball to the 1-yard line
big plays to keep the game in front of them.
and punching it in or having a defensive pass-
Philadelphia’s play design and ability to run the With the Eagles, it will probably be a different interference call in the end zone place the ball
ball inside the red zone are all reasons why they story as they’re going to emphasize running at the 1-yard line. Note: it’s much rarer, but it
were so successful at getting 7s instead of 3s, the football, particularly if they get a lead. The also would cash if an offensive player falls on
and I think those things come into play in this books have slightly adjusted here, as Reid has a fumble in the end zone for a 0-yard fumble
game. His points prop is set at 7.5 with some averaged 5.05 combined tackles and assists per recovery or if a defensive player were to score
juice to the Under, but I think this game follows game this season, but the game script for the on a fumble recovery or interception in the
the mold of other games for the Eagles. Eagles is likely to be different than what Reid has opposing team’s end zone for a zero-yard score.
7(101) KANSAS CITY (102) PHILADELPHIA MONEY REPORT
SU:16-3 • ATS:7-11-1 SU:16-3 • ATS:10-9 SPREAD TOTAL
HANDLE BETS HANDLE BETS
KC 27% 30% 55% 51%
PHILADELPHIA (-1.5 • 51) PHI 73% 70% 45% 49%
FEBRUARY 12, 2023 6:30 PM ET ON FOX • STATE FARM STADIUM (GLENDALE,AZ) [NEUT]
head-to-head trend
strength rating comparison • OVER the total is 6-2 in L8 KC-PHI
POWER RATING h2h matchups
RATING LINE EDGE LINE LINE EDGE RATING
30 -.9 31.5
EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATING top team trends
RATING LINE EDGE LINE LINE EDGE RATING
24.4 -2.3 26.7 • PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS(L7G) - In
UNDER TOTAL EDGE TOTAL OVER TOTAL EDGE Playoff Games #1 seed
51.2 • PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 UNDER(L10G)
- In Playoff Games
BETTOR RATING
RATING LINE EDGE LINE LINE EDGE RATING
24.9 -.8 25.7
UNDER TOTAL EDGE TOTAL OVER TOTAL EDGE
50.6
key statistics
2022 SEASON PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF
KANSAS CITY 28.7 24 25-113 [4.6] 38-26-294 [7.7] 14.2 21.5 20 24-107 [4.5] 37-24-221 [6.0] 15.3 0 7.2
PHILADELPHIA 28.7 23 33-154 [4.6] 31-20-230 [7.5] 13.4 18.8 18 26-119 [4.6] 32-20-171 [5.4] 15.4 12 9.9
schedule and results
DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU DATE OPPONENT LINE OU SCORE SU ATS OU
9/11 at ARIZONA -6 54 44-21 W W O 9/11 at DETROIT -6 48.5 38-35 W L O
9/15 VS LA CHARGERS -4 52.5 27-24 W L U 9/19 VS MINNESOTA -3 49 24-7 W W U
9/25 at INDIANAPOLIS -5 51 17-20 L L U 9/25 at WASHINGTON -5.5 47.5 24-8 W W U
10/2 at TAMPA BAY 2 47.5 41-31 W W O 10/2 VS JACKSONVILLE -6.5 44 29-21 W W O
10/10 VS LAS VEGAS -7 51 30-29 W L O 10/9 at ARIZONA -5 48.5 20-17 W L U
10/16 VS BUFFALO 2.5 54 20-24 L L U 10/16 VS DALLAS -7 42.5 26-17 W W O
10/23 at SAN FRANCISCO -1 48.5 44-23 W W O 10/30 VS PITTSBURGH -11.5 43 35-13 W W O
11/6 VS TENNESSEE -14 45.5 20-17 W L U 11/3 at HOUSTON -14 45 29-17 W L O
11/13 VS JACKSONVILLE -9.5 51.5 27-17 W W U 11/14 VS WASHINGTON -11 43 21-32 L L O
11/20 at LA CHARGERS -5.5 52.5 30-27 W L O 11/20 at INDIANAPOLIS -6.5 45.5 17-16 W L U
11/27 VS LA RAMS -16 42 26-10 W P U 11/27 VS GREEN BAY -6.5 46 40-33 W W O
12/4 at CINCINNATI -2.5 53.5 24-27 L L U 12/4 VS TENNESSEE -4.5 44.5 35-10 W W O
12/11 at DENVER -9 44 34-28 W L O 12/11 at NY GIANTS -7 44.5 48-22 W W O
12/18 at HOUSTON -14 48.5 30-24 W L O 12/18 at CHICAGO -8.5 47.5 25-20 W L U
12/24 VS SEATTLE -10 50 24-10 W W U 12/24 at DALLAS 3.5 48 34-40 L L O
1/1 VS DENVER -12.5 46 27-24 W L O 1/1 VS NEW ORLEANS -5 42 10-20 L L U
1/7 at LAS VEGAS -8.5 52 31-13 W W U 1/8 VS NY GIANTS -16.5 43 22-16 W L U
1/21 VS JACKSONVILLE -9.5 52 27-20 W L U 1/21 VS NY GIANTS -8 48 38-7 W W U
1/29 VS CINCINNATI -1.5 49 23-20 W W U 1/29 VS SAN FRANCISCO -3 45 31-7 W W U
2/12 ** PHILADELPHIA 1.5 51 2/12 ** KANSAS CITY -1.5 51
game outlook
Opinions seem rather split on Super Bowl LVII with was through the 15 weeks of the regular season league’s ultimate improv QB and makes highlight-
a closely-lined game and some injury questions that led to him being the MVP favorite before he reel plays under duress on a regular basis.
at the most important position on the field. The got hurt.
Eagles are predominantly -1.5 in the betting There are a lot of coaching storylines and plenty
market with a total of 50.5, as bettors are sizing Meanwhile, we know that Patrick Mahomes is of remarks about the split allegiance of Donna
up how they want to wager on the big game. still dealing with his ankle injury. Still, after being Kelce with her sons Travis (KC) and Jason (PHI) as
limited in practice in the lead-up to the AFC the first brothers to go head-to-head in the Super
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts hasn’t had to do a whole Championship Game against the Bengals, he Bowl. However, the one talking point about the
lot since returning from a shoulder injury in Week wound up not being listed on the injury report at game that has garnered a ton of attention is the
18. The Eagles faced a bevy of backups and all. He was hobbled once again in that 23-20 win strength-of-schedule discrepancy between the two
squeezed out a 22-16 win in the regular-season but still made the “Mahomesian” throws that have teams.
finale against the New York Giants and then had made him an impending two-time regular-season
dominant wins over the Giants and 49ers in the MVP and the Super Bowl LIV MVP. The Eagles played one of the worst schedules
playoffs to get to this point. in the NFL and have had an easy path in the
The Eagles recorded 70 sacks in the regular playoffs because of the opponents and then injury.
Hurts hasn’t turned the ball over in the two playoff season and have racked up six more through two The Chiefs played roughly a league-average
games, but he is only 31-for-49 passing for 275 postseason games. This pass rush comes from all schedule, but both teams played a bunch of weak
yards and has 20 carries for 73 yards. He has angles with a balanced attack that saw four players defenses. Kansas City didn’t see a run game close
the luxury of an outstanding offensive line and a record at least 11 sacks, something never done to Philadelphia’s, especially because the Chiefs
diverse set of backs and receivers to rely on, but before in NFL history. A hobbled Mahomes may played from in front and were able to make teams
Hurts hasn’t had to be the dynamic playmaker he feel the brunt of the swarming defense, but he is the one-dimensional. – Adam BurkeYou can also read
