Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales
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Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales Technical Workshop Proceedings November 15-17, 2017 Editors: Andrew W. Trites David A.S. Rosen Hosted by: Marine Mammal Research Unit Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries University of British Columbia Vancouver, BC, Canada
Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales Technical Workshop Proceedings November 15–17, 2017 UBC Marine Mammal Research Unit Editors: Andrew W. Trites David A.S. Rosen These workshop proceedings should be cited as: Trites, AW and Rosen, DAS (eds). 2018. Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales. Technical Workshop Proceedings. November 15–17, 2017. Marine Mammal Research Unit, Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C., 64 pages The information contained in this document is provided as a public service. Although we endeavour to ensure that the information is as accurate as possible, errors do occur. Therefore, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information. It is important to note that the opinions and suggestions contained in this document do not necessarily reflect a consensus of every workshop participant, nor the institutions or organizations they represent. Cover image credit: Oil painting “Hide and Seek” by Bruce Muir (2017) Marine Mammal Research Unit Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries University of British Columbia Room 247, AERL, 2202 Main Mall Vancouver, B.C. Canada V6T 1Z4 Tel.: (604) 822-8181 Email: mmru@oceans.ubc.ca Web: www.mmru.ubc.ca Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 2
Table of Contents Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................................... 4 Overview of Workshop ................................................................................................................................ 6 Goals. ........................................................................................................................................................ 6 Terminology.............................................................................................................................................. 6 Assumptions & Limitations. ..................................................................................................................... 6 Participants. .............................................................................................................................................. 6 Proposed Management Actions. ............................................................................................................. 6 Workshop Structure. ................................................................................................................................ 6 Summary of Discussions on Potential Management Actions ..................................................................... 7 A: Increase abundance of Chinook coast-wide by reducing removals by fisheries ............................... 7 B: Increase abundance of Chinook in specific-areas and times by adjusting removals by fisheries ..... 8 C: Increase accessibility of Chinook by decreasing acoustic & physical disturbances ........................ 11 Conclusions ................................................................................................................................................. 13 What Actions to Take ............................................................................................................................. 13 Measuring Efficacy of Actions ................................................................................................................ 13 Future Refinement and Planning ........................................................................................................... 14 Acknowledgements .................................................................................................................................... 14 Appendix A: Participants ............................................................................................................................ 15 Appendix B: Agenda ................................................................................................................................... 17 Appendix C: Participant Presentation Summaries ..................................................................................... 20 Day 1 – Prey Requirements of Southern Resident Killer Whales (SRKW) ............................................... 20 Day 2 – Availability of Chinook Salmon................................................................................................... 31 Day 3 – Evaluation of Potential Mitigation Measures ............................................................................ 38 Appendix D: Management Action Tables ................................................................................................... 40 Appendix E: Table Definitions .................................................................................................................... 49 Appendix F: Notes from Group Discussions—Increase coast-wide Chinook abundance by reducing fisheries ....................................................................................................................................................... 51 Appendix G: Notes from Group Discussions—Increase Chinook abundance at specific times and places55 Appendix H: Notes from Group Discussions—Increase Chinook accessibility at specific times ................ 60 Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 3
Executive Summary to implement this coast-wide action. The scientific justification and confidence in this This workshop assembled scientists and action producing the desired benefits to SRKW managers with technical expertise on killer were ranked unknown or low. whales and Chinook salmon to identify and Action B. A more directed approach that evoked evaluate short-term management actions that greater scientific confidence was to limit might increase the immediate abundance and fisheries in times and places that correspond to accessibility of Chinook salmon for southern SRKW foraging activities. The assumption of this resident killer whales, given the current size of action is that limiting fishing where SRKW Chinook salmon stocks. The workshop did not normally feed would reduce direct competition consider ways of producing more Chinook with them, and increase their foraging success. salmon (which will be the subject of a Most of the vessels fishing within SRKW habitat subsequent workshop), but rather considered are recreational. While scientific confidence in ways of making more of the fish that are this action was greater than for the “blanket” presently in the ocean available to southern closures of fisheries throughout BC, there were resident killer whales (SRKW). still concerns about its potential effectiveness. Workshop participants presented and discussed Chief among these were uncertainties about technical information on the prey requirements how much prey are needed for SRKW to of SRKW, the availability of Chinook salmon, and successfully forage and meet their needs, current protections for SRKW. Participants then uncertainty in predicting foraging patterns and split into four groups with an even distribution of identifying which locations are most important, expertise to review three potential non- and whether partial or total fishery closures exclusive Management Actions: within SRKW habitat would significantly increase A. Increase the abundance of Chinook for the numbers of Chinook that SRKW could SRKW by reducing coast-wide fishery capture. The scientific justification and confidence in this action producing the desired removals. benefits to SRKW were ranked low to medium. B. Increase the abundance of Chinook for SRKW by adjusting fishery removals at Action C. This action was designed to increase specific times and in specific areas of Chinook accessibility to SRKW by decreasing SRWK habitat. acoustic and physical disturbance from vessels. C. Increase the accessibility of Chinook by This action was considered and discussed in the decreasing underwater noise and the context of all vessels—and not fishing vessels physical presence of vessels where SRKW alone (which are believed to make up a relatively forage. small portion of all the vessels encountered by SRKW). Reducing incidences of disturbance can Action A. One way to significantly increase the be achieved by 1) excluding all vessels from numbers of fish in SRKW habitat—and thereby important SRKW habitat, and 2) implementing a increase the foraging success of SRKW—might 200 m exclusion zone around SRKW. Such a be to prevent fisheries from catching Chinook protective bubble would limit how close vessels earlier in their migration before they enter SRKW could approach SRKW, but would not protect foraging areas. However, there was considerable whales if they chose to approach vessels within uncertainty among workshop participants about their habitat. The scientific justification and the underlying theory and the practical capacity Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 4
confidence in this action producing the desired Chinook can include improvement in body benefits to SRKW were ranked medium to high. condition of SRKW, increased use of foraging areas, and less time travelling and feeding (and Based on the current state of knowledge and more time resting and socializing). However, use best available data, workshop participants had of these metrics requires a commitment to data higher confidence in the effectiveness of Action C (limiting vessel disturbances to make the collection and analyses (and forethought into Chinook that are already present easier for how to interpret them) so that the effectiveness SRKW to catch) than they did in increasing the of the actions can be assessed and modified as abundance of Chinook by closing or adjusting necessary. fisheries (Actions A & B). This workshop was a first step in bringing With >900 stocks of Chinook salmon migrating together scientists and managers with killer through BC waters at different times and whale and Chinook salmon expertise from strengths, there is currently insufficient evidence to support being able to surgically manage Canada and the United States to identify and fisheries to avoid catching the stocks destined evaluate short-term management actions that for SRKW habitat. Nor is there evidence that might be taken to increase the immediate fishery reductions would add significant abundance and accessibility of Chinook salmon numbers to the estimated 600,000 Chinook for SRKW, given the current size of Chinook thought to currently move through inside waters stocks. Going forward will likely require a to Puget Sound and the Fraser River. smaller group of managers and scientists with It will be critical to employ well-thought-out expertise in killer whales and Chinook to develop experimental designs that allow continual detailed strategies, design the experimental evaluation of the effectiveness of any implementations, and identify the required Management Action enacted. This is likely to be analyses to ensure that any of the Management important for the stakeholders and public Actions undertaken are effective in improving seeking reassurance that SRKW will realize the the status and well-being of southern resident full benefit of the intended action. killer whales. Performance measures that can be used to determine whether SRKW captured more Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 5
Overview of Workshop actions regarding rebuilding Chinook stocks are to be addressed in a future workshop. Thus, we Goals. To identify short-term management only considered short-term actions that could be actions that might be taken to increase the implemented through existing legislation and immediate abundance and accessibility of regulations. Chinook salmon for southern resident killer whales, given the current size of Chinook stocks. Participants. Participants with technical know- Thus, we evaluated short-term fishery ledge about killer whales, Chinook salmon, and management actions that would provide fisheries management were invited from Canada immediate benefits to southern resident killer and the United States. These included 46 whales (SRKW). We did not consider ways of individuals working for state and federal producing more Chinook salmon, but rather governments, consulting companies, nonprofit considered ways of making more of the fish that organizations, and universities (Appendix A). are in the ocean available to SRKW to ultimately Proposed Management Actions. Given the increase the birth rates and decrease the death afore-mentioned conditions, five potential (non- rates of SRKW. exclusive) Management Actions were developed Terminology. “Availability” means being able to in consultation with Fisheries and Oceans be used or obtained. This term is used by some Canada (DFO) and US National Marine Fisheries to mean accessibility, while for others it reflects Service (NMFS) biologists and managers. the combination of both accessibility and However, workshop participants proposed abundance. We used this later definition when facilitating discussions by grouping the five referring to the availability (i.e., availability = potential actions into these three: abundance + accessibility) of prey for killer A. Increase abundance of Chinook coast-wide whales. “Accessibility” was defined as the ease by reducing removals by fisheries. of obtaining or using prey; and "abundance” B. Increase abundance of Chinook in specific- referred to the quantity or amount of Chinook areas and times by adjusting removals by salmon in areas where killer whales forage. fisheries. Assumptions & Limitations. For the purposes of C. Increase accessibility of Chinook by attaining the goals of the workshop, we assumed decreasing acoustic and physical that: disturbances. 1. The SRKW population trajectory is in The goal of these three Management Actions decline and will not improve under current was to increase the short-term abundance or conditions. accessibility of 4-5+ year old Chinook salmon in areas where SRKW forage. SRKW consume 2. The status of SRKW is related to the Chinook 3+ years old, but prefer Chinook that are abundance and accessibility of Chinook 4 years and older. salmon. Workshop Structure. On Days 1 and 2 of the Workshop participants did not consider the workshop, experts gave presentations in their veracity of these assumptions, and focused fields to inform the scientific validity of any of instead on evaluating management actions that the three potential management actions could increase the abundance and accessibility (Appendices B and C). Day 3 of the workshop was of adult Chinook salmon (currently in the ocean) dedicated to working in four groups to within regions where SRKW forage. Potential independently discuss the possible actions. Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 6
Discussions were guided by (but not limited to) a would ultimately move “downstream” and enter series of criteria developed in consultation with areas where SRKW forage. Nor is it clear how NMFS and DFO prior to the workshop (Appendix many more fish might join those already moving D). through key foraging areas used by SRKW as a result of this action. The overall goal was for workshop participants to consider how the three actions could be Based on the evidence presented at the workshop, scientific confidence that this implemented, and the likelihood that they would Management Action was feasible or would increase the abundance and accessibility of provide the desired benefit to SRKWs was Chinook for southern resident killer whales to overwhelmingly low or unknown. consume. While consensus building within groups was desirable, care was taken to The lack of endorsement for taking this action document all opinions. was primarily due to: Concern over being able to obtain real-time scientific information on the movements of Summary of Discussions on different salmon stocks to implement Potential Management Actions selective fishery reductions coast-wide; Uncertainty concerning whether reducing The following summaries reflect the discussions catches in “distant” fisheries would increase held on Day 3 of the workshop concerning each the abundance of Chinook by enough to of the Management Actions. Notes combining improve SKRW body conditions. information transcribed during group Mathematical models indicate that such an discussions, and from tables filled out by action would not significantly increase the workshop participants are contained in biomass of Chinook salmon for SRKW. This Appendices F, G and H. is partly based on the observation that The summarized discussions that follow contain some of the >900 Chinook salmon stocks in 1) the rationale underlying the three proposed BC waters that are most prevalent in SRKW Management Actions; 2) the scientific diets are also currently the most abundant confidence of the workshop participants in the Chinook runs. feasibility of implementing each Management A general consensus that fishery actions Action, and whether it would provide the desired that focus on key stocks targeted by SRKW benefit to SRKWs; 3) associated uncertainties would be more effective than general coast- and unintended consequences associated with wide fishery reductions. Key stocks thought each action; and 4) ways in which the actions to be most important to SRKW during spring might be experimentally implemented to and summer are returning to Puget Sound evaluate the effectiveness of each action, and (pre-May and post-Aug), the Fraser River refine them as necessary. (May–Aug), lower southwest Vancouver Island (Aug–Sep), and lower Strait of Georgia (Aug–Sep). Puget Sound fish are A: Increase abundance of Chinook coast-wide present during summer, but in lower by reducing removals by fisheries proportions relative to Fraser Chinook. Selectively reducing fishery catches (commercial Uncertainty about how many more fish and recreational) throughout British Columbia SRKW need and could be provided by would leave more fish in the ocean and thereby reduced fisheries given that about 600,000 increase the abundance of Chinook. However, it Chinook move through inside waters is less certain which fish not taken by fisheries (300,000 Fraser River and 300,000 Puget Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 7
Sound). Percentages of Fraser-bound fish increase by initially consuming more caught before they enter the river is Chinook in terminal areas, and later preying relatively low for some stocks, such as the on juvenile fish (in the case of seals)—with 5-year-old spring and summer Chinook unintended impacts on overall Chinook (about 3–4%)—and higher for some 4-year numbers. old fish (~25%). And finally, there may be challenges for Recognition that not every fish saved from international coordination, and impacts to fisheries will be available to SRKW due to First Nations and Indian tribes. density dependent effects. It is not a linear Despite these concerns, a few workshop relationship, as seen after 1990 when ocean participants favoured this Management Action— fisheries were reduced in response to on the premise that any precautionary measure declines of wild Chinook runs. Returns of was worth implementing, despite it having a low some Chinook stocks increased following probability of success. fishery restrictions, while others did not. Recognition that the percentage of spring In contrast to this belief, most participants and summer Fraser Chinook caught in agreed that implementing sweeping changes offshore mixed-stock commercial and lacking scientific justification would ultimately recreational fisheries that are headed to prove counterproductive to efforts to recover Juan de Fuca Strait is small. SRKW due to a lack of stakeholder and public buy-in, and a potential perception that this Recognition that in-season adaptive action was based on political rather than management would be difficult to scientific considerations. implement to make this an effective action. It would likely be too late to close fisheries in-season by the time it was recognized that B: Increase abundance of Chinook in specific- salmon numbers of particular stocks areas and times by adjusting removals by consumed by SRKW were low. Large fisheries offshore aggregate fisheries are managed This Management Action is also designed to based on pre-season abundance forecasts increase the abundance of 4-5+ year old Chinook of Canadian and US stocks in those fisheries. salmon of key stocks — but within “core SRKW These forecasts are not updated in-season, areas” at biologically appropriate times of the and would be challenging to do so until year. In other words, to increase the abundance after fishing occurred. of large Chinook salmon where and when SRKW Increased availability of Chinook resulting are foraging. from fishery closures may be partially offset by removals by other predators (e.g., One means of increasing Chinook abundance NRKW). In other words, SRKW may not during times that SRKW seek prey would be to consume the fish left by fisheries. create refuges (or exclusion zones) over a portion of SRKW critical habitat when SRKW are The possibility of other unintended expected to be present. Operationally, this might consequences, whereby efforts to leave be accomplished by imposing selective area more Chinook in the ocean might increase closures during specific months, and the numbers of other consumers. For redistributing fishing effort to places not used by example, NRKW might be the ultimate SRKW. The period of highest recreational fishing beneficiaries of increased Chinook use in Canada is from June to early September abundance—and might ultimately encroach (Father’s Day to Labour Day). on SRKW habitat as their numbers increase. Similarly, seals and sea lions might also Adjusting removals by fisheries in specific areas used by SRKW at specific times of year was Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 8
considered to have more merit than coast-wide There was some consensus that the abundance fishery closures (Management Action A) for of Chinook that occurred in previous “good” several reasons. Most notably, adjusting fishing SRKW years could provide a baseline measure of effort by time and space is more likely to directly what targeted abundance should be. However, increase the abundance of Chinook for SRKW at in the absence of this knowledge, it is unknown specific times, and in specific areas where they what level of increase or stability is required to are likely to forage. It would avoid the “dilution” measurably change SRKW condition or effect of fishing in areas and at times “upstream” demographics. Some predictive models indicate of where SRKW forage. a 30% rise in Chinook abundance is required—a level approaching the “best” historic years— In addition to an increased likelihood of while other models indicate that a complete providing greater benefits to SRKW, this type of fishery closure would still be insufficient to targeted fishery closure would likely have a produce SRKW recovery, given the broad lower socioeconomic impact than would broad ecological and physical changes that have (“upstream”) fisheries closures. Such an occurred in the North Pacific Ocean. approach would likely result in higher stakeholder and public buy-in. Some uncertainty was also expressed in the ability to identify which locations are most An additional positive effect of selective fisheries important, and what times of year are most closures would be to alleviate potential physical critical for SRKW. and acoustic disturbance (see Management Action C), although the ultimate benefit of this In considering this action, it was generally felt it would depend upon the proportion of fishing should only be applied to: vessels present relative to other vessels (which 1) Fisheries that catch a significant portion of may be very low). the key stocks of 4+ Chinook sought by SRKW Despite having more merit than Management (e.g., those that catch >5% of returning fish); Action A, workshop participants ranked their 2) Fisheries whose catches consist of a high scientific certainty of the effectiveness of proportion of 4+ year old Chinook (e.g., >10- increasing Chinook numbers by adjusting fishery 20% of the fishery); and removals within SRKW critical habitat to be low 3) Fisheries occurring within the time and high- to medium. In general, the effectiveness of area- use areas of SRKW foraging (based on field based closures was ranked low, while the observations of SRKW). effectiveness of maximum size limits on fish For commercial fisheries, these actions would caught was ranked higher. apply to locations with the highest Chinook The uncertainty expressed over implementing catch. However, these areas are generally this Management Action reflects several critical outside (to the north) of SRKW range (with the unknowns, such as how much prey are required exception of Fishery Management Area 123). for SRKW to meet their needs. It was unclear, for Similarly, the critical time for closures would example, what the desired abundance of specific likely be during summer (but not exclusively) Chinook stocks should be at specific times of when the greatest numbers of Chinook are year. Using current “conditions” as a baseline caught. was considered problematic because catches Ideally, closures of commercial and recreational and abundance are lower now than they have fisheries would accommodate real time changes been historically, while the number of other in the presence and absence of foraging SRKW. competing predators consuming Chinook However, differences in the spatial and temporal (including NRKW) are higher. scale at which recreational and commercial fisheries operate make it more difficult to effectively adjust recreational fishery removals Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 9
of Chinook compared to adjusting commercial During winter, J pod can be found foraging in the fishery removals in real time. An action that Strait of Georgia where Chinook winter adapts to the daily movements of SRKW would abundance has been high over recent years (and likely be too difficult to effectively communicate fishing effort low relative to summer months), and logistically manage. The effectiveness of suggesting that fishing limitations may have such an action would also likely prove to be too minimal additive benefit to J pod. difficult to evaluate. While fisheries might be adjusted to increase the Additional questions were raised regarding how quantity of Chinook available, they might also be SRKW might react to partial closures within their adjusted to increase the quality of individual critical habitat. For example, would whales Chinook consumed (through size-limits that bypass areas where fishing was occurring and leave bigger fish in the ocean). Body size of concentrate foraging efforts in undisturbed Chinook has become smaller over time, which areas where abundance is theoretically higher? means that each Chinook consumed by SRKW is Similarly, would lots of Chinook in a noisy site now providing fewer calories on average than it with lots of vessel disturbance be as effectively did in the past. beneficial for SRKW as would feeding on a lower Another point of consideration relates to the abundance of Chinook in a quiet, undisturbed predictability of foraging patterns of SRKW from location? These questions highlight the one year to the next. While SRKW are generally considerable uncertainty about the relative considered to be predictable in their annual importance of Chinook abundance vs. the movements, there can be considerable accessibility of Chinook within an area. Killer variability between years. Thus, the effective- whales tend to spend a large proportion of time ness of specific fishery closures under in small areas, but it is unclear how big an area is Management Action B is inherently limited by required to be effective, or what degree of the natural unpredictability of SRKW foraging connectivity is needed between areas. behaviour. Field studies are planned to define SRKW Given the foregoing uncertainties, workshop foraging patterns and their relationship to participants recognized that implementing this fishing efforts. In the meanwhile, the picture is (or any) Management Action must be done far from clear. experimentally (with a statistically appropriate Implementing this Management Action would experimental design), so that the effectiveness be complex given that the three pods of the of the action can be evaluated and adaptively SRKW population (J, K and L) use different changed as required. This would entail foraging areas, and are not equally dependent evaluating the effectiveness of specific closures on the same Chinook stocks. on an ongoing basis, and suitably adjusting the specific implementation of this Management For example, K and L pods feed during winter off Action as necessary. Specific monitoring would the US west coast down to California. The stocks be required to ascertain the effect of this action important to these two pods vary in size and on Chinook abundance and SRKW foraging robustness (Klamath, Columbia, and coastal behaviour within specific areas. Chinook salmon stocks). The potential to mitigate numbers of Chinook belonging to the Determining whether restrictions placed on different stocks through control of fisheries is fishery catches have positive effects on SRKW is also likely to prove unfeasible. It was noted, for problematic. Determining whether foraging example, that stocks in southern California are at success improves will require concurrent studies dire numbers, and there are few immediate of salmon movements and SRKW foraging options to revitalize these stocks, either through efficiency (using longer-term observations and fisheries management or other actions. underwater tracking technologies). Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 10
While the ultimate goal of this action is to rates. This Management Action would improve the population dynamics of SRKW by specifically minimize acoustic interference with increasing their birth rates and reducing death echolocation during hunting and communication rates, such measures of population recovery between pod members, and would minimize may respond on time scales that are too long to physical interference from vessels that may be linked to the proposed actions. disrupt surface chases, preclude prey sharing, or cause animals to cease foraging and move out of Estimates of SRKW body condition were an area. One model suggests that increasing the generally felt to be a more useful short-term accessibility of Chinook salmon (i.e., the ability of metric of nutritional status of individual whales, SRKW to catch them) by 30-50% would with the caveat that changes in physical significantly improve the demographics of condition can be caused by a number of factors SRKW. (such as disease) and are not necessarily indicative of inadequate prey. Nevertheless, This proposed action to minimize the negative correlating metrics of SRKW health (body effect of vessels on SRKW incorporates 1) vessel condition, hormones) with salmon abundance exclusion zones in key foraging areas (akin to could help to identify when salmon abundance is Management Action B), and 2) a protective too low and fisheries need to be restricted. exclusion zone around SRKW at all times. Obtaining aerial images of SRKW returning in Workshop participants recognized that it is May, and again in the fall will provide essential unrealistic to close all potential SRKW foraging monitoring data on changes in body condition areas at all times. However, they emphasized the relative to the abundance of Chinook. need for quality data to make decisions about which areas should be closed, and at which times Implementing this Management Action would of year to do so. Implementing this action require continued studies of SRKW diet and requires a rigorous experimental design to foraging behaviour (times and locations) to evaluate its effectiveness. inform the management of key Chinook stocks important to SRKW at the proper times of year. It was further recognized that SRKW often forage It would also require implementing an adaptive in the presence of many vessels (recreational management strategy, with annual evaluations and commercial fishing, whale watching, and of winter and summer SRKW distributions and recreational vessel traffic). Given this overlap stock-specific Chinook abundances. between vessels and SRKW, this action would be minimally effective if it is only applied to fishing vessels because numbers of fishing vessels are C: Increase accessibility of Chinook by believed to be relatively small compared to other decreasing acoustic & physical disturbances types of vessels (although significant numbers of Some workshop participants felt the accessibility fishing vessels may gather in prime areas at of Chinook in areas where SRKW forage would be certain times). It is not clear how challenging it significantly increased if 1) disturbances caused might be to implement this action for different by the presence of vessels was reduced by 50%, classes of vessels from a regulatory view, and if 2) disturbances caused by underwater involving multiple legislative changes (i.e., noise from vessels were reduced by 100%. Other Fisheries Act, Transport Canada, etc.). workshop participants merely wanted significant There was general consensus that a 200 m reductions without specifying target levels. exclusion zone was reasonable — despite the Reducing the frequency of physical and acoustic scientific questions surrounding the biological disturbances would theoretically facilitate SRKW effectiveness of this distance (a portion of the being more successful at capturing prey— participants suggested a more precautionary thereby allowing them to be in better physical 400 m zone, but no one suggested a distance less condition and have higher survival and birth Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 11
than 200 m, which is the approach distance whales. Although whales might be expected to currently required in the United States). This avoid such noisy corridors and move to less Action would theoretically provide “bubble” disturbed areas, the presence of salmon may protection around whales as they move into motivate them to stay put. known foraging areas. Finally, while the intent of this Management Unfortunately, building a moving bubble around Action is to improve the foraging of SRKW by SRKW has its limitations, even when perfectly making it easier for SRKW to catch the fish that implemented. For example, it would not prevent are present, it would likely have to be whales from moving into a foraging area where implemented for all killer whales (transient and vessels are already present. While regulations resident) because it is unrealistic to expect would prevent approaching the whales closer operators to readily distinguish between the two than 200 m, it cannot legislate against whales ecotypes of killer whales. moving towards vessels and exposing Workshop participants ranked the scientific themselves to vessel noise and movements that certainty that reducing physical and acoustic may degrade their foraging environment. Nor disturbances by vessels would significantly would operators necessarily be required to limit increase the accessibility of Chinook for SRKW as their acoustic footprint if they are already in the medium to high. area. This range in certainty is higher than the other One means of reducing the potential for vessels two Management Actions considered, and to affect the ability of SRKW to access Chinook reflects the extent and importance of knowledge would be to require them to pull their gear and gaps. While there was an accepted link between turn off their fish finders or engines (if safe to do noise and poor foraging success, the dose- so) should whales approach within a specified response of SRKW foraging behaviour in relation distance within identified foraging areas. Speed to vessel noise and numbers was less clear. restrictions could also be implemented within Other identified potential knowledge gaps critical foraging areas used by SRKW. include sound profiles of critical areas, and As a side note, it was mentioned that the diurnal pattern of SRKW foraging. It was felt that majority of recreational Fishfinders operate at these questions could be clarified through two frequencies (50 and 200 kHz), and are preset further studies, while the exclusion zone should to the lower frequency that has a broader and be experimentally implemented. Despite these deeper cone of ultrasound coverage than the gaps, vessel exclusion zones were generally felt higher frequency. The hearing range of killer to be a prudent measure. whales extends from ~0.6 KHz to >100 kHz, with The efficacy and design of exclusion zones can the greatest sensitivity between 20–50 kHz. To only be improved through intensive monitoring avoid potential impacts within the hearing range during implementation. Operator compliance of SRKW, manufacturers or users could preset evaluations could include AIS (Automatic their devices to the higher 200 kHz frequency to Identification System) monitoring, cameras and prevent overlap with the SRKW dynamic range, radar. As has been demonstrated in other and users could be educated about using the marine programs, education of vessel operators higher setting around whales. (particularly recreational) is often as important Mediating vessel behaviour when killer whales as regulatory enforcement. Specific guidance approach them is particularly problematic in would also likely be required for those fishing transportation corridors within SRKW critical (target messaging in key areas such as Salmon habitat that have high numbers of moving Bank), and perhaps as part of licensing vessels. Under such circumstances, there seems procedures. little chance of creating a “quiet zone” for the Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 12
The biological effectiveness of this action on significantly increase the ability of SRKW to catch SRKW would have to be closely monitored. the salmon that are present in foraging areas. While this action is likely to improve targeted foraging opportunities for SRKW, it is unclear Measuring Efficacy of Actions what effect it will have on their well-being. There are a number of performance measures Evaluating the efficacy should include potential that can be used to assess the effectiveness of short-term effects such as behavioural measures (e.g., the amount of time whales spend in Management Actions on SRKW. However, each feeding areas), the acoustic levels within those requires a commitment to data collection and areas, and an analysis of foraging success vs. analyses, and forethought about how to acoustic profiles, and longer-term studies on interpret them. Possible metrics include: changes in physical condition and hormone Body Condition. Aerial photographs of SRKW profiles of SRKW. retuning in May, and again in the fall will provide In addition to implementing an experimental essential monitoring data on changes in body framework to evaluate the benefit of areas of condition relative to the abundance and action versus no action, restricting the accessibility of Chinook during spring and movement and presence of vessels should be summer, as well as relative measures of feeding done adaptively. This would entail establishing conditions during winter when the SRKW are connections between SRKW health and Chinook believed to be primarily along the outer coast of abundance (e.g., scenarios indicate suite of options for high Chinook/low whale condition, the United States. An invaluable database of low Chinook, etc.). body conditions has grown in recent years, but is not yet sufficient to determine an ideal body condition or what a significant improvement Conclusions looks like. What Actions to Take The four discussion groups had evenly balanced Table 1. Scientific justifiability of the Management expertise on killer whales, Chinook salmon and Actions and the likelihood that they would provide fisheries management — and came to similar the desired benefit to SRKWs. Note that the conclusions about the scientific justifiability of likelihood of success correlated positively with the Management Actions considered, and the scientific justification — “?” represents unknown. likelihood that they would provide the desired Scientific Justifiability Management Action benefit to SRKWs (Table 1). ? Low Med High Overall, there was little confidence (unknown– A. Increase abundance low) that reducing fishery catches coast-wide of Chinook coast-wide X X by reducing removals would benefit SRKW, and slightly more by fisheries confidence (low–med) that restricting catches B. Increase abundance within specific areas of SRKW critical habitat of Chinook in specific- would significantly increase Chinook abundance. X X areas & times by adjust- ing fishery removals In contrast to doubts about being able to significantly increase the numbers of fish in C. Increase accessibil- SRKW habitat, there was greater confidence ity of Chinook by X X decreasing acoustic & (med–high) that reducing acoustic noise and physical disturbances physical disturbances by vessels would Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 13
Physiological Status. Significant advances have interval between calving times, increasing been made in developing ways to assess the success at age of first reproduction, and well-being of free-swimming whales. Fecal increasing reproductive potential (improved age samples, respiratory (blow) samples, blubber & sex composition of pods). However, changes in biopsies, and skin samples are increasingly used reproduction and survival rates occur over to assess health, nutritional status, exposure to relatively long periods and are unlikely to be disease, stress levels, and reproductive status. useful or dependable measures of the Validation of methodologies to assess and immediate effects of the actions considered. interpret physiological status relative to environmental conditions (i.e., perceived Future Refinement and Planning stressors) is ongoing. This workshop was an important first step in Area Use. The percentage of time a whale bringing fisheries managers and killer whale and spends in particular areas is likely to be a useful Chinook salmon experts together to identify and metric. This is based on the assumption that evaluate short-term management actions that more time moving between areas is indicative of might be taken to increase the immediate lower available prey—while less travelling is abundance and accessibility of Chinook salmon presumed to reflect relatively good foraging. for SRKW, given the current size of Chinook stocks. Activity Budgets. The percentage of time killer whales engage in resting, foraging, travelling, As a next step, a smaller group of managers and and socializing is presumed to reflect feeding scientists with expertise in killer whales and conditions—as it has been observed that killer Chinook could develop detailed strategies, whales typically travel more and forage less in design the experimental implementations and bad salmon years and in the presence of vessels required analyses to ensure the effectiveness of (they also tend to do less resting and socializing). the actions taken to improve the status of southern resident killer whales. Acoustic Behaviour. Foraging activity could be captured by hydrophones. Changes in the frequency of calls between SRKW might reflect changes in feeding conditions. Acknowledgements The workshop was supported through Fisheries Foraging Success. Individual SRKW might be and Oceans Canada’s Ocean and Freshwater followed from shore or from a distance on the Science Contribution Program awarded to water to document successful prey captures. Andrew Trites and Brian Hunt at the UBC Suction-cup electronic tags that record Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries. We are underwater behaviours can be attached for brief grateful for the logistical support provided by periods to determine where, when and how Pamela Rosenbaum (UBC Marine Mammal frequently SRKW catch Chinook and whether Research Unit), and for the rapporteur support they are more successful following from Madeline Young (International Year of the implementation of the Management Action. Salmon). We are also grateful to Earth and Reproduction & Survival. The overall goal of all Oceans Sciences, and to the Institute for the the Management Actions considered during this Oceans and Fisheries for providing meeting workshop was to support SRKW recovery by rooms. ultimately increasing the number of female calves, increasing calf survival, reducing the Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 14
Appendix A: Participants Lynne Barre US National Marine Fisheries Service lynne.barre@noaa.gov Lance Barrett-Lennard Ocean Wise lance.barrett-lennard@ocean.org Penny Becker Washington Dept of Fish and Wildlife penny.becker@dfw.wa.gov Gayle Brown Fisheries and Oceans Canada gayle.brown@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Sean Cox Simon Fraser University sean_cox@sfu.ca Thomas Doniol-Valcroze Fisheries and Oceans Canada thomas.doniol-valcroze@dfo- mpo.gc.ca John Durban US National Marine Fisheries Service john.durban@noaa.gov Peter Dygert US National Marine Fisheries Service peter.dygert@noaa.gov Holly Fearnbach SR3 hfearnbach@sealifer3.org Mike Ford US National Marine Fisheries Service mike.ford@noaa.gov John Ford University of British Columbia john.ford@ubc.ca Jeff Grout Fisheries and Oceans Canada jeff.grout@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Brad Hanson US National Marine Fisheries Service brad.hanson@noaa.gov Marla Holt US National Marine Fisheries Service marla.holt@noaa.gov Kirt Hughes Washington Dept of Fish and Wildlife kirt.hughes@dfw.wa.gov Brian Hunt University of British Columbia b.hunt@oceans.ubc.ca Lisa Jones Fisheries and Oceans Canada lisaann.jones@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Chris James NW Indian Fisheries Commission cjames@nwifc.org Ruth Joy SMRU Consulting rj@smruconsulting.com Peter Katinic Fisheries and Oceans Canada peter.katinic@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Robert Kope US National Marine Fisheries Service robert.kope@noaa.gov Karen Leslie Fisheries and Oceans Canada karen.leslie@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Wilf Luedke Fisheries and Oceans Canada wilf.luedke@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Marla Maxwell Fisheries and Oceans Canada marla.maxwell@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Teresa Mongillo US National Marine Fisheries Service teresa.mongillo@noaa.gov Jennifer Nener Fisheries and Oceans Canada jennifer.nener@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Dawn Noren US National Marine Fisheries Service dawn.noren@noaa.gov Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 15
Jan Ohlberger University of Washington janohl@uw.edu Martin Paish Sport Fishing Institute of BC mpaish@sportfishing.bc.ca Brian Riddell Pacific Salmon Foundation briddell@psf.ca David Rosen University of British Columbia rosen@zoology.ubc.ca Teresa Ryan University of British Columbia teresa.ryan@ubc.ca Bryan Rusch Fisheries and Oceans Canada bryan.rusch@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Mei Sato Oregon State University msato@coas.oregonstate.edu Mark Saunders International Year of the Salmon msaunders@yearofthesalmon.org Sharlene Shaikh Fisheries and Oceans Canada sharlene.shaikh@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Eva Stredulinsky Fisheries and Oceans Canada estredulinsky@gmail.com Jennifer Tennessen US National Marine Fisheries Service jennifer.tennessen@noaa.gov Mary Thiess Fisheries and Oceans Canada mary.thiess@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Sheila Thornton Fisheries and Oceans Canada sheila.thornton@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Andrew Trites University of British Columbia a.trites@oceans.ubc.ca Bob Turner US National Marine Fisheries Service bob.turner@noaa.gov Eric Ward US National Marine Fisheries Service eric.ward@noaa.gov Rob Williams Oceans Initiative rob@oceansinitiative.org Brianna Wright Fisheries and Oceans Canada brianna.wright@dfo-mpo.gc.ca Madeline Young International Year of the Salmon myoung@yearofthesalmon.org Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 16
Appendix B: Agenda Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 17
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Appendix C: Participant Presentation Summaries The following synopses of workshop presentations were provided by participants, and have been edited for style. November 15, 2017 1. High proportions of physically mature Day 1 – Prey Requirements of Southern males &/or lactating females in the Resident Killer Whales (SRKW) groups (i.e. nutritionally-needy individuals) A. SRKW status and demographic update (Eric Ward, NWFSC) 2. Leadership capacity within the group SRKW are likely to continue to decline. (i.e. multiple old, mature females) How quickly that happens depends on 3. Lower maternal relatedness among what assumptions we make about future group members (this can occur environmental conditions, sex ratios at through deaths of common ancestors birth being different from 50:50, potential as well as group growth) effects of inbreeding, and other factors Prey sharing is a prevalent behaviour in that reduce fecundity or survival. RKWs, where animals share prey with SRKW are an anomaly in that they are the their closest maternal relatives only killer whale population in the NE - Adult RKW females are the primary Pacific that hasn't increased exponentially. provisioners of their groups, sharing This is true since the 1970s, including the consistently even in years of low period since the last 2011-2012 salmon abundance (which makes workshops. them particularly vulnerable to food As noted in the last independent panel shortages). report and work since, there is increased - Adult males share the least with their opportunity for competitive effects of other killer whale populations on SRKW group. This is likely because they have (NRKW in particular have spatial overlap huge caloric requirements and they with SRKW). are also the least maternally related Recent trends in SRKW appear to be (on average) to their group. somewhat decoupled from aggregate While a mother’s provisioning of her salmon indices. In the last 5-10 years, daughters stops at daughter’s salmon indices have been at or near reproductive maturity, sons are historic highs and these periods have seen provisioned throughout their lifetime high population growth of other killer - Adult males depend on close female whales. But the trajectory for SRKW is relatives to be provisioned, and, in the somewhat opposite. absence of such relatives, their survival decreases. This relationship is B. Influence of sociality on the prey needs of especially apparent in years of low Southern Resident Killer Whales (Eva salmon abundance. Stredulinsky, DFO) Relevant notes from outside of this Splitting of RKW groups is correlated to presentation: coast-wide Chinook abundance - According to SRKW photogrammetry This relationship is amplified by: work (J. Durban, H. Fearnbach et al.), while adult males have females Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 20
provisioning them, they consistently D. Coastal occurrence of SRKWs based on have the best body condition of all sightings and acoustic data (Ruth Joy, SMRU age-sex classes. So it seems, in Consulting) general, they are only vulnerable to Project goals food shortages when they are lacking 1. To better understand the fine-scale older female animals to provision spatial and temporal distribution of them. SRKW during “Chinook season” (May- October), focusing on current and C. Killer whale genetics, and paternity in the proposed Canadian Critical Habitat. southern resident population (Michael 2. To better understand where foraging Ford, NOAA) occurs. Main points Multiple datasets: some opportunistic The whales have highly skewed male presence only, some more systematic with reproductive success – ~50% of the associated effort. current population descended from just One of the key datasets was collected by two males Brian Gisborne with 2887 tracklines of Four apparent cases of close inbreeding effort distributed across 815 days. He (2.5% of all inferred matings) observed SRKW 158 times across effort Less close inbreeding is certainly mostly concentrated in the occurring, but hard to detect with spring/summer/fall months. current data The 2nd key source of data is that from the BCCSN and OrcaMaster datasets. These Consequences of inbreeding in the are presence only datasets for which we population still under study - will have will have to derive either a pseudo effort results next year datalayer from absence data, or else a No evidence of inbreeding avoidance presence only approach. We’d like to Population has had low effective size avoid making assumptions about ‘effort’. (~25) for at least several generations The overarching methodological plan is to Implications for prey conservation/use fit a Bayesian spatial-temporal model Old, large males are important and they using approximate methods (instead of need a lot of food, but the population particle MCMC) to estimate the probability of SRKW presence in the Salish may not need very many of them Sea in the months from May to October. Inbreeding depression may mean We will be incorporating as much data as population needs more prey than a we can (scared about the Chinook data comparable outbred population now though!!), with the intent to start Based on the work by Eva Stredulinksy, with integrating Brian’s data with the the whales seem to put a lot of resources sightings databases. into males, and this seems almost Deliverable date is March 2018. maladaptive from a population perspective even if it perhaps makes sense from an individual whale perspective Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 21
E. Coastal occurrence of southern resident G. Dtags as a tool for behavioural studies of killer whales based on satellite tagging and resident killer whales (Brianna Wright, acoustic recorder detections (Brad Hanson, DFO) NWFSC) See: Wright, B.M., Ford, J.K.B., Ellis, G.E., Acoustic recorder detections and satellite- Deecke, V.B., Shapiro, A.D., Battaile, B.C. & linked tag location data from SRKW have Trites, A.W. 2017. Fine-scale foraging provided a much more complete picture of movements by fish-eating killer whales SRKW fall, winter, and spring occurrence (Orcinus orca) relate to the vertical Acoustic recorder detection data showed distributions and escape responses of that the area near the Columbia River was salmonid prey (Oncorhynchus spp.). used much more than expected by K/L Movement Ecology 5:3. pods Satellite tagged members of K and L pods H. Acoustic cues recorded from animal-borne ranged from Cape Flattery, Washington to tags to quantify foraging events in Pt. Reyes, California, remaining on the endangered fish-eating killer whales (Marla continental shelf, and generally close to Holt, NWFSC) the coast 34% of dives contained echolocation click High use sites for K/L pods included areas bouts off the Columbia River and Gray’s Harbor, The majority of click bouts were slow northern California, and the northern clicks on repeated shallow dives, Olympic Peninsula interpreted as searching for prey at the K/L pods primarily occur in a relatively surface. This makes SRKW vulnerable to narrow band of the continental shelf near vessel masking noise and boat presence the coast Dive depth and year were important Satellite tagged members of J pod ranged explanatory variables of click presence from the continental shelf waters of the Co-occurrence of buzzes and prey central west coast of Vancouver Island to handling sounds indicate prey capture northern Georgia Strait Males had higher presence of buzz and High use sites for J pod included northern prey handling sounds on per dive basis, Georgia Strait and the western end of Juan consistent with having higher feeding de Fuca Strait rates to support a larger total body size K/L and J pods appear to have nearly Integration of the acoustic data analysis exclusively separate winter ranges results with other tag sensor data is In general, SRKWs appear to display critical input for the development of the similar range and site fidelity patterns foraging detector, presented by J. between years Tennessen Results ultimately will be used to predict foraging in order to determine vessel and F. Assessment of potentially important SRKW habitat outside of designated Critical noise effects on behavior, including Habitat (John Ford, DFO & UBC) different phases of foraging that involve the use of sound No summary provided Availability of Prey for Southern Resident Killer Whales—Technical Workshop Proceedings 2018 • page 22
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