ASSESSING THE TREND IN RENTAL VALUES OF COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES ALONG OYEMEKUN ROAD, AKURE, NIGERIA
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Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. ASSESSING THE TREND IN RENTAL VALUES OF COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES ALONG OYEMEKUN ROAD, AKURE, NIGERIA By Iroham, C. O1, Oluwunmi, A. O.1, Simon, R. F1, & Akerele, B. A1. 1 Department of Estate Management, Covenant University, Ota Ogun State Nigeria. osmond.iroham@covenantuniversity.edu.ng funike.oluwunmi@covenantuniversity.edu.ng funshosimon@yahoo.com akerelebeatrice@yahoo.com Abstract: Commercial property investment which is now very evident along Oyemekun Road, Akure, Nigeria, a place characterized hither to by residential development, leaves investors at dark with the choice of commercial property investment. Commercial properties evident in the study area are purpose-built office space, converted office space and shopping complex. In a bid to lead investors aright on the best decision of the type of property to invest their hard earned income in, a study was conducted to assess the trends in rental values of the properties between 2006 and 2011 in order to discover the property with the highest trend. This study which is a cross-sectional research that entailed the survey of the entire 22 Estate Surveying Firms in the study area made use of questionnaires as the primary source of data. The use of both descriptive and inferential statistical techniques such as the frequency distribution table and the simple linear regression, and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) were adopted in analysing data. From the study it was discovered that the converted office space is mostly predominant (53%) while the shopping complex is the most professionally managed property (46%) respectively. However, the purpose built office space with the highest R2 of 0.9 and having the highest trend in rental values will result to the fastest recoup of investment. The use of (ANOVA) coupled with Tukey post-hoc test reveal that the rental values of three properties at the 95% confidence level are significantly different (p=0.000). Based on the study findings, it is recommended that the purpose built office space with the highest rent and trend should be the focus of both investors and professional managing agents in order to maximize returns. Keywords: Rental values, Rental Trends, Commercial Properties, Nigeria. 10
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. 1. Introduction Meyer,. 2006); the situation of a Real estate trend is a generic term new sport venue (Dehring, used to describe any consistent Depken, and Ward. 2007); pattern or change in the general distance from foreclosed direction of the real estate properties (Lee, 2008); local industry, which must be based on historic designation (Ijla, 2008); fact and, over the course of time, the impact of inflation and real causing a statistically noticeable construction cost in the long-run pattern of change (Mueller, 1999). while in the short-run increase in This phenomenon can be a result wealth rising from equity price of the economy, a change in (Leung, Chow and Han, 2008); mortgage rates, consumer provision of wall-fence round the speculations or other fundamental building and the installation of and non-fundamental reasons. A burglary proof in all the windows trend can be downward or upward, (Olujimi and Bello, 2009); horizontal or vertical depending nearness to worship centres‟ on the series of related changes (Iroham, Oloyede and Oluwunmi, that are identified and projected 2011) amongst others. Specifically into a plausible future. When such for commercial properties certain trends are based on rental values factors do abound as revealed in then the observation will be previous studies. Such factors confined to any evident changes in include average floor area and rent patterns. Rents passing on number of rooms (Slade, 2000); properties are bound to be changes in floor space and prime influenced variedly due to the lending rates (Chin, 2003); size of heterogeneity of real estate. These sales facility (Kivilahti and factors range from intrinsic to Viitanen, 2006); neighborhood extrinsic characteristics. They and physical characteristics include closeness to high-rise (Marco, 2007). From these office buildings (Thibodeau, backdrops these requisite factors 1990); accessibility (Ball, Lizieri have to be continually evident for and MacGregor, 1998); location, properties to keep commanding size, structural characteristics attractive rents that will generate (Tay, Lau and Leung, 1999; an impressive trend/pattern from McCluskey, Deddis, Lamont, & the stance of investors over a Borst, 2000); proximity to rail and given period of time. Rising rents park (Jensen and Durham, 2003); have been described as an provision of balconies (Chau, attraction for rental real estate Wong, , and Yiu, 2004); proximity development as prospect of rental to open space (Anderson and growth is also an important West, 2005); location of dams viability consideration. In addition (Provencher, Sarakinos, and rental growth rates combined with 11
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. occupancy levels are being Akure which was hither to sprawl regarded as major long run with residential structures. Three determinants of property income types of commercial properties (Mueller, 1999). including purpose-built office space, converted office space and Changes in rent invariably affect shopping complex are evident in every type of real estate although the study area. As a fast growing in varying degrees. It appears that arena for commercial activities these changes are more evident in investors could be faced with the commercial properties. This decision on which of the type of perhaps is due to the fact that property to invest their hard these properties are majorly built earned income. This study is for business transactions and as thereby geared towards leading the name implies could easily be investors aright on the best prone to varying economic warp. decision of investment to make Commercial property which could amongst the three property types come in form of office space, for earliest recoupment of malls, retail stores, shopping investment. centers, banks amongst others has an important role in real estate Hence the basic research questions markets. Its importance can be designed are to seek the opinion of related to three different factors: respondents through direct First, as a factor of production, statements contained in the commercial property provides the questionnaire on certain aspects of space to house the activities of the study: business and industry. Second, as What are the rental values a financial asset, commercial of the various types of property constitutes a significant commercial properties part within asset markets. Third, along Oyemekun Road, as an investment medium, it Akure between the years provides revenues to its holders 2006 and 2011? based on value (Ustaoğlu, 2003). What are the trends in the These characteristics make rental values of these commercial property attractive for properties? investors. Hence, any painstaking Which of these properties process in monitoring rental has the highest trend in movements over the years is worth rental values over the the while. years? Perhaps these grandiose attributes Is there any significant commercial properties offer have difference in the rental resulted to a plethora of such values passing on these investment in Oyemekun Road, properties? 15 12
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. rent increases (indicating rent 2. Earlier Works on Trends in drift) could be found. Evidence Property Values was found to support the existence According to Nwuba (2008), the of such rent drift. This rent drift need to analyse the movement of has also been discovered in rents is premised on the fact that it commercial real estate rents in would aid entrepreneurs in their similar research conducted in planning and cash flow projections; Hong Kong (Brown and Chau, assist developers in investment decision 1997) and Australia (Beer, 1999). making; useful to real estate However, a later research in Hong professionals in appraisals and Kong, Dahoa (2003), discovered evaluation of proposed development that after a peak reached in 1997 projects; as well as provide information there was a drop of 66.9% and for researchers. A number of studies 48.7% respectively in House Price have been carried out on rental Index and Rental Index movements. In the United States, respectively. The situation in Mueller (1999) using asking rents Scotland is quite different as no and average rental growth rate, regular trend in office rents was evaluated rental growth rates in observed. However, there were the physical real estate cycle and fluctuations particularly between found that national average 1987 and 2002 (Langdon and growth rates at each point in the Everest, 2003). cycle were statistically different. Scott and Judge (2000) examined Bjorklund (1999) studied the cyclical behaviour in residential rent between 1990 and commercial property values in the 1997 in Stockholm from an UK between 1956 and 1996 using investor‟s point of view. With the a structural times series use of rent equations, estimations (unobserved components) were conducted to analyse approach. The study incorporated whether or not rent levels varied influence of the transition to short between locations holding other rent reviews during the late 1960s rent-affecting variables (age and and the short and long-term improvement) constant. It was impacts of the 1974 and 1990 discovered it varies. The study property crashes in the analysis, also entailed a comparison via dummy variables. It was found between annual increases in the that once these variables were effective rent charged for privately taken into account a fairly regular owned residential properties and cyclical pattern can be discerned the official increases set via within a period of about 7 to 8 official negotiation for years. Furthermore, the 1974 and municipality owned residential 1990 property crashes were shown housing to see whether excessive to have had a major long-term 13
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. impact on property value growth recent financial crises in (presumably via their influence on developed economies, the results investors‟ expectations). of stress-testing exercises and the Shipley (2000) embarked on a current historically high share of research that was designed to commercial property-related examine the assertion that historic lending to private non-financial designation of properties, under corporates. Observation made the heritage legislation in reveals that over the period 2003 Canada‟s largest province, has a to 2006, there was a large increase negative impact on the values of in capital values in the Irish those properties. The actual selling commercial property market price of subject properties was without a correspondingly large used to establish their value increase in rents. Consequently, history trends, which were then income yields on all types of compared to ambient market commercial property reached very trends within the same low levels in 2006. Of additional communities. Almost 3,000 concern, from a financial stability properties in 24 communities were perspective have been the rapid investigated, in what is believed to rates of increase in lending for be the largest study of its kind commercial property-related ever undertaken in North America. purposes during the same period. It was found that heritage The paper investigated whether designation could not be shown to these trends were unique to have a negative impact. In fact Ireland, and considered the extent there appeared to be a distinct and to which the growth in generally robust market in commercial property values can designated heritage properties be explained by fundamental with over 74% of such properties factors. It addressed these issues performing well. These heritage by examining recent trends in properties tend to be resistant to capital values and income yields down-turns in the general market on Irish commercial property on a as ample numbers of willing historical and international basis buyers were prepared to pay and found that nominal income premium for this type of property. yields have followed a general Woods (2007) argued that downward trend since the mid- developments in the commercial 1990s. property market have greater Hui et al (2008) carried out a consequences for the stability of research on building and real the Irish financial system. This as estate index for the Hong Kong highlighted by Woods op. cit. may residential property market. The be especially true in the light of aim of the study was to explore international experience regarding changes in price expectations and 14
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. confidence of housing consumers source of data collection was over a period of time, with the secondary through newspapers, primary objective of developing magazines and internet, an independent confidence index supplemented by primary data for residential properties in Hong collection via interviews and Kong. The building and real estate making personal visits to the index provided an objective various real estate companies. The resource to forecast market study revealed issues concerned performance. It also provided an with real estate investment in the objective tool, and a statistical country considering the past and pointer that forecasts future present trends of rental values. housing price trends. Cities like Delhi, Mumbai and Jeong and Kim (2009) used a time Gurgaon experienced a 20-25% series analysis and a shock- jump in their rental values because response analysis of the vector of the demand for independent auto regression (VAR) model to houses by majorly corporate find the trends in retail rents in sectors who rent such houses for South Korea. The data of retail their senior executives. Even rent series were compiled by three though commercial lease institutions (the Bank of Korea - agreements specify a 15% BOK, the Kookmin Bank, and the escalation in the real estate rental Korea Statistic Office) from in every three years, the present January 1995 to February 2008. cause of real estate boom in India was injection of foreign funds by The long-term trends in retail rents the government into showed that they continued to rise infrastructures like hotels, in general but there was a short shopping malls, large-scale sluggish period. The researcher residential complexes in new discovered that retail rents had a townships, InfoTech parks and positive relationship with office special economic zones in order to rents, property management attract higher investments. The expenses, consumer price index, growth in the real estate sector and housing deposit-basis lease was discovered to be between 25- value (chonsei), but negative 30% for residential, 10-15% for relationship with interest rate. commercial and agriculture Singh and Komal (2009) in their sectors. study of the prospects and Briggs and Ng (2009) in their problems of real estate in India; study of trends and cycles in New surveyed 50 major players in the Zealand house prices sought to real estate field. The study focused find the trend level of house prices on commercial real estate and identifying the anchor or investment in India. The principal attractor for house prices, and look 15
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. at whether it was possible to respectively. Each interview identify a long run equation that which lasted a minimum of 30 describes the trend in house minutes was based on the prices. The study linked house following research question: to prices to household income what extent has structural change, suggesting that other factors caused by the state-led economic besides interest rates such as tax transition, affected the treatment of rental properties and performance and the stability of an increase in the proportion of the emerging office market as rental properties are also behind reflected by market-led cyclical the rise in the trend in house fluctuations? The interview prices. Certain factors including process undertaken between 2004 increases in section prices and the and 2007 was centered on five cost of construction would have an themes developed based on the impact on the cost of existing research question: Markets and houses as well as new houses. cycles since the 1990s; what Other factors include increased changes have occurred? access to credit following Information (data) availability and financial deregulation, and a quality; how this was structured? higher propensity on the part of Factors affecting commercial households to borrow. property markets; Government Wu et al. (2009) used interview policy and office markets - the data to explore and examine analysis: e.g. Market vs. State property markets in three Chinese policy, which one is the main cities with the focus placed on the driver? Also there was a search for emergence of the commercial the future prospect and market property markets and the maturity. The work identified government-market interplay, varying opinions and perceptions noting the market formation among key stake-holders about process and cycles that are cycles in China‟s emerging „unexpected‟ in a transitional commercial property markets. economy. Interviewees were Interviews in the three cities selected with the intention to suggested a spectrum of factors cover the core elements of the that may substantially affect the property submarket. The sampling stability of China‟s office markets. was not random because the A cross-sectional comparison of information sought-after was not the three cities did reveal a similar evenly distributed in the society. pattern of cyclical behaviour A total of 27, 19 and 26 semi- highlighting structural change and structured interviews were state intervention with leads-and- conducted in Guangzhou, lags, in spite of the dispersion in Chongqing and Beijing geography, culture and market 16
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. maturity. The various views between the rental growth rates offered about market mechanism and CPI inflation rates. The results and cyclical behaviour represented showed that office rents varying levels of market maturity. maintained upward trend during These brief insights offer an the study period but the growth opportunity to develop an rates were lower than general alternative approach to measure inflation rates. Rental growth rates property market conditions in were statistically significant, but emerging or immature markets no significant difference existed such as China by looking at between the growth rates and market stakeholder perception inflation rates. There was a strong based on the notion that market positive linear relationship can be partially driven based on between time and office rents perception i.e. market are not movement, which could be an 100% efficient. indication that office rents grow significantly over time. Also, The Nigerian Experience Although studies on rental trends Idudu (1989) and Omuojune in Nigeria are relatively sparse, (1994) in related studies on trends certain contributions need to be in rental values observed that acknowledged. Nwuba (2004) in a urban rents in Nigeria have study involving differences in maintained upward movements in house rent in various locations in the previous two decades. Kaduna between 1986 and 2004 In Ikeja, Lagos State, due to the shows the existence of house rent rate of increase in rental values of inflation rates which was commercial properties along each discovered to be statistically arterial road which has become significant amongst these areas. unpredictable leading to inability Nwuba and Adeagbo (2007) as a of Estate Surveyors and Valuers to follow-up on this research found a accurately predict its trend, Oni steady rise in house rents index in (2009) focused on determining Kaduna during the same period. In spatial distribution and deriving the succeeding year, Nwuba models for predicting the trend of (2008) evaluated office rental the values. In doing so, data movements in the Central Area of (rental values over a period of 5 Abuja, Nigeria, between year years, 2003-2007) were collected 2000 and year 2007, with a view by interviewing Estate Surveyors to measuring the rental growth and Valuers and occupiers of rates. The basic questions commercial properties in the study determined were whether the area, analyzed using polynomial rental growth rates were regression models and spatial significant, and whether distribution of commercial significant difference exists property values along the arterial 17
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. roads were depicted on a Value the researchers also embarked on Map. Models were also derived to participants‟ observation of the assist Estate Surveyors and properties in the area to know the Valuers, real estate developers and number of commercial properties financiers in predicting accurately in the area. The method used in future values of commercial analyzing the data includes properties along the arterial roads frequency distribution as well as in the study area. other techniques. The collected The studies so far have been in- data was arranged, tabulated and depth however there was no presented to allow for meaningful nudging for investors in making analysis and interpretation. The decision amongst given data of the frequency table was alternatives particularly amongst presented using diagrams, charts the Nigerian researchers. This and graphs, in addition to the present study takes a leap in this simple linear regression models of direction. Microsoft Excel. Data was processed by coding using the Methodology Statistical Package for Social The methods are principles Sciences (SPSS) software in underlying any given research determining any statistical which logically involves obtaining significance amongst the three sets information via peculiar field of rental values by the use of the work, data collection, sample size Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and frame, sampling procedure, coupled with the Tukey post-hoc data requirements through primary test at the 95% confidence level. sources and secondary sources and method of data analysis. The 3. Findings and Discussions methodological framework used to The administration of attain the stated aim and questionnaire to Estate Surveyors objectives of the study are and Valuers was carried out examined, also the type and personally, and the various sources of data examined are responses were subsequently usually along the procedure analyzed using the Statistical employed. package for social science (SPSS) software. Twenty-two (22) copies This is a cross-sectional research of questionnaire were distributed that entailed the survey of the to the firms of practicing estate entire 22 Estate Surveying Firms surveyors and valuers in Akure. in the study area. The major Nineteen completed instrument for data collection of questionnaires were returned this study is questionnaire for resulting to a response rate of Estate Surveyors and Valuers 86%. This was found substantial involved in the study. However, for convincing analysis. 18
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. In achieving the objective of this grouped into Purpose-built office study, the researchers embarked space, Converted office space and on a participant observation of all Shopping Complex. The commercial properties in the area. frequency distribution of the three It was observed that the types of commercial properties are commercial properties were given in Table 1. Table 1: Frequency Distribution of Commercial Property along Oyemekun Road S/N Type of Office Percentage 1 Purpose-built 40 Frequency 31.0 2 Converted 70 53.0 3 Shopping Complex 21 16.0 Total 131 100 Source: Authors’ Field Survey, 2012 From Table 1, it can be seen that study area, Oyemekun was mainly converted office space ranked the of residential use before highest type of commercial commercial activities evolved and property found in the area, demand for office spaces constituting about 53% of the total encouraged owners to convert to number of properties along offices. However, the respondents Oyemekun Road. This indicates asserted that they have more of that the type of office spaces shopping complexes under their mostly common in the study area management portfolios as shown is the converted office space. The in Fig. 1 Fig. 1: Pie Chart Showing Percentages of Commercial Properties managed along Oyemekun Road. 19
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. Figure 1 shows the percentage of managed. However, the shopping commercial properties available in complex which is the least in the respondents‟ management number happens to be the most portfolio. During the course of the managed. field survey the researchers Rental values of the various discovered that most of the types of commercial properties converted office spaces were not along Oyemekun Road, Akure being managed. As a result, most between the years 2006 and 2011 estate firms do not have converted The study period of between year office spaces in their management 2006 and year 2011 reveals that portfolio. Hence, of the 70 the average rental values per converted office spaces in the annum of these commercial study area only 13 are being property types are as shown in Table 2. Table 2: Average Rental Values of Commercial Properties S/N Office Space 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1 Purpose-built 195,000 240,000 240,000 300,000 300,000 2 Converted 100,000 100,000 130,000 150,000 150,000 Office 3 Shopping 35,000 35,000 50,000 50,000 60,000 Complex Source: Authors’ Field Survey, 2012 Trends in the rental values of the commercial properties along Oyemekun Road, Akure From the average rental values of the different commercial properties within the area obtained, the trend in the commercial property values were obtained and shown in Figure 2 20
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. 350000 300000 250000 200000 Purpose-built 150000 Converted 100000 Shopping Complex 50000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 source: Authors field survey 2012 Figure 2: Trends in Rental Values of Commercial Properties The future trend was considered using linear regression analysis for each of the properties in the study area with time as the independent variable to explain how the rental values of these properties vary with time. The graphic details below elucidate better: Table 3: Rent paid for Purpose-built Office from 2006-2011 S/N Office Space 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1 Purpose-built 195,000 240,000 240,000 300,000 300000 Fig 3: Trend in Purpose-built Properties 21
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. Table 4: Rent paid for Converted Office Space from 2006-2011 S/N Office Space 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1 Converted 100,000 100,000 130,000 150,000 150,000 Fig 4: Trend in Converted Office Space Table 5: Rent paid for Shopping Complex from 2006-2011 S/N Office Space 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1 Shopping 35,000 35,000 50,000 50,000 60,000 Complex Fig 5: Trend in Shopping Complex Source: Authors’ Field Survey 2012 22
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. Commercial properties with the by which the variation in outcome highest trend in rental values of the dependent variable can be over the years in the study area accounted for by the independent From the projections seen in the variable. The R2 of the three following linear equation as commercial properties as shown in follows the graph above are as follows: Y= A + Bx Purpose-built office space = 0.9; This can aid in projecting future Shopping Complex = 0.8989; rental income Converted Office Space = 0.8929. Where: Although the high R2 value of the Y= the calculated or estimated three commercial property types value for the dependent variable indicate a very strong positive (projected rent) relationship between time and rents, from above it can be seen A= the Y intercept, the theoretical that the R2 of the purpose–built value of Y when X=0 office space is the highest among B= the slope of the line, the the three commercial properties. change in Y is divided by the Therefore, it is the property whose change in X, the value by which Y rental values can be most changes when X changes by 1. ascertained with each successive X= the number of years projected year under study. Hence, it implies for. that about 90% of the variation in Therefore, from the graph above, rent of purpose-built office space it is evident that the following R2 is explained by variation in time in applies to the linear equation for the model, making it the property the various commercial properties. with the highest trend over the R2 in regression analysis years as revealed in Fig 6 represents the level of relationship 23
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. Fig 6: Projected Rent of the Commercial Properties Significant difference in the rental values passing on the properties in the study area An Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) was conducted to discover if this difference in rental values is quite significant. Results from the SPSS analysis produced the following relevant Tables (6-8). Table 6: Descriptive Rent 95% Confidence Interval for Mean N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Lower Bound Upper Bound Minimum Maximum pur 5 45000.00000 20124.61180 255000.0000 20124.61180 310874.8799 310874.8799 310874.8799 con 5 25099.80080 126000.0000 11224.97216 11224.97216 157165.5190 157165.5190 157165.5190 sho 5 46000.0000 10839.74169 4847.67986 4847.67986 59459.3170 59459.3170 59459.3170 Total 15 93462.49566 24131.91261 24131.91261 194091.1383 35000.00 300000.00 142333.3333 24
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. Table 7: ANOVA Rent Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. Between Groups 1.112E11 2 5.560E10 60.164 .000 Within Groups 1.109E10 12 9.242E8 Total 1.223E11 14 Table 8: Multiple Comparisons Dependent Variable:Rent (I) 95% Confidence Interval propert (J) Mean Difference y property (I-J) Std. Error Sig. Lower Bound Upper Bound Tukey pur con 1.29000E5 19226.71752 .000 77705.7390 180294.2610 HSD sho 2.09000E5 19226.71752 .000 157705.7390 260294.2610 con pur -1.29000E5 19226.71752 .000 -180294.2610 -77705.7390 sho 80000.00000* 19226.71752 .003 28705.7390 131294.2610 sho pur -2.09000E5 19226.71752 .000 -260294.2610 -157705.7390 con -8.00000E4 19226.71752 .003 -131294.2610 -28705.7390 Games- pur con 1.29000E5 23043.43724 .003 59168.2601 198831.7399 Howell sho 2.09000E5 20700.24154 .001 138654.7866 279345.2134 con pur -1.29000E5 23043.43724 .003 -198831.7399 -59168.2601 sho 80000.00000* 12227.01926 .002 41344.5229 118655.4771 sho pur -2.09000E5 20700.24154 .001 -279345.2134 -138654.7866 con -8.00000E4 12227.01926 .002 -118655.4771 -41344.5229 *. The mean difference is significant at the 0.05 level. We can see from the output of the contains the results of Tukey post- ANOVA analysis that there is a hoc tests is referred. statistically significant difference We can see from the table below amongst the means of the various that there is a significant types of commercial property in difference in rental values the study area. We can see that the amongst the various types of significance level is 0.000 (p = properties. For instance, the rental .000), which is below 0.05. values between the purpose built Therefore, there is a statistically commercial properties and significant difference in the mean converted shops is significantly rent collected on these properties. different (p=0.000); likewise the However, in order to know if the rental values between purpose difference cuts across the three built properties and shopping property types, the “Multiple complex (p=0.000). The rental Comparisons Table” which difference is also evident between 25
Covenant Journal of Research in the Built Environment (CJRBE) Vol. 1, No. 1 (Maiden Edition), June, 2014. the converted shops and shopping Conclusion complex (p=0.003). The converted office space which In a nutshell, it is revealed that happens to be the most evident there is a statistically significant amongst the commercial difference in the rental values properties already reveals the amongst the three types of status of the study area as commercial properties in the study residential base in time past. The area as determined by one-way shopping complex on the other ANOVA (F(2,12) = 60.164, p = hand being the most .000). A Tukey post-hoc test professionally managed reveals revealed that the rental values are the status of this type of statistically significantly different commercial investment when as follows: purpose built compared to others. Although the commercial property (N255, 000 three sets of properties have quite ±N45, 000, p = .003); Converted high R2 values, that of purpose Shops (N126, 000 ± N25, 099.80, built office space recorded the p = .000) and Shopping Complex highest and also in rental values. (N46, 000 ± N10, 839.74, p There is therefore the need for =.000). Hence, the difference in investors and professional rental values is quite glaring with managing agents to devote much purpose built shops showing the effort to the investment in most prospects in rental values. purpose-built office space, in the area of development and management respectively, so as to maximize returns on investment. References: Bjorklund, K. (1999) Real Estate Anderson, S.T. & West, S.E. Performance: Five Essays. (2006) Open Space, Residential Doctoral dissertation, Property Values, and Spatial Department of Real Estate and Context. Regional Science and Construction Management, Urban Economics, 36(6), 773- Royal Institute of Technology, 789. Stockholm. Beer, A. (1999) Housing Briggs, P., and Ng, T. (2009) Investments and The Private Trends and Cycles in New Rental Sector in Australia Urban Zealand House Prices, a Paper Studies 36(2), 255-269 for CHRANZ Workshop Ball, M.; Lizieri, C. and Brown, G. and Chau, K. W. (1997) MacGregor, B. D. (1998) The "Excess Returns in the Hong Economics of Commercial Kong Commercial Property Property Markets, Routledge, Market" Journal of Real Estate 402 pp., ISBN 0-415-14992-4 Research, 14(2), 91-106. 26
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