Arc Market Databook - Bidwells
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Summer 2021 Arc Market Databook OFFICES M1 SOUTH 74k sq ft Although take up in Milton Keynes eases in H1, activity is set to increase in H2 with 50,000 sq ft under offer at the end In common with many areas across the UK, the Milton Keynes office of the period market is experiencing a period of uncertainty as businesses review occupational strategies in the wake of the pandemic. However, there 80k sq ft are reasons to feel positive about the city’s office market going forward. Santander has designated its city centre Unity Place development its new UK HQ. Moreover, the number of office space requirements in the city are up by over a quarter on last year, albeit businesses are often trading size for quality. Grade A supply in Milton Keynes remains constrained, with only 80,064 With very little grade A space available, this will present a challenge. The sq ft on the market market will need to adjust to the shift in priorities, but the acceleration of plans to refurbish Northgate House is a positive sign. The opening of the Santander HQ in 2023, combined with a positive business outlook for the city’s tech sector in particular, will provide an economic fillip to Milton Keynes over the next few years. This will drive rental growth and potentially spur forward further refurbishment and redevelopments to accommodate the emergent office landscape. bidwells.co.uk/research
News highlights Milton Keynes return to work gathers 111 bank branches along with a number of MK:U announces first pilot degrees momentum office locations. Santander has recently for business Through the use of Google Maps, recent put its 115,000 sq ft call centre at Shenley MK:U launched its first four pilot Degree research undertaken by merchant payment Wood House on the market, with the Apprenticeships in May 2021, with company Dojo has shown that the number majority of staff to work from home until courses due to start in September of workers returning to the office in Milton Unity Place becomes operational. 2021. The degrees will focus on the Keynes is amongst the highest in the UK. technology sector, covering data science, Occupier demand for quality office Data from April showed that footfall was cyber security, digital and technology space brings forward refurbishments up by 14% compared to the height of the solutions along with a general business There is no doubt that many occupiers pandemic in mid January, reflecting a management course. Plans for MK:U’s are reducing their office floor space return to the office after the end of the permanent home in Central MK are requirements, but Bidwells’ Milton Keynes third lockdown. This upturn is consistent progressing with Cranfield University, office has seen a surge in demand for with the national picture, captured in the Milton Keynes Council and its business accommodation of 20,000 sq ft and latest ONS statistics which reveals a record backers promoting the cause to the below. With the scaling back of a number level of recruitment by UK companies in government’s new National Science and of larger requirements, demand for smaller June and rising wages. Technology Council. suites stood at 221,600 sq ft at the end Santander announces Unity Place to of H1 2021 - its highest level since 2017. become its UK headquarters But, whilst the scale of requirements has Santander’s new 398,000 sq ft technology eased, businesses are focusing on better hub at Unity Place in Central MK is to quality stock. This has brought forward become the bank’s UK headquarters when plans to upgrade space by landlords, with it completes in 2023. The announcement the comprehensive refurbishment of the follows the news that the bank will close 33,807 sq ft Northgate House in the city centre due to commence in H2 2021. Milton Keynes Offices The largest transaction in H1 2021 was the 25,729 sq ft letting to the Department for Work and Pensions at Phoenix House in Central MK Office supply (June 2021) Office demand (June 2021) Office rents (June 2021) Grade A Take up Requirements Grade B Grade A 50 Availability rate (rhs) Grade C 10 - 20 10 yr average 20 - 30 900 17% 350 1,200 35 £32.00 £32.00 £30.00 £29.00 £28.50 800 £28.00 £28.00 16% 300 1,000 30 700 15% 250 25 600 800 500 14% 200 20 600 0.0% 1.8% 1.8% 3.4% 6.7% 0.0% 400 13% 150 15 300 400 0% 12% 100 11% 10 200 26% 11% 220 50 37% 5 100 5% 0 10% 0 0 21% 0 20 21(f) 22(f) 23(f) 24(f) 25(f) 26(f) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 H1 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 H1 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 H1 Availability 000’s sq ft 810.2 p 2021 H1 Requirements Prime £psf £28.00 }| Availability rate 15% p Take up 000’s sq ft 73.8 q 000’s sq ft 351.6 p Secondary good £psf £25.00 }| Secondary poor £psf £13.50 }| Annualised growth rate 2.5% p.a
Capital Markets Investment activity in the M1 yield of 9.00%. There are various south office market was asset management opportunities Milton Keynes Prime Office Yield dominated by transactions in available at Marlborough Court, with 8.00% Milton Keynes, where sales the average lease term to break continued at similar levels to standing at just over 2 years. those seen in the previous 12 One of the more interesting 7.50% months. transactions was the purchase of Drakes Mews Business Centre at A total of £20.6m of office Crownhill by The Parks Trust for 7.00% transactions were completed in £4.4m. The centre offers 27 small Milton Keynes in the first six months business units and studios, with of 2021, compared with just under the Trust currently refurbishing the 6.50% £50m during the whole of 2020. units. Activity has been focused on lot sizes below £10m. 6.00% The largest transaction in the year to date was the purchase of the 44,240 sq ft, multi let Marlborough 5.50% Court at Linford Wood Business Park for £6.9m, reflecting a net initial 5.00% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 H1 Source: Bidwells Key Bidwells transaction The facts Drakes Mews, Milton Keynes Bidwells’ leasing and Capital Markets teams advised on the £28 psf Prime office rents in Milton Keynes remain stable, with freehold sale of Drakes Mews good quality second hand rents at £25 per sq ft Business Centre in Milton Keynes. Comprising of 27 13% small to medium enterprise office and industrial workshop units, the property extends to 51,475 sq ft and provides the purchaser, The Parks Trust, with asset management Increase in office floorspace requirements in potential for the estate. Milton Keynes since the end of 2020 14.3% Five year forecast increase in prime office rents in Milton Keynes, rising to £32 per sq ft by 2025
Milton Keynes office locations A509 M1 A508 X M A422 E J.14 C B University Campus U A509 V W A5 CITY A. Caldecotte Lake Business Park CENTRE B. Linford Wood Business Centre Q P C. Warren Park J.13 D. National Energy Centre Open University E. Old Stratford Business Park K National Campus A4146 M1 F. Station Square G. Santander House H. Victoria House A I. Central Business Exchange D N J. Exchange Square O K. Routeco Business Park L. Genesis House M. VW Campus, Tongwell J N. Challenge House A421 O. New City Place (to be developed) L I P. Wavendon Business Park A4146 R Q. Kents Hill Business Park G R. The HUB:MK S H S. The Pinnacle:MK A5 T. 100 Avebury Boulevard Bletchley Park U. Woodlands Business Park F V. Eastlake Park W. Atterbury T X. Manor Farm Court Holly Dawson Partner, Business Space Agency 07917 243 887 holly.dawson@bidwells.co.uk Saul Western Partner, Capital Markets 07899 061 889 saul.western@bidwells.co.uk Arc Market Databook Sue Foxley Research Director 07971 402 527 sue.foxley@bidwells.co.uk bidwells.co.uk/research Bidwells is a trading name of Bidwells LLP, a limited liability partnership, registered in England and Wales with number OC344553. © Copyright Bidwells LLP 2020. Before taking any action based on this document you should consult Bidwells LLP to ensure that it is appropriate to your circumstances. Bidwells LLP is in no way responsible for any views expressed within this document.
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