2015 Small Satellite Market Observations - Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI)
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2015
Small Satellite
Market Observations
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI)
2015 Small Satellite Market Observations
Point of Contact:
Dr. John Bradford
President / COO
john.bradford@sei.aero | 1+770.379.8007
Published by:
SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI)
Atlanta, GA
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 2
2014
SpaceWorks’ 2014 Projection estimated between 140 and 143
nano/microsatellites across all sectors would launch globally in
2014; 158 nano/microsatellites were actually launched. This
represented an increase of nearly 72% compared to 2013.
2015+
In 2014, 107 commercial nano/microsatellites (1-50 kg)
launched and thousands of commercial small satellites (101-
500 kg) are planned for launch over the next fifteen years.
Recent multi-million and multi-billion dollar investments in
various ventures confirm the commercial sector’s continued
interest in the nano/microsatellite and small satellite industries.
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 3
2014 Highlights
With 92 launches, 2014 experienced the second highest annual
launch rate since 1994
• Planet Labs has launched 97 CubeSats to date (93 in 2014), the largest quantity
ever contributed by a commercial company
• Antares CRS-2 launched on July 13th with 32 CubeSats on board. While
deploying the satellites, the NanoRacks CubeSat dispenser experienced two
failures (one non-deployment event and one unplanned deployment), forcing 14
satellites to remain onboard the ISS Credit: AMSAT-UK
• Since most nano/microsatellites (1 - 50 kg) launch in large clusters as secondary Flock-1 CubeSats deployed from
ISS on February 11, 2014
payloads, a single failure can result in significant loss; 30 nano/microsatellites
were lost when Antares failed shortly after launch on October 28th
• In just nine days, Planet Labs built and delivered two satellites to include on the
SpaceX CRS-5; these satellites replicated the specifications of the 26 satellites
lost on Antares
Multiple companies were rumored to be developing large
communication satellite constellations in 2014
In early 2015, SpaceX and OneWeb (formerly WorldVu, Ltd.) confirmed
their plans to pursue sizeable constellations of 4,025 and 648 satellites,
respectively
Both companies have secured significant funding as well as launch
Credit: Bloomberg Business
Graphical representation of coverage
arrangements provided by OneWeb satellite constellation
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 4
Notable Activities in Other Mass Classes
In 2014, 46 satellites launched in the 501 to 2,000 kg mass class, a 31%
increase over 2013
• Full deployment of the 72-satellite Iridium-NEXT constellation (66 operational satellites,
6 spares) is expected to be completed by 2017
• Two of the eight O3b satellites launched in 2014 experienced power supply issues and
will be used as spares; O3b is currently working on the next-generation system
Fewer satellites in the 2,001 to 5,000 kg mass class launched in 2014
compared to 2013 (26 in 2014 vs. 29 in 2013) Credit: Iridium Communications
• In September 2014, Laser Light Communications announced plans to deploy a Artistic representation of
constellation of up to twelve all-optical communications satellites; Ball Aerospace was Iridium-NEXT constellation
selected to build the first eight
• In order to fulfill its NASA Commercial Resupply Services (CRS) contract commitments
following the Antares failure, Orbital Sciences signed a contract with ULA to deliver up to
two Cygnus spacecraft to the ISS using an Atlas V
More than half of spacecraft in the 5,001 kg+ mass class launched in 2014
were ISS-related (cargo and crew delivery); more than one third were
communications satellites
• SpaceX has seven remaining launches under the current CRS contract; CRS-2 winners
Credit: Airbus Defense and Space
Graphic of Astra-2G satellite
have not yet been announced, but would deliver cargo to the ISS from 2017 to 2024 launched on December 27, 2014
• SES launched two communications satellites in 2014 (Astra-5B, Astra-2G); Ariane 5
ECA will launch SES-12 in 2017
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 5
Nano/Microsatellite Applications and Associated Examples
Credit: http://space.skyrocket.de/ Credit: http://space.skyrocket.de/ Credit: Planet Labs
Communications Technology Earth Observation
AprizeSat-10 AeroCube-6 Flock-1b
Mass: 13 kg Mass: 2 kg Mass: 6 kg
Launched: 6/2014 Launched: 6/2014 Launched: 7/2014
Credit: http://www.engr.sjsu.edu/ Credit: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/zacinaction/kicksat-your-personal-spacecraft-in-space Credit: https://directory.eoportal.org
Technology Technology Scientific
TechEdSat-4 KickSat-1 SporeSat
Mass: 4 kg Mass: 5 kg Mass: 5 kg
Launched: 7/2014 Launched: 4/2014 Launched: 4/2014
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 6
SpaceWorks Satellite Forecasting/Assessment Overview
Since 2008, SpaceWorks has actively monitored global
satellite activities and has provided customized market
assessments in all mass classes (0.1-kg to 10,000-kg) for
commercial and government customers in the satellite and
launch vehicle communities
These forecasts often consider a combination of mission
characteristics (country, sector, frequency band(s), orbital
parameters, propulsion type, etc.) in order to reveal specific
trends in the industry
• SpaceWorks’ Satellite Launch Demand Database (LDDB), a catalogue
of nearly 4,000 historical and future missions, serves as the data source
for all assessments
• The LDDB includes public and non-public satellite projects/programs
and is continually updated with new project announcements, program
cancellations, launch successes (and failures)
SpaceWorks-developed market assessments deliver valuable industry knowledge to
our customers, enabling organizations to make informed future investment decisions
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 7
Nano/Microsatellite Launch History (1 – 50 kg)
The nano/microsatellite industry continues to thrive, with 158 satellites launched last year
180
160
+72%
Historical Launches
140
120
Number of Satellites
100 SpaceWorks’ 2015 Nano/Microsatellite
(1-50 kg)
Market Forecast is now available!
80 158 See the next slide for more
information.
60
92
40
20 36
26 25 20
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Calendar Year
Historical data includes failed launch attempts.
Historical data may not represent all global nano/microsatellite activities.
The number of satellites may not equal the number of launches since many small satellites are multiple-manifested (i.e. more than one satellite co-manifested on a particular launch vehicle).
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 8
SPACEWORKS ENTERPRISES, INC. (SEI) | www.sei.aero | info@sei.aero
1040 Crown Pointe Parkway, Suite 950 | Atlanta, GA 30338 USA | +1.770.379.8000
Copyright 2015, SpaceWorks Enterprises, Inc. (SEI) 9
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