ANTICIPA TING STAGED MANA GED RETREAT AT THE COASTAL MARGINS
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COASTAL MANAGEMENT Anticipating staged managed retreat at the coastal margins Key questions and considerations for community and local government evaluation of managed retreat approaches. Owen, S.1, Lawrence, J.2, Ryan, E.1, Kench, P.1, Bell. R.3, Rennie, H.4, Blackett, P.3, and Schneider, P. 5 8 PLANNING QUARTERLY
Managed retreat in coastal areas involves the landward relocation retreat as: “…a long-term, strategic decision to allow the shoreline to migrate of existing and planned development to reduce exposure to hazards. inland in response to sea-level rise and attendant erosion [and flooding], and The hazard risk is reduced or removed entirely, leaving the coast to proactive management of the removal of respond to natural processes. affected assets, rather than protecting the existing shoreline”. Managed retreat is thus Introduction in Hawke’s Bay by three joint councils “conscious”, “deliberate”, “coordinated”, and developing the Clifton to Tangoio Coastal “precautionary” (Fletcher et al., 2013). The New Zealand Coastal Policy Statement (NZCPS) 2010 provide directives to local Hazards Strategy 2120 (www.hbcoast. In practice, managed retreat employs government to consider such approaches co.nz). We provided social and physical a number of staged actions, including (Objective 5; policies 25 and 27), amongst a science expertise, acting as a ‘critical friend’ anticipating the removal or abandonment suite of options for reducing coastal hazard supporting the stakeholder evaluation of hard protection structures, decisions impact on existing and future development. of multiple coastal management options to stop maintaining such structures, Similar provisions were present in the for the region’s coast. In this context the restrictions on land use, identifying new NZCPS 1994, however, managed retreat team provided a review of managed retreat places for retreating communities to go, approaches still remain a ‘black box’ for practice, as well as information on other and the removal or relocation of at-risk many and New Zealand has few successful options and assessment tools, highlighting infrastructure, including transport links. examples of managed retreat of habitable different approaches and barriers to These actions may require a transition dwellings at the coast. There is a pressing implementation. over a few or many years and flexible need to examine managed retreat more Here we identify key questions and planning processes that can signal change closely as a viable, or the only, alternative considerations for community and local is approaching, triggering decisions to for sites at intractable risk of erosion and government evaluation of managed retreat shift to new pathways rather than reinforce flooding. Here we seek to unpack the black approaches. In particular, we highlight delay or additional exposure to hazards. box of managed retreat as a mainstream managed retreat as a suite of options that A number of anticipatory short and long option for coastal risk management. may be staged over time in response to term planning tools are available for We draw from collective observations agreed triggers (decision points) before facilitating managed retreat, including arising from work undertaken by the Living reaching adaptation thresholds. Proactive development setbacks, hazard overlay at the Edge project (The Edge), part of the community engagement is highlighted maps, relocatable buildings, relocation Resilience to Nature’s Challenges, National as pivotal. We place these questions plans (including trigger points) and closed Science Challenge. We worked alongside within the context of the Ministry for zones (e.g. Mapua and Ruby Bay, Tasman a formal decision making process that the Environment Coastal Hazards and District, MfE Guidance, 2017: 43). Retreat embodied engagement with communities Climate Change: Guidance for Local also provides opportunities to re-vision Government (MfE Guidance, 2017)1 and coastal spaces and connections with the Department of Conservation’s (DoC) coastal communities, including enhancing 1 School of Environment, The University of NZCPS 2010 Guidance Notes: Coastal public access, recreational space, landscape Auckland, Auckland. Hazards2, to inform practice. value, and ecological functioning (Fletcher 2 Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria Unpacking the ‘black box’: defining et al., 2013). University of Wellington, Wellington. managed retreat 3 National Institute of Water and Atmospheric 1 http://www.mfe.govt.nz/publications/ Research (NIWA) Managed retreat is commonly perceived climate-change/coastal-hazards-and-climate- 4 Department of Environmental Management, as a singular ‘one off ’ option, predicated change-guidance-local-government Lincoln University on the removal of structures, disruptive 2 http://www.doc.govt.nz/Documents/ 5 The School of People, Environment and for people and costly upfront. However, conservation/marine-and-coastal/coastal- Planning, Massey University, New Zealand Reisinger et al. (2015) define managed management/guidance/policy-24-to-27.pdf ISSUE 209 9
COASTAL MANAGEMENT Towards anticipatory managed retreat participatory strategy developed at While these definitions infer that managed the outset will enable the context and retreat is a process to be canvassed with community values to guide the process communities, with options and triggers Attempts to of plan development and implementation explored for future action, for many implement (refer Chapter 3 of the MfE Guidance, communities the realities of retreat are managed retreat 2017; DoC Guidance Notes, 2017). The decisions driven post-hazard. While many processes can then be inclusive of a range international examples of retreat involve have been of voices and reflect local and wider property buy-out after a significant event (e.g. Staten Island, USA, post-Hurricane challenged community values, beyond the economic by affected value of physical assets and private Sandy), these emphasise a reactive property. approach, overlooking how longer term property owners, Funding managed retreat retreat plans developed with communities can be implemented. Anticipatory strategies concerned at the loss Financial limitations and uncertainty can enable decisions about properties and of connection to home about who will bear the cost can constrain communities to be staged over a number of decades by first identifying the most at-risk and place, uncertainty implementation of managed retreat options (Boston & Lawrence, 2017). Successful sites and staging the implementation of the about property international examples of managed retreat retreat options. values, insurance, and have been contingent upon significant Developing agreed triggers for retreat mortgage availability. funding assistance from national or state-level governments. New Zealand To enable staged implementation, funding mechanisms currently rely on a community coping capacity needs to (Boston & Lawrence, 2017). Inadequate disaster trigger through the Earthquake be identified and triggers designed for or absent community engagement has Commission and insurance, after the retreat well before the coping thresholds significantly constrained attempts to damage has occurred. Managed retreat are reached. Triggers can be physical ones implement managed retreat. In instances of is by contrast an anticipatory strategy to such as increasing frequency of flooding government driven relocation or removal avoid and reduce risk. Through managed events and the location of erosion relative of shoreline protection there has been retreat the costs of adaptation, while to at-risk structures, or social triggers that community resistance (e.g. Fairbourne, potentially substantial, can be managed by start to emerge as the physical impact Wales; Byron Bay, Australia) resulting spreading them across time, thus reducing evolves. Decisions can be made for in delay, significant cost and policy the burden on both current and future implementation of retreat options in time, reversal. Attempts to implement managed generations. ahead of such defined trigger thresholds retreat have been challenged by affected being reached. Understanding community property owners, concerned at the loss of Key questions to address thresholds and the development of agreed connection to home and place, uncertainty Relocation options are essential for an triggers can help ameliorate community about property values, insurance, and adaptive retreat strategy aiming to reduce concerns about the timing and magnitude mortgage availability. However, where hazard risk. Movement of households of sea-level rise, how triggers can be communities were engaged and included and infrastructure requires site-specific reflected in plans, and the potential in decision-making in an enduring and consideration of whether managed impacts on people, land and assets. The meaningful way, strategies for retreat have retreat is total abandonment, full or MfE Guidance (2017) offers direction on been developed and implemented (Port part relocation, the timing, the triggers how hazard and sea level rise assessments Waikato; Twin Streams (Vandenbeld & that will activate the adaptive plan and can be done where uncertainty exists, and MacDonald, 2013); Grantham; Soldiers consideration of: methods that can be used for developing Grove). See also Appendix 1 of the MfE • What are the community values and adaptive plans, including managed retreat. Guidance (2017). aspirations? The need for early and effective The timing of effective engagement is • Is land available for relocation? engagement critical for successful implementation of managed retreat. Community engagement • What criteria are used for allocation of A major constraint on community and is frequently undertaken near the end of land? local government considering managed retreat processes is understanding the the decision cycle, and may be perceived • Does the community wish to relocate as viability of options and their funding as a post-hoc legitimising exercise. A a community? 10 PLANNING QUARTERLY
• What infrastructure and services should be relocated? • Should local government play a role in providing relocation options? • Do planning controls facilitate or create Managed retreat considerations barriers to the movement of structures necessitate a collective process, or the development of new sites away involving early engagement, that from the risk areas? • Who should pay? can address the why, where, how and when • What are the equity issues? of retreat. • What funding mechanisms are available? Conclusions driven. Efforts to undertake more strategic and McAllister RRJ (2013) “Costs and coasts: Managed retreat comprises a staged (pre-emptive) relocation actions are less An empirical assessment of physical and and evolving adaptive planning process common in New Zealand. Early and institutional climate adaptation pathways” over time that can be implemented National Climate Change Adaptation Research considered engagement, identifying the Facility, Gold Coast, https://www.nccarf.edu. in a range of physical, social and values of current and future generations, au/publications/costs-and-coasts-climate- governance conditions. Managed retreat can avoid disconnects between community adaptation considerations necessitate a collective and local government and short and longer Reisinger A, Lawrence J, Hart G, Chapman R process, involving early engagement, that term priorities, particularly where retreat (2015) From coping to resilience: the role of can address the why, where, how and managed retreat in highly developed coastal is anticipatory and not forced through regions of New Zealand. In: Glavovic B, Kelly when of retreat. The preferred outcome extreme events. would be the development of a staged M, Kay R, Travers A. (eds) Climate change and the coast: building resilient communities. and adaptive set of strategies, based on a Florida: CRC Press, Taylor and Francis; set of agreed triggers that can start the References 285–310. managed retreat process allowing enough Boston, J. and Lawrence, J. (2017) The Case Vandenbeld, A. and Macdonald, J. 2013 time before thresholds are reached, rather for New Climate Change Adaptation Funding Fostering community acceptance of managed than a fixed and single temporal solution Instruments. Institute for Governance and retreat in New Zealand, in Jean Palutikof, Policy Studies & New Zealand Climate Change Sarah L. Boulter, Andrew J. Ash, Mark or one that occurs after the damage has Research Institute, Victoria University of Stafford Smith, Martin Parry, Marie Waschka been sustained. To date, examples of Wellington, Wellington and Daniela Guitart. Eds. Climate Adaptation successful larger-scale relocations of Fletcher CS, Taylor BM, Rambaldi AN, Harman Futures, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, West Sussex, communities tend to be reactive and crisis BP, Heyenga S, Ganegodage KR, Lipkin F, United Kingdom CONTAMINATED LAND 09 475 0222 www.geosciences.co.nz Contact Geosciences Ltd info@geosciences.co.nz ISSUE 209 11
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