ANNEXURE 20 PROPOSED AMENDMENTS TO THE 2017-2022 INTEGRATED DEVELOPMENT PLAN (IDP) - 2021/22 AMENDMENTS - City of Cape Town
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ANNEXURE 20 PROPOSED AMENDMENTS TO THE 2017-2022 INTEGRATED DEVELOPMENT PLAN (IDP) – 2021/22 AMENDMENTS 2021/22 Budget (May 2021)
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP Bold: New narrative or figures proposed Strikethrough: Changed or deleted narrative proposed Motivation for proposed amendments to the Contextual analysis Contextual analysis The main methodology that was used in the IDP review was to undertake a contextual scan and a performance assessment to identify any new significant events or trends that may have a notable influence on the strategic narrative, implementation plan, Corporate Scorecard or any of the annexures of the IDP. The overall purpose of reviewing the contextual analysis was to establish if the strategic narrative remains relevant, effective and sufficient within the specific contextual circumstances of the City. The main changes in the contextual analysis includes: General annual statistical updates; The current impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on a global, national and local level that has influence the financial, social, economic and health of the City’s citizens significantly; Climate change mitigation work that includes general updates as well as preparation for carbon neutrality, exploring and piloting the transition of City’s fleet to move towards electrical vehicles whilst developing an enabling framework to prepare for the uptake and regulation of a city-wide transition to electric vehicles; Updates on reducing climate change impacts; Updates on the Climate Change Policy that was reviewed and converted into a Climate Change Strategy. 1|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP Based on the above motivations, the following amendments to the IDP are proposed: CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page Contextual analysis Contextual analysis 16 - 29 N/a Global context: 16 Add new paragraph above Global context: At the time of review, across the globe, COVID-19 is threatening cities and communities, endangering not only public health, but also the economy and the fabric of society. The recent global pandemic has further highlighted inefficiencies that need to be addressed towards building a more resilient city development environment. Add two new paragraphs after the heading, Global context: With the World Health Organization’s declaration of the global COVID-19 pandemic in January 2020 and subsequent lockdown measures implemented in countries across the world, global growth forecasts have deteriorated. The Coronavirus outbreak has brought the world and South Africa to a halt in many ways as best defence against the spread of COVID-19. It is important that the City’s strategic priorities in relation to its resource base reflect the new realities brought about by recent shock events. The City’s recovery programme takes a phased approach 2|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page with initiatives linked to stabilisation, adaptation and rebuilding. Prominence of urbanisation Prominence of urbanisation 17 N/a Add three new paragraphs below last paragraph ending with “city governance”. Cape Town is currently responding to a pandemic which is likely to persist over the next year at least, with the social and economic consequences reverberating for many years to come. The recovery will be underpinned by how rapidly government and other actors can mobilise the resources necessary to expedite socio- economic recovery. The COVID-19 crisis will have long-term impacts on the City’s operations and programmes, its’ income sources for service delivery and on the general socio- economic welfare of its residents and ratepayers. New demands on City resources are emerging. The City’s functions and resource allocation need to shift in response to COVID-19. Response to the socio-economic fall out of COVID- 19 may intensify existing shocks and stresses facing the city, or give rise to new ones. From sustainable development to From sustainable development to 17 resilience: resilience: 3|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page This of course assumes that a shock of Delete wording and replace with one any great magnitude will be a once- word. off event or one that will come at This of course assumes that a shock of any some kind of a spaced-out interval, great magnitude will be a once-off event allowing for the City’s finances and or one that will come intermittently that of its citizens to absorb the allowing for the City’s finances and that of massive costs of repairs and its citizens to absorb the massive costs of rehabilitation after the shock event. repairs and rehabilitation after the shock One such big change to which event. everyone in the city will have to adapt is a progressive cap on carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions, allowing the city to reach carbon One of the changes to which in the city as neutrality much sooner than the target a whole need to prepare for is the required date of 2050, in order to contribute to transition to carbon neutrality to the allow the global effort to avoid the worst the local economy to trade competitively ravages of climate change. in a world that is rapidly rejecting carbon 17 intensive goods and services, and to From sustainable development to contribute fully to the mitigation effort resilience: required to avoid catastrophic climate More recently, phenomena such as change. back-to-back and concurrent From sustainable development to extreme weather events are resilience: occurring, often on a scale never before experienced by humanity, and Add two new paragraphs before: “One extreme poverty in our townships such big change to …” continues unrelieved because of our economy remaining stubbornly The resilience of the city and its residents stagnant. The City’s challenges will continues to be tested, as two major city- continue to be steeper than before. wide disaster events (drought and COVID- Resilience, therefore, has emerged as 19 pandemic) have been experienced an important urban concept. alongside a multitude of chronic stresses which weaken the social and economic 4|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page fabric of the city including the impacts on the health system. As climate change intensifies, the city is becoming increasingly vulnerable to weather-related shock events, in particular increased heat and decreased rainfall. A city-wide greening strategy has the potential to contribute to the achievement of several longer term climate change mitigation outcomes through carbon sequestration and improved liveability of the city. The City has made major strides in advancing a renewable energy strategy as part of its climate change mitigation actions, including among others the promotion of solar and wind generated energy in the City and region. Furthermore, given the urgency to act Furthermore, given the urgency to act in 18 in combating climate change, every combating climate change, every city, city, ours included, will have to play its ours included, will have to play its part in part in containing global containing average global temperatures temperatures within the 1,5-degree increase within the 1,5-degree margin that margin that the Paris Agreement the Paris Agreement demands demands. This is vital on account of budgetary constraints that the City already faces and which will be seriously exacerbated if additional budget has to be found to provide for adaptation measures and infrastructure to address climate change. Considering measures such as departmental caps on carbon emissions and increasing 5|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page opportunities for each to contribute to meaningful carbon sequestration could be important to achieving resilience without undermining the ability to provide services in the future or plunging the city into massive debt. The South African urban context: The South African urban context: 19 n/a Add new paragraph after the heading: A National State of Disaster was declared in South Africa on 15 March 2020, in preparation for its health sector to manage the expected increase in local COVID-19 transmissions, and the country has been under various levels of lockdown since 27 March 2020. These lockdown measures have placed varying degrees of limitation on economic and social activity but have also been accompanied by a suite of fiscal and stimulus packages introduced to buffer the economic shock. The Cape Town context: The Cape Town context: 20 n/a Add new sentence before “The World Bank’s ranking…” The City is continually striving to address the cost of doing business and implements a range of measures to support this. Economic opportunities and Economic opportunities and challenges: 20 challenges: Add new sentence after: “...with N/a implications for job creation and service delivery”. 6|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page Over the past 5 years Cape Town recorded an average annual economic growth rate of 1,2% (constant 2010 prices) whilst the national economy recorded 0,8% over the same period. Add a new paragraph after: “…support and facilitate access to programmes for reskilling workers at risk of unemployment”. The coronavirus pandemic in 2020 has presented an opportunity to use electronic communication more optimally and effectively. The increased incidence of people working from home is made more possible and efficient with advancements in technology and increased internet connectivity and accessibility. One of the takeaways from Coronavirus is that the role of internet connectivity and data analytics – especially for public health data and tracking disease has increased significantly, and greater efforts at digital enhancements in cities, including Cape Town, are expected. Cape Town’s strict unemployment Cape Town’s strict unemployment rate in 22 rate was at 21,2% for Q1: 2019 (ending 2019 was 21,9% [ 447 327 unemployed March 2019), reflecting weak individuals] while its broad unemployment conditions on the demand side, but rate was only slightly higher at 24,1%. also a strong degree of structural Cape Town still averages a relatively high unemployment characterised by an strict youth unemployment rate of 45,2% oversupply of low-skilled or unskilled for 2019 - a decrease from averaging labour. 53,6% in 2014. This reflects weak conditions on the demand side but also a strong degree of structural unemployment 7|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page characterised by an oversupply of low- skilled or unskilled labour. Add two new paragraphs after: “...major 22-24 challenges still exist such as the low wages of these jobs, limited job security and weak career prospects”. All of the economic impact scenarios show that Cape Town’s economy will experience a large contraction in 2020. The scale of this contraction and the consequent job losses will be the largest seen since the advent of democracy. Jobs at risk will raise the strict unemployment rate to between 26,7% and 29,1%. The decline in business turnover and household income, will reduce the tax revenue collected from businesses and households in Cape Town. Household incomes will decline by between 8,0% and 11.8% and are likely to impact lower income households relatively harder. This will inevitably lead to an increase in the incidence of poverty within the city. The current pandemic is likely to persist over the next year at least, with the social and economic consequences reverberating for many years to come. The City needs to plan for a drawn out economic recovery, with the expectation that resident and business demands (for more free basic services, for payment relief and business support) will be higher than pre-COVID, while revenue will remain 8|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page under pressure in the short term – for the next two years at the least. Social opportunities and challenges: Social opportunities and challenges 23 With an estimated population of 4 322 With an estimated population of 4 488 546 031 in 2018,15 and a population in 2019, and a population growth trend growth trend that is expected to that is expected to continue for the continue for the foreseeable future, foreseeable future, the total population of the total population of the city is the City is anticipated to reach anticipated to reach approximately approximately 5,1 million by 2030. 5,1 million by 2030. Health levels in general have Health levels in general have increased in 23 increased in Cape Town, with the Cape Town, with the city’s infant mortality city’s infant mortality rate (IMR) having rate (IMR) having dropped significantly. dropped significantly. The Western The Western Cape, of which Cape Town Cape, of which Cape Town has the has the largest population, had the largest population, had the country’s country’s highest average life expectancy highest average life expectancy at at birth (estimated at 68 years for the birth (68 years). People are living period 2016 to 2021). People are living longer and healthier lives, thus longer and healthier lives, thus increasing increasing the proportion of ageing the proportion of ageing residents in the residents in the city. Conversely, the city. percentage of economically active working-age people (aged 15-64) decreased slightly from 69,2% in 2017 to 68,5% in 2018.19 An increased number of Cape Town An increased number of Cape Town 23 residents with HIV/Aids are registered residents with HIV/Aids are registered for for antiretroviral treatment (ART) at the antiretroviral treatment (ART)at the City’s City’s clinics, which means that they clinics, which means that they live longer live longer lives. Although the HIV lives. The number of people living with HIV prevalence rate in the Western Cape in Cape Town in 2019 was estimated at increased between 2011 and 2014, it 206 935, at 7.5% - compared to the stabilised in Cape Town during the national HIV prevalence rate of 13,5% and 9|Page
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page same period. The City’s Health a 17,1% HIV prevalence rate for the Department is preparing to implement Western Cape. The number of Cape Town the UNAIDS strategy of “90-90-90” residents with HIV/Aids who are registered together with its national and for ART at the City’s clinics continue to provincial counterparts, as well as the increase steadily. A total number of 206 United States President’s Emergency 935 patients on ART currently remaining on Plan For Aids Relief (PEPFAR). ART is recorded for Cape Town in 2019, compared to 139 419 in 2015. This equals a total of 32.6% increase over five years. Although the HIV prevalence rate in the Western Cape increased between 2011 and 2014, it stabilised in Cape Town during the same period. The City’s Health Department is preparing to implement the UNAIDS strategy of “90-90-90” together with its national and provincial counterparts, as well as the United States President’s Emergency Plan For Aids Relief (PEPFAR). A downward trend in the incidence A downward trend in the incidence and 24 and number of cases of tuberculosis number of cases of tuberculosis (TB) in (TB) began to emerge between 2009 Cape Town began to emerge between and 2014. This may be linked to 2009 and 2014, and continued to increased access to ART for HIV- 2018/2019, with the number of cases positive people vulnerable to TB dropping from 631cases in 2014/15 to 559 (especially if not on ART). TB in Cape cases in 2018/19. This may be linked to Town is exacerbated by poverty and increased access to ART for HIV-positive urbanisation, which results in people vulnerable to TB (especially if not overcrowding, challenges with on ART). TB in Cape Town is exacerbated treatment adherence and substance by poverty and urbanisation, which results abuse. Drug-resistant strains of TB in overcrowding, challenges with (multidrug-resistant [MDR] and treatment adherence and substance extensively drug-resistant [XDR]) also abuse. Drug-resistant strains of TB present an ongoing challenge. (multidrug-resistant [MDR] and extensively drug-resistant [XDR]) present an ongoing 10 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page challenge. However, the treatment and management of patients with drug- resistant (DR) TB has seen a decline in Cape Town from a high of 1 224 in 2014/15 down to 1 037 cases in 2018/19. Food insecurity amongst the urban poor is a public health challenge driven by resource inefficiency (e.g. food shortages as a result of drought) and insecurity – and has been linked to detrimental health outcomes. The COVID-19 pandemic also had implications for the food value chains in South Africa and Cape Town, and has worsened food security. Increasingly, the state of food Increasingly, the state of food insecurity – 24 insecurity – including in urban areas – including in urban areas – is receiving is receiving attention following the attention following the realisation that realisation that even when food is even when food is available in markets, it available in markets, it may not be may not be accessible to poorer accessible to poorer households. households. Increased levels of lifestyle Increased levels of lifestyle diseases, diseases, including diabetes and obesity, including diabetes and obesity, in in Cape Town signals the need for an Cape Town signals the need for an urban food security systems analysis and urban food security systems analysis strategy for Cape Town. There is need to and strategy for Cape Town. transition from food aid as being the primary means of ensuring vulnerable households have sufficient food, to a focus on food security. The ongoing expansion of urban areas, especially informal settlements, poses severe challenges to food security for its inhabitants. The benefit of improving health and The benefit of improving health and 24 education levels as well as social education levels as well as social development is that Cape Town development is that Cape Town residents 11 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page residents will develop an increased will develop an increased capacity to capacity to withstand personal and withstand personal and community trials, community trials, which can in turn which can in turn support the City’s efforts support the City’s efforts to build to build resilience in the city. COVID-19 has resilience in the city. Yet, key social exacerbated existing health and well- challenges that Cape Town is still being vulnerabilities. The pandemic is grappling with can be linked to the damaging multiple aspects of wellbeing country’s historical roots. These include through job losses and job reductions, crime, substance abuse and gang disruptions to public health programmes, activity,24 with the youth being most reduced access to educational and other at risk. Criminal or gang activity25 also child support services, deepened food appears to occur more often in areas insecurity, and increased gender-based of social deprivation and poverty, and violence. The impact is expected to be is linked to social problems such as long-lasting. substance abuse. In the emergent future, societies will struggle with issues that have both natural and social causes, causing complex feedback loops that feed into increased stress and related mental health problems. In Cape Town, ‘assets’ skills, experience and knowledge within communities may need to be mobilised to promote better (mental) health and wellbeing. A shift in focus towards more sustainable and transformative partnerships and integrated care systems can promote the role of communities in improving and sustaining good mental and physically healthy communities. Cape Town has experienced increased incidents of unlawful land occupation (ULO) attempts. The challenges around informality in Cape Town remain, and given the high demand for housing and 12 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page services – the City recognises the diverse modalities for housing opportunities that are required in the context of limited resources for delivering public/low-cost housing opportunities. Yet, key social challenges that Cape Town is still grappling with can be linked to the country’s historical roots. These include crime, substance abuse and gang activity,24 with the youth being most at risk. Criminal or gang activity25 also appears to occur more often in areas of social deprivation and poverty, and is linked to social problems such as substance abuse. Environmental opportunities and Environmental opportunities and 25 challenges challenges ….. The City is making a concerted ….. The City is making a concerted effort effort to improve its resource to improve its resource efficiency and efficiency and security, and address security, and address climate change. This climate change. This includes climate includes both climate change mitigation change mitigation, as well as climate and climate change adaptation initiatives. change adaptation initiatives. Mitigation initiatives include diversifying Mitigation initiatives range from Cape Town’s energy mix (which can also diversifying Cape Town’s energy mix help improve air quality if its (which also helps improve air quality) complemented by a switch to electric to reducing waste to landfill and vehicles and efficient urban transport) and increasing recycling. Adaptation reducing waste to landfill. Adaptation measures, in turn, entail conserving measures, in turn, entail conserving biodiversity and ecological biodiversity and ecological infrastructure, infrastructure, reducing water reducing water consumption and planning consumption and planning for for climate-sensitive infrastructure development. 13 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page climate-sensitive infrastructure development. Adaptation measures, in turn, entail Adaptation measures, in turn, entail 25 conserving biodiversity and ecological conserving biodiversity and ecological infrastructure, reducing water infrastructure, becoming water sensitive consumption and planning for and water resilient, and planning for and climate-sensitive infrastructure implementing climate-resilient and development. climate-sensitive infrastructure. The City has developed a Climate The City adopted a Climate Change 25 Change Policy, which sets out its vision Policy, in 2017 which sets out its vision for for becoming a “city that is climate- becoming a “city that is climate-resilient, resilient, resource-efficient and lower- resource-efficient and lower-carbon, in carbon, in order to enable sustainable order to enable sustainable and inclusive and inclusive economic and social economic and social development, and development, and environmental environmental sustainability”. To give sustainability”. To give effect to the effect to the City’s climate change policy’s climate change mitigation mitigation goals, an Energy2040 Goal was goals, an Energy2040 Goal was developed in 2015 which included energy developed, which included energy and carbon emission reduction targets for and carbon emission reduction 2020, 2030 and 2040 for the residential, targets for 2020, 2030 and 2040 for the commercial and transport sectors, as well residential, commercial and transport as cleaner energy generation. These sectors, as well as cleaner energy targets have been updated (pending generation. These targets are currently adoption) and a new Climate Change being updated and an action plan Action Plan is in developed to align with developed to align with the required the required heightened level of global heightened level of global climate climate action ambition – achieving action ambition – achieving carbon carbon neutrality and enhanced climate neutrality by 2050. The cooperation of resilience by 2050. residents and businesses will be critical for the achievement of these targets. 14 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page The City has developed a Climate The City has developed a Climate Change 25 Change Policy, which sets out its vision Policy, which sets out its vision for for becoming a “city that is climate- becoming a “city that is climate-resilient, resilient, resource-efficient and lower- resource-efficient and lower-carbon, in carbon, in order to enable sustainable order to enable sustainable and inclusive and inclusive economic and social economic and social development, and development, and environmental environmental sustainability”. This Policy is sustainability”. currently being reviewed and converted to a Climate Change Strategy which will provide a higher level of strategic guidance in this regard. These targets are currently being These targets are currently being updated updated and an action plan and incorporated into an integrated developed to align with the required Climate Change Action Plan, developed heightened level of global climate to align with the required heightened level action ambition – achieving carbon of global climate action ambition – neutrality by 2050. The cooperation of achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. The residents and businesses will be critical cooperation of residents and businesses for the achievement of these targets. will be critical for the achievement of these targets Additionally, a Climate Change Add a new paragraph: 25 Adaptation Action Plan is being Goals and actions related to climate reviewed to meet the Climate change adaptation are also being revised Change Policy’s adaptation goals and further developed as part of the integrated Climate Change Action Plan. These goals and actions will set out a pathway for the City to become more climate resilient and adaptive, and ensure that the potential impacts of climate change on the city’s people, economy, and environment are addressed. The City has made major strides in The City is making progress in realizing its 25 advancing a renewable energy renewable energy ambitions, as part of its 15 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page strategy as part of its climate change climate change mitigation actions, by mitigation actions, including amongst continuing its efforts to obtain legal others the promotion of solar and authority to allow it to procure (cleaner) wind-generated energy in the city energy directly from IPPs, exploring and region, and the switch from fossil opportunities to develop City owned small fuel-driven to electric cars within the scale (
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page avenue to incite their support in order to meet the Energy2040 vision and targets. A further emerging trend that may have a significant impact on the functionality of Cape Town in the medium term is the move towards electric vehicles. The City will have to assess, plan for and address the impact of such a reality over the next few years. Social and economic impact of an Disaster events in Cape Town – Extreme 25 drought and COVID-19 social and extreme drought in Cape Town economic impacts. Add new paragraph after the heading Over the last three to four years, Cape Town has been impacted by an extreme drought and most recently (and continuing), the COVID-19 global pandemic. Communities and households in Cape Communities and households in Cape Town may experience the social impact of Town may experience the social drought in different ways, with the most impact of drought in different ways, vulnerable communities potentially with the most vulnerable communities experiencing the most severe effects. In potentially experiencing the most the context of water in shortage and severe effect. With water in short associated increased costs on the rise, supply and the associated increased low-income households do not have the costs on the rise, low-income means to implement measures to gain households do not have the means to access to alternative water sources or implement measures to gain access water-saving tools and technologies. The to alternative water sources or water- City is fully aware of this, and particularly saving tools and technologies. The considers vulnerable communities in its City is fully aware of this, and particularly considers vulnerable 17 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page communities in its water and disaster- water and disaster- related planning related planning processes. processes. COVID-19 both exposed and reinforced 26 existing social inequalities in Cape Town through the on the pandemic’s differentiated impacts on communities and households. Drought can also negatively affect Drought impacts: Drought can negatively human health, social interaction and affect human health, social interaction quality of life. Health is directly linked and quality of life. Health is directly linked to the availability of water. Clean to the availability of water. Clean drinking drinking water and suitable water for water and suitable water for cleaning and cleaning and sanitation is required to sanitation is required to prevent and prevent and manage disease. The manage disease. The City’s Health City’s Health Department is actively Department is actively monitoring and monitoring and managing health- managing health-related matters. related matters. Add four new paragraphs at the end of 26 Disaster events in Cape Town – Extreme drought and COVID-19 social and economic impacts. COVID-19 impacts: Cape Town had an already-vulnerable population pre-COVID, with the pandemic severely worsening these existing inequalities. Of the 1 402 671 households in Cape Town, an estimated 460 000 households currently live in vulnerable conditions. Pre-COVID, Cape Town’s household income distribution showed an already highly unequal society, with around 25% of households are 18 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page estimated to have earned R5 000 or less per month in 2018. Furthermore, an estimated 15.3% of households earned below the upper bound poverty line (i.e. less than R1183 a month per household member), the majority of which are women-headed. In the Cape Town COVID-19 recovery context, the City will need to operate under austerity conditions which will require careful consideration. The lower revenue base in the 2020/21 financial year with further slow growth projections in future years, the expected lower transfers from National Government and reducing investment interest and funds to invest are the main drivers of the projection. The City’s budget will need to be balanced in line with the reduced financial resource base. As part of managing its resources, the City is operating as efficiently as possible and pursues cost-efficiencies. The current vulnerability landscape of the city will be a key informant in assessing how to go about allocating public resources under severe constraints. In addition, throughout the recovery programme, the assumptions and parameters underpinning City services will be interrogated in terms of what extent they reflect and respond to the different needs and vulnerabilities across the city. 19 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page Interventions linked to regulatory reform are a relatively low-cost investment from CCT which can yield major outcomes in terms of stimulating business opportunities and property development. Many components of such an environment are outside of City control, but there are still barriers to business and property creation and growth that can be reduced, such as through reviewing land use rights, building regulations, licensing, permitting, transactions and other red tape reduction measures. This presents an opportunity to partner across government, business, community organisations, academia and households to drive economic and social recovery. This includes transforming transfer This includes transforming transfer stations 28 stations into key integrated waste into key integrated waste management management nodes. Planned nodes. Planned research into innovative research into innovative ways of ways of waste management for Cape waste management for Cape Town Town provides an opportunity in the provides an opportunity in the immediate too short term to develop a immediate too short term to develop comprehensive and integrated waste a comprehensive and integrated management strategy. This has many waste management strategy. positive implications for both household and urban resilience and sustainability, where a cleaner environment could lead to improved health. The option of conducting remote operations has become an essential alternative. It led to a shift towards business unusual as virtual operations require a departure from the normal way of doing 20 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page things. The COVID-19 pandemic challenged the City’s resilience but the City demonstrated its ability to adapt and to embrace change and evolving new ways of doing business. On the technology front, 5th On the technology front, 5th generation 28 generation connectivity provides the connectivity provides the capacity to capacity to improve work efficiency improve work efficiency and elevate the and elevate the city to a smart city city to a smart city with access to a much with access to a much denser digital denser digital connectivity network, which connectivity network, which would would facilitate improved tracking, facilitate improved tracking, maintenance and management of City maintenance and management of assets and infrastructure. The City is City assets and infrastructure. committed to the transformation of Cape Town into the most enabled digital city, as well as to ensure that Cape Town becomes the preferred destination for technology start-ups in the country. Add two new paragraphs at the end of 28 Service delivery and infrastructure opportunities and challenges The City has made significant progress in a number of key areas of strategic alignment, the use of data, evidenced based decision-making, transversal integration and collaboration, organisational modernisation and improvement, asset utilisation, and management of the urban environment; etc. Data, data analytics and evidenced based decision-making made a significant contribution to both the City’s drought response and COVID-19 response and recovery planning. These significant 21 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page achievements are informing and assisting the City to build on and leverage the data related improvements and gains, as well as ways of working. With COVID-19, all spheres of government are entering into an unprecedented period of austerity measures and the inevitable curtailment in programmes and services by National and Provincial governments which will inevitably impact on the City. CONCLUSION CONCLUSION 29 The City’s new guiding strategy and The City’s new guiding strategy and transformational objectives, informed transformational objectives, informed by by the contextual review, play a key the contextual review, play a key role in role in identifying the priorities for the identifying the priorities for the IDP strategic IDP strategic narrative detailed in the narrative detailed in the following following chapters. chapters. As part of managing its resources, the City is operating as efficiently as possible and pursues cost-efficiencies. The current vulnerability landscape of the city will be a key informant in assessing how to go about allocating public resources under severe constraints. Motivation for proposed amendment: Transport Development Index The City has adopted a Transformational Priority and Objective of Dense and Transit Oriented Urban Growth and Development. The Transport Development Index was linked to the Transport for Cape Town strategy of measuring and decreasing the cost of User Access Priority. This concept of User Access Priority is NOT a Transformational Priority of the City. It is therefore recommended that this text be removed from the IDP. In addition, this TDI will therefore not be recalculated to show a trend as it is NOT a City transformational priority. 22 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP The then Directorate, Transport and Urban Development Authority (TDA), expanded the Transport Development Index into an Urban Development Index that is more suitable to measure the impact of Dense and Transit Oriented Urban Growth and Development. Subsequently, TDA was also disestablished. It is recommended that since the City now has separate functional Directorates for Transport, Planning and Human Settlements, the current Urban Development Index should be revisited and presented for inclusion, (possibly in an amended version) in the new IDP related to the new upcoming term of office. Further, the IDP does contain a Watchlist of Trends / Indicators related to National Key Performance Indicators to align with Circular 88 (IDP page 57). The Transport NKPI’s are highlighted below in red text. It is recommended that these indicators be used for monitoring the key City interventions over time. TREND WATCHLIST (IDP 2017 – 2022, Amended 2020/21, Page 54) THIS LIST CONSISTS OF A NUMBER OF INDICATORS LINKED TO THE 11 PRIORITIES THE CITY WISHES TO INFLUENCE OVER THE LONG TERM IN ORDER TO EVALUATE THE IMPACT OF ITS STRATEGY. TR3.1 Average public transport commuting time Average one-way weekday peak hour commuting time via the public transport system citywide, to work or educational institution. TR3.2 Average private transport commuting time Average one-way weekday peak hour commuting time of private transport users, from home to work or educational institution. TR7.1 Road traffic fatalities per 100 000 population Incidence of reported traffic fatalities per 100 000 populations per year. TR7.2 Average number of fatalities per fatal crash The number of road traffic deaths divided by the number of fatal crashes per year as reported within the municipal boundaries 23 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP Based on the above motivation, the following amendments to the IDP are proposed: CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page The City’s Transport Development Index Remove the Transport 27 Development Index. (TDI) has shown that 95% of the Cape Town public transport user group is in the low- to low-medium income groups. The average direct transport cost for the low- income public transport user group is 45% of monthly household income, against the internationally accepted norm of between 5 and 10%.29 That is, the low- income segment of the public transport user group spends on average more than four times the acceptable international average of their household income on access. Motivation for proposed amendment: Trend Watchlist In terms of National Treasury (Municipal Finance Management Act) MFMA Circular 88, that relates to Municipal Circular on Rationalisation Planning and Reporting Requirements for the 2018/19 MTREF: - Outcome sector indicators should be included in the Integrated Development Plan (IDP) on a phased in implementation approach. All national indicators are included as National Treasury will provide the relevant reliable audit evidence for all metro municipalities. National Treasury issued an addendum in December 2020 and revised some of the outcome sector indicators. These updates are critical as it impacts the measurement and auditability of the indicators and requires the trend watch list to be updated with the amendments. Amendments relates to indicator name and/or definition amendments and some indicators were removed. CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page EE3.1 System Average Interruption Update EE3.1 57 Duration Index Definition/assessment Key measure from system perspective to understand how 24 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page Key measure from system perspective to long the average customer went understand how long the average without electricity supply in the customer went without electricity supply given time period. This is in the given time period. measured on the basis of the sum total of municipal customer electricity supply interruption durations per annum, normalised for the total number of customers serviced by the municipality electricity supply. This relies on an estimated sum of all the durations multiplied by the interrupted capacity in kVA hours. EE3.2 Customer Average Interruption Update EE3.2 57 Duration Index Definition/assessment A measure of the average time to restore A measure of the average time service for a customer who suffered a to restore service for a customer sustained interruption in their supply who suffered a sustained interruption in their municipal electricity supply. The indicator measures the average time to restore service for a customer who suffered a sustained interruption in their municipal electricity supply. This is determined by the sum of customer interruption durations per annum over the total number of customer interruptions over the period. EE3.3 System Average Interruption Update EE3.3 57 Frequency Index Definition/assessment Key measure from systems perspective of Key measure from systems how often the average customer perspective of how often the experiences a sustained interruption over average customer experiences a a predefined period of time sustained interruption. This is the total number of customer interruptions per annum over the total number of customers served by the municipality. EE3.4 Customer Average Interruption Update EE3.4 62 Frequency Index Definition/assessment [Metro] Average frequency of sustained The indicator measures the interruptions for those customers average frequency of sustained experiencing sustained interruptions. municipal electricity supply interruptions for those customers experiencing interruptions. ENV1.1 Metro Air Quality Index (MAQI) Replace ENVI.1 with new 57 indicator and definition. 25 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page Annual number of days with GOOD air The indicator provides a quality measure of the number of days The Metro Air Quality Index (MAQI) in the municipality where air provides a measure of the status of the quality at representative most problematic air pollution in relation monitoring sites remained at to accepted air quality standards. The "good" levels or better in terms of MAQI is defined as the maximum value of air quality standards. “Good” air the normalized ratios of the annual quality – refers to when the averages of PM10 and SO2 measured by monitoring sites report ambient the air quality monitoring station network air levels of NO2, SO, O3, PM10, in metro areas for each year. MAQI values PM2.5 and CO monitoring within of 1 and above, means that air quality a given day that are in does not meet ambient air quality compliance with ambient standards. MAQI values below 1 means standards (complete 24-hour that air quality complies with ambient air period). This measures the quality standards. number of days within the calendar year in which selected sites report 'good' air quality, recognising the different reporting intervals for the different measures and the fact that not all sites will sample for all pollutants. ENV1.2 Number of days where PM2.5 57 levels exceeded guideline levels ENV.2:Remove indicator and definition Number of days (per municipal financial year) where the levels of PM2.5 exceed the national standard, in excess of the permitted maximum of 4 exceedances per annual reporting period. ENV3.2 Waste removal complaints due to ENV3.2: Remove indicator and 62 non-collection as a percentage of total definition and replace with new consumer units/billed accounts indicator and definition The number of waste collection Percentage of scheduled waste complaints received over a year, as a collection service users reporting percentage of the number of consumer non-collection units at the end of the reporting period. This is a measure of the number of scheduled waste collection service users who report an instance of non-collection of scheduled waste collection out of the total population of scheduled waste service users based on the number of municipal scheduled waste removal collection points. A scheduled waste collection service user is someone residing at a site for which the municipality provides a scheduled collection service on 26 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page a weekly basis. The indicator measures the number of reported instances of non- collection of scheduled waste collection in relation to the total number of service points. FE1.1 Number of fire related deaths per FE1 changed to FD1.1and 57 1000 population indicator statistical change and updated definition. Number of fire related deaths per 100 000 population. This is a measure of the incidence of reported deaths by the municipality attributed to fire or fire-related causes (e.g. smoke inhalation) normalised per population. This refers to municipal reporting of all known deaths related to fire within the municipal area. FE1.2 FE1.2 changed to FD1.2 and 61 Number of natural disaster related indicator statistical change and deaths per 1000 population updated definition Incidence of reported deaths attributed This indicator measures the to natural disasters, normalised per incidence of reported deaths population. Natural disasters are that a municipality considers to understood as inclusive of calamities be the direct or indirect result of arising from natural events beyond the disaster incidents and extreme control or (immediate) influence of the weather events, normalised per municipal administration. This is inclusive population. Disaster is defined in of fires that are not considered specific terms of the Disaster structural incidents. Management Act as "a progressive or sudden, widespread or localised natural or human-caused occurence which- a) causes or threatens to cause- i) death, injury or disease; ii) damage to property, infrastructure or the environment; or iii) disruption of life of a community; and b) is of a magnitude that exceeds the ability of those affected by the disaster to cope with its effects using only their own resources". Extreme weather refers to unexpected, unusual, severe or unseasonal weather events; weather at the extremes of the historical distribution of the range seen in the past. This could be 27 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page inclusive of heat waves, flooding, drought, storm surges, etc. Where fires are the result of extreme weather events or disasters, they would also be considered within this indicator, but would otherwise find expression in the other indicator. WS3.1 Frequency of sewer blockages WS31 Update to indicator 63 WS3.1 Frequency of sewer blockages per 100 KMs of pipeline WS3.2 Frequency of mains failures WS32: Update to indicator 57 Frequency of water mains failures per 100 KMs of pipeline n/a WS4.1 Percentage of Drinking n/a Water Compliance to SANS 241 The percentage of water samples measured that comply with the SANS 241 requirements over a 12-month period for the defined parameters. See the SANS 241 requirements for a detailed breakdown of the various tests involved and the associated standard limits for application. n/a WS4.2 Percentage of n/a wastewater samples compliant to water use license conditions Percentage of Wastewater Quality Compliance to specified licence/permit/authorisation requirements tested during the municipal financial year. The percentage is calculated on the basis of aggregated results per Water Use License determinant. n/a WS5.4 Percentage of water n/a reused. The total volume of water recycled and reused as a percentage of the system input volume System input should include water abstracted and all imported water (raw and treated). Water that has been 28 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE IDP page 'recycled and reused' refers to water reclaimed from discharge sources that is then treated and reused for beneficial purposes including but not limited to: agriculture and irrigation, potable water supplies, groundwater replenishment, industrial processes and environmental restoration. For the purpose of this indicator, it measures only municipal wastewater treated for direct use, inclusive of irrigation purposes. n/a GG3.1 Audit Outcome n/a The Audit Opinion is defined by the Auditor-General. It is given across a qualitative, ordinal scale including: Unqualified with no findings; Unqualified with findings; Qualified with findings; Adverse with findings;and Disclaimed with findings. For those who have not completed the process 'Outstanding audits' are recorded. Motivation for proposed amendment: Events Project Cape Town has earned a reputation as Africa’s premier events destination by successfully hosting events of various sizes and types, including community events and signature global events, throughout the year. This has resulted in Cape Town being named Africa's Leading Festival and Event Destination for 2017, 2018 and 2019 as well as the World’s Leading Festival and Event Destination in 2018 at the World Travel Awards. This recognition has resulted in more international event organisers choosing Cape Town as a host destination thus contributing more to the economy and job creation in the events industry and related sectors. The IDP therefore needs to expand on the importance of events and what it aims to achieve as well as how the City will work towards maintaining and improving on this achievement. 29 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP Based on the above motivation, the following amendments to the IDP are proposed: IDP page CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE Move the “Events Project” from 80 Programme 1.1B “Cape Town Business Programme” to Programme 1.1E “Economic Development and Growth Programme”. Events project Events project Globally, events are at the centre of The Events department through the strategies for change, redevelopment, Film Permit and Event Permit offices is social inclusion and improved responsible for regulating and competitiveness. Events are enforcing by-laws related to the acknowledged as potential contributors sectors. Therefore, the department to economic growth, and could help should also be included in the Safety achieve social, cultural and pillar within the IDP. environmental outcomes within broader urban development strategies. Events Events are at the centre of strategies affect various sectors in Cape Town for change, redevelopment, social and have a profound inclusion and improved multiplier effect on tourism and the competitiveness. They are the catalyst visitor economy, which helps address for growth of other sectors like seasonality. Over the next five years, the hospitality, retail and tourism because City will work towards maintaining its the people you attract to the events position as the events capital in Africa, hosted in your city spend money here. promoting iconic and strategic events Through the work done by the Events by actively developing, inter alia, the Department - in supporting events and following events segments: permitting - and partnering with event Large events, such as the Cape organisers, Cape Town has been Town Cycle Tour. recognised among global cities as an Sports events, such as the HSBC events destination of choice. The City Cape Town Rugby Seven Series. has during this term of council worked Business events, exhibitions and on maintaining its diverse annual conventions, such as the SA events calendar which includes: Innovation Summit. major events like the Cape Town Cycle Tour 30 | P a g e
City of Cape Town - 2021/22 Budget (May 2021) Annexure 20 - Proposed amendments to the 2017-2022 approved IDP IDP page CURRENT NARRATIVE PROPOSED NARRATIVE Cultural events such as Design Sporting events such as the Indaba. HSBC Cape Town 7s Music events, such as the Cape Community events such as the Town International Jazz Festival. DSTV Mitchells Plain Festival Cultural events such as the Cape Town Carnival Lifestyle events such as Design Indaba Business events, exhibitions and conventions such as the SA Innovation Summit Music events such as the Cape Town International Jazz Festival The intention for the next five years is to build on this portfolio but attracting and bidding for major events similar to the intergovernmental bid which brought Cape Town the rights to host the Africa’s first Netball World Cup in 2023. Hosting new and exciting events will result in increased opportunities in the hospitality, events, tourism, facilities management and logistics industries, and will generate additional income for Cape Town's economy. In addition, the Events Department, through the Film Permit Office, has been providing support to the film industry in the form of film permitting and promoting Cape Town as a premier film destination through the Film Cape Town initiative. This is an industry which brings in around R3,5- billion in investment to the local economy and the department aims to 31 | P a g e
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