An impact-oriented group of commercial banks with a focus on SMEs in Eastern and South Eastern Europe - Company presentation, November 2020 ...
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An impact-oriented group of commercial banks with a focus on SMEs in Eastern and South Eastern Europe Company presentation, November 2020
Our mission Be the leading “Hausbank” for SMEs in Eastern and South Eastern Europe - with a sustainable approach 1
ProCredit – a unique approach to banking ProCredit at a glance ► A profitable, development-oriented commercial group of banks for SMEs with focus on Eastern and South Eastern Hausbank ProCredit Direct Europe for SMEs for Private Clients ► “Hausbank” for SMEs complemented by “ProCredit Direct” Impact and development orientation for Private Clients ProCredit Banks Loan portfolio Loan growth (‘20) ► Headquartered in Frankfurt and supervised by BaFin and Bundesbank 12 EUR 5,205.2m 8.5% CET1 ratio(1) Rating (Fitch)(2) RoAE(3) (‘20) ► Strong regional focus on SEE/EE 14.1% BBB (stable) 5.6% ► Track record of high-quality loan portfolio based on prudent risk management and focus on long-term business relationships 38.7% 17.0% ► Profitable every year since creation as a banking group 13.2% ► Listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange since Dec-16 8.6% 10.0% 12.5% Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 3
Strong regional footprint in Eastern and South Eastern Europe Regional presence in SEE/EE COVID-19 pandemic and governmental response ► The state of emergency and lockdown measures have been largely cancelled since end of May/early June; borders are mostly re-opened ► The initially lower infection and death rates in Eastern Europe are now converging with the higher numbers of Western Europe ► New lockdown measures are generally targeted at smaller geographic areas, pending current infection rates ► Legislative moratoria on debts now expiring in most of our countries of operations Expected GDP development in SEE/EE(1) Macroeconomic impact ► Substantial decline of real GDP in ProCredit SEE/EE markets expected for 2020 along with marked recovery in 2021 ► GDP estimates as per October slightly below previous estimates with degree of rebound in 2021E depending on e.g. further lockdown measures ► Industrial Production Index indicates macroeconomic recovery Notes: See page 28 of this presentation in Q3, yet output remains subdued with respect to 2019 Source: IMF World Economic Outlook (2020) 4
We partner with SMEs – the ProCredit “Hausbank” principle Target SME clients ► Growing, stable businesses ► Forward-looking SMEs investing in innovation and green technology ► SMEs which bank fully with ProCredit: e.g. loans, cards, transactions, deposits Our approach ► Comprehensive loan and electronic account facilities ► Business Client Advisers’ focus: client and risk ► Trustful long-term relationships and true understanding of clients’ needs and risks Strong SME 94% €1.6bn 2.3% 18.3% market positions of loan portfolio financing backed by credit impaired loans, green loan portfolio e.g. ranked #1 in to SMEs EIF as part of InnovFin significantly better than in % of total Kosovo by loan size to initiative for market, reflecting strong corporate customers innovative SMEs customer relationships incl. SMEs Growth. Impact. Low credit risk. 5
ProCredit Direct – an entirely digital offer for Private Clients Target private clients ► Middle income and higher earners ► Associated with SME owners ► Looking for modern, transparent and reliable banking services Our approach ► All-in digital offer – digital banking concept consequentially executed ► Low complexity – one account for all products ► High price transparency – standard monthly fee with no hidden costs Total staff No of branches No of cash desk 11,514 645 28% transactions €4.7bn of total deposits, strong growth of 3,246 +14% YOY 56 1% Dec-13 Sep-20 Dec-13 Sep-20 Dec-13 Sep-20 Notes: See page 28 of this presentation Transparency. Efficiency. Scalability. 6
Prudent risk management as the key pillar of our business model and impact approach High quality loan portfolio built around ► Careful client selection and strong client relationships ► Well trained staff ► Effective group credit risk assessment and monitoring ► Solid risk profile with consistently low net write offs ► Loan portfolio quality consistently better than market Consistently low net write-offs Non-performing loans of ProCredit significantly below local banking sectors(1) 4% 60 20%% Country NPL (Dec 2019) 50.0% 3% PCB NPL (Dec 2019) 15% Average net write-offs: 0.7% 2% 9.8% 10% 7.7% 8.5% 1% 4.8% 4.1% 5% 3.9% 0.7% 3.0% 2.7% 2.2% 0% 2008 2011 2014 2017 Sep-20 0% Bosnia and Bulgaria N. Moldova Ukraine Herzegovina Macedonia Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 7
Strong impact orientation is an essential part of our identity Responsible banking Environmental responsibility Investments in staff development ► No focus on consumer lending, ► Focus on promotion of ► Unique approach to staff recruitment and no complex products “green” investments development ► Promotion of price and ► Strict exclusion lists ► Continuous training in own academy banking sector transparency ► Mid-term target for green loans of ► Value-based training, with salary linked ► Commitment to SDGs and MSCI ESG 20% of overall loan portfolio to training level signatory to UNEP FI(1) rating: AA 43% 34% 146 47% / 53% of loan portfolio annual growth rate of annual training hours diversity of women / related to local green loan portfolio per employee (‘19) men in management production and (‘16-’19) boards agriculture sectors Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 8
Track record of profitability through the economic cycle, successful group restructuring to become visible Long-term financial stability and attractive profitability 15% 75 Average RoAE: >9% 10% 50 61 61 54 54 47 50 48 5% 44 46 36 39 25 30 in EUR m 28 0% 12 13 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Profit RoAE Successful conclusion of group restructuring in 2019, resulting in no further effects on net income Net income from continued vs discontinued operations ► 2018/19 results significantly impacted by discontinued 69.7% 70.5% 66.5% operations 61.6 61.5 ► Group restructuring successfully concluded in 2019 resulting 33.4 in increased visibility of the group’s strengthened earnings in EUR m generation -7.1 -7.2 ► 2020 profitability affected by COVID-19; improved underlying 2018 2019 Sep-20 profitability underlined by lower cost-income ratio Continued operations Discontinued operations Cost-Income-Ratio Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 9
Loan portfolio 10
Loan portfolio focused on SEE/EE and loans to SMEs, strong regional footprint and diversification Loan portfolio by geographical segments Loan portfolio by sector Investment and Ecuador Germany Housing other loans 1% 1% Moldova 6% 5% 3% Bulgaria Wholesale and 21% retail trade Georgia 7% Other economic 26% activities 20% Ukraine 11% Transportation Bosnia Serbia and storage 4% 18% 5% Albania 4% Agriculture, forestry and Romania fishing 7% Production 20% Kosovo North Macedonia 10% 23% 8% Total South Eastern Europe: 72% Total Business Loans: 94% Total Eastern Europe: 21% Total Private Loans: 6% Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 11
Strong credit risk management with particular focus on high quality collateral Consistently high loan portfolio quality High quality collateral with strict requirements IFRS 9 Net write- 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 20% offs(1) Coverage impaired 89.1% 93.6% 98.5% portfolio(2) 6.6% 13% 5.3% 65% 3.4% 2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% Total: EUR 3.8 bn Mortgages Cash collateral Dec-19 Jun-20 Sep-20 Financial guarantees Other Stage 2 Stage 3 ► Majority of collateral consists of mortgages ► Growing share of financial guarantees (e.g. InnovFin) ► Clear, strict requirements for acceptable collateral, legal aspects and insurance of collateral items Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 12
Environmental responsibility is central to the group’s impact approach Strong growth of green loan portfolio, attractive risk parameters 9.1% 12.6% 15.4% 16.6% 18.3% 954 18 795 678 17 15 489 14 936 331 779 662 (in EUR m) 15 475 316 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Sep-20 Business clients Private clients % of total loan portfolio 2006 60% 0.3% $90m first green loans of green loan portfolio credit impaired loans, green bond placed granted for energy relating to investments significantly lower than with IFC, efficiency and in energy efficiency overall portfolio demonstrating renewable energy innovation in green investments bond market Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 13
Capital, liquidity and funding 14
Comfortable capital and liquidity positions Steady capital and liquidity base ► All Tier 1 capital consists of CET1 capital ► Very comfortable leverage ratio ► LCR comfortably above the regulatory minimum (100%) ► Stable amount of highly liquid assets, HLA ratio amounting to 28% ► No visible deterioration of liquidity observable following the outbreak of COVID-19 Capitalisation overview (fully loaded) 14.1% 9.8% CET1 ratio leverage ratio (fully loaded) 149% €1.3bn LCR highly liquid assets (HLA) 15
Well diversified funding structure with strong focus on customer deposits Steady funding base ► Highly diversified both funding structure and counterparties ► Customer deposits are the main funding source (74% of total), supplemented by long-term funding from IFIs and institutional investors ► Solid deposit development through digital banking channels, both from SME and private clients ► Good funding relations to IFIs (e.g. $90m Green Bond in 2019; $100m financing for SME support during COVID-19 pandemic) ► BBB rating by Fitch affirmed in April for PCH and many PCB banks, Outlook confirmed “stable” Funding sources overview 5% 1% 1% 3% Customer deposits 16% Liabilities to IFIs Liabilities to banks 14% 91% growth in deposits deposit-to-loan Debt securities in YOY to € 4.7bn ratio Subordinated debt Other liabilities 74% 16
Financials 17
Financial highlights (Sep 2020) Net interest margin Cost of risk (bps) Cost-income ratio Return on equity 3.1% 2.9% 56 68.4% 66.5% 7.5% 5.6% 7 Sep/19 Sep/20 Sep-19 Sep-20 Sep-19 Sep-20 Sep-19 Sep-20 ► Increase in net interest income driven by growth in loan portfolio ► Increase in cost of risk in line with expectations, mainly related to updated macroeconomic assumptions in the credit risk model as consequence of Covid-19 and increase in stage 2 loans ► CIR improvement driven by stable cost base and increased pre-provision income ► Return on equity affected by higher cost of risk in connection with Covid-19 Net interest income Operating income Operating expenses Profit after tax Sep-20: € 150.7m Sep-20: € 167.0m Sep-20: € 125.1m Sep-20: € 33.4m YoY: +4.9% YoY: -8.3% YoY: -0.8% YoY: -24.0% Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 18
Summary of key financial indicators (Q3 2020) In EUR m Q3-2019 Q3-2020 9M-2019 9M-2020 y-o-y Net interest income 51.0 50.8 143.6 150.7 7.1 Provision expenses -1.7 5.4 2.4 21.1 18.7 Net fee and commission income 13.1 12.1 38.9 34.7 -4.2 Net result of other operating income 2.4 0.6 2.0 2.6 0.6 Operating income 68.1 58.1 182.1 167.0 -15.1 Operating expenses 42.7 42.3 126.1 125.1 -1.0 Operating results 25.5 15.8 56.0 41.9 -14.1 Tax expenses 3.9 4.1 10.1 8.5 -1.6 Profit of the period from continuing operations 21.5 11.7 45.9 33.4 -12.5 Profit of the period from discontinued operations -0.5 0.0 -1.9 0.0 1.9 Profit after tax 21.1 11.7 44.0 33.4 -10.6 Change in customer loan portfolio(1) 3.1% 3.0% 8.3% 8.5% 0.2pp Cost-income ratio 64.2% 66.7% 68.4% 66.5% -1.8pp (2) Return on equity 10.7% 5.9% 7.5% 5.6% -1.8pp CET1 ratio (fully loaded) 14.3% 14.1% 14.3% 14.1% -0.2pp Net interest margin(2) 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% -0.2pp (2)(3) Net write-off ratio 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% -0.1pp Credit impaired loans (Stage 3) 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 2.3% -0.4pp Coverage impaired portfolio (Stage 3) 93.1% 98.5% 93.1% 98.5% 5.5pp Book value per share 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 0.1 Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 19
Strong track record of delivering on guidance On track Confirmed FY 2020 Medium term guidance targets 8% - 10%(1) 10% loan portfolio growth positive RoAE, but lower compared to FY 2019 ~10% RoAE FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 guidance guidance guidance c.70% CIR >13% CET1
Q&A 21
Appendix 22
9M 2020 results versus guidance Guidance Actual FY 2020 9M 2020 (1) ► Growth of the loan portfolio 8% – 10% 8.5% (2) ► Return on average equity (RoAE) positive, but lower compared to FY 2019 5.6% ► Cost-income ratio (CIR) c 70% 66.5% ► CET1 ratio > 13% 14.1% ► Dividend payout ratio 1/3 of profits 1/3 of profits Medium term: In the medium term, assuming a stable political, economic and operating environment, we see potential for around 10% p.a. growth in the total loan portfolio, a cost-income ratio (CIR) of < 60%, and a return on average equity (RoAE) of about 10%. Risk factors to guidance: Include negative economic effects from further spreading of COVID-19, major disruptions in the Eurozone, a significant change in foreign trade or monetary policy, a worsening of the interest rate margin, and pronounced exchange rate fluctuations. Notes: (1) Assuming no significant FX volatility; (2) Annualised 23
FY 2019 results at a glance In EUR m FY 2018 FY 2019 y-o-y Net interest income 186.2 194.5 8.3 Provision expenses -4.7 -3.3 1.4 Net fee and commission income 52.2 52.0 -0.2 Net result of other operating income 2.3 2.8 0.5 Operating income 245.4 252.6 7.2 Income Operating expenses 167.9 175.7 7.9 statement Operating results 77.5 76.9 -0.7 Tax expenses 15.9 15.3 -0.6 Profit of the period from continuing operations 61.6 61.5 -0.1 Profit of the period from discontinued operations -7.1 -7.2 -0.1 Profit after tax 54.5 54.3 -0.2 Change in customer loan portfolio 12.5% 10.3% -2.2pp Key performance Cost-income ratio 69.7% 70.5% 0.8pp indicators Return on Average Equity(1) 7.6% 6.9% -0.7pp CET1 ratio (fully loaded) 14.4% 14.1% -0.3pp Net interest margin(1) 3.3% 3.1% -0.2pp Net write-off ratio(1)(2) 0.4% 0.3% -0.2pp Additional Leverage Ratio 11.0% 10.8% -0.2pp indicators Credit impaired loans (Stage 3)(3) 3.1% 2.5% -0.6pp Coverage of Credit impaired portfolio (Stage 3)(3) 90.8% 89.1% -1.6pp Book value per share (EUR) 12.5 13.5 1.0 Notes: See page 28 of this presentation 24
Sustainability within ProCredit KEY HISTORIC MILESTONES INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT ORIGIN BANKING SME FINANCE Origin of GROUP In 2008, move from ProCredit with In 2003, creation of a product-oriented IPC: ProCredit microfinance as a banking group PROCREDIT Consulting of provider to with key shareholders DIRECT financial positioning as SUPERVISION Digital banking institutions in IPC (investment arm has the “Hausbank” for by German approach for developing been transferred to SMEs banking LISTING private clients fully countries Zeitinger Invest), PROCREDIT authority of ProCredit Holding implemented DOEN, KfW, IFC and HOLDING First (BaFin and shares (PCZ) on ProCredit Staff Invest consolidation of microfinance Deutsche Prime Standard of PROCREDIT ownership in bank Bundesbank) Frankfurt Stock ACADEMY ProCredit Holding FIRST in Bosnia and Exchange CAPITAL In 2006 and subsequent Herzegovina establishment of investment grade BANKING CHANGE INCREASE founded as the ProCredit rating since 2004 LICENCE IN THE GROUP CODE as a listed a greenfield Academies in IN GERMANY LEGAL FORM OF CONDUCT company bank Foundation In 2009, of ProCredit Introduction of replaces local (10% of share recognition of the of IMI implementation Holding group-wide banks’ versions capital) need to develop (now of German from AG to APPROACH and integrate ProCredit regulatory AG & Co. TO HR local middle and Holding) senior managers standards KGaA in 2011 1980 1997-1998 2003 - 2006 2008 - 2011 2012 - 2014 2015 - 2017 2018 2019 ENVIRONMENTAL Start of semi-annual GREEN FINANCE Publication FIRST GREEN MANAGEMENT (EM) group-wide APPROACH FULLY of first group LOANS Introduction of GREEN SEMINARS IMPLEMENTED IMPACT granted for energy All ProCredit banks ENVIRONMENTAL efficiency and group-wide apply the entire green REPORT renewable energy comprehensive First Group following GRI MANAGEMENT Investments in 2006 3-pillar approach to EM Environmental lending and environ- ESG RATING Standards mental and social risk Positive ESG AND GREEN LENDING Steering management concept rating by MSCI FIRST GREEN EM policy and EM Unit Committee BOND ENVIRONMENTAL at each bank meeting and oekom research Placement for EXCLUSION LIST All ProCredit acknowledging emerging countries introduced group-wide In 2010, first institutions certified our high with IFC for green in the banks’ Codes of environmental courses at under ISO 14001 or standards investments by Conduct in 2006 the ProCredit Academies EMAS SMEs 25
Long-standing and well-interconnected management teams at group and local level Experienced management collaborating at Holding and local level Sandrine Massiani 17 Dr Gabriel Schor ► AML and compliance ► Accounting and taxes ► Audit ► Administration and translation ► Human resources ► Communications ► Legal ► Funding and treasury ► Risk management ► Investor relations ► Reporting and controlling ► Supervisory reporting and capital planning Gian Marco Felice Christian Edgardo Dagrosa ► Business support ► Investor relations ► Environmental management and impact reporting ► Reporting and controlling ► IT Local ProCredit banks 32 key management members On average 15 years of experience with ProCredit | 15 female/17 male Collective training… …as catalyst for a shared vision and teamwork… …supported by clear framework ► Central training in Fürth ► Common set of values ► Strict common operating standards and policy guidelines ► English as lingua franca ► Closely-knit network ► Strong, standardised MIS reporting ► Regular specialist events and regional ► Rapid diffusion of best practices meetings ► Holding management with supervisory board seats at local banks involved in strategic business processes 26
ProCredit bank management board teams 32 management board members of the ProCredit banks Albania Albania BiH BiH BiH Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria Ecuador Ecuador Georgia Georgia Georgia Kosovo Kosovo Kosovo Macedonia Macedonia Macedonia Moldova Moldova ► 15 female (47%) / 17 male (53%) Romania Romania Romania Serbia Serbia Serbia ► Average age: 41 ► Average years with ProCredit: 15 ► 32 ProCredit Management Academy graduates Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine South Eastern Europe Eastern Europe South America 27
Notes Slide 3 (1) Fully loaded Slide 12 (2) Re-affirmed on April 2 2020 (1) Net write-offs to customer loan portfolio (3) Annualised (2) Allowances for loan losses on loans and advances divided by credit impaired Note: Shareholder structure according to the voting right notifications and portfolio voluntary disclosure of voting rights as published on our website www.procredit- holding.com Slide 13 Slide 4 Note: Previous periods have been adjusted according to the scope of continuing (1) Median real GDP growth; includes PCH countries of operation in SEE/EE, i.e. operations as of September 2020 Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Georgia, Kosovo, Moldova, North Macedonia, Romania, Serbia, Ukraine Slide 18 Note: Net interest margin, cost of risk and return on average equity are Slide 6 annualised Note: All related figures and ratios for Dec-13 relate to the subsidiaries as shown in the consolidated financial statement as of 2013 Slide 20 (1) Assuming no significant FX volatility Slide 7 Notes: Risk factors to guidance: Include negative economic effects from further (1) NPL figures for banking sectors are derived from respective central or national spreading of COVID-19, major disruptions in the Eurozone, a significant change banks, as per Dec-19. Country NPL for Bosnia and Herzegovina is as of Sep-19. in foreign trade or monetary policy, a worsening of the interest rate margin, pronounced exchange rate fluctuations. Slide 8 Medium term: In the medium term, assuming a stable political, economic and (1) ProCredit Holding AG & Co. KGaA is a signatory to the Principles for operating environment, we see potential for around 10% p.a. growth in the total Responsible Banking and is a member of the UN Environment Programme loan portfolio, a cost-income ratio (CIR) of < 60%, and a return on average equity Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) (RoAE) of about 10%. Slide 9 Slide 24 Note: RoAE since 2005 as publicly available in “Bundesanzeiger” Note: Return on average equity and CET1 ratio include discontinued operations; Previous period has been adjusted according to the new scope of continued operations Slide 11 (1) Annualised Notes: Loan portfolio by geographical segments and by sector in % of gross loan portfolio (EUR 5,205m as per 30-September-20) (2) Net write-offs to customer loan portfolio (3) Credit impaired portfolio under IFRS 9 28
Disclaimer The material in this presentation and further supporting documents have This presentation and further supporting documents may contain forward- been prepared by ProCredit Holding AG & Co. KGaA, Frankfurt am Main, looking statements including statements regarding our intent, belief or Federal Republic of Germany (“ProCredit Holding”) and are general current expectations with respect to the ProCredit group’s businesses and background information about the ProCredit group’s activities current as operations, market conditions, results of operation and financial condition, at the date of this presentation. This information is given in summary form capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices. and does not purport to be complete. Information in this presentation and Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward- further supporting documents, including forecast financial information, looking statements. ProCredit Holding does not undertake any obligation should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to investors or to publicly release the result of any revisions to these forward-looking potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof to other financial products or instruments and does not take into account reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. While due care has been your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Before used in the preparation of forecast information, actual results may vary in acting on any information you should consider the appropriateness of the a materially positive or negative manner. Forecasts and hypothetical information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document examples are subject to uncertainty and contingencies outside ProCredit and in particular, you should seek independent financial advice. All Holding’s control. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, performance. which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments and, in international transactions, currency risk. 29
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