India: Chennai-Kanyakumari Industrial Corridor: Power Sector Investment Project - Tamil Nadu Transmission Corporation Limited (TANTRANSCO) - Asian ...
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Entity Financial Analysis Report Project Number: 51308-001 Loan Number: XXXX October 2019 India: Chennai-Kanyakumari Industrial Corridor: Power Sector Investment Project Tamil Nadu Transmission Corporation Limited (TANTRANSCO)
A. Introduction 1. Tamil Nadu Transmission Corporation Limited (TANTRANSCO) is the state transmission utility (STU) of Tamil Nadu and is responsible for development, maintenance and operation of intra-state transmission network in the state. It is also the deemed state transmission licensee. The company was incorporated in June 2009 after restructuring of erstwhile Tamil Nadu Electricity Board (TNEB) and the first set of financial statements were prepared for FY2009–2010. 2. The company is a regulated entity and its operations and tariffs are regulated by electricity regulatory commissions under the Electricity Act 2003. Tamil Nadu Electricity Regulatory Commission (TNERC) decides the intra-state transmission tariffs and corresponding revenues based on the principle of prudent cost recovery (including a regulated return of 14% on approved equity balances). TANTRANSCO filed its first tariff petition before TNERC during FY2011–2012 for approval of intra-state transmission tariffs for FY2012–2013. Subsequently, an intra-state transmission order was issued by TNERC on 30 March 2012. 3. The tariff-setting process is governed by TNERC (Tariff regulations). Tariffs and revenues, once approved on ex-ante basis, are subject to truing-up in subsequent years based on actual revenues earned and expenses incurred after a prudence check of TNERC. During the truing-up process, TNERC may disallow an actual expense and reduce the revenue recovery in future years, if the expense is not prudent or efficient in the view of the Commission or the expense is not in accordance with its regulations and previous judgements/orders. Hence, the revenues which are the critical parameter for ascertaining profitability of a company are subject to a substantial regulatory risk and may fluctuate significantly based on TNERC’s decisions. The company, however, is insulated from the demand risk, as any under-recovery (or over-recovery) on account of a change in transmission demand is usually allowed in the truing-up order. B. Tariff filings and issuance of intra-state transmission tariff orders 4. TANTRANSCO filed its first tariff petition during FY2011−2012 before TNERC for approval of intra-state transmission tariffs for the ensuing year FY2012−2013. TNERC issued the intra- state transmission order on 30th March 2012. This was the second intra-state transmission order issued by TNERC, the first being the order issued by TNERC on 15 May 2006 in response to the petition submitted by erstwhile TNEB. 5. The company then filed a tariff petition before TNERC for approval of intra-state transmission tariffs for FY2013−2014 and subsequently the third intra-state transmission tariff order was issued by TNERC on 20 June 2013.The company however, did not file a tariff petition during FY2013−2014 for the approval of tariff for FY2014−2015 and the Commission initiated suo- motu proceedings. The fourth intra-state transmission tariff order was issued in December 2014. 6. TANTRANSCO filed a truing-up/tariff petition during in January 2017, on which an order (fifth) was issued on 11 August 2017. In the order, TNERC trued up TANTRANSCO’s aggregate revenue requirement Report (ARR) until FY2015–2016. The Commission also approved TANTRANSCO’s ARRs till FY2018−2019 and intra-state transmission tariff for FY2017−2018. In this order, the Commission relied on its own computations for depreciation based on the adjusted gross fixed assets (opening balance at the end of March 2012) without considering the impact of revaluation of assets and average depreciation rates. 2
C. Historical Financial Performance 7. TANTRANSCO’s financial performance from FY2012–2013 to FY2017–2018 is summarized in Table 1, and detailed financial statements are provided in Annexure. Table 1: TANTRANSCO-Summarized Financial Performance (2013-2018) (₹Million) Item 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Profit and Loss Statement: Operating Revenue 24,150 28,771 19,362 25,071 25,781 27,818 Depreciation & amortization 2,995 3,123 5,680 4,876 5,908 7,523 Other operating expenses 5,226 7,173 8,564 10,767 12,159 13,604 Operating income (EBIT) 15,928 18,474 5,119 9,427 7,714 6,691 EBITDA 18,923 21,598 10,799 14,304 13,621 14,214 Interest expenses (Gross) 13,299 7,239 9,274 13,793 13,104 15,657 Interest expenses (net of capitalised interest) 10,582 5,000 6,360 10,598 10,302 12,171 Extra-ordinary items and other expense 0 0 0 0 7 41,750 Profit before tax (PBT) 2,365 13,080 (1,129) (2,634) (2,749) (46,661) Net income/(loss) 2,365 13,080 (1,129) (2,634) (2,749) (46,661) Dividend and other appropriations 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cash flow statement: Capital expenditure 11,369 30,482 31,748 142,184 36,197 29,175 Operating cash flow 37,426 21,295 17,407 61,028 28,693 12,089 Investing cash flow (11,356) (30,461) (31,742) (158,101) (36,197) (29,172) Loan repayments 26,019 12,863 13,099 30,248 10,510 17,517 Financing cash flow (26,109) 9,063 14,870 96,670 7,832 17,533 Net cash flow (39) (103) 535 (403) 327 450 Balance sheet: Current assets 102,085 152,803 213,608 276,111 201,801 66,654 Non-current assets 122,082 149,419 175,480 329,864 353,483 369,264 Fixed assets (net) 87,925 98,131 126,632 267,861 289,398 307,423 Current liabilities 147,132 195,397 259,013 367,175 313,971 222,067 Long term borrowings a 82,537 93,381 107,101 99,985 132,982 161,842 Non-current liabilities 83,014 94,039 107,911 122,656 130,541 169,095 Total Equity (5,979) 12,786 22,165 116,144 110,772 44,757 Share capital 28,409 30,099 38,810 41,355 41,355 47,414 Return on net fixed assets b 14% -1% -1% -1% -16% Debt-service coverage ratio c 0.48 1.07 0.48 0.32 0.58 0.43 Debt (LT) / (Debt (LT)+Total equity) d 108% 88% 83% 46% 55% 78% Current ratio e 0.69 0.78 0.82 0.75 0.64 0.30 EBIT = earnings before interest and tax; EBITDA = earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization; LT = long-term a Includes current maturities on long-term borrowings. b Net income/average fixed assets. c Calculated as (EBITDA-Tax) divided by (Interest expenses+ principal repayments). d Calculated as long-term debt divided by total equity (including reserves and surplus). e Calculated as current assets divided by current liabilities. Source: Tamil Nadu Transmission Corporation Limited 3
8. Revenue. In FY2013−2014 the company registered the highest revenue (₹28.77 billion) for the period although this was followed by a decline of 32.7% in the subsequent year before the recovery started in FY2015−2016. The revenue remained largely flat for the remainder of the period. The variation in revenue is mostly a consequence of delays on the part of TANTRANSCO in submitting petitions for its aggregate rate of return (ARR) tariffs and true ups. 9. Profit. The company posted a substantial net profit of ₹13 billion (45.5 % of revenues) and a net profit of ₹2.3 billion (9.8% of revenues) during FY2013−2014 and FY2012−2013 respectively. Thereafter, the company has posted losses for last 4 years. Net loss for FY2016−2017 was ₹2.75 billion (10.66 % of revenues) with a net cash inflow of ₹0.34 billion. The loss increased to ₹46.6 billion for FY2017−2018, however this figure includes a one-off charge of ₹41.7 billion for historical (prior period) interest claimed by TANGEDCO. The company’s accumulated losses at the end FY2017−2018 were ₹37.7 billion (80% of contributed equity) which included an opening accumulated loss level of ₹40.3 billion originating from the provisional transfer scheme. 10. The reasons for financial losses posted by the company become apparent when reviewing the approved revenue and associated disallowances in the last intra-state transmission tariff order (August 2017). The order was issued against TANTRANSCO’s truing-up petition for FY2011−2012 to FY2015−2016. In the order, TNERC also approved intra-state transmission ARRs till FY2018–2019 and tariff for FY2017–2018. TNERC’s disallowances on account of return on equity, operation & maintenance expenses and interest expenses were substantial, amounting to around ₹8.5 billion of revenue. As noted below, TANTRANSCO has challenged TNERC on the return on equity disallowance and the case is pending in the Supreme Court of India but at this stage has not appealed other disallowances. 11. Revaluation reserve: The final transfer scheme with regards to reorganization of erstwhile TNEB was notified on 13 August 2015 and consequently TANTRANSCO included a revaluation reserve on its balance sheet with an opening balance of ₹71.63 billion during FY2015–2016. After adjusting for amortization of depreciation towards the revaluation reserve and a minor adjustment towards the opening balance, a balance revaluation reserve of ₹47.20 billion was carried forward at the end of the FY2015–2016. This reserve had reduced to ₹35.07 billion by the end of FY2017–2018. 12. Further, an additional current liability owed to TANGEDCO and other creditors was created in the balance sheet to offset the revaluation of assets by ₹142 billion. Only part of this additional current liability has been recognized by the regulator (TNERC) in setting of the transmission tariff. As TANTRANSCO was not servicing the unrecognized portion of this liability TANGEDCO has levied a penal interest charge of ₹41.8 billion in FY2018. The resolution of this issue is addressed through the proposed financial restructuring plan (FRP). 13. Capital expenditure: During the last 4-year period, annual capital expenditure remained in the range of ₹30−35 billion, except for FY2015−2016, when the assets were revalued to account for the impact of notification of the final transfer scheme. The asset revaluation of ₹142 billion in FY2015−2016 was reflected as an increase in capital expenditure funded through increase in current liabilities in the cash flow statement. 14. Government’s share capital: As of 31 March 2018, the company had share capital (Government) of ₹47.4 billion and a deficit reserve (P&L deficit) of ₹37.7 billion. The company also had a revaluation reserve (net) of ₹35.1 billion. In this context, it is important to note that TNERC currently allows return on equity only on the share capital added since FY2011−2012 and not on the opening balance of equity (on 31 March 2011) and the reserves created thereafter. 4
TANTRANSCO has challenged TNERC on this matter and the case is pending in the Supreme Court of India seeking additional return-on-equity (ROE) on the opening balance of equity. In its most recent tariff order1 TNERC had recognized ₹20.17 billion as the regulatory equity at the end of FY2015−2016. D. Historical Financial Ratio Analysis 15. Various financial ratios were computed for TANTRANSCO based on its audited financial statements for the period FY2012−2013 to FY2017−2018. A brief discussion on key financial ratios is provided in the following paragraphs. The computed ratios for TANTRANSCO are tabulated in Table 2. Table 2: Historical Ratio Analysis-TANTRANSCO (2013-2018) Item 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Liquidity ratios Current ratio a 0.69 0.78 0.82 0.75 0.64 0.30 Quick ratio b 0.36 0.35 0.32 0.27 0.01 0.02 Operating cash flow ratio c 0.25 0.11 0.07 0.17 0.09 0.05 Self-financing ratio d -0.16 0.12 0.14 -0.72 Debt management ratios Interest coverage ratio e 1.20 2.55 0.55 0.68 0.59 0.43 Debt to asset ratio f 0.35 0.31 0.20 0.23 0.33 Debt to equity ratio g -13.80 7.30 4.83 0.86 1.20 3.62 Debt service coverage ratio h 0.48 1.07 0.48 0.32 0.58 0.43 Profitability ratios Return on total assets i 7% 8% 2% 2% 2% -6% Return on equity j -40% 102% -5% -2% -2% -104% Return on fixed assets k 14% -1% -1% -1% -16% a Current assets/current liabilities b Cash+ liquid assets+ marketable securities/current liabilities c Cash flows from operations/current liabilities d Cash flow from operations/average annual capex e EBIT/interest expenses f LT debt/Average total assets g LT debt/Total equity h (EBITDA-Tax)/ (Interest expenses+ principal repayments) i Net income+ interest expenses/Average total assets j Net income/equity k Net income/average fixed assets Source: TANTRANSCO. 16. Liquidity ratios. The current ratio was maintained between 0.68 to 0.85 during this period with lowest value of 0.30 observed during FY2017−2018. However, given that until April 2017 TANGEDCO controlled all cash flow for TANTRANSCO and TANTRANSCO’s revenues were recognized only for accounting purposes, care should be exercised in interpreting this ratio as a measure of TANTRANSCO’s (in) ability to manage its liquidity. 1 Determination of Intra-State Transmission Tariff and other related charges: Order in T.P. No. 2 of 2017 dated 11 August 2017. 5
17. Debt management ratios. TANTRANSCO’s debt-service coverage ratio is significantly below unity in all years except one, and it is likely that debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) should have been lower than shown in the table had the one-off interest charge applied in FY2017−2018 to adjust for historical under recovery of interest (to TANGEDCO) been allocated to the year in which the interest fell due. 18. The debt-equity ratio varied erratically over the period from 13.8:1 in FY2012−2013 to 89% in FY2014−2015 to 3.6:1 in FY2017−2018 reflecting the large swings in equity arising from accumulated profits and losses and from the asset revaluation reserve booked in FY2015−2016. 19. Profitability ratios. As mentioned before the company has made successive losses during the last four years resulting in negative profitability ratios and no discernable patterns (other than the obviously unacceptable performance against all the ratios calculated). 20. As indicated above, TANTRANSCO is not profitable at present mainly due to several reasons. It is important that the genesis of the problem is looked into in details and the issues are addressed holistically. In the following section, a time-bound FRP has been proposed to place TANTRANSCO on the path of fiscal sustainability. Subsequent to the implementation of the FRP. TANTRANSCO would be required to comply with the financial covenants stipulated in this regard. E. Genesis of the financial problem in TANTRANSCO 21. As part of the unbundling of the erstwhile Tamil Nadu Electricity Board (TNEB), assets with an estimated value of ₹43.8 billion were revalued to ₹230.3 billion and transferred to TANTRANSCO, along with a loan amount of ₹142.2 billion and revenue revaluation reserve (net of accumulated losses of TNEB allocated to TANTRANSCO) of ₹71.6 billion. However, for tariff approval purposes, the Tamil Nadu Electricity Regulatory Commission (TNERC) recognized only the asset value of ₹94.6 billion for allowance of depreciation (without recognizing the revaluation), and loans of ₹132.1 billion for allowing interest on borrowed capital. As the loan amount exceeded the value of assets recognized by TNERC, TNERC does not allow return on equity (ROE) on opening equity of ₹15.1 billion in TANTRANSCO’s approved transmission tariff.2 22. The depreciation and ROE allowed in the transmission tariff provides the cash resources to TANTRANSCO for the repayment of the principal on loans. From FY2011 to FY2018, as against the total loan repayments of ₹146.9 billion, the total depreciation allowance was ₹42.2 billion, and ROE allowed was ₹13.4 billion, leaving a gap of ₹91.4 billion. TANTRANSCO has been compelled to borrow additional short-term loans to bridge this gap.3 As these additional loans are not borrowed for the purpose of creating transmission assets, they are also not recognized by TNERC for tariff purposes, and hence TANTRANSCO has no income source from which it can service these loans (including interest). TANTRANSCO has fallen into a debt trap, where it is compelled to borrow increasing amounts to service debt without any revenue source to recoup such debt service obligations. 23. The regulatory regime envisages a capital structure comprising 70% debt and 30% equity to finance capital assets, and the tariff structure includes a ROE of 14% on the equity contribution (capped at 30% equity contribution). Principal repayments of up to 70% are financed through the depreciation allowance in the tariff. However, in TANTRANSCO’s case, the equity contribution has been less than 30% of its capital expenditure, and consequently the ROE that it receives in 2 TNERC allows ROE on subsequent equity injections by GoTN. 3 Typically, the short-term loans are for 3 years and place a high burden on TANTRANSCO’s debt service capacity. 6
the tariff is also lower.4 TANTRANSCO has borrowed additional amounts beyond 70% of the capital cost to finance its capital expenditure for which the principal repayments are not fully covered by the transmission tariff. This principal repayment of loans beyond 70% of the capital cost needs to be financed by TANTRANSCO through additional borrowings. 24. Due to above mentioned reasons, the financial position of TANTRANSCO has deteriorated over last 5 financial years- profit of ₹13.1 billion (2014) to a loss of ₹46.6 billion (FY2018) resulting into an accumulated loss of ₹37.7 billion in FY2018 (Historical performance annexed in Annexure “A”). 25. As of FY2019, the value of assets of TANTRANSCO likely to be allowed by TNERC for transmission tariff setting in the future is ₹202.4 billion. It is after adjusting the difference (₹50.7 billion) between values of fixed assets (as on transfer date) considered by TNERC (₹94.6 billion) and the book value of these assets in the TANTRANSCO’s accounts (₹43.8 billion). Out of ₹202.4 billion, assets of ₹16.8 billion is to be funded by consumer contributions, grants and capital subsidies. The net amount is ₹185.6 billion, of which 70%, or ₹129.9 billion can be considered as debt for which depreciation will be allowed, and thus TANTRANSCO has a recognized source for repayment. However, the actual debt on TANTRANSCO’s books owed to external sources (banks/ financial institutes) is ₹187.2 billion, and the difference of ₹57.3 billion (i.e. the amount in excess of sustainable assets) cannot be repaid by TANTRANSCO from its tariff revenues. 26. Besides the external debt, TANTRANSCO owes ₹102.2 billion to the Tamil Nadu Generation and Distribution Company Limited (TANGEDCO).5 This represents repayment and interest amount of the loans that were transferred to TANTRANSCO at the time of unbundling, and carrying cost on the amount paid by TANGEDCO on TANTRANSCO’s behalf in earlier years and debited by TANGEDCO on 31 March 2018. TANTRANSCO has no revenue source to repay this debt to TANGEDCO, as this does not represent any asset for the transmission business recognized by the regulatory commission. 27. In summary, TANTRANSCO has ₹159.5 billion of liabilities that cannot be repaid through its future transmission tariff revenues. In addition, owing to lower equity contributions to finance its capital expenditure, there is a gap between the aggregate ROE and depreciation allowance and its debt service obligation, for which it needs an alternative funding source. Unless any FRP measures are undertaken the financial performance will continue to deteriorate. F. Financial Restructuring Plan 28. The resolution of this issue is essential, to ensure that TANTRANSCO becomes financially sustainable in the future. The solutions proposed acknowledge that TANTRANSCO’s revenue approved by the TNERC does not provide it adequate cash flows to service the liability of ₹102.2 billion owed to TANGEDCO and ₹57.3 billion unsustainable liability owed to external creditors (banks and financial institutes) including interest. a) Reallocation of Generic Loans allocated to TANTRANSCO in the Final Transfer Scheme 29. The amount sought from the Government of Tamil Nadu (GoTN) has also been computed by reallocation of project loans and generic loans between TANTRANSCO and TANGEDCO. The 4 The equity contribution was an average of 11% of capital expenditure from FY2014 to FY2018 5 This amount is under reconciliation. 7
allocation of project loans and generic loans between TANGEDCO and TANTRANSCO as on date of unbundling as per final transfer scheme is shown in table below: Table 3: Loan segregation as per transfer scheme – GO No 49 (All amount in ₹ billion) As per Transfer Scheme TANGEDCO TANTRANSCO Total Project loan 193.1 67.4 260.5 Generic loan - 59.5 59.5 Total 193.1 126.9 320.0 TANGEDCO = Tamil Nadu Generation and Distribution Corporation Limited, TANTRANSCO = Tamil Nadu Transmission Corporation Limited Source: Government of Tamil Nadu 30. In the meeting held under the Chairmanship of Additional Chief Secretary (Finance), GoTN on 14 June 2019, it was agreed that determination of Generic Loan was not correct in the transfer scheme. Based on internal discussions between TANGEDCO and TANTRANSCO, an additional loan of ₹19.5 billion was re-assigned to generic loan from the project loan of TANTRANSCO. The revised ratio of allocation of project loans between TANGEDCO and TANTRANSCO is 80.12%: 19.88%. It was also agreed to re allocate generic loans between the companies in the same ratio. Based on this, the revised loan allocation is as follows: Table 4: Loan segregation as per transfer scheme – GO No 49 (All amount in ₹ billion) As per Transfer Scheme TANGEDCO TANTRANSCO Total Project loan 193.1 47.9 241.0 Reassigned Generic loan - 79.0 79.0 Total Loan 193.1 126.9 320.0 Reallocate Generic Loan in the ratio of Project Loan Project loan ratio 80.12% 19.88% Reassigned Generic Loan segregation 63.3 15.7 79.0 Revised total loan 256.4 63.6 320.0 31. A generic loan of ₹63.3 billion should be transferred from TANTRANSCO to TANGEDCO as per the revised allocation. a) Government Equity Injection to settle the Remaining Unsustainable Liabilities of TANTRANSCO 32. TANTRANSCO shall approach the GoTN to seek equity support against the remaining unsustainable loan liability, which is ₹57.3 billion. This equity assistance may be required over a period of three years. The interest payable on the unsustainable loan during these 3 years shall also be sought from the GoTN, which work out to ₹9.9 billion. Based on the understanding reached at the meeting held on 14 June 2019 with the Finance Department of Tamil Nadu, the state government has agreed to provide an equity injection of is ₹53.66 billion ($762 million) in three equal annual installments starting from FY2021 for settling major portion of unsustainable liabilities. TANTRANSCO shall use the proceeds from this equity infusion towards payment of loans and interest to external creditors (banks and financial institutes). The balance amount of outstanding external loans is expected to be serviced by TANTRANSCO through its ARR. a) Adjustment of Inter-company receivables/payables between TANTRANSCO and TANGEDCO 8
33. There is a net payable of ₹102.2 billion from TANTRANSCO to TANGEDCO as on 31 March 2018. As discussed above, TANTRANSCO would not have adequate cash flows to service the liability of ₹102.2 billion owed to TANGEDCO in future years. A significant contributor to this outstanding amount (₹102.2 billion) is the additional generic loan (₹63.3 billion) allocated to TANTRANSCO instead of TANGEDCO. TANTRANSCO had also paid interest on this additional amount during the past years. 34. It has been agreed between TANTRANSCO and TANGEDCO that the amount payable by TANTRANSCO to TANGEDCO will be adjusted in the books of accounts of both the companies. 35. It is noted that intercompany payables and receivables as of 31 March 2018 need to be confirmed through an intercompany reconciliation exercise. After the reconciliation of the amount, the amount will be adjusted, based on the discussion with auditors and tax consultant, in the following manner: a) The amount payable to TANGEDCO in the books of TANTRANSCO will be adjusted against the equity contribution from the holding company; i.e. TNEB Ltd; b) The amount receivable from TANTRANSCO in the books of TANGEDCO will be adjusted against the receivable from holding company (TNEB Ltd); and c) The amount will be reflected as payable to TANGEDCO and investment in TANTRANSCO in the books of TNEB Ltd. 36. It is agreed by the two companies that no interest will be charged on the net amount payable by either party. a) Capping the Future Capital Expenditure at Sustainable Level 37. TANTRANSCO will revisit its proposed capital expenditure of ₹300.00 billion (approx.) from FY2019–2020 to FY2021–2022. As per the direction of the Additional Chief Secretary/Finance it will be maintained around ₹30.0 billion to ₹35.0 billion per year as in the recent past until the company attains self-sufficiency. 38. The GoTN will provide equity contribution for an amount equal to 30% of the capital expenditure for all future projects of TANTRANSCO until the time TANTRANSCO is able to finance its equity portion of capital expenditure using its internal cash accruals. 39. The GoTN will also contribute ₹10.0 billion as equity to finance the counterpart finance of proposed ADB-financed project. This will be part of the government equity contribution to finance 30% of capital expenditure. a) Rescheduling of External Liabilities 40. It is noted that depreciation allowed by TNERC does not match the repayment obligation of remaining external liabilities due to shorter tenor (10 years) of these loans. It is recommended to reschedule these loans to have an average tenor of 12 years to match the accelerated depreciation allowed by the regulator. a) Annual Tariff Filing 9
41. To prevent accumulation of financial losses in the future, it is further agreed that TANTRANSCO and TANGEDCO will make regular annual tariff filings starting from FY2020. Summary of Financial Restructuring Package i. GoTN should provide equity support to TANTRANSCO for ₹53.66 billion towards settlement of major portion of unsustainable liabilities. This can be provided in three equal annual instalments. TANTRANSCO should utilize these funds to prepay unsustainable loans external agencies like Rural Electrification Corporation Limited (REC) and Power Finance Corporation Ltd. (PFC) in 3 instalments over a period of 3 years. ii. Balance REC and PFC loans should be restructured to loan with 12 years repayment period; iii. Intercompany payables and receivables as of 31 March 2018 need to be confirmed through an intercompany reconciliation exercise. After the reconciliation of the amount, the amount will be adjusted, based on the discussion with auditors and tax consultant, in the following manner: a. The amount payable to TANGEDCO in the books of TANTRANSCO will be adjusted against the equity contribution from the holding company; i.e. TNEB Ltd.; b. The amount receivable from TANTRANSCO in the books of TANGEDCO will be adjusted against the receivable from holding company (TNEB Ltd); and c. The amount will be reflected as payable to TANGEDCO and investment in TANTRANSCO in the books of TNEB Ltd. iv. Any inter-company payable from TANTRANSCO to TANGEDCO or vice versa will be adjusted in the books of both the companies, as mentioned above. It is agreed that no interest will be levied on the net amount after 31 March 2018. v. GoTN agrees to maintain 30% equity contribution of TANTRANSCO’s capital expenditure till the time TANTRANSCO can be funded through its retained earnings. G. Impact of FRP on TANTRANSCO 42. The FRP will be implemented in FY2020−21. With above support, TANTRANSCO will turn profitable by FY2023. Internal cash generation also results in improved debt and self-serviceability of loans. Table 5: Financial Parameters of TANTRANSCO Post FRP 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 PAT (₹ million) (4,893) (6,307) (2,698) (633) 1,674 3,440 4,199 Current Ratio 0.59 0.35 0.39 0.43 0.85 0.86 0.86 DSCR 0.47 0.70 0.77 0.86 1.00 1.94 1.87 Debt/Equity 2.88 0.83 0.66 0.53 0.49 0.49 0.48 DSCR = debt service coverage ratio, FRP = financial restructuring plan, PAT = profit after tax Source: Asian Development Bank staff estimate 10
43. TANTRANSCO will have to undertake short-term borrowings in FY2019 and FY2020 to finance the cash deficit but these liabilities can be repaid over FY2022–2026 with improved operating cash flows. The return on equity generated from the equity portion of capex shall improve the net profit and internal cash generation position whereby the company can fund equity portion of capex from FY2026 onwards. The State Government’s equity commitment shall reduce to zero eventually and the company will be able to self-sustain its growth. H. Projected – Financial Performance 44. The projected Financial performance of TANTRANSCO is given below: Table 6: TANTRANSCO-Summarized Projected Financial Performance (2019–2025) (₹Million) Item 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Profit and loss statement: Revenue 32,060 35,537 42,311 45,960 49,575 53,187 55,943 Operating cost 14,523 15,485 16,507 17,629 18,820 20,083 21,428 EBITDA 17,537 20,052 25,803 28,331 30,756 33,104 34,515 Depreciation 9,913 10,969 12,025 13,345 14,665 15,985 17,305 EBIT 7,624 9,083 13,778 14,986 16,090 17,119 17,210 Interest Cost 12,517 15,389 16,476 15,618 13,956 12,733 11,858 PBT (4,893) (6,307) (2,698) (633) 2,134 4,385 5,352 Tax - - - - (460) (945) (1,153) PAT 4,893) (6,307) (2,698) (633) 1,674 3,440 4,199 Cash flow statement: Operating Cash flow 8,984 (80,158) 27,157 30,638 32,796 34,846 36,462 (21,431) (22,860) (23,520) (23,624) (23,473) (23,101) Investing Cash flow (20,680) 92,233 (3,031) (2,635) (2,778) (2,794) (2,872) Financing Cash flow (14,929) (9,356) 127 448 639 858 1,049 Cash Increase / Decrease (26,625) Short term loan taken 25,399 9,356 - - - - - ST Loan repaid - - (1,266) (4,483) (6,395) (8,579) (10,489) Closing Cash balance - - - - - - - Balance sheet: LIABILITIES Shareholders’ Funds 47,363 153,418 176,109 200,864 225,295 236,236 247,934 Non-current liabilities 180,646 179,755 170,219 159,544 149,577 153,753 157,320 Current liabilities 32,302 75,979 77,464 75,919 72,661 67,429 60,512 Total liabilities 460,311 409,152 423,791 436,327 447,533 457,417 465,766 ASSETS Non-Current assets 384,351 398,382 411,357 423,012 433,347 442,362 450,057 Current Assets 75,960 10,770 12,434 13,315 14,187 15,056 15,709 Total Assets 460,311 409,152 423,791 436,327 447,533 457,417 465,766 45. Revenue. In the year post FY2019, the revenue growth is expected to be higher in the period upto FY2021 due to higher expected capitalization and subsequent allowance in tariff. It is 11
expected that the TANTRANSCO will file tariff petitions within stipulated time. Post FY2021, the revenue is expected to increase at a year on year rate of 6-8%. There is no demand risk and incase the projects are transmission projects commissioned as planned and capitalized, the TNERC is expected to recognize the same and allow pass through in ARR. Considering that TANTRANSCO has been suggested to file timely Petitions, the recovery of prudent costs will also lead to a steady increase in revenues. 46. Profit. With the implementation of FRP measures, TANTRANSCO is expected to turn profitable in FY2023. From a loss of ₹46.6 billion in FY2018, a profit of ₹1.67 billion is expected in FY2023. In case, the grant from GoTN is received and measures as highlighted in FRP are implemented, profitability of TANTRASNCO will sustain over the longer term. 47. Capital expenditure. During the last four-year period, annual capital expenditure remained in the range of ₹30−35 billion, except for FY2015−2016, when the assets were revalued to account for the impact of notification of the final transfer scheme. In the FRP scheme also and as per discussion with GoTN, it has been suggested that the capital expenditure per year should be maintained within a limit of ₹30-35 billion. Currently, for financial projections, yearly capex of ₹25 billion has been considered as a realistic estimate based on historical data. 48. Government’s share capital. The GoTN will provide equity contribution for an amount equal to 30% of the capital expenditure for all future projects of TANTRANSCO until the time TANTRANSCO is able to finance its equity portion of capital expenditure using its internal cash accruals. Considering that capex of ₹25 billion, GoTN contribution per year will be ₹7.5 billion. The return on equity generated from the equity portion of capex shall improve the net profit and internal cash generation position whereby the company can fund equity portion of capex from FY2026 onwards. The State Government’s equity commitment shall reduce to zero eventually and the company will be able to self-sustain its growth. Table 7: Contribution from GoTN towards Equity portion of TANTRANSCO’s CAPEX (₹Billion) Item 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Equity for Capex 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Equity for settling - - 15.3 15.3 15.3 unsustainable loans Equity from TNEB to setup 102.2 receivable- payables balance Total equity 7.5 109.7 22.8 22.8 22.8 7.5 7.5 I. Projected Financial Ratio Analysis 49. Various financial ratios were computed for TANTRANSCO based on projections for the period FY2019 to FY2025. A brief discussion on key financial ratios is provided in the following paragraphs. The computed ratios for TANTRANSCO are tabulated in Table 7. 50. Liquidity ratios. The current ratio is improving from 0.55 to 0.85 between FY2010 to FY2023 with the lowest value of 0.35 in FY2020. However, from FY2026 onwards, the current ratio crosses the desired value of 1.0. 51. Debt management ratios. TANTRANSCO’s debt-service coverage ratio improves gradually over the years from 0.47 in FY2019 to 1.00 in FY2023 when it is expected to turn profitable. 12
52. Profitability ratios. With time bound implementation of FRP and adherence to measures as highlighted before, TANTRANSCO is expected to be profitable in FY2023. With 30% GoTN equity contribution every year for capex, the debt equity ratio is expected to be less than unity. With positive internal cash generation, the GoTN equity is expected to reduce from FY2026 and the debt equity ratio is stabilized around 0.47 over the longer term. J. Annexure Appendix 1: Historical Financial Statements-TANTRANSCO Profit and loss statement (2013-2018) (₹million) Item 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Revenues Revenue from transmission of electricity 23,811 27,650 17,761 23,052 22,884 25,396 Other income 339 1,122 1,602 2,018 2,897 2,422 Total Operating Revenues 24,150 28,771 19,362 25,071 25,781 27,818 Operating Expenses Repairs & maintenance expenses 75 126 110 135 151 118 Employee expenses 5,799 7,000 8,301 9,650 10,838 12,061 A&G expenses 233 1,248 1,530 2,512 2,497 2,732 Less: expenses capitalised (881) (1,200) (1,377) (1,530) (1,326) (1,307) Total operating expenses 5,226 7,173 8,564 10,767 12,159 13,604 EBITDA (Earnings before interest, tax, 18,923 21,598 10,799 14,304 13,621 14,214 depreciation and amortization) EBITDA % 78% 75% 56% 57% 53% 51% Depreciation and amortisation 2,995 3,123 5,680 4,876 5,908 7,523 EBIT (Earnings before interest and tax) 15,928 18,474 5,119 9,427 7,714 6,691 Financial Expenses: Gross Interest expenses 13,299 7,239 9,274 13,793 13,104 15,657 Less: Interest capitalised (2,717) (2,239) (2,914) (3,195) (2,802) (3,486) Total financial expenses 10,582 5,000 6,360 10,598 10,302 12,171 Other expenses/extra-ordinary items Extra-ordinary items - - - - 7 8 Other debits 63 0 - 5 13 41,742 Net prior period charges/credits 2,920 394 (112) 1,458 141 (568) Forex currency gains/(losses) - - - - - - Total other expenses 2,982 394 (112) 1,463 161 41,182 Profit/ (Loss) Before Tax 2,365 13,080 (1,129) (2,634) (2,749) (46,661) Current and deferred tax - - - - - - Net Profit/(Loss) after tax 2,365 13,080 (1,129) (2,634) (2,749) (46,661) Transfer to Balance Sheet 2,365 13,080 (1,129) (2,634) (2,749) (46,661) Source: TANTRANSCO 13
Cash flow statement (2013-2018) (₹million) Item 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 A. Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net profit/loss before tax and extraordinary items 2,365 13,080 (1,129) (2,634) (2,749) (46,661) Adjustment for: Depreciation 2,995 3,125 5,680 3,717 5,911 7,547 Interest income - - - - (0) (3) Interest paid 13,299 7,239 9,274 13,793 10,302 12,171 F/x gain/Loss - - - - - (377) Operating profit before working capital changes 18,658 23,444 13,825 14,877 13,464 (27,322) Adjustments for changes in: Trades & other receivables (46,080) (50,848) (60,382) (65,085) (40,015) (11,474) Stocks/Inventories (769) 26 112 2,179 823 (846) Short term loans and advances - - - - (44) 3 Other current assets - - - - (12) (13) Long term loans and advances - - - - 1,648 (152) Other long-term liabilities - - - - 2,486 2,870 Trade Payables - - - - 45,683 44,154 Other current liabilities 65,617 48,672 63,852 109,057 4,541 4,290 Short term provisions - - - - 119 579 Income tax - - - - - - Net cash flow from operating activities 37,426 21,295 17,407 61,028 28,693 12,089 B. Cash Flow from Investment Activities Investments in fixed assets (11,369) (30,482) (31,748) (142,184) (36,197) (29,175) Interest income - - - - 0 3 Proceeds from Sale of Assets 13 20 6 (15,917) - - Net cash used in investment activities (11,356) (30,461) (31,742) (158,101) (36,197) (29,172) C. Cash Flow from Financing Activities Share capital 5,069 1,690 8,711 11,044 - - Reserve fund 869 4,176 1,950 107,430 - - Changes in borrowings (18,748) 10,437 13,483 (8,011) 18,134 28,583 Interest paid (13,299) (7,239) (9,274) (13,793) (10,302) (12,171) Short-term borrowings - - - - - 1,121 Net cash used in financing activities (26,109) 9,063 14,870 96,670 7,832 17,533 Cash opening balance 465 425 322 857 449 776 Cash increase /(decrease) for the year (39) (103) 535 (403) 327 450 Cash closing balance 425 322 857 453 776 1,226 Source: TANTRANSCO 14
Balance sheet (2013-2018) (₹million) Item 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 ASSETS Current Assets Cash & cash equivalents 425 322 857 453 776 1,226 Stocks 4,444 4,418 4,306 2,127 1,304 2,150 Receivables against supply of power 52,078 67,410 81,146 97,366 1,864 2,662 Short-term loans and loan advances 102 106 140 316 365 363 Sundry receivables 44,013 83,083 130,024 178,867 203,949 66,025 Other current assets - - - - - 34 Inter-unit balance 1,023 (2,535) (2,865) (3,018) (6,458) (5,806) Total Current Assets 102,085 152,803 213,608 276,111 201,801 66,654 Non-current Assets Gross Fixed Assets 128,953 142,272 176,436 305,441 338,954 370,589 Less: Accumulated Depreciation (41,028) (44,140) (49,804) (37,580) (49,556) (63,166) Net fixed assets 87,925 98,131 126,632 267,861 289,398 307,423 Capital expenditure in progress 34,157 51,287 48,848 62,003 64,085 61,536 Long-term loans and advances - - - - - 305 Total Non-Current Assets 122,082 149,419 175,480 329,864 353,483 369,264 Rounding-off difference 0.10 0.00 (0.09) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Assets 224,167 302,222 389,088 605,975 555,284 435,919 LIABILITIES Current Liabilities Short term borrowings 6,274 6,274 6,274 - - 1,121 Other creditors/Trade payables - - - - - 175,174 Short term provisions (0) - - - - 1,589 Payment due on capital liabilities 906 499 262 5,641 94 206 Current portion- long-term borrowings - - - - 17,308 17,585 Other current liabilities 139,952 188,624 252,476 361,534 296,569 26,392 Total Current Liabilities 147,132 195,397 259,013 367,175 313,971 222,067 Non-Current Liabilities Loan from GoTN (JICA/KfW) - - - 7,826 - - FERV -Loan from GoTN (JICA/KfW) - - - 673 - - Long-term borrowings 82,537 93,381 107,101 99,985 115,674 144,257 Contributions, grants and subsidies 477 658 810 14,172 14,867 24,838 Total Non-Current Liabilities 83,014 94,039 107,911 122,656 130,541 169,095 Equity Equity share capital (Government) 28,409 30,099 38,810 41,355 41,355 47,414 Reserves and reserve funds 3,566 7,561 9,359 15,903 19,353 - Surplus (37,954) (24,874) (26,003) 11,681 8,932 (37,730) Revaluation reserve - - - 47,204 41,132 35,072 Total Equity (5,979) 12,786 22,165 116,144 110,772 44,757 Total Liabilities and Equity 224,167 302,222 389,088 605,975 555,284 435,919 Source: TANTRANSCO 15
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