AFRICA FOCUSSED TRANSITIONAL ENERGY GROUP ON THE DOORSTEP OF EUROPE
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Disclaimer and forward looking statements These Presentation Materials do not constitute or form part of any invitation, offer for sale or subscription or any solicitation for any offer to buy or subscribe for any securities in the Company nor shall they or any part of them form the basis of or be relied upon in any manner or for any purpose whatsoever. These Presentation Materials must not be used or relied upon for the purpose of making any investment decision or engaging in an investment activity and any decision in connection with a purchase of shares in the Company must be made solely on the basis of the publicly available information. Accordingly, neither the Company nor its directors makes any representation or warranty in respect of the contents of the Presentation Materials. The information contained in the Presentation Materials is subject to amendment, revision and updating in any way without notice or liability to any party. The presentation materials contain forward-looking statements which involve risk and uncertainties, and actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements depending on a variety of factors. All opinions expressed in these Presentation Materials are those solely of the Company unless otherwise stated. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein, which have not been independently verified. The delivery of these Presentation Materials shall not at any time or in any circumstance create any implication that there has been no adverse change, or any event reasonably likely to involve any adverse change, in the condition (financial or otherwise) of the Company since the date of these Presentation Materials. The Presentation Materials are confidential and being supplied to you for your own information and may not be reproduced, further distributed, passed on, or the contents otherwise divulged, directly or indirectly, to any other person (except the recipient’s professional advisers) or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose whatsoever. The Presentation Materials may not be used for the purpose of an offer or solicitation to subscribe for securities by anyone in any jurisdiction. 2
Africa Focused Transitional Energy Group on the Doorstep of Europe Significant Moroccan offshore gas development with the Develop, finance, build, and operate renewable energy projects potential to positively impact a growing economy, heavily selling lower cost, sustainable and reliable power to mining reliant on energy imports and coal: operations in Africa: • Successful appraisal and exploration well completed in • Working in partnership with Total Eren, Chariot hold rights for 2022, close to major gas pipeline into Europe up to 49% project equity in power projects • Net NPV10* US$900m & IRR* > 45% (pre-drill resource) • 1st renewable project completed and operational – 15 MW • Additional gas volumes discovered across 150m net pay • Two renewable projects in development - 470 MW • Targeting first gas production in 2024/2025 • Including one of the largest private sector projects in Africa • Chariot operator : 75% equity • Green Hydrogen project with up to 10 GW power potential Development of Gas Discoveries Material Delivering on Power Pipeline New Gas Basin De-risked Cashflows Green Hydrogen Project in Development 3 *Internal estimate base case supported by audited 2C 361Bcf resource, 70mmscfd, 8-15$/mcf to power, industry and Spain
Transitional Gas: Anchois Development + Access to European Gas Market • Morocco is a premium 1 Power SPAIN investment location with 2 Industry Pipelines world-class fiscal terms 3 Spain 3 Planned Pipelines Anchor Gas Offtake Chariot 3D Seismic key gas sales terms • Growing power and 2 Tangier Existing CCGT agreed; Downstream Rissana industrial demand 1 Partnering progressing underpin attractive local Lixus markets Further Upside: ALGERIA Access to European • Favourably located with ConocoPhillips Gas Market Predator existing gas SDX infrastructure RSD-1 1 Pre-Drill 2C Base Case 2 Kenitra Net NPV10 US$900m • 75% equity & operator 1 RABAT IRR > 45%* • Anchois has material 2 1 Mohammedia Sound gas resources, low 2 MOROCCO Repsol Pre-Drill 2C Base Case subsurface risk and can Casablanca >US$200m be developed through Annual Revenue* conventional technology PORTFOLIO, GAS INFRASTRUCTURE & GAS MARKET OPTIONALITY ESG & Sustainability at Anchois Spanish Gas Price MIBGAS Gas Price*** Morocco Power Generation by Fuel in 2019 70 Reduction of 360,000 (40 TWh Total) 60 tonnes CO2 per year** 50 USD / MMbtu 4% 16% 40 >90% of all primary 30 energy imported 12% 67% 20 1% Gas to fuel Industry 10 & Economic Growth Coal Oil Gas Hydro Renewables 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 Sources: IEA, ONEE, BP Energy Statistical Review, Gas Strategies, ONHYM, WLPGA 4 *Internal estimate base case supported by audited 2C 361Bcf resource, 70mmscfd, 8-15$/mcf to power, industry and Spain **Replacement of 300 MW of coal power generation with gas (c.50 mmscfd) using EIA estimate of 0.05 vs 0.09 tonnes of carbon per mmbtu (gas vs coal) ***https://www.mibgas.es/en (Weighted Average Gas Price: 10 day rolling average @ 1.19 USD/EUR )
Gas Drilling Campaign - Exploration & Appraisal Success Drilling campaign completed safely, on time and on budget Efficient Operation – Time vs Depth Chart 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Days 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 Anchois-2 appraisal & Wells suspended as 0 exploration well drilled in potential future producers 31 days 61 days Dec 2021 – Jan 2022 500 Wider prospectivity in 1,000 ~150m gas bearing different plays across the sands discovered across licence de-risked Depth (m MD) 1,500 7 reservoirs >96% methane consistent Comprehensive sub-surface 2,000 formation testing gas composition in all 2,500 programme including reservoirs requiring minimal Anchois-1 [2009] 12 gas samples processing; no impurities Wireline Evaluation 3,000 Anchois-2 [2022] (H2S or CO2) Anchois-1 Discovery Diagram Key PLIOCENE Well MIOCENE Anchois North 55m 150m (Footwall) Plie prospect Net Pay prospects de-risked Net Pay A Sand A Gas bearing sands Well design not optimised for A sands B De-risked volumes B Sand (Upper) in undrilled sands B Sand (Lower) C Water bearing C Gas Sands Significantly de-risked gas sands in adjacent fault blocks Gas in M Anchois-1 M Gas Sands Gas sample O Gas location O Sand Sands Good quality sand drilled at TD, WEST De-risking thick O sands in other targets EAST 5
Route to FID – Fast-tracking to Cashflow SUBSEA-TO-SHORE DEVELOPMENT Investment bank Progressing anchor gas appointed to lead debt sales under MoU for 40 financing mmscf/d - take or pay Building an international up to 20 years & Moroccan syndicate Opportunity to sell to provide project surplus into gas hungry financing European market Onshore Central Processing Facility Gas Flowline Future Drilling & Control Umbilical and tie-back Simple & standard construction and Initial Development development Water Depth Strategic partnering Front End Engineering c. 400m process open on and Design (FEED) Manifold development and project ready to exploration acreage commence Producer Wells Long term aligned Development partnership – collaboration opportunity for Partner agreement with SIA in upstream, opportunity for Chariot in downstream 2C CAPEX Repaid in
Low Risk Upsides in a Seismic-Supported Gas Plays ANCHOIS DEVELOPMENT HUB RISSANA Previously “prospective” OFFSHORE C & M sands – gas ~8,490km² discovery in Anchois-2 Anchois North LIXUS 6 OFFSHORE Anchois West Plie 4 9 ~1,794km² 3 5 8 2 7 1 Anchois Field 37 km 12” pipeline CPF Lixus Portfolio: Best Estimate Resources (Bcf Bcm) 5,000 140 78 km 4,500 pipeline 4,000 120 3,500 100 3,000 Anchois Discovery 2,500 80 Anchois Prospective 2,000 60 Prospect in 2019/ 1,500 2020 Portfolio 40 1,000 Prospect post-2020 Assessment 500 20 Sub-Nappe - Chariot prospect/lead Anchois Anchois Anchois Other Lixus Additional 0 Contingent Prospective Satellites Prospects Prospects Kenitra Rissana Portfolio NSAI PSDM* NSAI PSTM** Chariot Estimate*** Further material low-risk gas sands Potential multi TCF volumes in deeper play across the Lixus licence with similar seismic signature as the Anchois Anchois gas play extension onto discovery surrounding Rissana Licence 7 *Best estimate prospective resources as estimated by NSAI 2020 and 2019(**) All resource estimates are pre-Anchois-2 *** Best estimate prospective resources as estimated by Chariot 2021
Transitional Power: Clean Energy, Leverage & Returns Future Pipeline Example: 50 MW Solar Project** 51% 70% 30% Debt Equity Develop, finance, build, and operate 49%*** renewable energy projects selling lower cost, sustainable and reliable power to mining • c.US$50 M Capex operations in Africa • Take or Pay Long Term Projects developed with Total Eren contracts = low risk under long term partnership • Chariot’s equity share = Rights to project equity up to 49% c.US$7 M 1st renewable project completed • Revenue c.US$12m pa; and operational – 15 MW EBITDA c. US$ 9m pa Two renewable projects in • Target returns c.15% ROE development - 470 MW Total pipeline of mining projects heading towards 1 GW Evaluating strategic partnering at Sub Saharan Africa mining Existing project Transitional Power level to equity power demand 2020 Pipeline Project finance projects 2022 Pipeline Business Interest of Management Sources: :*World Bank 8 **Internal estimate, representative project size, assumed US$1M / MW capex, ***Current pipeline 15%, future pipeline up to 49%
Renewable Power Projects to Mines – Operational and In Development Essakane Solar – Burkina Faso – Operational Chariot holds equity of 10% in project 15 MW solar generation 130,000 PV panels Commenced operations 2018 Gold Mine Tharisa – South Africa – In Development Intention to take 49% equity in project 40 MW solar generation initially >40 year life of mine Platinum Mine First Quantum – Zambia – In Development Intention to take 15% equity in project 430 MW project – one of the largest private sector projects in Africa Contributing to carbon footprint reduction goal of 30% by 2025 Copper Mine 9
Growth of the Hydrogen Economy Global Hydrogen Market Forecast* Hydrogen is a key component of the energy by use - 2050 transition with huge market growth potential Goldman Sachs: “Once-in-a-generation opportunity” that could give rise to “€10 trillion market by 2050”** Green H2 is made through electrolysis using renewable energy only*** *Chart adapted from : Morgan Stanley in https://www.ft.com/content/7eac54ee-f1d1-4ebc-9573-b52f87d00240 10 ** Goldman Sachs (2020) Green Hydrogen – The next transformational driver of the utilities industry ***Diagram adapted from IRENA (2020) Green hydrogen: A guide to policy making
Mauritania & Green Hydrogen – Location, Location, Location Mauritania is exceptionally well- placed for green H2 production ✓ Access to markets – geographical proximity to Europe and existing deep-sea port at Nouadhibou ✓ PFS complete, confirms scale and potential – Nour could become one of largest projects globally by 2030 ✓ Excellent resources - MoU signed with potentially one of the Government of Mauritania lowest H2 production for green hydrogen costs in the world** development of up to 10 GW power potential ✓ Intention to carry out partnering process MoU signed with the Port with the objective to of Rotterdam for sales form a world-class into Europe consortium Sources:*https://globalwindatlas.info 11 **https://www.rechargenews.com/energy-transition/giga-scale-green-hydrogendevelopers-are-being-unrealistic-about-levelised-costs/2-1-1046646
Timeline & Value Triggers Lixus/Rissana Low Risk Gas Upside Strategic Partnering RISSANA GAS SALES FIRST RESERVES FID FID LICENCE AGREEMENTS GAS REPORT PRODUCTION AWARDED CONCESSION AWARDED ANCHOIS DRILLING GAS NEW FEED VENTURE DEBT CONSTRUCTION CAMPAIGN FINANCE v v v v v v v v v v v v v v v v 2024 / 2022 2023 2025 Essakane Operating FIRST GREEN NEXT QUANTUM HYDROGEN PROJECT CONSTRUCTION Operating MINERALS PARTNERING SIGNED PROJECT THARISA SOLAR NEXT STRATEGIC PROJECT PROJECT PARTNERING EPC AWARDED CONSTRUCTION Operating Additional New Ventures & Project Pipeline Heading Towards 1 GW 12
Mission & Principles Mission To create value and deliver positive change through investment in projects that are driving the energy revolution Values Positive Impact: • Environment • Local Communities • Employees • Shareholders Collaboration • Mutual Benefit • Balance • Knowledge Growth Integrity • Technical Excellence • Trusted • Transparent Pioneering • Enterprising • Agile • Challenge Convention Respect: • Engagement • Honesty • Culture 13
APPENDICES
Executive Directors Adonis Pouroulis Julian Maurice-Williams Duncan Wallace Chief Executive Officer Chief Financial Officer Technical Director • One of the founders of • Chartered Accountant with • Geologist with over 20 years Chariot, has worked in the over 15 years of experience in of experience in exploration sector for over 25 years the energy sector and production • Influential in the founding, • Significant experience in • Successfully identified and financing and growth of a financing, transactions and captured the Lixus Offshore number of companies, listed markets area in Morocco including Petra Diamonds • Previously with BDO LLP’s • Joined the board in July 2020 • Founder and chair of the Pella natural resources department Resources Group, an African • Joined the board in July 2020 focused natural resources and energy group • Member of the board since IPO, CEO since July 2020 15
Management Team Benoit Garrivier Pierre Raillard Laurent Coche David Brecknock Transitional Power CEO Morocco Country Director Business Development, Drilling Manager Transitional Power • 15 years of experience in • Over 25 years’ operational and • Over 25 years experience • Over 20 years’ experience in investment banking management experience in international development • Expert drilling manager both energy industry, specific • Specialised in strategic equity sector and sustainability onshore and offshore expertise in the development of financing transactions natural gas projects in Africa • Senior VP Sustainability • Managed deepwater and ultra- • Founded iNca Energy in 2009, (Africa) for AngloGold Ashanti deepwater drilling operations in • Previously Orca Energy Group, developing renewable energy Head of Business Morocco, Brazil, Cote d’Ivoire, • Previously led large-scale projects in South Africa Development. Key role in Gabon and Egypt energy programmes for the totalling 330 MW of bid-ready development of Songo Song UNDP in East and Western • Managed Chariot’s 2018 solar PV and 80 MW of bid- gas field, located offshore Africa for over a decade campaign ready wind projects Tanzania, which is analogous to Chariot’s Anchois gas • Co-founder of AEMP, since • Co-founder of AEMP, since project integrated into Chariot as integrated into Chariot as Chariot Transitional Power Chariot Transitional Power • Held leadership roles at African Petroleum Corporation, Perenco and OneLNG 16
Non Executive Directors George Canjar Chris Zeal Andrew Hockey Non-executive Chairman Non-executive Director Non-executive Director • Over 40 years with Shell, • Over 30 years’ experience • Over 35 years’ experience in Carrizo, Davis Petroleum and across a wide range of sectors the oil & gas industry, with Hess supervising exploration, and retained by over 20 specific expertise in the development and engineering FTSE100 companies including development and production of projects. Global experience British Gas, Cairn Energy and gas assets in the UKCS sector from offshore SE Asia to North Tullow Oil American onshore. • Founder & NED of Fairfield • Previously Managing Director Energy Ltd and previous • Broad functional experience at Jefferies Hoare Govett ( a experience with Eni, Fina, across the E&P sector with division of Jefferies Inc.) LASMO, Triton Energy and specific expertise in deal specialising in corporate Monument structuring, risk analysis, broking and investment strategic modelling and finance banking • Currently CEO of IOG, a UK- based Development and • Currently focused on • Director at Ventus 2 VCT plc, a Production Operator with transitional energy solutions company invested in assets in the Southern North including natural gas renewable energy Companies Sea gas basin renewables. in the UK 17
Why Africa? To create value and deliver positive change through investment in projects that are driving the energy revolution Projected world population by world region Africa: Gross Domestic Product (US$) WHY Asia AFRICA? Africa ”Africa to propel world’s population towards 10bn by 2050” Source: FT Our Role • Facilitates & balances shift to renewables • Reduces carbon footprint • Energy solution tailored for • Promotes domestic self- mining & industry in Africa sufficiency & energy security • Off grid remote locations • Hybrid & renewables • Environment • Green hydrogen • Local communities • Strengthens social licence • Employees to operate • Shareholders Pre-Drill Pipeline Net NPV10* Heading Towards US$900m 1 GW 18 Source: FT, UN, African Development Bank *Internal estimate base case supported by audited 2C 361Bcf resource, 70mmscfd, 8-15$/mcf to power, industry and Spain
Lixus Offshore – Exploration Upsides in a Seismic-Supported Gas Play ANCHOIS Pay Lithology Flag X SAND Z SAND A A Gas pay in the Anchois-1 A A SAND Anchois-1 and Anchois-2 (approx. Y SAND Anchois-2 150m net gas pay) wells B B SAND B B align with bright B C SAND (upper) amplitudes on seismic M SAND B data - seen across the M (lower) O satellite prospects that M O O SAND comprise the proposed C O? Anchois hub M 3D PSDM coverage LIXUS OFFSHORE O 100m MAQUEREAU CENTRAL – 478 BCF** (267 BCF*) 2020 MAQUEREAU HUB c.0.9 Tcf PSDM ANGUILLE – 235 BCF** Maquereau 2020 PSDM North LAR-1 Maquereau Central Merou-1 FULL ANCHOIS HUB c.2 Tcf Maquereau STACK South Anchois W & Anchois N Pliocene Anchois-1/2 FULL Pageot STACK Plie SHALLOW HUB c.0.5 Tcf Deep-Thon-1 Tombe Meduse Similar seismic signature in other Lixus hubs Anchois Discovery demonstrate the exploration upsides across the block Anchois Prospective Prospect in 2019/ 2020 Portfolio Anguille Prospect post-2020 Assessment Sub-Nappe prospect/lead *Best estimate prospective resources as estimated by NSAI 2020 and 2019 19 All resource estimates are pre-Anchois-2 ** Best estimate prospective resources as estimated by Chariot 2021
Anchois Development & Production Growth Analogues Cassiopea-Argo, Sicily Channel Poseidon, Gulf of Cadiz Corrib, NW Ireland • ENI Operated • Repsol Operated • Vermillion Operated (developed by Shell) • >600 Bcf Resources • 150 Bcf Resources • 600 Bcf Resources • 5-600m WD, 60km flowline, 5 wells • 75-150m WD, 30km offshore • 350m WD, 80km offshore • Development ongoing, 600 M$ CAPEX • Peak production 51 mmscfd in 2002 • CPF capacity 260 mmscfd • Peak production 200 mmscfd Anchois development plan uses well-established industry technology, with multiple international analogues Evidence from other African countries with developed gas resources demonstrates that once in production, internal gas markets (both industrial and power) develop to exploit that resource with strong growth in gas production. 20
Lixus Offshore: Pre-drill Independent Resource Assessment Pre-Drill Contingent Gas resources* (Bcf) Probability of Pre-Drill Prospective Gas resources (Bcf) Field / Prospect Geologic Success 1C* 2C* 3C* Mean (Pg) 1U 2U 3U Mean Anchois Discovery Anchois A sand* 65 114 175 117 N/A Anchois B sand* 136 247 375 252 N/A Anchois Contingent Resource* 201 361 550 369 N/A Anchois Prospective Anchois Deep (C sand) 60 164 284 168 64% Anchois Deep (M sand) 9 21 36 22 38% Anchois Deep (O sand) 225 358 481 362 37% Anchois Footwall (O sand) 90 147 212 149 46% Anchois Remaining Recoverable Resource 585 1051 1563 1070 Anchois Satellites Anchois N 140 308 492 297 43% Anchois W 45 89 134 86 35% Anchois NW 10 29 51 28 34% Anchois SW 42 101 165 98 28% Anchois WSW 22 61 110 60 23% Sub total 259 588 952 569 Additional Lixus Prospects Maquereau N 91 311 628 311 25% Maquereau C 73 267 559 276 25% Maquereau S 59 205 432 216 23% Tombe 60 154 280 153 19% Turbot 38 281 709 303 16% Sub total 321 1218 2608 1259 Total Remaining Recoverable Resource 1165 2857 5123 2898 21 Source: Estimates of Gross Contingent & Prospective Resources from NSAI Independent Resource Assessment 2019, 2020
Morocco Exploitation Concession 25 years 31% corporate 10 year corporate (extendable tax after 10 year tax holiday by 10 years) tax holiday no taxation of profits in first 10 years of production 3.5% royalty applies Royalty, rental, training, exploration, to gas from Anchois production and bonus expenditures (>200m water depth) are all tax deductible Key Figures Morocco Energy Consumption and GDP Growth (2000 to 2017) • GDP: US$119.7 billion; Annual Growth 2.5% • Population 36.4 million; Inflation 1.1% (2018) 1,000 • Major Industries: automotive parts, phosphate 800 mining and processing, aerospace, food processing, kWh/capita 600 leather goods, textiles, construction, energy, tourism. 400 • Constitutional monarchy; Robust Economy; Good 200 Trade Relations 0 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 • Country risk profile: BBB- GDP/capita 22 Sources: https://data.worldbank.org, https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/, IEA.
Transitional Power: Partner Information Total Eren is an Independent Power Producer which develops, finances, builds and operates over the long-term renewable energy power plants globally. 2012 - founded by Pâris Mouratoglou and David Corchia Shareholders 2020 % 2015 - €195 million capital increase from a diversified consortium of financial Eren Groupe Majority investors TotalEnergies 30% 2017 – TotalEnergies (formerly known as “Total S.A.”) acquires an indirect Bpifrance 12.3% interest in EREN RE by investing €237.5 million. EREN RE changes name to Total Eren. Tikehau Capital and FFP 7% Next World Group 4.4% 2019 - Total Eren acquires NovEnergia. TotalEnergies increases its stake in Total Eren to reach a total of almost 30% (directly and indirectly). Key Figures >€450 million in 100 power >3,500MW gross >4,000MW gross revenue in 2020 plants in operation capacity of renewable energy assets in operation capacity of projects under development or under construction or under construction in 20 countries >€1 billion in 500 >3,600 GWh of 5GW Global gross installed capacity targeted equity capital (Dec 2019) employees in electricity generated in 2020 by 2022 France and worldwide 23 Sources: https://www.total-eren.com/en/in-brief/
Synergies & Scalability c$1.5B 1 GW Pre-Drill 2C Net Cash Target project post-tax* pipeline 2022 c$900m 15 MW Pre-Drill 2C Essakane Net NPV10* (Gross) Chariot Portfolio Material upside Chariot Historic Sub-Saharan total beyond Anchois Interest electricity supply, development Executives Solar share Experience >3 Tcf 1760 TWH Morocco Solar 24% Infrastructure- 2040** led exploration Equity Placing + Strategic Partnering + Project Finance = 361 Bcf Material Cashflows 225 TWH Anchois Solar 1% Pre-Drill 2C 2018** Resource *Internal estimate base case supported by audited 2C 361Bcf resource, 70mmscfd, 8-15$/mcf to power, industry and Spain 24 **Source: IEA, Africa Energy Outlook 2019, Electricity supply by type, source and scenario in sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa), 2018 and 2040
Corporate Snapshot Key Shareholders Market Statistics Shareholders* % Total Board & Senior Management 10.8 Listing AIM, London Including Westward Investments Limited (A 10.3 Ticker Symbol CHAR Pouroulis - Director & Founder) YF Finance 3.1 Issued Shares (at 27 May 2022) 827,071,815 Share Price (at 27 May 2022) 20.5p Market Capitalisation (at 27 May 2022) US$212m Total Director / Employee share awards (at 31 36,998,021 December 2021)** 25 *Figures as per latest Orient Capital share holding analysis (16.03.2022) **Unaudited
You can also read