Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF

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Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Absa Africa Financial
                                             Markets Index 2021
                                                      Potential lives here

Pictured: Grand Bai (Pereybere) Mauritius
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
The Absa Africa Financial Markets              Absa Group Limited (‘Absa Group’) is listed on the
Index was produced by OMFIF in                 Johannesburg Stock Exchange and is one of Africa’s
association with Absa Group Limited.           largest diversified financial services groups.
The scores on p.7 and elsewhere
                                               Absa Group offers an integrated set of products and
record the total result (max = 100) of
                                               services across personal and business banking, corporate
assessments across Pillars 1-6. For
                                               and investment banking, wealth and investment
methodology, see individual Pillar
                                               management and insurance.
assessments and p.42-43.
                                               Absa Group has a presence in 12 countries in Africa, with
OMFIF conducted extensive
                                               approximately 42,000 employees.
quantitative research and data
analysis. Qualitative survey data were         The Group’s registered head office is in Johannesburg,
collected and analysed by OMFIF.               South Africa, and it owns majority stakes in banks
                                               in Botswana, Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique,
© 2021 The Absa Group Limited and
                                               Seychelles, South Africa, Tanzania (Absa Bank Tanzania
OMFIF Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
                                               and National Bank of Commerce), Uganda and Zambia.
                                               The Group also has representative offices in Namibia and
                                               Nigeria, as well as insurance operations in Botswana,
                                               Kenya, Mozambique, South Africa, Tanzania and Zambia.
Absa Project Team
                                               For further information about Absa Group Limited, please
Fiona Kigen, Vice-President:                   visit www.absa.africa
Marketing, Investment Banking,
Erica Bopape, Head of Marketing,
Investment Banking, Andile                     The Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum is
Makholwa, Vice-President:                      an independent think tank for central banking, economic
External Communications, CIB,                  policy and public investment – a non-lobbying network
Phumza Macanda, Group Head of                  for best practice in worldwide public-private sector
Media Relations, Jerome Raman,                 exchanges. At its heart are Global Public Investors –
Communications Manager, CIB,                   central banks, sovereign funds and public pension funds
Benedict Maaga, Head of Integrated             – with investable assets of $42tn, equivalent to 43% of
Communications, CIB, Varini Chetty,            world GDP. With offices in both London and Singapore,
Digital Lead, CIB, Gerald Katsenga,            OMFIF focuses on global policy and investment themes
Head of Corporate Sales, ARO                   – particularly in asset management, capital markets
Markets                                        and financial supervision/regulation – relating to central
                                               banks, sovereign funds, pension funds, regulators
                                               and treasuries. OMFIF promotes higher standards,
OMFIF Editorial, Meetings and                  invigorating exchanges between the public and private
Marketing Team                                 sectors and a better understanding of the world
                                               economy, in an atmosphere of mutual trust.
Clive Horwood, Managing Editor
and Deputy Chief Executive                     For further information about OMFIF, please visit
Officer, Simon Hadley, Director,               www.omfif.org
Production, William Coningsby-
Brown, Production Manager, Sarah
Moloney, Subeditor, Stefan Berci,
Communications Manager, James
Fitzgerald, Marketing Manager,
Ben Rands, Director of Events,
Sasha Stileman, Events Manager,
Jamie Bulgin, Relationship Director,
Economic and Monetary Policy
Institute, Emma McGarthy, Head of
Policy Analysis, Sustainability

2 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Contents
Forewords4-5                                                 Pillar 4:
Introduction6-7                                              Capacity of local investors
                                                              
Executive summary                                   8-11     Examines the size of local
                                                              investors, assessing the level of
Contains country comparisons and highlights                   local demand against supply of
opportunities and challenges for the region’s financial       assets available in each market.
markets.

Acknowledgements10
Highlights
           12-13
                                                                                                                  30-33

  Pillar 1:
  Market depth
                                                              Pillar 5:
  
  Examines size, liquidity and                                Macroeconomic
  depth of markets and diversity                              opportunity
  of products in each market,
  including the availability of                               Assesses countries’ economic
  sustainable finance products.                               prospects using metrics
                                                              on growth, debt, export
                                                              competitiveness, banking sector
                                                              risk and availability of macro data.

                                                   14-21
                                                                                                                  34-37

  Pillar 2:
  Access to foreign exchange
                                                              Pillar 6: Enforceability of
  
  Assesses the ease with which
                                                              standard master agreements
  foreign investors can deploy and                            
  repatriate capital in the region.                           Tracks the commitment to
                                                              international financial master
                                                              agreements, enforcement of
                                                              netting and collateral positions
                                                              and the strength of insolvency
                                                              frameworks.
                                                   22-25

  Pillar 3:
  Market transparency, tax                                                                                        38-41
  and regulatory environment
                                                           Indicators and Methodology                           42-43
  Evaluates the tax and regulatory
  frameworks in each jurisdiction,
                                                            
  including measures to support
  sustainable financial markets,
  as well as the level of financial
  stability and transparency of
  financial information.
                                                   26-29

                                                                                Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 3
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Forewords
                                                                                           Jason Quinn
                                                                                           Interim Chief
                                                                                           Executive Officer,
                                                                                           Absa Group

Aim of index                                   Benefiting people and planet
African economies are                          In today’s uncertain socioeconomic climate, one constant
undergoing a significant                       is the need globally to ensure that sustainable economic
                                               growth benefits people and the planet. Now more than
period of transition and                       ever, governments, businesses and organisations are called
                                               upon to provide leadership that actively demonstrates a
appraisal, with growing                        commitment to cultivating a healthy, thriving society.
foreign investment                             The repercussions of the Covid-19 pandemic and the slow
interest and much                              pace of the vaccination roll-out continue to be a major
                                               challenge for growth on the continent. While initiatives
examination of the                             such as the African Continental Free Trade Area are
                                               encouraging, progress needs to be faster to address many
continent’s potential for                      of the historical challenges and provide an opportunity for
mobilising local resources.                    Africa to build continental resilience.

Now in its fifth year,                         As a pan-African bank, we firmly believe that financial
                                               market development can play a vital role in increasing
the index has become                           Africa’s resilience to shocks and improve the continent’s
                                               chances of having a sustainable recovery.
a benchmark for the
                                               We are extremely proud of the annual Absa Financial
investment community                           Markets Index report, which has become a critical toolkit
and Africa generally                           for countries seeking to strengthen their financial markets
                                               infrastructure. Now in its fifth year, the index records
to gauge countries’                            countries’ openness to foreign investment and is an
performance across                             objective indicator of the attractiveness of Africa’s capital
                                               markets, intended for use by policy-makers, investors and
a host of indicators                           asset managers around the world.
important for financial                        At the core of AFMI is a push towards deeper financial
                                               markets that are open, transparent and accessible and
market development.                            facilitate the mobilisation of savings towards investment in
                                               productive assets.
                                               The introduction of sustainability-focused indicators and
                                               the improved focus on green finance will ensure that the
                                               index remains an essential resource for investor, business
                                               and governance communities to gauge the performance of
                                               financial markets in Africa.
                                               We believe in the continent’s potential for growth and our
                                               partnership with OMFIF to produce this index demonstrates
                                               our commitment to investing in Africa and shaping its
                                               growth and sustainability.

4 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
David Marsh                                                               Vera Songwe
                                      Chairman, OMFIF                                                           UN Under-Secretary-
                                                                                                                General and Executive
                                                                                                                Secretary of the
                                                                                                                Economic Commission
                                                                                                                for Africa

Platform for resilience                                          Integration and co-operation
When OMFIF and Absa decided to create the Africa Financial       The United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
Markets Index in 2016, we had two principal purposes in          supports the long-term development of Africa’s financial
mind. The first was to develop a first-rate comparative tool     markets. A robust and competitive market environment
to measure African countries’ financial market progress. The     builds investor confidence, stimulates job creation and
second was to set benchmark objectives for improving the         creates opportunities for growth.
capability of financial markets to spur growth, investment
                                                                 The Absa Africa Financial Markets Index is a valuable tool
and prosperity.
                                                                 for measuring progress and encouraging initiatives that
The last 18 months have been difficult. The scars of 2020-       enhance investment and economic expansion. The fifth
21 show clearly in the sharp fall in average scores, although    edition of this index comes at a time when demonstrating
some of this is due to methodological changes. But the           the continent’s deep potential has become even more
need for the index has never been better illuminated. Africa     important, providing a useful overview of recent
has built a platform for resilience, displayed in constructive   advancements and innovations in countries across the
detail in this year’s findings and countries’ ability to adapt   region.
to a world in transition.
                                                                 Africa responded to the Covid-19 crisis with resilience
Covid-19 has had a bigger negative impact in Africa              and tenacity, but challenges remain. The continent lost
than elsewhere. Exacerbated social pressures, volatile           many jobs during the pandemic. Governments face fiscal
commodity prices, worries about rising US interest               difficulties and debt pressures. Countries in the region
rates and fears that Africa could be squeezed by Sino-           are vulnerable to the consequences of climate change,
US competition compound the challenges. On the other             as demonstrated by the drought in East Africa and other
hand, although individual countries have needed debt             weather-related disturbances.
restructuring, Africa has not had to weather a full-scale
                                                                 Beneath these challenges lies Africa’s inherent ability to
financial crisis.
                                                                 surmount them. During a period of uncertainty, investor
The IMF and multilateral development banks have made             optimism in the region stays firm, indicating that Africa is
exceptional efforts to help emerging and frontier markets        still seen as a desirable region for investment. The index
weather the pandemic, underlined by international                and its new focus on environmental, social and governance
consensus on a $650bn special drawing right allocation.          factors reflect the urgency of aligning markets with broader
International reserve liquidity has held up relatively well,     sustainability objectives. Capital markets will have a crucial
with the assets of African global public investors rising.       role to play in climate action and closing investment gaps in
                                                                 Africa.
Three positive factors shine out from the findings. First,
Africa is paying more attention than ever to adapting            Integration and intra-regional cooperation will continue
market standards to meet the needs of international              to be an important element of Africa’s path to recovery
investors seeking to diversify risks. Second, deepening          and prosperity. Earlier this year, trading in the African
local financial markets is now universally seen as an            Continental Free Trade Area began. The single continental
optimal means of hedging against international economic          market will expand intra-African trade and unlock industrial
fluctuations. Third, African countries are embracing             capacity. Similarly, efforts to integrate the region’s capital
sustainable finance, incorporating international investment      markets and encourage cross-border investment will boost
norms and in some cases adopting pioneering methods.             growth. Tracking these developments through the index is
Africa’s improved financial market resilience makes the          a valuable exercise, providing a meaningful assessment of
continent better equipped to forge a brighter future.            the continent’s progression.

                                                                                        Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 5
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Pictured: Sunrise over the Masai Mara, Kenya

Introduction
Future-proofing Africa’s financial markets

As the global economy struggles to recover from the         As part of its aim to encourage progress, this year’s index
worst health crisis in a century, African economies face    introduces new indicators that acknowledge the role of
the twin challenges of reinvigorating financial markets     sustainable finance in expanding capital markets and
while strengthening market infrastructure through           achieving broader socio-economic goals. The introduction
technological innovation and investment-enabling            of sustainability-focused indicators weighs down scores,
policies. The pandemic has reinforced the importance of     especially for countries at a much earlier stage of market
deepening domestic markets to hedge against foreign         development. However, as with all indicators used across
capital outflows and help the region achieve its full       the index, the new measures serve as targets for countries
potential.                                                  to work towards.
Average scores declined to 46.4 from 50.8 last year, with   In addition to a stronger, forward-looking focus on
only seven countries earning above 50. Malawi, Egypt        sustainability and green finance, the index recognises
and Uganda are among the countries that improved            the role of digital technology and innovation in future-
their ranking the most. Advancements in establishing        proofing Africa’s financial markets. The report highlights
the enforceability of global contractual frameworks         countries’ efforts to upgrade market infrastructure and
lift Malawi’s and Uganda’s scores. Reforms in Egypt         regulatory support for the development of technology-
continue to boost its macroeconomic prospects, and its      based tools. While these initiatives do not directly
management of reserves has ensured its ability to meet      impact scores, they demonstrate how countries can use
foreign currency demand.                                    innovation to boost local markets and build a broader
                                                            investor base.
While challenging market conditions affected country
scores, most drops are attributed to methodological
changes adopted to better reflect country performance
and evolving trends in financial markets. The index, now
in its fifth year, benefits from continued engagement
with policy-makers, regulators, market participants and
industry experts providing the latest information about
developments in the region.

6 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Rank                                         Score
                                Country                                                           Comments
  2021       2020                                 2021   2020

                                                                Consistently strong performance across pillars hampered by
    1          1                 South Africa     86     89
                                                                weak economic growth

    2          2                   Mauritius      70     79     Robust legal and market environment dampened by low liquidity

    3          3                       Nigeria    63     65     Attractive regulatory and market environment

    4          6                        Ghana     62     59     Strong contractual frameworks but relatively low pension assets per capita

    5         10                       Uganda     57     52     Large pension fund assets under management, but illiquid markets

    6          4                   Botswana       51     63     Market growth offset by weaker FX reserves position

    7          9                       Zambia     51     53     Revival in investor confidence boosted government bond market

    8          5                       Namibia    48     61     Liquid market and deep pension assets

    9         14                        Egypt     48     50     High equities turnover and strong macroeconomic performance

                                                                Adoption of Global Master Repurchase Agreement expected to boost cross-
   10         18                       Malawi     48     37
                                                                border repo

   11          7                        Kenya     47     58     Progress in sustainable finance supports market development

                                                                Market depth improved by wide range of sustainable financial products
   12          8                       Morocco    47     56
                                                                available

   13         12                   Tanzania       45     50     Export market growth improves macroeconomic outlook

   14         13                       Rwanda     43     50     Promising growth outlook and higher level of FX reserves

   15         15                       Eswatini   39     49     Growth in FX reserves strengthens position

                                                                Improving market environment and local investor capacity despite exchange
   16         11                  Seychelles      38     51
                                                                rate volatility

   17         16                  Ivory Coast     38     43     Wider range of financial products available

   18         17                 Mozambique       35     43     Improvements in adopting International Financial Reporting Standards

   19         19                       Senegal    34     37     Strong economic growth forecast but weak market environment

   20         22                       Angola     33     30     Floating exchange rate and minimal intervention aid response to shocks

   21         20                       Lesotho    30     33     High withholding tax rates weaken market environment

   22         21                   Cameroon       29     32     Merger with regional stock exchange attracts new listing

   23         23                       Ethiopia   25     27     Concrete steps to launch securities exchange

Score across all pillars, max = 100.

                                                                                                        Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 7
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Executive summary
Innovation in financial markets

The Absa Africa Financial Markets Index evaluates                        equities, contributes to the score for market depth.
financial market development in 23 countries, and                        Policies that encourage the issuance and trading of
highlights economies with the most supportive                            these products, as well as those that intend to mitigate
environment for effective markets. The aim is to                         against climate-related financial risks, form part of the
show present positions, as well as how economies                         score for regulatory environment.
can improve market frameworks to bolster investor                        OMFIF conducted extensive research using data from
access and sustainable growth. The index assesses                        central banks, securities exchanges and international
countries according to six pillars: market depth; access                 financial institutions. OMFIF surveyed over 50 policy-
to foreign exchange; market transparency, tax and                        makers, regulators and executives from financial
regulatory environment; capacity of local investors;                     institutions operating across the 23 countries, including
macroeconomic opportunity; and enforceability of                         banks, securities exchanges, central banks, regulators,
financial contracts.                                                     audit and accounting firms, and international financial
In its fifth year, the index is expanding with the                       and development.
introduction of new indicators. The availability of
sustainable finance products, such as green bonds and                    Continued on p.10 >>

       Angola (33)             Botswana (51)             Cameroon (29)         Egypt (48)            Eswatini (39)          Ethiopia (25)
 38                      55                        28                    42                     24                    11
 40                      29                        31                    79                     59                    28
 54                      61                        34                    60                     37                    28
 12                      60                        15                    18                     41                    10
 41                      76                        57                    82                     64                    62
 10                      25                        10                    10                     10                    10

       Ghana (62)              Ivory Coast (38)          Kenya (47)            Lesotho (30)          Malawi (48)            Mauritius (70)
 50                      34                        46                    11                     33                    57
 59                      55                        45                    48                     44                    55
 75                      55                        79                    50                     56                    83
 21                      11                        24                    13                     18                    68
 65                      62                        62                    52                     55                    67
 100                     10                        28                    10                     80                    90

       Morocco (47)            Mozambique (35)           Namibia (48)          Nigeria (63)          Rwanda (43)            Senegal (34)
 53                      38                        32                    62                     30                    36
 40                      44                        44                    20                     61                    46
 73                      42                        41                    86                     67                    43
 39                      18                        100                   44                     15                    11
 64                      52                        64                    69                     64                    59
 10                      18                        10                    100                    18                    10

                                                                                                                     KEY
       Seychelles (38)         South Africa (86)         Tanzania (45)         Uganda (57)           Zambia (51)
                                                                                                                      Market depth
 29                      97                        45                    45                     37                    Access to foreign exchange
                                                                                                                      Market transparency, tax
 38                      80                        59                    61                     50                    and regulatory environment
 57                      84                        66                    60                     69                    Capacity of local investors
                                                                                                                      Macroeconomic opportunity
 31                      77                        23                    16                     18
                                                                                                                      Legality and enforceability
 62                      77                        65                    70                     47                    of standard financial
                                                                                                                      markets master agreements
 10                      100                       10                    90                     85
                                                                                                                      (xx) = overall score

8 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Overall   Pillar 1:
          Market depth
                                  Pillar 2:
                                  Access to foreign
                                                                Pillar 3: Market
                                                                transparency, tax and

pillar                            exchange                      regulatory environment

          South Africa      97    South Africa        80        Nigeria                     86
scores    Nigeria
          Mauritius
                            62
                            57
                                  Egypt
                                  Rwanda
                                                      79
                                                      61
                                                                South Africa
                                                                Mauritius
                                                                                            84
                                                                                            83

max       Botswana
          Morocco
                            55
                            53
                                  Uganda
                                  Tanzania
                                                      61
                                                      59
                                                                Kenya
                                                                Ghana
                                                                                            79
                                                                                            75

= 100     Ghana
          Kenya
                            50
                            46
                                  Eswatini
                                  Ghana
                                                      59
                                                      59
                                                                Morocco
                                                                Zambia
                                                                                            73
                                                                                            69
          Uganda            45    Mauritius           55        Rwanda                      67
          Tanzania          45    Ivory Coast         55        Tanzania                    66
          Egypt             42    Zambia              50        Botswana                    61
          Angola            38    Lesotho             48        Uganda                      60
          Mozambique        38    Senegal             46        Egypt                       60
          Zambia            37    Kenya               45        Seychelles                  57
          Senegal           36    Mozambique          44        Malawi                      56
          Ivory Coast       34    Malawi              44        Ivory Coast                 55
          Malawi            33    Namibia             44        Angola                      54
          Namibia           32    Morocco             40        Lesotho                     50
          Rwanda            30    Angola              40        Senegal                     43
          Seychelles        29    Seychelles          38        Mozambique                  42
          Cameroon          28    Cameroon            31        Namibia                     41
          Eswatini          24    Botswana            29        Eswatini                    37
          Lesotho           11    Ethiopia            28        Cameroon                    34
          Ethiopia          11    Nigeria             20        Ethiopia                    28

          Pillar 4:               Pillar 5:                     Pillar 6: Enforceability
          Capacity of             Macroeconomic                 of standard master
          local investors         opportunity                   agreements

          Namibia           100   Egypt               82        Ghana                       100
          South Africa      77    South Africa        77        Nigeria                     100
          Mauritius         68    Botswana            76        South Africa                100
          Botswana          60    Uganda              70        Uganda                      90
          Nigeria           44    Nigeria             69        Mauritius                   90
          Eswatini          41    Mauritius           67        Zambia                      85
          Morocco           39    Tanzania            65        Malawi                      80
          Seychelles        31    Ghana               65        Kenya                       28
          Kenya             24    Morocco             64        Botswana                    25
          Tanzania          23    Rwanda              64        Rwanda                      18
          Ghana             21    Namibia             64        Mozambique                  18
          Mozambique        18    Eswatini            64        Egypt                       10
          Malawi            18    Kenya               62        Tanzania                    10
          Zambia            18    Ivory Coast         62        Morocco                     10
          Egypt             18    Seychelles          62        Namibia                     10
          Uganda            16    Ethiopia            62        Eswatini                    10
          Cameroon          15    Senegal             59        Ivory Coast                 10
          Rwanda            15    Cameroon            57        Seychelles                  10
          Lesotho           13    Malawi              55        Ethiopia                    10
          Angola            12    Mozambique          52        Senegal                     10
          Ivory Coast       11    Lesotho             52        Cameroon                    10
          Senegal           11    Zambia              47        Lesotho                     10
          Ethiopia          10    Angola              41        Angola                      10

                                                       Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 9
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 - Potential lives here - OMFIF
Acknowledgements
We consulted more than 50 policy-makers, regulators and market
practitioners across African financial markets in writing this
report, whom we thank for their views and opinions. Although
some requested anonymity, we thank the following:

Organisations                       Financial Services Regulatory
                                    Authority, Eswatini
Banco de Fomento Angola
                                    Johannesburg Stock Exchange
Bank of Mauritius
                                    Market Infrastructure and
Bank of Namibia
                                    OTC Markets department of
Bank of Uganda                      the Financial Sector Conduct
Bank of Zambia                      Authority, South Africa
Bankers Association of Zambia       Mauritius Commercial Bank
Bolsa de Dívida e Valores de        Merj Exchange, Seychelles
Angola                              Ministry of Finance, Trade
Botswana Stock Exchange             Investment and Economic
Capital Markets Authority,          Planning, Seychelles
Kenya                               Nairobi Securities Exchange
Capital Markets Authority,          Nigerian Exchange Group
Uganda
                                    Reserve Bank of Malawi
Capital Markets Commission,
Angola                              Securities and Exchange
                                    Commission, Ghana
Casablanca Stock Exchange,
Morocco                             Securities and Exchange                 Pictured: Eygpt
                                    Commission, Nigeria
Central Bank of Eswatini
                                    Securities and Exchange
Central Bank of Seychelles          Commission, Zambia
Debt Management Office,             Seychelles Ministry of Finance
Nigeria                             Stock Exchange of Mauritius         The report finds that:
Eswatini Stock Exchange             Uganda Securities Exchange

Individuals
                                                                        
                                                                          South Africa, Mauritius and Nigeria maintain
Adebayo Araoye, Capital Markets and Accounting Advisory
                                                                        their lead in the index, despite having lower overall
Services, PricewaterhouseCoopers Nigeria                                scores than last year’s. Ghana and Uganda enter
David Fernandes-Collett, Chief Operating Officer, Global                the top five for the first time, both earning points
Markets - Absa Regional Operations                                      for progress in the enforceability of standard
Jeff Gable, Head of Macro and Fixed Income Research, Absa               master agreements. Seychelles had a challenging
Abeku Gyan-Quansah, Partner/Director, PricewaterhouseCoopers Ghana      year, experiencing severe exchange rate volatility.
Ingrid Hagen, Vice President of Strategic Projects, Frontclear          It falls five places in the index, the only country
Anthony Kirui, Director, Head of Global Markets - Absa Regional         with scores falling in all six pillars.
Operations & Head of Global Markets - Absa Bank Kenya
Jacqueline Irving, Senior Sector Economist, Sector Economics
                                                                        
                                                                          Few countries manage to score over 50 in Pillar
and Development Impact Department, International Finance                1: Market depth. Low liquidity impacted marks,
Corporation, World Bank Group                                           with total equity turnover ratio in the index for
Vipin Mahabirsingh, Managing Director, Central Depository and           the 12 months leading to June declining by five
Settlement Company, Mauritius                                           percentage points. Market capitalisation rose in
Moremi Marwa, Chief Executive Officer, Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange     almost all countries in the index, but not enough
Prosscovia Nambatya, Corporate Finance Lawyer                           to offset weak activity.
Birgit Reuter, Financial Officer, Global Macro and Market Research
Department, International Finance Corporation, World Bank Group         
                                                                          Nine countries have introduced products that
Peter Werner, Senior Counsel, International Swaps and Derivatives       can be classified as green or sustainable. Green
Association                                                             bonds are the most popular instrument, available
                                                                        in seven countries either in exchanges or over
Report authors
                                                                        the counter. Kenya and Morocco score highest
Kat Usita, Head of Reports and Surveys                                  in this indicator for having green or sustainable
Natalia Ospina, Head of Policy Analysis, Sustainable Policy Institute   bonds, equities and mutual funds in their
Chevano Baker, Policy Analyst                                           markets. Additionally, Kenya has issued ethical
Mausi Owolabani, Policy Analyst                                         securities to fund socially responsible investment
With support from Brendan Kiy, Research Assistant                       opportunities.

10 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021

  Securities exchanges across the region are innovating      improve. The number of tax treaties that incentivise
their platforms to encourage greater retail participation    foreign investment increased in 14 countries.
and ease listing processes. Rwanda developed eSub, a
platform enabling people to buy and sell government
                                                             
                                                               Countries struggled in Pillar 4: Capacity of local
securities using their mobile devices. In Seychelles, Merj   investors, averaging a score of 31. Namibia tops the
Exchange has an online listing process that does not         pillar once again, earning full marks for having a deep
require the submission of physical documents.                pension market relative to the size of its population and
                                                             securities market. However, 18 of the 23 countries failed

 Eswatini moves up 11 places in Pillar 2: Access to          to score over 50, indicating weak potential on the part of
foreign exchange. Foreign exchange reserves by grew          domestic pensions markets to drive local market activity.
by 24%, strengthening its position relative to total
portfolio investment flows. Liquidity in FX markets,
                                                             
                                                               Countries performed best in Pillar 5: Macroeconomic
measured through interbank figures, weakened across          outlook, achieving an average score of 62. Egypt
countries and pulled down the average score by 2.8.          regains the lead, propelled by gross domestic product
                                                             growth in 2020 while most other economies in the index

  Nearly all countries’ scores dropped in Pillar 3: Market   contracted. All countries in the index score full points
transparency, tax and regulatory, mainly due to weak         for budget transparency, although there is variation in
scores in sustainability indicators. South Africa is the     the level of detail that governments publish.
only country to have adopted climate risk as part of
its macroprudential stress testing framework. Nine
                                                             
                                                              Ghana, Nigeria and South Africa earn full points in
countries have policies that incentivise the issuance        Pillar 6: Enforceability of standard master agreements.
of sustainable financial products, including Kenya,          The Bank of Ghana issued notice recognising netting
whose Green Bonds Programme is encouraging the               arrangements for transactions using global standard
development of a green bond market domestically as           documentation.
well as across East Africa.                                  
                                                              Uganda, in fourth place, enacted legislation late last

 Survey respondents expressed concern about the              year with provisions for enforcing close-out netting and
quality of financial reporting and lack of oversight to      collateral arrangements.

                                                                                Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 11
Highlights 2020-21

Angola enacted                                  The Egyptian Exchange        Botswana‘s Non-Bank
its Insolvency and                              launched a Treasury Bonds    Financial Institutions
Corporate Recovery Law                          Index to help investors      Regulatory Authority
and amended its Private                         track the performance of     published regulations for
Investment Law.                                 securities traded.           online securities trading.

The Ethiopian parliament enacted
the capital markets establishment
proclamation to pave the way for the
creation of a securities exchange.

South Africa is reforming
its regulatory framework
for OTC derivatives.                                             Zambia established a
                                                                 Capital Markets Tribunal to
Cameroon extended the three-year
tax breaks for companies listed on                               speed up dispute resolution
the Bourse des Valeurs Mobilières de                             and settlement within the
l’Afrique Centrale to last for as long as                        securities market.
they are still on the exchange.

                                                               The Stock Exchange of Mauritius
  Kenya raised $740m through                                   launched its Venture Market, a
  the issuance of a 21-year                                    platform for shareholders of unlisted
                                                               companies to trade their securities.
  infrastructure bond.
                                                               The Casablanca Stock Exchange launched
                                                               the Morocco Stock Index 20 to aid
                                                               investors in monitoring performance of
                                                               the 20 most-traded listings.

                                                               The Malawi Stock Exchange launched
                                                               a Whatsapp portal to publicise
                                                               information about securities listed and
                                                               how to investment in them.

12 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
Market developments and policy changes boost growth
                                      of financial markets across the continent

Namibia’s Financial Institutions
and Markets Act was signed into
law, updating the legal framework
regulating financial institutions.

Nigeria’s Securities and Exchange
Commission approved guidelines for           Tanzania launched a new
trading derivatives on the Nigerian Stock    Treasury bond with a 25-
Exchange.
                                             year maturity, lengthening
Energicotel became the first                 its yield curve.
SME to list on the Rwanda
Stock Exchange.

The Bourse Régionale des Valeurs
Mobilières, which covers Cameroon and
Senegal, has been made a full member of     Uganda is linking together the central
the World Federation of Stock Exchanges.    securities depository of the central bank
                                            and the stock exchange to facilitate
Sekhametsi Investment Consortium is         retail trading of government securities.
preparing to become the first company to
list on Lesotho’s Maseru Stock Exchange.
                                            Eswatini’s Financial Services Regulatory
                                            Authority updated its regulatory
                                            framework to create a broader capital
                                            market product offering.

                                            Ghana’s Securities and Exchange
                                            Commission launched a 10-year capital
                                            markets master plan to increase product
  The Central Bank of                       diversity and widen its investor base.
  Seychelles is working with
  the government to set up                  Mozambique’s investment law was
  a secondary market for                    amended to increase the minimum
  government securities.                    value required for foreign direct
                                            investments.

                                                          Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 13
Pillar 1:
Market depth

Pictured: Vineyard in Stellenbosch, South Africa

14 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
Restoring dynamism

Survey respondents identified weaker market liquidity and new developments in regulation as the
two most significant changes in the market over the past year.

Figure 1.1: Lower turnover weighed on scores
Scores for Pillar 1 categories, max = 500; harmonised score, max = 100 (RHS)

500                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     100
450                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     90
400                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     80
350                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     70
300                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     60
250                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     50
200                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     40
150                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     30
100                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     20
 50                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10
  0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                                             Namibia
                                                                                                                                  Zambia
                                           Botswana

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Eswatini
                                                                                                                                                                    Malawi
      South Africa
                     Nigeria
                               Mauritius

                                                      Morocco
                                                                Ghana
                                                                        Kenya

                                                                                         Tanzania
                                                                                                    Egypt
                                                                                                            Angola
                                                                                                                     Mozambique

                                                                                                                                            Senegal
                                                                                                                                                      Ivory Coast

                                                                                                                                                                                       Rwanda

                                                                                                                                                                                                             Cameroon

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Ethiopia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Lesotho
                                                                                Uganda

                                                                                                                                                                                                Seychelles

                                                      Product diversity                                                                    Size of markets
                                                      Liquidity                                                                            Depth
                                                      Primary dealer system                                                                Pillar 1 harmonised score (RHS)
                                                      2020 score (RHS)

Source: AFMI survey 2021, national central banks, national stock exchanges, national capital market authorities, IMF,
World Federation of Exchanges, OMFIF analysis.
Note: Category scores (LHS) provide the average of indicator scores within each category. The harmonised score (RHS)
represents the average of all Pillar 1 indicators and is used to compile the total for Pillars 1-6.
More information on p.42-43.

                                                                                                                                                                                       Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 15
Pillar 1 evaluates the size and                 up) as the market incorporates           of Mauritius] a more compelling
liquidity of domestic capital markets,          the Covid-19 pandemic effects in         capital-raising and listing platform
along with the diversity of listed              securities pricing.’                     for niche international issuers.’
asset classes and the existence of
                                                Growth in Egypt’s equity market          Between mid-2020 and mid-2021,
standard features that enhance
                                                liquidity stands out when compared       market capitalisation plummeted in
market depth. On average, countries’
                                                to the average performance of            the Bourse des Valeurs Mobilières
scores dropped by 1 point when
                                                the other countries in the index.        de l’Afrique Centrale, the Stock
compared to last year. Low equity
                                                The total value of equities traded       Exchange of Central Africa.
turnover played a significant role in
                                                increased by 68% year-on-year,           However, new listings could help
this deterioration.
                                                reaching $21.7bn up from $12.9bn.        the exchange pick up momentum.
                                                The turnover ratio was 51%, 16           The BVMAC had its first initial public
Reduced activity
                                                percentage points higher than            offering since it merged with the
In total, equity market turnover as a           last year. In March 2021, the            Douala Stock Exchange in 2019. La
proportion of market capitalisation             Central Bank of Egypt and the            Régionale, a microfinance institution
fell by 5 percentage points (to                 Financial Regulatory Authority           in Cameroon, launched an IPO in
24%) in the year to June 2021                   agreed to establish a fund aimed at      February 2021, raising capital in
compared with a year earlier. South             increasing liquidity in the Egyptian     support of its plans to become a
Africa, which remains at the top                Exchange, prompting the entry            universal bank. It is the first financial
of Pillar 1, experienced one of the             of new investors. The number of          institution listed on the BVMAC,
most considerable reductions in                 listed companies on the bourse           which now has five listed companies.
market activity. The turnover ratio             dipped slightly to 215 at the end of     According to market participants,
fell seven percentage points to                 2020, but this recovered to 220 by       the regional stock exchange is
26% due to slow market trading                  September of this year.                  expected to continue down this path
during the second half of 2020 and                                                       of greater dynamism with various
                                                Market capitalisation rose in almost
higher market capitalisation. Since                                                      IPOs of state-owned enterprises in
                                                all of the countries in the index. In
February of this year, ‘These markets                                                    the pipeline.
                                                Mauritius, which ranks third in Pillar
have normalised and exhibit ample
                                                1 again this year, equity market
liquidity […] equities have extended                                                     Fixed income markets
                                                value grew the most with a 47%
gains and now exceed pre-pandemic
                                                year-on-year increase. The country’s     Higher budget deficits and lower
levels,’ affirmed one South African
                                                market capitalisation to GDP ratio       tax revenues as a result of Covid-19
survey respondent.
                                                reached 79%, up from 42% last year.      continue to sway public debt and
This drop was not limited to South              The Financial Services Commission        impact the economy (see Pillar
Africa. Market activity across most             made several changes to the capital      5). Exacerbated government
countries in the index continued                market regulatory frameworks,            dependency on the domestic debt
to be adversely impacted by the                 including narrowing down the             market has increased the size of
Covid-19 pandemic. New waves                    definition of reporting issuers and      bond markets across most countries
of the virus and consequent                     exempting foreign companies that         in the index. In Botswana, which
containment measures, along with a              fall into this category from specific    maintains its fourth place in Pillar
slow vaccine roll-out, are thwarting            disclosure requirements. According       1, the total value of sovereign
efforts to revamp economic activity.            to one respondent, ‘These changes        bonds outstanding as a percentage
‘The rate of recovery [has] an impact           will definitely make Mauritius           of GDP increased to 10%, up from
on turnover levels and market                   and the SEM [Stock Exchange              6% last year. The government of
confidence,’ stated one central                                                          Botswana doubled its domestic
banker.                                                                                  borrowing programme to BWP30bn
                                                                                         (around $2.6bn). ‘This, coupled with
Another respondent commented
                                                                                         the increased frequency of bond
that as vaccination rates improve
                                                                                         auctions, has significantly improved
and the economy reopens, there
                                                                                         bond market activity,’ affirmed one
will be a more stable path towards              ‘Exacerbated                             survey participant. Despite greater
economic recovery and market
players’ interest will be revitalised.           government                              activity, the turnover ratio was
Many countries in the region are                 dependency on the                       nearly unchanged because of the
                                                                                         increase in the value of outstanding
already experiencing some market                 domestic debt market                    debt.
reactivation. A participant from                 has increased the
Kenya described how ‘Recently,                                                           Governments across the region are
the market has realised an upturn,               size of bond markets                    not only issuing more bonds but also
with some of the value losses being              across most countries                   introducing longer tenors. Uganda,
recouped […] market liquidity fell               in the index.’                          which rises one rank to eighth
(though it has now started picking                                                       in Pillar 1, introduced a 20-year

16 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
treasury bond tenor on the auction
calendar in the last quarter of           Figure 1.2: Equity market turnover falls
2020. In April of this year, Tanzania     Market size and liquidity
issued its first 25-year treasury
bond. Lengthening the maturity of                                                 Market
                                                                                                       Turnover of           Total sovereign            Total turnover in
domestic government securities                                                                         equities, %            and corporate             bond market, %
                                                      Country                  capitalisation,
                                                                                                        of market            bonds listed on             of listed bonds
is a step forward in central banks’                                              % of GDP
                                                                                                      capitalisation         exchanges, $bn               outstanding
efforts to build robust yield curves
                                                South Africa                       427.0                   26.3                   258.0                         246.1
that can be used as a pricing
                                                   Botswana                        231.6                    0.2                     2.1                          16.1
benchmark for other assets.                       Seychelles                       149.0                    0.2                     0.2                           0.0
As countries broaden their bond                    Mauritius                       78.6                     3.4                     0.9                           4.0
markets, they are also focusing on                  Morocco                        62.8                     7.5                     0.8                           3.7
guaranteeing an active and liquid                    Rwanda                        36.6                     0.6                     0.8                           4.8
secondary market by introducing                      Senegal                       35.7                     2.2                    12.5                           2.7
                                                      Malawi                       28.0                     2.3                     1.0                            0
essential players and strengthening
                                                       Kenya                       25.3                     5.0                    26.6                          30.0
existing ones. The Bank of Uganda
                                                     Namibia                       18.1                    33.2                     3.6                           5.5
reformed the primary dealership
                                                     Uganda                        15.9                     0.1                     5.1                            0
system in the last quarter of 2020,                    Ghana                       15.6                     1.1                    26.9                         109.9
limiting the competitive bidding                      Zambia                       14.4                     0.4                     5.9                         266.5
in the primary market to seven                   Ivory Coast                       14.2                     2.2                    12.5                           2.7
primary dealer banks, who are                          Egypt                       11.7                    51.1                   116.9                          20.1
obliged to make markets at all                        Nigeria                      11.7                    4.9                    46.0                          131.5
times during trading hours. ‘Since                  Tanzania                       11.4                    3.3                     6.4                          15.1
the introduction of market makers,                  Eswatini                        7.5                    1.5                     0.5                           0.2
there is significant improvement                Mozambique                          1.9                    1.9                     1.6                           5.9
in secondary market activity noted                Cameroon                          0.2                    0.9                     1.5                             0
by increased secondary market                         Angola                         0                       0                     6.4                          28.0
turnover,’ remarked one survey            Source: AFMI survey 2021, national central banks, national stock exchanges, national capital market authorities, IMF, World
respondent. In Ghana, bond market         Federation of Exchanges, OMFIF analysis.

specialists were introduced as a new
sub-category of primary dealers
that have the exclusive right to
participate in primary issuance of all    Figure 1.3: Egyptian Exchange bucks
government treasury bills, notes and
bonds.                                    downward trend
                                          Total equities turnover, % of market capitalisation, top 10 most active exchanges
Market infrastructure and                 60
regulatory developments
The development of capital markets        50
must be built on up-to-date
infrastructure. Some of the recent
amendments made to the Securities         40
Act in Mauritius pave the way for
the establishment of new clearing         30
and settlement facilities and other
securities exchanges alongside
the SEM. Kenya will soon start the        20
user-testing phase for its upgraded
central securities depository, which      10
is expected to go live in April of next
year. The revised CSD will address
                                            0
challenges around horizontal
                                                                                                                                             Tanzania
                                                                                                                     Kenya
                                                                                                         Nigeria

                                                                                                                                                                            Mozambique
                                                                                                                                 Mauritius
                                                                                            Morocco

                                                                                                                                                                 Senegal*
                                                                                                                                                          Ivory Coast and
                                                                                  Namibia
                                                                South Africa
                                                    Egypt

repurchase agreements, and it will
also allow repos of government
securities to go through a fully
automated process, contributing
                                                                                July 2019-June 2020                 July 2020-June 2021
significantly to deepening the
                                          Source: National central banks, national stock exchanges, national capital market authorities, IMF, World Federation of Exchanges,
secondary market in these sovereign       OMFIF analysis *Note: Ivory Coast and Senegal are among eight countries that comprise the regional stock exchange, Bourse Régionale
asset classes. Additionally, and in       des Valeurs Mobilières.

                                                                                                                   Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 17
Pictured: Train tracks in Muizenberg Beach, South Africa

  18 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
‘Nine countries in the
 index have introduced                       Figure 1.4: Nine countries actively moving
 products that can be                        towards sustainable capital markets
 classified as green or                      Availability of sustainable finance products on exchanges or OTC
 sustainable. Green bonds
 are the most popular                                                Green
                                                                                 Other
                                                                              sustainable
                                                                                              Green/
                                                                                            sustainable
                                                                                                           Sustainable   Sustainable
                                                                                                                           mutual
                                                  Country                                                     ETFs
 instrument, being at                                                bonds
                                                                                bonds        equities                      funds
 investors’ disposal in
 seven countries.’                                   Kenya                                                                 

                                                  Morocco                                                                  

                                                 Mauritius                                    

                                             South Africa                                                    

                                                     Ghana                                                    

line with Kenya’s efforts around                      Egypt             
financial inclusion, the CSD
technology is being tailored to give               Namibia              
access to all market participants,
including retail investors.                                             
                                                    Nigeria
Regulatory authorities in the region
have created master plans to guide              Seychelles                        
capital market development and
orderly growth. In May, Ghana
                                             Source: OMFIF Absa survey 2021
launched its capital market master
plan with an enhancement path
for the next 10 years. Zambia
unveiled a 10-year master plan            products across the world, and                    Partnerships and integration
and the Securities and Exchange           countries in the index are following
Commission is finalising its strategic                                                      In addition to broadening available
                                          suit. The availability of these                   products, countries have developed
plan for 2022-27.                         products in the domestic markets                  various strategies to increase
Ethiopia reached an important             is a new indicator forming part of                participation in their domestic
milestone in efforts to establish         countries’ Pillar 1 scores.                       capital markets. As part of its
its capital market. In June, the          Nine countries in the index have                  internationalisation strategy, the
parliament unanimously approved           introduced products that can be                   Botswana Stock Exchange partnered
and enacted the capital markets           classified as green or sustainable.               with Bloomberg to attract new
establishment proclamation. The           Green bonds are the most popular                  issuers and investors. Bloomberg will
Ethiopian Capital Markets Authority       instrument, being at investors’                   include floating content about the
is expected to become operational         disposal in seven countries. Kenya                exchange with a direct link to the
before the end of this year, paving       and Morocco score highest in                      relevant information on its website.
the way for the joint partnership         this indicator for having green or                The Ghana Stock Exchange partnered
between the government and the            sustainable bonds, equities and                   with the London Stock Exchange
private sector to constitute the          mutual funds in their markets.                    to support Ghana’s capital market
securities exchange.                      Additionally, Kenya has issued ethical            development. This partnership
                                          securities to fund socially responsible           will focus on upgrading Ghana’s
Sustainability-focused products           investment opportunities. In March                classification from a frontier to an
Many survey respondents raised the        of this year, the Banque Centrale                 emerging market and supporting
lack of product diversity as one of       Populaire group in Morocco launched               cross-listings between both
the most significant challenges to        the gender bond programme, the                    exchanges.
capital markets in the region. A global   country’s first project to finance                Countries are also doubling their
focus on sustainable finance has led      female entrepreneurs and self-                    efforts to be part of globally
to the introduction of green financial    employed women.                                   recognised indices to put their 

                                                                                            Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 19
Digital developments in
financial markets
Increased digitalisation, fintech innovation and exploration into central
bank digital currencies are spurring on financial market transformation.

Automation and digitalisation of trading          innovation by providing a testing environment
platforms and regulatory processes                for pioneering products and services.
Digital technologies are reshaping financial      • Zambia’s SEC launched a capital markets
markets in many countries. Beyond improving       sandbox.
accessibility, digital innovations can make       • Nigeria’s SEC launched FinPort, a fintech and
capital markets more efficient and competitive,   innovation portal to assist fintech businesses
attracting investors and issuers.                 to understand the regulatory requirements for
                                                  the Nigerian capital market. The SEC will also
• The Bank of Mauritius launched the FSC          be rolling out a regulatory incubator for fintech
One platform, an integrated innovative            seeking to conduct capital market activities.
digital system that helps track applications’     • The central banks of Angola, Eswatini and
authorisation process.                            Ghana launched payments-focused sandboxes.
• The Central Bank of Rwanda developed            • The Bank of Uganda issued its legal framework
eSub, a platform enabling people to buy and       for a national payments systems regulatory
sell government securities using their mobile     sandbox.
devices.                                          • The Bank of Ghana established a new desk
• In Seychelles, Merj Exchange has an online      called the Fintech and Innovation Office to drive
listing process that does not require the         cash-lite, e-payments and digitalisation.
submission of physical documents.                 • Kenya’s Capital Markets Authority used
• Nigeria’s Securities and Exchange               its sandbox regulatory regime to conduct
Commission licensed Chaka, the first digital      innovation testing of digital platforms.
trading platform.
• The Bank of Zambia aims to develop an online    Digital currencies and assets
government securities application platform.       Central banks are exploring the possibility of
• The Johannesburg Stock Exchange is              issuing central bank digital currencies. Several
developing a digital private placements           index countries have initiated research and
platform for raising capital for infrastructure   development projects. The central banks of
finance and small- and medium-sized               Ghana, Kenya and Rwanda are researching
enterprises.                                      the potential benefits of CBDC in promoting
• The Eswatini Stock Exchange is in the process   payments system efficiency and stability,
of launching an automated trading system.         fostering competition in the financial sector
• Kenya will soon start the user-testing phase    and boosting economic growth.
for its upgraded central securities depository,      CBDC projects are further advanced in
which will provide a web-based centralised        Nigeria, Mauritius and South Africa. The Central
registry for sovereign securities.                Bank of Nigeria announced the engagement of
• The Malawi CSD is being enhanced to include     a technical partner for the introduction of its
an investor portal that enables access to         digital currency, called eNaira, later this year.
accounts and portfolio investments in real        South Africa recently announced the testing
time.                                             of CBDCs for cross-border payments. In 2020,
                                                  Mauritius amended its legislation to make the
Regulatory sandboxes for fintech and              CBDC a legal tender and is now developing
innovation                                        legislation to govern virtual assets. The central
Regulatory sandboxes can serve as an evidence     bank also developed a licensing structure for
base for regulation, allow new firm entry,        custodians and standards for issuing security
strengthen competition and encourage market       tokens.

20 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
capital markets on the radar of                    Some countries have already made      by June 2020 of 36.8%.’
international investors. In January                significant achievements in luring
                                                                                         On 13 November, the 30-day grace
2021, Mauritius was admitted                       investors back. In August, Rwanda
                                                                                         period that Zambia had to comply
to the Bloomberg African bond                      raised $620m through a 10-year
                                                                                         with a coupon payment on its
index. In June, Egypt was included                 eurobond, which was oversubscribed
                                                                                         $1bn eurobond, which was due
in the FTSE Frontier Emerging                      with orders of $1.6bn. A respondent
                                                                                         on 14 October, ended. After being
Markets Government Bond Index.                     from Uganda shared that ‘By
                                                                                         labelled Africa’s first bond default
It is working towards moving                       June 2021, non-resident holdings
                                                                                         in the pandemic, the country has
from JP Morgan’s watch list to its                 in government securities had a
                                                                                         made significant strides in winning
government index for emerging                      year-on-year increase of 140.6%
                                                                                         investors’ confidence back. On its
markets.                                           compared to a year-on-year increase
                                                                                         latest monetary policy committee
                                                                                         statement, the Bank of Zambia
                                                                                         reported a surge in demand for
                                                                                         government bonds, which reached
  Figure 1.5: Stock exchanges using                                                      a subscription rate of 162%, a
                                                                                         rise of 96 percentage points from
  technology to boost retail participation                                               the rates seen in the first quarter.
  Countries with digital platforms for retail securities trading                         Non-resident investors represented
                                                                                         70% of this increased demand for
      Country                Mobile application                  Online trading
                                                                                         government bonds. International
        Angola                                                                          investors’ holdings of government
    Botswana                                                                            securities more than doubled,
      Eswatini                                                                         reaching 25% of outstanding
                                                                                         sovereign securities in June 2021,
         Ghana                                                        
                                                                                         up from 13% reported in March.
         Kenya                                                                          According to the central bank, ‘This
    Mauritius                                                                           was mostly on the back of high
      Morocco                                                                           yield rates and improved investor
       Nigeria                                                                          sentiments following the credit
      Rwanda                                                                            rating upgrade by Fitch in April
                                                                                         2021.’
   Seychelles                                                        
     Tanzania                                                                           Integration efforts in the region
                                                                                         are not only aimed at widening
       Uganda                                                         
                                                                                         the investor base but also, in the
       Zambia                                                                          words of a survey respondent, ‘at
  Source: AFMI survey 2021                                                               unlocking Pan-African investment
                                                                                         flows, promoting innovations
                                                                                         that support diversification for
                                                                                         investors and addressing depth
                                                                                         and liquidity in the markets.’ The
  Figure 1.6: African central banks considering                                          African Exchanges Linkage Project
  digital currency                                                                       reached an important milestone in
                                                                                         July of this year when the African
  Countries with CBDCs in either research or development phase
                                                                                         Securities Exchanges Association
                                                  Type of CBDC                           signed the contract to procure an
       Country                                                                           order-routing system, bringing
                             Retail                Wholesale              Undecided
                                                                                         cross-border trading one step
                                                                                         closer to realisation. Similarly,
       Eswatini                                                                        the Economic Community of West
          Ghana                                                                         African States is planning to link up
          Kenya                                                                         debt markets by the end of 2023
      Mauritius                                                                        to allow debt auctions from any
       Morocco                                                                          country to be open to investors
                                                                                         from the bloc. Ghana’s Securities
         Nigeria               
                                                                                         Exchange has shared that regulators
        Rwanda                                                                          and stock exchanges from ECOWAS
  South Africa                                                                         are currently developing a system to
  Source: AFMI survey 2021
                                                                                         enable brokers to trade across the
                                                                                         different markets of the group.

                                                                                         Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 21
Pillar 2:
Access to foreign
exchange

Pictured: Hot air balloon, Sossusvlei in Namibia

22 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
Managing volatility

Responsive interventions, debt issuance and support from international financial institutions proved
crucial in maintaining foreign exchange liquidity in a turbulent environment.

Figure 2.1: FX liquidity challenges dampened countries’ performance
Scores for Pillar 2 indicators, max = 400; harmonised score, max = 100 (RHS)

400                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    100

350                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    90
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       80
300
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       70
250                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    60
200                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       40
150
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       30
100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       20
 50                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10

  0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Cameroon
                                                                     Ghana

                                                                                                       Zambia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Botswana
      South Africa

                     Egypt

                             Rwanda

                                               Tanzania

                                                                             Mauritius

                                                                                         Ivory Coast

                                                                                                                Lesotho

                                                                                                                          Senegal

                                                                                                                                    Kenya

                                                                                                                                            Mozambique

                                                                                                                                                         Malawi

                                                                                                                                                                  Namibia

                                                                                                                                                                            Morocco

                                                                                                                                                                                      Angola

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Ethiopia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Nigeria
                                      Uganda

                                                                                                                                                                                               Seychelles
                                                          Eswatini

                                      Net portfolio investment to reserves                                                                   Interbank foreign exchange turnover

                                      Foreign exchange capital controls                                                                      Official exchange rate reporting standard

                                      Pillar 2 harmonised score (RHS)                                                                        2020 score (RHS)

Sources: International Monetary Fund, national central banks, AFMI survey 2021, OMFIF analysis.
Note: The harmonised score represents the average of all Pillar 2 indicators and is used to compile the total scores for Pillars
1 to 6. More information on p.42-43. The Central Bank of Kenya does not publish figures for interbank foreign exchange
turnover.

                                                                                                                                                                               Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021 | 23
Pillar 2 examines factors that impact             ‘On average, country                      Nigeria continues to perform poorly in
markets’ accessibility to international                                                     this pillar. It imposed administrative
investors. These include the existence
                                                   scores declined by                       controls by expanding the number of
and severity of capital controls,                 2.8 points in this pillar,                goods subject to import restrictions,
exchange rate reporting standards and              partly due to weaker                     enforcing existing export repatriation
the level of foreign exchange liquidity.           reserve positions                        rules and restricting FX supply to
This pillar also assesses countries’                                                        certain windows. While these measures
ability to manage volatility resulting
                                                   relative to net                          restricted capital outflows and helped
from openness. This is measured by                 portfolio flows.’                        keep reserves stable, market liquidity
central banks’ readiness to meet the                                                        remained below pre-pandemic levels.
demand for currency by looking at the                                                       Due to the control measures and global
ratio of net portfolio flows to reserves.                                                   macroeconomic imbalances, foreign
                                                                                            portfolio investors’ appetite remained
On average, country scores declined by
                                                                                            subdued. The volatile FX market
2.8 points in this pillar, partly due to
                                                                                            and the delays in the repatriation
weaker reserve positions relative to net
                                                changes such as the increased use           of foreign currency out of Nigeria
portfolio flows. Nonetheless, budget
                                                of forward FX auctions, and limited         caused further problems. Despite a
support from international financial
                                                central bank interventions to smooth        rebound in oil prices and remittances,
institutions helped governments meet
                                                sharp exchange rate changes to              the FX shortage persists as imports
their FX liquidity needs and buffer
                                                protect reserves.                           recover faster than exports. All these
reserves against the pandemic shock.
                                                                                            factors contributed to Nigeria’s poor
South Africa maintains its lead in this         Managing foreign exchange liquidity         performance in Pillar 2.
pillar. An outlier with the most active         needs
interbank FX market, South Africa had                                                       Emergency funding cushioning the
                                                The Covid-19 pandemic disrupted
annual turnover of $3.5tn. Egypt ranks                                                      impact of shocks on reserves
                                                FX markets and global capital flows,
second place but, with annual turnover
                                                necessitating interventions in some         Credit facilities from international
of $55.2bn, the gap between the two
                                                countries to smooth excessive market        financial institutions and bond issuers
countries is significant. High interbank
                                                volatility and restrict capital outflows.   have been crucial in cushioning the
FX activity provides several benefits,
                                                                                            impact of the pandemic and boosting
including more accurate exchange                Uganda continues to do well in Pillar
                                                                                            FX reserves for many index countries.
rates for domestic rates and a greater          2 but drops two places to fourth
                                                                                            Reserves for many countries increased.
flow of FX through the official market.         this year. Amid the global financial
                                                                                            Morocco had the largest increase
                                                market turbulence in 2020, the Bank
Before the pandemic hit, Egypt                                                              of 37%, resulting from quick access
                                                of Uganda intervened in the currency
implemented measures to restore                                                             to emergency funding from donors,
                                                market by selling around $200m in
macroeconomic balance and increased                                                         including $3bn from the International
                                                FX, causing the shilling to appreciate.
reserves to an all-time high. Floating                                                      Monetary Fund and $460m from the
                                                The Bank of Uganda authorised the
the exchange rate prevented currency                                                        African Development Bank. Morocco
                                                inclusion of FX swaps in the monetary
overvaluation and FX shortages.                                                             issued a €1bn eurobond in September
                                                policy toolkit to increase access
Following a significant decrease                                                            2020, which also boosted reserves.
                                                to foreign currency and moderate
in net portfolio investments and a
                                                exchange rate volatility.                   Eswatini, one of the smallest
subsequent drop in reserves, the ratio
                                                                                            economies in the index, has the
of the two fell to 3% from 25.7%. The           Following a significant shortage of
                                                                                            lowest level of international reserves
buffer in reserves suggests that Egypt          FX resulting from a decline in tourism
                                                                                            among countries covered. Following
will have sufficient cover even when            activities, the Bank of Mauritius
                                                                                            budget support inflows, Eswatini’s
net portfolio flows increase.                   intervened in the FX market to provide
                                                                                            reserves grew by 24% to $545.6m
                                                much-needed liquidity. The country’s
Despite a decline in its interbank                                                          from $440.3m. It received emergency
                                                total portfolio investment flows to
FX market turnover, Ghana climbs                                                            financial assistance of around
                                                reserves decreased to 79.8% from
five positions in Pillar 2. Ghana’s                                                         $110.4m from the IMF to meet the
                                                86.6% as net portfolio flows fell faster
performance was driven mainly by                                                            balance of payment needs. Before
                                                than reserves. Several amendments
more frequent official exchange rate                                                        the pandemic, the current account
                                                to the Securities Act were enacted as
reporting and wider adoption of the                                                         surplus narrowed and international
                                                the country sought to attract more
FX Global Code. Its current account                                                         reserves were declining amid increased
                                                foreign investors. The laws now permit
deficit widened marginally to 3.1% of                                                       portfolio investments. Notably, the
                                                retail investors and the registration
GDP, as lower oil exports were offset                                                       increase in reserves along with a
                                                of foreign funds whose assets are
in part by higher gold prices, robust                                                       fall in total portfolio investments
                                                marketed to retail investors in or from
remittances and fewer imports. In                                                           reduced Eswatini’s total portfolio
                                                Mauritius. Foreign reporting issuers
2020, the Ghanaian cedi remained                                                            investment flow to reserves ratio to
                                                are also no longer required to be
relatively stable against the dollar                                                        7.8% from 19.4%. This performance
                                                registered with the Financial Services
due to reduced FX demand, structural                                                        lifts Eswatini by nine places, the
                                                Commission.

24 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2021
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