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Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
Absa Africa Financial
Markets Index 2020
Africa’s possibility is in the detail

Pictured: The iridescent feathers
of the African peafowl

                                        Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 1
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
The Absa Africa Financial Markets Index        Absa Group Limited (‘Absa Group’) is listed on the Johannesburg Stock
was produced by OMFIF in association           Exchange and is one of Africa’s largest diversified financial services groups.
with Absa Group Limited. The scores
on p.7 and elsewhere record the                Absa Group offers an integrated set of products and services across
total result (max=100) of assessments          personal and business banking, corporate and investment banking, wealth
across Pillars 1-6. For methodology,           and investment management and insurance.
see individual Pillar assessments and          Absa Group has a presence in 12 countries in Africa, with approximately
p.38-39.                                       42,000 employees.

OMFIF conducted extensive                      The Group’s registered head office is in Johannesburg, South Africa, and
quantitative research and data analysis.       it owns majority stakes in banks in Botswana, Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius,
Qualitative survey data were collected         Mozambique, Seychelles, South Africa, Tanzania (Absa Bank Tanzania and
and analysed by OMFIF.                         National Bank of Commerce), Uganda and Zambia. The Group also has
                                               representative offices in Namibia and Nigeria, as well as insurance operations
© 2020 The Absa Group Limited and              in Botswana, Kenya, Mozambique, South Africa, Tanzania and Zambia.
OMFIF Ltd. All Rights Reserved.                For further information about Absa Group Limited, please visit
                                               www.absa.africa
Absa Marketing
and Events team                                The Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum is an independent
                                               think tank for central banking, economic policy and public investment – a
Fiona Kigen, Vice-President, Marketing:
Investment Banking, Erica Bopape,
                                               non-lobbying network for best practice in worldwide public-private sector
Head of Marketing: Investment Banking,         exchanges. At its heart are Global Public Investors – central banks, sovereign
                                               funds and public pension funds – with investable assets of $39.4tn,
Andile Makholwa, Acting Head
of Communications: CIB, Fiona                  equivalent to 43% of world GDP. With offices in both London and Singapore,
Mbalula, Business Partner, External            OMFIF focuses on global policy and investment themes – particularly in
Communications: CIB, Varini Chetty,            asset management, capital markets and financial supervision/regulation
Digital Lead: CIB, Gerald Katsenga,            – relating to central banks, sovereign funds, pension funds, regulators
Head of Corporate Sales: Absa Regional         and treasuries. OMFIF promotes higher standards, invigorating exchanges
Operations, Fabian Govender, Chief of          between the public and private sectors and a better understanding of the
Staff: CIB, Tiisetso Mosoane, Deputy           world economy, in an atmosphere of mutual trust.
Chief of Staff: Office of the Group Chief
Executive, Kirsty Van Der Nest, Vice-          For further information about OMFIF, please visit www.omfif.org
President: Group Stakeholder Relations,
Phumza Macanda, Head of Media
Relations

OMFIF Editorial, Meetings
and Marketing team
Simon Hadley, Director, Production,
William Coningsby-Brown, Assistant
Production Editor, Julie Levy-
Abegnoli, Subeditor, Stefan Berci,
Communications Manager, James
Fitzgerald, Marketing Manager,
Ben Rands, Head of Logistics,
Jamie Bulgin, Lead Relationship
Director, Macro-economic coverage,
Henry Wynter, Head of Strategic
Partnerships, Katie-Ann Wilson,
Programmes Manager Emerging
Markets.

2 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
Contents
Forewords4-5                                                  Pillar 4:
                                                               Capacity of local investors
Introduction6-7                                               
                                                               Examines the size of local
Executive summary                                   8-11      investors, assessing the level of
                                                               local demand against supply of
Contains country comparisons and highlights                    assets available in each market.
opportunities and challenges for the region’s financial
markets.

Acknowledgments10
                                                                                                                  26-29

    Pillar 1:
    Market depth
                                                              Pillar 5:
    Examines size, liquidity and                               Macroeconomic
    depth of markets and diversity of                          opportunity
    products in each market.
                                                               Assesses countries’ economic
                                                               prospects using metrics
                                                               on growth, debt, export
                                                               competitiveness, banking sector
                                                               risk and availability of macro data.
                                                   14-17

                                                                                                                 30-33
    Pillar 2:
    Access to foreign exchange
                                                               Pillar 6: Legality and
    Assesses the ease with which                                enforceability of standard
    foreign investors can deploy and                            financial markets
    repatriate capital in the region.                           master agreements
                                                                
                                                                Tracks the commitment to
                                                                international financial master
                                                                agreements, enforcement of
                                                                netting and collateral positions
                                                   18-21        and the strength of insolvency
                                                                frameworks.

    Pillar 3:
    Market transparency, tax                                                                                     34-37
    and regulatory environment
    
    Evaluates the tax and regulatory
                                                            Indicators and Methodology                          38-39
    frameworks in each jurisdiction,                        
    as well as the level of financial
    stability and of transparency of
    financial information.

                                                   22-25
                                                                               Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 3
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
FOREWORDS                                        Building the foundation
                                                 for tomorrow’s successes

                                                                                     Daniel Mminele
                                                                                     Group Chief Executive
                                                                                     Absa Group

Aim of index                                   The Absa Africa Financial Markets Index is being released at
                                               a time when many African countries are grappling with the
African economies are                          profound economic and health challenges posed by Covid-19.
                                               The outlook remains highly uncertain in most markets, as
undergoing a significant                       downside risks continue to persist. With the global economy
                                               forecasted to contract in 2020, our continent is expected to
period of transition and                       experience the first severe recession since 1992, placing pressure
                                               on public finances, and eroding the progress that many countries
appraisal, with growing                        had made towards poverty alleviation and the Sustainable
foreign investment                             Development Goals. Volatility, uncertainty, and risk are likely to
                                               remain at elevated levels, making medium-term planning difficult
interest and much                              until such time as effective vaccines are successfully developed,
                                               comprehensively tested, and globally distributed.
examination of the                             These unpredictable operating conditions foretell challenging
continent’s potential for                      times for financial markets for the foreseeable future, requiring
                                               continued effort from stakeholders, and even more regional
mobilising local resources.                    economic collaboration than ever before, in order to maintain
                                               stability and regain market confidence.
Now in its fourth year,
                                               In this landmark year, we are proud to partner once again
the index has become                           with OMFIF in releasing the fourth edition of the Afmi. We are
                                               particularly pleased that this 2020 edition adds a further three
a benchmark for the                            markets, taking the total to 23 countries evaluated, further
investment community                           expanding our coverage of Africa’s financial markets.
                                               Since its launch in 2017, the Afmi has become a key reference
and Africa generally                           tool used by policymakers and market participants to guide
to gauge countries’                            their efforts in developing robust financial markets in Africa.
                                               By establishing a common fact-base that allows cross country
performance across                             comparisons, the index helps anchor policy discussions between
                                               regulators, exchanges, investors and corporates on how to
a host of indicators                           promote the open, accessible and transparent markets, that are
                                               best placed to mobilise capital, and promote investment on the
important for financial                        continent.
market development.                            Africa’s path through and beyond the Covid-19 crisis will be
                                               determined largely by the decisions that governments, the
                                               private sector, and development partners take over the next
                                               few months; bold and urgent decisions are required for us to
                                               successfully navigate this turbulent time, but such decisions
                                               must also be informed, collaborative and responsible.
                                               The Absa Group is one of Africa’s largest diversified financial
                                               services institutions and, as a proudly pan-African business, we
                                               are committed to playing our part in co-creating solutions that
                                               will support this continent to not only survive these challenging
                                               times, but help ensure an even stronger foundation on which
                                               tomorrow’s successes can be built.
4 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
Harnessing the power of                                        Reasons to be
capital markets                                                optimistic

Jingdong Hua                                                   Hippolyte Fofack
Vice-President and                                             Chief Economist and
Treasurer, World Bank                                          Director of Research and
                                                               International Co-operation,
                                                               African Export-Import Bank

The fourth annual Absa Africa Financial Markets Index          Africa is heading for its first recession in more than 25
comes at an unprecedented time in history when the             years. However, there are reasons to be optimistic about
region, and the world, face complex Covid-induced              the continent’s growth prospects. The near-term outlook
challenges. The pandemic has generated a wide range of         points to increased resilience of African economies, with
spillover effects in Africa, including direct health impacts   output expanding above trend growth rates in 2021.
of the disease, severe economic shocks from a sudden
                                                               Fiscal and monetary stimulus programmes are supporting
stop in trade and tourism, and lockdowns that slowed
                                                               local debt markets, helping prevent bankruptcies, and
domestic demand. International financial flows seized up,
                                                               spurring global demand and trade. The countercyclical
and many domestic markets did not have the depth to
                                                               liquidity support of multilateral development banks,
support the sharp increase in fiscal needs.
                                                               including the African Export-Import Bank’s pandemic
Governments across Africa have responded quickly to            trade impact mitigation facility, is helping countries adjust
the virus outbreak, particularly in terms of monetary          to the virus-induced macroeconomic fall-out and deal
and prudential actions. Efforts are underway to reprofile      with pressures on liquidity.
sovereign debt across the region through the debt service
                                                               Recovery will rely on Africa’s commitment to
suspension initiative, and there is renewed focus on
                                                               macroeconomic stability. Decreasing inflationary
building local markets.
                                                               pressures and expectations have enabled central banks
The World Bank acted rapidly to approve projects that          to extend monetary stimulus and other policy responses
addressed emergency needs of member countries –                to support small- and medium-sized enterprises,
including those in Africa. The International Development       helping them avert payment defaults. This shift from
Association accessed international capital markets to          a single monetary policy objective (inflation targeting)
provide concessional, low-cost loans to countries in           towards the dual objectives of price stability and growth
need. Over a period of 15 months, the World Bank Group         represents a profound change in the region’s policy-
committed to deploy up to $160bn to help more than 100         making landscape. It denotes the deepening integration
countries protect poor and vulnerable people, support          of Africa into the world economy.
businesses, and bolster economic recovery. Funding from
                                                               Another key driver of Africa’s improved resilience
the World Bank Group includes up to $50bn for African
                                                               is the African Continental Free Trade Agreement.
countries, of which $847m will be spent on 32 health
                                                               Companies are capitalising on economies of scale and
projects. A further $2.9bn will be dedicated to 17 economic
                                                               productivity gains associated with the defragmentation
policy loans.
                                                               of African economies to spread the risk of investing in
As we look ahead, it is clear how the power of capital         smaller markets across the region. Expanding growth
markets can be harnessed to build back better. Therefore,      opportunities and returns on investment are sustaining
it is exciting that the index now includes a focus on          investment flows and shifting their composition away
sustainable finance.                                           from natural resources towards labour-intensive
                                                               manufacturing industries.
Sustainable financing, insuring against natural disasters
and pandemics, hedging against commodity volatility, and       This structural transformation will increase domestic
securing local currency financing are ways governments         resource mobilisation and deepen capital markets. This
can support the next generation of growth in Africa.           will set Africa on a path to fiscal and debt sustainability.
The World Bank Treasury is engaged across these areas          Expected rising returns on investment will expand
throughout the continent, including building sustainable       the pool of investors to include those who are pricing
capital markets and helping governments consider the full      in sustainability preferences to enable Africa’s
range of financial solutions for managing risks.               industrialisation latecomers to leapfrog into climate-
                                                               resilient growth models. As the Africa Financial Markets
                                                               Index 2020 so neatly illustrates, opportunities abound in
                                                               this diverse and propitious region.

                                                                                    Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 5
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
INTRODUCTION

                                               Testing resilience

                                               During a difficult year, African countries are facing enormous
                                               challenges from Covid-19. As the health crisis persists, the
                                               resilience of financial systems in every economy is being
                                               tested. Financial markets have been disrupted, but expansion
                                               and innovation in recent years will benefit the rebound and
                                               recovery process.

                                               On its fourth year, the Absa Africa Financial Markets Index
                                               presents a wide-ranging view of progress across the region.
                                               Coverage of this year’s edition has expanded to include three
                                               new countries: Eswatini, Lesotho and Malawi. The addition
                                               of these countries reflects mounting interest in the region’s
                                               potential as a source of growth and opportunity.

                                               When the index was first released in 2017, only three out of
                                               17 countries scored above 50, with many performing poorly
                                               on more than 40 indicators considered. This year, 11 out
                                               of 23 countries scored above 50, indicating improvements
                                               across the board. Stronger legal frameworks and growing
                                               local investor capacity contributed to better scores overall.

                                               The countries whose standing improved the most from
                                               last year are Ghana, Morocco and Seychelles. Firmer rules
                                               enforcing close-out netting boosted Ghana’s standing.
                                               Improving business environments in Morocco and Seychelles
                                               earned them points.

                                               The initial impact of the pandemic was felt by countries
                                               with high levels of external debt as global investors pulled
                                               back investments. The withdrawal of international capital
                                               impacted the region’s stock markets as liquidity dropped
                                               in the first half of 2020. The sudden drop in foreign activity
                                               showed the value of having deep and liquid local markets
                                               that can withstand external shocks.

                                               Central banks and financial policy-makers have responded by
                                               supporting local debt markets with a variety of tools, earning
                                               praise from individuals and institutions that participated
                                               in this year’s survey. While the longer-term outlook largely
                                               relies on the extent to which activity could resume in the
                                               local and global economy, recent progress in financial market
                                               development will only serve to improve Africa’s chances of
                                               having a rapid and sustainable recovery.

6 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
Rank                                         Score
  2020 2019                                    2020 2019                                                         Comments

   1       1               South Africa         89       88     Foreign exchange controls eased but ratings downgrade hits liquidity

   2       2                 Mauritius          79       75     Market infrastructure and tax environment favourable to foreign investment

   3       6                   Nigeria          65       63     Firmer close-out netting rules set to boost repo and derivatives markets

   4       5                 Botswana           63       64     T-bill issuance reform expected to deepen bond market

   5       4                  Namibia           61       65     Large pension fund assets under management, but illiquid markets

   6       13                  Ghana            59       50     Active foreign exchange market and stronger legal framework

   7       3                    Kenya           58       65     Improving corporate action governance structure

   8       12                 Morocco           56       51     Improving market and business environment

   9       8                   Zambia           53       55     Stronger framework for resolving insolvency

  10       10                  Uganda           52       52     New primary dealer system set to spur bond market activity

  11       14                Seychelles         51       47     Rapid growth in market capitalisation and number of equity listings

  12       7                  Tanzania          50       55     High transparency in stock market and low tax on dividend income

  13       9                  Rwanda            50       53     Strong macroeconomic outlook and healthy banking assets

  14       11                   Egypt           50       51     Liquid equity and foreign exchange markets

  15        -                 Eswatini          49        -     Large pool of domestic assets and growing stock exchange

  16       16               Ivory Coast         43       41     Expanding bond market and positive macroeconomic outlook

  17       15              Mozambique           43       44     Growing stock exchange and attractive tax environment for listed securities

  18        -                  Malawi           37        -     Improving transparency and financial stability after IFRS and Basel III adoption

  19       18                 Senegal           37       35     Promising regional market growth but lacking local institutional investors

  20        -                 Lesotho           33        -     Securities exchange still awaiting inaugural listings

  21       19                Cameroon           32       35     Bond and equity markets lifted by regional merger of exchanges

  22       17                  Angola           30       36     Debt crisis overshadows positive tax reforms

  23       20                 Ethiopia          27       27     Development of market infrastructure in progress

Score across all pillars, max = 100. The fourth edition of the index adds three new countries, Eswatini, Lesotho and Malawi.

                                                                                                                           Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 7
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Building Africa’s financial markets
The Absa Africa Financial Markets Index evaluates financial market
                                                                                    Pillar 1:                           Pillar 2:
development in 23 countries, and highlights economies with the
                                                                                    Market                              Access to foreign
most supportive environment for effective markets. The aim is to                    depth                               exchange
show present positions, as well as how economies can improve
market frameworks to bolster investor access and sustainable
growth. The index assesses countries according to six
pillars: market depth; access to foreign exchange; market                          South Africa         100         South Africa          80
transparency, tax and regulatory environment; capacity of local                    Nigeria              70          Uganda                67
investors; macroeconomic opportunity; and enforceability                           Mauritius            70          Rwanda                66
of financial contracts, collateral positions and insolvency                        Botswana             55          Seychelles            65
frameworks.                                                                        Kenya                52          Egypt                 64
                                                                                   Ghana                48          Botswana              60
OMFIF conducted extensive quantitative research using data
                                                                                   Namibia              48          Zambia                60
from central banks, securities exchanges and international
financial institutions. In addition, OMFIF surveyed over 30                        Egypt                45          Tanzania              59
policy-makers and top executives from financial institutions                       Uganda               42          Lesotho               58
operating across the 23 countries, including banks, securities                     Zambia               41          Kenya                 57
exchanges, central banks, regulators, audit and accounting                         Mozambique           41          Namibia               54
firms and international financial and development institutions.                    Senegal              38          Ghana                 54
                                                                                   Morocco              37          Mauritius             54
As the index grows, the network of institutions providing data
                                                                                   Ivory Coast          36          Morocco               49
and lending expertise to OMFIF’s research is also expanding.
                                                                                   Tanzania             35          Ivory Coast           47
Changes to scoring on certain indicators using more granular
data impacted scores of some countries, but these all contribute                   Angola               34          Senegal               46
to the overall reliability of the index as a benchmark of progress.                Seychelles           34          Eswatini              45
                                                                                   Rwanda               30          Mozambique            45
Continued on p.10 >>                                                               Cameroon             28          Cameroon              36
                                                                                   Eswatini             24          Malawi                32
                                                                                   Malawi               23          Angola                30
      Angola (30)              Botswana (63)        Cameroon (32)
                                                                                   Ethiopia             11          Ethiopia              30
                                                                                   Lesotho              11          Nigeria               22
 34                       55                   28
 30                       60                   36
 51                       82                   40
 16                       61                   14
 41                       72                   54
 10                       46                   21

      Egypt (50)               Eswatini (49)        Ethiopia (27)          Ghana (59)                Ivory Coast (43)            Kenya (58)
 45                       24                   11                     48                        36                          52
 64                       45                   30                     54                        47                          57
 66                       58                   37                     83                        66                          74
 26                       64                   10                     27                        14                          41
 78                       68                   55                     65                        58                          67
 23                       33                   19                     78                        35                          57

      Mozambique (43)          Namibia (61)         Nigeria (65)           Rwanda (50)               Senegal (37)                Seychelles (51)
 41                       48                   70                     30                        38                          34
 45                       54                   22                     66                        46                          65
 59                       71                   89                     80                        54                          62
 20                       92                   54                     14                        12                          48
 51                       70                   67                     62                        49                          66
 40                       31                   87                     50                        24                          32

8 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
Overall pillar scores max = 100
 Pillar 3:                       Pillar 4:                      Pillar 5:                  Pillar 6:
 Market transparency,            Capacity of                    Macroeconomic              Legality and enforceability of
 tax and regulatory              local investors                opportunity                standard financial markets
 environment                                                                               master agreements

South Africa          94        Namibia            92        South Africa        78       Mauritius             98
Nigeria               89        Mauritius          90        Egypt               78       South Africa          94
Mauritius             88        South Africa       86        Botswana            72       Nigeria               87
Ghana                 83        Morocco            67        Mauritius           72       Zambia                83
Botswana              82        Eswatini           64        Morocco             72       Ghana                 78
Uganda                80        Botswana           61        Uganda              70       Kenya                 57
Rwanda                80        Nigeria            54        Namibia             70       Rwanda                50
Zambia                75        Seychelles         48        Eswatini            68       Botswana              46
Kenya                 74        Kenya              41        Malawi              67       Tanzania              43
Morocco               74        Tanzania           34        Nigeria             67       Mozambique            40
Tanzania              73        Ghana              27        Kenya               67       Uganda                39
Namibia               71        Egypt              26        Seychelles          66       Morocco               36
Ivory Coast           66        Mozambique         20        Lesotho             65       Ivory Coast           35
Egypt                 66        Malawi             20        Ghana               65       Eswatini              33
Seychelles            62        Angola             16        Rwanda              62       Seychelles            32
Malawi                62        Uganda             15        Tanzania            59       Namibia               31
Mozambique            59        Cameroon           14        Ivory Coast         58       Senegal               24
Eswatini              58        Rwanda             14        Ethiopia            55       Egypt                 23
Senegal               54        Ivory Coast        14        Cameroon            54       Lesotho               21
Angola                51        Senegal            12        Mozambique          51       Cameroon              21
Cameroon              40        Lesotho            12        Senegal             49       Malawi                21
Ethiopia              37        Zambia             12        Zambia              47       Ethiopia              19
Lesotho               33        Ethiopia           10        Angola              41       Angola                10

 11
       Lesotho (33)
                           23
                                Malawi (37)
                                                    70
                                                         Mauritius (79)
                                                                            37
                                                                                 Morocco (56)
                                                                                                         KEY
 58                        32                       54                      49
 33                        62                       88                      74                         Pillar   1 Market depth
 12                        20                       90                      67                         Pillar   2 Access to foreign exchange
 65                        67                       72                      72
 21                        21                       98                      36
                                                                                                       Pillar   3 	Market transparency, tax and
                                                                                                                   regulatory environment
                                                                                                       Pillar   4 Capacity of local investors
       South Africa (89)        Tanzania (50)            Uganda (52)             Zambia (53)           Pillar   5 Macroeconomic opportunity
 100                       35                       42                      41                         Pillar   6 	Legality and enforceability of
 80                        59                       67                      60                                     standard financial markets
 94                        73                       80                      75                                     master agreements
 86                        34                       15                      12
                                                                                                        (xx) = overall score

 78                        59                       70                      47
 94                        43                       39                      83

                                                                                                     Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 9
Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 - Africa's possibility is in the detail - Engineering News
Acknowledgements                                                         The report finds that:
The team consulted more than 30 policy-makers, regulators and              
                                                                             South Africa and Mauritius retain
market practitioners across African financial markets in writing this      the top spots in the index, scoring
report, whom we thank for their views and opinions. Although some          89 and 79, respectively. Although
requested anonymity, we thank the following:
                                                                           both perform well in most pillars,
                                                                           South Africa maintains a sizeable
Sheila Abrahams, Senior Consultant, Johannesburg Stock Exchange            lead because of its much deeper
George Asante, Head of Global Markets, Absa Regional Operations            capital and foreign exchange
Omobolanle Adekoya, Partner and Head, Capital Market Accounting and
                                                                           markets. Nigeria, Botswana and
Consulting Services, PwC Nigeria                                           Namibia round off the top five. All
                                                                           three score above 50 in nearly all
Arnold Bagubwagye, Deputy Director, Bank of Uganda
                                                                           pillars. Namibia loses points from
Sunil Benimadhu, Chief Executive, Stock Exchange of Mauritius              its failure to align with international
José Miguel Cerdeira, Economist, Banco de Fomento Angola                   contractual standards, while
Jeff Gable, Chief Economist, Absa Group Limited                            Nigeria’s lack of a unified exchange
                                                                           rate system pulls down its score.
Ingrid Hagen, Vice-President of Strategic Projects, Frontclear
Jacqueline Irving, Senior Sector Economist, Sector Economics and
                                                                           
                                                                             Overall performance in Pillar
Development Impact Department, International Finance Corporation,          1: Market depth deteriorated,
World Bank Group                                                           partly because of the impact of
Garth Klintworth, Head of Global Markets, Absa Group Limited               Covid-19 on market capitalisation
                                                                           and activity. On average, countries’
George Kwatia, Tax Partner, PWC Ghana
                                                                           scores dropped by 0.6 from last
Vipin Mahabirsingh, Managing Director, Central Depository                  year. Despite this, certain countries
& Settlement Co. Ltd., Mauritius
                                                                           showed improvement. Seychelles’
Moremi Marwa, Chief Executive, Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange P–lc           Merj exchange attracted additional
Prosscovia Nambatya, Corporate Finance Lawyer                              listings, leading it to be only one
Birgit Reuter, Financial Officer, Global Macro and Market Research         of three countries where market
Department, International Finance Corporation, World Bank Group            capitalisation increased over
                                                                           the year. The Stock Exchange of
Peter Werner, Senior Counsel, International Securities and Derivatives
Association                                                                Mauritius amended its trading rules
                                                                           to open its market to international
                                                                           central securities depositories.
We also thank individuals from the following institutions: Bank of
Mauritius, Bank of Namibia Financial Markets Department, Mauritius         Uganda launched its new primary
Commercial Bank, and Merj Exchange.                                        dealer system designed to
                                                                           encourage secondary market activity

Report authors
Kat Usita, Deputy Head of Research, OMFIF
Chris Papadopoullos, Economist, OMFIF

With support from
Danae Kyriakopoulou, Chief Economist and Director of Research, OMFIF
Brendan Kiy, Research Assistant, OMFIF
Natalia Ospina, Research Assistant, OMFIF

10 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
and price discovery.                     highest level of pension assets per       to its insolvency laws, making
                                         capita in the index. Eswatini, a new      allowances for close-out netting.

  Ghana rises the most in Pillar
                                         addition to the index, has the largest    Uganda has adopted the GMRA and
2: Access to foreign exchange
                                         pension funds relative to the size of     is reviewing insolvency laws to make
with its foreign exchange liquidity
                                         its local market, which shows the         close out netting enforceable.
increasing, as measured by interbank
foreign exchange turnover. Angola        potential available for local investors   
                                                                                     Although the pandemic disrupted
implemented rules to route               to propel market development.             markets, it presented opportunities
more foreign currency through            Survey respondents highlighted            for capital market development.
its commercial banks. Survey             a number of successful financial          The African Development Bank
respondents said efforts in Nigeria      inclusion initiatives such as Angola’s    issued coronabonds in March to help
to unify its multiple exchange rates     Kwenda project and Mauritius              finance Covid-19 response measures.
and South Africa’s easing of capital     and Nigeria’s embrace of fintech          Other sustainability initiatives are
controls for the broader economy         companies.                                gaining momentum, especially in
would increase international             
                                           Ivory Coast rises one place in Pillar   green finance. Nigeria, Kenya and
participation in the market.             5: Macroeconomic opportunity. The         Egypt are among countries that have
                                         West African nation has one of the        issued sovereign green bonds in the

  Collectively, countries perform best
                                         brightest growth outlooks and is one      past year. Rwanda is establishing
in Pillar 3: Market transparency,
                                         of five countries where economic          a green investment bank, while
tax and regulatory environment
                                         growth has averaged above 5% over         Uganda plans to develop a fund
where the average score is 67.
                                         the last five years. South Africa         for post-disaster environmental
Morocco gained additional corporate
                                                                                   restoration.
ratings from international ratings       reclaims the top spot. Despite its
agencies and a higher score for          worsening growth outlook, it has a
protection of minority shareholders.     low non-performing loans ratio and
Kenya‘s Capital Markets Authority        relatively low external debt to GDP
introduced rules for share buybacks,     ratio.
potentially encouraging market           
                                           Ghana climbs five places in Pillar
activity. Angola’s first tax treaty,     6: Legality and enforceability
which it signed with Portugal, came      of standard financial markets
into force.                              master agreements. Ghana has

  Namibia leads Pillar 4: Capacity of    made the Global Master Repurchase
local investors. Its pension funds       Agreement mandatory for repos and
have shown rapid growth in recent        introduced rules to enforce close-
years and the country now has the        out netting. Nigeria made changes

                                                                                   Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 11
Highlights 2019-20

Sustainable financial markets                                             The Banco Nacional de
                                                                          Angola adopted a foreign
                                                                          exchange electronic
Nigeria and Kenya innovate with sovereign green bonds                     trading system to bring
Nigeria is set to launch its third sovereign green bond. Kenya issued
its first green bond in 2019, with proceeds used to finance sustainable
                                                                          greater efficiency and
student housing in Nairobi. The government has introduced financial       transparency to its foreign
incentives to invest in such bonds, with investors exempt from paying     exchange market.
withholding tax on interest earned. Egypt issued a green bond in
September, the first in the Middle East and North Africa.

Coronabonds made in Africa
The African Development Bank sold the world’s largest social bond
                                                                          120%:
in March, a set of $3bn three-year bonds to help finance the fight
against Covid-19. The AfDB also joined the Nasdaq Sustainable Bond
                                                                          Oversubscription
Network in June.                                                          of Cameroon’s
Sustainable stock exchanges                                               Cfa25bn issue of
The Johannesburg Stock Exchange is expanding its green bond
segment to a sustainability division which will include green, social
                                                                          its first 10-year
and sustainability bonds. In October 2019, the stock exchanges of         T-bond on the
Nigeria and Luxembourg signed a memorandum of understanding
to allow cross listing and trading, to help expand the green bond         Bank of Central
market.
                                                                          African States
Private sector takes action
South Africa’s Standard Bank sold a $200m green bond, the country’s
                                                                          market.
largest sale. Meanwhile, Absa was the first African corporate to
issue a social bond. Nedbank, in partnership with AfDB, introduced a
sustainable development goals-linked tier 2 bond. Last year, Nedbank      The Eswatini Stock
became the first bank in South Africa on the JSE to launch a specific     Exchange launched an
renewable energy bond.                                                    automated trading system
New vehicles for green growth in east and southern Africa                 that includes mobile
Rwanda and the Coalition for Green Capital are establishing the           trading for retail investors.
Rwanda Catalytic Green Investment Bank. Uganda plans to create a
$200m fund to help finance environmental restoration from natural
disasters. The Trade and Development Bank of Eastern and Southern         The Namibian Stock
Africa has signed a partnership with the French development
agency for a $150m line of credit to fund sustainable infrastructure
                                                                          Exchange listed its first
in East Africa. The Development Bank of Southern Africa and the           bond exchange-traded fund.
Green Climate Fund have launched a specialised climate finance
facility for South Africa, Namibia, Lesotho and Eswatini. Namibia’s
Environmental Investment Fund, designed to counter drought                Uganda reformed its
effects, secured $8.4m from the UN’s green climate fund.                  primary dealer system to
                                                                          spur secondary market
                                                                          activity.

12 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Market developments and policy changes boost
                    growth of financial markets across the continent

$3bn: New ceiling                    The Dar es Salaam
                                     Stock Exchange
                                                               The World Bank
                                                               issued the first
of Botswana’s expanding              is developing a
government bond                      mobile trading            ever Rwandan
issuance programme.                  platform.                 franc bond.

€1bn: Sovereign bonds sold by Morocco, evenly split in         $594m: Amount raised
two tranches of 5.5-year and 10-year bonds.                    by Ivory Coast from
                                                               social bonds sold on the
                                                               West African Economic
The Nairobi
Securities
                             $5bn:                             and Monetary Union
                                                               securities market.
                             Eurobonds sold in
Exchange                     Egypt’s largest-                  The Nigerian Stock
released a                   ever international                Exchange is preparing
revamped mobile              issuance.                         to introduce derivatives
application for                                                trading.
retail investors.            Zambia formed a                   Ethiopia drafted
                             capital markets                   legislation to create a
Senegal is forming a                                           stock market authority
state-backed €100m           tribunal to                       that will regulate its stock
private equity fund.         enhance dispute                   exchange when it opens.
                             resolution and
Lesotho enacted              settlement.                       South Africa is
legislation that                                               removing currency
requires pension                                               exchange controls.
                             Seychelles established the
funds to invest              Securities, Commodities and
a portion of                 Derivatives Exchange, listing     Ghana adopted
their portfolio in           both traditional and digital      legislation to enforce
domestic assets.             assets.                           close-out netting.

The Stock Exchange of Mauritius’ new trading     The Reserve Bank of Malawi
rules enable links with international central    implemented an automated trading
securities depositories like Euroclear.          system for the Malawi Stock Exchange.

                                                             Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 13
Pictured: A brilliant round-cut Namibian diamond

  Pillar 1:
  Market depth
  14 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Stunted progress
 Countries made strides in growing their markets, boosting international activity and
 linking exchanges, but some initiatives were put on hold due to the pandemic.

Figure 1.1:
 Figure 1.1: Greater market capitalisation improves Seychelles’ performance
Scores for Pillar 1 categories, max=500; harmonised score, max=100 (RHS)
 Scores for Pillar 1 categories, max=500; harmonised score, max=100 (RHS)
 500                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      100
 450                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      90
 400                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      80
 350                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      70
 300                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      60
 250                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      50
 200                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      40
 150                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      30
 100                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      20
   50                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10
    0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                                                             Rwanda

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Malawi
        South Africa
                       Nigeria
                                 Mauritius

                                                        Kenya
                                                                Ghana

                                                                                  Egypt

                                                                                                            Mozambique
                                                                                                                         Senegal
                                                                                                                                   Morocco
                                                                                                                                              Ivory Coast
                                                                                                                                                            Tanzania

                                                                                                                                                                                                      Cameroon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Eswatini

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ethiopia
                                             Botswana

                                                                        Namibia

                                                                                                   Zambia
                                                                                          Uganda

                                                                                                                                                                       Angola
                                                                                                                                                                                Seychelles

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Lesotho

                                                        Product diversity                                                                    Size of markets
                                                        Liquidity                                                                            Depth
                                                        Primary dealer system                                                                Pillar 1 harmonised score (RHS)

 Sources: National securities exchanges, national central banks, World Federation of Exchanges, Association of African
Sources:
 Exchanges,National    securities
             OMFIF analysis.          exchanges,
                             Note: Category            national
                                            scores (LHS)             central
                                                            provide the averagebanks,    World
                                                                                 of indicator     Federation
                                                                                              scores              of
                                                                                                     within each category.  The
Exchanges,      Association
 harmonised score               of African
                  (RHS) represents            Exchanges,
                                     the average                 OMFIF analysis.
                                                 of all Pillar 1 indicators and is usedNote:    Category
                                                                                        to compile the total scores
                                                                                                             scores for Pillars
 1-6. More information on p.38-39.
(LHS)  provide the average of indicator scores within each category. The harmonised
score (RHS) represents the average of all Pillar 1 indicators and is used to compile the
total scores for Pillars 1-6. More information on p.38-39.

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 15
Pillar 1 considers the size and liquidity       de Cahora Bassa, Arko Seguros and           panic that struck in March and April,
of local financial markets, as well as          Revimo. Mozambique has one of the           and markets have mostly calmed since.
the diversity of products available. On         smallest markets measured against           In South Africa, however, the start of
average, countries’ scores dropped by           GDP at 3%, but lands in the middle of       the pandemic coincided with credit
0.6 from last year. This partly reflects        the index for liquidity.                    ratings downgrades and the country’s
the decline in local equity indices as                                                      consequent removal from the World
                                                Mauritius maintained third place. In
markets reacted to Covid-19. Liquidity                                                      Government Bond Index. One survey
                                                early 2020, the Stock Exchange of
was more mixed, as a fall in foreign                                                        respondent said the downgrade had hit
investor activity in equities was partly        Mauritius announced it had amended
                                                                                            liquidity in the secondary bond market.
offset by central banks and local               trading rules to open its market up
                                                to international central securities         Sell-offs can increase liquidity, but
investors in bond markets.
                                                depositories such as Euroclear and          with many markets depending on
Market capitalisation decreased                 Clearstream. This allows foreign            foreign participation for a large
across most markets in the index, but           investors who invest in debt securities,    proportion of their liquidity, less
exchanges have remained operational             Eurobonds and exchange-traded funds         international participation has
with staff working remotely during the          on the exchange to transfer these           hindered market liquidity. To promote
virus disruption. In many countries,            securities directly via the ICSD to other   the functioning of domestic financial
initial public offerings were put on            investors. The initiative is aimed at       markets, some central banks made
hold because of the pandemic. This              making the market more attractive to        use of the unconventional monetary
included Lesotho, where the Maseru                                                          policy tools developed over the past
                                                international investors. Mauritius and
Securities Market was set to become                                                         decade. The South African Reserve
                                                South Africa are the only markets in
fully operational with its first two IPOs.                                                  Bank implemented a programme of
                                                the index with such links to ICSD.
Seychelles climbs two places in Pillar                                                      purchasing government securities in
1. The country’s Merj Exchange has              Money markets                               the secondary market. The central
been successful in lifting the size of its                                                  banks of Botswana, Egypt and Ghana
                                                Central banks in the region provided        also conducted asset purchases.
equity market since it was rebranded
                                                emergency liquidity to quell market         The Bank of Central African States,
from Trop-x in 2019. Following a
number of listings, equity market                                                           which serves Cameroon, undertook
capitalisation rose to 89% of GDP                                                           purchases in a restricted way to ensure
from 21% to give Seychelles the third                                                       consistency with rules against direct
                                                                                            monetary financing.
largest stock market relative to the               ‘Some survey
size of its economy in the index. It
remains behind South Africa at 275%
                                                    respondents said                        Authorities across the countries
                                                                                            featured in the index were proactive
of GDP and Botswana at 176% of GDP.                 that while policy                       in supporting money market liquidity.
As of mid-2020, the Merj Exchange
                                                    action had supported                    They did so in different ways, but
hosts 41 listed companies, up from                  finance and liquidity                   common policies included reducing
25 in the same period last year, with               more broadly, it had                    repo rates, widening collateral
                                                                                            accepted for central bank lending
financial instruments available in                  less of an impact
dollars and euros. Earlier this year, the                                                   facilities, and reducing liquidity and
exchange launched a direct access
                                                    on equity markets                       capital requirements for banks. Survey
model, which it says limits the need                where liquidity was                     respondents said authorities had
for brokers and has incorporated                    dependent on foreign                    overall successively managed the
distributed ledger technology into                  investors.’                             early stages of the crisis. However,
its trading infrastructure. Survey                                                          some said that while policy action had
respondents highlighted several                                                             supported finance and liquidity more
factors that could further lift                                                             broadly, it had less of an impact on
liquidity and international activity                                                        equity markets where liquidity was
in Seychelles’ capital market, such                                                         dependent on foreign investors.
as regulatory co-operation in the
                                                                                            Central banks continue with efforts
International Organisation of Securities
                                                                                            to build yield curves in domestic
Commissions.
                                                                                            government securities that can be
Bolsa de Valores de Mocambique is                                                           used as the basis for pricing for other
another smaller exchange that has                                                           assets. The South African Reserve Bank
been expanding. It has 11 listed                                                            proposed in June replacing the South
equities, up from eight last year and                                                       African benchmark overnight rate with
six in the 2018 edition of the index.                                                       the South African rand overnight index
New listings include Hidroeléctrica                                                         average, known as Zaronia, which is an

16 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
unsecured overnight rate.
                                             Figure 1.2: Market size and liquidity
Botswana is doubling its T-bill auctions
to eight per year from quarterly to
                                                                                                                              Equities                                                                                  Bonds
assist market price discovery. In
combination, it will issue standardised                                                                                                        Turnover of                              Total sovereign                            Total turnover in
                                                                                                       Market
three- and six-month T-bills. The                                                                   capitalisation,
                                                                                                                                               equities, %                               and corporate                             bond market, %
Bank of Botswana has extended the                                                                                                               of market                               bonds listed on                             of listed bonds
                                                                                                      % of GDP
                                                                                                                                              capitalisation                            exchanges, $bn                               outstanding
collateral pool for its lending facilities
to corporate bonds listed on the              South Africa                                                     275.4                                   33.4                                          209.2                                      301.3
                                              Botswana                                                         178.4                                    0.3                                            1.6                                       16.4
Botswana Stock Exchange.
                                              Seychelles                                                       88.6                                     1.2                                            0.3                                       46.0
Uganda is nearing completion of its           Morocco                                                          45.2                                    10.7                                            0.5                                        6.3
                                              Mauritius                                                        42.4                                     6.6                                            1.2                                        2.3
primary dealer reforms. In September,
                                              Rwanda                                                           35.6                                     0.1                                            0.6                                        4.7
the central bank appointed seven              Senegal                                                          29.1                                     2.1                                            8.8                                        0.6
commercial banks that will be able to         Malawi                                                           27.9                                     1.7                                            0.4                                         0
take part in competitive bids above           Kenya                                                            20.0                                     7.8                                           20.4                                       27.5
a certain size in the primary market.         Namibia                                                          17.6                                     1.7                                            4.0                                        3.1
Other commercial banks will still be          Uganda                                                           16.4                                     0.1                                            3.1                                        0.0
                                              Ivory Coast                                                      15.7                                     2.1                                            8.8                                        0.6
able to access the primary market, but
                                              Zambia                                                           14.6                                     0.8                                            3.8                                        4.5
only for smaller bids.                        Ghana                                                            13.7                                     0.7                                           19.6                                       90.6
                                              Egypt                                                            12.1                                    35.4                                           76.1                                       31.4
Linking exchanges                             Tanzania                                                         10.3                                     4.6                                            5.2                                       15.2
                                              Nigeria                                                           7.7                                     8.2                                           65.7                                       94.3
The Africa Exchange Linkages Project
                                              Eswatini                                                          4.7                                     1.3                                            0.4                                         0
offers new opportunity to link                Mozambique                                                        3.0                                     1.9                                             0                                          0
African exchanges and boost cross-            Cameroon                                                          1.1                                     0.5                                            1.3                                         0
border activity. In April, it began           Ethiopia                                                           -                                       -                                              0                                          0
procurement for an order-routing              Angola                                                             -                                       -                                             7.5                                       31.8
technology platform to enable a               Lesotho                                                            -                                       -                                              0                                          0

broker on one exchange to channel a          Source: Refinitiv, national stock exchanges, national central banks, World Federation of Exchanges, the Association of
                                             African Exchange, OMFIF analysis
client’s buy or sell order to a broker
on a second exchange where a target
security is listed. The AELP is a joint
initiative by the African Securities
Exchanges Association and the African        Figure 1.3: Seychelles, Malawi and Cameroon trump decline in equity
Development Bank to encourage                market capitalisations
pan-African investment flows. It is          Market capitalisation, % of GDP
funded by the Korea-Africa Economic
Co-operation Trust Fund through the          350
African Development Bank.                    300
Pilot exchanges that are participating
                                             250
in the project include: Bourse
Régionale des Valeurs Mobilières,            200
Casablanca Stock Exchange, the
Egyptian Exchange, Johannesburg              150
Stock Exchange, Nairobi Securities           100
Exchange, the Nigerian Stock
Exchange, and Stock Exchange of               50
Mauritius.
                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mozambique
                                                   South Africa

                                                                                                                                                                               Ivory Coast

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Cameroon
                                                                             Seychelles
                                                                  Botswana

                                                                                          Morocco
                                                                                                    Mauri�us

                                                                                                                                                                                                             Tanzania
                                                                                                                                                            Namibia
                                                                                                               Rwanda
                                                                                                                        Senegal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Eswa�ni
                                                                                                                                  Malawi

                                                                                                                                                                      Uganda
                                                                                                                                                   Zambia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Nigeria

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Angola
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ghana
                                                                                                                                           Kenya

                                                                                                                                                                                             Egypt

Cameroon’s Douala Stock Exchange
merged with the regional Bourse
des Valeurs Mobilières de l’Afrique
Centrale last year, raising its equity
market capitalisation to 1.1% of GDP.
                                                                                                                                       Mid-2019                       Mid-2020
This earns Cameroon extra points for
                                             Sources: National securities exchanges, national central banks, World Federation of Exchanges,
market size, though it loses roughly         Association of African Exchanges, OMFIF analysis
the same amount for market liquidity.

                                                                                                                                                                      Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 17
Pictured: Dewdrops on a South African sunflower

  Pillar 2:
  Access to foreign exchange
  18 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Easing restrictions
Loosening capital controls has improved liquidity in some foreign exchange markets,
but further easing is needed to encourage greater activity.

      Figure 2.1: Active foreign exchange market improves Ghana’s standing
Figure 2.1: Active foreign exchange market improves Ghana’s standing
      Scores for Pillar 2 indicators, max=400; harmonised score, max=100 (RHS)
Scores for Pillar 2 indicators, max=400; harmonised score, max=100 (RHS)
400                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        90
350
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        80
300
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        70
250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        60

200                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        40
150
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        30
100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20
 50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10

  0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                                              Eswatini
                                                                                 Tanzania

                                                                                                                                Mauritius

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Ethiopia
       South Africa

                               Rwanda

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Nigeria
                                                     Egypt
                                                             Botswana
                                                                        Zambia

                                                                                                      Kenya
                                                                                                              Namibia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Angola
                      Uganda

                                        Seychelles

                                                                                                                        Ghana

                                                                                                                                                                                         Mozambique
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Cameroon
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Malawi
                                                                                            Lesotho

                                                                                                                                            Morocco
                                                                                                                                                      Ivory Coast
                                                                                                                                                                    Senegal

                               Net portfolio investment to reserves                                                                     Interbank foreign exchange turnover
                               Foreign exchange capital controls                                                                        Official exchange rate reporting standard
                               Pillar 2 harmonised score (RHS)

Sources: International Monetary Fund, national central banks, OMFIF analysis. Note: The harmonised score (RHS)
represents the average of all Pillar 2 indicators and is used to compile the total scores for Pillars 1-6.
MoreSources:   International
     information  on p.38-39. Monetary Fund, national central banks, OMFIF analysis. Note: The
      harmonised score (RHS) represents the average of all Pillar 2 indicators and is used to
      compile the total scores for Pillars 1-6. More information on p.38-39.

                                                                                                                                                                                           Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 19
Pillar 2 evaluates African markets’             local assets spurred market activity.      interbank market. Angola introduced
openness to foreign investment based            Egypt’s interbank exchange turnover        new rules at the beginning of the
on the ease of moving capital, liquidity        spiked in March to $15.3bn, five           year that encouraged oil companies
of foreign exchange markets, rigidity           times higher than its average monthly      to sell foreign exchange directly to
of foreign exchange regimes and                 turnover of $3bn in 2019.                  commercial banks.
availability of reliable foreign exchange
                                                South Africa has the highest interbank     These companies will become
data. It considers countries’ resilience
                                                foreign exchange turnover by a large       another source of foreign currency
to volatility by measuring portfolio
                                                margin, despite the fact it has been       for commercial banks and reduce
flows against foreign exchange
                                                on a steady decline for the last several   the market’s reliance on the Banco
reserves. Since the first edition of
                                                years. Turnover was $929.3bn in 2019,      Nacional de Angola. This has been
the index in 2017, several countries
                                                helping the country maintain top place     undertaken alongside the introduction
have loosened capital controls and                                                         of Bloomberg trading infrastructure to
moved towards more flexible exchange            in Pillar 2.
                                                                                           automate transaction processes on the
regimes.                                        Nearly half the countries in the index     foreign exchange market. The reforms
On average, scores in this pillar were          have markets with negligible interbank     should encourage greater trading in
largely unchanged. Generally, countries         foreign exchange turnover, with            the interbank foreign exchange market.
maintained strong reserve positions,            central banks playing a large role in
although there was more variability in          allocating foreign currencies. Some        Portfolio flows and reserves
foreign exchange activity.                      are taking measures to promote the
                                                                                           Fluctuations in the ratio of portfolio
An increase in foreign exchange                                                            flows to foreign exchange reserves led
liquidity and a lower ratio of portfolio                                                   to several ranking changes. A higher
flows to reserves lift Ghana five                                                          ratio indicates potential difficulty
                                                                                           for central banks in meeting foreign
places in Pillar 2. The country’s                  ‘Nearly half the                        currency demand from investors.
interbank foreign exchange turnover
has been climbing steadily since it
                                                    countries in the index
                                                                                           A fall in net portfolio flows in Namibia
loosened surrender and repatriation                 have markets with                      reduced the ratio to reserves to 3.4%
requirements for exporters in 2016.                 negligible interbank                   from 8.9%, boosting the country’s
The reforms direct more foreign                     foreign exchange                       ranking in this pillar by three places.
currency through the commercial
banking system rather than through
                                                    turnover, with central                 Rwanda ranks third, climbing one place
                                                                                           due to a 61% increase in its reserves to
the central bank. Total interbank                   banks playing a large                  $1.4bn, which reduced its ratio to 0.9%
turnover reached $25.5bn in the 12                  role in allocating                     from 2%.
months to March, the third highest in               foreign currencies.’                   Angola moves up one place following
the index. Interbank turnover excluding
central bank transactions gives a gauge                                                    an improvement in its reserve position.
of local foreign exchange liquidity in                                                     In 2019, its foreign exchange reserves
the two-way market. Active interbank                                                       climbed to $16.3bn from $15.4bn.
markets are an important enabler and                                                       Its net portfolio investment came
                                                                                           down as greater acquisition of foreign
source of pricing for broader derivative
                                                                                           assets increased. After being hit badly
products whose prices are linked to
                                                                                           by the 2014 oil price decline, Angola
market exchange rates.
                                                                                           had readjusted and been running
Banks based in Morocco traded                                                              current account surpluses since 2018.
$18.6bn of foreign currency in the                                                         A halving in the value of the kwanza
12 months to June, double from the                                                         against the dollar over the last three
previous year. This was despite a drop                                                     years helped in this regard.
in liquidity between March and April
                                                                                           This year’s oil price shock has not
as a seize-up in general trade led to
                                                                                           been kind to Angola or its exchange
lower demand for foreign currency. The
                                                                                           rate. The Angolan kwanza dropped
country’s ranking remains constant
                                                                                           25% between January and September.
as its boost from foreign exchange
                                                                                           One respondent from Angola said
turnover offset a decline in score for
                                                                                           that the Covid-19 crisis and oil price
its ratio of portfolio flows to reserves.
                                                                                           crises ‘put immense pressure on the
Covid-19 had a mixed impact on                                                             exchange rate and prevent both the
foreign exchange turnover. While it                                                        authorities and international players
declined in Morocco, it increased in                                                       from undertaking any risky or complex
markets such as Egypt as sell-offs of                                                      transactions’. The largest depreciation

20 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Figure 2.2: Ghana, Zambia and Angola went into crisis with stronger FX
 positions
 Figure
 Net      2.2:investment
     portfolio  Ghana, Zambia     and%Angola went into crisis with
                         to reserves,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ‘The largest
 stronger FX positions relative to net portfolio investments                                                                                                                                                                                    depreciation has been
  Net portfolio investment to reserves, %                                                                                                                                                                                                       in Zambia, where the
   150               87
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                kwacha has fallen 40%
  60                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            against the dollar amid
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                a shortage of dollars
  50
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                resulting from lower
  40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                copper exports.’

  30

  20

  10

    0
         Mauritius

                                                Eswatini

                                                                                                                                                                                                    Rwanda

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Tanzania
                              Egypt
                                      Nigeria

                                                                                          Zambia

                                                                                                                                             Botswana
                                                           South Africa
                                                                          Kenya

                                                                                                                                                                  Namibia
                                                                                  Ghana

                                                                                                                                                                                         Cameroon
                     Malawi

                                                                                                            Angola
                                                                                                   Uganda

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lesotho
                                                                                                                     Ivory Coast

                                                                                                                                                        Morocco

                                                                                                                                                                            Seychelles

                                                                                                                                                                                                             Mozambique
                                                                                                                                   Senegal

                                                                                                    2018               2019

  Sources: International Monetary Fund, national central banks, OMFIF analysis

 Sources: International Monetary Fund, national central banks, OMFIF analysis

has been in Zambia, where the kwacha                                                                                   countries in the index grew foreign                                                                                      rates would be key to unlocking greater
has fallen 40% against the dollar amid                                                                                 exchange reserves by 5% to $256.6bn                                                                                      international activity in the market.
a shortage of dollars resulting from                                                                                   in 2019.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                In February, South Africa’s finance
lower copper exports. Ratings agencies
                                                                                                                       Mauritius has high net portfolio                                                                                         ministry announced changes to its
expect both countries will need to
                                                                                                                       investment but is less vulnerable                                                                                        foreign exchange system that will ease
renegotiate external liabilities.
                                                                                                                       to foreign exchange fluctuations                                                                                         approval processes for foreign currency
Most index currencies have depreciated                                                                                 despite the high ratio to reserves. The                                                                                  transactions. While prudential limits
against the dollar, with an average                                                                                    significant inward flow is due to its                                                                                    on domestic banks and institutional
depreciation of 8% across the index                                                                                    position as a favourable domicile for                                                                                    investors remain, these caps will be
between January and September. The                                                                                     investment funds, often comprised of                                                                                     reviewed periodically.
exceptions have been countries with                                                                                    international money invested globally.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                In September, the WAEMU delayed the
pegs to the euro: Ivory Coast, Senegal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                planned launch of its new currency,
and Cameroon, where currencies have                                                                                    Capital controls and currency
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                the eco. The eco will keep many of
strengthened.                                                                                                          regimes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                the characteristics of the CFA franc,
Since the onset of the pandemic,                                                                                       Both Nigeria and South Africa took                                                                                       including its peg to the euro and free
foreign exchange reserves have                                                                                         important steps over the last 12                                                                                         convertibility guaranteed by France.
largely held up for those countries                                                                                    months to make their market more                                                                                         However, there will be less French
with timely data available. Prior to                                                                                   accessible to international investors.                                                                                   oversight.
the virus outbreak, large annual                                                                                       The governor of the Central Bank of
increases in reserves were recorded                                                                                    Nigeria said in June that the country
in a number of index countries. Ghana                                                                                  will continue to pursue unification
and Mozambique raised reserves by                                                                                      of its various exchange rates. One
20%, while the West African Economic                                                                                   survey respondent in Nigeria said
and Monetary Union increased by 18%                                                                                    foreign exchange stability through the
and Mauritius by 15%. Collectively,                                                                                    convergence of different exchange

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 21
Pictured: Coils of Copper wire from a Zambian mine

  Pillar 3:
  Market transparency, tax
  and regulatory environment
  22 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
Supportive regulatory environment
Most index countries have tax systems that promote capital market development.
Many have adopted the International Financial Reporting Standards, though some lack
audit capacity and transparency.

Figure 3.1:
Figure  3.1:Nigeria
             Nigeriaimproves ranking
                       improves      with greater
                                  ranking         number of
                                           with greater     corporates
                                                          number       rated
                                                                   of corporates rated
Scores for Pillar 3 categories,
Scores              categories, max=800;
                                max=800;harmonised
                                         harmonisedscore,
                                                    score,max=100
                                                           max=100(RHS)
                                                                   (RHS)

700                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          90
600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          80
500                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       70
400                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          50
300                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       40
200                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          20
100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          10
   0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0
                                 Mauritius

                                                                                                                                                                                            Eswatini
        South Africa

                                                                         Rwanda
                                                                                  Zambia

                                                                                                                        Namibia
                                                     Botswana

                                                                                                             Tanzania

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Angola

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ethiopia
                       Nigeria

                                                                                           Kenya

                                                                                                                                                Egypt
                                             Ghana

                                                                                                                                                                               Mozambique
                                                                                                                                                         Seychelles

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Cameroon
                                                                Uganda

                                                                                                   Morocco

                                                                                                                                  Ivory Coast

                                                                                                                                                                      Malawi

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Senegal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Lesotho

                          Financial stability regulation                                                                                                Reporting and accounting standards
                          Tax environment                                                                                                               Financial information availability
                          Market development                                                                                                            Corporate action governance structure
                          Protection of minority of shareholders                                                                                        Existence of credit rating
                          Pillar 3 harmonised score (RHS)
Source: Bank for International Settlements, International Financial Reporting Standards, Deloitte International Accounting
Standard Plus, World Bank, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch, GCR Ratings, OMFIF analysis. Note: Category scores (LHS)
provide the average of indicator scores within each category. The harmonised score (RHS) represents the average of all Pillar
3Source:  Bank
  indicators and isfor International
                    used to compile theSettlements,      International
                                        total scores for Pillars            Financial Reporting
                                                                 1-6. More information on p.38-39. Standards,
Deloitte International Accounting Standard Plus, World Bank Doing Business, Standard &
Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch, GCR Ratings, OMFIF analysis. Note: Category scores (LHS) provide the
average of indicator scores within each category. The harmonised score (RHS) represents the
average of all Pillar 3 indicators and is used to compile the total scores for Pillars 1-6. More
information on p.38-39.                                                 Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020 | 23
A healthy market environment is                                                                       3, but may be nearing an inflection
key to attracting capital. Pillar 3               Figure 3.2: Ghana offers                            point. One survey respondent said the
scores countries based on regulatory              investors generous tax rates                        country’s capital market development
frameworks, tax systems and market                Witholding tax rates, %                             initiatives were beginning to bear fruit
transparency. Overall, countries perform                                                              in the form of a friendlier and simpler
                                                                        Interest        Dividends
best in this pillar, scoring 67 out of 100                                                            tax system. Along with Ivory Coast,
                                                  Ghana                 8		              8
on average. This is unchanged from last           Ivory Coast           10		             10           Angola has tax discounts on income
year, but has improved from 63 in the             Ethiopia              10		             10           from longer-term government bonds,
inaugural 2017 edition of the index.              Morocco               10		             15           which could help bond market activity
                                                  Namibia               10		             20           and foster the formation of a yield
Morocco rises six places, gaining points          Nigeria               10		             10           curve against which other assets can be
for additional corporate ratings from             Tanzania              10		             5
                                                                                                      priced. Angola’s first tax treaty, which
international ratings agencies as well as         Eswatini              10		             12.5
                                                  Botswana
                                                                                                      it signed with Portugal, came into force
for a higher score for the protection of                                15		             7.5
                                                  Kenya                 15		             15           in late 2019. It is no longer the only
minority shareholders. As of September,
                                                  Mauritius             15		             0            country in the index without a double
there were nine corporate ratings, a
                                                  Rwanda                15		             10           taxation agreement.
new high for Morocco since the index              Seychelles            15		             15
began. The World Bank has highlighted             South Africa          15		             20           Accounting standards
Morocco’s progress in strengthening               Uganda                15		             15
minority investor protection through              Angola                15		             10           There is wide adoption of International
‘expanding shareholders’ role in major            Senegal               16		             10           Financial Reporting Standards across
                                                  Cameroon              16.5		           16.5         the index countries, with most requiring
transactions, promoting independent
                                                  Egypt                 20		             10
directors, increasing transparency                                                                    listed firms to report according to
                                                  Mozambique            20		             10
on directors’ employment in other                 Zambia                20		             20
                                                                                                      IFRS. The lowest-scoring countries for
companies, and making it easier to                Malawi                20		             10           accounting standards are Ethiopia and
request general meetings’.                        Lesotho               20		             25           Seychelles, but it is an area of focus
                                                                                                      among business leaders and policy-
Kenya climbs two places after scoring             Source: Deloitte, OMFIF analysis.
                                                                                                      makers in both. Larger corporates in
                                                  Note: WHT may be reduced under applicable tax
better in corporate governance                    treaties. Where applicable, the rate shown is for   Seychelles are gradually taking up the
                                                  non-residents
structure. The Kenyan Capital Markets                                                                 IFRS, and major banks and insurers have
Authority issued guidance allowing                                                                    already adopted these standards. In
listed firms to purchase their own                                                                    2018, Ethiopia gave banks three years
shares. These share buybacks, which             Both have low levels of withholding                   to transition to IFRS from Generally
can help encourage stock market                 taxes and a high number of double                     Accepted Accounting Principles. Wider
activity, boost the country’s score in          taxation treaties with other countries.               roll-out is planned for non-financial
this indicator.                                 Mauritius generally has no withholding                firms and small- and medium-sized
                                                tax on dividends, but some are specified              enterprises.
Tax environment
                                                in tax treaties.
                                                                                                      Covid-19 is making it challenging to
Tanzania and Ethiopia score highly for
                                                Survey respondents in Ghana said its                  meet financial reporting requirements.
their low rates of withholding tax on
                                                tax system was ‘broadly supportive’ of                IFRS 9, which came into effect in 2018,
income from interest and dividends,
                                                capital market development. Ghanaian                  requires banks to estimate expected
with Tanzania improving its score by
                                                regulators are using tax breaks to                    credit losses based on historic, current
levying a lower rate of withholding tax
                                                develop new market segments. From                     and forecasted economic conditions.
for dividends paid out by listed firms.
                                                this year, the fees charged by a local                The uncertain environment makes
In Tanzania, the rate of withholding tax
                                                fund manager for the management of                    this more difficult and may exacerbate
falls to 5% for dividends from listed
                                                a licensed private equity fund, venture               problems in fulfilling capital adequacy
firms compared with 10% for unlisted
                                                capital fund or mutual fund are exempt                requirements.
firms. Mozambique has taken a similar
approach. Dividends from listed firms           from value-added tax and the country’s                Even with higher standards in place,
are subject to a 10% withholding tax            health and education levies. Private                  survey respondents often cited a
rather than the unlisted rate of 20%.           equity is increasingly being viewed as                lack of audit capacity as a barrier to
Ethiopia has a low withholding tax rate         a means to provide capital to smaller                 improvements in financial transparency.
of 10% on dividends and has the sixth-          firms and create a pipeline of companies              Other respondents noted that their
highest number of tax treaties in the           that can list on stock exchanges. Gains               markets do not tend to have a culture of
index with 18.                                  from the realisation of securities listed             transparency.
                                                on the Ghana Stock Exchange are
On the measures used in this survey,                                                                  Across the index countries, survey
                                                exempt from tax until next year.
Morocco and Mauritius offer the most                                                                  respondents said that major financial
attractive tax environments overall.            Angola maintains a low ranking in Pillar              institutions, often subject to additional

24 | Absa Africa Financial Markets Index 2020
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