A Guide for Advocates - Update: Friday, May 27th - Navigator Research
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Update: Friday, May 27th A Guide for Advocates The following data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shootingThis at data Robb is from a survey conducted Elementary School in entirely Uvalde,before Texastheon mass Mayshooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. 24th, 2022. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Key Takeaways: • When presented with a range of recent news items, the shooting in Buffalo and the leak of the draft decision of Roe v. Wade are the two Americans say are the biggest deal to them personally. • A majority say inflation is one of their top four most important issues and a quarter say it is their number one issue; only a quarter see Biden and Congress focused on it and Republicans hold an 8-point trust advantage. • Americans report feeling frustrated, uneasy, and angry about politics; among those who feel “hopeful” or “engaged and interested in taking action,” abortion is their top priority. This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. The following Nationwide data surveysis of from a survey registered conducted voters; Each entirely wave represents before approximately 1,000the masstaken over the prior three-five days. interviews shooting atwave Latest Robb Elementary conducted May 19-MaySchool 23, 2022.in ForUvalde, Texas more info, visit on May 24 , 2022. navigatorresearch.orgth
Americans Feel the Draft Decision on Roe and the Mass Shooting in Buffalo Are the Biggest Deals for Them Personally Democrats are more likely to rate news on the Roe draft decision, recent mass shootings, and coronavirus news as “very big deals” to them than Republicans by at least 15+ point margins. Below is a list of stories that have been in the news lately. Different people care about some stories more than others. Please rate each story on this list from zero to 10 using the following scale. You can pick any number from 0 to 10, where 10 means it is a big deal to you personally and 0 means it's not a big deal at all. Very big deal Somewhat big Not a big Total Very Big Deal % hearing a (9-10) deal (6-8) deal (0-5) Dem Ind Rep Black Hisp. White AAPI about item lot The leaked draft decision from the Supreme Court on Roe v. Wade that would overturn the ruling that protects the right to an abortion 41 35 24 51 22 35 42 47 41 40 49 The mass shooting that targeted Black Americans in a grocery store in Buffalo, New York 39 36 25 49 28 29 58 52 34 26 50 The Federal Reserve raising interest rates 35 41 24 36 27 36 38 36 34 38 26 The United States hitting one million deaths from the coronavirus pandemic 35 34 31 49 25 22 50 49 31 27 35 The fall of the Ukrainian city of Mariupol to Russian forces 32 40 28 40 22 25 34 46 30 24 35 A shortage of baby formula in the United States 34 35 31 34 27 35 47 44 30 23 62 A gunman attacking a Taiwanese church in Laguna Woods, California 29 37 33 39 21 21 43 48 25 20 22 The potential for a new surge in coronavirus cases in the United States following rising cases in Europe and China 31 36 34 42 28 19 42 40 27 35 27 This Thisdata datais isfrom from a survey conducted a survey conductedentirely before entirely the the before mass shooting mass at Robb shooting Elementary at Robb School Elementary in Uvalde, School Texas Texas in Uvalde, on Mayon 24th, May2022. 24th, 2022. Nationwide Nationwidesurvey surveysof 998 registeredvoters; of registered voters conducted Each wave May 19-Mayapproximately represents 23, 2022. 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. For morewave Latest info,conducted visit navigatorresarch.org. May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
A Majority of Americans Rank Inflation as a Top Four Issue, While Just a Quarter Say Biden and Congress Are Focused on It There is a 28-point gap between the share who feel Biden and Congress are focused on inflation (26%) and who want them to be (54%). • Since early May prior to the leaked draft decision, there has also been an 11-point increase in the share who say abortion is a top issue (from 10% to 21%), and a 23-point increase in the share who say Biden and Congress are most focused on it (from 12% to 35%). Select the top four issues that you feel are most important for President Joe Which of these issues do you feel President Joe Biden and Congress Biden and Congress to focus on. are actually most focused on? May 9th May 2nd May 9th May 2nd Inflation 54% 53 49 Nat. security & foreign policy, inc. Ukraine 41% 40 45 Jobs and the economy 50 51 51 The coronavirus pandemic 39 43 39 Nat. security & foreign policy, inc. Ukraine 31 31 39 Abortion 35 29 12 The coronavirus pandemic 29 23 25 Climate change and the environment 28 33 33 Immigration 27 28 30 Inflation 26 24 23 Health care 25 31 27 Jobs and the economy 26 30 26 Social Security and Medicare 25 25 30 Immigration 19 15 19 Corruption in government 25 24 25 Voting rights 18 18 20 Climate change and the environment 24 24 25 Health care 14 15 12 Crime 23 22 23 Crime 12 9 11 Abortion 21 19 10 Social Security and Medicare 10 10 13 Voting rights 17 18 12 Corruption in government 10 9 10 Education 13 12 13 Education 8 7 10 This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Inflation Is Americans’ Top Priority, Followed By Jobs and the Economy With Other Issues Ranking Notably Lower There has been an 11-point increase since February in the share who say inflation is their number one issue (from 14% to 25%) while there has been a 10-point decline in the share saying the pandemic is their number one issue (from 18% to 8%). Select the top four issues that you feel are most important for President Joe Biden and Congress to focus on. [If choice in previous] Below are the items you chose in the previous question. Please rank them in order of importance for President Biden and Congress to focus on, with 1 being the most important. #1 issue (most % Chose Issue as #1 Priority important) #2 #3 #4 Not ranked as top 4 issue February 22 January 24 Inflation 25 14 8 7 46 14 12 Jobs and the economy 19 14 8 9 50 19 16 The coronavirus pandemic 8 8 7 5 71 18 25 Abortion 7 5 5 5 79 2 2 Climate change and the environment 6 6 7 5 76 6 5 Immigration 5 8 7 6 73 5 6 National security and foreign policy, inc. Ukraine 5 9 10 7 69 8 6 Social Security and Medicare 5 7 8 5 75 4 4 Health care 5 9 7 5 75 5 5 Corruption in government 4 6 6 9 75 7 6 Voting rights 34 6 4 83 5 5 Crime 3 8 6 5 77 4 4 Education 3 5 87 2 1 This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
While Biden and Democrats Are More Trusted on a Range of Issues, Republicans Have an Edge on Top Two Priorities The Republican Party is more trusted on inflation (net +8) and jobs and the economy (+3), which remain Americans’ top two issues; Biden and Democrats are more trusted on issues including the pandemic (net +10), health care (+6), and Social Security/Medicare (+8). Below is a list of issues. Please indicate who you trust more to handle each one. Biden and the The Republican Net Biden and the Democratic Party Democratic Party Don’t know Party Overall Dem Ind Rep Black Hisp. White AAPI % Top Issue The coronavirus pandemic 48 14 38 +10 +78 0 -65 +70 +13 -3 +28 29 Climate change and the environment 47 19 34 +13 +73 +1 -51 +64 +17 +3 +32 24 Health care 46 14 40 +6 +75 +2 -71 +65 +12 -7 +24 25 Social Security and Medicare 46 16 38 +8 +73 -4 -62 +65 +3 -2 +15 25 Voting rights 45 15 40 +5 +74 -3 -71 +63 +16 -7 +15 17 Abortion 45 17 38 +7 +71 -5 -62 +55 +13 -4 +29 21 Education 44 17 39 +5 +69 0 -67 +64 +4 -7 +27 13 Jobs and the economy 42 13 45 -3 +67 -16 -80 +57 +6 -15 -2 50 Natl. security and foreign policy, incl. Ukraine 41 16 43 -2 +63 -8 -75 +50 +1 -13 +8 31 Immigration 40 15 45 -5 +61 -21 -76 +48 +4 -16 +6 27 Corruption in government 40 22 38 +2 +64 -10 -65 +55 +1 -9 +22 25 Inflation 39 14 47 -8 +58 -17 -79 +55 -2 -20 -4 54 Crime 38 17 45 -7 +56 -21 -77 +56 -10 -19 -3 23 This Thisdata datais isfrom from a survey conducted a survey conductedentirely before entirely the the before mass shooting mass at Robb shooting Elementary at Robb School Elementary in Uvalde, School Texas Texas in Uvalde, on Mayon 24th, May2022. 24th, 2022. Nationwide Nationwidesurvey surveysof 998 registeredvoters; of registered voters conducted Each wave May 19-Mayapproximately represents 23, 2022. 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. For morewave Latest info,conducted visit navigatorresarch.org. May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Americans Report Feeling “Frustrated,” “Uneasy,” and “Angry” About Current Politics Six in ten independents feel “frustrated” with politics (61%). • At the same time, Democrats (58%), Black Americans (52%), and AAPI Americans (40%) are most likely to feel “hopeful” about politics since Biden was elected. Below are some emotions people feel about politics. Please select ALL that you have felt about politics since Biden was elected. Dem Ind Rep Black Hispanic White AAPI Frustrated 59% 39 61 81 31 47 66 58 Uneasy 50 31 47 73 25 46 56 39 Angry 39 19 36 62 18 29 44 33 Scared 38 22 34 57 21 28 42 38 Exhausted 36 28 36 46 23 27 40 25 Hopeful 34 58 21 10 52 34 30 40 Relieved 23 43 9 5 31 24 21 25 Engaged and interested in taking action 22 33 14 13 30 28 20 27 Excited 15 25 8 6 23 20 13 16 This Thisdata datais isfrom from a survey conducted a survey conductedentirely before entirely the the before mass shooting mass at Robb shooting Elementary at Robb School Elementary in Uvalde, School Texas Texas in Uvalde, on Mayon 24th, May2022. 24th, 2022. Nationwide Nationwidesurvey surveysof 998 registeredvoters; of registered voters conducted Each wave May 19-Mayapproximately represents 23, 2022. 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. For morewave Latest info,conducted visit navigatorresarch.org. May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Thinking of Their Emotions and Politics, Americans Still Place Inflation as Their Top Concern For those feeling positive emotions about politics, those who are “hopeful” (41%), “relieved” (43%), “engaged and interested in taking action”* (42%), and “excited” (35%) say abortion is a top issue. Thinking more about your emotions as they relate to politics…select up to four issues that have made you more interested in paying closer attention to what’s going on in the country today. Frustrated Uneasy Angry Scared Exhausted Hopeful Relieved Engaged...* Excited Inflation 53% 63 66 65 61 57 41 41 39 35 Jobs and the economy 37 42 44 44 42 40 26 30 35 31 Abortion 30 29 27 25 29 31 41 43 42 35 National security and foreign policy, inc. Ukraine 30 33 35 33 29 32 35 38 36 28 The coronavirus pandemic 30 25 24 18 24 26 43 46 35 41 Immigration 27 38 39 44 38 31 12 12 22 12 Corruption in government 25 32 33 38 34 34 20 21 23 20 Crime 23 25 25 26 27 26 20 13 20 21 Social Security and Medicare 22 21 20 21 20 17 25 24 25 26 Health care 20 17 15 15 18 20 26 24 23 29 Climate change and the environment 20 15 13 12 16 20 33 37 30 36 Voting rights 19 18 16 17 16 20 29 31 33 30 Education 12 10 12 13 13 13 15 11 13 17 This Thisdata datais isfrom froma survey a surveyconducted conductedentirely before entirely the the before mass shooting mass at Robb shooting Elementary at Robb School Elementary in Uvalde, School Texas Texas in Uvalde, on Mayon 24th, May2022. 24th, 2022. *Full text: “Engaged Nationwide surveysand interested in of registered takingEach voters; action.” wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Nationwide Latest wave survey of 998 May conducted registered 19-Mayvoters conducted 23, 2022. May 19-May For more 23,navigatorresearch.org info, visit 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresarch.org.
Biden’s Approval Ratings See Decline in Most Recent Survey Biden has seen a worsening of his approval ratings on a range of issues since May 2nd: his economic approval has declined by 6 points (from -16 to -22) and his approval on his handling of the situation in Ukraine has declined by 9 points (from -1 to -10). Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling… Net Approval Approve Not sure Disapprove May 23 May 9 May 2 April 18 April 4 His job as president 42 56 -14 -9 -13 -6 -7 The economy 37 4 59 -22 -16 -16 -15 -11 The coronavirus pandemic 49 4 47 +2 n/a +7 +7 +6 The situation in Ukraine 41 8 51 -10 n/a -1 -3 -4 This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
One in Ten Americans Report Voting for Biden in 2020, But Disapprove of His Handling of the Economy The 12% of Americans who report voting for Biden in 2020 but now disapprove of his handling of the economy are overwhelmingly Democrats (80%), are more likely to be non-college educated (56%), and identify as liberal (41%) or moderate (47%). • On the issues, this group overwhelmingly supports Biden and Democrats’ new economic plan (80% support), they are pro- choice (73%), and they don’t think Washington has done enough on gun violence prevention (77%). Democrat Independent Republican Party self-identification 80 11 9 2020 Biden Voters Who Disapprove of Black/AA White Hispanic/Latino AAPI His Handling of the Economy (12% of Racial breakdown 21 58 12 9 audience) Non-college College Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Education status 56 44 Biden is handling the economy? Disapprove, & Liberal Moderate Conservative Voted for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential Ideology 41 47 13 election (self-report) Support Not sure Oppose Support for Biden and Democrats’ new economic plan 80 8 12 Pro-choice Not sure Pro-life Personal feelings on abortion 73 6 21 Has done enough Has not done enough Has Washington done enough on gun violence? 23 77 This *”Economically Thisdata datais isfrom *”Parents” Nationwide Nationwide are persuadable from survey survey a survey defined aof conducted survey of1,002 2,833 1,000 Americans” asregistered those conductedentirely with 2020 voters are those before areleased child entirely voters who the disapprove under before mass the the November conducted shooting age mass August July of 3rd; of 18 Biden’s shooting 26-August 15-July at Robb living Results 19, at 30,handling Elementary at2021. home Robb adjusted 2021. toof the withSchool Elementary economy, them. reflect in FiveThirtyEight Uvalde, School final but support Texas Texas in Uvalde, on new Mayeconomic on Forecast24th, May 2022. legislation 24th, (53.4% for2022. Biden, on Nationwide Forseparate 45.4%more forinfo, Nationwide Nationwide survey questions. Trump);visit of surveys surveys 998 ofNationwide registered interviews of survey votersof navigatorresearch.org. registered voters; conducted registered voters; conducted 1,001 Each October Each registered wave wave May 19-May voters represents 30-November represents 23, conducted 2022. October approximately 3, 2020. approximately 22-25, 1,000interviews 1,000 2021. interviews takenover taken overthe theprior priorthree-five three-fivedays. days. For For more Latest more Latest waveinfo, wave info, visit visitnavigatorresarch.org. conducted conducted navigatorresearch.org May15-July July 19-May19, 23,2021. 2022.For Formore moreinfo, info,visit visitnavigatorresearch.org navigatorresearch.org
Americans Believe Biden Values Hard Work, But Most Do Not Believe He Is Reaching Across the Aisle For those who voted for Biden in 2020 but disapprove of his current handling of the economy, while they feel he “values hard work” (71% describes well), “is trying to do what’s best for the country” (61%), and “shares my values” (56%), fewer say he “stands up for the middle class” (44%) or “is reaching across the aisle to get things done” (34%). Below is a list of words and phrases. For each, please indicate how well it describes President Biden. Total Well Feb 7th *Biden Voter, Well Not well Disapp. Econ. He values hard work 53 47 58 71 He is trying to do what's best for the country 50 50 54 61 He shares my values 47 53 47 56 He stands up for the middle class 46 54 51 44 He looks out for people like me 45 55 n/a 49 He is a strong leader 45 55 45 46 He brings stability to the country 45 55 46 40 He is up to the job of President 44 56 49 42 He is reaching across the aisle to get things done 43 57 46 34 *”Biden This datavoter, is fromdisapprove a survey conducted on the economy” entirely are before those therespondents mass shooting whoatself-report Robb Elementary voting for School BidenininUvalde, 2020 but Texas say on they May disapprove 24th, 2022. of his handling of Nationwide the economy. surveys This data of registered is from a survey voters;conducted Each wave entirely represents before approximately the mass shooting 1,000 interviews at Robb Elementary taken over the School priorinthree-five Uvalde, Texas days.on May 24th, 2022. Latest wave surveys Nationwide conducted of registered May 19-May voters; 23, 2022. Each wave For more represents info, visit approximately navigatorresearch.org 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three-five days. Latest wave conducted May 19-May 23, 2022. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
About Navigator For Press inquiries contact: In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment press@navigatorresearch.org analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global To learn more about Navigator: Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Joel Payne, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive http://navigatorresearch.org strategist; Navin Nayak, Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund. @NavigatorSurvey on Twitter About the Study Global Strategy Group conducted public opinion surveys among a sample of 998 registered voters from May 19- May 23, 2022. 102 additional interviews were conducted among Hispanic voters. 62 additional interviews were conducted among Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. 105 additional interviews were conducted among African American voters. 102 additional interviews were conducted among independent voters. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from an opt-in online panel vendor. Respondents were verified against This data is from a survey conducted entirely before the mass shooting at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas on May 24th, 2022. a voter file andsurveys Nationwide special of care wasvoters; registered takenEach to ensure the demographic wave represents approximately composition 1,000 interviews of ourover taken sample matched the prior three-five that days. of the national registered Latest wave conductedvoter population May 19-May 23, 2022.across For morea variety info, visit of demographic variables. navigatorresearch.org
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