3-D CLIENT VALUE ASSESSMENT FOR ACRE RWANDA MAIZE & LIVESTOCK INSURANCE PRODUCTS - Findings & Recommendations brief for ACRE Rwanda August 2020 - ILO
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3-D CLIENT VALUE ASSESSMENT FOR ACRE RWANDA MAIZE & LIVESTOCK INSURANCE PRODUCTS Findings & Recommendations brief for ACRE Rwanda August 2020
TABLE OF CONTENTS 3-D CLIENT VALUE ASSESSMENT FOR ACRE RWANDA MAIZE & LIVESTOCK INSURANCE PRODUCTS 1.0 Introduction 4 About 3-D Tool 5 Methodology 6 2.0 Finding and Recommendation Scores- Overview of 3-D Assessment Findings per 7 Indicator Assessed 2.1 Design 1. Product Reliability to predict farmer’s experience 8 2. Cover appropriate activities 10 3. Cover appropriate risk 11 4. Enables productive Investment decision making 12 5. Minimizes Gaps in coverage 13 2.2 Distribution 6. Covered farmers are adequately informed of product 15 details 7. Staff and agents are adequately trained, incentivized 16 and supervised to inform clients and sell responsibly 8. Payment process Minimizes liquidity constraints 18 9. Product is inclusive 19 3.0 Delivery 10. Product Delivers adequate Coverage for money 20 11. Benefits Delivered in a Timely Manner 21 12. Procedure to Deliver benefits is reliable and 22 understood 13. Provider is responsive and Proactive about Questions 23 14. Covered farmers receive evidence of coverage 24 Annex 1 Acre Rwanda Client portfolio analysis 25 3
1.0 Introduction11 ACRE ACRE Africa Africa started started its its operations operations in in Rwanda Rwanda in in July July 2012 2012 resulted level. The from the changing financial education landscape proposal on under under the the Kilimo Kilimo Salama Salama Project. Project. The The feasibility feasibility study study was was the is insurance also intended delivery channelfinancial to enhance working conducted by Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable conducted by Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable Agriculture Agriculture with the government literacy for smallholder through farmers MINAGRI.and (SFSA) (SFSA) with with the the support support from from Access Access to to Finance Finance Rwanda Rwanda key stakeholders in the Agricultural (AFR) (AFR) and the Ministry of Agriculture and Animal and the Ministry of Agriculture and Animal Resources Resources Invalue orderchain to reposition targetingitself to the 138,000 (MINAGRI). (MINAGRI). The The goal goal of of the the feasibility feasibility study study was was toto investigate investigate changing smallholder business farmers, environment 170 officials andfrom the the potential potential of of developing developing cropcrop and and livestock livestock insurance insurance meet the needs of Micro-Finance the stakeholders, Institutions (MFI) and products products in in Rwanda. Rwanda. The The Syngenta Syngenta Foundation Foundation (SFSA) (SFSA) team team ACRE Africa submitted cooperatives, two proposals 20 Agricultural input conducting conducting thisthis study study focussed focussed on on establishing establishing the the commercial commercial tosuppliers Swiss capacity and 250 Building Government Fund (SCBF) extension viability viability of of 10 10 agricultural agricultural value value chains chains in in the the Country. Country. Analysis Analysis inofficers. 2019 seeking funding This blended approach ofsupport for was was done on maize, wheat, sorghum, beans, Irish potatoes, done on maize, wheat, sorghum, beans, Irish potatoes, product utilisingupscale and financial behaviour-based education research with coffee, coffee, tea, tea, rice, rice, cassava, cassava, andand dairy dairy livestock. livestock. The The outcome outcome of of campaigns linked to financial literacy product linked upscale to agriculture the the study study found found out out that that smallholder smallholder farmers farmers are were exposed exposedtoto initiatives. insuranceProductofferingupscaleaims ataimed increasing various various risks risks and and recommended recommended the the introduction introduction of of innovative innovative atcapacity facilitating agricultural within market insurance the agricultural insurance insurance products products for for these these value value chains chains to to be be delivered delivered development value chain with by improving a projectexisting goal of serving mainly mainly through through cooperatives cooperatives and and financial financial institutions. institutions. products based 3,960 by August 2021. on assessment of current insurance schemes from the Maize Kilimowas Salamaranked number project one onon prioritized insurance Maize crop business viability insurance perspective To achieveof clients these goalsusing and3-D client solve the scale followed beginning by dairy its pilot roll-out cows. Based in 2012 on these season findings, Maize A (October value assessment challenge of current toollow designed business by the product 2012-March was piloted 2013). Thein 2012pilotseason A (Octoberon2012-March was successful, boarding ILO Impact ACRE volumes, Insurance Rwanda Facility and Future contracted 2013). 20,000The pilot was farmers and thesuccessful, scheme on-boarding showing potential 20,000for farmers growth Innovation ClimaTechLab RiskforSolutions Assets and as aMarket and with the in farmer scheme numbers andshowing products potential portfolio foruntil growth in farmer 2015. There Access consultant(AMAtoInnovation conduct the Lab) 3-DatClient UC numbers was growth andinproducts businessportfolio betweenuntil 2012 2015. and There 2016 butwasthis growth Davis. On the value assessment. other hand, the financial in business between 2012 and 2016 but milestone was quickly fading from basis risk. Smallholder this milestone was education proposal aimed at identifying hampered by basis risk. Smallholder farmers remained exposed to loss of crops with minimal farmers remained exposed or behavioural aspects key to improving About ClimaTech Risk Solutions to noloss of crops with compensation minimal (payout) and or the no compensation risk transfer through(payout) due crop understanding of the technical product to the prevalence insurance for theseof farmers basis riskdecreased and the risk transfer in value through crop subsequent aspects in order to stimulate demand insurance for these2014 years, 2017-2019. farmers sawdecreased the introductionin value offor subsequent Livestock in ClimaTech the long termconsulting at small is a climate risk-consulting holder level. years, insurance2017-2019. productAlthough Maize weather for dairy farmers. index product This product showed Thefirmfinancial leveraging education technology proposal to providealso data driven was technically substantial a product potential and the thatgovernment would suit the fragmented of Rwanda and adopted intended to enhance financial risk management solutions for agricultural literacy for scattered it for the “one cow program” as a risk management solutionof smallholder farming systems in Rwanda, the use smallholder farmers and key stakeholders and climate risks. The Kenyan based firm has satellite rainfall for livestock data toThe farmers. compute product the produceattributes desirable loss was laidbeyond a in the Agricultural value chain targeting consulting operations in Africa, Asia and Latin farmer’s understanding. strong foundation for National Livestock Insurance scheme 138,000 smallholder farmers, 170 officials under the Ministry of Agriculture Rwanda (MINAGRI). The America; from designing, evaluating Micro-Finance Institutions and(MFI) implementing 2014 openingsawup theofintroduction Livestock insuranceof Livestock market insurance product by MINAGRI, and cooperatives, customized 20 Agricultural risk management solutionsinputfor for dairy farmers. This Product was through national insurance scheme had huge impact on trailed for 3 years under Acre’s suppliers and 250 Government smallholder farmers, to enable them to better extension ACRE Africa pilot program. The amount business strategy. This resulted from the changing landscape of data generated, officers. This blended approach of understand and manage their risk. These and the success on insurance accumulated delivery over the with channel working coverthe period was government utilising behaviour-based research with solutions have enabled smallholder farmers to used throughto sensitise MINAGRI. and bring on board the GoR as a strategic financial literacy linked to agriculture partner. The involvement of the GoR played a vital role in the develop climate insurance offering riskaims resilience, to be food secure at increasing insurance In order toprogram reposition rollitself out through various policy to the changing business directives capacity within and generate the agricultural better incomes. insurance that included and environment waiver meet of premium the needstaxation, enforcementACRE of the stakeholders, of a value chain with a project goal of serving mandatory insurance cover for every Africa submitted two proposal to Swiss capacity Building animal distributed under Fund 3,960 by August ClimaTech 2021. constitute of qualified and certified One Cow national program, a strong education (SCBF) in 2019 seeking funding support for product upscale and mobilisation trainers on 3-D Client assessment tool and has strategy vis a education and financial vis the country wide network campaigns linked to ofproduct Cooperatives, upscale To achieve these goals and solve the the introduction of 40% premium subsidy as well as high level conductedofsimilar challenge current work lowforbusiness Asuransi Usaha Tani initiatives. Product upscale aims is to facilitate agricultural Government market developmentadvocacybyand politicalexisting improving support.products Unlike Maize based on volumes, ACRE Rwanda contracted Padi (AUTP) rice insurance program in Indonesia. weather assessment indexofparametric product,schemes current insurance Livestockfrom cover is perspective the a simple ClimaTech Risk Solutions as a consultant indemnity insurance of clients using product 3-D client valuethat showed potential assessment for growth, tool designed by toClimaTech conduct the and 3-D AcreClient value 3-D field mission was the products desirable attributes laid a strong the ILO Impact Insurance Facility. On the other hand, financial foundation for assessment. implemented with the lead support from Enock the National education Livestock proposal aims Insurance to identify scheme under the behavioural Ministry aspects key of Agriculture Rwanda (MINAGRI). Thetechnical openingproduct up of Livestock Sing’oei. Enock is a former fellow from the ILO to improving understanding of the aspects insurance in order tomarket by MINAGRI, stimulate demand inthrough the longnational term at insurance small holder Impact insurance and has been involved in scheme had a big impact on ACRE ’s business strategy. This various field research on Agriculture and Climate 1 Basic risk describes misalignment between the farmer’s actual experience 1and therisk Basis insurance policy describes payout. There misalignment is where between thethe farmer actual experiences experience insurance theinsurance policy and the initiatives payout. in Africa This is where and Asia. the farmer experiences lossloss the at the at farm level and whilethe theindex indexproduct productisfails not picking the the to pick out same experience. same. 4
About ClimaTech Risk Solutions and experts who supported in Implementation. ClimaTech consulting is a climate risk-consulting firm leveraging technology to provide data driven risk management solutions for agricultural and climate risks. The Kenyan based firm has consulting operations About in Africa,the Asia3-D andTool Latin America; designing, evaluating and implementing customized risk management solutions for smallholder farmers, to enable them to better understand and manage their risks. These The 3-D tool solutions provides have enableda smallholder framework to conduct farmers to analysis for agriculture develop climate and climate risk resilience, to beinsurance products food secure with and generate the aim better of understanding the products’ value proposition to smallholder farmers. The tool provides a multi- incomes dimensional understanding of the value proposition for potential or existing clients. ClimaTech constitutes qualified and certified trainers on 3-D Client assessment tool and has conducted similar The 3-D work for Client value Asuransi assessment Usaha Tani Paditool allows (AUTP) insurance rice insuranceproviders programtoinmeasure the value of their agricultural Indonesia. insurance products. Key components of the 3-D tool are: Design, Distribution and Delivery of products. There is a total of 14and ClimaTech Indicators: Acre 3-D field mission was implemented with lead support from Enock Sing’oei. Enock is a former fellow from the ILO Impact insurance and has been involved in various field research on Agriculture and Climate insurance initiatives Dimension in Africa and Asia. Indicator At implementation, Acre1.staff Index reliably received predictson a training farmers’ experienceAcre staff were actively involved at field 3-D assessment. level and entire 3-D analysis process 2. Covers to final report appropriate production. Great appreciation Acre Staff: activities • Muthithi Kinyanjui - Head of Business Development, partnership • Thomas Design Bazarusanga3. -Covers Countryappropriate risks Manager, Rwanda. • Claude Rutaremara4.- Account EnablesAssociate, productive Acre Rwanda decision making investment • Acre Actuarial Team - (Reuben K Saina and Lawrence Kenduiywa) 5. Minimizes gaps in coverage 6. Covered farmers are adequately About the 3-D Tool Distribution 7. Staff and sales agents are not adequately trained The 3-D tool provides a 8.framework Paymenttoprocess conductminimizes analysis for agriculture liquidity and climate insurance products with constraints the aim of understanding the products’ value proposition to smallholder farmers. The tool provides a multi- 9. Product is inclusive dimensional understanding of the value proposition for potential or existing clients. 10. Product delivers adequate coverage for money The 3-D Client value assessment tool 11. Benefits allows are insurance delivered providers in a timely mannerto measure the value of their agricultural insurance products. Key components of the 3-D tool are: Design, Distribution and Delivery of products. There is 14 Indicators: 12. Procedure to deliver benefits is reliable and understood a total of Delivery 13. Provider is responsive and proactive about questions, problems and complaints Dimension Indicator 14. Covered farmers receive evidence of coverage 1. Index reliably predicts farmers’ experience 2. Covers appropriate activities Each component has specific Indicators used to score the performance of the product. Design The indicator 3. Covers score ranges appropriate from 0 to risks 2. (0= Poor, 1= average & 2= strong). This means: 4. Enables productive investment decision making 5. Minimizes gaps Indicators receivig a “Poor” in coverage Indicators receivig a Indicators receivig a score “Average” 6. Covered farmers score are adequately “Strong” score Distribution 7. Staff and sales agents are not adequately trained Important shortcomings The product meets the The product fully meets the have been identified 8. Payment process minimizes minimum liquidityset requirements constraints standards set by the 3-D by the tool, but gaps have 9. Product is inclusive Tool. Informations collected been highlighted by the 10. Product delivers adequate coverage for money throughthe 3-D Analysis analysis. Relevant insight on how to can be used to define 11. Benefits are delivered in a timely manner increase client value may still recommendations Delivery and12. Procedure toThe data deliver obtained benefits is reliable have been uncovered by the throughand understood identify potential product the 3-D Analysis can be used 3-D analysis improvements 13. Provider is responsive to addressand proactive these gaps. about questions, problems and complaints 14. Covered farmers receive evidence of coverage Each component has specific Indicators used to score the performance of the product. The indicator score ranges from 0 to 2. (0= Poor, 1= average & 2= strong). This means: 5 Indicators receivig a “Poor” Indicators receivig a Indicators receivig a
Each component has specific Indicators used to score the performance of the product. The indicator score ranges from 0 to 2. (0= Poor, 1= average & 2= strong). This means: Indicators receivig a “Poor” Indicators receivig a Indicators receivig a score “Average” score “Strong” score Important shortcomings The product meets the The product fully meets the have been identified minimum requirements set standards set by the 3-D by the tool, but gaps have Tool. Informations collected been highlighted by the throughthe 3-D Analysis analysis. Relevant insight on how to can be used to define increase client value may still recommendations and The data obtained through have been uncovered by the identify potential product the 3-D Analysis can be used 3-D analysis improvements to address these gaps. Methodology Discussions (FGD’s) with 14 groups and at least 109 farmers were conducted. 3-D Assessment of ACRE Rwanda aims at analysing the value Three districts (Kamonyi, Muhanga and that Maize and Livestock agriculture insurance products and Rwamagana) focused on Maize insurance assessment,Busegera district focused on 5 schemes provides to clients and makes recommendations to enhance value to both demand and supply side of the insurance livestock and Kigali has a mix of the two. market niche. There was more focus on Maize because over 90% of ACRE Rwanda clients are To evaluate how a product performs against the 14 indicators Maize farmers and this is a product that of client value, the 3-D tool provides specific data requirement they have had a rough experience with criteria and thresholds. A 3-D Analysis involves obtaining the as far as basis risk issues are concerned relevant information from multiple sources, conducting both since 2013. qualitative and quantitative data analysis, and obtaining a scoring for each indicator. In-depth interviews were conducted on distribution channels mainly Agricultural ACRE Rwanda shared the historical data for insured farmers cooperative officials (Ubumwe, IABM (2013-2018) for Maize Index Insurance product) and (2015- and Kohunya agricultural cooperatives), 2019 for the Livestock product). The consultant analysed the livestock veterinary distribution outlets, data with the aim of understanding historical performance of district farmers and officials under the scheme by creating KPI’s (growth ratio, causes of losses, the One Cow program and Dairy Loss ratio, retention ratio, portfolio performance per channel cooperative officials (Ruhuha Livestock and insurer, etc) for analysis – See annex 1- ACRE Rwanda farmers cooperative). Four independent client portfolio analysis. The data analysis framework employed veterinary doctors in Busegera district for this purpose was descriptive statistical analysis. This also participated in in-depth interviews. framework provides a description of data; its contents and what Interviews were conducted with it shows, it helps to simplify large amounts of data in a sensible various input suppliers, government way. Descriptive statistics therefore enables presentation of institutions and local experts involved in large data simply, meaningfully and with ease of interpretation. the implementation of the agricultural Insurance scheme with ACRE Africa The consultant and ACRE Africa team conducted a field mission and the National government, MINAGRI, on the 19th -25th January 2020 in Rwanda regions including: ACRE Rwanda staff, Radiant Insurance Kigali, Kamonyi, Muhanga, Rwamagana and Busegera districts. Company, Prime Insurance Company, On 20th January 2020, the consultant trained 3 ACRE Africa Sonarwa Insurance Company and UAP staff and 3 independent local research assistants. Focus Group Insurance Company. 6
2.0 Findings & Recommendation The The Rwanda Rwanda agricultural agricultural insurance insurance market market is is still still atnascent at the earlystage. However, formative stagewith andcurrent scale isinterventions still minimal.by the National However,government with currentthere is an increasing interventions awareness by the National and a promising government there isfuture for growth an increasing of the industry, awareness and a as such, ACREfuture promising Africafor should growthaimofto align the its strategy industry, as such, to fit the government ACRE Africa shouldprogram. Generally, aim to align ACREtoRwanda its strategy fit the scheme has a huge potential and role in bringing value to clients. ACRE Africa needs government program. Generally, ACRE Rwanda scheme has a huge potential and role in bringing value to to redefine its identity in the market clients. ACRE by playing Africa needsan to active role in redefine theidentity their governmentin therun initiative market by blending by playing it with an active roletheir in thecommercial government ventures. run initiative by blending it with their commercial ventures. The The numbers numbers correspond correspond toto each each indicator indicator assessed assessed andand the the figure figure provides provides an an overview overview of of which which indicators indicators performed performed well, well, which which ones ones performed performed satisfactorily, satisfactorily, and and which which ones ones were were underperforming. underperforming. Scores- Overview of 3-D Assessment Findings per Indicator Assessed Maize Insurance Score: Results from Results from the the overall overall quantitative quantitative and and qualitative qualitative analysis analysis shows shows that that 33 indicators indicators performed performed well well for for crop crop insurance, most insurance, most indicators indicators performed performed averagely averagely (8 (8 out out of of 14) 14) and and 44 reported reported poor poor performance. performance. Figure 11:provides Figure providesaasummary summaryof ofcrops cropsfindings findingsper perindicator: indicator: 2 1 0 2. Covers appropriate activities 3. Covers appropriate risks 1. Product reliability to predict farmer’s 4. Enables productive investment 5. Minimizes gaps in coverage experience decision making informed of product 6. Covered farmers are adequately 10. Product delivers adequate coverage for details 7. Staff and sales agents are not money 8. Payment process minimizes liquidity adequately trained 14. Covered farmers receive evidence of constraints 9. Product is inclusive coverage 11. Benefits are delivered in a timely 13. Provider is responsive and proactive manner about questions, problems and 12. Procedure to deliver benefits is complaints reliable and understood Livestock Insurance Score: Unlike crop, there a big difference on indicators performance. Livestock scheme is performing better than crop with many indicators scoring high. Most indicators performed well (8 out of 14), 5 reported medium performance and only 1 reported poor performance. Figure 2: provides a summary of livestock findings per indicator: 2 1 0 1. Product reliability to predict farmer’s 6. Covered farmers are adequately informed 14. Covered farmers receive evidence of experience of product details coverage 2. Covers appropriate activities 7. Staff and sales agents are not adequately 3. Covers appropriate risks trained 4. Enables productive investment decision 11. Benefits are delivered in a timely manner making 12. Procedure to deliver benefits is reliable 5. Minimizes gaps in coverage and understood 8. Payment process minimizes liquidity 13. Provider is responsive and proactive constraints about questions, problems and 9. Product is inclusive complaints 10. Product delivers adequate coverage for money 7
index insurance products. This is 2.1 Design caused by potentially the micro-climates caused by the varying land topography and other natural bodies such as lakes andfrom forests. Other clients andlimitations observations include 1. Index reliability predicts farmer’s experience weak(Product basis risk). data collection and Allmanagement contracts have monthly infrastructure client to required reviews informduring 2. Covers appropriate activities the cover accuracy period during in product design.which the Actuarial team sends an update on 3. Covers appropriate risks Duehow the policy to issues is performing of basis risk and the based on the index data and limited resources required to supportif any aspects 4. Enables product investment decision-making newofproducts the contract fromhave triggered. insurers/ localClients provide feedback if they underwriters, there has been a huge have any 5. Minimizes gaps in coverage concerns or have noticed losses drop in smallholder farmers and that are not subsequent valuereflected insuredinover the current the years. 01 Thecontract analysisreview. showsAll feedback istrend a decreasing 01 analysed, and indexes or dataover sources Product Reliability to predict farmer’s experience in value of insured investments Product Reliability to predict farmer’s experience may be slightly adjusted the years. Season A had the highest based on it. Indicator one looks at basic quality requirement for an insurance contract 3. Allowing the weather-based insured value in 2014 (over USD 8,000) products Maize to provideInsurance value to the client. The underlying assumption is that any to have atodynamic decreasing start,USD slightly over so that the 3,000 contract should cover the main shocks faced by farmers and provide a first day of the cover is in 2015. It was lowest in 2017 having aligned with lessthe start of the season (Temporal pay-out when Findings production - There was alosses mixedoccur. If the contract experience does not of farmers on deliver Maizeon this promise, it might have a negative impact on the farmers’ well-being. that USD 1,000. On the other hand, insurance. A bigger percentage of Maize farmers purchased basis risk). This enables the rest of Season B had an increasing trend from insurance in the past 2 years, with most farmers failing to renew the growing stages to match up with 2013-2015 dropping to less than USD Maize their coversInsurance because of high incidences of basis risk. At its the actual crop in the field. This has 1,000 in 2016. Since 2018, ACRE Rwanda inception, ACRE Africa started with Weather Index Insurance become increasingly important as farmer numbers dropped because most Findings (WII) product - There duewas to itsa potential mixed experience for farmers to cover large on areas using erratic rainfall may shift the onset of of the crop initiatives were taken over by Maize insurance. satellite and weather A bigger stationpercentage data and of Maizeafarmers provide cheaperhave the growing season by a month or National Agricultural Insurance Scheme purchased to alternative insurance over the the traditional past 1-2covers. indemnity years, withACRE most farmers Africa later more. (NAIS) 4. whichaismargin Allowing offering products in the number at of a introduced the Area Yield Index Insurance (AYII) product of failing to renew their covers because of high incidences as a subsidised rate. when setting up the basis risk. strategy toACRE resolve Africa startedofwith the issues basisWeather risk that Index Insurance are inherent in days covered (WII) and later introduced Area Yield WII products. WII had the highest basis risk and on the Index Insurance (AYII) supply index, e.g. by adding an extra 5-7 as a strategy side, the claims to resolve ratio were thehigher. issuesThe of basis analysisrisk.shows WII had theover that Recommendation: days to the average time taken in highest a particular phase (Temporal basis the pastbasic risk and five years, theon theweather pure supply side indexthe claimsreceived product ratio are The risk). consultant proposes for ACRE Rwanda higher. large for the analysis premiums and paid shows higherthat over value claims the past andfive thusyears, a highthe to invest 5. in product Limiting refinement the maximum to sufficiently distance pure weather index product has received claims ratio of 68% compared to the AYII product that has the large premiums and tailorbetween crop insurance paid higher a farm(particularly for Maize) and the weather lowest claimclaimsratio at value 17%and thus (Refer toaAnnex high claims ratio ofanalysis). 1 for further 68% to the needs and preferences of smallholder compared to the AYII product that has the lowest claim ratio station to be used (Spatial basis risk). The two products (Index and hybrid) have had limitations in farmers and agricultural cooperatives. (17%)- Refer to Annex Given the effect of topography on design in matching the1actual for further crop analysis. The twoinproducts losses resulting a negative weather patterns and rainfall, limiting have had market limitationsoninagricultural experience design in matching the actual index insurance crop products. Another recommendation is to increase the the distance technical capacityfrom for thefarmer ACRE to the Rwanda losses This is resulting to negative caused potentially bymarket experience on the micro-climates agricultural arising from weatherHiring operations. dataacollection pointofficer local actuarial helps varying land topography and other natural bodies such as lakes whoto reduce will the risk work closely that with thethe farmer local will National and Trend forests. Analysis: Other Sumlimitations insured include per personweakhistorically data collection and experience Scheme (MINAGRI)significant agronomist differences in mapping management 10,000 infrastructure required to inform accuracy in risk throughout at sector or cellthelevel season that would and conduct product design. frequent impact on-field product the yield andrefinement payout. 9,000 campaigns 6. Working every withseason. The actuarial high resolution ACRE 8,000 Africa’s Strategies in Reducing Basis Risk major role will be to use satellites, where possiblehis expertise (Spatialto ACRE 7,000 Africa has since been working on a number of capture relevant data from the basis risk). Given the availabilityNAIS (National methodologies to combat this and has implemented various agriculture insurance scheme) that are key in of ground automated station data strategies to minimize exposure to the different kinds of basis the product refinement and customization of 6,000 throughout East Africa, satellite-based the agroclimatic and ecological diversity. The risk, though this is a key challenge area where continuous 5,000 NAISindexes schemeare willaneed necessary such bigalternative data service improvement is critical, including: for monitoring contracts, on a medium to long term and ACRE and theAfrica 4,000 quality/correlation will be a resource for such ofcomponent. the data has 1. Selecting 3,000 data sources and product structures that show improved greatly in the past 10 years. a2,000 strong correlation with the peril to be covered (Product WithACRE Africa proactively this resource ACRE Rwanda analyses will have basis risk). This is done through accessing multiple sources better newbargaining satelliteindata taking over Technical sources has they 1,000 and ‘ground truthing’ them against the most accurate data Assistance become (TA) role at National available, checking Agricultural them source, 0 however one that may not have the time series or Insurance Scheme (NAIS), against current sources and which is indexes availability 2013 to run 2014 the product 2015 from. 2016 2017 2018 dependent on international to determine which most consultants accurately KMD 2. Continuous improvement of the indices based on feedback for AYI and MAMDA Morocco for Hybrid Year capture the on-farm experience. Maize Insurance. Sum insured (Season A) Sum insured (Season B) 88
limited resources required to support 4. Enables product investment decision-making new products from insurers/ local underwriters, there has been a huge 5. Minimizes gaps in coverage drop in smallholder farmers and subsequent value insured over the years. 01 The analysis shows a decreasing trend Product Reliability to predict farmer’s experience in value of insured investments over the years. Season A had the highest Basis risk Indicator one looks at basic quality requirement for an insurance contract insured value in 2014 (over USD 8,000) to provide value to the client. The underlying assumption is that any decreasing to slightly over USD 3,000 contract Basis risk should is the cover the mainbetween difference shocks faced by farmers the loss and provide experienced a farmer and the payout triggered by the by the in 2015. It was lowest in 2017 having pay-out when production index insurance product. losses occur. If can Its effects the contract does not be negative deliver to the on (i.e. if it leads to the farmer not receiving farmer this promise, it might have a negative impact on the farmers’ well-being. less that USD 1,000. On the other hand, compensation when they have suffered a loss due to the occurrence of the insured Season B had peril), or negative an increasing to from trend the insurer (i.e. if it leads to farmers receiving compensation when no loss2013-2015 has occurred). dropping to less than USD Maize Insurance Several types of basis risk have so far been identified in index insurance: 1,000 in 2016. Since 2018, ACRE Rwanda farmer numbers dropped because most Findings 1. Product - Therebasiswas a mixed risk – Thisexperience occurs where for farmers there is no on clear-cut relationship between losses and the indexed of the crop initiatives were taken over by Maizeweather insurance. A Itbigger peril. can be percentage minimizedofbyMaize farmers properly have the peril that has the highest impact on the identifying National Agricultural Insurance Scheme purchased expected insurance yield inover the area. a given past 1-2 Thisyears, with most is normally donefarmers by comparing deficits in the peril of interest, (NAIS) which is offering productse.g. at a failingrainfall, to renew with their thecovers because historical of high production incidences experience ofofthe area to besubsidised insured. rate. basis risk. ACREbasis 2. Temporal Africariskstarted with due – Occurs Weather Index Insurance to inter-annual variations in the length of the crop phases, so that they (WII) are andnotlater introduced always aligned Area with Yield the Index phases Insurance set out in(AYII) the insurance product. It can be minimized by allowing as a strategy to resolve the index-based the issues product of basis to have risk. WII a dynamic hadsothe start, that the firstRecommendation: day of cover is aligned with the start of highest basic risk and on the supply side the claims ratio the season. It can also be minimized by allowing a margin in the The are number of days covered when setting higher.upfor thethe analysis index, e.g. byshows addingthatanover extrathe past five 5 days to theyears, the time takenconsultant average in a proposes for ACRE Rwanda particular phase. to sufficiently to invest in product refinement pure 3. weather Spatial basisindexrisk product has received – Occurs largevariations due to local premiums inand the peril occurrence, tailor crop e.g. the rainfall insurance surrounding (particularly a for Maize) paid higher weather claims value station. Thisandcanthus a high claims be minimized by ratio of 68%the potential identifying for needs to the microclimates in a given and preferences area and of smallholder compared working to the AYIIdata to find product that that sources has the bestlowest allow forclaimthisratio to be taken into account. farmers It can also and agricultural be minimized by cooperatives. (17%)- Refer to limiting theAnnex maximum 1 for further distance analysis. between The two products a farm and the weather station to be used for insurance and by have working had limitations with high in design in matching resolution satellites,the actual where crop possible. Another recommendation is to increase the losses resulting to negative market experience on agricultural technical capacity for the ACRE Rwanda operations. Hiring a local actuarial officer USD who1,000. Onclosely will work the otherwithhand, Season the local National Trend Analysis: Sum insured per person historically B Scheme (MINAGRI) agronomist had an increasing trend fromin2013- mapping 10,000 risk at 2015 sector orto dropping cell level less andUSD than conduct 1,000 frequent on-field product refinement in 2016. Since 2016, the Government 9,000 campaigns every season. The actuarial of Rwanda approached ACRE to work major role will be to use his expertise to out the NAIS program which was due to 8,000 capture relevant data from the NAIS (National 7,000 start by 2017A agriculture season. insurance Due tothat scheme) various are key in 6,000 reasons, the program was postponed the product refinement and customization toof 2020A season. This initiative saw ACRE the agroclimatic and ecological diversity. The 5,000 Rwanda farmers NAIS scheme will drop need in number such asservice big data 4,000 on a medium to long term and most clients kept waiting for the NAIS ACRE Africa will be a resource for such component. program which would benefit them with 3,000 a partial premium subsidy offered by the With this resource ACRE Rwanda will have 2,000 government. better bargaining in taking over Technical 1,000 Assistance (TA) role at National Agricultural 0 Recommendation Insurance Scheme (NAIS), which is 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 dependent on international consultants KMD Year for consultant The AYI and MAMDA Morocco proposes for for ACREHybrid Maize Insurance. Rwanda to invest in product refinement Sum insured (Season A) Sum insured (Season B) to design appropriately tailored crop Due insurance products (particularly for 8 to the issues of basis risk and the limited resources Maize) to the needs and preferences required to support new products from insurers/ local underwriters.There was an issue of market instability as well of smallholder farmers and agricultural i.e most Cooperatives collapsed, a number of partners such cooperatives in the country. as micro finance institutions experienced funding /budgetary challenges and left the agriculture market or changed their Acre Rwanda should adopt a structured business models. All these lead to a huge drop in smallholder Human Centered designed model for farmers and subsequent value insured over the years. frequent collection of customer insights The analysis shows a decreasing trend in value of insured to inform product building and refinement. investments over the years. Season A had the highest insured value in 2014 (over USD 8,000) decreasing to slightly over Another recommendation is to increase USD 3,000 in 2015. It was lowest in 2017 having less than the technical capacity for ACRE Rwanda 9
as independent sales agents. Alternative Outlet distribution of claims activities. channel customers liked the product, but ACRE Africa could not scale the program because of cost associated with retail Secondly, ACRE Africa should leverage distribution model. On the one hand, the infrastructure under on the existing “One Cow” infrastructure one cow program is adequate but customers lack product and client base by designing an agent knowledge and there is no customer retention beyond the one- network program (Village Champion operations. year Hiring a local fully subsidized actuarial insurance officer The premium. whoone will cow workdelivery closely include Model).outlet With retail model this, the design would champion by with the local National Scheme (MINAGRI) agronomist channel is still new and need to first stabilizes. The next stage is in ACRE serveRwanda as the agentto use inveterinary every sector doctors mapping to risk at sector set up strategies thatorwill cellallow levelto and conduct extend frequent on- the insurance policy asandindependent sales be their role would agents. Alternative the high touch field product beyond refinement one-year cover. campaigns every season. The main outlet distribution distribution point channel responsible customers for role for the actuarial expert will be to apply their expertise liked the product, financial education butand ACRE Africa could customer on Ittowas capture relevant difficult data from to measure the NAIS farmer (National experience agriculture because the policy not scaleupwhen boarding the program the policybecause expires ofasthe insurance scheme) that are key to the product holder is the district since the entire project is undertaken by refinement and costs well asassociated with setting the data collection up and point for all customization of the agroclimatic and ecological government officials from the sourcing of the animal suppliers diversity. running a retail issues that distribution arise model.toOn that are related the the ACRE to Africa isthe identifying a valuable categorypartner 1 farmers as aeligible technical expert for the freetoanimal one hand, of success thetheinfrastructure cover from seasonunder the start support at villageinlevel. the design, In mosttechnical cases, the adaptation, survey found monitoring and that farmers one cowUsing to end. program thisisapproach adequatewill butopen on the the are not even aware that they are insured and those with little for managing of the insurance products developed and required other, customers opportunity lack product to scale-up knowledge at a higher rate the NAIS programme knowledge to operate about insurance are notboth efficiently sure and effectively of the process to and there the to reach is no customer intended retention target of 350,000 due to the size and amount of data that will follow in case of claims. The qualitative survey shows that be generated. beyond familiesthe one-year receiving fully The cows. subsidized program With this under theresource One CowACRE Rwanda Program, will have 3 farmers a betterdistrict in Ruhuha bargaining insurance premium. has distributed overThe first-year 279,000 cows cover and hand in applying for the Technical Assistance experienced a loss (death of animal) six months ago and (TA) role at they 100% mostsubsidised cows havepremium calved down policyto under more National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS). are yet to receive a payout. Comparatively, there was a better The TA role is the cowsOneand cow delivery there channel is strong is still case business being being played experience onby external claims for consultants the programs such thatas KMDAfrica ACRE for AYIhasand enforced for ACREand needson to focus time thistomarket. become fully MAMDA Morocco for Hybrid Maize Insurance. direct control over on the claim process. Claims under these integrated into community norms before schemes were settled within one month. it can be considered fully streamlined. The next stage is to set up strategies that Livestock Indemnity Insurance2 2 will allow to extend the insurance policy 12 beyond one-year cover in order to give the The program has farmers sufficient time to have earned distributed over 10 from the animal and experienced its value 8 7 at household level as well as received 279,000 the requisite training on the importance 6 of insuring their animals. Given that cows and most most of the beneficiaries of the One Cow 4 programme are the poorest of the poor 2 2 2 and often have not had the experience of 2 cows have calved owning and managing a dairy animal, two years would be a more feasible timeframe 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 down to more cows for learning sufficiently to generate demand for essential animal care. Year It was difficult to measure farmer Farmers / outlets Cooperatives insured experience because the policy holder is the district since the entire project is Findings - Findings Since its introduction in 2015, Livestock undertaken by government officials from Insurance has had an upward trend in business growth with the sourcing of the animal suppliers to 2 identifying There was an adaption of Indicator 1 for Livestock Insurance, considering that the product the onboarding of 12 clients / aggregators cumulatively and the category is an indemnity and not1index. farmers eligible The indicator was adapted to look at the general performance of the product as per the product guideline. for the free animal at village level. In most insuring over 6,000 animals. Despite the slow growth rate, 2019 client numbers grew significantly compared to the previous cases, the survey found that farmers years. This can be attributed to market stimulation by ongoing are not even aware that they are insured 9 government interventions of the livestock insurance product. and those with little knowledge about The One Cow program, an initiative of the government, has insurance are not sure of the process to contributed to over 80% of ACRE Rwanda’s current client base. follow in case of claims. 20% are customers from alternative distribution channels which Recommendation ACRE Africa should undertake high level negotiation with the Government for a binding contractual agreement where ACRE Rwanda takes on the role of technical assistance provider for product monitoring, data recording and computation, product refinement and claims management on behalf of Insurance Companies. Further, ACRE Africa and MINAGRI should build a system of certified registered insurance agents at sector level to help with the coordination of claims activities. 10
Secondly, ACRE Africa should leverage on the existing “One Cow” infrastructure and client base by adapting the Kenya piloted agent network program dubbed ‘the Village Champion Model’. With this, the champion would serve as the agent in every sector and their role would be the high touch distribution point responsible for financial education and customer onboarding when the policy expires as well as the data collection point for all issues that arise that are related to the success of the cover from season start to end. Using this approach will open the opportunity to scale-up at a higher rate to reach the intended target of 350,000 families receiving cows. The program has distributed over 279,000 cows as at end of 2019 and most cows have calved down to more cows. There is, however, no structured system to keep the records. While looking at scale of the “one cow” initiative, it is clear that there is a strong business opportunity for ACRE though it requires some strong political negotiations. ACRE are now at this stage with more than 25,000 animals insured by various insurers and using different cover products with more animals being registered on a daily basis. If ACRE can propose to reorganize the sector, identify some gaps in the supply / demand with a thorough review of the program and data recording and management while at the same time proposing other programs such as the review of the cover/product and cover renewal terms. 02 farmer cost of production. Under the NAIS Cover appropriate activities program, the estimated sum insured (cost of production) per household has been Indicator 2 assess whether the crop insured is an asset to the valued at RWF 362,750/Ha and yet the smallholder farmers by looking at contribution to household farmers’ actual cost of production is over income and investment required verses other smallholder RFW 500,000/Ha. There is an opportunity activities. to increase the product coverage to cover the farmer’s full cost of investment for both ACRE Africa and the NAIS products. Maize Insurance Findings - In recent years, Rwanda has demonstrated huge potential in Maize production. The country has increased its Case of Ubumwe farmers’ maize harvest by 213% from 0.8 tons per hectare to 2.5 tons cooperative (KT press 2017). From FGD’s with 13 maize producing groups, most farmers mentioned that maize contributes between 70- 80% of their household income. Most farmers joined agricultural They harvest (Ha) in a good season close cooperatives because maize production is a profitable business to 5.7 tonnes per hectare and sell a kilo at and farmers are getting value from them by accessing loans 230 RWF ($ 0.25). for inputs and aggregation of their Maize produce for sale to the Rwanda Agricultural Board (RAB) at a fair price. Progressive farmers linked to cooperatives sell their produce to RAB. The Making a total of RWF 1,311,000 majority of farmers sell their produce to various off takers – ($ 1,380)/Ha. mainly grain millers for domestic consumption at a relatively moderate price 200-250 RWF/KG) as compared to seed multipliers who earn about 1200 RWF/KG. The cost of production ranges from RWF 130-155/kg. The profit margin in a good season enables the farmers to pay for their children schools fees, invest part of the money into next season inputs and purchase food for their families. In the The approximate margin is 100 RWF/KG, case of a bad year and farmers fail to harvest due to losses equivalent to a profit of approximately caused by risks such as climate and pests & diseases,, these RWF 570,000 ($ 600)/Ha farmers are subjected to heavy debt and often have to sell other assets such as cows, goats, poultry or sheep in order to meet their household needs. NAIS has listed maize as a priority crop in Rwanda and maize farmers are eligible for the government subsidy on the crop insurance premium value. The value insured is bundled with the loan amount and loan amount does not cover 100% of 11
Recommendation bred dairy animals are given to the farmers when pregnant and expected Develop categories of insurance covers to create flexibility for to calve within 6 months on average. smallholder farmers and agriculture cooperatives based on their The assumption of the policy is that willingness and ability to pay in order to comprehensively cover farmers will get an additional income their investments. The assumptions here include: from the milk sales and enable them to cater for the basic maintenance 1. Provide a product whose sum insured is the loan amount needs of the animals’ management and bundled with Insurance and distributed for access to care including treatment, feeding, and smallholder farmers through the cooperatives. hygiene. This would take place in the first year of receiving the animal as they are 2. Provide a product based on total cost of production with the also educated during this government premium component financed through options offered by assistance period. the cooperatives. Recommendations 3. Provide coverage based on expected produce to cover farmers expected Margin. This kind of product is on high ACRE Rwanda should explore the demand both from the farmers and government and would opportunity of designing an innovative reflect the true value of insured capital, but the lack of hybrid livestock insurance product that consistent data has been a setback. Such challenge offers covers the complete farmer investment an opportunity for further research and innovation. Piloting (Cow value plus the care package). This the commoditised crop insurance product that is currently would be an asset protection cover that under distribution in Kenya would help to establish the pays for the care package services in demand and level of interest in that type of deployment. case of an incident (drought, diseases, and drugs/medication etc) to keep the animal alive as opposed to compensating Livestock Indemnity Insurance when the animal dies (mortality). Findings - The Girinka program known as the One Cow Program A small-holder farmer’s decision making started in 2006. The One Cow program aims to reduce extreme on purchase of insurance is largely poverty in rural areas of Rwanda by providing each poor family influenced by their loss experience. with a cow. The available evidence suggests that this program The more frequently and/or severely a has been effective in increasing household income through the farmer experiences loss, the higher the sale of milk and increase in crops yields from the use of animal likelihood to consider insurance as a risk manure. Livestock is the main economic activity and the second mitigating tool. The converse is also true main source of income for farmers in the Eastern region. The where farmers with low loss experience insurance coverage value is the value of the animal ranging from have been seen to have low or no priority RFW 350,000 ($ 370) - 600,000 ($650). Animals are acquired for insurance. As such, this poses a risk under an open procurement process and various animal experts of selective insurance uptake with high bid. A one-year insurance cover is a component of the tender risk areas experiencing high insurance application. The winner of the tender quantifies the value of uptake and low risk areas experiencing the animal that in turn constitutes the value or sum insured of low insurance uptake thus increasing the the same animal. The animal is supplied to the farmer with an claims ratio experience. A high claims accompanying package that includes essential drugs and basic ratio makes insurance companies to materials such as hand spray material as well as the first-year increase cover exclusions and tighten insurance cover. compensation conditions consequently making the product unattractive to the The investment by farmers and the district is higher than the end user. Bundling insurance with other value of animal. The District, under the One Cow program, services and products has proven to provides free animal care support for a period of one year. be more attractive to the farmers as The rationale behind this policy is that the animals are given compared to providing insurance as a to extremely poor people to lift them above the poverty line. stand-alone solution. As such, packaging Further, to this is that these BoP households may not be able the insurance product with other fast- to maintain a cow in terms of medical care and initial follow moving products such as heifers and up during acclimatization, therefore the government provides dairy credit has previously been observed technical veterinary service support during the 1st year. Cross to improve uptake. 12
Through the integrated risk management approach, ACRE Livestock Insurance Africa should repackage their mortality cover that is currently under pilot in Kenya. It is designed to include a medical Findings - Livestock covers accidents and insurance component that ensures that small-holder farmers disease incidences. If insured animals receive compensations on veterinary charges in the case of die, district or sector veterinary doctors a clinical incidence. The bundled products are subsequently conduct a post-mortem to determine offered to farmers registered onto the MyFugo platform where the cause of death. The cover pays up to they will also have access to quality breeds, good animal 100% of the value insured. The existing nutrition, and reliable diseases management administered by exclusions are incidences that can be reputable veterinary service provider. This solution would need avoided/managed by the farmer without to be adapted and piloted in Rwanda before adopting it at scale. substantial financial loss. 03 Recommendation Cover appropriate risk ACRE Africa should investigate enhancing This indicator aims to assess whether the risk(s) covered is/ the livestock products by leveraging are adequate, i.e. whether it brings value to the client. The on the veterinary network to design an evaluation relies on whether farmers perceive the risk as animal care calendar linked to the animal important. health platform. NAIS should consider using modern tracking chips to help Maize Insurance farmers track the animals in case they are stolen and linking health data collected by Findings - ACRE Rwanda crop insurance product has gone these tracking chips to the animal health through a series of multiple evolution and re-design since their tracking platform - MyFugo. first ever product pilot in 2012. The goal of this seasonal change is aimed at adjusting the parameters to match the historical loss experience. Based on the survey results, the major risks are drought, hail, floods, and pests & diseases. Initial ACRE Rwanda Maize Index insurance product covered the drought component, which was not the only main risk. Later, ACRE Africa introduced AYII and Hybrid (WII+AYII) products targeting improvement of its product offering to smallholder farmers. With the introduction of multiple products over the years, farmers are still experiencing losses and not receiving pay-outs. It has been difficult to set parameters that match the actual loss experience. Recommendation 1. ACRE Africa should drive the multi-stakeholder campaign to create a road map of product design and reviews every season. This can be achieved through a strong co-opetition partnership under the NAIS program where ACRE Africa will leverage on the NAIS infrastructure and NAIS would benefit from ACRE Africa’s historical experience and expertise. 2. Under this partnership, ACRE Africa should take the specialised local Technical Assistance role under NAIS for all claim assessments, adjustments, and end to end claims management. This requires investment in open claims management tool that facilitate claims processes in timely and accurate manner with total transparency to farmers and stakeholders. 13
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