2022 ONTARIO ELECTION: "FORD MORE YEARS"
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2 0 2 2 O N TA R I O E L E C T I O N : “ F O R D M O R E Y E A R S ” 27-06-2022
TA B L E O F C O N T E N T S 01 What happened?............................................... PG.03 02 Cabinet........................................................... PG.11 03 Upcoming priorities........................................... PG.18 04 Engaging the Ford government ........................... PG.27
01
W H AT
HAPPENED?
3
Premier Ford and his PCs NDP Leader Andrea Horwath and
strengthened their majority by Liberal Leader Steven Del Duca
winning seats in all regions of were on the attack but against
W H AT Ontario signaling a controlled each other for too long.
HAPPENED? campaign from beginning to end.
Results showed that this
was not a change
election for Ontarians.
This election saw the lowest voter Premier Ford played to his
turnout in Ontario’s history, with strengths, once again reminding
only 43 per cent voting. This begs Ontarians of his populist appeal
the question: did enough people while being able to attract support
even care to vote? from non-traditional areas, like
unions and blue-collar workers,
without having to scream about it
from the rooftops.
4
O N TA R I O E L E C T I O N 2 0 2 2 R E S U LT S
PC NDP Liberal Green Independent
Doug Ford Andrea Horwath Steven Del Duca Mike Schreiner Bobbi Ann Brady
83 31 8 1 1
5
BY THE NUMBERS
PCs NDP Liberals Greens
40% 23.7% 23.8% 6%
of the vote of the vote of the vote of the vote
83 seats 31 seats 8 seats 1 seat
SEATS
6
M A P O F G R E AT E R T O R O N T O A N D H A M I LT O N A R E A PC NDP Liberal Green Other
ELECTORAL DISTRICT NUMBER
GTA
005. 025.
004. 019.
121. 083.
099. 122.
014. 041.
023. 030.
045. 028.
113. 029.
104. 063.
057. 061.
058. 064.
089. 009.
003. 010.
067. 012.
056. 008.
087. 011.
024. 065.
077. 060.
116. 062.
001. 059.
097. 075.
HAMILTON 100.
095.
074.
015.
098. 031.
094. 039.
093. 036.
021. 038.
020. 037.
007. 070.
110.
109.
101.
112.
111.
022.
117.
120.
7
M A P O F E A S T E R N O N TA R I O PC NDP Liberal Green Other
ELECTORAL DISTRICT NUMBER
088.
043.
018.
066.
081.
078.
080.
079.
076.
032.
102.
052.
046.
051.
040.
006.
073.
086.
8
M A P O F W E S T E R N O N TA R I O PC NDP Liberal Green Other
ELECTORAL DISTRICT NUMBER
035. 090.
100. 068.
005. 069.
004. 034.
121. 013.
099. 082.
014. 016.
024. 049.
047.
114.
065. 048.
060. 115.
062. 033.
059. 085.
075. 042.
074. 091.
015. 050.
031. 055.
039. 054.
036. 053.
038. 026.
037. 018.
070. 027.
118.
119.
9
M A P O F N O R T H E R N O N TA R I O PC NDP Liberal Green Other
ELECTORAL DISTRICT NUMBER
123.
044.
105.
106.
124.
108.
001.
092.
071.
103.
107.
084.
072.
1003 CABINET
11CABINET
Doug Ford Sylvia Jones Peter Bethlenfalvy Paul Calandra Raymond Cho Steve Clark Doug Downey Jill Dunlop Victor Fedeli Michael Ford
Premier and Deputy Premier Minister of Minister of Long-Term Minister for Seniors Minister of Municipal Attorney General Minister of Minister of Economic Minister of
Minister of Minister of Health Finance Care, Minister of and Accessibility Affairs and Housing Colleges and Development, Job Citizenship and
Intergovernmental Legislative Affairs, Universities Creation and Trade Multiculturalism
Affairs and Government House (additional mandate
Leader for small business)
Merrilee Fullerton Parm Gill Michael Kerzner Stephen Lecce Neil Lumsden Monte Caroline Mulroney David Piccini Graydon Smith George Pirie
Minister of Children, Minister of Red Solicitor General Minister of Minister of Tourism, McNaughton Minister of Minister of the Minister of Natural Minister of Mines
Community and Social Tape Reduction Education Culture and Sport Minister of Labour, Transportation and Environment, Resources and (additional
Services Immigration, Minister of Conservation and Forestry mandate to
Training and Skills Francophone Parks develop the Ring
Development Affairs of Fire)
Kaleed Rasheed Greg Rickford Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria Todd Smith Kinga Surma Lisa M. Stan Cho Michael Parsa Michael A. Tibollo Charmaine
Minister of Minister of President of the Treasury Minister of Minister of Thompson Associate Associate Minister Associate Minister Williams
Public and Northern Board (additional Energy Infrastructure Minister of Minister of of Housing of Mental Health Associate Minister
Business Service Development and mandate for emergency (additional mandate Agriculture, Transportation and Addictions of Women’s Social
Delivery Minister of management and for government Food and Rural and Economic
Indigenous Affairs procurement, including real estate) Affairs Opportunity
Supply Ontario)KEY
HIGHLIGHTS
〉 Sylvia Jones replaces Christine 〉 Six new faces in Cabinet:
Elliott as Deputy Premier and 〉 Former Toronto City Councillor Michael Ford
Minister of Health 〉 York Centre MPP Michael Kerzner
〉 No changes at helm of key 〉 CFL Hall of Famer and Hamilton MPP Neil Lumsden
ministries including: 〉 2-term MPP Michael Parsa
〉 Finance 〉 Former Timmins Mayor George Pirie
〉 Economic Development, Job 〉 Former AMO President Graydon Smith
Creation and Trade
〉 Former Brampton City Councillor Charmaine
〉 Education Williams
〉 Infrastructure
〉 Three not returning to Cabinet:
〉 Labour, Immigration, Training and
〉 5-term Ottawa MPP Lisa McLeod
Skills Development
〉 3-term Sault Ste. Marie MPP Ross Romano
〉 Municipal Affairs and Housing
〉 2-term Mississauga MPP Nina Tangri
〉 Transportation
〉 Treasury Board
13KEY MINISTERS
Sylvia Jones Peter Bethlenfalvy
Deputy Premier and Minister of Health Minister of Finance
• Has big shoes to fill replacing former Christine Elliot, who • Considered to be one of Premier Ford’s strongest cabinet
previously held these roles members
• Popular in Cabinet and seen as a consensus builder • Previously served as both the Treasury Board President
and Finance Minister at the same time for a brief stint
• Played a key role in the government’s response to COVID-19
in her previous portfolio as Ontario’s Solicitor General • Tabled the 2022 Spring budget, which will likely be
reintroduced with minor changes in the weeks to come
• Longest serving MPP in Cabinet; First elected in 2007
14KEY MINISTERS
Caroline Mulroney Stephen Lecce
Minister of Transportation and Minister of Minister of Education
Francophone Affairs
• Has been managing both portfolios since 2019, at a time • Second term as Minister of Education
when transportation has become a focal point for Premier
• Education unions across Ontario have contract expirations
Ford’s capital spend on infrastructure
scheduled for the end of August. Minister Lecce’s first
• Will likely focus on transit-oriented communities, highway order of business will likely be negotiating with four of the
upgrades and major LRT and subway expansion projects five main teachers’ unions
that were announced in the 2022 budget
• Worked previously as Deputy Director of Communications
• Previously served as Ontario’s Attorney General and Director of Media Relations to former Prime Minister
Stephen Harper
15KEY MINISTERS
Kinga Surma Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
Minister of Infrastructure President of the Treasury Board
• Seen as a rising star during her first term, Minister Surma • Minister Singh Sarkaria received a raise in profile as
has an added mandate of government real estate which President of the Treasury Board with an expanded
includes selling surplus government property mandate for emergency management and procurement,
including Supply Ontario
• Building on her work as Associate Transport Minister,
Minister Surma is expected to collaborate with Minister • As minister responsible for small businesses, he introduced
Mulroney to continue progressing major public three pieces of legislation to assist small businesses with
transportation projects including highways and transit the challenges of COVID-19 and launched two grant
programs
• Minister Singh Sarkaria was instrumental in delivering all
five Brampton seats to the PCs including some of the
ridings that they took from the NDP
16KEY MINISTERS
Todd Smith Monte McNaughton
Minister of Energy Minister of Labour, Immigration, Training and
Skills Development
• First elected as MPP in 2011, Minister Smith keeps the • Minister McNaughton was key in Premier Ford’s efforts to
energy portfolio with some major issues on the horizon, build bridges with labour groups and earn working class
including fulfilling the province’s energy capacity gap as votes traditional NDP supporters
aging nuclear power plants are decommissioned or
• Charged with implementing policies to assist in the
refurbished
affordability crisis, such as further increases to the
• A PC cabinet mainstay, he has served as minister of minimum wage
Government and Consumer Services, Economic Job
• Fulfilling promises to unions that they would upgrade
Creation and Trade, and Children, Community and
infrastructure and build new public projects will be a
Social Services
priority of Minister McNaughton
• Prior to politics, Smith was the News Director for
Quinte Broadcasting
1704 UPCOMING
PRIORITIES
18Back to the basics Investing in savings
Premier Ford’s most valuable asset is his In 2018, Premier Ford was elected on the
populist appeal. Since 2018, he has promise of “trimming the fat.” The goal was
found simple yet effective ways to save to find cost savings to help Ontario get back
W H AT the average Ontarian money, and the on track with its debt. Though, this takes
time and things didn’t pan out, eventually
N OW ?
pandemic has amplified the need for being derailed by COVID-19. This time, the
pocketbook policies as we face an Premier could consider long-term
affordability crisis. The Premier’s ability investments to improve processes and
to address it head on will strengthen his service delivery to drive efficiency and
brand. eventual cost savings. Cutting by spending.
Premier Ford and his PCs
enter their second term
as the Government of
Ontario with an ambitious
platform that we were
first introduced to in the Open for business Appealing to the centre
2022 Budget.
The Ford government will continue The Ford government will likely try and
So how will it all play out? positioning Ontario as an attractive
destination for business and
strike a perfect balance between being
fiscally responsible and spending capital
investment. Improving our on infrastructure, healthcare, and social
competitiveness should enable the programs. While this may further
province’s economy to rebound post- alienate a small part of their historic
pandemic, and it is likely going to be a party demographic, the PCs have an
central theme in all the Ontario opportunity to widen their broader
government’s policies. appeal among the people of Ontario.
19〉 Appoint Parliamentary Assistants from The Official Opposition (NDP) and
THE NEXT Caucus to work with Ministers the Liberal Party will both:
FOUR WEEKS
〉 Formalize Cabinet Committee membership 〉 Appoint interim Leaders while
and mandates the parties formalize their
Now that Cabinet leadership selection process
has been appointed, 〉 Finalize staffing for:
〉 Finalize staffing in MPP offices
Premier Ford and his • Premier’s Office and appointing Opposition
government will • Ministers’ Offices Officers and Critics
immediately move • Parliamentary Assistants’ Offices
forward with the • Backbench MPPs
following: 〉 Recall the Ontario Legislature for:
• Election of a new Speaker of the Legislature
• A new Speech From the Throne
• Introduction of key legislation including the
Ontario Budget
20KEY
PRIORITIES
For the long-term,
Premier Ford and his
government will be A modern Energy demand Making life
healthcare system vs. climate goals more affordable
focused on the
following items:
Building for Pan-Canadian
the future cooperation
21A MODERN
HEALTHCARE SYSTEM
1 〉 Regardless of political stripe, Ontarians
collectively agree that significant
investments are necessary from all
〉 Beyond the $40 billion committed to hospital and
healthcare infrastructure development over the
next few years, the Ford government will need to
levels of government to improve the address several issues head-on including wait times
COVID-19 and capacity constraints.
state of our healthcare system.
accentuated how 〉 More broadly, Ontario will need to continue
fragile Ontario's 〉 From long-term care to emergency investing in our aging population, particularly
care, there is an impending need that through the development of a reliable home and
healthcare system the Ford government will have to try
truly is. community care system, while redefining our long-
and address over their second term. term care system.
〉 We can also expect to see Premier 〉 Most importantly, Ontario will have to safeguard
Ford join other Premiers in advocating the province's healthcare workforce.
for increased federal funding for 〉 Organizations playing their part in improving the
provincial healthcare systems. state of Ontario's healthcare system will have an
audience at Queen's Park.
22ENERGY DEMAND
VS. CLIMATE GOALS
2
〉 Ontario’s energy needs and capacity to meet 〉 Innovation is a core part of the Ford government’s
them will eventually reach an impasse unless green energy plan.
action is taken.
〉 While the government did unveil some Green Bond
〉 The Ford government has taken some action to programs as part of Budget 2022, its green energy
Energy and build on the province’s energy advantage, and climate change strategy is centered on
environment remained including through Ontario’s Low-Carbon innovation, which itself will rely on advanced
under-the-radar Hydrogen Strategy, the proposed creation of a technologies such as SMRs as well as critical
issues through the clean energy credit registry, support for Small minerals exploration and development in the
Modular Reactors (SMRs) development, and the North.
2022 election, but acceleration of electricity transmission projects
they're far too in Southwestern Ontario. 〉 Critical minerals are key components of innovative
important to be technologies for high-growth sectors such as
〉 Though the Independent Electricity System batteries, electronics, electric vehicles (EVs) and
ignored. Operator’s 2021 long-term planning document cleantech.
projects an energy capacity gap with the
retirement of the Pickering nuclear plant and 〉 Ontario’s Critical Minerals Strategy focuses on
the refurbishment of Bruce and Darlington. priorities that will support better supply chain
connections between industries, resources and
〉 The Ford government has some tough choices workers in Northern Ontario and manufacturing in
to make on how it meets increasing demand in the South, including Ontario-based EV and battery
the years to come while sticking to its climate manufacturing.
change goals. Does it import hydro from
Quebec or bring a major new project online? 〉 Energy and job creating environmental companies
with an eye on innovation and sustainability will
likely find a receptive audience in the Ford
government.
23MAKING LIFE
MORE AFFORDABLE
3
〉 Singing from Premier Ford’s 2018 songbook, 〉 In some ways, affordability goes even beyond
upon re-election, we can expect the Ontario pocketbook policies and the housing crisis.
government to move forward with several
pocketbook policies from its 2022 Budget and 〉 For example, Ontario’s ballooning debt ultimately
the PC platform. trickles down to taxpayers.
Arguably the most
pressing issue for 〉 From eliminating license plate renewal fees or 〉 Similarly, global geopolitical factors ultimately
impact supply chains, including in the agri-food
Ontarians coming out personal income tax relief, to removing highway
sector which can have an impact on food prices.
of the pandemic is the tolls and cutting the gas tax, the Premier has
made it clear that he will try his best to make 〉 Not only will the Ontario government be looking at
dire need for the life more affordable for people across the creative and strategic ways to reduce its own
Ontario government to province. spending, but it will at the same time be looking to
address the cost of identify ways to address broader societal issues
〉 Though, the affordability issue goes beyond
living and affordability. pocketbook policies, particularly when currently faced by Ontarians due to external
affordable housing is the crux of problem. factors.
〉 Even simply the definition of affordable housing 〉 Innovative companies and organizations that can
has changed drastically in the last few years. come to the table with solutions are well-
positioned to play their part alongside the Ford
〉 While the Ford government has introduced a government.
plan to address the housing crisis, there is a
long way to go. Their ability to act with real
impact will help determine their fate with
Ontarians.
24BUILDING FOR
THE FUTURE
4
〉 From hospitals and long-term care centres to 〉 Through the Community Infrastructure Fund, the
highways, universities and housing, capital government also intends to work in collaboration
investments in major infrastructure projects with municipalities to speed-up approvals to build
have long-been a critical component of housing and other community infrastructure.
A trademark of most provincial government mandates.
〉 It is imperative that the province continues to work
provincial 〉 For Premier Ford and his returning PC with all levels of government to have the resources
governments that government, this has remained true, and their and funding necessary to execute major
serve multiple terms ambitious 2022 Budget committed billions in infrastructure projects over the next ten to 20
capital spending to several major projects, some years.
is to make promise of of which are already underway.
major infrastructure 〉 Equally important though, Premier Ford’s
investments to help 〉 For example, several investments to build, willingness and ability to work together with the
repair and restore transportation infrastructure private sector, whether through public-private
build a better future. have been announced, including building partnerships on major infrastructure builds or
Highway 413 and the Bradford Bypass, as well simply through buyer-supplier relationships on
as the Eglinton Crosstown Light Rail Transit different aspects of infrastructure projects.
(LRT), GO Transit Expansion, the Finch West
LRT, the Hurontario LRT, and Subway expansion 〉 Organizations well-positioned to contribute to
in Toronto. building Ontario’s future will see immense
opportunity to work with the provincial
〉 Getting people moving has been a focal point government over the next decade.
for the Premier, particularly as the province
has finally reopened following two years of
start and stop due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
25PAN-CANADIAN
COOPERATION
5
〉 Premier Ford and Prime Minister Trudeau have 〉 We’ve seen that governments can work together
been working together and enjoying unusually and succeed. Premier Ford knows its in his best
warm relations in recent months. Even their interest to collaborate with other levels of
respective ministers have pointed out each of government.
In the wake of the their strong working relationships.
〉 Clients that have interests with all levels of
pandemic, Ontario has 〉 They must continue working well together, and government should take note of this collaborative
been collaborating we anticipate a plethora of further joint environment and leverage it. NATIONAL can help
effectively with announcements, such as ongoing investments organizations better understand how their
in elective vehicle charging stations. priorities align with not one but many levels of
municipalities and the government.
federal government on 〉 Municipal leaders are taking advantage of this
several initiatives. collaborative spirit as well. In June, the City of
Toronto announced that all licensed childcare
Beyond this, Ontario operators in Toronto may apply to be part of
has also built strong the provincial-federal childcare funding
relationships with program.
provinces across the 〉 All three levels have also been singing from the
country. same songbook speaking about economic
growth, an equal recovery and wanting to
establish Ontario as a manufacturing,
innovation and tech hub.
〉 It is no secret that pan-Canadian cooperation
will be key to long-term economic recovery.
2606 ENGAGING THE
F O R D G OV E R N M E N T
27H E R E ’ S H O W N AT I O N A L C A N H E L P P O S I T I O N
YOU WITH THE FORD GOVERNMENT
1 Seek alignment between your ask
and government priorities
2 Engage with the right people, with the
right message, at the right time
3 Cultivate champions that are willing
to fight on your behalf
28Y O U R N AT I O N A L Q U E E N ’ S PA R K T E A M
Gillian Smith Luc Levasseur Stephen Adler Yash Dogra Ceara Copps – Edwards
Managing Partner, Senior Vice President and Senior Director, Corporate Director, Corporate and Manager, Corporate and
Toronto Practice Lead, Corporate and and Public Affairs Public Affairs Public Affairs
Public Affairs
Yonatan Belete Stephanie Gomes Brianna Rennie Bob Richardson
Consultant, Corporate and Consultant, Corporate and Coordinator, Corporate Senior Counsel, Corporate
Public Affairs Public Affairs and Public Affairs and Public Affairs
29THANK YOU Gillian Smith gsmith@national.ca Luc Levasseur llevasseur@national.ca Stephen Adler sadler@national.ca Yash Dogra ydogra@national.ca
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