2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
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Methodology & Sample Profile This study was conducted by AtlasIntel, an independent research & data intelligence firm. Random interviews of Wisconsin adults were conducted online between October 30 and October 31 2020. The sample was post-stratified with propensity scores to match the profile of registered voters on the following variables: gender, region, age group, education, family income, and race. Results are reported for 781 likely voters. The margin of error for likely voters is +/-3% at the 95% confidence level. Some percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding. More information about AtlasIntel can be obtained by visiting www.atlasintel.org. Gender Vote Partisanship in 2016 Presidential (self-reported) Elections Female 52.7% Democrats Hillary Clinton 31.1% 44.7% Male 47.3% Republicans Donald Trump 30.6% 43.4% Independents Other; doesn’t remember; didn’t vote 38.2% 11.9% Age Group 18 – 29 11.3% Household Household income income 30 – 44 23.8% Below Below 50k 50k 40.6% 38.0% 38.1% 45 – 64 43.4% 50k – 100k 50k – 100k 30.9% 32.0% 32.5% 65+ 21.4% Above Above 100k 100k 28.5% 30.0% 29.5% Race Education Education White 89.2% College College degree degree or or higher higher 34.6% 45.9% 34.6% Black 4.8% All other All other 54.1% 65.4% Hispanic 3.0% Asian 1.1% Vote Votein in 2016 2016 Presidential PresidentialElections Election Other Donald Hillary Clinton Trump 43.6% 44.7% 2.3% Hillary Donald Clinton Trump 45.3% 43.4% Other, Other; don’t doesn’t remember, remember; didn’t didn’t vote vote 11.1% 11.9% 2
1 Whom will you vote for in the US presidential election? Oct-20 Joe Biden 51 Donald Trump 49 Other 2 Donald Trump 48.7 Joe Biden 50.6 Don’t know 0.9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Oct-20 Approve 48 Disapprove 52 Don't know 0 Approve 48.0 Disapprove 51.6 Don’t know 0.5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
In 2020, AtlasIntel polls for the US democratic primaries had the smallest mean error across all pollsters. AtlasIntel conducted the most accurate polls in New Hampshire, California, and Florida. Performance up to February 12 2020 Performance up to March 15 2020 Source: G. Elliott Morris, The Economist Source: Jack Kersting, JHK Forecasts https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1227454160813088769 https://projects.jhkforecasts.com/democratic_primary/analysis/
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